Effort-Result Divergence [Interakktive]The Effort-Result Divergence (ERD) measures whether volume effort is producing proportional price result. It quantifies the classic Wyckoff principle: when price moves easily, momentum is real; when price struggles despite heavy volume, absorption is occurring.
Think of ERD as "energy efficiency" for price movement — green means price is gliding, red means price is grinding.
█ WHAT IT DOES
• Measures volume EFFORT relative to average volume
• Measures price RESULT relative to ATR-normalized movement
• Computes ERD = Result minus Effort (each scaled 0-100)
• Flags statistical divergences via Z-score analysis
• Absorption events: high effort, low result (negative ERD)
• Vacuum events: low effort, high result (positive ERD)
█ WHAT IT DOES NOT DO
• NO buy/sell signals
• NO entry/exit recommendations
• NO alerts (v1 is educational only)
• NO performance claims or guarantees
This is a context tool for understanding market participation quality.
█ HOW IT WORKS
The ERD analyzes two dimensions of market activity and compares them.
EFFORT (Volume Intensity)
Compares current volume to a moving average baseline:
Effort Ratio = Volume ÷ SMA(Volume, Length)
Effort Score = clamp(100 × Effort Ratio ÷ Effort Cap)
High effort means above-average volume participation.
Low effort means below-average volume participation.
RESULT (Price Efficiency)
Measures how much price moved relative to expected volatility:
Result Ratio = |Close − Previous Close| ÷ ATR
Result Score = clamp(100 × Result Ratio ÷ Result Cap)
High result means price moved significantly for the volatility regime.
Low result means price barely moved despite market activity.
ERD SCORE
ERD = Result − Effort
• Positive ERD: Result exceeds effort → price moved easily (vacuum/thin liquidity)
• Negative ERD: Effort exceeds result → price struggled (absorption/accumulation)
• Near zero: Balanced effort-to-result relationship
STATISTICAL DIVERGENCE DETECTION
Z-score analysis identifies statistically significant extremes:
Z = (ERD − Mean) ÷ StdDev
• Absorption Event: Z ≤ −threshold (extreme negative ERD)
• Vacuum Event: Z ≥ +threshold (extreme positive ERD)
█ INTERPRETATION
GREEN BARS (Positive ERD)
Price moved with relatively little volume effort. This suggests:
• Thin liquidity / low resistance
• Strong directional interest
• Momentum is "real" — not forced
RED BARS (Negative ERD)
Heavy volume was used but price barely moved. This suggests:
• Absorption / accumulation occurring
• Large players opposing the move
• Inefficiency — someone is working hard for little result
THE KEY INSIGHT
When you see:
• Down moves = high effort (red spikes)
• Up moves = low effort (green bars)
This means: It's easier for price to go up than down.
That is asymmetric strength — classic bullish pressure.
The reverse (red on up moves, green on down moves) signals bearish pressure.
PRACTICAL RULES
Without any other indicators:
• Avoid shorting when ERD is mostly green and red spikes appear only on down candles
• Be cautious buying when ERD turns red on up candles (signals absorption of buying pressure)
• Vacuum events (extreme green) often precede continuation or pause — not violent reversal
• Absorption events (extreme red) often precede reversals or range formation
█ VOLUME DATA NOTE
This indicator uses the volume variable which represents:
• Exchange volume on stocks and futures
• Tick volume on Forex and CFD instruments
Tick volume is a proxy for activity, not actual exchange volume. The indicator remains useful on Forex as relative volume comparisons are still meaningful, but interpretation should account for this limitation.
