Volatility HistogramCandle Size vs Volume Ratios — Interpretation & Trading Guide
1. Understanding the Ratios
Ratio 1 (Range/Volume): top histogram
Represents the candle's price range divided by the volume.
High values mean large price movement with relatively low volume.
Typically signals less conviction, possible consolidation or fake moves.
Ratio 2 (Volume/Range): bottom histogram
Represents the volume divided by the candle range.
High values mean high volume for the given price movement.
Usually indicates strong market participation and trend strength.
Negative sign often used in plots to separate it visually from Ratio 1.
2. Role of Moving Averages (MAs)
Moving averages smooth the ratios to reduce noise and highlight trend changes.
MA of Ratio 2 often leads the market movement, especially in the morning session.
MA of Ratio 1 tends to lag, confirming trend direction later in the day.
The divergence between the MAs (distance between them) indicates increasing
momentum.
Flat or converging MAs signal consolidation or low market conviction.
3. Interpreting the Relationship and Market Behavior
When Ratio 2 MA moves first and starts diverging from Ratio 1 MA, expect a
potential initiation of trend.
Ratio 1 rising while Ratio 2 remains low often signals consolidation or indecision.
High Ratio 1 with low volume suggests fake breakouts or traps.
High Ratio 2 with stable or rising price indicates strong trend and volume support.
The spread between MAs can be used as a momentum gauge.
Outside main trading hours, ratios oscillate and MAs remain flat, reflecting low
liquidity.
4. Practical Trading Tips
Use early movement in Ratio 2 MA (e.g., 8:15–9:00 AM) as a signal for upcoming
volatility.
Confirm trends later with Ratio 1 MA movement (usually 10:30–11:00 AM).
Watch for periods of high volume but flat ratios as signs of
accumulation/absorption.
Beware of high Ratio 1 values indicating potential consolidation or fake moves.
Use the spread between MAs to assess trend strength and decide entry or exit.
Combine this oscillator with price action and volume profile for best results.
5. Summary
Ratio 1 and Ratio 2 ratios combined with their moving averages offer a powerful
way to interpret price and volume interplay. Their leading-lagging behavior helps
traders anticipate volatility and confirm trends. Proper normalization and visual
scaling are essential for clear interpretation. Use these tools together to improve
timing and reduce false signals in your trading
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ATR % of yesterday close with SMA (Bull/Bear colored)This script visualizes the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage of a user-selected price point for a quick view of volatility.
ATR % values are plotted as a color-coded histogram. Bullish days (close > prior close) paint the bar green; bearish days (close < prior close) paint it red; unchanged days are gray.
Two simple moving average (SMA) overlays to reveal volatility trends.
Variables:
Histogram bars represent ATR as a % of one of:
- Previous Close (default option)
- Previous Open
- Today Close
- Today Open
Two SMA lines (default: blue for 20-period, orange for 5-period) shown on ATR % for trend/range regime tracking.
Optionally display the ATR % in continuous line (yellow)—hidden by default.
If you find it helpful, feel free to share any feedback and how you incorporate it into your trading strategy with the community!
ATR PercentageThe ATR is a great indicator, but for me, it does not define the volatility of an asset I am looking at well enough. So I've adjusted it to be displayed as the usual ATR and a percentage of the closing prince (which to me tells a better story). I find this useful if I am looking through many assets and have to create a quick picture of volatility.
Indicator Definition: The script starts by defining an indicator named "ATR Percentage" that will be displayed in a separate pane (not overlayed on the price chart).
Input for ATR Period: The user can set the period for calculating the ATR through an input field.
ATR Calculation: The ta.atr function calculates the Average True Range based on the specified period.
ATR Percentage Calculation: The ATR value is converted to a percentage of the current closing price using (atrValue / close) * 100.
Plotting:
The script plots both the ATR value and its percentage on the chart.
A horizontal line at zero is added for reference.
Label Display: An optional label displays the current ATR percentage at every 10th bar to avoid cluttering the chart.
Background Color: A light blue background is added to visually separate the ATR indicator from other indicators.
Volatility Adjusted MomentumIt's a script that computes volatility-adjusted momentum indicators.
The problem with the momentum indicator is that it's absolute and it's hard to interpret its value. For example, if you'll change the timeframe or instrument value of Momentum will be very different.
We tried to solve that by expressing momentum in volatility. This way you can easier spot overbought/oversold values.
You can choose to use Standard Deviation or ATR for adjustments.
Thanks to @MUQWISHI for helping me code it.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
ATR GainThis indicator shows the amount, in terms of a percentage, that the ATR is currently above or below the current ATR average.
