Traderei Sessions v.3.1Traderei Session v.3.1 will show the daily H/L from the last 24h + the daily open from the current day, the H/L from Asia/London/NY Session, including the 50% Level for Premium or Discount Price. You can also set 2 EMAs and 1 SMA.
default settings for EMA 20/50, SMA 200
نماذج فنيه
Secret bubbleSecret bubble
Why Might It Be Called "Bubbles"?
Although not officially named so, some traders or platforms might refer to Bollinger Bands as "bubbles" because:
The bands visually surround the price like a bubble.
During low volatility, the bands form a tight "bubble" around price.
Breakouts look like the price "popping out" of a bubble.
Hence, the nickname "пузырьки" (bubbles) could be a colloquial or visual metaphor for Bollinger Bands in Russian-speaking trading communities.
Conclusion
While there is no official technical indicator called "Bubbles", the term likely refers to Bollinger Bands due to their visual appearance and function. This powerful tool helps traders assess volatility, spot potential reversals, and time entries and exits. When combined with other analysis methods, Bollinger Bands remain a cornerstone of modern technical trading.
🔧 Tip: You can find Bollinger Bands on almost every trading platform (TradingView, MetaTrader, ThinkorSwim) by searching "Bollinger Bands" in the indicators list.
NY Open 15-Minute Range - Current Day OnlyV1.0
This script shows the NY opening range for the first 15 min overlayed on the chart. This is only for the current day.
Traders Reality MT4 Sessions V2Bigger project for near future
Added option to adjust table size.
visit tradersreality.com for all information
original creators is mentioned in code
David Dang - Scalp M15/H1 (BTC/USDT)The Scalp Buy/Sell Volume + Support Resistance indicator is designed for traders who like short-term trading (scalping). The tool combines EMA trends, money flow strength (volume) and important support - resistance zones to give entry/exit signals.
Green arrow (BUY): When the price crosses EMA, the volume increases and holds the support zone.
Red arrow (SELL): When the price is below EMA, the volume increases and fails at the resistance zone.
Displayed with EMA, support - resistance lines for traders to easily observe the trend.
Cnagda Liquidit Trading SystemCnagda Liquidit Trading System helps spot where price is likely to trap traders and reverse, then gives simple, actionable Level to entry, place SL, and take profits with confidence. It blends imbalance zones, trend bias, order blocks, liquidity pools, high-probability fake Signal, and context-aware candle patterns into one clean workflow.
🟩🟥 Imbalance boxes: “Crowd rushed, gaps left”
What it is: Green/red boxes mark fast, one-sided moves where price “skipped” orders—think FVG-like zones that often get revisited.
Why it helps: Price frequently pulls back to “fill” these zones, creating clean retest entries with logical stops.
⏩How to use:
Green box = potential demand retest; Red box = potential supply retest. Enter on pullback into box, not on first impulse. Put stop on far side of box and aim first targets at recent swing points.
↕️ Swing bias (HH/HL vs LH/LL): “Which way is the road?”
What it is: Higher-highs/higher-lows = up-bias; Lower-highs/lower-lows = down-bias. system plots Buy/Sell OB levels aligned with that bias.
Why it helps: Trading with the broader flow reduces “hero trades” against institutions. Bias gives clearer entries and cleaner drawdowns.
⏩How to use:
Up-bias: look for long on Buy OB retests. Down-bias: look for short on Sell OB retests. Wait for a small rejection/engulfing to confirm before triggering.
🧱Order blocks: “Where big players remember”
What it is: last opposite-colored candle before an impulsive move—these zones often hold memory and reaction. system plots these as Buy/Sell OB lines.
Why it helps: Many breakouts pull back to the origin. Good entries often happen on retest, not on the breakout chase.
⏩ How to use:
Let price return into the OB, show wick rejection, and decent volume. Enter with stop beyond OB; define risk-reward before entry.
📊Volume coloring: “How Volume is move?”
