Prediction Based on Linreg & Atr
We created this algorithm with the goal of predicting future prices 📊, specifically where the value of any asset will go in the next 20 periods ⏳. It uses linear regression based on past prices, calculating a slope and an intercept to forecast future behavior 🔮. This prediction is then adjusted according to market volatility, measured by the ATR 📉, and the direction of trend signals, which are based on the MACD and moving averages 📈.
How Does the Linreg & ATR Prediction Work?
1. Trend Calculation and Signals:
o Technical Indicators: We use short- and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA), RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands 📊 to assess market direction and sentiment (not visually presented in the script).
o Calculation Functions: These include functions to calculate slope, average, intercept, standard deviation, and Pearson's R, which are crucial for regression analysis 📉.
2. Predicting Future Prices:
o Linear Regression: The algorithm calculates the slope, average, and intercept of past prices to create a regression channel 📈, helping to predict the range of future prices 🔮.
o Standard Deviation and Pearson's R: These metrics determine the strength of the regression 🔍.
3. Adjusting the Prediction:
o The predicted value is adjusted by considering market volatility (ATR 📉) and the direction of trend signals 🔮, ensuring that the prediction is aligned with the current market environment 🌍.
4. Visualization:
o Prediction Lines and Bands: The algorithm plots lines that display the predicted future price along with a prediction range (upper and lower bounds) 📉📈.
5. EMA Cross Signals:
o EMA Conditions and Total Score: A bullish crossover signal is generated when the total score is positive and the short EMA crosses above the long EMA 📈. A bearish crossover signal is generated when the total score is negative and the short EMA crosses below the long EMA 📉.
6. Additional Considerations:
o Multi-Timeframe Regression Channel: The script calculates regression channels for different timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, helping determine the overall market direction 📊 (not visually presented).
Confidence Interpretation:
• High Confidence (close to 100%): Indicates strong alignment between timeframes with a clear trend (bullish or bearish) 🔥.
• Low Confidence (close to 0%): Shows disagreement or weak signals between timeframes ⚠️.
Confidence complements the interpretation of the prediction range and expected direction 🔮, aiding in decision-making for market entry or exit 🚀.
Español
Creamos este algoritmo con el objetivo de predecir los precios futuros 📊, específicamente hacia dónde irá el valor de cualquier activo en los próximos 20 períodos ⏳. Utiliza regresión lineal basada en los precios pasados, calculando una pendiente y una intersección para prever el comportamiento futuro 🔮. Esta predicción se ajusta según la volatilidad del mercado, medida por el ATR 📉, y la dirección de las señales de tendencia, que se basan en el MACD y las medias móviles 📈.
¿Cómo Funciona la Predicción con Linreg & ATR?
Cálculo de Tendencias y Señales:
Indicadores Técnicos: Usamos medias móviles exponenciales (EMA) a corto y largo plazo, RSI, MACD y Bandas de Bollinger 📊 para evaluar la dirección y el sentimiento del mercado (no presentados visualmente en el script).
Funciones de Cálculo: Incluye funciones para calcular pendiente, media, intersección, desviación estándar y el coeficiente de correlación de Pearson, esenciales para el análisis de regresión 📉.
Predicción de Precios Futuros:
Regresión Lineal: El algoritmo calcula la pendiente, la media y la intersección de los precios pasados para crear un canal de regresión 📈, ayudando a predecir el rango de precios futuros 🔮.
Desviación Estándar y Pearson's R: Estas métricas determinan la fuerza de la regresión 🔍.
Ajuste de la Predicción:
El valor predicho se ajusta considerando la volatilidad del mercado (ATR 📉) y la dirección de las señales de tendencia 🔮, asegurando que la predicción esté alineada con el entorno actual del mercado 🌍.
Visualización:
Líneas y Bandas de Predicción: El algoritmo traza líneas que muestran el precio futuro predicho, junto con un rango de predicción (límites superior e inferior) 📉📈.
Señales de Cruce de EMAs:
Condiciones de EMAs y Puntaje Total: Se genera una señal de cruce alcista cuando el puntaje total es positivo y la EMA corta cruza por encima de la EMA larga 📈. Se genera una señal de cruce bajista cuando el puntaje total es negativo y la EMA corta cruza por debajo de la EMA larga 📉.
Consideraciones Adicionales:
Canal de Regresión Multi-Timeframe: El script calcula canales de regresión para diferentes marcos de tiempo (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, ayudando a determinar la dirección general del mercado 📊 (no presentado visualmente).
Interpretación de la Confianza:
Alta Confianza (cerca del 100%): Indica una fuerte alineación entre los marcos temporales con una tendencia clara (alcista o bajista) 🔥.
Baja Confianza (cerca del 0%): Muestra desacuerdo o señales débiles entre los marcos temporales ⚠️.
La confianza complementa la interpretación del rango de predicción y la dirección esperada 🔮, ayudando en las decisiones de entrada o salida en el mercado 🚀.
المتوسط المتحرك الأسي
EMA WMA 20 / 50 / 100 / 200TR/
BIST 100 hisseleri için tasarlandı.
20 / 50 / 100 / 200 Günlük EMA'ları,
Ve 50 / 100 / 200 Haftalık EMA'ları gösterir. 20 Haftalık EMA zaten 100 Günlük EMA'ya eşit olduğu için gösterilmez.
Aynı değerler WMA için de geçerlidir.
EN/
It is designed for XU100 Stocks.
It shows 20 / 50 / 100 / 200 Daily EMA's,
Also it shows 50 / 100 / 200 Weekly EMA's but no 20 Weekly EMA because it is equal to 100 Daily EMA already.
