GKD-C GKYZ-Filtered, Non-Linear Regression MA [Loxx]

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Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C GKYZ-Filtered, Non-Linear Regression MA is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".

█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System

What is Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System"?
The Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System is a trading system built on the philosophy of the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) algorithmic trading.

What is the NNFX algorithmic trading strategy?
The NNFX (No-Nonsense Forex) trading system is a comprehensive approach to Forex trading that is designed to simplify the process and remove the confusion and complexity that often surrounds trading. The system was developed by a Forex trader who goes by the pseudonym "VP" and has gained a significant following in the Forex community.

The NNFX trading system is based on a set of rules and guidelines that help traders make objective and informed decisions. These rules cover all aspects of trading, including market analysis, trade entry, stop loss placement, and trade management.

Here are the main components of the NNFX trading system:

1. Trading Philosophy: The NNFX trading system is based on the idea that successful trading requires a comprehensive understanding of the market, objective analysis, and strict risk management. The system aims to remove subjective elements from trading and focuses on objective rules and guidelines.

2. Technical Analysis: The NNFX trading system relies heavily on technical analysis and uses a range of indicators to identify high-probability trading opportunities. The system uses a combination of trend-following and mean-reverting strategies to identify trades.

3. Market Structure: The NNFX trading system emphasizes the importance of understanding the market structure, including price action, support and resistance levels, and market cycles. The system uses a range of tools to identify the market structure, including trend lines, channels, and moving averages.

4. Trade Entry: The NNFX trading system has strict rules for trade entry. The system uses a combination of technical indicators to identify high-probability trades, and traders must meet specific criteria to enter a trade.

5. Stop Loss Placement: The NNFX trading system places a significant emphasis on risk management and requires traders to place a stop loss order on every trade. The system uses a combination of technical analysis and market structure to determine the appropriate stop loss level.

6. Trade Management: The NNFX trading system has specific rules for managing open trades. The system aims to minimize risk and maximize profit by using a combination of trailing stops, take profit levels, and position sizing.

Overall, the NNFX trading system is designed to be a straightforward and easy-to-follow approach to Forex trading that can be applied by traders of all skill levels.

Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:

1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted

What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.

True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:

-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close

ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.

Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass

What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.

The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).

Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.

By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.

What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.

Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.

In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.

What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.

What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.

By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.

What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.

The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.

The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.

In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.

Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.

How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:

1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)

(additional module types will added in future releases)

Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:

GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT

That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.

This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.

What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:

• Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
  
• Baseline: Hull Moving Average
  
• Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
  
• Confirmation 1: GKYZ-Filtered, Non-Linear Regression MA as shown on the chart above
  
• Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
  
• Continuation: Fisher Transform
  
• Exit: Rex Oscillator
  

Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.

Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees

Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior

Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees

1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close[1] or Short: close > close[1])
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees

1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close[1] or Short: close > close[1])
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees

PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees

█ GKD-C GKYZ-Filtered, Non-Linear Regression MA

What is Non-Linear Regression Moving Average?
Non-linear regression is a statistical method used to model non-linear relationships between independent and dependent variables. In contrast to linear regression, which assumes a linear relationship between the variables, non-linear regression allows for more complex relationships to be modeled.

Moving average is a time series analysis technique used to smooth out short-term fluctuations in data and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. It works by calculating the average of a subset of data points over a specified window or period of time, and then shifting the window forward one time step and recalculating the average.

Non-linear regression moving average combines these two techniques to model non-linear relationships in time series data. The approach involves fitting a non-linear regression model to the data and then applying a moving average filter to the residuals, which are the differences between the actual data values and the predicted values from the model. The moving average filter smooths out any remaining short-term fluctuations in the residuals, allowing the underlying long-term trends to be more clearly observed.

The choice of window or period for the moving average filter can affect the results of non-linear regression moving average, with larger windows resulting in smoother trends but potentially obscuring important short-term fluctuations. The approach is commonly used in financial analysis, economics, and other fields where time series data are frequently encountered.

What is Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility?
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) Historical Volatility is a method of calculating volatility in financial markets. It is a modification of the standard historical volatility calculation that incorporates intraday price data and takes into account the volatility clustering phenomenon often observed in financial time series.