What it is: Bar color reflects relative volume; inside bars are black. The dashboard also shows Volume and “Volume vs Prev.”
Why it helps: Patterns without volume often fade; volume validates strength and intent of moves.
⏩ How to use:
Favor entries where imbalance/OB/liquidity-grab coincide with higher volume. If volume is weak, reduce size or skip.
🧲 BSL/SSL liquidity pools: “Fishing for stops”
What it is: Equal highs cluster stops above (BSL); equal lows cluster stops below (SSL). system plots these and highlights the nearest one (“magnet”).
Why it helps: Price often sweeps these pools to trigger stops before reversing. This is a prime trap-reversal location.
⏩ How to use:
Watch nearest BSL/SSL. If price wicks through and closes back inside, anticipate a reversal. Trade reaction, not first poke. When price closes beyond, consider that pool mitigated and move on.
🟢🔴 Advanced liquidity grab: “Catch fakeout”
What it is: Bullish grab = makes a new low beyond a prior low but closes back above it, with a long lower wick, small body, and higher volume. Bearish is mirror. Labeled automatically.
Why it helps: It exposes trap moves (stop hunts) and often precedes true direction.
⏩ How to use:
Best when it aligns with a nearby imbalance/OB and supportive volume. Enter on reversal candle break or on retest. Stop goes beyond sweep wick.
🧠 Smart candlestick patterns (only in right place)
What it is: Engulfing, Hammer, Shooting Star, Hanging Man, Doji (with high volume), Morning/Evening Star, Piercing—but marked “effective” only if context (swing/trend/location) agrees.
Why it helps: same pattern in the wrong place is noise; in the right place, it’s signal.
⏩ How to use:
Location first (BSL/SSL/OB/imbalance), then pattern. Treat pattern as trigger/confirmation—one fresh label shows to keep chart clean.
🧭 Dashboard: “Context in a glance”
⏩ Reversal Level: current swing anchor—expect turns or reactions nearby; great for alerts and planning.
⏩ Volume vs Prev + Volume: Strength meter for signal candle—higher adds conviction.
⏩ Nearest Pool: next “magnet” area—look for sweeps/rejections there.
🧩Step-by-step trading flow (with mindset)
⏩ Set bias: HH/HL = long bias, LH/LL = short bias. Counter-trend only on clean sweeps with strong confirmation.
⏩ Find magnet: Check Nearest Pool (BSL/SSL). Focus attention there; it saves screen time.
⏩ Wait for event: Look for a sweep/grab label, or sharp rejection at pool/OB/imbalance. Avoid FOMO.
⏩ Add confluence: Stack 2–3 of these—imbalance box, OB, contextual pattern, supportive volume.
⏩Plan entry: Bullish: trigger above reversal candle high or take retest of FVG/OB. Stop below sweep wick/zone. Target at least 1:1.5–1:2.
Bearish: mirror above.
⏩Manage smartly: Take partials, move to breakeven or trail thoughtfully. Don’t drag stops inside zone out of emotion.
🎛️ Parameter tuning (to reduce human error)
⏩ swingLen: Smaller = faster but noisier; larger = cleaner but slower. Backtest first, then go live.
⏩ Tolerance (ATR or percent): ATR tolerance adapts to volatility (good for fast markets and lower TFs). Start around 0.15–0.30. In calm markets, try percent 0.05–0.15%.
⏩ minBarsGap: Start with 3–5 so equal highs/lows are truly equal—reduces false pools.
❌Common mistakes → ✅ Better habits
⏩Chasing every breakout → Wait for sweep/rejection, then confirm.
⏩Ignoring volume → Validate strength; cut size or skip on weak volume.
⏩Losing history of pools → If reviewing/backtesting, keep mitigated pools visible (dashed/faded).
⏩Over-tight tolerance/too small swingLen → Increases false signals; backtest to find balance.
📝 checklist (before entry)
⏩ Is there a nearby BSL/SSL and did a sweep/grab happen there?
