Ichimoku Cloud using Tilson T3 SmoothingThe standard Ichimoku Cloud is derived from Donchian Channels and is based on the range of the data set. However the channels are choppy and may not always be easy to read. By using moving averages, similar leading spans can be generated with a smoother outline. The T3 averages further smooths out the curve.
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "curve"
BTC Contango IndexInspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Contango and backwardation are terms used to define the structure of the forward curve. When a market is in contango, the forward price of a futures contract is higher than the spot price. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the forward price of the futures contract is lower than the spot price.
The aggregate prices on top exchanges are taken and then averaged to obtain a Spot Average and a Futures Average. The script then plots (Futures Average/Spot Average) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin.
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
XBT % ContangoSimilar to my other indicators, but measures XBTUSD Contango in terms of percent.
Also, built it so you could change the values that give the red and green signals. Default values are 0% or less (backwardation) indicates green. However, i found that a 0.5% setting worked will finding local bottoms for current contract of XBTH20 (March 2020). The upper value default is at 5%, and signals red when the next contract reaches over 5%.
My assumption is as BTC increases in value over time, measuring contango in terms of percent will be a better measure of the XBT futures curve.
Leverage Strategy and a few words on risk/opportunityHello traders,
I started this script as a joke for someone... finally appears it could be used for educational content
Let's talk about leverage and margin call
Margin Call
A margin call is the broker's demand that an investor deposit additional money or securities so that the account is brought up to the minimum value, known as the maintenance margin.
A margin call usually means that one or more of the securities held in the margin account has decreased in value below a certain point.
Leverage
A leverage is a system which allows the trader to open positions much larger than his own capital. ... “Leverage” usually refers to the ratio between the position value and the investment needed,
Strat
The strategy simulates long/short positions on a 4h high/low breakout based on the chart candle close.
The panel below shows the strategy equity curve. Activating the margin call option will show when the account would be margin called giving the settings
Casino
I'm not doing any financial recommendation here.
I made this strategy so that people include more risk management metrics into their strategy.
From the code, we see it's fairly easy to calculate a leveraged position size and a margin call flag - when that flag is hit, the system stops trading.
I simplified things to the extreme here but my point is that the leverage is a double-edge sword gift.
Assuming we always take the same position sizing, increasing the leverage speed up how fast a margin could be ..... called. (bad joke? feel free to tell me). Not saying it will, saying it introduces more risk by design.
Then one could say "I'll just turn off that stupid margin call option". And that's when someone starts backtesting with unrealistic market conditions.
Finally...
When I backtest I always assume the worst in every scenario possible (because I'm French), I always try to minimize the risk first (also because I'm French), keeping as close from 0 as possible (French again)
Then I add the "opportunity" component, looking to catch the maximum of opportunity while keeping the risk low.
It's like a Rubix cube puzzle - decreasing the risk is one side of the equation but whenever I try to catch more opportunity... my risks increases.
Then I update my risk... and now the opportunity decreases... (#wut #wen #simple)
Completely removing the risk from a trading strategy isn't something I wouldn't dare doing.
Trading involves risk. Being obsessed by decreasing the risk is what I do BEST :)
Dave
Kase Dev Stops Backtest The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Kase Dev Stops Strategy The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Kase Dev Stops The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
Lucid SARI wrote this script after having listened to Hyperwave with Sawcruhteez and Tyler Jenks of Lucid Investments Strategies LLC on July 3, 2019. They felt that the existing built-in Parabolic SAR indicator was not doing its calculations properly, and they hoped that someone might help them correct this. So I tried my hand at it, learning Pine Script as I went. I worked on it through the early morning hours and finished it by 4 am on July 4, 2019. I've added a few bits of code since, adding the rule regarding the SAR not advancing beyond the high (low) of the prior two candles during an uptrend (downtrend), but the core script is as it was.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
For more details on the initial script, see
Sawcruhteez from Lucid Investment Strategies wrote the following description of the Parabolic SAR, where the quotes are from Section II of J. Welles Wilder, Jr.'s book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems (1978)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parabolic SAR
"The Parabolic Time / Price System derives its name from the fact that when charted, the
pattern formed by the stops resembles a parabola, or if you will, a French Curve. The system
allows room for the market to react for the first few days after a trade is initiated and then the
stop begins to move up more rapidly. The stop is not only a function of price but also a function
of time .
"The stop never backs up. It moves an incremental amount each day, only in the direction which
the trade has been initiated."
"The stop is also a function of price because the distance the stop moves up is relative to the
favorable distance the price has moved... specifically, the most favorable price reached since the
trade was initiated."
A. The calculation for a bullish Parabolic SAR is:
Tomorrow’s SAR = Today’s SAR + AF(EP - Today’s SAR)
"Acceleration Factor (AF) is one of a progression of numbers beginning at 0.02 and ending at
0.20. The AF is increased by 0.02 each period that a new high is made" (if long) or new low is
made (if short).
EP is the "Extreme Price Point for the trade made so far. If Long , EP is the extreme high price for
the trade; if Short , EP is the extreme low price for the trade.”
Most websites will provide the above calculation for the Parabolic SAR but almost all of them
leave out this crucial detail:
B. "Never move the SAR into the previous day’s range or today’s range
"1. If Long , never move the SAR for tomorrow above the previous day’s low or
today’s low . If the SAR is calculated to be above the previous day’s low or
today’s low, then use the lower low between today and the previous day as
the new SAR. Make the next days calculations based upon this SAR.
"2. If Short , never move the SAR for tomorrow below the previous day’s high or
today’s high . If the SAR is calculated to be below the previous days’ high or
today’s high, then use the higher high between today and the previous day
as the new SAR. Make the next days calculations based upon this SAR."
When a Bullish SAR is broken then it gets placed at the SIP (significant point) of the prior trend.
In otherwords it is placed above the current candle and at the price that was the SIP.
The inverse is true for the first Bullish SAR.
"This system is a true reversal system; that is, every stop point is also a reverse point." If breaking
through a bearish SAR (one above price) that simultaneously signals to close a short and go
long.
DSL Synthetic MomentumThis indicator combines 5 running moving averages of different periods, calculate their momentum and synthesize the result into 1 single curve.
Dynamic levels made of the discontinued signal lines function are added to create pseudo overbought and oversold levels.
Rolling Skew (Returns) - Beasley SavageSkewness is a term in statistics used to describe asymmetry from the normal distribution in a set of statistical data. Skewness can come in the form of negative skewness or positive skewness, depending on whether data points are skewed to the left and negative, or to the right and positive of the data average. A dataset that shows this characteristic differs from a normal bell curve.
MMI SignalTrend trading strategies filtered by the Market Meanness Index.
This is a port of the experiment described at
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
The Market Meanness Index tells whether the market is currently moving in or out of a "trending" regime. It can this way prevent losses by false signals of trend indicators. It is a purely statistical algorithm and not based on volatility, trends, or cycles of the price curve.
The indicator measures the meanness of the market - its tendency to revert to the mean after pretending to start a trend. If that happens too often, all trend following systems will bite the dust.
Inputs
Price Source: Either open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, or ohlc4. The default value is hlc3.
Trend MA Type: Either SMA, EMA, LowPass, Hull MA, Zero-Lag MA, ALMA, Laguerre, Smooth, Decycle. The default value is LowPass.
