[ AlgoChart ] - Pearson Index CorrelationCorrelation Indicator (Pearson Index)
The correlation indicator measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two financial assets using the Pearson Index.
Correlation values range from +100 to -100, where:
+100 indicates perfect positive correlation, meaning the two assets tend to move in the same direction.
-100 indicates perfect negative correlation, where the two assets move in opposite directions.
The neutral zone ranges from +25% to -25%, suggesting that the asset movements are independent, with no clear correlation between them.
Interpreting Correlation Levels:
Correlation above +75%: The two assets tend to move similarly and in the same direction. This may indicate a risk of overexposure if both assets are traded in the same direction, as their movements will be very similar, increasing the likelihood of double losses or gains.
Correlation below -75%: The two assets tend to move similarly but in opposite directions. This correlation level can be useful for strategies that benefit from opposing movements between assets, such as trading pairs with inverse dynamics.
Practical Use of the Indicator:
Risk management: Use the indicator to monitor asset correlations before opening positions. High correlation may indicate you are duplicating exposure, as two highly correlated assets tend to move similarly. This helps avoid excessive risk and improves portfolio diversification.
Statistical Arbitrage: During moments of temporary decorrelation between two assets, the indicator can be used for statistical arbitrage strategies. In such cases, you can take advantage of the divergence by opening positions and closing them when the correlation returns to higher or positive levels, thus potentially profiting from the reconvergence of movements.
While the correlation indicator provides valuable insights into asset relationships, it is most effective when used in conjunction with other concepts and tools. On its own, it may offer limited relevance in trading decisions.
Forecasting
Gold IBH/IBL with IBM, Overnight Levels, OVM, and ONVPOCThe Initial Balance (IB) indicator for gold trading is a valuable tool for identifying key price levels and potential trade setups. Here's an overview of how it works:
Initial Balance Calculation
The Initial Balance for gold is calculated from 8:20 AM to 9:20 AM EST, coinciding with the COMEX open. This one-hour period establishes crucial reference points for the trading day.
Key Levels
The indicator displays several important price levels:
IB High: The highest price reached during the Initial Balance period
IB Low: The lowest price reached during the Initial Balance period
IB Midpoint: The average of the IB High and IB Low
These levels often serve as significant support and resistance areas, with many traders placing stop-losses around them.
Overnight Levels
In addition to the IB levels, the indicator shows overnight price action:
ONH: Overnight High
ONL: Overnight Low
ONM: Overnight Midpoint
Overnight VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price from the overnight session
These overnight levels have a high probability of being tested during the COMEX trading session, making them valuable reference points for traders.
Trading Applications
Traders can use the IB and overnight levels for various purposes:
Setting profit targets
Identifying potential trade entry points
Managing risk by placing stop-losses at key levels
Gauging overall market sentiment and volatility
The levels established during both the Initial Balance and overnight sessions are likely to be touched during the COMEX trading session. This insight allows traders to make more informed decisions and enhances their trading strategies.
If you have more questions about the trading strategy, please DM me, and I can explain further. I also have probabilities of all these levels being broken during the COMEX trading hours, which gives us confidence to hold our trades to targets.
Understanding and utilizing these levels can provide traders with a competitive edge in gold trading, helping them make more informed decisions based on early market dynamics and overnight price action.
Consecutive Candle Detector Consecutive Candle Detector , can be used to highlight impulsive moves . 3 or more candles with the same colour in the same direction .
Set an alert notification to let you know price has moved in an impulsive way and is forming a pattern to sell or buy
[Becak] - Swing Point Retracement & Prediction" - Swing Point Retracement & Prediction," is designed to identify swing points in price action, calculate retracement levels, and predict potential future price levels. It's a technical analysis tool that can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as possible reversal points.
HOW IT WORK
Swing Point Detection:
The indicator uses the ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions to identify swing highs and lows within a specified lookback period.