Same rules apply to WMA
-Ardahan.
Daily Open Price with EMAsi Marked opening price for the day, this line indicate whether the candle for today is green or red for the day, during Closure of trading day , above this line will indicate a GreenCandle, and Below this line will indicate a Red candle.
usually use for intraday only, please close the Daily Line when you go inti Daily or above imeframe.
comes with this i 4 emas,
3 Moving Average ExponentialExplanation of Changes:
Three EMA Lengths:
Introduced len1, len2, and len3 input variables with default values of 20, 300, and 1200 respectively.
Added a group GRP_EMA for EMA settings.
Three EMA Calculations:
Calculated out1, out2, and out3 using ta.ema() with the corresponding lengths.
Three EMA Plots:
Used plot() three times to display each EMA.
Set the colors to red, blue, and purple using color.new(color.red, 30), etc., with 30% transparency.
Default Timeframe:
Set the default timeframe to 1 minute in the indicator() function using timeframe="1".
Shared Offset:
The offset variable remains shared among all three EMAs.
Smoothing MA Calculation:
The Smoothing MA calculation and Bollinger Bands are calculated based on the first EMA (out1) to avoid unnecessary repeated calculation.
How to Use:
Copy and paste this code into the Pine Editor on TradingView.
Click "Add to Chart".
You will see three EMA lines (red, blue, and purple) on your chart, along with any Smoothing MA you choose.
You can customize the lengths, colors, offset, and Smoothing MA settings in the indicator's settings panel.
Ichi-BB-6EMA-KIJO+ @mmj_CryptoIt includes 4 tools:
Ichimoku
Bollinger Bands
EMA
and 2 additional Kijunsen
Ichi-BB-6EMA-KIJO+ @mmj_CryptoThis indicator includes the following tools:
6 EMAs
Ichimoku
Bollinger Bands
and 2 additional Kijunsen
Variable EMA with Parallel EMAVariable EMA with Parallel EMA
and the time lenght is adjustable
the distance between the 1st and 2nd ma is adjustable
Gauti Market Maker Killzone EMA1. Identifying the Trend
Use Daily (1D) and Hourly (1H) Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to define the overall trend:
Bullish Trend: Both 1D and 1H EMAs are upward sloping, and the price is above these EMAs.
Bearish Trend: Both 1D and 1H EMAs are downward sloping, and the price is below these EMAs.
2. Confirmation with Higher Timeframes
Bullish Conditions:
Check 1D and 4H charts for price action above the EMA bands.
Look for price forming higher highs and higher lows or respecting support at the EMA bands.
Bearish Conditions:
Check 1D and 4H charts for price action below the EMA bands.
Look for price forming lower highs and lower lows or respecting resistance at the EMA bands.
Note: Crossover of EMAs on higher timeframes is an optional extra confirmation, but not mandatory for entry.
3. Entry Strategy
Use the 15-Minute (15M) timeframe for entries.
Entries are taken only during Killzones:
Killzones: London Open, New York Open, or other intraday key trading sessions. (Define the time ranges for these zones based on your trading hours.)
Wait for the price to touch or pull back to the EMA band during the Killzones in the direction of the overall trend:
In a bullish trend, enter long when the price touches the EMA band and shows signs of rejection or reversal.
In a bearish trend, enter short when the price touches the EMA band and shows signs of rejection or reversal.
4. Checklist for Entry
Confirm the following before entering:
1D Trend aligns with the 1H Trend.
Price Action in 1D and 4H supports the trend.
Killzone session is active.
Price is reacting to the EMA band on the 15M chart in the trend direction.
Smoothed Source Weighted EMAThe Smoothed Source EMA is a tool designed to help traders identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the market. It combines two key elements: price smoothing (using standard deviation) and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The purpose is to filter out the day-to-day price fluctuations and create clearer buy and sell signals.
Key Concepts Behind the Indicator:
Price Smoothing (Standard Deviation):
To make the price action easier to follow, the indicator first "smooths" the price. This is done by looking at how much the price tends to move up and down (known as standard deviation).
It then creates two "bands" around the current price—one above and one below. These bands represent a smoothed version of the price and help filter out the noise caused by small, random price movements.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The indicator also uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is a line that represents the average price over a certain period of time (but gives more weight to recent prices). The EMA helps capture the general trend of the price.
The indicator uses this EMA to compare the current price with the overall trend.
How Does the Indicator Work?
Once the indicator calculates the smoothed price bands and the EMA, it looks for specific conditions to trigger a buy or sell signal:
Long (Buy) Signal:
A buy signal happens when the smoothed price (the lower band) is above the EMA. In simple terms, the price is moving up, and the indicator is telling you it's a good time to buy.
The more "weight" or influence you give to the EMA, the slower this buy signal will appear, meaning it’ll only trigger when there’s a strong enough upward movement.
Short (Sell) Signal:
A sell signal occurs when the smoothed price (the upper band) is below the EMA. This suggests the price is moving down, and the indicator signals that it might be time to sell.
Again, the more "weight" you put on the EMA, the slower the sell signal will appear, as the indicator waits for a clearer downtrend.
Why is this Useful for Traders?
Smoothing the Price: Many traders struggle with the noise of price fluctuations, where the price moves up and down quickly without a clear trend. By smoothing the price, this indicator helps traders focus on the bigger picture and avoid reacting to every small movement.
Clear Buy and Sell Signals: The indicator generates easy-to-understand buy and sell signals based on the relationship between the smoothed price and the EMA. If the price is above the smoothed level and EMA, it’s a signal to buy. If it’s below, it’s a signal to sell.