⏩ Is there a close imbalance/OB that price can retest?
⏩ Do we have an effective pattern plus supportive volume?
⏩Is the stop beyond the wick/zone and RR ≥ 1:1.5?
•?((¯°·._.• 🎀 𝐻𝒶𝓅𝓅𝓎 𝒯𝓇𝒶𝒹𝒾𝓃𝑔 🎀 •._.·°¯((?•
Indian market session on Gift Nifty chartsGift Nifty Market Session Highlighter
This indicator highlights the official Indian market session on Gift Nifty charts — from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM IST. It shades the background during this time window so traders can instantly identify when the local market is open.
Features:
Marks 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM (IST) session on intraday charts.
Adjustable highlight color and transparency.
Works seamlessly across lower timeframes (1m, 5m, 15m, etc.).
Helps traders align Gift Nifty activity with NSE market hours.
Use Cases:
Quickly distinguish active market hours from overnight or global sessions.
Backtest trading strategies specific to Indian session volatility.
Improv
e focus on expiry-day setups and intraday opportunities.
Disclaimer:
This tool is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, nor does it guarantee trading success. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
Super MA Arrows with Trend Bands1. Input Parameters Configuration
One of the most comprehensive indicators, featuring 50+ configurable variables, categorized into:
MA Settings: Define MA types and periods
Signal Settings: Customize signal conditions
Display Settings: Manage visual outputs
AI Settings: Enable/disable learning module
Multi-Timeframe Settings: Analyze across multiple timeframes
2. Moving Average & Envelope Calculations
The indicator employs multiple moving averages and an adaptive envelope:
Fast MA: Captures short-term movement (default: 9)
Slow MA: Reflects overall trend direction (default: 21)
Filter MA: Filters market noise (default: 50)
Envelope: Auto-adjusting support/resistance zones
3. Market Structure Analysis
Purpose: Confirm the market’s directional bias by evaluating swing highs/lows, breakouts, and consolidation zones.
SMT Divergence PSP&PCP - Milana TradesThis indicator is designed for traders who want to combine SMT Divergence (SMT) analysis with Precision Swing Points and Candles (PSP/PCP) to identify potential market reversals, trend changes, and optimal entry points. It works on one, two, or three symbols simultaneously, and provides alerts for all key signals.
1. SMT Divergence
Purpose:
SMT Divergence identifies discrepancies between the price movements of a reference market (controlling asset) and the current chart. This helps traders detect when “smart money” might be acting differently than the public trend.
How it works:
The indicator tracks pivot highs and lows in both the current chart and the reference symbol.
If the current chart forms a high but the reference asset fails to confirm it (or vice versa), this creates a bearish or bullish divergence.
These divergences are drawn as lines on the chart with customizable color, style, and label size.
Broken or invalid divergences are automatically removed to avoid clutter.
Visual Features:
+SMT / -SMT labels indicate bullish or bearish divergences.
Lines connect the divergence points for easy visualization.
Alerts:
Bullish SMT
Bearish SMT
2. Precision Swing Points (PSP) and Precision Candle Points (PCP)
Purpose:
Precision Swing Points are extremely accurate pivot points in the price movement, showing potential short-term reversals.
Precision Candle Points extend this by confirming reversal candlestick patterns at these pivots.
How it works:
The indicator checks pivot highs/lows for patterns across multiple symbols.
Bullish PSP indicates a potential upward reversal.
Bearish PSP indicates a potential downward reversal.
PCP signals are more conservative and require a pattern confirmation, often used for safer entries.
Key Features:
Works with 1, 2, or 3 symbols simultaneously to detect correlated reversals.
Automatically removes broken or invalid PSP/PCP points.
Supports display customization: text size, colors, and which patterns to show.
Provides correlation between symbols to gauge market synchronicity.
Alerts:
Bullish PSP
Bullish PCP
Bearish PSP
Bearish PCP
This SMT & Precision Swing Point Indicator combines smart money divergence with highly accurate swing points and candlestick pattern confirmations to provide a powerful tool for market analysis. It helps traders:
Detect divergences between key markets.