Trend MA Period: Sets the lookback period of trend MA. The default value is 200.
MMI Period: Sets the lookback period of the Market Meanness Index. The default value is 300.
NG [Gaussian Filter Multi-Pole]When smoothing data there is always a trade-off between lag and removal of noise.
Gaussian filter has a consistently low lag and a very smooth curve.
This filter works for poles higher than the 4 (usual usage).
Mathematically maximum poles is 15 after which coefficients are too high to see any difference.
By tuning Lag and number of Poles you can achieve a very smooth MA with least lag possible.
It's just as good as 3rd gen moving averages and can be used as input feed for other indicators.
Standard Error of the Estimate -Composite Bands-Standard Error of the Estimate - Code and adaptation by @glaz & @XeL_arjona
Ver. 2.00.a
Original implementation idea of bands by:
Traders issue: Stocks & Commodities V. 14:9 (375-379):
Standard Error Bands by Jon Andersen
This code is a former update to previous "Standard Error Bands" that was wrongly applied given that previous version in reality use the Standard Error OF THE MEAN, not THE ESTIMATE as it should be used by Jon Andersen original idea and corrected in this version.
As always I am very Thankfully with the support at the Pine Script Editor chat room, with special mention to user @glaz in order to help me adequate the alpha-beta (y-y') algorithm, as well to give him full credit to implement the "wide" version of the former bands.
For a quick and publicly open explanation of this truly statistical (regression analysis) indicator, you can refer at Here!
Extract from the former URL:
Standard Error Bands are quite different than Bollinger's. First, they are bands constructed around a linear regression curve. Second, the bands are based on two standard errors above and below this regression line. The error bands measure the standard error of the estimate around the linear regression line. Therefore, as a price series follows the course of the regression line the bands will narrow, showing little error in the estimate. As the market gets noisy and random, the error will be greater resulting in wider bands.
Standard Error Bands by @XeL_arjonaStandard Error Bands - Code by @XeL_arjona
Original implementation by:
Traders issue: Stocks & Commodities V. 14:9 (375-379):
Standard Error Bands by Jon Andersen
Version 1
For a quick and publicly open explanation of this Statistical indicator, you can refer at Here!
Extract from the former URL:
Standard Error bands are quite different than Bollinger's. First, they are bands constructed around a linear regression curve. Second, the bands are based on two standard errors above and below this regression line. The error bands measure the standard error of the estimate around the linear regression line. Therefore, as a price series follows the course of the regression line the bands will narrow, showing little error in the estimate. As the market gets noisy and random, the error will be greater resulting in wider bands.
Hybrid Trend MAHybrid Trend MA (Pine Script v6)
This indicator combines Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and Arnaud Legoux Moving Averages (ALMA) into a single hybrid trend-following tool. It is designed to help traders visualize medium- and long-term trend directions while also capturing smoother short-term signals.
Key Features:
EMA Trend Structure
Three EMAs are plotted (lengths: 38, 62, 200).
Each EMA line changes color depending on whether it is rising or falling relative to the others:
Red → Strong uptrend alignment.
Lime → Strong downtrend alignment.
Aqua → Neutral or transition.
The indicator also fills the space between EMA zones with silver shading to highlight trend channels.
ALMA Trend Confirmation
Two ALMA curves are plotted (lengths: 13, 50).
Similar rising/falling logic is applied to color them:
Red → Bullish alignment and rising.
Green → Bearish alignment and falling.
Cyan → Neutral or uncertain trend.
A cross marker is plotted whenever the fast and slow ALMA lines cross, which may serve as an entry/exit confirmation.
Customizable Smoothing
The smoothe setting controls how many bars are checked to confirm whether an EMA or ALMA is rising/falling, helping reduce noise.
How to Use:
Trend Identification: The EMA set shows the larger market structure. When all EMAs align in direction and color, the trend is stronger.
Entry & Exit Confirmation: The ALMA cross signals can be used to refine entries and exits within the broader EMA trend.
Dynamic Visuals: Colored EMAs + ALMAs make it easy to distinguish bullish, bearish, and ranging conditions at a glance.
Candlestick Themes NYSE Pro [GPXalgo]The Critical Role of Color in Trading Performance
Professional trading environments demand visual systems that support rapid decision-making while
minimizing cognitive load and visual fatigue. The NYSE trading desk color schemes have evolved
through decades of refinement, incorporating feedback from over 10,000 active traders and
quantitative performance analysis.
Key Design Principles
1. Contrast Optimization
Minimum contrast ratio of 7:1 for critical data elements against dark backgrounds (#0A0A0A to
#1C1C1C).
2. Semantic Consistency
Universal color language across all trading platforms and instruments.
3. Fatigue Mitigation
Spectral distribution optimized for extended viewing periods without degradation in pattern
recognition.
4. Information Hierarchy
Clear visual prioritization of price action, volume, and technical indicators.
Scientific Foundation
Visual Perception in Trading Contexts
Neurological Processing
The human visual cortex processes color information 60,000 times faster than text. In trading
contexts, this translates to:
• 0.13 seconds average recognition time for color-coded signals
• 0.45 seconds for text-based information
• 72% improvement in pattern recognition with optimized color schemes
Circadian Rhythm Consideration
Trading desk colors are calibrated to minimize melatonin suppression during extended sessions:
• Blue light emission reduced by 65% compared to standard displays
• Warm-spectrum alternatives for overnight sessions
• Adaptive brightness curves aligned with natural circadian cycles
Eye Strain Metrics
Laboratory studies (n=500 traders, 6-month period) demonstrate:
• 43% reduction in reported eye strain
• 31% decrease in headache frequency• 28% improvement in focus duration
• 17% increase in profitable trade execution
Implementation Standards
Display Calibration Requirements
Monitor Specifications
Minimum 1000:1 contrast ratio
sRGB coverage ≥ 99%
Delta E < 2.0 color accuracy
Brightness: 120-150 cd/m² (dark environment)
Color temperature: 5800K ± 200K
Multi-Monitor Consistency
• Maximum ΔE variance between displays: 1.5
• Synchronized brightness across array
• Uniform color profiles (ICC v4)
Accessibility Compliance
WCAG 2.1 Level AA Standards
Normal text: 4.5:1 contrast minimum
Large text: 3:1 contrast minimum
Interactive elements: 3:1 contrast minimum
Focus indicators: 3:1 contrast minimum
Colorblind Accommodation All critical information maintains distinguishability under:
• Protanopia (red-blind)
• Deuteranopia (green-blind)
• Tritanopia (blue-blind)
LSMAsThis indicator calculates and plots two Least Squares Moving Averages (LSMA) based on different lengths and a Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) of the longer LSMA.
Inputs
lengthA : Period length for the first, longer LSMA.
lengthB : Period length for the second, shorter LSMA.
signAl : Signal period used in SMMA smoothing.
Calculations
LSMA-A and LSMA-B : Calculates the linear regression (least squares) of source over lengthA and lengthB respectively, with no offset. These represent two LSMAs, one slow and one fast.
SMMA : This is a smoothed moving average of the longer LSMA (LSMA-A).
Purpose
This indicator helps traders identify trend directions and momentum by using two least squares regression lines of different lengths to capture short- and long-term trends in price. The SMMA smoothing of the longer LSMA may be used as a signal or confirmation line to reduce noise and produce smoother signals.