This can be translated to the amount of volatility in the market compared to the current "standard" volatility.
See also "Average True Range" technical indicator
BB_Keltner Firing Squeeze by RMThis script shows the Squeeze firing event, after the Bollinger Bands have been inside Keltner Channels, indicating possible short term trend of price action.
Based on Bollinger Bands & Keltner Channels scripts in the Pine scripts library.
Bollinger Bands are a type of statistical chart characterizing the prices and volatility over time of a financial instrument or commodity, using a formulaic method propounded by John Bollinger in the 1980s.
Keltner channel is a technical analysis indicator showing a central moving average line plus channel lines at a distance above and below. The indicator is named after Chester W. Keltner (1909–1998)
Squeeze is an event in the price action of a given market instrument that happens when Bollinger Bands are inside the Keltner Channels, thus indicating build up of volatility. The Firing event is the first candle not in a squeeze after the squeeze event, that releases the price action on a given direction with a given impulse that makes is last several candles. Markets are volatile and can change directions due to several reasons not accounted in this method. Use at you own discretion and evaluate your risk before proceeding.
Probability Of Expiring ConeThis script attempts to give forecasts over the range of the closed price based on the exponentially weighted volatility.
Overall, with the assumption of normal distribution of log return, which might not always hold true, it calculates the approximate/ estimated probability that the current candles will close within the plotted shape. One, two, and three sigma will give the probability of around 68%, 95% and 99% respectively.
This can be used to give you a better sense of what is likely with the current level of volatility, thus assist in risk management and position sizing.
May you be on the right side of the trade.
NixTrading Range MasterChart #2:
A potent countertrend indicator based on volatility. Works best in rangebound markets. Basically, it lets you know when price hits support or resistance of a range. Countertrend signals in general should be ignored ( filtered out ) during low-volatility trending phases. We use it as supportive signal for margin zones and volume spikes (NixVS). It has built-in alerts functionality.
Example of using NixRM:
1. Trade setup 1. After high-volume spikes (colored yellow bars), we get reverse signals from the indicator.
2. Trade setup 2. Price hits horizontal support/resistance zone and we get a signal from NixRM. This is our trade setup 2. Margin zones are best for identifying support and resistance, so consider using them.
3. Trade setup 3. See chart #2. When a major chart pattern is in its final stages and we get a signal from the indicator. In this case, BTC formed a massive Ending Diagonal with NixRM signal at the top.
4. Trade setup 4. As far as trending markets are concerned, the indicator should be used only for trading retracements, combined with moving averages. Example, chart #3:
Filter out:
1. Major breakouts (from price channels. Triangles, H&S, Diagonals etc.)
2. Trending markets.
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#RU
Перспективный контртрендовый индикатор. Лучше всего работает в диапазонных фазах рынка. Дает сигнал, когда цена подходит к границе диапазона. При развитии трендовых движений большинство контртрендовых сигналов следует игнорировать. Есть возможность включить дополнительные сигналы, оповещающие о выходе цены за границы диапазона. Отличное дополнение к маржинальным зонам и Желтым барам (NixVS). Содержит функционал алертов.
Примеры использования:
1. Сетап 1. См. график #2. Сигнал индикатора после формирования Желтого бара NixVS.
2. Сетап 2. Сигнал во время тестирования зоны поддержки/сопротивления. Лучше всего работает с маржинальными зонами.
3. Сетап 3. Сигнал возникает на поздней стадии формирования графического паттерна.
4. Сетап 4. Может использоваться в трендовых фазах для входа в сделки на откатах (отскоках) в сочетании со скользящими средними.
Избегать:
1. Сигналы после пробоя важных поддержек/сопротивлений, в частности после классических паттернов.
2. Трендовые рынки. В особенности, слабо волатильные, то есть, однонаправленные без существенных откатов.
Наши индикаторы: ru.tradingview.com
Volatility barometerIt is the indicator that analyzes the behaviour of VIX against CBOE volaility indices (VIX3M, VIX6M and VIX1Y) and VIX futures (next contract to the front one - VX!2). Because VIX is a derivate of SPX, the indicator shall be used on the SPX chart (or equivalent like SPY).
When the readings get above 90 / below 10, it means the market is overbought / oversold in terms of implied volatility. However, it does not mean it will reverse - if the price go higher along with the indicator readings then everything is fine. There is an alarming situation when the SPX is diverging - e.g. the price go higher, the readings lower. It means the SPX does not play in the same team as IVOL anymore and might reverse.