Identify high-probability reversal points.
Filter signals according to trend and precision.
Receive alerts for actionable trading opportunities without constant chart monitoring.
It is ideal for traders using Price Action, Smart Money concepts, and multi-symbol analysis.
BISI / SIBI & Impulsive Candle Detector (Invite-Only)Smart scanner for BISI / SIBI imbalances and impulsive candles, with plotted zones, alerts, and customizable context filters.
What this indicator does
BISI / SIBI detection – Automatically spots bullish (BISI) and bearish (SIBI) imbalances (Fair Value Gaps) and highlights potential breaker zones for liquidity grabs and rebalancing.
Impulsive candles – Identifies abnormal expansion bars (by range, volatility, or volume*) that often trigger directional moves.
Zones & levels – Draws FVG/Breaker boxes (high/low), midline, and optional extension until mitigation.
Context filters – Trend filters (MA/HTF), trading sessions (Killzones), and adjustable sensitivity.
Alerts – Ready-to-use signals on zone creation, retest, mitigation, and valid impulsive setups.
Use case
Designed for traders using ICT / SMC methodologies who want:
A clean visual map of imbalances and breaker zones
Extra confirmation from impulsive moves
Alerts to catch setups without staring at the chart
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always test thoroughly and use proper risk management.
PSP Zones With Clean Multi-Inversion + Time FilterThe PSP Zones With Clean Multi-Inversion + Time Filter indicator identifies Precision Swing Points between two correlated assets, highlighting when they diverge in direction and forming dynamic price zones. Neutral PSP zones are plotted first, then flip bullish or bearish as price breaks beyond zone boundaries, with clean handling of multiple inversions to avoid overlapping signals. An optional ATR filter ensures only higher-conviction setups are shown, while the time filter allows users to limit detection to a specific testing or trading window. With customizable colors, extended projections into the future, and automatic cleanup of old zones, this tool provides a clear and adaptive framework for studying inter-market divergences, structural flips, and correlated price action.
CALL/PUT: Arranque Seguro (MACD + EMA35) + Toggles.sugindicador usado para trabajar con opciones calls y puts
EMA–VWAP Strategy (Confirmed crosses, 1 trade/cross)Wait for 10 and 20 ema to cross
Buy between 10 and 20
wait for 20 and 50 to cross
buy at vwap
10/20/50 ema and vwap is plotted
KCandle/Boost con Filtro EMA e 75%- Engulfing candle filtered with a custom EMA.
- 75% of the candle is plotted on the right.
Sessions+Days Marker (SigmaSita)An indicator that marks the sessions and days. You can adjust session start times. Sessions are Asian, London and New York.
Asistente de Barra de Estado ADX
// This is an all-in-one indicator designed to visually represent the market environment
// based on the G2 (trend-following) and SMOG (reversal/ranging) trading systems.
// It replaces the need for a separate ADX indicator.
//
// FEATURES:
//
// 1. Multi-Timeframe ADX:
// - 5-Minute ADX (Blue Line - The "Referee"): Determines the overall market environment (Trending or Ranging).
// - 1-Minute ADX (Yellow Line - The "Trigger"): Measures immediate momentum for trade entries.
//
// 2. Environment Background Coloring:
// The indicator's own background panel changes color to provide an instant signal:
// - Green: G2 Bullish Environment (5-min ADX > 25 & Price is Trending Up)
// - Red: G2 Bearish Environment (5-min ADX > 25 & Price is Trending Down)
// - Gray: Gray Zone (Indecisive/Risky Market, 5-min ADX between 20-25)
// - Blue: SMOG Environment (Weak/Ranging Market, 5-min ADX < 20)
//
// 3. Reference Lines:
// Includes horizontal lines at the key 20 and 25 levels for easy reference.
