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EMA+MACD+Fib Scalping Challenge

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This strategy synthesizes two core concepts from the provided transcripts:
Transcripts are pulled from the following two youtube videos
youtu.be/Pr4bqkoccn4?si=_6ZYKsHPH6NNlTb9
youtu.be/MUqW9zzeHro?si=yCyWrWym86whL07z

High-Probability Scalping Setup (1st Transcript): A mechanical method for finding high-probability, short-term reversal trades on a 1-minute chart. It uses a triple confluence of:

Trend Direction: Two Exponential Moving Averages (EMA 8 and EMA 34) identify the short-term trend direction via crossovers.

Momentum Confirmation: A fast MACD (3, 10, 16) confirms the strength and timing of the momentum shift required for entry.

Precise Entry Zone: Fibonacci retracement levels (primarily 61.8%) identify where a pullback is most likely to end and the main trend is likely to resume, providing a high-value entry point.

Aggressive Account Growth Challenge (2nd Transcript): An extremely high-risk, high-reward money management framework. Instead of traditional 1-2% risk per trade, this strategy risks 23% of the current account equity on each trade to target a 30% profit (a reward-risk ratio of approximately 1.3:1). The goal is to compound a small initial stake ($20) into a much larger amount ($50k+) over a series of successful trades, accepting that a few losses can wipe out the account just as quickly.

Core Philosophy: The strategy bets heavily on the edge provided by the high-probability technical setup. When the setup is correct, the account grows exponentially. When it fails, the losses are severe. It is designed for maximum capital efficiency in trending markets but is vulnerable during choppy or ranging conditions.

Ideal Parameter Settings & Configuration
These settings are optimized based on the specifics mentioned in the transcripts for 1-minute scalping.

1. Chart & Instrument Settings
Time Frame: 1 Minute

Instruments: Major forex pairs with low spreads (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD). This is critical for scalping.

Trading Session: Highly liquid sessions like the London-New York overlap.

2. Indicator Parameters & Inputs
Parameter Ideal Setting Description & Purpose
Fast EMA Length 8 Reacts quickly to recent price changes, used for signal generation.
Slow EMA Length 34 Defines the underlying short-term trend. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
MACD Fast Length 3 Makes the MACD extremely sensitive for catching early momentum shifts on the 1-min chart.
MACD Slow Length 10 The baseline for the fast length to calculate momentum against.
MACD Signal Smoothing 16 Slightly smoothed signal line to generate clearer crossover signals.
Fibonacci Level 61.8% The primary retracement level used to define the entry zone and the stop-loss level.
3. Strategy & Money Management Parameters
Parameter Setting Description & Purpose
Initial Capital 20 (or any small amount) The starting capital for the challenge.
Risk Per Trade 23% of equity The defining rule of the challenge. This is the percentage of the current account value risked on each trade.
Profit Target Per Trade 30% of equity The target profit, creating a ~1.3:1 Reward/Risk ratio.
Stop-Loss Type Fixed Percentage (23%) For simplicity and adherence to the challenge rules. The transcript also mentions placing the stop "a little below the 61.8% Fib level," which is a more advanced option.
Pyramiding 0 Do not add to positions. One trade at a time is already high-risk.
4. Entry & Exit Rules (Coded Logic)
LONG ENTRY: When ALL of the following occur simultaneously:

EMA 8 crosses above EMA 34.

MACD Histogram crosses above 0 (turns positive).

Price is touching or retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level drawn from a recent swing low to high.

SHORT ENTRY: When ALL of the following occur simultaneously:

EMA 8 crosses below EMA 34.

MACD Histogram crosses below 0 (turns negative).

Price is touching or retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level drawn from a recent swing high to low.

EXIT RULES:

Take Profit: Close the trade when a 30% profit on the risked capital is reached.

Stop Loss: Close the trade when a 23% loss on the risked capital is reached.

Emergency Exit: If the MACD or EMA cross back in the opposite direction before target/stop is hit, consider an early exit.

Critical Disclaimer and Final Notes
EXTREME RISK: This is not a standard trading strategy. It is a high-stakes challenge. Risking 23% per trade means just 4 consecutive losses would likely wipe out over 90% of your account. The second transcript's simulation showed a 99.5% success rate only under a constant 60% win rate condition, which is unrealistic in live markets.

Demo Use Only: This strategy must be thoroughly tested and understood in a demo environment before ever considering it with real funds.

Market Dependency: This strategy thrives only in strongly trending markets with clear pullbacks. It will generate significant losses in ranging, choppy, or low-volatility conditions. The ability to avoid trading in bad markets is a key factor in the challenge's success.

Psychological Pressure: The emotional burden of watching 23% of your account fluctuate on a 1-minute chart is immense and can lead to poor decision-making.

Use this strategy as a fascinating framework to study confluence and aggressive compounding, not as a guaranteed path to profits.

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