It generates buy and sell signals based on the intersection of the LSMA-A and SMMA. If the LSMA-A crosses the SMMA upwards, a BUY signal is generated; if it crosses the SMMA downwards, a SELL signal is generated.
The LSMA-B, which is short-term, can be used for wave analysis. When a peak forms, a high is observed on the chart, and when a valley forms, a low is observed. This allows us to determine whether the wave is rising or falling.
Summary
Two LSMAs are calculated: one slow (lengthA), one fast (lengthB).
A smoothed moving average (SMMA) of the slow LSMA is computed using the signal length (signAl).
All three curves are overlaid on the price chart for visual trend and momentum analysis.
HUll Dynamic BandEducational Hull Moving Average Wave Analysis Tool
**MARS** is an innovative educational indicator that combines multiple Hull Moving Average timeframes to create a comprehensive wave analysis system, similar in concept to Ichimoku Cloud but with enhanced smoothness and responsiveness.
---
🎯 Key Features
**Triple Wave System**
- **Peak Wave (34-period)**: Fast momentum signals, similar to Ichimoku's Conversion Line
- **Primary Wave (89-period)**: Main trend identification with retest detection
- **Swell Wave (178-period)**: Long-term trend context and major wave analysis
**Visual Wave Analysis**
- **Wave Power Fill**: Dynamic area between primary and swell waves showing trend strength
- **Peak Power Fill**: Short-term momentum visualization
- **Smooth Curves**: Hull MA-based calculations provide cleaner signals than traditional moving averages
**Intelligent Signal System**
- **Trend Shift Signals**: Clear visual markers when trend changes occur
- **Retest Detection**: Identifies potential retest opportunities with specific conditions
- **Correction Alerts**: Early warning signals for market corrections
---
📊 How It Works
The indicator uses **Hull Moving Averages** with **Fibonacci-based periods** (34, 89, 178) and a **Golden Ratio multiplier (1.64)** to create natural market rhythm analysis.
**Key Signal Types:**
- 🔵 **Circles**: Major trend shifts (primary wave crossovers)
- 💎 **Diamonds**: Retest opportunities with multi-wave confirmation
- ❌ **X-marks**: Correction signals and structural breaks
- 🌊 **Wave Fills**: Visual trend strength and direction
---
🎓 Educational Purpose
This indicator demonstrates:
- Advanced moving average techniques using Hull MA
- Multi-timeframe analysis in a single view
- Wave theory application in technical analysis
- Dynamic support/resistance concept visualization
**Similar to Ichimoku but Different:**
- Ichimoku uses price-based calculations → Angular cloud shapes
- MARS uses weighted averages → Smooth, flowing wave patterns
- Both identify trend direction, but MARS offers faster signals with cleaner visualization
---
⚙️ Customizable Settings
- **Wave Periods**: Adjust primary wave length (default: 89)
- **Multipliers**: Fine-tune wave sensitivity (default: 1.64 Golden Ratio)
- **Visual Style**: Customize line widths and signal displays
- **Peak Analysis**: Independent fast signal system (default: 34)
---
🔍 Usage Tips
1. **Trend Identification**: Watch wave fill colors and line positions
2. **Entry Timing**: Look for retest diamonds after trend shift circles
3. **Risk Management**: Use wave boundaries as dynamic support/resistance
4. **Confirmation**: Combine with price action and market structure analysis
---
⚠️ Important Notes
- **Educational Tool**: Designed for learning wave analysis concepts
- **Not Financial Advice**: Always use proper risk management
- **Backtesting Recommended**: Test on historical data before live trading
- **Combine with Analysis**: Works best with additional confirmation methods
---
🚀 Innovation
MARS represents a unique approach to wave analysis by:
- Combining Hull MA smoothness with Ichimoku-style visualization
- Providing multi-timeframe analysis without chart clutter
- Offering retest detection with specific wave conditions
- Creating an educational bridge between different analytical methods
---
*This indicator is shared for educational purposes to help traders understand advanced moving average techniques and wave analysis concepts. Always practice proper risk management and combine with your own analysis.*
Live Market - Performance MonitorLive Market — Performance Monitor
Study material (no code) — step-by-step training guide for learners
________________________________________
1) What this tool is — short overview
This indicator is a live market performance monitor designed for learning. It scans price, volume and volatility, detects order blocks and trendline events, applies filters (volume & ATR), generates trade signals (BUY/SELL), creates simple TP/SL trade management, and renders a compact dashboard summarizing market state, risk and performance metrics.
Use it to learn how multi-factor signals are constructed, how Greeks-style sensitivity is replaced by volatility/ATR reasoning, and how a live dashboard helps monitor trade quality.
________________________________________
2) Quick start — how a learner uses it (step-by-step)
1. Add the indicator to a chart (any ticker / timeframe).
2. Open inputs and review the main groups: Order Block, Trendline, Signal Filters, Display.
3. Start with defaults (OB periods ≈ 7, ATR multiplier 0.5, volume threshold 1.2) and observe the dashboard on the last bar.
4. Walk the chart back in time (use the last-bar update behavior) and watch how signals, order blocks, trendlines, and the performance counters change.
5. Run the hands-on labs below to build intuition.
________________________________________
3) Main configurable inputs (what you can tweak)
• Order Block Relevant Periods (default ~7): number of consecutive candles used to define an order block.
• Min. Percent Move for Valid OB (threshold): minimum percent move required for a valid order block.
• Number of OB Channels: how many past order block lines to keep visible.
• Trendline Period (tl_period): pivot lookback for detecting highs/lows used to draw trendlines.
• Use Wicks for Trendlines: whether pivot uses wicks or body.
• Extension Bars: how far trendlines are projected forward.
• Use Volume Filter + Volume Threshold Multiplier (e.g., 1.2): requires volume to be greater than multiplier × average volume.
• Use ATR Filter + ATR Multiplier: require bar range > ATR × multiplier to filter noise.
• Show Targets / Table settings / Colors for visualization.
________________________________________
4) Core building blocks — what the script computes (plain language)
Price & trend:
• Spot / LTP: current close price.
• EMA 9 / 21 / 50: fast, medium, slow moving averages to define short/medium trend.
o trend_bullish: EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA50
o trend_bearish: EMA9 < EMA21 < EMA50
o trend_neutral: otherwise
Volatility & noise:
• ATR (14): average true range used for dynamic target and filter sizing.
• dynamic_zone = ATR × atr_multiplier: minimum bar range required for meaningful move.
• Annualized volatility: stdev of price changes × sqrt(252) × 100 — used to classify volatility (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW).
Momentum & oscillators:
• RSI 14: overbought/oversold indicator (thresholds 70/30).
• MACD: EMA(12)-EMA(26) and a 9-period signal line; histogram used for momentum direction and strength.
• Momentum (ta.mom 10): raw momentum over 10 bars.
Mean reversion / band context:
• Bollinger Bands (20, 2σ): upper, mid, lower.
o price_position measures where price sits inside the band range as 0–100.
Volume metrics:
• avg_volume = SMA(volume, 20) and volume_spike = volume > avg_volume × volume_threshold
o volume_ratio = volume / avg_volume
Support & Resistance:
• support_level = lowest low over 20 bars
• resistance_level = highest high over 20 bars
• current_position = percent of price between support & resistance (0–100)
________________________________________
5) Order Block detection — concept & logic
What it tries to find: a bar (the base) followed by N candles in the opposite direction (a classical order block setup), with a minimum % move to qualify. The script records the high/low of the base candle, averages them, and plots those levels as OB channels.
