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QQQ Daily Expected Move • Manual VIX
QQQ Daily Expected Move • Manual VIX — Description 📈⚡
This indicator calculates the daily expected move (EM) for QQQ using a manual VIX input, then draws the projected high and low boundaries for the session.
It automatically pulls the previous day’s closing price (or today’s open if selected) and applies a volatility-based formula to estimate the range QQQ is statistically likely to stay within. 📊
How the Expected Move Is Calculated 🧮
The formula uses a simplified volatility model:
\text{Expected % Move} = \frac{\text{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}
This percentage is then applied to your selected baseline price:
📘 Previous Close (recommended — most accurate)
🌅 Today’s Open
✏️ Custom Price
The indicator automatically plots:
🔼 Expected High
🔽 Expected Low
🏷️ Optional labels + info panel for quick reference
Choosing the Correct Baseline 🎯
The baseline matters — a lot. Using the correct anchor improves accuracy dramatically.
Previous Day’s Close (Best Practice) ✔️
This is the institutional standard used by:
🏦 Market makers
📉 Options desks
📚 Professional volatility models
Because EM reflects full-day volatility, the prior close is mathematically the most accurate anchor.
Using the VIX Input 🌡️
Enter the current VIX manually (from /VX or ^VIX).
⬆️ When VIX rises → EM widens
⬇️ When VIX falls → EM tightens
Suggested VIX-Based Adjustments 🔧
Use the multiplier to fine-tune the expected move.
VIX Level Market Condition Recommended Multiplier
🟦 < 13 Very low volatility 0.9 – slightly tighter EM
🟩 13–18 Normal conditions 1.0 (default)
🟨 18–25 Elevated volatility 1.05 – 1.1
🟧 25–35 High volatility 1.2 – 1.3
🟥 > 35 Extreme volatility 1.4 – 1.6
Multipliers help the EM adapt to different volatility regimes so the ranges remain realistic.
Why This Indicator Matters 🚀
Market makers price daily options around the expected move.
Because of this:
🧲 EM boundaries often behave like dynamic support & resistance
📛 Breaks of EM commonly trigger gamma-driven trend days
🔄 Sweeps around EM often create high-probability reversals
This tool gives traders a statistically grounded framework to anticipate where QQQ is most likely to move, stall, reverse, or expand, with clean auto-updating levels every trading day.
Adjusting the previous day’s close, opening price, and VIX input lets you model the market like a volatility desk — but in a simple, transparent format. 📘✨
This indicator calculates the daily expected move (EM) for QQQ using a manual VIX input, then draws the projected high and low boundaries for the session.
It automatically pulls the previous day’s closing price (or today’s open if selected) and applies a volatility-based formula to estimate the range QQQ is statistically likely to stay within. 📊
How the Expected Move Is Calculated 🧮
The formula uses a simplified volatility model:
\text{Expected % Move} = \frac{\text{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}
This percentage is then applied to your selected baseline price:
📘 Previous Close (recommended — most accurate)
🌅 Today’s Open
✏️ Custom Price
The indicator automatically plots:
🔼 Expected High
🔽 Expected Low
🏷️ Optional labels + info panel for quick reference
Choosing the Correct Baseline 🎯
The baseline matters — a lot. Using the correct anchor improves accuracy dramatically.
Previous Day’s Close (Best Practice) ✔️
This is the institutional standard used by:
🏦 Market makers
📉 Options desks
📚 Professional volatility models
Because EM reflects full-day volatility, the prior close is mathematically the most accurate anchor.
Using the VIX Input 🌡️
Enter the current VIX manually (from /VX or ^VIX).
⬆️ When VIX rises → EM widens
⬇️ When VIX falls → EM tightens
Suggested VIX-Based Adjustments 🔧
Use the multiplier to fine-tune the expected move.
VIX Level Market Condition Recommended Multiplier
🟦 < 13 Very low volatility 0.9 – slightly tighter EM
🟩 13–18 Normal conditions 1.0 (default)
🟨 18–25 Elevated volatility 1.05 – 1.1
🟧 25–35 High volatility 1.2 – 1.3
🟥 > 35 Extreme volatility 1.4 – 1.6
Multipliers help the EM adapt to different volatility regimes so the ranges remain realistic.
Why This Indicator Matters 🚀
Market makers price daily options around the expected move.
Because of this:
🧲 EM boundaries often behave like dynamic support & resistance
📛 Breaks of EM commonly trigger gamma-driven trend days
🔄 Sweeps around EM often create high-probability reversals
This tool gives traders a statistically grounded framework to anticipate where QQQ is most likely to move, stall, reverse, or expand, with clean auto-updating levels every trading day.
Adjusting the previous day’s close, opening price, and VIX input lets you model the market like a volatility desk — but in a simple, transparent format. 📘✨
نص برمجي محمي
تم نشر هذا النص البرمجي كمصدر مغلق. ومع ذلك، يمكنك استخدامه بحرية ودون أي قيود - تعرف على المزيد هنا.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
نص برمجي محمي
تم نشر هذا النص البرمجي كمصدر مغلق. ومع ذلك، يمكنك استخدامه بحرية ودون أي قيود - تعرف على المزيد هنا.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.