Customizable Sensitivity: The indicator lets traders adjust how sensitive the buy and sell signals are. By changing certain settings, such as the smoothing length and the weight of the EMA, traders can make the indicator react faster or slower depending on how quickly they want to catch changes in the market.
How the Indicator Appears on the Chart:
EMA Line: A line that represents the trend of the price.
Upper and Lower Smoothed Bands: Two bands above and below the price that help identify when the price is moving up or down relative to the trend.
Buy and Sell Arrows: Small arrows on the chart show where the indicator suggests buying or selling.
Colored Bars: The bars on the chart may change color to visually indicate whether the indicator suggests a buy (green) or a sell (red).
In Summary:
The Smoothed Source EMA helps you identify trends by smoothing out price movements using standard deviation, then comparing these smoothed prices with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
When the smoothed price moves above or below the EMA, it gives you a signal: a buy when the smoothed price is above the EMA, and a sell when it’s below.
You can adjust how quickly or slowly these signals appear by modifying the settings, giving you control over how sensitive the indicator is to changes in the market.
This indicator is useful for traders who want to reduce noise and focus on the overall trend, using clear, visually simple signals to guide their trading decisions.
Optimal MA FinderIntroduction to the "Optimal MA Finder" Indicator
The "Optimal MA Finder" is a powerful and versatile tool designed to help traders optimize their moving average strategies. This script combines flexibility, precision, and automation to identify the most effective moving average (MA) length for your trading approach. Whether you're aiming to improve your long-only strategy or implement a buy-and-sell methodology, the "Optimal MA Finder" is your go-to solution for enhanced decision-making.
What Does It Do?
The script evaluates a wide range of moving average lengths, from 10 to 500, to determine which one produces the best results based on historical data. By calculating critical metrics such as the total number of trades and the profit factor for each MA length, it identifies the one that maximizes profitability. It supports both simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA), allowing you to tailor the analysis to your preferred method.
The logic works by backtesting each MA length against the price data and assessing the performance under two strategies:
Buy & Sell: Includes both long and short trades.
Long Only: Focuses solely on long positions for more conservative strategies.
Once the optimal MA length is identified, the script overlays it on the chart, highlighting periods when the price crosses over or under the optimal MA, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Why Is It Useful?
This indicator stands out for its ability to automate a task that is often labor-intensive and subjective: finding the best MA length. By providing a clear, data-driven answer, it saves traders countless hours of manual testing while significantly enhancing the accuracy of their strategies. For example, instead of guessing whether a 50-period EMA is more effective than a 200-period SMA, the "Optimal MA Finder" will pinpoint the exact length and type of MA that has historically yielded the best results for your chosen strategy.
Key Benefits:
Precision: Identifies the MA length with the highest profit factor for maximum profitability.
Automation: Conducts thorough backtesting without manual effort.
Flexibility: Adapts to your preferred MA type (SMA or EMA) and trading strategy (Buy & Sell or Long Only).
Real-Time Feedback: Provides actionable insights by plotting the optimal MA directly on your chart and highlighting relevant trading periods.
Example of Use: Imagine you're trading a volatile stock and want to optimize your long-only strategy. By applying the "Optimal MA Finder," you discover that a 120-period EMA results in the highest profit factor. The indicator plots this EMA on your chart, showing you when to consider entering or exiting positions based on price movements relative to the EMA.
In short, the "Optimal MA Finder" empowers traders by delivering data-driven insights and improving the effectiveness of trading strategies. Its clear logic, combined with robust automation, makes it an invaluable tool for both novice and experienced traders seeking consistent results.
OBV + Custom MA StrategyFor a long time, the use of the OBV indicator has been relatively monotonous, with its expression and content lacking diversity. Therefore, I'm considering trying new ways of representation.
This "OBV + Custom MA Strategy" indicator combines the On-Balance Volume (OBV) with customizable moving averages (SMA, EMA, or WMA) to provide advanced insights into market trends. The indicator calculates OBV manually and overlays two moving averages: a short-term and a long-term MA. Key features include:
OBV plotted alongside short-term and long-term moving averages for better trend visualization.
Signals generated when OBV crosses the short-term MA or when the short-term MA crosses the long-term MA.
Alerts for bullish and bearish crossovers to help identify potential buy or sell opportunities.
This indicator is suitable for traders looking to incorporate volume dynamics into their strategy while customizing their moving average type and periods.
中文说明
此“OBV + 自定义均线策略”指标结合了成交量指标OBV与可定制的移动均线(SMA、EMA或WMA),为市场趋势分析提供了更多的视角。该指标手动计算OBV,并叠加短期与长期均线,主要特点包括:
绘制OBV以及短期和长期均线,以更清晰地观察趋势。
当OBV上穿/下穿短期均线或短期均线上穿/下穿长期均线时,生成买卖信号。
提供多种看涨和看跌信号的警报,帮助识别潜在的买入或卖出机会。
此指标适合希望将成交量动态纳入策略的交易者,并支持自定义均线类型和周期以满足个性化需求。
Boltzmann Weighted Moving average ( BWMA )Overview:
Introducing the Boltzmann Weighted Moving Average (BWMA) – a novel approach that draws inspiration from statistical mechanics to emphasize recent market data more than older data. By applying an exponential decay governed by a “temperature” parameter, BWMA provides a unique perspective on price trends and enhances noise filtering. An EMA-based smoothing is then applied for an even cleaner, more stable signal.
Key Features:
Boltzmann Weighting: The BWMA assigns weights to each data point based on a Boltzmann-like formula, giving more influence to recent bars and reducing the impact of older ones. This creates a dynamic, adaptive moving average that can quickly respond to market changes.