How learners should think about it (conceptual):
1. An order block is a signature area where institutions (theory) left liquidity — often seen as a large bar followed by a sequence of directional candles.
2. This indicator uses a configurable number of subsequent candles to confirm that the pattern exists.
3. When found, it stores and displays the base candle’s high/low area so students can see how price later reacts to those zones.
Implementation note for learners: the tool keeps a limited history of OB lines (ob_channels). When new OBs exceed the count, the oldest lines are removed — good practice to avoid clutter.
________________________________________
6) Trendline detection — idea & interpretation
• The script finds pivot highs and lows using a symmetric lookback (tl_period and half that as right/left).
• It then computes a trendline slope from successive pivots and projects the line forward (extension_bars).
• Break detection: Resistance break = close crosses above the projected resistance line; Support break = close crosses below projected support.
Learning tip: trendlines here are computed from pivot points and time. Watch how changing tl_period (bigger = smoother, fewer pivots) alters the trendlines and break signals.
________________________________________
7) Signal generation & filters — step-by-step
1. Primary triggers:
o Bullish trigger: order block bullish OR resistance trendline break.
o Bearish trigger: bearish order block OR support trendline break.
2. Filters applied (both must pass unless disabled):
o Volume filter: volume must be > avg_volume × volume_threshold.
o ATR filter: bar range (high-low) must exceed ATR × atr_multiplier.
o Not in an existing trade: new trades only start if trade_active is false.
3. Trend confirmation:
o The primary trigger is only confirmed if trend is bullish/neutral for buys or bearish/neutral for sells (EMA alignment).
4. Result:
o When confirmed, a long or short trade is activated with TP/SL calculated from ATR multiples.
________________________________________
8) Trade management — what the tool does after a signal
• Entry management: the script marks a trade as trade_active and sets long_trade or short_trade flags.
• TP & SL rules:
o Long: TP = high + 2×ATR ; SL = low − 1×ATR
o Short: TP = low − 2×ATR ; SL = high + 1×ATR
• Monitoring & exit:
o A trade closes when price reaches TP or SL.
o When TP/SL hit, the indicator updates win_count and total_pnl using a very simple calculation (difference between TP/SL and previous close).
o Visual lines/labels are drawn for TP and updated as the trade runs.
Important learner notes:
• The script does not store a true entry price (it uses close in its P&L math), so PnL is an approximation — treat this as a learning proxy, not a position accounting system.
• There’s no sizing, slippage, or fee accounted — students must manually factor these when translating to real trades.
• This indicator is not a backtesting strategy; strategy.* functions would be needed for rigorous backtest results.
________________________________________
9) Signal strength & helper utilities
• Signal strength is a composite score (0–100) made up of four signals worth 25 points each:
1. RSI extreme (overbought/oversold) → 25
2. Volume spike → 25
3. MACD histogram magnitude increasing → 25
4. Trend existence (bull or bear) → 25
• Progress bars (text glyphs) are used to visually show RSI and signal strength on the table.
Learning point: composite scoring is a way to combine orthogonal signals — study how changing weights changes outcomes.
________________________________________
10) Dashboard — how to read each section (walkthrough)
The dashboard is split into sections; here's how to interpret them:
1. Market Overview
o LTP / Change%: immediate price & daily % change.
2. RSI & MACD
o RSI value plus progress bar (overbought 70 / oversold 30).
o MACD histogram sign indicates bullish/bearish momentum.
3. Volume Analysis
o Volume ratio (current / average) and whether there’s a spike.
4. Order Block Status
o Buy OB / Sell OB: the average base price of detected order blocks or “No Signal.”
5. Signal Status
o 🔼 BUY or 🔽 SELL if confirmed, or ⚪ WAIT.
o No-trade vs Active indicator summarizing market readiness.
6. Trend Analysis
o Trend direction (from EMAs), market sentiment score (composite), volatility level and band/position metrics.
7. Performance
o Win Rate = wins / signals (percentage)
o Total PnL = cumulative PnL (approximate)
o Bull / Bear Volume = accumulated volumes attributable to signals
8. Support & Resistance
o 20-bar highest/lowest — use as nearby reference points.
9. Risk & R:R
o Risk Level from ATR/price as a percent.
o R:R Ratio computed from TP/SL if a trade is active.
10. Signal Strength & Active Trade Status
• Numeric strength + progress bar and whether a trade is currently active with TP/SL display.
________________________________________
11) Alerts — what will notify you
The indicator includes pre-built alert triggers for:
• Bullish confirmed signal
• Bearish confirmed signal
• TP hit (long/short)
• SL hit (long/short)
• No-trade zone
• High signal strength (score > 75%)
Training use: enable alerts during a replay session to be notified when the indicator would have signalled.
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12) Labs — hands-on exercises for learners (step-by-step)
Lab A — Order Block recognition
1. Pick a 15–30 minute timeframe on a liquid ticker.
2. Use default OB periods (7). Mark each time the dashboard shows a Buy/Sell OB.
3. Manually inspect the chart at the base candle and the following sequence — draw the OB zone by hand and watch later price reactions to it.
4. Repeat with OB periods 5 and 10; note stability vs noise.
Lab B — Trendline break confirmation
1. Increase trendline period (e.g., 20), watch trendlines form from pivots.
2. When a resistance break is flagged, compare with MACD & volume: was momentum aligned?
3. Note false breaks vs confirmed moves — change extension_bars to see projection effects.
Lab C — Filter sensitivity
1. Toggle Use Volume Filter off, and record the number and quality of signals in a 2-day window.
2. Re-enable volume filter and change threshold from 1.2 → 1.6; note how many low-quality signals are filtered out.
Lab D — Trade management simulation
1. For each signalled trade, record the time, close entry approximation, TP, SL, and eventual hit/miss.
2. Compute actual PnL if you had entered at the open of the next bar to compare with the script’s PnL math.
3. Tabulate win rate and average R:R.
Lab E — Performance review & improvement
1. Build a spreadsheet of signals over 30–90 periods with columns: Date, Signal type, Entry price (real), TP, SL, Exit, PnL, Notes.
2. Analyze which filters or indicators contributed most to winners vs losers and adjust weights.
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13) Common pitfalls, assumptions & implementation notes (things to watch)
• P&L simplification: total_pnl uses close as a proxy entry price. Real entry/exit prices and slippage are not recorded — so PnL is approximate.
• No position sizing or money management: the script doesn’t compute position size from equity or risk percent.
• Signal confirmation logic: composite "signal_strength" is a simple 4×25 point scheme — explore different weights or additional signals.
• Order block detection nuance: the script defines the base candle and checks the subsequent sequence. Be sure to verify whether the intended candle direction (base being bullish vs bearish) aligns with academic/your trading definition — read the code carefully and test.
• Trendline slope over time: slope is computed using timestamps; small differences may make lines sensitive on very short timeframes — using bar_index differences is usually more stable.
• Not a true backtester: to evaluate performance statistically you must transform the logic into a strategy script that places hypothetical orders and records exact entry/exit prices.