█ INPUTS
Core Settings
• Volume Average Length: Baseline period for effort calculation (default: 20)
• ATR Length: Volatility normalization period (default: 14)
• Effort Cap: Volume ratio that maps to 100% effort (default: 3.0)
• Result Cap: ATR multiple that maps to 100% result (default: 1.0)
Divergence Detection
• Z-Score Lookback: Statistical analysis window (default: 100)
• Z-Score Threshold: Standard deviations for event flags (default: 2.0)
Visual Settings
• Show ERD Histogram: Toggle main display
• Show Zero Line: Toggle reference line
• Show Divergence Markers: Toggle event circles
• Show Effort/Result Lines: Display component breakdown
█ ORIGINALITY
While Wyckoff's effort-versus-result principle is well-established, existing implementations are typically:
• Purely visual with no quantification
• Pattern-based requiring subjective interpretation
• Not statistically normalized for comparison across instruments
ERD is original because it:
1. Normalizes both effort and result to 0-100 scales for direct comparison
2. Uses ATR for result normalization (adapts to volatility regime)
3. Applies statistical Z-score for objective divergence detection
4. Provides quantified output suitable for systematic analysis
█ DATA WINDOW EXPORTS
When enabled, the following values are exported:
• Effort (0-100)
• Result (0-100)
• ERD Score
• Z-Score
• Absorption Event (1/0)
• Vacuum Event (1/0)
█ SUITABLE MARKETS
Works on: Stocks, Futures, Forex, Crypto
Best on: Instruments with reliable volume data (stocks, futures, crypto)
Timeframes: All timeframes — interpretation adapts accordingly
█ RELATED
• Market Efficiency Ratio — measures price path efficiency
• Wyckoff Volume Spread Analysis — conceptual foundation
█ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Result
VoluTility🌊 VoluTility forecasts trend exhaustion, breakout pressure, and structural inflection by measuring volatility within the effort stream. Built on the concept of ATR applied to volume, it doesn’t read raw volume — it reveals whether that volume is stable, chaotic, or compressing ahead of a move. The goal is to detect structural setups before they resolve. The lower the timeframe, the greater the alpha.
🧠 Core Logic
A zero-centered histogram shows the deviation of smoothed volume from its own volatility baseline. Positive bars indicate expansion; negative bars signal compression. Color reflects rate-of-change in volume volatility. Opacity tracks effort/result strength — showing when moves are real or hollow.
The overlaid ribbon (EMA vs HMA) highlights rhythm shifts. Orange fill signals real expansion; yellow shows decay or absorption. Together, they expose pre-breakout compression and exhaustion tails before price reacts.
🏗️ Structural Read
On the 1H BTC chart shown, price coils into a shallow pullback, compressing within a narrow range marked by shrinking candle bodies and muted wick aggression. A sudden expansion candle breaks the coil cleanly, with no immediate rejection or wick reversion. Price holds above the breakout pivot, establishing a baseline for structural acceptance and shifting bias toward continuation.
🔰 Zone Descriptions
🔴 Volatile blowout
🟠 Clean expansion
🟡 Passive or absorbed effort
🟢 Steady-state rhythm
🔵 Compression coil
🧐 Suggested Use
VoluTility is expressly designed as an overlay for sub-pane indicators, where it acts as a second-order rhythm map — exposing hidden structural pressure within volume or volatility streams. When paired with volume (like ZVOL or OBVX), it highlights when flow is expanding with intent versus fading into noise. When layered over volatility signals (like ATR Turbulence or WIRE), it reveals whether expansion has real effort behind it — or is just structural slack.
It pairs especially well with the Relative Directional Index (RDI), where its histogram and ribbon offer early exhaustion signals before traditional trend or momentum fades appear. On raw momentum tools, it acts as a filter: softening false breaks and confirming pressure-backed continuation.
Run on 15m or lower charts for early entry cues or breakout anticipation. On 1H charts, use it to validate compression resolution or detect fatigue before structure turns. It doesn’t react to price — it forecasts readiness.
ZVOL — Z-Score Volume Heatmapⓩ ZVOL transforms raw volume into a statistically calibrated heatmap using Z-score thresholds. Unlike classic volume indicators that rely on fixed MA comparisons, ZVOL calculates how many standard deviations each volume bar deviates from its mean. This makes the reading adaptive across timeframes and assets, in order to distinguish meaningful crowd behavior from random volatility.