Retracement Levels:
When a new swing point is detected, the indicator calculates a retracement level based on the user-defined retracement percentage. It draws a dashed blue line at the retracement level, along with a yellow circle and a label showing the price.
Swing Point Labeling:
Swing highs are marked with a green "H" label and the price, and Swing lows are marked with a red "L" label and the price.
Price Prediction:
Based on the most recent swing point, the indicator attempts to predict the next potential high or low. It draws a purple dashed line extending into the future, indicating the predicted price level.
HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR:
adjust the input parameters:
"Swing Point Lookback": Determines how far back the indicator looks to identify swing points. A larger value will result in fewer, more significant swing points.
"Retracement %": Sets the percentage for calculating retracement levels. 50% is a common Fibonacci retracement level, but you can adjust this based on your trading strategy.
"Prediction Length": Determines how far into the future the prediction line extends.
Interpret the results:
Use the swing point labels (H and L) to quickly identify recent highs and lows. The blue dashed lines and yellow circles indicate potential support or resistance levels based on the retracement percentage. The purple dashed line shows a potential future price target. This can be used to set profit targets or identify potential reversal zones.
Combine with other analysis:
This indicator works best when combined with other forms of analysis, such as trend lines, moving averages, or candlestick patterns.
Use the retracement levels and predictions as potential entry or exit points, but always confirm with other indicators or price action signals.
2024 - Seasonality - Open to CloseScript Description:
This Pine Script is designed to visualise **seasonality** in the financial markets by calculating the **open-to-close percentage change** for each month of a selected asset. It creates a **heatmap** table to display the monthly performance over multiple years. The script provides detailed statistical summaries, including:
- **Average monthly percentage changes**
- **Standard deviation** of the changes
- **Percentage of months with positive returns**
The script also allows users to adjust colour intensities for positive and negative values, specify which year to start from, and skip specific months. Key metrics such as averages, standard deviations, and percentages of positive months can be toggled on or off based on user preferences. The result is a clear, visual representation of how an asset typically performs month by month, aiding in seasonality analysis.
US Recessions based on James Hamilton's JHDUSRGDPBRThis simple script uses James Hamilton's JHDUSRGDPBR indicator to colour areas representing recession periods in the US. Best used in conjunction with other macroeconomics indicators, like –as in the example– unemployment rates
Forex - Lot size calculatorThis indicator is specifically designed for Forex traders who need a convenient lot size calculator directly on their charts. It allows users to input their account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance in pips to easily determine the appropriate lot size for a given trade, ensuring effective risk management.
Key Features:
Lot Size Calculation: Automatically calculates the lot size based on user-defined inputs: account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance.
Error Handling: The indicator only works with Forex pairs. If applied to non-Forex assets, a clear and prominent red error message will appear in the bottom-right corner of the chart, reminding the user that this script is intended exclusively for Forex trading.
Simple Visualization: The calculated lot size is displayed in an easy-to-read table directly on the chart.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to a Forex chart.
Enter your account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss pips in the input fields.
The indicator will display the calculated lot size for the chosen Forex pair.
Important Notes:
This script is intended only for Forex assets. If used on other instruments (e.g., stocks, crypto, indices), an error message will be shown.
Always validate lot sizes with your broker, as there can be slight variations depending on broker specifications and leverage settings.
Magic Touch Line DetectorSummary of the Magic Touch Line Detector Script:
Purpose:
The Magic Touch Line Detector script is designed to identify significant price points in the market by analyzing candlestick wicks and bodies. It plots lines based on the detected wicks, classifying them as either ascending or descending. The script tracks how frequently price touches these lines and highlights the "most touched" lines for both ascending and descending categories. This script is particularly useful for traders looking to identify key price levels and trends over time.
How It Works:
Wick and Body Detection:
The script starts by analyzing the highs and lows of candlestick wicks relative to their bodies over a user-defined lookback period. A significant wick is identified based on a specified wick-to-body ratio and a deviation threshold measured against the Average True Range (ATR).