Adaptive Temperature Control: Users can adjust the “Temperature” (T) parameter. A lower T puts a stronger emphasis on the most recent data, while a higher T makes the weight distribution more uniform across the chosen period.
EMA Smoothing: After computing the weighted average, an EMA is applied to smooth out short-term noise, resulting in a cleaner trend indication.
Color-Coded Trend Indicator: The BWMA line changes color depending on its slope, allowing traders to quickly identify bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions at a glance.
Parameters:
Period: Defines the lookback window over which the Boltzmann weights are calculated.
Temperature (T): Controls the steepness of the weight decay. Lower T emphasizes recency, while higher T spreads weights more evenly.
Alpha (Energy Scale): Adjusts how quickly “Energy” (and thus weight decay) increases with older data points.
Smoothing Period: Determines the EMA length for reducing noise after weighting, providing a more stable signal.
How It Works:
The BWMA calculates a weighted average of recent prices, where the weight for each data point i is given by:
weight = math.exp(-energy / (k_B * T))
Energy_i: Increases as the data point is further back in time.
k_B: A scaling constant, set to 1 for simplicity.
T: "Temperature" parameter that controls how quickly the weights decay. A lower T emphasizes more recent data strongly, while a higher T spreads out the emphasis more evenly.
Visuals:
BWMA Line: Plotted as a smooth line that changes color based on trend direction.
Green: BWMA is rising (bullish trend).
Red: BWMA is falling (bearish trend).
Usage:
The BWMA can be used similarly to traditional moving averages but offers greater flexibility and adaptability:
Adjust T and Alpha: Fine-tune the weighting profile to match your trading style, whether you prefer rapid response to recent changes or a more balanced view.
Trend Confirmation: Use color changes to confirm bullish or bearish momentum.
Filtering Noise: The combination of Boltzmann weighting and EMA smoothing can help reduce the impact of sudden price spikes and yield clearer trend signals.
By blending the concepts of statistical mechanics with classic technical analysis techniques, the Boltzmann Weighted Moving Average provides traders with an innovative tool for revealing underlying market trends.
Stage Market V4This script provides a comprehensive tool for identifying market stages based on exponential moving averages (EMAs), market performance metrics, and additional price statistics. Below is a summary of its functionality and instructions on how to use it:
1. Inputs and Configuration
Fast and Slow EMA:
Fast EMA Length: Determines the period for the fast EMA.
Slow EMA Length: Determines the period for the slow EMA.
Additional EMAs:
Enable or disable three additional EMAs (EMA 1, EMA 2, and EMA 3) with customizable lengths.
52-Week High Display:
Optionally display the percentage distance from the 52-week high.
2. Market Stages
The indicator identifies six market stages based on the relationship between the price, fast EMA, and slow EMA:
Recovery: Price is above the fast EMA, and the slow EMA is above both the price and the fast EMA.
Accumulation: Price is above both the fast EMA and slow EMA, but the slow EMA is still above the fast EMA.
Bull Market: Price, fast EMA, and slow EMA are all aligned in a rising trend.
Warning: Price is below the fast EMA, but still above the slow EMA, signaling potential weakness.
Distribution: Price is below both EMAs, but the slow EMA remains below the fast EMA.
Bear Market: Price, fast EMA, and slow EMA are all aligned in a falling trend.
The current stage is displayed in a table along with the number of bars spent in that stage.
3. Performance Metrics
The script calculates additional metrics to gauge the stock's performance:
30-Day Change: The percentage price change over the last 30 days.
90-Day Change: The percentage price change over the last 90 days.
Year-to-Date (YTD) Change: The percentage change from the year's first closing price.
Distance from 52-Week High (if enabled): The percentage difference between the current price and the highest price over the past 52 weeks.
These values are color-coded:
Green for positive changes.
Red for negative changes.
4. Table Display
The indicator uses a table in the bottom-right corner of the chart to show:
Current market stage and bars spent in the stage.
30-day, 90-day, and YTD changes.
Distance from the 52-week high (if enabled).
5. EMA Plotting
The script plots the following EMAs on the chart:
Fast EMA (default: 50-period) in yellow.
Slow EMA (default: 200-period) in orange.
Optional EMAs (EMA 1, EMA 2, and EMA 3) in blue, green, and purple, respectively.
6. Using the Indicator
Add the indicator to your chart via the Pine Editor in TradingView.
Customize the input parameters to fit your trading style or the asset's characteristics.
Use the table to quickly assess the current market stage and key performance metrics.
Observe the plotted EMAs to understand trend alignments and potential crossovers.
This script is particularly useful for identifying market trends, understanding price momentum, and aligning trading decisions with broader market conditions.
EMA Volatility Channel [QuantAlgo]EMA Volatility Channel 🌊📈
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is an advanced technical indicator designed to capture price volatility and trend dynamics through adaptive channels based on exponential moving averages. This sophisticated system combines EMA-based trend analysis with dynamic volatility-adjusted bands to help traders and investors identify trend direction, potential reversals, and market volatility conditions. By evaluating both price momentum and volatility together, this tool enables users to make informed trading decisions while adapting to changing market conditions.
💫 Dynamic Channel Architecture
The EMA Volatility Channel provides a unique framework for assessing market trends through a blend of exponential moving averages and volatility-based channel calculations. Unlike traditional channel indicators that use fixed-width bands, this system incorporates dynamic volatility measurements to adjust channel width automatically, helping users determine whether price movements are significant relative to current market conditions. By combining smooth EMA trends with adaptive volatility bands, it evaluates both directional movement and market volatility, while the smoothing parameters ensure stable yet responsive channel adjustments. This adaptive approach allows users to identify trending conditions while remaining aware of volatility expansions and contractions, enhancing both trend-following and reversal strategies.
