SufinBDThis TradingView script combines RSI, Stochastic RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands to generate Buy and Sell signals on two different timeframes: 4-hour (4H) and Daily (1D). The strategy aims to provide entry and exit points based on a multi-indicator confirmation approach, helping traders make more informed decisions.
Features:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Measures the speed and change of price movements.
The script looks for oversold conditions (RSI below 30) for buy signals and overbought conditions (RSI above 70) for sell signals.
Stochastic RSI:
Measures the level of RSI relative to its high-low range over a given period.
A Stochastic RSI below 0.2 indicates oversold conditions, and a value above 0.8 indicates overbought conditions.
It helps identify overbought and oversold conditions in a more precise manner than regular RSI.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
A trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price.
The MACD line crossing above the Signal line generates bullish signals, and vice versa for bearish signals.
Bollinger Bands:
A volatility indicator that consists of a middle band (SMA of price), an upper band, and a lower band.
When the price is below the lower band, it signals potential buy opportunities, while prices above the upper band signal potential sell opportunities.
Timeframe Usage:
The script calculates indicators for both the 4-hour (4H) and Daily (1D) timeframes.
The combined signals from these two timeframes are used to generate Buy and Sell alerts.
Buy Signal:
A Buy signal is generated when all of the following conditions are met:
RSI on both 4H and 1D is below 30 (oversold conditions).
Stochastic RSI on both timeframes is below 0.2.
The MACD line is above the Signal line on both timeframes.
The price is below the lower Bollinger Band on both the 4H and 1D charts.
Sell Signal:
A Sell signal is generated when all of the following conditions are met:
RSI on both 4H and 1D is above 70 (overbought conditions).
Stochastic RSI on both timeframes is above 0.8.
The MACD line is below the Signal line on both timeframes.
The price is above the upper Bollinger Band on both the 4H and 1D charts.
Visuals:
Buy signals are marked with green labels below the bars.
Sell signals are marked with red labels above the bars.
Bollinger Bands are displayed on the chart with the upper and lower bands marked in blue (for 4H) and orange (for 1D).
Purpose:
This script aims to provide more reliable buy/sell signals by combining indicators across multiple timeframes. It is ideal for traders who want to use multiple confirmation points before entering or exiting a trade.
How to Use:
Apply the script to any chart on TradingView.
Look for Buy and Sell signals that meet the conditions above.
You can adjust the timeframe (e.g., 4H or 1D) based on your trading strategy.
This script can be used for intraday trading, swing trading, or position trading depending on your preferred timeframes.
Example of Signal Interpretation:
Buy Signal:
If all conditions are met (e.g., RSI is under 30, Stochastic RSI is under 0.2, MACD is bullish, and price is below the lower Bollinger Band on both the 4-hour and daily charts), the script will show a green "BUY" label below the price bar.
Sell Signal:
If all conditions are met (e.g., RSI is over 70, Stochastic RSI is over 0.8, MACD is bearish, and price is above the upper Bollinger Band on both timeframes), the script will show a red "SELL" label above the price bar.
This combination of indicators offers a multi-layered confirmation approach, which aims to reduce the risk of false signals and increase the reliability of your trading decisions.
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "band"
Volatility Signaling 50SMAOverview of the Script:
The script implements a volatility signaling indicator using a 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). It incorporates Bollinger Bands and the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust the SMA's color based on volatility conditions. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Components of the Script:
1. Inputs:
The script allows the user to customize key parameters for flexibility:
Bollinger Bands Length (length): Determines the period for calculating the Bollinger Bands.
Source (src): The price data to use, defaulting to the closing price.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (mult): Scales the Bollinger Bands' width.
ATR Length (atrLength): Sets the period for calculating the ATR.
The 50-period SMA length (smaLength) is fixed at 50.
2. Bollinger Bands Calculation:
Basis: Calculated as the SMA of the selected price source over the specified length.
Upper and Lower Bands: Determined by adding/subtracting a scaled standard deviation (dev) from the basis.
3. ATR Calculation:
Computes the Average True Range over the user-defined atrLength.
4. Volatility-Based Conditions:
The script establishes thresholds for Bollinger Band width relative to ATR:
Yellow Condition: When the band width (upper - lower) is less than 1.25 times the ATR.
Orange Condition: When the band width is less than 1.5 times the ATR.
Red Condition: When the band width is less than 1.75 times the ATR.
5. Dynamic SMA Coloring:
The 50-period SMA is colored based on the above conditions:
Yellow: Indicates relatively low volatility.
Orange: Indicates moderate volatility.
Red: Indicates higher volatility.
White: Default color when no conditions are met.
6. Plotting the 50-Period SMA:
The script plots the SMA (sma50) with a dynamically assigned color, enabling visual analysis of market conditions.
Use Case:
This script is ideal for traders seeking to assess market volatility and identify changes using Bollinger Bands and ATR. The colored SMA provides an intuitive way to gauge market dynamics directly on the chart.
Example Visualization:
Yellow SMA: The market is in a low-volatility phase.
Orange SMA: Volatility is picking up but remains moderate.
Red SMA: Higher volatility, potentially signaling significant market activity.
White SMA: Neutral/default state.
Wick Trend Analysis with Supertrend and RSI -AYNETScientific Explanation
1. Wick Trend Analysis
Upper and Lower Wicks:
Calculated based on the difference between the high or low price and the candlestick body (open and close).
The trend of these wick lengths is derived using the Simple Moving Average (SMA) over the defined trend_length period.
Trend Direction:
Positive change (ta.change > 0) indicates an increasing trend.
Negative change (ta.change < 0) indicates a decreasing trend.
2. Supertrend Indicator
ATR Bands:
The Supertrend uses the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate dynamic upper and lower bands:
upper_band
=
hl2
+
(
supertrend_atr_multiplier
×
ATR
)
upper_band=hl2+(supertrend_atr_multiplier×ATR)
lower_band
=
hl2
−
(
supertrend_atr_multiplier
×
ATR
)
lower_band=hl2−(supertrend_atr_multiplier×ATR)
Trend Detection:
If the price is above the upper band, the Supertrend moves to the lower band.
If the price is below the lower band, the Supertrend moves to the upper band.
The Supertrend helps identify the prevailing market trend.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI measures the momentum of price changes and ranges between 0 and 100:
Overbought Zone (Above 70): Indicates that the price may be overextended and due for a pullback.
Oversold Zone (Below 30): Indicates that the price may be undervalued and due for a reversal.
Visualization Features
Wick Trend Lines:
Upper wick trend (green) and lower wick trend (red) show the relative strength of price rejection on both sides.
Wick Trend Area:
The area between the upper and lower wick trends is filled dynamically:
Green: Upper wick trend is stronger.
Red: Lower wick trend is stronger.
Supertrend Line:
Displays the Supertrend as a blue line to highlight the market's directional bias.
RSI:
Plots the RSI line, with horizontal dotted lines marking the overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels.
Applications
Trend Confirmation:
Use the Supertrend and wick trends together to confirm the market's directional bias.
For example, a rising lower wick trend with a bullish Supertrend suggests strong bullish sentiment.
Momentum Analysis:
Combine the RSI with wick trends to assess the strength of price movements.
For example, if the RSI is oversold and the lower wick trend is increasing, it may signal a potential reversal.
Signal Generation:
Generate entry signals when all three indicators align:
Bullish Signal:
Lower wick trend increasing.
Supertrend bullish.
RSI rising from oversold.
Bearish Signal:
Upper wick trend increasing.
Supertrend bearish.