Line Creation:
Once a significant upper or lower wick is detected, the script calculates unconventional highs and lows (i.e., points that differ from the absolute highs and lows of the lookback period). Lines are then drawn from these unconventional price points using the slope between the detected wick and the current bar, ensuring a smooth extension.
Line Refinement and Touch Tracking:
As new bars are added, the script tracks how often the price touches the previously drawn lines. The number of touches each line receives is counted and updated in real-time, and the script ensures that only the most touched line is highlighted.
Highlighting and Labeling:
For each category (ascending and descending), the most touched line is identified and given special highlighting with thicker lines and different colors. Labels are also generated to show the number of touches that the most touched line has received. Old labels are cleared to avoid clutter.
Explanation of the Settings:
Lookback Period for Highs and Lows:
This sets the number of bars the script will use to detect the highest highs and lowest lows. A larger lookback period gives the script a broader context to work with, potentially identifying more significant price points.
Minimum Wick-to-Body Ratio:
This ratio determines what qualifies as a "significant" wick. It compares the length of the wick to the body of the candle. A higher ratio means that only wicks that are much longer than the candle body will be considered significant.
Price Deviation Threshold (in ATR multiples):
This setting controls how much price deviation from the ATR is required for a wick to be deemed significant. It acts as a filter to reduce noise by ignoring smaller wicks that are within normal price movements.
Line Touch Tolerance Factor (ATR multiple):
When checking if a price touches a line, the script uses this setting to define how close the price must be to the line to count as a "touch." This tolerance is a multiplier of the ATR, allowing for some flexibility in what is considered a touch.
Price Difference Threshold:
This defines the minimum price difference required to plot a line. If the price difference between the high and low of a detected wick is too small, the script can avoid plotting a line for insignificant moves.
Slope Adjustment Multiplier:
This multiplier adjusts the slope of the lines that are drawn from detected price points. It affects the length and angle of the lines, allowing users to control how far and at what angle the lines should extend across the chart.
Customization Options:
Show Ascending/Descending Lines:
These toggles allow users to decide whether ascending (bullish) or descending (bearish) lines should be shown on the chart.
Line Color, Style, and Width (for Ascending and Descending Lines):
These settings give users control over how the lines appear visually. You can customize the color, style (solid, dashed, dotted), and width of both ascending and descending lines.
Most Touched Line Color:
Users can define a different color for the "most touched" line, which is automatically identified by the script. This setting helps highlight the line that has been interacted with the most by the price.
How to Use the Script:
Setup the Lookback Period and Deviation Filters:
Start by setting the lookback period and the filters for wick-to-body ratio and deviation threshold. These settings help control the script's sensitivity to market movements.
Refine the Tolerance and Slope:
Adjust the line touch tolerance and slope adjustment multiplier to control how closely the script tracks price touches and how the lines are extended on the chart.
Customize Visuals:
Once the lines are being drawn, customize the colors, styles, and widths to ensure the lines are easy to read on your chart. You can also decide if you want to display both ascending and descending lines or focus on just one.
By setting up the script based on these inputs and parameters, you can get a real-time view of significant price levels and how often the price interacts with them, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Bitcoin Cycle Master [InvestorUnknown]The "Bitcoin Cycle Master" indicator is designed for in-depth, long-term analysis of Bitcoin's price cycles, using several key metrics to track market behavior and forecast potential price tops and bottoms. The indicator integrates multiple moving averages and on-chain metrics, offering a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s historical and projected performance. Each of its components plays a crucial role in identifying critical cycle points:
Top Cap: This is a multiple of the Average Cap, which is calculated as the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s price (price has a longer history than Market Cap) divided by its age in days. Top Cap serves as an upper boundary for speculative price peaks, multiplied by a factor of 35.