You can use it in conjunction with other implied volatility indicators for stronger signals: the Correlation overlay ( - the indicator that measures the correlation between VVIX and VIX) and VVIX/VIX ratio (it generates a signal the ratio makes 50wk high).
Trading with GridThis indicator helps you to negotiate through the grid. You must depend on a flag to start trading. In the indicator we use a weekly moving average with 20 periods.
Use volatility for larger timeframes.
Note that the gray spaces are minimum and maximum, weekly and monthly. If the price goes out of that range, it usually has greater volatility.
The grid has 28 lines.
Purchase order preference.
Once you lose the moving average:
- buy level below
- sale level up.
Difference In PriceWith the difference in price indicator, you can view price change volatility. Specifically, you can view the difference in price for a single candle segment, at any desired candlestick timeframe. This simply takes the sessions high minus the low and gives the difference. Difference in price trend lines help determine if a stock has a history of high volatility or not. This is useful for those looking to invest in stable stocks.
Universal Global SessionUniversal Global Session
This Script combines the world sessions of: Stocks, Forex, Bitcoin Kill Zones, strategic points, all configurable, in a single Script, to capitalize the opening and closing times of global exchanges as investment assets, becoming an Universal Global Session .
It is based on the great work of @oscarvs ( BITCOIN KILL ZONES v2 ) and the scripts of @ChrisMoody. Thank you Oscar and Chris for your excellent judgment and great work.
At the end of this writing you can find all the internet references of the extensive documentation that I present here. To maximize your benefits in the use of this Script, I recommend that you read the entire document to create an objective and practical criterion.
All the hours of the different exchanges are presented at GMT -6. In Market24hClock you can adjust it to your preferences.
After a deep investigation I have been able to show that the different world sessions reveal underlying investment cycles, where it is possible to find sustained changes in the nominal behavior of the trend before the passage from one session to another and in the natural overlaps between the sessions. These underlying movements generally occur 15 minutes before the start, close or overlap of the session, when the session properly starts and also 15 minutes after respectively. Therefore, this script is designed to highlight these particular trending behaviors. Try it, discover your own conclusions and let me know in the notes, thank you.
Foreign Exchange Market Hours
It is the schedule by which currency market participants can buy, sell, trade and speculate on currencies all over the world. It is open 24 hours a day during working days and closes on weekends, thanks to the fact that operations are carried out through a network of information systems, instead of physical exchanges that close at a certain time. It opens Monday morning at 8 am local time in Sydney —Australia— (which is equivalent to Sunday night at 7 pm, in New York City —United States—, according to Eastern Standard Time), and It closes at 5pm local time in New York City (which is equivalent to 6am Saturday morning in Sydney).
The Forex market is decentralized and driven by local sessions, where the hours of Forex trading are based on the opening range of each active country, becoming an efficient transfer mechanism for all participants. Four territories in particular stand out: Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York, where the highest volume of operations occurs when the sessions in London and New York overlap. Furthermore, Europe is complemented by major financial centers such as Paris, Frankfurt and Zurich. Each day of forex trading begins with the opening of Australia, then Asia, followed by Europe, and finally North America. As markets in one region close, another opens - or has already opened - and continues to trade in the currency market. The seven most traded currencies in the world are: the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, and the New Zealand dollar.
Currencies are needed around the world for international trade, this means that operations are not dominated by a single exchange market, but rather involve a global network of brokers from around the world, such as banks, commercial companies, central banks, companies investment management, hedge funds, as well as retail forex brokers and global investors. Because this market operates in multiple time zones, it can be accessed at any time except during the weekend, therefore, there is continuously at least one open market and there are some hours of overlap between the closing of the market of one region and the opening of another. The international scope of currency trading means that there are always traders around the world making and satisfying demands for a particular currency.
The market involves a global network of exchanges and brokers from around the world, although time zones overlap, the generally accepted time zone for each region is as follows:
Sydney 5pm to 2am EST (10pm to 7am UTC)
London 3am to 12 noon EST (8pm to 5pm UTC)
New York 8am to 5pm EST (1pm to 10pm UTC)
Tokyo 7pm to 4am EST (12am to 9am UTC)
Trading Session
A financial asset trading session refers to a period of time that coincides with the daytime trading hours for a given location, it is a business day in the local financial market. This may vary according to the asset class and the country, therefore operators must know the hours of trading sessions for the securities and derivatives in which they are interested in trading. If investors can understand market hours and set proper targets, they will have a much greater chance of making a profit within a workable schedule.