RSI falling from overbought.
Future Improvements
Alert System:
Add alerts for alignment of Supertrend, RSI, and wick trends:
pinescript
Kodu kopyala
alertcondition(upper_trend_direction == 1 and supertrend < close and rsi > 50, title="Bullish Signal", message="Bullish alignment detected.")
alertcondition(lower_trend_direction == 1 and supertrend > close and rsi < 50, title="Bearish Signal", message="Bearish alignment detected.")
Custom Thresholds:
Add thresholds for wick lengths and RSI levels to filter weak signals.
Multiple Timeframes:
Incorporate multi-timeframe analysis for more robust signal generation.
Conclusion
This script combines wick trends, Supertrend, and RSI to create a comprehensive framework for analyzing market sentiment and detecting potential trading opportunities. By visualizing trends, market bias, and momentum, traders can make more informed decisions and reduce reliance on single-indicator strategies.
MACD+RSI+BBDESCRIPTION
The MACD + RSI + Bollinger Bands Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed for traders and investors to identify potential market trends and reversals. This script combines three indicators: the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands. Each of these indicators provides unique insights into market behavior.
FEATURES
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.
The script calculates the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram, which visually represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
The script allows users to set custom upper and lower thresholds for the RSI, with default values of 70 and 30, respectively.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (EMA) and two outer bands (standard deviations away from the EMA). They help traders identify volatility and potential price reversals.
The script allows users to customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Color-Coding Logic
The histogram color changes based on the following conditions:
Black: If the RSI is above the upper threshold and the closing price is above the upper Bollinger Band, or if the RSI is below the lower threshold and the closing price is below the lower Bollinger Band.
Green (#4caf50): If the RSI is above the upper threshold but the closing price is not above the upper Bollinger Band.
Light Green (#a5d6a7): If the histogram is positive and the RSI is not above the upper threshold.
Red (#f23645): If the RSI is below the lower threshold but the closing price is not below the lower Bollinger Band.
Light Red (#faa1a4): If the histogram is negative and the RSI is not below the lower threshold.
Inputs
Bollinger Bands Settings
Length: The number of periods for the moving average.
Basis MA Type: The type of moving average (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA).
Source: The price source for the Bollinger Bands calculation.
StdDev: The multiplier for the standard deviation.
RSI Settings
RSI Length: The number of periods for the RSI calculation.
RSI Upper: The upper threshold for the RSI.
RSI Lower: The lower threshold for the RSI.
Source: The price source for the RSI calculation.
MACD Settings
Fast Length: The length for the fast moving average.
Slow Length: The length for the slow moving average.
Signal Smoothing: The length for the signal line smoothing.
Oscillator MA Type: The type of moving average for the MACD calculation.
Signal Line MA Type: The type of moving average for the signal line.
Usage
This indicator is suitable for various trading strategies, including day trading, swing trading, and long-term investing.
Traders can use the MACD histogram to identify potential buy and sell signals, while the RSI can help confirm overbought or oversold conditions.
The Bollinger Bands provide context for price volatility and potential breakout or reversal points.
Example:
From the example, it can clearly see that the Selling Climax and Buying Climax, marked as orange circle when a black histogram occurs.
Conclusion
The MACD + RSI + Bollinger Bands Indicator is a versatile tool that combines multiple technical analysis methods to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions. By utilizing this script, traders can enhance their analysis and improve their decision-making process.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve 2024The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve is a concept used to analyze Bitcoin's price movements over time. The idea is based on the observation that Bitcoin's price tends to grow exponentially, particularly during bull markets. It attempts to give a long-term perspective on the Bitcoin price movements.
The curve includes an upper and lower band. These bands often represent zones where Bitcoin's price is overextended (upper band) or undervalued (lower band) relative to its historical growth trajectory. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may indicate a speculative bubble, while prices near the lower band may suggest a buying opportunity.
Unlike most Bitcoin growth curve indicators, this one includes a logarithmic growth curve optimized using the latest 2024 price data, making it, in our view, superior to previous models. Additionally, it features statistical confidence intervals derived from linear regression, compatible across all timeframes, and extrapolates the data far into the future. Finally, this model allows users the flexibility to manually adjust the function parameters to suit their preferences.
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve has the following function:
y = 10^(a * log10(x) - b)
In the context of this formula, the y value represents the Bitcoin price, while the x value corresponds to the time, specifically indicated by the weekly bar number on the chart.
How is it made (You can skip this section if you’re not a fan of math):
To optimize the fit of this function and determine the optimal values of a and b, the previous weekly cycle peak values were analyzed. The corresponding x and y values were recorded as follows:
113, 18.55
240, 1004.42
451, 19128.27
655, 65502.47
The same process was applied to the bear market low values:
103, 2.48
267, 211.03
471, 3192.87
676, 16255.15
Next, these values were converted to their linear form by applying the base-10 logarithm. This transformation allows the function to be expressed in a linear state: y = a * x − b. This step is essential for enabling linear regression on these values.
For the cycle peak (x,y) values:
2.053, 1.268
2.380, 3.002
2.654, 4.282
2.816, 4.816
And for the bear market low (x,y) values:
2.013, 0.394
2.427, 2.324
2.673, 3.504
2.830, 4.211
Next, linear regression was performed on both these datasets. (Numerous tools are available online for linear regression calculations, making manual computations unnecessary).
Linear regression is a method used to find a straight line that best represents the relationship between two variables. It looks at how changes in one variable affect another and tries to predict values based on that relationship.
The goal is to minimize the differences between the actual data points and the points predicted by the line. Essentially, it aims to optimize for the highest R-Square value.
Below are the results:
It is important to note that both the slope (a-value) and the y-intercept (b-value) have associated standard errors. These standard errors can be used to calculate confidence intervals by multiplying them by the t-values (two degrees of freedom) from the linear regression.
These t-values can be found in a t-distribution table. For the top cycle confidence intervals, we used t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), and t33% (0.414). For the bottom cycle confidence intervals, the t-values used were t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), t33% (0.414), t50% (0.765), and t67% (1.063).
The final bull cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.058 ± 0.133 * log10(x) – 6.44 ± 0.324)
The final bear cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.684 ± 0.025 * log10(x) – -9.034 ± 0.063)
The main Criticisms of growth curve models:
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve model faces several general criticisms that we’d like to highlight briefly. The most significant, in our view, is its heavy reliance on past price data, which may not accurately forecast future trends. For instance, previous growth curve models from 2020 on TradingView were overly optimistic in predicting the last cycle’s peak.
This is why we aimed to present our process for deriving the final functions in a transparent, step-by-step scientific manner, including statistical confidence intervals. It's important to note that the bull cycle function is less reliable than the bear cycle function, as the top band is significantly wider than the bottom band.
Even so, we still believe that the Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve presented in this script is overly optimistic since it goes parly against the concept of diminishing returns which we discussed in this post:
This is why we also propose alternative parameter settings that align more closely with the theory of diminishing returns.
Our recommendations:
Drawing on the concept of diminishing returns, we propose alternative settings for this model that we believe provide a more realistic forecast aligned with this theory. The adjusted parameters apply only to the top band: a-value: 3.637 ± 0.2343 and b-parameter: -5.369 ± 0.6264. However, please note that these values are highly subjective, and you should be aware of the model's limitations.