Time_dif() =>
date = ta.valuewhen(bar_index == 0, time, 0)
sec_r = math.floor(date / 1000)
min_r = math.floor(sec_r / 60)
h_r = math.floor(min_r / 60)
d_r = math.floor(h_r / 24)
// Launch of BTC
start = timestamp(2009, 1, 3, 00, 00)
sec_rb = math.floor(start / 1000)
min_rb = math.floor(sec_rb / 60)
h_rb = math.floor(min_rb / 60)
d_rb = math.floor(h_rb / 24)
difference = d_r - d_rb
AverageCap() =>
ta.cum(btc_price) / (Time_dif() + btc_age)
TopCap() =>
// To calculate Top Cap, it is first necessary to calculate Average Cap, which is the cumulative sum of Market Cap divided by the age of the market in days.
// This creates a constant time-based moving average of market cap.
// Once Average cap is calculated, those values are multiplied by 35. The result is Top Cap.
// For AverageCap the BTC price was used instead of the MC because it has more history
// (the result should have minimal if any deviation since MC would have to be divided by Supply)
AverageCap() * 35
Delta Top: Defined as the difference between the Realized Cap and the Average Cap, this metric is further multiplied by a factor of 7. Delta Top provides a historically reliable signal for Bitcoin market cycle tops.
DeltaTop() =>
// Delta Cap = Realized Cap - Average Cap
// Average Cap is explained in the Top Cap section above.
// Once Delta Cap is calculated, its values over time are then multiplied by 7. The result is Delta Top.
(RealizedPrice() - AverageCap()) * 7
Terminal Price: Derived from Coin Days Destroyed, Terminal Price normalizes Bitcoin’s historical price behavior by its finite supply (21 million bitcoins), offering an adjusted price forecast as all bitcoins approach being mined. The original formula for Terminal Price didn’t produce expected results, hence the calculation was adjusted slightly.
CVDD() =>
// CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed.
// Coin Days Destroyed is a term used for bitcoin to identify a value of sorts to UTXO’s (unspent transaction outputs). They can be thought of as coins moving between wallets.
(MCR - TV) / 21000000
TerminalPrice() =>
// Theory:
// Before Terminal price is calculated, it is first necessary to calculate Transferred Price.
// Transferred price takes the sum of > Coin Days Destroyed and divides it by the existing supply of bitcoin and the time it has been in circulation.
// The value of Transferred Price is then multiplied by 21. Remember that there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin mined.
// This creates a 'terminal' value as the supply is all mined, a kind of reverse supply adjustment.
// Instead of heavily weighting later behavior, it normalizes historical behavior to today. By normalizing by 21, a terminal value is created
// Unfortunately the theoretical calculation didn't produce results it should, in pinescript.
// Therefore the calculation was slightly adjusted/improvised
TransferredPrice = CVDD() / (Supply * math.log(btc_age))
tp = TransferredPrice * 210000000 * 3
Realized Price: Calculated as the Market Cap Realized divided by the current supply of Bitcoin, this metric shows the average value of Bitcoin based on the price at which coins last moved, giving a market consensus price for long-term holders.
CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed): This on-chain metric analyzes Bitcoin’s UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) and the velocity of coins moving between wallets. It highlights key market dynamics during prolonged accumulation or distribution phases.
Balanced Price: The Balanced Price is the difference between the Realized Price and the Terminal Price, adjusted by Bitcoin's supply constraints. This metric provides a useful signal for identifying oversold market conditions during bear markets.
BalancedPrice() =>
// It is calculated by subtracting Transferred Price from Realized Price
RealizedPrice() - (TerminalPrice() / (21 * 3))
Each component can be toggled individually, allowing users to focus on specific aspects of Bitcoin’s price cycle and derive meaningful insights from its long-term behavior. The combination of these models provides a well-rounded view of both speculative peaks and long-term value trends.
Important consideration:
Top Cap did historically provide reliable signals for cycle peaks, however it may not be a relevant indication of peaks in the future.