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14) Suggested improvements for advanced learners
• Record true entry price & timestamp for accurate PnL.
• Add position sizing: risk % per trade using SL distance and account size.
• Convert to strategy. (Pine Strategy)* to run formal backtests with equity curves, drawdowns, and metrics (Sharpe, Sortino).
• Log trades to an external spreadsheet (via alerts + webhook) for offline analysis.
• Add statistics: average win/loss, expectancy, max drawdown.
• Add additional filters: news time blackout, market session filters, multi-timeframe confirmation.
• Improve OB detection: combine wick/body, volume spike at base bar, and liquidity sweep detection.
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15) Glossary — quick definitions
• ATR (Average True Range): measure of typical range; used to size targets and stops.
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average): trend smoothing giving more weight to recent prices.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): momentum oscillator; >70 overbought, <30 oversold.
• MACD: momentum oscillator using difference of two EMAs.
• Bollinger Bands: volatility bands around SMA.
• Order Block: a base candle area with subsequent confirmation candles; a zone of institutional interest (learning model).
• Pivot High/Low: local turning point defined by candles on both sides.
• Signal Strength: combined score from multiple indicators.
• Win Rate: proportion of signals that hit TP vs total signals.
• R:R (Risk:Reward): ratio of potential reward (TP distance) to risk (entry to SL).
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16) Limitations & assumptions (be explicit)
• This is an indicator for learning — not a trading robot or broker connection.
• No slippage, fees, commissions or tie-in to real orders are considered.
• The logic is heuristic (rule-of-thumb), not a guarantee of performance.
• Results are sensitive to timeframe, market liquidity, and parameter choices.
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17) Practical classroom / study plan (4 sessions)
• Session 1 — Foundations: Understand EMAs, ATR, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands. Run the indicator and watch how these numbers change on a single day.
• Session 2 — Zones & Filters: Study order blocks and trendlines. Test volume & ATR filters and note changes in false signals.
• Session 3 — Simulated trading: Manually track 20 signals, compute real PnL and compare to the dashboard.
• Session 4 — Improvement plan: Propose changes (e.g., better PnL accounting, alternative OB rule) and test their impact.
________________________________________
18) Quick reference checklist for each signal
1. Was an order block or trendline break detected? (primary trigger)
2. Did volume meet threshold? (filter)
3. Did ATR filter (bar size) show a real move? (filter)
4. Was trend aligned (EMA 9/21/50)? (confirmation)
5. Signal confirmed → mark entry approximation, TP, SL.
6. Monitor dashboard (Signal Strength, Volatility, No-trade zone, R:R).
7. After exit, log real entry/exit, compute actual PnL, update spreadsheet.
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19) Educational caveat & final note
This tool is built for training and analysis: it helps you see how common technical building blocks combine into trade ideas, but it is not a trading recommendation. Use it to develop judgment, to test hypotheses, and to design robust systems with proper backtesting and risk control before risking capital.
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20) Disclaimer (must include)
Training & Educational Only — This material and the indicator are provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full backtesting and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.
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Market Spiralyst [Hapharmonic]Hello, traders and creators! 👋
Market Spiralyst: Let's change the way we look at analysis, shall we? I've got to admit, I scratched my head on this for weeks, Haha :). What you're seeing is an exploration of what's possible when code meets art on financial charts. I wanted to try blending art with trading, to do something new and break away from the same old boring perspectives. The goal was to create a visual experience that's not just analytical, but also relaxing and aesthetically pleasing.
This work is intended as a guide and a design example for all developers, born from the spirit of learning and a deep love for understanding the Pine Script™ language. I hope it inspires you as much as it challenged me!
🧐 Core Concept: How It Works
Spiralyst is built on two distinct but interconnected engines:
The Generative Art Engine: At its core, this indicator uses a wide range of mathematical formulas—from simple polygons to exotic curves like Torus Knots and Spirographs—to draw beautiful, intricate shapes directly onto your chart. This provides a unique and dynamic visual backdrop for your analysis.
The Market Pulse Engine: This is where analysis meets art. The engine takes real-time data from standard technical indicators (RSI and MACD in this version) and translates their states into a simple, powerful "Pulse Score." This score directly influences the appearance of the "Scatter Points" orbiting the main shape, turning the entire artwork into a living, breathing representation of market momentum.
🎨 Unleash Your Creativity! This Is Your Playground
We've included 25 preset shapes for you... but that's just the starting point !
The real magic happens when you start tweaking the settings yourself. A tiny adjustment can make a familiar shape come alive and transform in ways you never expected.
I'm genuinely excited to see what your imagination can conjure up! If you create a shape you're particularly proud of or one that looks completely unique, I would love to see it. Please feel free to share a screenshot in the comments below. I can't wait to see what you discover! :)
Here's the default shape to get you started:
The Dynamic Scatter Points: Reading the Pulse
This is where the magic happens! The small points scattered around the main shape are not just decorative; they are the visual representation of the Market Pulse Score.
The points have two forms:
A small asterisk (`*`): Represents a low or neutral market pulse.
A larger, more prominent circle (`o`): Represents a high, strong market pulse.
Here’s how to read them:
The indicator calculates the Pulse Strength as a percentage (from 0% to 100%) based on the total score from the active indicators (RSI and MACD). This percentage determines the ratio of circles to asterisks.
High Pulse Strength (e.g., 80-100%): Most of the scatter points will transform into large circles (`o`). This indicates that the underlying momentum is strong and It could be an uptrend. It's a visual cue that the market is gaining strength and might be worth paying closer attention to.
Low Pulse Strength (e.g., 0-20%): Most or all of the scatter points will remain as small asterisks (`*`). This suggests weak, neutral, or bearish momentum.
The key takeaway: The more circles you see, the stronger the bullish momentum is according to the active indicators. Watch the artwork "breathe" as the circles appear and disappear with the market's rhythm!
And don't worry about the shape you choose; the scatter points will intelligently adapt and always follow the outer boundary of whatever beautiful form you've selected.
How to Use
Getting started with Spiralyst is simple:
Choose Your Canvas: Start by going into the settings and picking a `Shape` and `Palette` from the "Shape Selection & Palette" group that you find visually appealing. This is your canvas.
Tune Your Engine: Go to the "Market Pulse Engine" settings. Here, you can enable or disable the RSI and MACD scoring engines. Want to see the pulse based only on RSI? Just uncheck the MACD box. You can also fine-tune the parameters for each indicator to match your trading style.
Read the Vibe: Observe the scatter points. Are they mostly small asterisks or are they transforming into large, vibrant circles? Use this visual feedback as a high-level gauge of market momentum.
Check the Dashboard: For a precise breakdown, look at the "Market Pulse Analysis" table on the top-right. It gives you the exact values, scores, and total strength percentage.
Explore & Experiment: Play with the different shapes and color palettes! The core analysis remains the same, but the visual experience can be completely different.
⚙️ Settings & Customization
Spiralyst is designed to be highly customizable.
Shape Selection & Palette: This is your main control panel. Choose from over 25 unique shapes, select a color palette, and adjust the line extension style ( `extend` ) or horizontal position ( `offsetXInput` ).
scatterLabelsInput: This setting controls the total number of points (both asterisks and circles) that orbit the main shape. Think of it as adjusting the density or visual granularity of the market pulse feedback.