📊 The core display is a five-zone histogram, each encoded by color and statistical depth. Optional background shading mirrors these zones across the entire pane, revealing subtle compression or structural rhythm shifts across time. By grounding the volume reading in volatility-adjusted context, ZVOL inhibits impulsive trading tactics by compelling the structure, not the sentiment, to dictate the signal.
🥵 Heatmap Coloration:
🌚 Suppressed volume — congestion, coiling phases
🩱 Stable flow — early trend or resting volume
🏀 High activity — emerging pressure
💔 Extreme — possible climax or institutional print
🎗️ A dynamic Fibonacci-based 21:34-period EMA ribbon overlays the histogram. The fill area inverts color on crossover, providing a real-time read on tempo, expansion, or divergence between price structure and crowd effort.
💡 LTF Usage Suggestions:
• Confirm breakout legs when orange or red zones align with range exits
• Fade overextended moves when red bars appear into resistance
• Watch for rising EMAs and orange volume to front-run impulsive moves
• Combine with volatility suppression (e.g. ATR) to catch compression → expansion transitions
🥂 Ideal Pairings:
• OBVX Conviction Bias — to confirm directional intent behind volume shifts
• SUPeR TReND 2.718 — for directional filters
• ATR Turbulence Ribbon — to detect compression phases
👥 The OBVX Conviction Bias adds a second dimension to ZVOL by revealing whether crowd effort is aligning with price direction or diverging beneath the surface. While ZVOL identifies statistical anomalies in raw volume, OBVX tracks directional commitment using cumulative volume and moving average cross logic. Use them together to spot fake-outs, anticipate structure-confirmed breakouts, or time pullbacks with volume-based conviction.
🔬 ZVOL isn’t just a volume filter — it’s a structural lens. It reveals when crowd effort is meaningful, when it's fading, and when something is about to shift. Designed for structure-aware traders who care about context, not noise.
RVOL Effort Matrix💪🏻 RVOL Effort Matrix is a tiered volume framework that translates crowd participation into structure-aware visual zones. Rather than simply flagging spikes, it measures each bar’s volume as a ratio of its historical average and assigns to that effort dynamic tiers, creating a real-time map of conviction , exhaustion , and imbalance —before price even confirms.
⚖️ At its core, the tool builds a histogram of relative volume (RVOL). When enabled, a second layer overlays directional effort by estimating buy vs sell volume using candle body logic. If the candle closes higher, green (buy) volume dominates. If it closes lower, red (sell) volume leads. These components are stacked proportionally and inset beneath a colored cap line—a small but powerful layer that maintains visibility of the true effort tier even when split bars are active. The cap matches the original zone color, preserving context at all times.
Coloration communicates rhythm, tempo, and potential turning points:
• 🔴 = structurally weak effort, i.e. failed moves, fake-outs or trend exhaustion
• 🟡 = neutral volume, as seen in consolidations or pullbacks
• 🟢 = genuine commitment, good for continuation, breakout filters, or early rotation signals
• 🟣 = explosive volume signaling either climax or institutional entry—beware!
Background shading (optional) mirrors these zones across the pane for structural scanning at a glance. Volume bars can be toggled between full-stack mode or clean column view. Every layer is modular—built for composability with tools like ZVOL or OBVX Conviction Bias.
🧐 Ideal Use-Cases:
• 🕰 HTF bias anchoring → LTF execution
• 🧭 Identifying when structure is being driven by real crowd pressure
• 🚫 Fading green/fuchsia bars that fail to break structure
• ✅ Riding green/fuchsia follow-through in directional moves
🍷 Recommended Pairings:
• ZVOL for statistically significant volume anomaly detection
• OBVX Conviction Bias ↔️ for directional confirmation of effort zones
• SUPeR TReND 2.718 for structure-congruent entry filtering
• ATR Turbulence Ribbon to distinguish expansion pressure from churn
🥁 RVOL Effort Matrix is all about seeing—how much pressure is behind a move, whether that pressure is sustainable, and whether the crowd is aligned with price. It's volume, but readable. It’s structure, but dynamic. It’s the difference between obeying noise and trading to the beat of the market.