Indicator Test with Conditions TableOverview: The "Indicator Test with Conditions Table" is a customizable trading strategy developed using Pine Script™ for the TradingView platform. It allows users to define complex entry conditions for both long and short positions based on various technical indicators and price levels.
Key Features:
Customizable Input Conditions:
Users can configure up to three input conditions for both long and short entries, each with its own logical operator (AND/OR) for combining conditions.
Input conditions can be based on:
Price Sources: Users can select any price data (e.g., close, open, high, low) for each condition.
Comparison Operators: Users can choose from a variety of operators, including:
Greater than (>)
Greater than or equal to (>=)
Less than (<)
Less than or equal to (<=)
Equal to (=)
Not equal to (!=)
Crossover (crossover)
Crossunder (crossunder)
Logical Operators:
The strategy provides options for combining conditions using logical operators (AND/OR) for greater flexibility in defining entry criteria.
Dynamic Condition Evaluation:
The strategy evaluates the defined conditions dynamically, checking whether they are enabled before proceeding with the comparison.
Users can toggle conditions on and off using boolean inputs, allowing for quick adjustments without modifying the code.
Visual Feedback:
A table is displayed on the chart, providing real-time status updates on the conditions and whether they are enabled. This enhances user experience by allowing easy monitoring of the strategy's logic.
Order Execution:
The strategy enters long or short positions based on the combined conditions' evaluations, automatically executing trades when the criteria are met.
How to Use:
Set Up Input Conditions:
Navigate to the strategy’s input settings to configure your desired price sources, operators, and logical combinations for long and short conditions.
Monitor Conditions:
Observe the condition table displayed at the bottom right of the chart to see which conditions are enabled and their current evaluations.
Adjust Strategy Parameters:
Modify the conditions, logical operators, and input sources as needed to optimize the strategy for different market scenarios or trading styles.
Execution:
Once the conditions are met, the strategy will automatically enter trades based on the defined logic.
Conclusion: The "Indicator Test with Conditions Table" strategy is a robust tool for traders looking to implement customized trading logic based on various market conditions. Its flexibility and real-time monitoring capabilities make it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
COT INDEX v2The **Commitment of Traders (COT)** report is a valuable tool for analyzing market sentiment, providing insight into the positions of futures traders at the close of the Tuesday trading session. Prepared by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the report is published every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time, and the data is freely available on the CFTC website.
Traders are categorized into three groups: **Commercial Traders**, **Non-Commercial Traders** (large speculators), and **Nonreportable** (small speculators). This information can be applied to charts to visualize the direction of the positions held by major market participants and to receive key COT signals.
The **COT index** ranges from 0% to 100%, reflecting market sentiment over the past 26 weeks. Extreme values, below 25% or above 75%, represent bearish or bullish sentiment, respectively. However, it is important to note that the COT index is not a timing tool but rather an indicator of the overall sentiment of major market players.
For a more tailored analysis, you can adjust the period for index calculation, customize chart styles, and highlight extreme areas.
Custom Text BoxThis is an indicator to have text anchored in any symbol or chart, keep your ules at sight so is easy for you to follow, have your Bias too.
Flat Market Range Pro [CHE]Flat Market Range Pro Indicator
Introduction
Hey there! 👋
Welcome to our overview of the Flat Market Range Pro indicator. Whether you're new to trading or a seasoned pro, this tool is designed to help you spot those flat market conditions where prices are chilling within a certain range. By highlighting these consolidation zones and potential breakout points, it offers some pretty neat insights to boost your trading strategies. Let’s dive in and explore how this indicator can make your trading journey smoother and more informed!
How It Works
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is all about understanding the ebb and flow of the market. Here's a simple breakdown:
Range Detection:
Range Period (range_period): This sets the number of bars (think of them as time slices) the indicator looks back to find the highest highs and lowest lows. It’s like setting the scope for your search.
Minimum Candles in Range (min_candles_in_range): Ensures that there are enough candles (price bars) within the range to make the detection meaningful. No point in highlighting a range if it’s too short, right?
