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COT Index by Luis Trompeter

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The COT Index transforms the weekly COT net positions of Commercial traders into a normalized mathematical model.
Instead of displaying raw net positioning, the COT Index processes the data through a cyclical normalization algorithm (commonly using a 26-week or alternatively a 52-week cycle).
This makes it easier to identify bullish or bearish extremes in Commercial activity.

The index is plotted as a color-coded line:
• Green Zone – Commercials are mathematically classified as bullish.
Historically, bullish Commercial positioning often aligns with upward market pressure.
• Red Zone – Commercials are mathematically classified as bearish.
This typically corresponds with increased downward pressure in the underlying market.
• Neutral Zone – Neither bull nor bear dominance; positioning is mid-range.

Since COT data is published only once per week and the COT Index is built on cyclical multi-week analysis, the indicator is intended to be used exclusively on the weekly timeframe.
Using lower timeframes will not reflect the structure of the data accurately.

The selected cycle length (typically 26 weeks, optionally 52 weeks) determines how net positions are compared and normalized, and can influence how quickly extreme zones appear.

The COT Index provides an objective way to interpret Commercial trader sentiment and to identify potential directional bias in the market.

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