//
// HOW TO USE:
// Use this indicator as the primary tool to decide whether to look for a G2
// (trend-following) or a SMOG (reversal) setup.
//
High/Low Break last 3 candles with trend filterThe indicator generates a triangle symbol when the high/low of the last three candles has been exceeded or fallen below the close of the candle. Three EMAs (9, 21 and 50) are used as trend filters.
Note: I do not provide any guarantee or warranty. Use of the indicator is at your own risk. By using the indicator, you agree to this condition.
Sessions — Asia / London / New York (shaded + start/end arrows)Asian Session London Session Newyork Session
- adjust time its in utc otherwise you will be trading random times
HANUMAN INDICATORThe VIKRANT INDICATOR is a powerful all-in-one TradingView tool designed for traders who want accuracy, clarity, and confidence in their trades. Built with advanced technical logic, it helps identify market trends, entry & exit points, and high-probability trade setups across Forex, Crypto, Indices, Stocks, and Commodities.
⚡ Key Features:
✅ Smart Trend Detection using multi-layer confluence (EMA / Supertrend / RSI / Volume logic)
✅ Clear Buy/Sell signals with chart labels
✅ Built-in Stop Loss (SL), Take Profit (TP), and Trailing Stop system
✅ Works on all timeframes – from scalping (1m/5m) to intraday & swing trading
✅ Backtestable strategy to check accuracy & performance
✅ Fully customizable settings for every trader’s style
Combined CE and PE Option Overlay with pending signalsBETTERMENT OF PREVIOUS VERSION WITH LONGER EXECUTION
consider that after a ce signal appears it is triggered when price crosses and closses the ce signal candle high; simialrly for pe signal if the price closes below the pe signal candle loe then the signal is considered triggered. now if a ce signal is triggerred and then the price reverses to create a pe signal but the pe signal is not triggered, and then again a new signal is generated that gets triggered then this new ce signal should be considered as the subsignal of previous ce signal and this signal label and lines should be orange in colour and both ce signals should be displayed. same vise a versa for pe signal
Globex Trap w/ percentage [SLICKRICK]Globex Trap w/ Percentage
Overview
The Globex Trap w/ Percentage indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify high-probability trading opportunities by analyzing price action during the Globex (overnight) session and regular trading hours. By combining Globex session ranges with Supply & Demand zones, this indicator highlights potential "trap" areas where significant price reactions may occur. Additionally, it calculates the Globex session range as a percentage of the daily Average True Range (ATR), providing valuable context for assessing market volatility.
This indicator is ideal for traders in futures markets or other instruments traded during Globex sessions, offering a visual and analytical edge for spotting key price levels and potential reversals or breakouts.
Key Features
Globex Session Tracking:
Visualizes the high and low of the Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST) with customizable time settings.
Displays a semi-transparent box to mark the Globex range, with labels for "Globex High" and "Globex Low."
Calculates the Globex range as a percentage of the daily ATR, displayed as a label for quick reference.
Supply & Demand Zones:
Identifies Supply & Demand zones during regular trading hours (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST) with customizable time settings.
Draws semi-transparent boxes to highlight these zones, aiding in the identification of key support and resistance areas.
Trap Area Identification:
Highlights potential trap zones where Globex ranges and Supply & Demand zones overlap, indicating areas where price may reverse or consolidate due to trapped traders.
Customizable Settings:
Adjust Globex and Supply & Demand session times to suit your trading preferences.
Toggle visibility of Globex and Supply & Demand zones independently.
Customize box colors for better chart readability.
Set the lookback period (default: 10 days) to control how many historical zones are displayed.
Configure the ATR length (default: 14) for the percentage calculation.
PST Timezone Default:
All times are based on Pacific Standard Time (PST) by default, ensuring accurate session tracking for users in this timezone or those aligning with U.S. West Coast market hours.
Recommended Usage
Timeframes: Best used on 1-hour charts or lower (e.g., 15-minute, 5-minute) for precise entry and exit points.
Markets: Optimized for futures (e.g., ES, NQ, CL) and other instruments traded during Globex sessions.
Historical Data: Ensure at least 10 days of historical data for optimal visualization of zones.
Strategy Integration: Use the indicator to identify potential reversals or breakouts at Globex highs/lows or Supply & Demand zones. The ATR percentage provides context for whether the Globex range is significant relative to typical daily volatility.
How It Works
Globex Session:
Tracks the high and low prices during the user-defined Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST).
When the session ends, a box is drawn from the start to the end of the session, capturing the high and low prices.
Labels are placed at the midpoint of the session, showing "Globex High," "Globex Low," and the range as a percentage of the daily ATR (e.g., "75.23% of Daily ATR").
Supply & Demand Zones:
Tracks the high and low prices during the user-defined regular trading hours (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST).
Draws a box to mark these zones, which often act as key support or resistance levels.
ATR Percentage:
Calculates the Globex range (high minus low) and divides it by the daily ATR to express it as a percentage.
This metric helps traders gauge whether the overnight price movement is significant compared to the instrument’s typical volatility.
Time Handling:
Uses PST (UTC-8) for all time calculations, ensuring accurate session timing for users aligning with this timezone.
Properly handles overnight sessions that cross midnight, ensuring seamless tracking.
Input Settings
Globex Session Settings:
Show Globex Session: Enable/disable Globex session visualization (default: true).
Globex Start/End Time: Set the start and end times for the Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST).
Globex Box Color: Customize the color of the Globex session box (default: semi-transparent gray).
Supply & Demand Zone Settings:
Show Supply & Demand Zone: Enable/disable zone visualization (default: true).
Zone Start/End Time: Set the start and end times for Supply & Demand zones (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST).
Zone Box Color: Customize the color of the zone box (default: semi-transparent aqua).
General Settings:
Days to Look Back: Number of historical days to display zones (default: 10).
ATR Length: Period for calculating the daily ATR (default: 14).
Notes
All times are in Pacific Standard Time (PST). Adjust the start and end times if your market operates in a different timezone or if you prefer different session windows.
The indicator is optimized for instruments with active Globex sessions, such as futures. Results may vary for non-24/5 markets.
A typo in the label "Globe Low" (should be "Globex Low") will be corrected in future updates.
Ensure your TradingView chart is set to display sufficient historical data to view the full lookback period.
Why Use This Indicator?
The Globex Trap w/ Percentage indicator provides a unique combination of session-based range analysis, Supply & Demand zone identification, and volatility context via the ATR percentage. Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, this tool helps you:
Pinpoint key price levels where institutional traders may act.
Assess the significance of overnight price movements relative to daily volatility.
Identify potential trap zones for high-probability setups.
Customize the indicator to fit your trading style and market preferences.
ORB Breakouts with alerts"ORB Breakouts with Alerts" is a utility indicator that highlights an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) setup during a user-defined intraday time window. It allows traders to visualize price consolidation ranges and receive alerts when price breaks above or below the session high/low.
🔧 Features:
*Customizable session time (start and end), adjustable to local time using a timezone offset.
*Automatically plots:
*A shaded box around the session's high and low.
*Horizontal lines at session high and low levels.
*Optional "BUY"/"SELL" labels to mark breakout directions.
*Visual breakout signals when price crosses above or below the session range.
*Built-in alerts to notify when breakouts occur.
*Configurable styling options including box color, highlight color, and label placement.
⚙️ How It Works:
*During the defined time range, the script tracks the highest high and lowest low.
*After the session ends:
*A box is drawn to represent the opening range.
*Breakouts above the high or below the low trigger visual markers and optional alerts.
*Alerts are limited to one per direction per day to reduce noise.
⚠️ This indicator is a technical analysis tool only and does not provide financial advice or trade recommendations. Always use with proper risk management and in conjunction with your trading plan.