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA):
Think of AMA as the indicator’s way of staying flexible. It smooths out the price data to better spot trends within those flat ranges. Don’t worry, it’s working behind the scenes and won’t clutter your chart.
Breakout Detection:
When the price decides to break free from its cozy range, the indicator flags it. It waits for confirmation to make sure it’s not just a fleeting move, adding a layer of reliability to your signals.
Visualization:
Flat Market Zones: These are shaded areas that highlight where the price has been consolidating.
Support and Resistance Lines: Automatically drawn lines that mark key price levels, helping you see where the price might bounce or break through.
Trade Signals: Arrows popping up to show potential buy or sell opportunities when breakouts occur.
Breaking It Down
1. Detecting the Range
The indicator scans through the past range_period bars to find the highest and lowest prices. This creates a dynamic range that adjusts as new data comes in. It’s like having a smart assistant keeping an eye on where the action is happening.
2. The Role of AMA
Even though you won’t see AMA on your chart, it plays a crucial role. It helps the indicator adapt to changing market conditions by smoothing out the data, making sure the breakout signals are spot-on and not just random noise.
3. Spotting Breakouts
A breakout happens when the price moves beyond the established range. The indicator marks these moments with clear arrows, so you know when it might be a good time to jump in or out of a trade. Plus, it waits for confirmation to ensure these signals are solid.
4. Visualizing Flat Markets
Shaded boxes highlight the areas where the price has been consolidating, making it easy to see when the market is flat. Support and resistance lines are drawn automatically, and you can even customize how they look to match your personal style.
Customize It Your Way
One of the best things about the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is how customizable it is. Here’s what you can tweak:
Range Settings:
Adjust the range_period to fit different timeframes.
Set the min_candles_in_range to ensure the ranges you see are meaningful.
Moving Average Settings:
Change the ma_length and ma_lookback to fine-tune how the AMA responds to price movements.
Visual Tweaks:
Pick your favorite colors and transparency levels for the shaded zones.
Choose whether to display support and resistance lines and extend them indefinitely if you like.
Toggle trade arrows and labels on or off based on what you find most helpful.
Organizing these settings into logical groups makes it super easy to customize the indicator just the way you like it.
Real-World Examples
1. Spotting Consolidation: Imagine you’re watching a stock that’s been moving sideways for a while. The indicator highlights this consolidation with shaded boxes and support/resistance lines, giving you a clear picture of where the price is hanging out.
2. Trading Breakouts: When the price finally decides to break free from the range, the indicator pops up buy or sell arrows. This helps you catch the move early, whether you’re looking to enter a new trade or exit an existing one.
3. Making Informed Decisions: With clear visual cues and reliable signals, you can make smarter trading decisions without getting overwhelmed by too much information.
Behind the Scenes: Technical Insights
For those curious about the nuts and bolts, here’s a peek into how the Flat Market Range Pro indicator is built:
Efficient Range Calculation:
Uses loops to scan through the specified range_period, ensuring accurate detection of high and low points.
Adaptive Logic with AMA:
Incorporates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to create a threshold coefficient, making the indicator responsive to market changes.
Clear Visualization:
Utilizes box.new and label.new for intuitive visual representations of flat markets.
Employs plotshape and plot to display breakout signals clearly on your chart.
Optimized Performance:
Avoids plotting unnecessary elements like AMA, keeping your chart clean and focused on what matters.
Why You’ll Love It
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator brings a lot to the table:
Accurate Range Detection:
Pinpoints consolidation zones by analyzing historical highs and lows.
Flexible and Adaptive:
AMA ensures the indicator stays responsive to different market conditions.
User-Friendly Visuals:
Shaded zones, support/resistance lines, and clear trade signals make your chart easy to understand at a glance.
Highly Customizable:
Tailor the settings to match your trading style and preferences.
Reliable Signals:
Confirmation mechanisms help reduce false signals, giving you more confidence in your trades.