📊 Indicator Components & Mechanics
The EMA Volatility Channel is composed of several technical components that create a dynamic channel system:
EMA Midline: Calculates a smoothed exponential moving average that serves as the channel's centerline, providing a clear reference for trend direction.
Volatility Measurement: Computes average price movement to determine dynamic channel width, adapting to changing market conditions automatically.
Smooth Band Calculation: Applies additional smoothing to the channel bands, reducing noise while maintaining responsiveness to significant price movements.
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The EMA Volatility Channel combines various technical tools to deliver a comprehensive analysis of market conditions.
The indicator utilizes exponential moving averages with customizable length and smoothing parameters to adapt to different trading styles. Volatility calculations are applied to determine channel width, providing context-aware boundaries for price movement. The trend detection component evaluates price action relative to the channel bands, helping validate trends and identify potential reversals.
The indicator incorporates multi-layered visualization with color-coded channels and bars to signal both trend direction and market position. These adaptive visual cues, combined with programmable alerts for channel breakouts, help traders and investors track both trend changes and volatility conditions, supporting both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
👀 Monitor Channel Position: Watch the price position relative to the channel bands to identify trend direction and potential reversals. When price moves outside the channel, consider potential trend changes or extreme conditions.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for channel breakouts and trend changes, ensuring you can act on significant technical developments promptly.
🌟 Summary and Tips
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is a versatile technical tool, designed to support both trend following and volatility analysis across different market environments. By combining smooth EMA trends with dynamic volatility-based channels, it helps traders and investors identify significant price movements while measuring market volatility, providing reliable technical signals. The tool's adaptability across timeframes makes it suitable for both trend-following and reversal strategies, allowing users to capture opportunities while maintaining awareness of changing market conditions.
DNSE VN301!, SMA & EMA Cross StrategyDiscover the tailored Pinescript to trade VN30F1M Future Contracts intraday, the strategy focuses on SMA & EMA crosses to identify potential entry/exit points. The script closes all positions by 14:25 to avoid holding any contracts overnight.
HNX:VN301!
www.tradingview.com
Setting & Backtest result:
1-minute chart, initial capital of VND 100 million, entering 4 contracts per time, backtest result from Jan-2024 to Nov-2024 yielded a return over 40%, executed over 1,000 trades (average of 4 trades/day), winning trades rate ~ 30% with a profit factor of 1.10.
The default setting of the script:
A decent optimization is reached when SMA and EMA periods are set to 60 and 15 respectively while the Long/Short stop-loss level is set to 20 ticks (2 points) from the entry price.
Entry & Exit conditions:
Long signals are generated when ema(15) crosses over sma(60) while Short signals happen when ema(15) crosses under sma(60). Long orders are closed when ema(15) crosses under sma(60) while Short orders are closed when ema(15) crosses over sma(60).
Exit conditions happen when (whichever came first):
Another Long/Short signal is generated
The Stop-loss level is reached
The Cut-off time is reached (14:25 every day)
*Disclaimers:
Futures Contracts Trading are subjected to a high degree of risk and price movements can fluctuate significantly. This script functions as a reference source and should be used after users have clearly understood how futures trading works, accessed their risk tolerance level, and are knowledgeable of the functioning logic behind the script.
Users are solely responsible for their investment decisions, and DNSE is not responsible for any potential losses from applying such a strategy to real-life trading activities. Past performance is not indicative/guarantee of future results, kindly reach out to us should you have specific questions about this script.
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Khám phá Pinescript được thiết kế riêng để giao dịch Hợp đồng tương lai VN30F1M trong ngày, chiến lược tập trung vào các đường SMA & EMA cắt nhau để xác định các điểm vào/ra tiềm năng. Chiến lược sẽ đóng tất cả các vị thế trước 14:25 để tránh giữ bất kỳ hợp đồng nào qua đêm.
Thiết lập & Kết quả backtest:
Chart 1 phút, vốn ban đầu là 100 triệu đồng, vào 4 hợp đồng mỗi lần, kết quả backtest từ tháng 1/2024 tới tháng 11/2024 mang lại lợi nhuận trên 40%, thực hiện hơn 1.000 giao dịch (trung bình 4 giao dịch/ngày), tỷ lệ giao dịch thắng ~ 30% với hệ số lợi nhuận là 1,10.
Thiết lập mặc định của chiến lược:
Đạt được một mức tối ưu ổn khi SMA và EMA periods được đặt lần lượt là 60 và 15 trong khi mức cắt lỗ được đặt thành 20 tick (2 điểm) từ giá vào.
Điều kiện Mở và Đóng vị thế:
Tín hiệu Long được tạo ra khi ema(15) cắt trên sma(60) trong khi tín hiệu Short xảy ra khi ema(15) cắt dưới sma(60). Lệnh Long được đóng khi ema(15) cắt dưới sma(60) trong khi lệnh Short được đóng khi ema(15) cắt lên sma(60).
Điều kiện đóng vị thể xảy ra khi (tùy điều kiện nào đến trước):
Một tín hiệu Long/Short khác được tạo ra
Giá chạm mức cắt lỗ
Lệnh chưa đóng nhưng tới giờ cut-off (14:25 hàng ngày)
*Tuyên bố miễn trừ trách nhiệm:
Giao dịch hợp đồng tương lai có mức rủi ro cao và giá có thể dao động đáng kể. Chiến lược này hoạt động như một nguồn tham khảo và nên được sử dụng sau khi người dùng đã hiểu rõ cách thức giao dịch hợp đồng tương lai, đã đánh giá mức độ chấp nhận rủi ro của bản thân và hiểu rõ về logic vận hành của chiến lược này.