The GKYZ formula calculates volatility as the square root of the sum of squared returns over a given time period. Specifically, it incorporates four components: opening price, closing price, high price, and low price. The formula is as follows:

GKYZ Historical Volatility = (Σ |ln(P_t / P_(t-1))|^2 / (4*N))^(1/2)

where:

P_t is the closing price at time t
P_(t-1) is the closing price at time t-1
N is the number of intraday periods in the time period of interest (e.g. number of minutes in a day)
The formula takes the natural logarithm of the ratio of closing prices to calculate the log return. The absolute value of the log return is squared and summed over the number of intraday periods in the time period of interest. This sum is divided by 4 times N and then square rooted to obtain the GKYZ Historical Volatility.

The GKYZ formula is designed to be more robust than the standard historical volatility calculation, as it incorporates intraday price data and adjusts for volatility clustering. Volatility clustering is the phenomenon where periods of high volatility tend to be followed by periods of high volatility, and periods of low volatility tend to be followed by periods of low volatility. The GKYZ formula accounts for this by incorporating intraday data, which can capture volatility fluctuations more accurately than daily data.

The GKYZ Historical Volatility is commonly used in options pricing models and risk management, as it provides a more accurate measure of volatility than the standard historical volatility calculation.

What is GKYZ-Filtered, Non-Linear Regression MA?
This indicator combines a Non-Linear Regression Moving Average with Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility through a stepping formula that requires price and/or the Non-Linear Regression Moving Average to have moved by XX multiple of Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility before registering a trend flip. The output moving average drawn to the chart is also adjusted to this filtering mechanism. You can choose to filter by price, Non-Linear Regression Moving Average, or both.

Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator

Outputs
Confirmation 2 and Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-E Exit indicator
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-BT Backtest strategy

Additional features will be added in future releases.

١٣ أبريل ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Upgraded to relax signal rules. This only applies to the Full GKD systems. All settings for signals are controlled by the Confirmation 2 indicator. So this means when you build a Full GKD system, the C2 indicator controls the relaxation of all signals including the Continuation indicator that you are required to add on top of the C2 indicator the full GKD system.

Added the following signal types:
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior

1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees

Added the following backtest options
-Super Complex allows for the creation of a GKD system without Confirmation 2 indicator. This backtest type requires the addition of a GKD-C Confirmation indicator
-Stacked allows for the creation of infinitely stackable GKD-C indicators. This is useful for combining two GKD-C indicators to test their synergy together before using these indicators in a full GKD system.

١٤ أبريل ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Updated to handle GKD-V stacks

١٥ أبريل ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Added volatility signals to continuation signal qualifiers.

Added Confirmation 1 + Confirmation 2 backtesting. This allows you to backtest C1 with C2 indicators together without setting up the full GKD system. In the GKD system, the C2 indicator acts as a minor trend filter while the C1 indicator delivers the actual signals and entries. This new backtest allows you to test the entries and signals from the C1 indicator while using the C2 indicator as the macrotrend filter.

٧ مايو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Updated for new GKD backtests.

١٢ مايو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Additions and Subtractions:

-All signal logic has been transferred to the new GKD-BT Backtests. You can access these backtests using the links provided below:

GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest:

GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest:

GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest:

GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest:

-Removed all Confirmation Type options except for "Confirmation" and "Continuation." The "Continuation" type is only used in GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest and GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest when selecting a Confirmation indicator.

-Added new signal plots based on the selected Confirmation Type. For the "Confirmation" type, only initial Longs and Shorts will be displayed on the indicator. For the "Continuation" type, both initial and continuation signals will be displayed. In both cases, if multiple signal types are present (e.g., middle cross, signal cross), these signals can be controlled using the "Signal Type" option.

-Implemented code optimizations to enhance the rendering speed of signals.

-Streamlined the export process by generating only a single value for export to other indicators or backtests. This exported value is named "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest."

٥ يونيو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Updated for multi-ticker GKD.

٢٦ يونيو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظات الأخبار

Updated for GKD optimizer.