Wrapping It Up
The Flat Market Range Pro indicator is a fantastic tool for anyone looking to navigate flat or consolidating markets with ease. By combining precise range detection, adaptive logic, and clear visual cues, it helps you identify consolidation phases and seize breakout opportunities effectively. Its customizable features ensure that it fits seamlessly into your trading strategy, whether you’re just starting out or have years of experience under your belt.
For more details, a step-by-step guide on using the indicator, and access to the full Pine Script code, check out the accompanying documentation or reach out for support. Happy trading! 🌟
Questions and Further Information
Got questions or need a hand with the Flat Market Range Pro indicator? Feel free to reach out! Whether you’re curious about how it works or need tips on customizing it for your trading style, we’re here to help. Also, give the indicator a try on different charts to see how it performs in various market conditions. Let’s make your trading experience better together!
Best regards
Chervolino
This script was inspired by: Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average
and
Range Detection by HasanRifat
ADX Trend Strength Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Average Directional Index (ADX), a powerful tool used to measure the strength of market trends. It works alongside the Directional Movement Index (DMI), which breaks down the directional market pressure into bullish (+DI) and bearish (-DI) components. The purpose of the ADX is to indicate when the market is in a strong trend, without specifying the direction. This indicator can be especially useful for identifying market trends early and validating trading strategies based on trend-following systems.
The ADX component in this script is based on two key parameters:
ADX Smoothing Length (adxlen), which determines the degree of smoothing for the trend strength.
DI Length (dilen), which defines the look-back period for calculating the directional index values.
Additionally, a horizontal line is plotted at the 30 level, providing a widely used threshold that signifies when a trend is considered strong (above 30).
█ CONCEPTS
Directional Movement (DM): The core idea behind this indicator is the calculation of price movement in terms of bullish and bearish forces. By evaluating the change in highs and lows, the script distinguishes between bullish movement (+DM) and bearish movement (-DM). These values are normalized by dividing them by the True Range (TR), creating the +DI and -DI values.
True Range (TR): The True Range is calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) formula, and it serves to smooth out volatility, ensuring that short-term fluctuations don't distort the long-term trend signal.
ADX Calculation: The ADX is derived from the absolute difference between the +DI and -DI. By smoothing this difference and normalizing it, the ADX is able to measure the overall strength of the trend without regard to whether the market is moving up or down. A rising ADX indicates increasing trend strength, while a falling ADX signals weakening trends.
█ METHODOLOGY
Directional Movement Calculation: The script first determines the upward and downward price movement by comparing changes in the high and low prices. If the upward movement is greater than the downward movement, it registers a bullish signal and vice versa for bearish movement.
True Range Adjustment: The script then applies a smoothing function to normalize these movements by dividing them by the True Range (ATR). This ensures that the trend signal is based on relative, rather than absolute, price movements.
ADX Signal Generation: The final step is to calculate the ADX by applying the Relative Moving Average (RMA) to the difference between +DI and -DI. This produces the ADX value, which is plotted in red, making it easy to visualize shifts in market momentum.
Threshold Line: A blue horizontal line is plotted at 30, which serves as a key reference point. When the ADX is above this line, it indicates a strong trend, whether bullish or bearish.
█ HOW TO USE
Trend Strength: Traders typically use the 30 level as a critical threshold. When the ADX is above 30, it signifies a strong trend, making it a favorable environment for trend-following strategies. Conversely, ADX values below 30 suggest a weak or non-trending market.
+DI and -DI Relationship: The indicator also provides insight into whether the trend is bullish or bearish. When +DI is greater than -DI, the market is considered bullish. When -DI is greater than +DI, the market is considered bearish. While this script focuses on the ADX value itself, the underlying +DI and -DI help interpret the trend direction.
Market Conditions: This indicator is effective in trending markets, but not ideal for choppy or sideways conditions. Traders can use it to determine the best entry and exit points when trends are strong, or to avoid trading in periods of low volatility.