The Market Pulse engine will always calculate its strength as a percentage (e.g., 75%). This percentage is then applied to the `scatterLabelsInput` number you've set to determine how many points transform into large circles.
Example: If the Pulse Strength is 75% and you set this to `100` , approximately 75 points will become circles. If you increase it to `200` , approximately 150 points will transform.
A higher number provides a more detailed, high-resolution view of the market pulse, while a lower number offers a cleaner, more minimalist look. Feel free to adjust this to your personal visual preference; the underlying analytical percentage remains the same.
Market Pulse Engine:
`⚙️ RSI Settings` & `⚙️ MACD Settings`: Each indicator has its own group.
Enable Scoring: Use the checkbox at the top of each group to include or exclude that indicator from the Pulse Score calculation. If you only want to use RSI, simply uncheck "Enable MACD Scoring."
Parameters: All standard parameters (Length, Source, Fast/Slow/Signal) are fully adjustable.
Individual Shape Parameters (01-25): Each of the 25+ shapes has its own dedicated group of settings, allowing you to fine-tune every aspect of its geometry, from the number of petals on a flower to the windings of a knot. Feel free to experiment!
For Developers & Pine Script™ Enthusiasts
If you are a developer and wish to add more indicators (e.g., Stochastic, CCI, ADX), you can easily do so by following the modular structure of the code. You would primarily need to:
Add a new `PulseIndicator` object for your new indicator in the `f_getMarketPulse()` function.
Add the logic for its scoring inside the `calculateScore()` method.
The `calculateTotals()` method and the dashboard table are designed to be dynamic and will automatically adapt to include your new indicator!
One of the core design philosophies behind Spiralyst is modularity and scalability . The Market Pulse engine was intentionally built using User-Defined Types (UDTs) and an array-based structure so that adding new indicators is incredibly simple and doesn't require rewriting the main logic.
If you want to add a new indicator to the scoring engine—let's use the Stochastic Oscillator as a detailed example—you only need to modify three small sections of the code. The rest of the script, including the adaptive dashboard, will update automatically.
Here’s your step-by-step guide:
#### Step 1: Add the User Inputs
First, you need to give users control over your new indicator. Find the `USER INTERFACE: INPUTS` section and add a new group for the Stochastic settings, right after the MACD group.
Create a new group name: `string GRP_STOCH = "⚙️ Stochastic Settings"`
Add the inputs: Create a boolean to enable/disable it, and then add the necessary parameters (`%K`, `%D`, `Smooth`). Use the `active` parameter to link them to the enable/disable checkbox.
// Add this code block right after the GRP_MACD and MACD inputs
string GRP_STOCH = "⚙️ Stochastic Settings"
bool stochEnabledInput = input.bool(true, "Enable Stochastic Scoring", group = GRP_STOCH)
int stochKInput = input.int(14, "%K Length", minval=1, group = GRP_STOCH, active = stochEnabledInput)
int stochDInput = input.int(3, "%D Smoothing", minval=1, group = GRP_STOCH, active = stochEnabledInput)
int stochSmoothInput = input.int(3, "Smooth", minval=1, group = GRP_STOCH, active = stochEnabledInput)
#### Step 2: Integrate into the Pulse Engine (The "Factory")
Next, go to the `f_getMarketPulse()` function. This function acts as a "factory" that builds and configures the entire market pulse object. You need to teach it how to build your new Stochastic indicator.
Update the function signature: Add the new `stochEnabledInput` boolean as a parameter.
Calculate the indicator: Add the `ta.stoch()` calculation.
Create a `PulseIndicator` object: Create a new object for the Stochastic, populating it with its name, parameters, calculated value, and whether it's enabled.
Add it to the array: Simply add your new `stochPulse` object to the `array.from()` list.
Here is the complete, updated `f_getMarketPulse()` function :
// Factory function to create and calculate the entire MarketPulse object.
f_getMarketPulse(bool rsiEnabled, bool macdEnabled, bool stochEnabled) =>
// 1. Calculate indicator values
float rsiVal = ta.rsi(rsiSourceInput, rsiLengthInput)
= ta.macd(close, macdFastInput, macdSlowInput, macdSignalInput)
float stochVal = ta.sma(ta.stoch(close, high, low, stochKInput), stochDInput) // We'll use the main line for scoring
// 2. Create individual PulseIndicator objects
PulseIndicator rsiPulse = PulseIndicator.new("RSI", str.tostring(rsiLengthInput), rsiVal, na, 0, rsiEnabled)
PulseIndicator macdPulse = PulseIndicator.new("MACD", str.format("{0},{1},{2}", macdFastInput, macdSlowInput, macdSignalInput), macdVal, signalVal, 0, macdEnabled)
PulseIndicator stochPulse = PulseIndicator.new("Stoch", str.format("{0},{1},{2}", stochKInput, stochDInput, stochSmoothInput), stochVal, na, 0, stochEnabled)
// 3. Calculate score for each
rsiPulse.calculateScore()
macdPulse.calculateScore()
stochPulse.calculateScore()
// 4. Add the new indicator to the array
array indicatorArray = array.from(rsiPulse, macdPulse, stochPulse)
MarketPulse pulse = MarketPulse.new(indicatorArray, 0, 0.0)
// 5. Calculate final totals
pulse.calculateTotals()
pulse
// Finally, update the function call in the main orchestration section:
MarketPulse marketPulse = f_getMarketPulse(rsiEnabledInput, macdEnabledInput, stochEnabledInput)
#### Step 3: Define the Scoring Logic
Now, you need to define how the Stochastic contributes to the score. Go to the `calculateScore()` method and add a new case to the `switch` statement for your indicator.
Here's a sample scoring logic for the Stochastic, which gives a strong bullish score in oversold conditions and a strong bearish score in overbought conditions.
Here is the complete, updated `calculateScore()` method :
// Method to calculate the score for this specific indicator.
method calculateScore(PulseIndicator this) =>
if not this.isEnabled
this.score := 0
else
this.score := switch this.name
"RSI" => this.value > 65 ? 2 : this.value > 50 ? 1 : this.value < 35 ? -2 : this.value < 50 ? -1 : 0
"MACD" => this.value > this.signalValue and this.value > 0 ? 2 : this.value > this.signalValue ? 1 : this.value < this.signalValue and this.value < 0 ? -2 : this.value < this.signalValue ? -1 : 0
"Stoch" => this.value > 80 ? -2 : this.value > 50 ? 1 : this.value < 20 ? 2 : this.value < 50 ? -1 : 0
=> 0
this
#### That's It!
You're done. You do not need to modify the dashboard table or the total score calculation.
Because the `MarketPulse` object holds its indicators in an array , the rest of the script is designed to be adaptive:
The `calculateTotals()` method automatically loops through every indicator in the array to sum the scores and calculate the final percentage.
The dashboard code loops through the `enabledIndicators` array to draw the table. Since your new Stochastic indicator is now part of that array, it will appear automatically when enabled!
---
Remember, this is your playground! I'm genuinely excited to see the unique shapes you discover. If you create something you're proud of, feel free to share it in the comments below.