Kill Zones
Kill zones are highly liquid events. Many different market participants often come together and perform around these events. The activity itself can be event-driven (margin calls or option exercise-related activity), portfolio management-driven (asset allocation rebalancing orders and closing buy-in), or institutionally driven (larger players needing liquidity to complete the size) or a combination of any of the three. This intense cross-current of activity at a very specific point in time often occurs near significant technical levels and the established trends emerging from these events often persist until the next Death Zone approaches or enters.
Kill Zones are evolving with time and the course of world history. Since the end of World War II, New York has slowly invaded London's place as the world center for commercial banking. So much so that during the latter part of the 20th century, New York was considered the new center of the financial universe. With the end of the cold war, that leadership appears to have shifted towards Europe and away from the United States. Furthermore, Japan has slowly lost its former dominance in the global economic landscape, while Beijing's has increased dramatically. Only time will tell how these death zones will evolve given the ever-changing political, economic, and socioeconomic influences of each region.
Financial Markets
New York
New York (NYSE Chicago, NASDAQ)
7:30 am - 2:00 pm
It is the second largest currency platform in the world, followed largely by foreign investors as it participates in 90% of all operations, where movements on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) can have an immediate effect (powerful) on the dollar, for example, when companies merge and acquisitions are finalized, the dollar can instantly gain or lose value.
A. Complementary Stock Exchanges
Brazil (BOVESPA - Brazilian Stock Exchange)
07:00 am - 02:55 pm
Canada (TSX - Toronto Stock Exchange)
07:30 am - 02:00 pm
New York (NYSE - New York Stock Exchange)
08:30 am - 03:00 pm
B. North American Trading Session
07:00 am - 03:00 pm
(from the beginning of the business day on NYSE and NASDAQ, until the end of the New York session)
New York, Chicago and Toronto (Canada) open the North American session. Characterized by the most aggressive trading within the markets, currency pairs show high volatility. As the US markets open, trading is still active in Europe, however trading volume generally decreases with the end of the European session and the overlap between the US and Europe.
C. Strategic Points
US main session starts in 1 hour
07:30 am
The euro tends to drop before the US session. The NYSE, CHX and TSX (Canada) trading sessions begin 1 hour after this strategic point. The North American session begins trading Forex at 07:00 am.
This constitutes the beginning of the overlap of the United States and the European market that spans from 07:00 am to 10:35 am, often called the best time to trade EUR / USD, it is the period of greatest liquidity for the main European currencies since it is where they have their widest daily ranges.
When New York opens at 07:00 am the most intense trading begins in both the US and European markets. The overlap of European and American trading sessions has 80% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during US business hours and 70% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during European business hours. The intersection of the US and European sessions are the most volatile overlapping hours of all.
Influential news and data for the USD are released between 07:30 am and 09:00 am and play the biggest role in the North American Session. These are the strategically most important moments of this activity period: 07:00 am, 08:00 am and 08:30 am.
The main session of operations in the United States and Canada begins
08:30 am
Start of main trading sessions in New York, Chicago and Toronto. The European session still overlaps the North American session and this is the time for large-scale unpredictable trading. The United States leads the market. It is difficult to interpret the news due to speculation. Trends develop very quickly and it is difficult to identify them, however trends (especially for the euro), which have developed during the overlap, often turn the other way when Europe exits the market.
Second hour of the US session and last hour of the European session
09:30 am
End of the European session
10:35 am
The trend of the euro will change rapidly after the end of the European session.
Last hour of the United States session
02:00 pm
Institutional clients and very large funds are very active during the first and last working hours of almost all stock exchanges, knowing this allows to better predict price movements in the opening and closing of large markets. Within the last trading hours of the secondary market session, a pullback can often be seen in the EUR / USD that continues until the opening of the Tokyo session. Generally it happens if there was an upward price movement before 04:00 pm - 05:00 pm.
End of the trade session in the United States
03:00 pm
D. Kill Zones
11:30 am - 1:30 pm
New York Kill Zone. The United States is still the world's largest economy, so by default, the New York opening carries a lot of weight and often comes with a huge injection of liquidity. In fact, most of the world's marketable assets are priced in US dollars, making political and economic activity within this region even more important. Because it is relatively late in the world's trading day, this Death Zone often sees violent price swings within its first hour, leading to the proven adage "never trust the first hour of trading in America. North.
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London
London (LSE - London Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:35 am
Britain dominates the currency markets around the world, and London is its main component. London, a central trading capital of the world, accounts for about 43% of world trade, many Forex trends often originate from London.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Dubai (DFM - Dubai Financial Market)
12:00 am - 03:50 am
Moscow (MOEX - Moscow Exchange)
12:30 am - 10:00 am
Germany (FWB - Frankfurt Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 10:30 am
Afríca (JSE - Johannesburg Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 09:00 am
Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL - Saudi Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 06:00 am
Switzerland (SIX - Swiss Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:30 am
B. European Trading Session
02:00 am - 11:00 am
(from the opening of the Frankfurt session to the close of the Order Book on the London Stock Exchange / Euronext)
It is a very liquid trading session, where trends are set that start during the first trading hours in Europe and generally continue until the beginning of the US session.
C. Middle East Trading Session
12:00 am - 06:00 am
(from the opening of the Dubai session to the end of the Riyadh session)
D. Strategic Points
European session begins
02:00 am
London, Frankfurt and Zurich Stock Exchange enter the market, overlap between Europe and Asia begins.
End of the Singapore and Asia sessions
03:00 am
The euro rises almost immediately or an hour after Singapore exits the market.
Middle East Oil Markets Completion Process
05:00 am
Operations are ending in the European-Asian market, at which time Dubai, Qatar and in another hour in Riyadh, which constitute the Middle East oil markets, are closing. Because oil trading is done in US dollars, and the region with the trading day coming to an end no longer needs the dollar, consequently, the euro tends to grow more frequently.
End of the Middle East trading session
06:00 am
E. Kill Zones
5:00 am - 7:00 am
London Kill Zone. Considered the center of the financial universe for more than 500 years, Europe still has a lot of influence in the banking world. Many older players use the European session to establish their positions. As such, the London Open often sees the most significant trend-setting activity on any trading day. In fact, it has been suggested that 80% of all weekly trends are set through the London Kill Zone on Tuesday.
F. Kill Zones (close)
2:00 pm - 4:00 pm
London Kill Zone (close).
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Tokyo
Tokyo (JPX - Tokyo Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
It is the first Asian market to open, receiving most of the Asian trade, just ahead of Hong Kong and Singapore.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Singapore (SGX - Singapore Exchange)
07:00 pm - 03:00 am
Hong Kong (HKEx - Hong Kong Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 02:00 am
Shanghai (SSE - Shanghai Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 01:00 am
India (NSE - India National Stock Exchange)
09:45 pm - 04:00 am
B. Asian Trading Session
06:00 pm - 03:00 am
From the opening of the Tokyo session to the end of the Singapore session
The first major Asian market to open is Tokyo which has the largest market share and is the third largest Forex trading center in the world. Singapore opens in an hour, and then the Chinese markets: Shanghai and Hong Kong open 30 minutes later. With them, the trading volume increases and begins a large-scale operation in the Asia-Pacific region, offering more liquidity for the Asian-Pacific currencies and their crosses. When European countries open their doors, more liquidity will be offered to Asian and European crossings.
C. Strategic Points
Second hour of the Tokyo session
07:00 pm
This session also opens the Singapore market. The commercial dynamics grows in anticipation of the opening of the two largest Chinese markets in 30 minutes: Shanghai and Hong Kong, within these 30 minutes or just before the China session begins, the euro usually falls until the same moment of the opening of Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Second hour of the China session
08:30 pm
Hong Kong and Shanghai start trading and the euro usually grows for more than an hour. The EUR / USD pair mixes up as Asian exporters convert part of their earnings into both US dollars and euros.
Last hour of the Tokyo session
11:00 pm
End of the Tokyo session
12:00 am
If the euro has been actively declining up to this time, China will raise the euro after the Tokyo shutdown. Hong Kong, Shanghai and Singapore remain open and take matters into their own hands causing the growth of the euro. Asia is a huge commercial and industrial region with a large number of high-quality economic products and gigantic financial turnover, making the number of transactions on the stock exchanges huge during the Asian session. That is why traders, who entered the trade at the opening of the London session, should pay attention to their terminals when Asia exits the market.
End of the Shanghai session
01:00 am
The trade ends in Shanghai. This is the last trading hour of the Hong Kong session, during which market activity peaks.
D. Kill Zones
10:00 pm - 2:00 am
Asian Kill Zone. Considered the "Institutional" Zone, this zone represents both the launch pad for new trends as well as a recharge area for the post-American session. It is the beginning of a new day (or week) for the world and as such it makes sense that this zone often sets the tone for the remainder of the global business day. It is ideal to pay attention to the opening of Tokyo, Beijing and Sydney.
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Sidney
Sydney (ASX - Australia Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
New Zealand (NZX - New Zealand Stock Exchange)
04:00 pm - 10:45 pm
It's where the global trading day officially begins. While it is the smallest of the megamarkets, it sees a lot of initial action when markets reopen Sunday afternoon as individual traders and financial institutions are trying to regroup after the long hiatus since Friday afternoon. On weekdays it constitutes the end of the current trading day where the change in the settlement date occurs.
B. Pacific Trading Session
04:00 pm - 12:00 am
(from the opening of the Wellington session to the end of the Sydney session)
Forex begins its business hours when Wellington (New Zealand Exchange) opens local time on Monday. Sydney (Australian Stock Exchange) opens in 2 hours. It is a session with a fairly low volatility, configuring itself as the calmest session of all. Strong movements appear when influential news is published and when the Pacific session overlaps the Asian Session.
C. Strategic Points
End of the Sydney session
12:00 am
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Conclusions
The best time to trade is during overlaps in trading times between open markets. Overlaps equate to higher price ranges, creating greater opportunities.
Regarding press releases (news), it should be noted that these in the currency markets have the power to improve a normally slow trading period. When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, especially when it goes against the predicted forecast, the coin can lose or gain value in a matter of seconds. In general, the more economic growth a country produces, the more positive the economy is for international investors. Investment capital tends to flow to countries that are believed to have good growth prospects and subsequently good investment opportunities, leading to the strengthening of the country's exchange rate. Also, a country that has higher interest rates through its government bonds tends to attract investment capital as foreign investors seek high-yield opportunities. However, stable economic growth and attractive yields or interest rates are inextricably intertwined. It's important to take advantage of market overlaps and keep an eye out for press releases when setting up a trading schedule.
References:
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
market24hclock.com
market24hclock.com
Mean Deviation Detector - Throw Out All Other IndicatorsI set out this morning to create a script that searches out price moves that went too far too fast relative to historical pricing, given that such situations often result in the most profitable trading opportunities. I came up with the mean deviation detector. This script should be used as a means of judging how far a price is trading, in percent terms, from it's "average trading zone".
This is extremely helpful in a couple scenarios.
First, it can be used to judge a move's volatility relative to it's previous volatility. Put simply, a 5% move in the stock of Coca Cola is a lot more meaningful than a 5% move in the stock of Tesla, and the detector puts moves into historical (visual) perspective.
Second, the indicator can be used in real time as a means of determining when the chances of mean reversion are high or low. Extreme values are unsustainable and often lead to EITHER A.) price mean reversion or B.) time mean reversion. Put simply, prices either went too far and are due to fall back to a historical mean, or they need more time to digest a potentially new pricing zone.
Without getting too deep into volume profile analysis, the MDD can be a simple way of telling that a stock has moved into an "air pocket", where prices will either come back to the previous volume node (price mean reversion) or set up shop in a new, uncharted area (time mean reversion).
An extreme value doesn't always mean a trading opportunity, but it means that something interesting is happening in the stock / instrument.
I use this indicator to help me trade covered calls. Lots of high yielding weekly opportunities are stocks that have moved too far too fast, and I like to use this indicator as a means of either a.) scooping up stocks that have gotten beat up from a historical mean perspective & have likely seen the risk already "beaten" out of them, or to b.) stay away from stocks that have a very high chance of price correcting lower. In situations where I say that the risk has been "beaten" out of something, it doesn't mean that the stock won't continue to fall, it simply means that the degree and acceleration of the fall has peaked and that risk premiums in selling options will / should easily pay for continued losses. In the event that it's a price correction and not a time correction, you also increase your bat rate because you get auto-liquidated at a max profit. It's a really valuable tool in my kit.
You can also feel free to put a Keltner Chanel overlay onto the MDD to filter out noise, identify "extreme" values, and place mean reversion trades if you expect price mean reversion is likely, if you want to use this as the basis of a proper trading strategy. For a high extreme value, you could sell short term OTM call spreads, for example.
The MDD is adaptable to your own trading style & preferences.
Bollinger Bands Filter
Bollinger Bands is a classic indicator that uses a simple moving average of 20 periods, along with plots of upper and lower bands that are 2 standard deviations away from the basis line. These bands help visualize price volatility and trend based on where the price is, in relation to the bands.
Bollinger Bands filter plots a long signal when price closes above the upper band and plots a short signal when price closes below the lower band. It doesn't take into account any other parameters such as Volume/RSI/ Fundamentals etc, so user must use discretion based on confirmations from another indicator or based on fundamentals.
The filter works great when the price closes above/below upper/lower bands with continuation on next bar. It is definitely useful to have this filter along with other indicators to get early glimpse of breach/fail of bands on candle close during BB squeeze or based on volatility.
This can be used on Heikin Ashi candles for spotting trends, but HA candles are not recommended for trade entries as they don't reflect true price of the asset.
This filter's default is 55 SMA and 1 standard deviation, but these can be changed from settings.
It is definitely worth reading the 22 rules of Bollinger Bands written by John Bollinger.
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Note:
1. Alerts can be created for long and short signals using "Once per bar close".
2. The indicator doesn't repaint.
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™TradeChartist Rubicon™TradeChartist Rubicon is a beautifully designed functional indicator that helps traders enter and exit Long or Short trades with ease.
This indicator is aptly named Rubicon as it studies the candles in the River of Rubicon (Flat Blue River that never stops flowing up and down the chart) through the Lands of Rubicon to find out which army ( Bulls or Bears ) is committing itself to crossing the River and its tides. By doing this for every price candle, the indicator generates BUY and SELL signals along with Targets and real-time Gains on the chart.
What does the ™TradeChartist Rubicon Indicator do?
Plots very high probability BUY and SELL signals on chart
-- Real-time signals are plotted in Orange labels. (Note: Real-time signals repaint. So wait for confirmation before taking a trade position. This feature is included based on feedback from a few traders as some of them like to see a potential direction based on developing candle, its RSI, Stochastic etc.)
-- Confirmed signals are plotted in Green labels for BUY and Red labels for SELL. These signals don't repaint and can be used confidently to enter or exit a trade.
-- Option to choose type of trade opportunity from indicator settings namely - Long trades, Short trades or both, based on which the chart background colour will be green for duration of long trades or red for duration of short trades.
-- Intermediate signals are also plotted between the primary BUY and SELL signals which can be used for re-entry, scalping etc if the opportunity to enter trade at Primary signal was missed. These secondary signals marked as B and S with arrows can be deactivated from indicator settings.
Plots Target levels as soon as BUY or SELL signal is confirmed on chart.
-- These levels can be used as support and resistance levels too.
-- The first 3 TP levels can be used as a litmus test to trade higher levels as the likelihood of price hitting higher profit levels significantly increase when price crosses the first 3 smaller levels.
-- The performance of the current signal can be tracked by using the Show Gains from Primary Signal and the past signals can be accessed by checking Show Past Performance option from Indicator Settings.
Plots % Gains based on candle close in real-time and Max % Gains based on highest since the BUY signal or lowest since the SELL signal. The entry price is normally plotted along with the signals and is an indicative price based on breached resistance. Traders may choose to buy at Market Price or Limit Price based on the price movement at the time of signal generation.
Plots Bulls/Bears waiting price points for chart time-frame if activated from settings. (Default - Not Active)
Automatically plots Bull and Bear power labels along with visually painting the Bull or Bear power on the Lands of Rubicon.
Plots RSI colour candles based on user preferred Overbought and Oversold RSI levels from indicator settings. (Default - 60 Overbought and 30 Oversold)
What markets can this indicator be used on?
Forex
Stocks - works best with 4hr or above and prices calculated taking gaps into account.
Commodities
Cryptocurrencies
and almost any asset on Trading View
Works really well when there is good volume , volatility or both in the asset observed/traded.
What time-frames can this indicator be used on?
This indicator can be used on 1m, 3m, 5m, 10m, 15m, 30m, 1hr, 2hr, 3hr, 4hr, 6hr, 8hr, 12hr, Daily, Weekly, Bi-Weekly and Monthly time-frames. Signal generation based on value, volume and volatility. If an asset has very little volume or is far low in comparative value against the base currency, there can be far too many erratic signals but with most assets, this won't be an issue.
Does this indicator repaint?
No and Yes
-- Once the confirmed BUY (in green) and SELL (in red) signals are posted after a candle close, it doesn't repaint.
-- Repainting happens for real time Orange label BUY and SELL signal on the current candle. Some traders prefer to see the developing signal and trade using RSI, Stochastic etc.
Does the indicator send alerts when a signal is generated?
Yes, traders can get alerts by setting Trading View alerts for BUY/SELL Signals and when a new Profit Target is achieved. For confirmed BUY/SELL alerts, 'Once per bar close' must be used.
Real-time BUY and SELL trigger alerts can also be set using 'Once per bar' or 'Once per minute' as alert frequency.
Some Examples of trades using ™TradeChartist Rubicon indicator
GOLD short trade and Long trade scalping on 15m
GOLD on Daily
SUGAR-USD on 15m
AUD-USD on 5m
LEND-BTC alt pair on Daily
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This is not a free to use indicator. Get in touch with me if you would like access to the indicator for a free trial before deciding on a paid access for a period of your choice.
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Autonomous LSTM [Noldo] Structure
Feature Layer 1 : Formulation :
The Autonomous LSTM adaptive period equation is a multivariate equation created by averaging a table based on market weights and optimizing it for each time period, by specially Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) training and taking note of the instruments chosen from Foreign exchange instruments, Stock markets , Futures and Commodities , Interest Rates and Yields all over the Global Markets.
Market weights and liquidities were taken into consideration and included in the calculations.
Feature Layer 2: Forecast Algorithm :
When we apply only the first item, we only get the buy and sell signals in reverse.
In other words, since we measure the expectation, the positive signal informs the bear market and the negative scenario informs the bull market.
If we only act according to the expectations market, our system will be very sensitive.
When we associate this with real prices, both our accuracy increases and the reverse market returns to the normal market.
In other words, as in the indicators with standard average, the upward crosses are buy and the downward crosses are sell signal.
Examples:
a -) The normal deep learning script (ANN), which is only created according to expectations:
Unlike standard market, it gives reverse signals.
Original script :
b-) Script with Forecast Algorithm but it only uses valid and standard periods for certain instruments :
Original script :
Feature Layer 3 : Composite of Two Layers : Adaptive Period (Length) Algorithm
This layer is the most important layer.
Outputs the period.
It adjusts itself to market conditions and provides a more agile trading environment under all circumstances.
Display of smart period function and standard period :
Where the market is stagnant, the period increases automatically and reduces unnecessary trade, while in trendy markets the period decreases automatically and allows to see positions first.
The degree of stagnation of the instrument concerned is not calculated solely by volatility.
We may perceive this in relation to several factors, but yes volatility is one of these factors.
When we put the script system under the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) roof, I did the tests.
Where both averages were positive, they could report accurate harsh trend news, or vice versa.
But I decided to give it up and put it on the Stochastic Money Flow Index .
First of all , Stochastic Money Flow Index function takes the volume into account.
The reason for this is a very important factor, which is naturally contained in the structure of High - Low conditions related codes.
And by using this factor, it could be superfast adaptive in both stagnant and trendy markets.
Feature Layer 4 : High - Low Selection Algorithm
The High-Low Selection Algorithm does not depend on a specific period but scans all periods backwards.(Lookback Function - Lkb )
Outputs the lowest or highest values in the specified new period.
This algorithm was written by me with the concern that if everyone trades according to the same threshold values, it will cause problems and choosing between values of the whole period length will slow down the signals.
This algorithm consists of two functions.
a - Lkb (Lookback Function) :
The lookback function scans back all periods from 0 to Smart Period bars at the same time.
In order to show the effect of the function, it was done between 0 and 84 bars.
However, the scan period of the function is normally at the same time: 0 to adaptive period time.
If the adaptive period includes a fractional day, it can also scan it.
There is no need to be an integer.
All functions are written to make mutable variables appropriate.
And what this function will scan depends on the second feature.
The special selection algorithm is in this function.And the output is given in this function.
b-) High - Low Selection Algorithm
Outputs the lowest or highest values in the specified new period.
This function allows you to select the most advantageous low or high values, even though the adaptive period remains the same.
And the signals are even more accurate.
This is a comparison of the High-Low selection algorithm and the Function: Stochastic Money Flow Index in the standard period.
For the codes of the Stochastic Money Flow Index function:
Speed may not be clear here.
So let's take a look at on chart.
So I would like to show a comparison values of the standard and special selection algorithms on Standard Highest - Lowest Function (All effort goes to RicardoSantos)
Note: This function is the standard function and freed from integer loads.
Blue = Function Highest - Lowest (length = 10 )
Yellow = Smart High-Low Selection Algorithm (length = 10 )
You can better observe the different results in the same period on the chart.
***
4 layers are interdependent.
And when the inter-layer operations are completed, output is given.
*** - Usage of Autonomous LSTM
Plot Rules
Blue Zones = Crossover condition where the average of long and short lines is less than 50.
Orange Zones = Crossunder condition where long and short lines averages more than 50.
Green Zones = Crossover condition where the average of long and short lines is greater than 50.
Red Zones = Crossunder condition where long and short lines averages less than 50.
*** Autonomous LSTM Settings :
It is just the barcolor to be colored according to the crossover and crossunder conditions or not (I / 0) option.
*** Autonomous LSTM Alerts :
As an alert, it only reports crossover and crossunder status as "Long Signal" and "Short Signal" as a warning after the first bar closure.
*** CONCLUSION :
Autonomous LSTM Designed to be used in any time frame.
Does not repaint in any time frame.
Script is independent of constant coefficients.No period adjustment is necessary.
Each layer transfers the information in its own layer to the next layer and the results are reflected in the Stochastic Money Flow Index function built on the resultant.
Regards.