Người dùng hoàn toàn chịu trách nhiệm về các quyết định đầu tư của mình và DNSE không chịu trách nhiệm về bất kỳ khoản lỗ tiềm ẩn nào khi áp dụng chiến lược này vào các hoạt động giao dịch thực tế. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không chỉ ra/cam kết kết quả trong tương lai, vui lòng liên hệ với chúng tôi nếu bạn có thắc mắc cụ thể về chiến lược giao dịch này.
EMAs MTF (Miu)This indicator plots multiple EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on chart.
You can set up to 3 different EMA for the current timeframe and you can add up to 3 more different EMA with a different timeframe. So you can have up to 6 EMAs on your chart.
This way you can easily see multiple EMA lines with a single indicator to setup.
Indicator will automaticaly plot labels with symbol's price, timeframe and which EMA is set for easy identification.
You can also set an alert that will trigger anytime current price crosses any active EMA.
Alerts will provide detailed information such as:
1) Symbol
2) Which EMA and timeframe that has been crossed
3) Current symbol price
Feel free to give feedbacks on comments section below. Suggestions are welcome.
Enjoy!
UVR Crypto TrendINDICATOR OVERVIEW: UVR CRYPTO TREND
The UVR Crypto Trend indicator is a custom-built tool designed specifically for cryptocurrency markets, utilizing advanced volatility, momentum, and trend-following techniques. It aims to identify trend reversals and provide buy and sell signals by analyzing multiple factors, such as price volatility(UVR), RSI (Relative Strength Index), CMF (Chaikin Money Flow), and EMA (Exponential Moving Average). The indicator is optimized for CRYPTO MARKETS only.
KEY FEATURES AND HOW IT WORKS
Volatility Analysis with UVR
The UVR (Ultimate Volatility Rate) is a proprietary calculation that measures market volatility by comparing significant price extremes and smoothing the data over time.
Purpose: UVR aims to reduce noise in low-volatility environments and highlight significant movements during higher-volatility periods. While it strives to improve filtering in low-volatility conditions, it does not guarantee perfect performance, making it a balanced and adaptable tool for dynamic markets like cryptocurrency.
HOW UVR (ULTIMATE VOLATILITY RATE) IS CALCULATED
UVR is calculated using a method that ensures precise measurement of market volatility by comparing price extremes across consecutive candles:
Volatility Components:
Two values are calculated to represent potential price fluctuations:
The absolute difference between the current candle's high and the previous candle's low:
Volatility Component 1=∣High−Low ∣
The absolute difference between the previous candle's high and the current candle's low:
Volatility Component 2=∣High −Low∣
Volatility Ratio:
The larger of the two components is selected as the Volatility Ratio, ensuring UVR captures the most significant movement:
Volatility Ratio=max(Volatility Component 1,Volatility Component 2)
Smoothing with SMMA:
To stabilize the volatility calculation, the Volatility Ratio is smoothed using a Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) over a user-defined period (e.g., 14 candles):
UVR=(UVR(Previous)×(Period−1)+Volatility Ratio)/Period
This calculation ensures UVR adapts dynamically to market conditions, focusing on significant price movements while filtering out noise.
RSI FOR MOMENTUM DETECTION
RSI (Relative Strength Index) identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
Trend Confirmation at the 50 Level
RSI values crossing above 50 signal the potential start of an upward trend.
RSI values crossing below 50 indicate the potential start of a downward trend.
Key Reversals at Extreme Levels
RSI detects trend reversals at overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) levels.
For example:
Overbought Trend Reversal: RSI >70 followed by bearish price action signals a potential downtrend.
Oversold Trend Reversal: RSI <30 with bullish confirmation signals a potential uptrend.
Rare Extreme RSI Readings
Extreme levels, such as RSI <12 (oversold) or RSI >88 (overbought), are used to identify rare yet powerful reversals.
---HOW IT DIFFERS FROM OTHER INDICATORS---
Using UVR High and Low Values
The Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) focuses on analyzing the high and low price ranges of the market to measure volatility.
Unlike traditional trend indicators that rely primarily on momentum or moving average crossovers, UVR leverages price extremes to better identify trend reversals.
This approach ensures fewer false signals during low-volatility phases and more accurate trend detection during high-volatility conditions.
UVR as the Core Component
The indicator is fundamentally built around UVR as the primary filter, while supporting tools like RSI (momentum detection), CMF (volume confirmation), and EMA (trend validation) complement its functionality.
By integrating these additional components, the indicator provides a multidimensional analysis rather than relying solely on a single approach.
Dynamic Adaptation to Volatility
UVR dynamically adjusts to market conditions, striving to improve filtering in low-volatility phases. While not flawless, this approach minimizes false signals and adapts more effectively to varying levels of market activity.
Trend Clouds for Visual Guidance
UVR-based dynamic clouds visually mark high and low price areas, highlighting potential consolidation or retracement zones.
These clouds serve as guides for setting stop-loss or take-profit levels, offering clear risk management strategies.
BUY AND SELL SIGNAL LOGIC
BUY CONDITIONS
Momentum-Based Buy-Entry
RSI >50, CMF >0, and the close price is above EMA50.
The price difference between open and close exceeds a threshold based on UVR.
Oversold Reversal
RSI <30 and CMF >0 with a strong bullish candle (close > open and UVR-based sensitivity filter).
Breakout Confirmation
The price breaks above a previously identified resistance, with conditions for RSI and CMF supporting the breakout.
Reversal from Oversold RSI Extreme
RSI <12 on the previous candle with a strong rebound on the current candle with UVR confirmation filter.