HorizonSigma Pro [CHE]HorizonSigma Pro
Disclaimer
Not every timeframe will yield good results . Very short charts are dominated by microstructure noise, spreads, and slippage; signals can flip and the tradable edge shrinks after costs. Very high timeframes adapt more slowly, provide fewer samples, and can lag regime shifts. When you change timeframe, you also change the ratios between horizon, lookbacks, and correlation windows—what works on M5 won’t automatically hold on H1 or D1. Liquidity, session effects (overnight gaps, news bursts), and volatility do not scale linearly with time. Always validate per symbol and timeframe, then retune horizon, z-length, correlation window, and either the neutral band or the z-threshold. On fast charts, “components” mode adapts quicker; on slower charts, “super” reduces noise. Keep prior-shift and calibration enabled, monitor Hit Rate with its confidence interval and the Brier score, and execute only on confirmed (closed-bar) values.
For example, what do “UP 61%” and “DOWN 21%” mean?
“UP 61%” is the model’s estimated probability that the close will be higher after your selected horizon—directional probability, not a price target or profit guarantee. “DOWN 21%” still reports the probability of up; here it’s 21%, which implies 79% for down (a short bias). The label switches to “DOWN” because the probability falls below your short threshold. With a neutral-band policy, for example ±7%, signals are: Long above 57%, Short below 43%, Neutral in between. In z-score mode, fixed z-cutoffs drive the call instead of percentages. The arrow length on the chart is an ATR-scaled projection to visualize reach; treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Part 1 — Scientific description
Objective.
The indicator estimates the probability that price will be higher after a user-defined horizon (a chosen number of bars) and emits long, short, or neutral decisions under explicit thresholds. It combines multi‑feature, z‑normalized inputs, adaptive correlation‑based weighting, a prior‑shifted sigmoid mapping, optional rolling probability calibration, and repaint‑safe confirmation. It also visualizes an ATR‑scaled forward projection and prints a compact statistics panel.
Data and labeling.
For each bar, the target label is whether price increased over the past chosen horizon. Learning is deliberately backward‑looking to avoid look‑ahead: features are associated with outcomes that are only known after that horizon has elapsed.
Feature engineering.
The feature set includes momentum, RSI, stochastic %K, MACD histogram slope, a normalized EMA(20/50) trend spread, ATR as a share of price, Bollinger Band width, and volume normalized by its moving average. All features are standardized over rolling windows. A compressed “super‑feature” is available that aggregates core trend and momentum components while penalizing excessive width (volatility). Users can switch between a “components” mode (weighted sum of individual features) and a “super” mode (single compressed driver).
Weighting and learning.
Weights are the rolling correlations between features (evaluated one horizon ago) and realized directional outcomes, smoothed by an EMA and optionally clamped to a bounded range to stabilize outliers. This produces an adaptive, regime‑aware weighting without explicit machine‑learning libraries.
Scoring and probability mapping.
The raw score is either the weighted component sum or the weighted super‑feature. The score is standardized again and passed through a sigmoid whose steepness is user‑controlled. A “prior shift” moves the sigmoid’s midpoint to the current base rate of up moves, estimated over the evaluation window, so that probabilities remain well‑calibrated when markets drift bullish or bearish. Probabilities and standardized scores are EMA‑smoothed for stability.
Decision policy.
Two modes are supported:
- Neutral band: go long if the probability is above one half plus a user‑set band; go short if it is below one half minus that band; otherwise stay neutral.
- Z‑score thresholds: use symmetric positive/negative cutoffs on the standardized score to trigger long/short.
Repaint protection.
All values used for decisions can be locked to confirmed (closed) bars. Intrabar updates are available as a preview, but confirmed values drive evaluation and stats.
Calibration.
An optional rolling linear calibration maps past confirmed probabilities to realized outcomes over the evaluation window. The mapping is clipped to the unit interval and can be injected back into the decision logic if desired. This improves reliability (probabilities that “mean what they say”) without necessarily improving raw separability.
Evaluation metrics.
The table reports: hit rate on signaled bars; a Wilson confidence interval for that hit rate at a chosen confidence level; Brier score as a measure of probability accuracy; counts of long/short trades; average realized return by side; profit factor; net return; and exposure (signal density). All are computed on rolling windows consistent with the learning scheme.
Visualization.
On the chart, an arrowed projection shows the predicted direction from the current bar to the chosen horizon, with magnitude scaled by ATR (optionally scaled by the square‑root of the horizon). Labels display either the decision probability or the standardized score. Neutral states can display a configurable icon for immediate recognition.
Computational properties.
The design relies on rolling means, standard deviations, correlations, and EMAs. Per‑bar cost is constant with respect to history length, and memory is constant per tracked series. Graphical objects are updated in place to obey platform limits.
Assumptions and limitations.
The method is correlation‑based and will adapt after regime changes, not before them. Calibration improves probability reliability but not necessarily ranking power. Intrabar previews are non‑binding and should not be evaluated as historical performance.
Part 2 — Trader‑facing description
What it does.
This tool tells you how likely price is to be higher after your chosen number of bars and converts that into Long / Short / Neutral calls. It learns, in real time, which components—momentum, trend, volatility, breadth, and volume—matter now, adjusts their weights, and shows you a probability line plus a forward arrow scaled by volatility.
How to set it up.
1) Choose your horizon. Intraday scalps: 5–10 bars. Swings: 10–30 bars. The default of 14 bars is a balanced starting point.
2) Pick a feature mode.
- components: granular and fast to adapt when leadership rotates between signals.
- super: cleaner single driver; less noise, slightly slower to react.
3) Decide how signals are triggered.
- Neutral band (probability based): intuitive and easy to tune. Widen the band for fewer, higher‑quality trades; tighten to catch more moves.
- Z‑score thresholds: consistent numeric cutoffs that ignore base‑rate drift.
4) Keep reliability helpers on. Leave prior shift and calibration enabled to stabilize probabilities across bullish/bearish regimes.
5) Smoothing. A short EMA on the probability or score reduces whipsaws while preserving turns.
6) Overlay. The arrow shows the call and a volatility‑scaled reach for the next horizon. Treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Reading the stats table.
- Hit Rate with a confidence interval: your recent accuracy with an uncertainty range; trust the range, not only the point.
- Brier Score: lower is better; it checks whether a stated “70%” really behaves like 70% over time.
- Profit Factor, Net Return, Exposure: quick triage of tradability and signal density.
- Average Return by Side: sanity‑check that the long and short calls each pull their weight.
Typical adjustments.
- Too many trades? Increase the neutral band or raise the z‑threshold.
- Missing the move? Tighten the band, or switch to components mode to react faster.
- Choppy timeframe? Lengthen the z‑score and correlation windows; keep calibration on.
- Volatility regime change? Revisit the ATR multiplier and enable square‑root scaling of horizon.
Execution and risk.
- Size positions by volatility (ATR‑based sizing works well).
- Enter on confirmed values; use intrabar previews only as early signals.
- Combine with your market structure (levels, liquidity zones). This model is statistical, not clairvoyant.
What it is not.
Not a black‑box machine‑learning model. It is transparent, correlation‑weighted technical analysis with strong attention to probability reliability and repaint safety.
Suggested defaults (robust starting point).
- Horizon 14; components mode; weight EMA 10; correlation window 500; z‑length 200.
- Neutral band around seven percentage points, or z‑threshold around one‑third of a standard deviation.
- Prior shift ON, Calibration ON, Use calibrated for decisions OFF to start.
- ATR multiplier 1.0; square‑root horizon scaling ON; EMA smoothing 3.
- Confidence setting equivalent to about 95%.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. HorizonSigma Pro is a decision aid; always combine with solid risk management and your own judgment. Backtest, forward test, and size responsibly.
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Enhance your trading precision and confidence 🚀
Best regards
Chervolino