Combining with Other Indicators: The ADX is commonly used in conjunction with oscillators like RSI or moving averages, to confirm the trend strength and avoid false signals.
█ METHOD VARIANTS
This script applies the standard approach for calculating the ADX, but could be adapted with the following variants:
Different Timeframes: The script could be modified to calculate ADX values across higher or lower timeframes, depending on the trader's strategy.
Custom Thresholds: Instead of using the default 30 threshold, traders could adjust the horizontal line to suit their own risk tolerance or market conditions.
Inamdar Wave - Winning Wave
The **"Inamdar Wave"**, also known as the **"Winning Wave"**, is a cutting-edge market indicator designed to help traders ride the waves of momentum and capitalize on high-probability opportunities. With its unique ability to adapt to market shifts, the Inamdar Wave ensures you're always in sync with the market's most profitable moves, making it an indispensable tool for traders looking for consistent success.
### Key Features of the "Inamdar Wave":
1. **Dynamic Market Movement Detection**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** tracks the market’s momentum and identifies clear waves of movement, allowing traders to catch both upswings and downswings with ease.
- This indicator dynamically adjusts based on price action and volatility, ensuring you're always aligned with the market’s natural flow.
- Whether the market is trending or ranging, the **Inamdar Wave** keeps you on the right path, helping you surf the market's waves effortlessly.
2. **Highly Profitable Buy/Sell Signals**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** generates precise buy and sell signals that guide you to the most profitable entry and exit points.
- Its built-in filters ensure you avoid market noise, focusing only on high-probability trades that maximize your potential for profit.
- You’ll confidently enter trades at the start of each new wave, ensuring you ride the momentum for maximum gains.
3. **Visual Wave Highlighting**:
- Color-coded zones help you easily spot bullish (upward) and bearish (downward) waves.
- Green highlights signal upward waves, while red zones indicate downward waves, making it visually simple to recognize the current market direction.
- This feature allows for quick decision-making and a clear understanding of the market's direction at a glance.
4. **Tailored for Any Market Condition**:
- Whether you’re trading a calm or highly volatile market, the **Inamdar Wave** adapts to the changing conditions, ensuring consistent performance across all environments.
- Its flexibility allows it to work seamlessly with any asset class—stocks, forex, crypto, or commodities—making it an all-in-one solution for traders.
- The **Inamdar Wave**'s real-time adjustments keep it relevant regardless of market conditions or timeframes.
5. **Real-Time Alerts**:
- Get instant alerts when a new wave begins, whether it's a buy, sell, or wave reversal.
- You’ll never miss out on a profitable opportunity with real-time notifications that keep you one step ahead of the market.
- These alerts help you act quickly, maximizing the potential of every market movement.
### Inputs:
- **Wave Period**: Customize the sensitivity of the wave detection with adjustable periods to suit your trading style.
- **Signal Source**: Choose from different price sources to fine-tune how the **Inamdar Wave** reacts to market movements.
- **Signal Strength**: Control the sensitivity of wave detection to focus on only the strongest and most profitable moves.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Easily toggle buy/sell signals on your chart for enhanced clarity.
- **Wave Highlighting**: Turn visual wave highlights on or off, depending on your preference.
### Use Case:
The **Inamdar Wave** is perfect for traders looking to capture the most profitable waves in any market. Whether you're a short-term scalper or a long-term trend follower, this indicator keeps you in sync with the market’s natural rhythm, ensuring that you're always riding the winning wave. With its powerful buy/sell signals and dynamic wave detection, you'll be better positioned to take advantage of market momentum and secure consistent profits.
In conclusion, the **"Inamdar Wave"** is not just another indicator—it’s your key to riding the market’s most profitable waves with precision and confidence. By following the signals and staying in tune with the market’s natural flow, you’ll be able to maximize your gains and minimize your risks, ensuring a successful trading journey.
US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