SELL CONDITIONS
Momentum-Based Sell-Entry
RSI <50, CMF <0, and the close price is below EMA50.
The price difference between open and close exceeds the UVR threshold.
Overbought Reversal
RSI >70 with bearish price action (open > close and UVR-based sensitivity filter).
Breakdown Confirmation
The price breaks below a previously identified support, with RSI and CMF supporting the breakdown.
Reversal from Overbought RSI Extreme
RSI >88 on the previous candle with a bearish confirmation on the current candle with UVR confirmation filter.
BUY AND SELL SIGNALS VISUALIZATION
The UVR Crypto Trend Indicator visually represents buy and sell conditions using dynamic plots, making it easier for traders to interpret and act on the signals. Below is an explanation of the visual representation:
Buy Signals and Visualization
Signal Trigger:
A buy signal is generated when one of the defined Buy Conditions is met (e.g., RSI >50, CMF >0, price above EMA50).
Visual Representation:
A blue upward arrow appears at the candle where the buy condition is triggered.
A blue cloud forms above the price candles, representing the strength of the bullish trend. The cloud dynamically adapts to market volatility, using the UVR calculation to mark support zones or consolidation levels.
Purpose of the Blue Cloud:
It acts as a visual guide for price movements and stay horizontal when the trend is not moving up
Sell Signals and Visualization
Signal Trigger:
A sell signal is generated when one of the defined Sell Conditions is met (e.g., RSI <50, CMF <0, price below EMA50).
Visual Representation:
A red downward arrow appears at the candle where the sell condition is triggered.
A red cloud forms below the price candles, representing the strength of the bearish trend. Like the blue cloud, it uses the UVR calculation to dynamically mark resistance zones or potential retracement levels.
Purpose of the Red Cloud:
It acts as a visual guide for price movements and stay horizontal when the trend is not moving down.
CONCLUSION
The UVR Crypto Trend indicator provides a powerful tool for trend reversal detection by combining volatility analysis, momentum confirmation, and trend-following techniques. Its unique use of the Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) as a core element, supported by proven indicators like RSI, CMF, and EMA, ensures reliable and actionable signals tailored for the crypto market's dynamic nature. By leveraging UVR’s high and low price range analysis, it achieves a level of precision that traditional indicators lack, making it a high-performing system for cryptocurrency traders.
Turtle Trade Channels Indicator with EMATurtle Trade Channels Indicator with EMA (TuTCI + EMA)
This custom indicator combines the classic Turtle Trading Channel strategy with an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter to provide clear entry and exit signals, as well as trend direction guidance.
Features:
Turtle Channels: The indicator calculates the upper and lower Turtle Trading Channels based on the highest and lowest values over a user-defined period ( Entry Length for the channel).
Entry/Exit Signals: Alerts you to potential buy and sell opportunities with visual signals on the chart.
Long Entry: When the price crosses above the upper channel.
Short Entry: When the price crosses below the lower channel.
Long Exit: When the price breaks below the exit line.
Short Exit: When the price breaks above the exit line.
EMA Filter: A 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is included to identify the overall trend. The background color turns green when the price is above the EMA (bullish trend) and red when the price is below the EMA (bearish trend).
Highlighter: Optional background highlighting for the most relevant signals, such as when the price crosses the upper or lower Turtle Channel. This feature helps to easily identify key market movements.
Visual Customization: Customize the EMA length, Entry/Exit lengths, and toggle signals and highlighting to suit your preferences.
How It Works:
The Turtle Trade Channels are designed to capture breakouts by identifying key price levels (highest high and lowest low) over a specified period. By combining this strategy with an EMA, the indicator ensures trades are aligned with the broader trend, increasing the probability of successful trades.
Uptrend: When the price is above the EMA, the indicator considers the trend to be bullish, and it highlights long entry signals.
Downtrend: When the price is below the EMA, the trend is considered bearish, and short entries are emphasized.
Customization:
Entry Length: Adjusts the period for calculating the Turtle Channel's entry levels.
Exit Length: Defines the period for calculating the exit levels.
EMA Length: The period for the Exponential Moving Average (default is set to 50).
Show Entry/Exit Signals: Toggle the visibility of entry/exit signals on the chart.
Highlighter On/Off: Toggle background highlighting for key signals.
This indicator is suitable for traders who follow trend-following strategies, particularly those influenced by the Turtle Trading methodology, and wish to use an EMA filter for better trend confirmation.
Use Cases:
Trend-following traders looking for clear entry/exit signals.
Breakout traders using the Turtle Trading concept to identify price breakouts.
Swing traders who want to incorporate trend analysis with price levels.
Trend AnalyzerThe Trend Analyzer is designed to help traders identify and analyze market trends. Here's a simple explanation of its logic:
Main Features
Customizable Moving Average: The indicator plots a moving average on the chart. Users can choose from various types (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA, SMMA, TMA) and set the period. This flexibility allows traders to adapt the indicator to different trading styles and timeframes.
Trend Detection: It determines whether the current price is above or below the moving average, providing a clear visual representation of the current trend direction.
Sequence Counter: The indicator counts consecutive candles above or below the moving average. This feature helps traders identify trend strength and persistence, which can be crucial for timing entries and exits.
Statistical Analysis: It calculates probabilities for the next candle's direction based on historical data. This unique feature gives traders a statistical edge in predicting short-term price movements.
Visual Candle Counter: An optional feature that displays the number of consecutive candles above or below the moving average directly on the chart, enhancing visual analysis.
How It Works
The indicator continuously tracks the position of price relative to the chosen moving average.
It maintains a count of how many candles in a row have been above or below the moving average.