Conservative bull cycle model:
y = 10^(3.637 ± 0.2343 * log10(x) - 5.369 ± 0.6264)
Extreme Entry with Mean Reversion and Trend FilterThis non-repainting indicator is an improved version of my previous work, a more versatile tool designed to provide traders with dynamic and adaptive entry signals while incorporating a mean reversion and trend filtering mechanism. By combining RSI overbought/oversold, regular divergence and confirmatory momentum oscillator such as CCI or MOM, this indicator generates more precise and timely signals for entering trades.
The indicator offers a comprehensive set of entry conditions for both Buy and Sell entries:
• For Buy entries, it checks for oversold conditions based on RSI levels, and detects bullish divergence patterns while oversold and it identifies upward crossovers in the selected entry signal source (CCI or Momentum).
• Similarly, for Sell entries, it identifies downward crossovers of the CCI or Mom, after the recent overbought conditions, and bearish divergence patterns inside the overbought RSI.
To refine the entry signals even further, the indicator utilizes a mean reversion filter. Traders can choose to display signals that occur inside or outside the upper and lower mean reversion bands:
• Range Entries are indicating potential buying opportunities near the lower band and selling opportunities near the upper band. This is based on the concept of mean reversion, which suggests that prices tend to return to the average when they reach the upper or lower bands. By focusing on these signals, traders can take advantage of price movements that have a higher probability of reversing towards the mean.
• Extreme Entries, on the other hand, represent signals that occur outside of the bands, signaling potential pullbacks during strong trends. By entering positions only at extreme highs or lows, traders can avoid getting caught in the middle of the trend. This approach helps traders capitalize more favorable trading opportunities which have a high reward-risk ratio.
Trend Filter acts as a directional bias for the entry signals. When enabled, long and short entry conditions are filtered based on the relationship between the closing price and the EMA.
Traders have the flexibility to customize, tweak the indicator filter and values in the settings according to their preferences strategies and traded assets, tailoring the signals to their specific needs. The script sets alert conditions to trigger alerts for buy, sell, or both entry signals. This indicator can be used in conjunction with price action or other technical analysis tools for confirmation and better trading decisions.
I created this indicator for my own use, and I share this for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice so use at your own risk and consider your financial situation before making any trading decisions. The indicator's accuracy is not guaranteed, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
I appreciate your feedback on this indicator. As I am new to script development, I am open to comments and suggestions to improve it. If you encounter any issues while using this indicator, please let me know in the comments section. If you find it helpful, I kindly ask for your support in boosting it. Thank you for your cooperation.
Nadaraya-Watson non repainting [LPWN]// ENGLISH
The problem of the wonderfuls Nadaraya-Watson indicators is that they repainting, @jdehorty made an aproximation of the Nadaraya-Watson Estimator using raational Quadratic Kernel so i used this indicator as inspiration i just added the Upper and lower band using ATR with this we get an aproximation of Nadaraya-Watson Envelope without repainting
Settings:
Bandwidth. This is the number of bars that the indicator will use as a lookback window.
Relative Weighting Parameter. The alpha parameter for the Rational Quadratic Kernel function. This is a hyperparameter that controls the smoothness of the curve. A lower value of alpha will result in a smoother, more stretched-out curve, while a lower value will result in a more wiggly curve with a tighter fit to the data. As this parameter approaches 0, the longer time frames will exert more influence on the estimation, and as it approaches infinity, the curve will become identical to the one produced by the Gaussian Kernel.
Color Smoothing. Toggles the mechanism for coloring the estimation plot between rate of change and cross over modes.
ATR Period. Period to calculate the ATR (upper and lower bands)
Multiplier. Separation of the bands
// SPANISH
El problema de los maravillosos indicadores de Nadaraya-Watson es que repintan, @jdehorty hizo una aproximación delNadaraya-Watson Estimator usando un Kernel cuadrático racional, así que usé este indicador como inspiración y solo agregamos la banda superior e inferior usando ATR con esto obtenemos una aproximación de Nadaraya-Watson Envelope sin volver a pintar
Configuración:
Banda ancha. Este es el número de barras que el indicador utilizará como ventana retrospectiva.
Parámetro de ponderación relativa. El parámetro alfa para la función Rational Quadratic Kernel. Este es un hiperparámetro que controla la suavidad de la curva. Un valor más bajo de alfa dará como resultado una curva más suave y estirada, mientras que un valor más bajo dará como resultado una curva más ondulada con un ajuste más ajustado a los datos. A medida que este parámetro se acerque a 0, los marcos de tiempo más largos ejercerán más influencia en la estimación y, a medida que se acerque al infinito, la curva será idéntica a la que produce el Gaussian Kernel.
Suavizado de color. Alterna el mecanismo para colorear el gráfico de estimación entre la tasa de cambio y los modos cruzados.
Período ATR. Periodo para calcular el ATR (bandas superior e inferior)
Multiplicador. Separación de las bandas
ORB + Session VWAP Pro (London & NY) — fixedORB + Session VWAP Pro (London & NY) — Listing copy (EN)
What it is
A clean, non-repainting intraday tool that fuses the classic Opening Range Breakout (ORB) with a session-anchored VWAP filter for London and New York. It highlights only the higher-quality breakouts (above/below session VWAP), adds an optional retest confirmation, and scores each signal with an intuitive Confidence metric (0–100).
Why it works
• ORB provides the day’s first actionable structure (range high/low).
• Session VWAP filters “cheap” breaks and favors flows aligned with session value.
• Optional retest reduces first-tick whipsaws.
• Confidence blends breakout depth (vs ATR), VWAP slope and band distance.
Key visuals
• LDN/NY OR High/Low (line break style) + optional OR boxes.
• Active Session VWAP (resets per signal window; falls back to daily VWAP outside).
• Optional VWAP bands (stdev or %).
• Session shading (London/NY windows).
• Signal markers (LDN BUY/SELL, NY BUY/SELL) fired with cooldown.
Signals
• London Long / Short: Break of LDN OR High/Low ± ATR buffer, aligned with VWAP side.
• NY Long / Short: Same logic during NY window.
• Retest (optional): Requires a tag back to the OR level ± tolerance before confirmation.
• Confidence: 0–100; gate via Min Confidence (default 55).
Inputs that matter
• Open Range Length (min): Default 15.
• London/NY times & timezones.
• ATR buffer & retest tolerance.
• Bands mode: Stdev (with lookback) or % (e.g., 1%).
• Signal cooldown: Avoids clutter on fast moves.
Non-repaint policy
• OR lines build within fixed time windows using the current bar’s timestamp.
• VWAP is cumulative within the session window; no lookahead.
• All ta.crossover/ta.crossunder are precomputed every bar (no conditional execution).
• Signals are based on live bar values, not future bars.
⸻
Quick start (examples)
1) EURUSD, London momentum
• Chart: 5m or 15m.
• OR: 15 min starting 08:00 Europe/London.
• Signals: Use defaults; keep ATR buffer = 0.2 and Retest = ON, Min Confidence ≥ 55.
• Play:
• BUY when price breaks LDN OR High + buffer and stays above VWAP; retest confirms.
• Trail behind VWAP or band #1; partials into band #2.
2) NAS100, New York breakout & run
• Chart: 5m.
• NY window: 09:30 America/New_York, OR = 15 min.
• Retest OFF on high momentum days; Min Confidence ≥ 60.
• Use band mode Stdev, bandLen=50, show ±1/±2.
• Momentum continuation: add on pullbacks that hold above VWAP after the breakout.
3) XAUUSD, London fake & VWAP fade
• Chart: 5m.
• Keep Retest ON; accept only shorts that break OR Low but retest fails back under VWAP.
• Confidence gate ≥ 50 to allow more mean-reversion setups.
⸻
Pro tips
• Adjust ATR buffer to the instrument: FX 0.15–0.25, indices 0.20–0.35, metals 0.20–0.30.
• Retest ON for choppy conditions; OFF for news momentum.
• Use VWAP bands: take partials at ±1; stretch targets at ±2/±3.
• Session timezones are explicit (London/New York). Ensure they match your instrument’s behavior.
• Pair with a higher-TF bias (e.g., 1H/4H trend) for directional filtering.
⸻
Alerts (ready to use)
• ORB+SVWAP — LDN Long, LDN Short, NY Long, NY Short
(Respect your cooldown; alerts fire only after confirmation and confidence gate.)
⸻
Known limits & notes
• Designed for intraday. On 1D+ charts, session windows compress.
• If your broker session differs from London/NY clocks on a holiday, adjust input times.
• Session-anchored VWAP uses the script’s signal window, not exchange sessions, by design.
S/R Clouds Overview
The S/R Clouds Indicator is a sophisticated TradingView tool designed to visualize support and resistance levels through dynamic cloud formations. Built on the principles of Keltner Channels, it employs a central moving average enveloped by volatility-based bands to highlight potential price reversal zones. This indicator enhances chart analysis with customizable aesthetics and practical alerts, making it suitable for traders across various strategies and timeframes.
Key Features
Dynamic Bands: Calculates upper and lower bands using a configurable moving average (SMA or EMA) offset by multiples of the average true range (derived from high-low ranges), capturing volatility deviations for precise S/R identification.
Cloud Visualization: Renders semi-transparent clouds between primary and extended bands, providing a clear, layered view of support (lower) and resistance (upper) areas.
Trend Detection: Incorporates a trend state logic based on price position relative to bands and moving average direction, aiding in bullish/bearish market assessments.
Customization Options:
Select from multiple color themes (e.g., Neon, Grayscale) or use custom colors for bands.
Enable glow effects for enhanced visual depth and adjust opacity for chart clarity.
Volatility Insights: Monitors band width to detect squeezes (low volatility) and expansions (high volatility), signaling potential breakouts.
Alerts System: Triggers notifications for price crossings of bands, trend changes, and other key events to support timely decision-making.
How It Works
At its core, the indicator centers on a user-defined period moving average. Volatility is measured via an exponential moving average of the high-low range, multiplied by adjustable factors to form the bands. This setup creates adaptive clouds that expand/contract with market volatility, offering a more responsive alternative to static S/R lines. The result is a clean, professional overlay that integrates seamlessly with other technical tools.
This high-quality indicator prioritizes usability and visual appeal, ensuring traders can focus on analysis without distraction.
GCM Volatility-Adaptive Trend ChannelScript Description
Name: GCM Volatility-Adaptive Trend Channel (GCM VATC)
Overview
The GCM Volatility-Adaptive Trend Channel (VATC) is a comprehensive trading tool that merges the low-lag, smooth-trending capabilities of the Jurik Moving Average (JMA) with the classic volatility analysis of Bollinger Bands (BB).
By displaying both trend and volatility in a single, intuitive interface, this indicator aims to help traders see when a trend is stable versus when it's becoming volatile and might be poised for a change.
Core Components:
JMA Trend System: At its core are three dynamically colored JMA lines (Baseline, Fast, and Slow) that provide a clear view of trend direction. The lines change color based on their slope, offering immediate visual feedback on momentum. A colored ribbon between the Baseline and Fast JMA visualizes shorter-term momentum shifts.
Standard Bollinger Bands: Layered on top are standard Bollinger Bands. Calculated from the price, these bands serve as a classic measure of market volatility. They help identify periods where the market is expanding (high volatility) or contracting (low volatility).
How to Use It
By combining these two powerful concepts, this indicator provides a unified view of both trend and volatility. It can help traders to:
Identify the primary trend direction using the smooth JMA lines.
Gauge the strength and stability of that trend.
See when the market is becoming volatile (bands widening) or consolidating (bands contracting), which can often precede a significant price move or a change in trend.
A Note on Originality & House Rules Compliance
This indicator does not introduce a new mathematical formula. Instead, its strength lies in the thoughtful combination of two well-respected, publicly available concepts: the Jurik Moving Average and Bollinger Bands. The JMA implementation is a standard public version. The goal was to create a practical, all-in-one tool for trend and volatility analysis.
This script is published as fully open-source in compliance with TradingView's House Rules. It utilizes standard, publicly available algorithms and does not contain any protected or hidden code.
Settings
All lengths, sources, and colors for the JMA lines and Bollinger Bands are fully customizable in the settings menu, allowing you to tailor the indicator to your specific trading style and asset.
I hope with this indicator Traders even Beginner can can control their emotions which increase the probabilities of the winning rates and cutting the losing strength
Purposely I Didn't plant the High low or Buy Sell signals in the chart. Because everything is in the chart where volatility Signal with the Bollinger Band and Buy Sell Signal in the JMA Dynamic colors. and that's enough to decide when to take trade and when not to.
Thank You and Happy Trading
Zone Shift [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
Zone Shift is a dynamic trend detection tool that uses EMA/HMA-based bands to determine trend shifts and plot key reaction levels. It highlights trend direction through colored candles and marks important retests with visual cues to help traders stay aligned with momentum.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Dynamic EMA-HMA Band:
Creates a three-line channel using the average of an EMA and HMA for the midline, and expands it using average candle range to form upper and lower bounds. This band visually adapts to market volatility.
float ema = ta.ema(close, length)
float hma = ta.hma(close, length-40)
float dist = ta.sma(high-low, 200)
float mid = math.avg(ema, hma)
float top = mid + dist
float bot = mid - dist
Trend Detection (Band Cross Logic):
Detects an uptrend when the Low crosses above the top band.
Detects a downtrend when the High crosses below the bottom band.
Bars change color to lime for uptrends and blue for downtrends.
Trend Initiation Level:
At the start of a new trend, the indicator locks in the extreme point (low for uptrend, high for downtrend) and plots a dashed horizontal level, serving as a potential retest zone.
Trend Retest Signal:
If price crosses back over the Trend Initiation level in the direction of the trend, a diamond label (⯁) is plotted at the retest point — confirming that price is revisiting a key shift level.
Visual Band Layout:
Midline: Dashed line shows the average of EMA and HMA.
Top/Bottom: Solid lines showing dynamic thresholds above/below the midline.
These help visualize compression, expansion, and possible breakout zones.
Color-Based Candle Plotting:
Candles are recolored in real time according to the current trend, allowing instant visual alignment with the market’s directional bias.
Noise-Filtered Retests:
To avoid repetitive signals, retests are only marked if they occur more than 5 bars after the previous one — filtering out minor fluctuations.
⯁ USAGE
Use colored candles to align trades with the dominant trend.
Treat dashed trendStart levels as important support/resistance zones.
Watch for ⯁ diamond labels as confirmation of retests for continuation or entry.
Use band boundaries to assess trend strength and volatility expansion.
Combine with your existing setups to validate momentum and zone shifts.
⯁ CONCLUSION
Zone Shift helps traders visually capture trend changes and key reaction points with precision. By combining band breakouts with real-time retest signals and trend-colored candles, this tool simplifies the process of reading market structure shifts and identifying high-confluence entry areas.
RSI Games 1.2he "RSI Games 1.2" indicator enhances the standard RSI by adding several layers of analysis:
Standard RSI Calculation: It calculates the RSI based on a configurable length (default 14 periods) and a user-selected source (default close price).
RSI Bands: It plots horizontal lines at 70 (red, overbought), 50 (yellow, neutral), and 30 (green, oversold) to easily identify extreme RSI levels.
RSI Smoothing with Moving Averages (MAs) and Bollinger Bands (BBs):
You can apply various types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to smooth the RSI line.
If you choose "SMA + Bollinger Bands," the indicator will also plot Bollinger Bands around the smoothed RSI, providing dynamic overbought/oversold levels based on volatility.
The RSI line itself changes color based on whether it's above (green) or below (red) its smoothing MA.
It also fills the area between the RSI and its smoothing MA, coloring it green when RSI is above and red when below.
Bollinger Band Signals: When Bollinger Bands are enabled, the indicator marks "Buy" signals (green arrow up) when the RSI crosses above the lower Bollinger Band and "Sell" signals (red arrow down) when it crosses below the upper Bollinger Band.
Background Coloring: The background of the indicator pane changes to light green when RSI is below 30 (oversold) and light red when RSI is above 70 (overbought), visually highlighting extreme conditions.
Divergence Detection: This is a key feature. The indicator automatically identifies and labels:
Regular Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low. This often signals a potential reversal to the upside.
Regular Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but RSI makes a lower high. This often signals a potential reversal to the downside.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price makes a higher low, but RSI makes a lower low. This can indicate a continuation of an uptrend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price makes a lower high, but RSI makes a higher high. This can indicate a continuation of a downtrend.
Divergences are visually marked with labels and can trigger alerts.
Money NoodleMoney Noodle Indicator - How It Works
The Money Noodle indicator is a trend-following and support/resistance tool that combines multiple exponential moving averages (EMAs) with dynamic volatility-based bands to create a comprehensive trading system.
Core Components
1. Triple EMA System ("The Noodles")
Fast EMA (12): Most responsive to price changes, shows short-term momentum
Medium EMA (21): Intermediate trend direction
Slow EMA (35): Main trend line that acts as the central reference point
The "noodle" effect comes from how these three EMAs weave around each other and the price action, creating curved, flowing lines that resemble noodles.
2. Dynamic Volatility Bands
Upper Band: Main EMA + (ATR × Band Multiplier)
Lower Band: Main EMA - (ATR × Band Multiplier)
Uses a 20-period ATR (Average True Range) to measure market volatility
Band width automatically adjusts - wider during volatile periods, tighter during consolidation
How It Functions
Trend Identification:
When all three EMAs are aligned (fast > medium > slow), it indicates a strong uptrend
When EMAs are inverted (fast < medium < slow), it signals a downtrend
EMA crossovers provide early trend change signals
Support & Resistance:
The bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels
Price tends to bounce off the bands during trending markets
Band breaks often signal strong momentum moves or trend changes
Volatility Assessment:
Band width indicates market volatility - wider bands = higher volatility
ATR-based calculation makes the bands adaptive to current market conditions
The 0.0125 multiplier provides optimal sensitivity for most timeframes
Trading Applications
Entry Signals:
Buy when price bounces off the lower band with EMA alignment
Sell when price bounces off the upper band against the trend
Breakout trades when price decisively breaks through bands
Trend Following:
Use the main EMA (35) as your trend filter
Trade in the direction of EMA alignment
The "noodles" help identify trend strength - tighter = stronger trend
Risk Management:
Bands provide natural stop-loss levels
Band width helps size positions (wider bands = smaller size due to higher volatility)
The indicator works best on daily timeframes and provides a visual, intuitive way to read market structure, trend direction, and volatility all in one tool.
Dynamic VWAP Levels (V1.0)The script calculates bands around the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) using the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust the levels according to market reality. Buy and sell signals are generated when the price crosses these bands.
Customizable Parameters SmoothingLength (SmoothLength): The period used to smooth the levels. A higher value results in smoother bands that are less susceptible to rapid fluctuations.
Use EMA for smoothing?: Selects between using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or the Simple Moving Average (SMA) for smoothing.
ATR Length: The period used to calculate the ATR, which determines the frequency.
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier that adjusts the amplitude of the bands around the VWAP.
How the Script Works Calculating VWAP and Bands: The VWAP is calculated to obtain the volume weighted average price.
Bands are created around the VWAP by adding or subtracting a fraction of the ATR to account for the current market variation.
Smoothing Application: Price levels are smoothed to reduce market noise, allowing for better visualization of trends.
Signal Generation: Buy Signal: Generated when price crosses upwards the smoothed lower band (default dp7_smooth).
Sell Signal: Generated when price crosses downwards the smoothed upper band (default dp1_smooth).
Half-Trend Channel [BigBeluga]Half Trend Channel is a powerful trend-following indicator designed to identify trend direction, fakeouts, and potential reversal points. The combination of upper/lower bands, midline coloring, and specific signals makes it ideal for spotting trend continuation and market reversals.
The base of the channel is calculated using smoothed half-trend logic.
// Initialize half trend on the first bar
if barstate.isfirst
hl_t := close
// Update half trend value based on conditions
switch
closeMA < hl_t and highestHigh < hl_t => hl_t := highestHigh
closeMA > hl_t and lowestLow > hl_t => hl_t := lowestLow
=> hl_t := hl_t
// Smooth
float s_hlt = ta.hma(hl_t, len)
🔵 Key Features:
Upper and Lower Bands:
The bands adapt dynamically to market volatility.
Price movements toward the bands help identify areas of overextension and potential reversal points.
Midline Trend Signal:
The midline changes color to reflect the current trend:
Green Midline: Indicates an uptrend.
Purple Midline: Signals a downtrend.
Fakeout Signals ("X"):
"X" markers appear when price briefly breaches the outer bands but fails to sustain the move.
Fakeouts help traders identify areas where price momentum weakens.
Reversal Signals (Triangles):
Triangles (▲ and ▼) mark potential tops and bottoms:
▲ Up Triangles: Suggest a potential bottom and a reversal to the upside.
▼ Down Triangles: Indicate a potential top and a reversal to the downside.
Dynamic Trend Labels:
At the last bar, the indicator displays labels like "Trend Up" or "Trend Dn" , reflecting the current trend direction.
🔵 Usage:
Use the colored midline to determine the overall trend direction.
Monitor "X" fakeout signals to spot failed breakouts or momentum exhaustion near the bands.
Watch for reversal triangles (▲ and ▼) to identify potential trend reversals at tops or bottoms.
Combine the bands and midline signals to confirm trade entries and exits:
Enter long trades when price bounces off the lower band with a green midline.
Consider short trades when price reverses from the upper band with a purple midline.
Use the trend label (e.g., "Trend Up" or "Trend Dn") for quick confirmation of the current market state.
The Half Trend Channel is an essential tool for traders who want to follow trends, avoid fakeouts, and identify reliable tops and bottoms to optimize their trading decisions.
GOLDEN RSI by @thejamiulGOLDEN RSI thejamiul is a versatile Relative Strength Index (RSI)-based tool designed to provide enhanced visualization and additional insights into market trends and potential reversal points. This indicator improves upon the traditional RSI by integrating gradient fills for overbought/oversold zones and divergence detection features, making it an excellent choice for traders who seek precise and actionable signals.
Source of this indicator : This indicator is based on @TradingView original RSI indicator with a little bit of customisation to enhance overbought and oversold identification.
Key Features
1. Customizable RSI Settings:
RSI Length: Adjust the RSI calculation period to suit your trading style (default: 14).
Source Selection: Choose the price source (e.g., close, open, high, low) for RSI calculation.
2. Gradient-Filled RSI Zones:
Overbought Zone (80-100): Gradient fill with shades of green to indicate strong bullish conditions.
Oversold Zone (0-20): Gradient fill with shades of red to highlight strong bearish conditions.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
Upper Band: 80
Middle Bands: 60 (bullish) and 40 (bearish)
Lower Band: 20
These levels help identify overbought, oversold, and neutral zones.
4. Divergence Detection:
Bullish Divergence: Detects lower lows in price with corresponding higher lows in RSI, signaling potential upward reversals.
Bearish Divergence: Detects higher highs in price with corresponding lower highs in RSI, indicating potential downward reversals.
Visual Indicators:
Bullish divergence is marked with green labels and line plots.
Bearish divergence is marked with red labels and line plots.
5. Alert Functionality:
Custom Alerts: Set up alerts for bullish or bearish divergences to stay notified of potential trading opportunities without constant chart monitoring.
6. Enhanced Chart Visualization:
RSI Plot: A smooth and visually appealing RSI curve.
Color Coding: Gradient and fills for better distinction of trading zones.
Pivot Labels: Clear identification of divergence points on the RSI plot.
Enhanced Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with Bollinger B# Enhanced Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with Bollinger Bands
## Overview
This indicator combines the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with Bollinger Bands to create a comprehensive trading system. It provides adaptive trend following capabilities while measuring market volatility and potential reversal points.
## Key Features
- Adaptive moving average that adjusts to market conditions
- Dynamic Bollinger Bands for volatility measurement
- Color-coded KAMA line indicating trend direction
- Integrated buy/sell signals based on multiple confirmations
- Customizable parameters for both KAMA and Bollinger Bands
- Optional bar confirmation wait feature
- Built-in alert conditions for trade signals
## Main Components
### 1. Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA)
- Adapts to market volatility using an efficiency ratio
- Changes color based on trend direction (green for uptrend, red for downtrend)
- Adjustable parameters for fine-tuning:
- Base Length: Controls the main calculation period (default: 10)
- Fast EMA Length: For rapid market response (default: 2)
- Slow EMA Length: For stable market conditions (default: 30)
### 2. Bollinger Bands
- Standard deviation-based volatility bands
- Customizable length and standard deviation multiplier
- Includes expansion threshold for volatility measurement
- Components:
- Upper Band: Upper volatility threshold
- Middle Band: Simple moving average
- Lower Band: Lower volatility threshold
## Signal Generation
### Buy Signals
Generated when:
1. KAMA color changes from red to green
2. Price closes above KAMA
3. Price closes above the middle Bollinger Band
4. Signals are marked with:
- Green triangles below the candles
- "B" labels for easy identification
### Sell Signals
Generated when:
1. KAMA color changes from green to red
2. Price closes below KAMA
3. Price closes below the middle Bollinger Band
4. Signals are marked with:
- Red triangles above the candles
- "S" labels for easy identification
## Customizable Parameters
### KAMA Settings
- Base Length (1-50)
- Fast EMA Length (1-10)
- Slow EMA Length (10-50)
- Source Price Selection
- Direction Highlight Toggle
- Bar Confirmation Option
### Bollinger Bands Settings
- Length (default: 20)
- Standard Deviation Multiplier (default: 2.0)
- Expansion Threshold (0.1-3.0)
## Alert Functionality
Built-in alerts for:
- Buy signals with customizable messages
- Sell signals with customizable messages
## Best Practices
### Timeframe Selection
- Works well on multiple timeframes
- Recommended for 15m to 4h charts for optimal signal generation
- Higher timeframes provide more reliable trend signals
### Parameter Optimization
- Adjust KAMA lengths based on trading style:
- Shorter lengths for day trading
- Longer lengths for swing trading
- Fine-tune BB multiplier based on market volatility
- Consider waiting for bar confirmation in volatile markets
### Risk Management
- Use in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation
- Consider market conditions and volatility when trading signals
- Implement proper position sizing and stop-loss levels
## Technical Notes
- Written in Pine Script™ v6
- Overlay indicator (displays on price chart)
- Compatible with all TradingView-supported markets
- Resource-efficient implementation for smooth performance
## Disclaimer
This indicator is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. While it can be a valuable tool for technical analysis, it should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with proper risk management and additional analysis methods.
Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 | RSI, MACD, ATR, EMA, Boll.BITGET:1INCHUSDT
This Pine Script code for TradingView is a multifactor Buy/Sell indicator that combines several technical factors to generate trading signals based on trend, volatility, and volume conditions. Here’s a breakdown of the main components and functionality:
Indicator Name
- Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 — an overlay indicator applied directly on the price chart.
### Input Parameters
The script includes multiple customizable parameters:
- RSI, EMA, MACD parameters — for setting periods and signals of MACD and RSI.
- ATR and Bollinger Bands — used for volatility analysis and level determination.
- Minimum Volatility Threshold — sets a minimum Bollinger Band width threshold for determining high volatility.
Core Indicators
1. RSI — calculated to identify oversold (below 30) and overbought (above 70) conditions.
2. EMA and MACD — calculates exponential moving averages and MACD histogram to determine trend direction.
3. ATR and Bollinger Bands — used to assess current volatility and establish dynamic upper and lower bands.
Volatility and Volume Analysis
- Determines the current ATR level and Bollinger Band width to evaluate high volatility.
- Calculates the volume moving average to track periods of increased volume during high volatility.
Trend Analysis
The script uses the difference between fast and slow EMAs to define strong trends:
- Uptrend — when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the price is above the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
- Downtrend — when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the price is below the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
Momentum Filter
- Based on the price change over the last three bars and compared against the minimum volatility threshold to identify strong momentum.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation
- Buy Signal: Uptrend with RSI oversold, positive MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
- Sell Signal: Downtrend with RSI overbought, negative MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
Visualization
- Buy and sell signals are displayed as green and red triangles on the chart.
- Plots for fast and slow EMAs, upper and lower bands, and Bollinger Bands.
Alerts
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, allowing notifications to be sent via email or mobile app.
Information Panel
A small table on the chart displays current volatility dataThis Pine Script code for TradingView is a multifactor Buy/Sell indicator that combines several technical factors to generate trading signals based on trend, volatility, and volume conditions. Here’s a breakdown of the main components and functionality:
Indicator Name
- Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 — an overlay indicator applied directly on the price chart.
Input Parameters
The script includes multiple customizable parameters:
- **RSI, EMA, MACD parameters** — for setting periods and signals of MACD and RSI.
- **ATR and Bollinger Bands** — used for volatility analysis and level determination.
- **Minimum Volatility Threshold** — sets a minimum Bollinger Band width threshold for determining high volatility.
Core Indicators
1. RSI — calculated to identify oversold (below 30) and overbought (above 70) conditions.
2. EMA and MACD — calculates exponential moving averages and MACD histogram to determine trend direction.
3. ATR and Bollinger Bands — used to assess current volatility and establish dynamic upper and lower bands.
Volatility and Volume Analysis
- Determines the current ATR level and Bollinger Band width to evaluate high volatility.
- Calculates the volume moving average to track periods of increased volume during high volatility.
Trend Analysis
The script uses the difference between fast and slow EMAs to define strong trends:
- Uptrend — when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the price is above the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
- Downtrend — when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the price is below the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
Momentum Filter
- Based on the price change over the last three bars and compared against the minimum volatility threshold to identify strong momentum.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation
- Buy Signal: Uptrend with RSI oversold, positive MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
- Sell Signal: Downtrend with RSI overbought, negative MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
Visualization
- Buy and sell signals are displayed as green and red triangles on the chart.
- Plots for fast and slow EMAs, upper and lower bands, and Bollinger Bands.
Alerts
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, allowing notifications to be sent via email or mobile app.
Information Panel
A small table on the chart displays current volatility
- Volatility Status — indicates high or low volatility.
- Bollinger Band Width — current width as a percentage.
- ATR Ratio — ratio of current ATR to long-term average ATR.
This script is suitable for trading in high-volatility conditions, combining multiple filters and factors to generate precise buy and sell signals.
Bitcoin Market Cap wave model weeklyThis Bitcoin Market Cap wave model indicator is rooted in the foundation of my previously developed tool, the : Bitcoin wave model
To derive the Total Market Cap from the Bitcoin wave price model, I employed a straightforward estimation for the Total Market Supply (TMS). This estimation relies on the formula:
TMS <= (1 - 2^(-h)) for any h.This equation holds true for any value of h, which will be elaborated upon shortly. It is important to note that this inequality becomes the equality at the dates of halvings, diverging only slightly during other periods.
Bitcoin wave model is based on the logarithmic regression model and the sinusoidal waves, induced by the halving events.
This chart presents the outcome of an in-depth analysis of the complete set of Bitcoin price data available from October 2009 to August 2023.
The central concept is that the logarithm of the Bitcoin price closely adheres to the logarithmic regression model. If we plot the logarithm of the price against the logarithm of time, it forms a nearly straight line.
The parameters of this model are provided in the script as follows: log(BTCUSD) = 1.48 + 5.44log(h).
The secondary concept involves employing the inherent time unit of Bitcoin instead of days:
'h' denotes a slightly adjusted time measurement intrinsic to the Bitcoin blockchain. It can be approximated as (days since the genesis block) * 0.0007. Precisely, 'h' is defined as follows: h = 0 at the genesis block, h = 1 at the first halving block, and so forth. In general, h = block height / 210,000.
Adjustments are made to account for variations in block creation time.
The third concept revolves around investigating halving waves triggered by supply shock events resulting from the halvings. These halvings occur at regular intervals in Bitcoin's native time 'h'. All halvings transpire when 'h' is an integer. These events induce waves with intervals denoted as h = 1.
Consequently, we can model these waves using a sin(2pih - a) function. The parameter determining the time shift is assessed as 'a = 0.4', aligning with earlier expectations for halving events and their subsequent outcomes.
The fourth concept introduces the notion that the waves gradually diminish in amplitude over the progression of "time h," diminishing at a rate of 0.7^h.
Lastly, we can create bands around the modeled sinusoidal waves. The upper band is derived by multiplying the sine wave by a factor of 3.1*(1-0.16)^h, while the lower band is obtained by dividing the sine wave by the same factor, 3.1*(1-0.16)^h.
The current bandwidth is 2.5x. That means that the upper band is 2.5 times the lower band. These bands are forming an exceptionally narrow predictive channel for Bitcoin. Consequently, a highly accurate estimation of the peak of the next cycle can be derived.
The prediction indicates that the zenith past the fourth halving, expected around the summer of 2025, could result in Total Bitcoin Market Cap ranging between 4B and 5B USD.
The projections to the future works well only for weekly timeframe.
Enjoy the mathematical insights!
Bitcoin wave modelBitcoin wave model is based on the logarithmic regression model and the sinusoidal waves, induced by the halving events.
This chart presents the outcome of an in-depth analysis of the complete set of Bitcoin price data available from October 2009 to August 2023.
The central concept is that the logarithm of the Bitcoin price closely adheres to the logarithmic regression model. If we plot the logarithm of the price against the logarithm of time, it forms a nearly straight line.
The parameters of this model are provided in the script as follows: log (BTCUSD) = 1.48 + 5.44log(h).
The secondary concept involves employing the inherent time unit of Bitcoin instead of days:
'h' denotes a slightly adjusted time measurement intrinsic to the Bitcoin blockchain. It can be approximated as (days since the genesis block) * 0.0007. Precisely, 'h' is defined as follows: h = 0 at the genesis block, h = 1 at the first halving block, and so forth. In general, h = block height / 210,000.
Adjustments are made to account for variations in block creation time.
The third concept revolves around investigating halving waves triggered by supply shock events resulting from the halvings. These halvings occur at regular intervals in Bitcoin's native time 'h'. All halvings transpire when 'h' is an integer. These events induce waves with intervals denoted as h = 1.
Consequently, we can model these waves using a sin(2pih - a) function. The parameter determining the time shift is assessed as 'a = 0.4', aligning with earlier expectations for halving events and their subsequent outcomes.
The fourth concept introduces the notion that the waves gradually diminish in amplitude over the progression of "time h," diminishing at a rate of 0.7^h.
Lastly, we can create bands around the modeled sinusoidal waves. The upper band is derived by multiplying the sine wave by a factor of 3.1*(1-0.16)^h, while the lower band is obtained by dividing the sine wave by the same factor, 3.1*(1-0.16)^h.
The current bandwidth is 2.5x. That means that the upper band is 2.5 times the lower band. These bands are forming an exceptionally narrow predictive channel for Bitcoin. Consequently, a highly accurate estimation of the peak of the next cycle can be derived.
The prediction indicates that the zenith past the fourth halving, expected around the summer of 2025, could result in prices ranging between 200,000 and 240,000 USD.
Enjoy the mathematical insights!
[CBB] Volatility Squeeze ToyThe main concept and features of this script are adapted from Mark Whistler's book "Volatility Illuminated". I have deviated from the use cases and strategies presented in the book, but the 3 Bollinger Bands use his optimized settings as the default length and standard deviation multiplier. Further insights into Mark's concepts and volatility research were gained by reading and watching some of TV user DadShark's materials (www.tradingview.com).
This script has been through many refinements and feature cycles, and I've added unrelated complimentary features not present in the book. The indicator is better studied than described, and unless you have read the book, any short summary of the material will just make you squint and think about the wrong things.
Here is a limited outline of features and concepts:
1. 3 Bollinger Bands of different length and/or deviation multiplier. Perhaps think of them as representing the various time frames that compression and expansion cycles and events manifest in, and also the expression of range, speed and price distribution within those time frames. You can gain insight into the magnitude of events based on how the three bands interact and stay contained, or not. If volatility is significant enough, all "time frames" represented by the bands will eventually record the event and subsequent price action, but the early signals will come from the spasms of the shortest, most volatile band. Many times the short band will contract again before, or just as it reaches a longer band, but in extreme cases, volatility will explode and all bands at all time frames will erupt in succession. In these cases you will see additional color representing shorter bands (lower time frame volatility in concept) traveling outside of longer bands. It is worth taking a look at the price levels and candles where these volatility bands cross each other.
2. In addition to the mean of the bands, there are a variety of other moving averages available to gauge trend, range, and areas of interest. This is accomplished with variable VWAP, ATR, smoothing, and a special derived loosely from the difference between them.
3. The bands are also used to derive conditions under which volatility is considered compressed, or in "squeeze" . Under these conditions the candles will turn yellow. Depending on your chart settings and indicator settings, these zones can be completely useless or drag on through fairly significant price action. Or, the can give you fantastic levels to watch for breakouts. The point is that volatility is compressed during these conditions, and you should expect the inevitable once this condition ends. Sometimes you can find yourself in a nice fat trend straight away, other times you may blow an account because you gorged your position based on arbitrary bar color. It's not like that. Pay attention to the highest and lowest bars of these squeeze ranges, and carefully observe future price action when it returns to these squeeze ranges. This info is more and more valuable at higher time frames.
The 3 bands, a smoothed long trend VWAP, and the squeeze condition colored bars are all active by default. All features can be shown or hidden on the control panel.
There are some deep market insights to mine if you live with this one for a while. As with any indicator, blunt "buy/sell here" approaches will lead to loss and frustration. however , if you pay attention to squeeze range, band/moving average confluence, high volume and/or large range candles their open/close behavior around these areas and squeeze ranges, you will start to catch the beginning of some powerful momentum moves.
Enjoy!
Central Limit Theorem Reversion IndicatorDear TV community, let me introduce you to the first-ever Central Limit Theorem indicator on TradingView.
The Central Limit Theorem is used in statistics and it can be quite useful in quant trading and understanding market behaviors.
In short, the CLT states: "When you take repeated samples from any population and calculate their averages, those averages will form a normal (bell curve) distribution—no matter what the original data looks like."
In this CLT indicator, I use statistical theory to identify high-probability mean reversion opportunities in the markets. It calculates statistical confidence bands and z-scores to identify when price movements deviate significantly from their expected distribution, signaling potential reversion opportunities with quantifiable probability levels.
Mathematical Foundation
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) says that when you average many data points together, those averages will form a predictable bell-curve pattern, even if the original data is completely random and unpredictable (which often is in the markets). This works no matter what you're measuring, and it gets more reliable as you use more data points.
Why using it for trading?
Individual price movements seem random and chaotic, but when we look at the average of many price movements, we can actually predict how they should behave statistically. This lets us spot when prices have moved "too far" from what's normal—and those extreme moves tend to snap back (mean reversion).
Key Formula:
Z = (X̄ - μ) / (σ / √n)
Where:
- X̄ = Sample mean (average return over n periods)
- μ = Population mean (long-term expected return)
- σ = Population standard deviation (volatility)
- n = Sample size
- σ/√n = Standard error of the mean
How I Apply CLT
Step 1: Calculate Returns
Measures how much price changed from one bar to the next (using logarithms for better statistical properties)
Step 2: Average Recent Returns
Takes the average of the last n returns (e.g., last 100 bars). This is your "sample mean."
Step 3: Find What's "Normal"
Looks at historical data to determine: a) What the typical average return should be (the long-term mean) and b) How volatile the market usually is (standard deviation)
Step 4: Calculate Standard Error
Determines how much sample averages naturally vary. Larger samples = smaller expected variation.
Step 5: Calculate Z-Score
Measures how unusual the current situation is.
Step 6: Draw Confidence Bands
Converts these statistical boundaries into actual price levels on your chart, showing where price is statistically expected to stay 95% and 99% of the time.
Interpretation & Usage
The Z-Score:
The z-score tells you how statistically unusual the current price deviation is:
|Z| < 1.0 → Normal behavior, no action
|Z| = 1.0 to 1.96 → Moderate deviation, watch closely
|Z| = 1.96 to 2.58 → Significant deviation (95%+), consider entry
|Z| > 2.58 → Extreme deviation (99%+), high probability setup
The Confidence Bands
- Upper Red Bands: 95% and 99% overbought zones → Expect mean reversion downward as the price is not likely to cross these lines.
- Center Gray Line: Statistical expectation (fair value)
- Lower Blue Bands: 95% and 99% oversold zones → Expect mean reversion upward
Trading Logic:
- When price exceeds the upper 95% band (z-score > +1.96), there's only a 5% probability this is random noise → Strong sell/short signal
- When price falls below the lower 95% band (z-score < -1.96), there's a 95% statistical expectation of upward reversion → Strong buy/long signal
Background Gradient
The background color provides real-time visual feedback:
- Blue shades: Oversold conditions, expect upward reversion
- Red shades: Overbought conditions, expect downward reversion
- Intensity: Darker colors indicate stronger statistical significance
Trading Strategy Examples
Hypothetically, this is how the indicator could be used:
- Long: Z-score < -1.96 (below 95% confidence band)
- Short: Z-score > +1.96 (above 95% confidence band)
- Take profit when price returns to center line (Z ≈ 0)
Input Parameters
Sample Size (n) - Default: 100
Lookback Period (m) - Default: 100
You can also create alerts based on the indicator.
Final notes:
- The indicator uses logarithmic returns for better statistical properties
- Converts statistical bands back to price space for practical use
- Adaptive volatility: Bands automatically widen in high volatility, narrow in low volatility
- No repainting: yay! All calculations use historical data only
Feedback is more than welcome!
Henri
Blue Dot Red DotInspired by Dr Wish
This script is a confluence indicator designed to identify potential trend reversals or "mean reversion" trade setups. It plots buy (blue) and sell (red) dots directly on your price chart.
The core strategy is to find moments where price is overextended (using Bollinger Bands) and momentum is simultaneously reversing (using the Stochastic Oscillator). A signal is only generated when both of these conditions are met.
Core Components
The script combines two classic technical indicators:
Bollinger Bands (BB):
These create a "channel" around the price based on a simple moving average (the basis) and a standard deviation (dev).
Upper Band: Basis + (2.0 * StdDev)
Lower Band: Basis - (2.0 * StdDev)
In this script, the bands are used to identify when the price has moved significantly far from its recent average, suggesting it's "overbought" (at the upper band) or "oversold" (at the lower band) and may be due for a pullback.
Stochastic Oscillator:
This is a momentum oscillator that compares a closing price to its price range over a certain period.
It consists of two lines: %K (the main, faster line) and %D (a moving average of %K, the slower signal line).
It's used to identify overbought and oversold momentum conditions and, more importantly, momentum shifts, which are signaled by the %K and %D lines crossing.
Signal Logic: How the Dots Are Generated
This script's "secret sauce" is that it demands three specific conditions to be true at the same time before plotting a dot.
🔵 Blue Dot (Buy Signal)
A blue dot will appear below a price bar if all three of these conditions are met:
Stochastic Crossover: The faster %K line crosses above the slower %D line (ta.crossover(k, d)). This signals that short-term momentum is starting to turn bullish.
Was Oversold: On the previous bar, the %K line was below the "Oversold Threshold" (was_oversold = k < oversold). This ensures the bullish crossover is happening from an oversold (or at least bearish) momentum state.
Note: The default oversold threshold is set to 50. This is a key detail. It means the script is looking for a bullish crossover that originates from anywhere in the bottom half of the Stochastic range, not just the traditional "extreme" oversold area (like 20).
Price Extension: Within the last 3 bars (the current bar or the two before it), the price's low must have touched or gone below the lower Bollinger Band (bb_touch_lower). This confirms that the price itself is in an "oversold" or overextended area.
In plain English: A blue dot appears when the price has recently dipped to an extreme low (touching the lower BB) and its underlying momentum has just started to turn back up (Stoch cross from the lower half).
🔴 Red Dot (Sell Signal)
A red dot will appear above a price bar if all three of these conditions are met:
Stochastic Crossunder: The faster %K line crosses below the slower %D line (ta.crossunder(k, d)). This signals that short-term momentum is starting to turn bearish.
Was Overbought: On the previous bar, the %K line was above the "Overbought Threshold" (was_overbought = k > overbought). The default for this is 80, which is a traditional overbought level.
Price Extension: Within the last 3 bars (the current bar or the two before it), the price's high must have touched or gone above the upper Bollinger Band (bb_touch_upper). This confirms that the price itself is in an "overbought" or overextended area.
A red dot appears when the price has recently spiked to an extreme high (touching the upper BB) and its underlying momentum has just started to roll over and turn back down (Stoch cross from the overbought zone).