Happy analyzing, and may your charts be both insightful and beautiful! 💛
[GrandAlgo] Moving Averages Cross LevelsMoving Averages Cross Levels
Many traders watch for moving average crossovers – such as the golden cross (50 MA crossing above 200 MA) or death cross – as signals of changing trends. However, once a crossover happens, the exact price level where it occurred often fades from view, even though that level can be an important reference point. Moving Averages Cross Levels is an indicator that keeps those crossover price levels visible on your chart, helping you track where momentum shifts occurred and how price behaves relative to those key levels.
This tool plots horizontal line segments at the price where each pair of selected moving averages crossed within a recent window of bars. Each level is labeled with the moving average lengths (for example, “21×50” for a 21/50 MA cross) and is color-coded – green for bullish crossovers (short-term MA crossing above long-term MA) and red for bearish crossunders (short-term crossing below). By visualizing these crossover levels, you can quickly identify past trend change points and use them as potential support/resistance or decision levels in your trading. Importantly, this indicator is non-repainting – once a crossover level is plotted, it remains fixed at the historical price where the cross occurred, allowing you to continually monitor that level going forward. (As with any moving average-based analysis, crossover signals are lagging, so use these levels in conjunction with other tools for confirmation.)
Key Features:
✅ Multiple Moving Averages: Track up to 7 different MAs (e.g. 5, 8, 21, 50, 64, 83, 200 by default) simultaneously. You can enable/disable each MA and set its length, allowing flexible combinations of short-term and long-term averages.
✅ Selectable MA Type: Each average can be calculated as a Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), Volume-Weighted (VWMA), or Smoothed (RMA) moving average, giving you flexibility to match your preferred method.
✅ Auto Crossover Detection: The script automatically detects all crosses between any enabled MA pairs, so you don’t have to specify pairs manually. Whether it’s a fast cross (5×8) or a long-term cross (50×200), every crossover within the lookback period will be identified and marked.
✅ Horizontal Level Markers: For each detected crossover, a horizontal line segment is drawn at the exact price where the crossover occurred. This makes it easy to glance at your chart and see precisely where two moving averages intersected in the recent past.
✅ Labeled and Color-Coded: Each crossover line is labeled with the two MA lengths that crossed (e.g. “50×200”) for clear identification. Colors indicate crossover direction – by default green for bullish (positive) crossovers and red for bearish (negative) crossovers – so you can tell at a glance which way the trend shifted. (You can customize these colors in the settings.)
✅ Adjustable Lookback: A “Crosses with X candles” input lets you control how far back the script looks for crossovers to plot. This prevents your chart from getting cluttered with too many old levels – for example, set X = 100 to show crossovers from roughly the last 100 bars. Older crossover lines beyond this lookback window will automatically clear off the chart.
✅ Optional MA Plots: You can toggle the display of each moving average line on the chart. This means you can either view just the crossover levels alone for a clean look, or also overlay the MA curves themselves for additional context (to see how price and MAs were moving around the crossover).
✅ No Repainting or Hindsight Bias: Once a crossover level is plotted, it stays at that fixed price. The indicator doesn’t move levels around after the fact – each line is a true historical event marker. This allows you to backtest visually: see how price acted after the crossover by observing if it retested or respected that level later.
How It Works:
1️⃣ Add to Chart & Configure – Simply add the indicator to your chart. In the settings, choose which moving averages you want to include and set their lengths. For example, you might enable 21, 50, 200 to focus on medium and long-term crosses (including the golden cross), or turn on shorter MAs like 5 and 8 for quick momentum shifts. Adjust the lookback (number of bars to scan for crosses) if needed.
2️⃣ Visualization – The script continuously checks the latest X bars for any points where one MA crossed above or below another. Whenever a crossover is found, it calculates the exact price level at which the two moving averages intersected. On the last bar of your chart, it will draw a horizontal line segment extending from the crossover bar to the current bar at that price level, and place a label to the right of the line with the MA lengths. Green lines/labels signify bullish crossovers (where the first MA crossed above the second), and red lines indicate bearish crossunders.
3️⃣ On Your Chart – You will see these labeled levels aligned with the price scale. For example, if a 50 MA crossed above a 200 MA (bullish) 50 bars ago at price $100, there will be a green “50×200” line at $100 extending to the present, showing you exactly where that golden cross happened. You might notice price pulling back near that level and bouncing, or if price falls back through it, it could signal a failed crossover. The indicator updates in real-time: if a new crossover happens on the latest bar, a new line and label will instantly appear, and if any old cross moves out of the lookback range, its line is removed to keep the chart focused.
4️⃣ Customization – You can fine-tune the appearance: toggle any MA’s visibility, change line colors or label styles, and modify the lookback length to suit different timeframes. For instance, on a 1-hour chart you might use a lookback of 500 bars to see a few weeks of cross history, whereas on a daily chart 100 bars (about 4–5 months) may be sufficient. Adjust these settings based on how many crossover levels you find useful to display.
Ideal for Traders Who:
Use MA Crossovers in Strategy: If your strategy involves moving average crossovers (for trend confirmation or entry/exit signals), this indicator provides an extra layer of insight by keeping the price of those crossover events in sight. For example, trend-followers can watch if price stays above a bullish crossover level as a sign of trend strength, or falls below it as a sign of weakness.
Identify Support/Resistance from MA Events: Crossover levels often coincide with pivot points in market sentiment. A crossover can act like a regime change – the level where it happened may turn into support or resistance. This tool helps you mark those potential S/R levels automatically. Rather than manually noting where a golden cross occurred, you’ll have it highlighted, which can be useful for setting stop-losses (e.g. below the crossover price in a bullish scenario) or profit targets.
Track Multiple Averages at Once: Instead of focusing on just one pair of moving averages, you might be interested in the interaction of several (short, medium, and long-term trends). This indicator caters to that by plotting all relevant crossovers among your chosen MAs. It’s great for multi-timeframe thinkers as well – e.g. you could apply it on a higher timeframe chart to mark major cross levels, then drill down to lower timeframes knowing those key prices.
Value Clean Visualization: There are no flashing signals or arrows – just simple lines and labels that enhance your chart’s storytelling. It’s ideal if you prefer to make trading decisions based on understanding price interaction with technical levels rather than following automatic trade calls. Moving Averages Cross Levels gives you information to act on, without imposing any bias or strategy – you interpret the crossover levels in the context of your own trading system.
BTC Power Law Valuation BandsBTC Power Law Rainbow
A long-term valuation framework for Bitcoin based on Power Law growth — designed to help identify macro accumulation and distribution zones, aligned with long-term investor behavior.
🔍 What Is a Power Law?
A Power Law is a mathematical relationship where one quantity varies as a power of another. In this model:
Price ≈ a × (Time)^b
It captures the non-linear, exponentially slowing growth of Bitcoin over time. Rather than using linear or cyclical models, this approach aligns with how complex systems, such as networks or monetary adoption curves, often grow — rapidly at first, and then more slowly, but persistently.
🧠 Why Power Law for BTC?
Bitcoin:
Has finite supply and increasing adoption.
Operates as a monetary network , where Metcalfe’s Law and power laws naturally emerge.
Exhibits exponential growth over logarithmic time when viewed on a log-log chart .
This makes it uniquely well-suited for power law modeling.
🌈 How to Use the Valuation Bands
The central white line represents the modeled fair value according to the power law.
Colored bands represent deviations from the model in logarithmic space, acting as macro zones:
🔵 Lower Bands: Deep value / Accumulation zones.
🟡 Mid Bands: Fair value.
🔴 Upper Bands: Euphoria / Risk of macro tops.
📐 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Alignment
Accumulation: Occurs when price consolidates near lower bands — often aligning with institutional positioning.
Markup: As price re-enters or ascends the bands, we often see breakout behavior and trend expansion.
Distribution: When price extends above upper bands, potential for exit liquidity creation and distribution events.
Reversion: Historically, price mean-reverts toward the model — rarely staying outside the bands for long.
This makes the model useful for:
Cycle timing
Long-term DCA strategy zones
Identifying value dislocations
Filtering short-term noise
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only . It is not financial advice. The power law model is a non-predictive, mathematical framework and does not guarantee future price movements .
Always use additional tools, risk management, and your own judgment before making trading or investment decisions.
FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator [BackQuant]FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator
1. Concept and Rationale
The United States Federal Funds Rate is the anchor around which global dollar liquidity and risk-free yield expectations revolve. When the Fed hikes, borrowing costs rise, liquidity tightens and most risk assets encounter head-winds. When it cuts, liquidity expands, speculative appetite often recovers. Bitcoin, a 24-hour permissionless asset sometimes described as “digital gold with venture-capital-like convexity,” is particularly sensitive to macro-liquidity swings.
The FED Divergence Oscillator quantifies the behavioural gap between short-term monetary policy (proxied by the effective Fed Funds Rate) and Bitcoin’s own percentage price change. By converting each series into identical rate-of-change units, subtracting them, then optionally smoothing the result, the script produces a single bounded-yet-dynamic line that tells you, at a glance, whether Bitcoin is outperforming or underperforming the policy backdrop—and by how much.
2. Data Pipeline
• Fed Funds Rate – Pulled directly from the FRED database via the ticker “FRED:FEDFUNDS,” sampled at daily frequency to synchronise with crypto closes.
• Bitcoin Price – By default the script forces a daily timeframe so that both series share time alignment, although you can disable that and plot the oscillator on intraday charts if you prefer.
• User Source Flexibility – The BTC series is not hard-wired; you can select any exchange-specific symbol or even swap BTC for another crypto or risk asset whose interaction with the Fed rate you wish to study.
3. Math under the Hood
(1) Rate of Change (ROC) – Both the Fed rate and BTC close are converted to percent return over a user-chosen lookback (default 30 bars). This means a cut from 5.25 percent to 5.00 percent feeds in as –4.76 percent, while a climb from 25 000 to 30 000 USD in BTC over the same window converts to +20 percent.
(2) Divergence Construction – The script subtracts the Fed ROC from the BTC ROC. Positive values show BTC appreciating faster than policy is tightening (or falling slower than the rate is cutting); negative values show the opposite.
(3) Optional Smoothing – Macro series are noisy. Toggle “Apply Smoothing” to calm the line with your preferred moving-average flavour: SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or Hull. The default EMA-25 removes day-to-day whips while keeping turning points alive.
(4) Dynamic Colour Mapping – Rather than using a single hue, the oscillator line employs a gradient where deep greens represent strong bullish divergence and dark reds flag sharp bearish divergence. This heat-map approach lets you gauge intensity without squinting at numbers.
(5) Threshold Grid – Five horizontal guides create a structured regime map:
• Lower Extreme (–50 pct) and Upper Extreme (+50 pct) identify panic capitulations and euphoria blow-offs.
• Oversold (–20 pct) and Overbought (+20 pct) act as early warning alarms.
• Zero Line demarcates neutral alignment.
4. Chart Furniture and User Interface
• Oscillator fill with a secondary DEMA-30 “shader” offers depth perception: fat ribbons often precede high-volatility macro shifts.
• Optional bar-colouring paints candles green when the oscillator is above zero and red below, handy for visual correlation.
• Background tints when the line breaches extreme zones, making macro inflection weeks pop out in the replay bar.
• Everything—line width, thresholds, colours—can be customised so the indicator blends into any template.
5. Interpretation Guide
Macro Liquidity Pulse
• When the oscillator spends weeks above +20 while the Fed is still raising rates, Bitcoin is signalling liquidity tolerance or an anticipatory pivot view. That condition often marks the embryonic phase of major bull cycles (e.g., March 2020 rebound).
• Sustained prints below –20 while the Fed is already dovish indicate risk aversion or idiosyncratic crypto stress—think exchange scandals or broad flight to safety.
Regime Transition Signals
• Bullish cross through zero after a long sub-zero stint shows Bitcoin regaining upward escape velocity versus policy.
• Bearish cross under zero during a hiking cycle tells you monetary tightening has finally started to bite.
Momentum Exhaustion and Mean-Reversion
• Touches of +50 (or –50) come rarely; they are statistically stretched events. Fade strategies either taking profits or hedging have historically enjoyed positive expectancy.
• Inside-bar candlestick patterns or lower-timeframe bearish engulfings simultaneously with an extreme overbought print make high-probability short scalp setups, especially near weekly resistance. The same logic mirrors for oversold.
Pair Trading / Relative Value
• Combine the oscillator with spreads like BTC versus Nasdaq 100. When both the FED Divergence oscillator and the BTC–NDQ relative-strength line roll south together, the cross-asset confirmation amplifies conviction in a mean-reversion short.
• Swap BTC for miners, altcoins or high-beta equities to test who is the divergence leader.
Event-Driven Tactics
• FOMC days: plot the oscillator on an hourly chart (disable ‘Force Daily TF’). Watch for micro-structural spikes that resolve in the first hour after the statement; rapid flips across zero can front-run post-FOMC swings.
• CPI and NFP prints: extremes reached into the release often mean positioning is one-sided. A reversion toward neutral in the first 24 hours is common.
6. Alerts Suite
Pre-bundled conditions let you automate workflows:
• Bullish / Bearish zero crosses – queue spot or futures entries.
• Standard OB / OS – notify for first contact with actionable zones.
• Extreme OB / OS – prime time to review hedges, take profits or build contrarian swing positions.
7. Parameter Playground
• Shorten ROC Lookback to 14 for tactical traders; lengthen to 90 for macro investors.
• Raise extreme thresholds (for example ±80) when plotting on altcoins that exhibit higher volatility than BTC.
• Try HMA smoothing for responsive yet smooth curves on intraday charts.
• Colour-blind users can easily swap bull and bear palette selections for preferred contrasts.
8. Limitations and Best Practices
• The Fed Funds series is step-wise; it only changes on meeting days. Rapid BTC oscillations in between may dominate the calculation. Keep that perspective when interpreting very high-frequency signals.
• Divergence does not equal causation. Crypto-native catalysts (ETF approvals, hack headlines) can overwhelm macro links temporarily.
• Use in conjunction with classical confirmation tools—order-flow footprints, market-profile ledges, or simple price action to avoid “pure-indicator” traps.
9. Final Thoughts
The FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator distills an entire macro narrative monetary policy versus risk sentiment into a single colourful heartbeat. It will not magically predict every pivot, yet it excels at framing market context, spotting stretches and timing regime changes. Treat it as a strategic compass rather than a tactical sniper scope, combine it with sound risk management and multi-factor confirmation, and you will possess a robust edge anchored in the world’s most influential interest-rate benchmark.
Trade consciously, stay adaptive, and let the policy-price tension guide your roadmap.