For each sequence length, it records historical data on how often the trend continued or reversed in the past.
This historical data is used to calculate probabilities for the next candle's direction, providing a statistical insight into potential price movements.
The indicator displays this information directly on the chart, allowing for quick and easy interpretation.
Practical Applications
Trend Confirmation: Use the indicator to confirm the strength and direction of current trends.
Entry and Exit Signals: The sequence counter and probability calculations can help in timing trades more effectively.
Risk Management: Understanding the statistical likelihood of trend continuation can aid in setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Market Analysis: The indicator provides valuable insights into market behavior and can be used for both short-term and long-term analysis.
While the Trend Analyzer provides valuable insights based on historical data and statistical analysis, it's important to remember that past performance does not guarantee future results. The financial markets are complex and influenced by numerous factors. This indicator should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy and not as a sole decision-making tool. Always practice proper risk management and consider seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions.
UVR ChannelsUVR CHANNELS: A VOLATILITY-BASED TREND ANALYSIS TOOL
PURPOSE
UVR Channels are designed to dynamically measure market volatility and identify key price levels for potential trend reversals. The channels are calculated using a unique volatility formula(UVR) combined with an EMA as the central reference point. This approach provides traders with a tool for evaluating trends, reversals, and market conditions such as breakouts or consolidations.
CALCULATION MECHANISM
1. Ultimate Volatility Rate (UVR) Calculation:
The UVR is a custom measure of volatility that highlights significant price movements by comparing the extremes of current and previous candles.
Volatility Components:
Two values are calculated to represent potential price fluctuations:
The absolute difference between the current candle's high and the previous candle's low:
Volatility Component 1=∣high−low ∣
The absolute difference between the previous candle's high and the current candle's low:
Volatility Component 2=∣high −low∣
Volatility Ratio:
The larger of the two components is selected as the Volatility Ratio, ensuring the UVR captures the most significant movement:
Volatility Ratio=max(Volatility Component 1,Volatility Component 2)
Smoothing with SMMA:
To stabilize the volatility calculation, the Volatility Ratio is smoothed using a Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) over a user-defined period (e.g., 14 candles):
UVR= (UVR(Previous) × (Period−1))+Volatility Ratio)/Period
2. Band Construction:
The UVR is integrated into the band calculations by using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the central line:
Central Line (EMA):
The EMA is calculated based on closing prices over a user-defined period (e.g., 20 candles).
Upper Band:
The upper band represents a dynamic resistance level, calculated as:
Upper Band=EMA+(UVR × Multiplier)
Lower Band:
The lower band serves as a dynamic support level, calculated as:
Lower Band=EMA−(UVR × Multiplier)
3. Role of the Multiplier:
The Multiplier adjusts the width of the bands based on trader preferences:
Higher Multiplier: Wider bands to capture larger price swings.
Lower Multiplier: Narrower bands for tighter market analysis.
FEATURES AND USAGE
Dynamic Volatility Analysis:
The UVR Channels expand and contract based on real-time market volatility, offering a dynamic framework for identifying potential price trends.
Expanding Bands: High market volatility.
Contracting Bands: Low volatility or consolidation.
Trend Identification:
Price consistently near the upper band indicates a strong bullish trend.
Price near the lower band signals a bearish trend.
Trend Reversal Signals:
Price reaching the upper band may signal overbought conditions, while price touching the lower band may signal oversold conditions.
Breakout Potential:
Narrow bands often precede significant price breakouts, making UVR Channels a useful tool for spotting early breakout conditions.
DIFFERENCES FROM BOLLINGER BANDS
Unlike Bollinger Bands, which rely on standard deviation to measure volatility, the UVR Channels use a custom volatility formula based on price extremes (highs and lows). This approach adapts to market behaviour in a unique way, providing traders with an alternative and accurate view of volatility and trends.
INPUT PARAMETERS
Volatility Period:
Determines the number of periods used to smooth the volatility ratio. A higher value results in smoother bands but may lag behind sudden market changes.
EMA Period:
Controls the calculation of the central reference line.
Multiplier:
Adjusts the width of the bands. Increasing the multiplier widens the bands, capturing larger price movements, while decreasing it narrows the bands for tighter analysis.
VISUALIZATION
Purple Line: The EMA (central line).
Red Line: Upper band (dynamic resistance).
Green Line: Lower band (dynamic support).
Shaded Area: Fills the space between the upper and lower bands, visually highlighting the channel.
Price Above 50 and 200 EMA with Smiley faces and 200 ema slope
Overview
This advanced indicator provides a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of price positioning relative to 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), offering traders a quick and intuitive view of market trends across different timeframes.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Simultaneously evaluates price behavior across 5m, 15m, and other selected timeframes
EMA Trend Visualization: Instantly shows whether price is above or below 50 and 200 EMAs
Slope Direction Indicator: Tracks the directional momentum of the 200 EMA
Customizable Distance Metrics: Option to display distances as absolute values or percentages
Emoji-Based Indicators: Quick visual representation of price positioning
Functionality
The indicator uses color-coded and emoji-based signals to represent:
😊 (Blue): Price is above the EMA
☹️ (Red): Price is below the EMA
⬆️ (Blue): EMA slope is positive
⬇️ (Red): EMA slope is negative
Customization Options
Adjustable EMA periods
Togglable distance display
Distance representation (percentage or absolute value)
Best Used For
Trend identification
Multi-timeframe analysis
Quick market sentiment assessment
Supplementing other technical analysis tools
Recommended Timeframes
Intraday trading
Swing trading
Trend following strategies
Risk Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool for analysis and should not be used in isolation for trading decisions. Always combine with other technical and fundamental analysis, and proper risk management.
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation