Hosoda’s CloudsMany investors aim to develop trading systems with a high win rate, mistakenly associating it with substantial profits. In reality, high returns are typically achieved through greater exposure to market trends, which inevitably lowers the win rate due to increased risk and more volatile conditions.
The system I present, called “Hosoda’s Clouds” in honor of Goichi Hosoda , the creator of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, is likely one of the first profitable systems many traders will encounter. Designed to capture trends, it performs best in markets with clear directional movements and is less suitable for range-bound markets like Forex, which often exhibit lateral price action.
This system is not recommended for low timeframes, such as minute charts, due to the random and emotionally driven nature of price movements in those periods. For a deeper exploration of this topic, I recommend reading my article “Timeframe is Everything”, which discusses the critical importance of selecting the appropriate timeframe.
I suggest testing and applying the “Hosoda’s Clouds” strategy on assets with a strong trending nature and a proven track record of performance. Ideal markets include Tesla (1-hour, 4-hour, and daily), BTC/USDT (daily), SPY (daily), and XAU/USD (daily), as these have consistently shown clear directional trends over time.
Commissions and Configuration
Commissions can be adjusted in the system’s settings to suit individual needs. For evaluating the effectiveness of “Hosoda’s Clouds,” I’ve used a standard commission of $1 per order as a baseline, though this can be modified in the code to accommodate different brokers or preferences.
The margin per trade is set to $1,000 by default, but users are encouraged to experiment with different margin settings in the configuration to match their trading style.
Rules of the “Hosoda’s Clouds” System (Bullish Strategy)
This strategy is designed to capture trending movements in bullish markets using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator. The rules are as follows:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen below the Ichimoku cloud, identifying potential reversals or bounces in a bearish context.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at the low of the candle 12 bars prior to the entry candle. This setting has proven optimal in my tests, but it can be adjusted in the code based on risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP): The position is closed when the Tenkan-sen crosses below the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud (the minimum of Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B).
Notes on the Code
margin_long=0: Ideal for strategies requiring a fixed position size, particularly useful for manual entries or testing with a constant capital allocation.
margin_long=100: Recommended for high-frequency systems where positions are closed quickly, simulating gradual growth based on realized profits and reflecting real-world broker constraints.
System Performance
The following performance metrics account for $1 per order commissions and were tested on the specified assets and timeframes:
Tesla (H1)
Trades: 148
Win Rate: 29.05%
Period: Jan 2, 2014 – Jan 6, 2020 (+172%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +34.3%
Trades: 130
Win Rate: 30.77%
Period: Jan 2, 2020 – Sep 24, 2025 (+858.90%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +150.7%
Tesla (H4)
Trades: 102
Win Rate: 32.35%
Period: Jun 29, 2010 – Sep 24, 2025 (+11,356.36%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +758.5%
Tesla (Daily)
Trades: 56
Win Rate: 35.71%
Period: Jun 29, 2010 – Sep 24, 2025 (+3,166.64%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +211.5%
BTC/USDT (Daily)
Trades: 44
Win Rate: 31.82%
Period: Sep 30, 2017 – Sep 24, 2025 (+2,592.23%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +324.8%
SPY (Daily)
Trades: 81
Win Rate: 37.04%
Period: Jan 23, 1993 – Sep 24, 2025 (+476.90%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +14.3%
XAU/USD (Daily)
Trades: 216
Win Rate: 32.87%
Period: Jan 6, 1833 – Sep 24, 2025 (+5,241.73%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +27.1%
SPX (Daily)
Trades: 217
Win Rate: 38.25%
Period: Feb 1, 1871 – Sep 24, 2025 (+16,791.02%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +108.1%
Conclusion
With the “ Hosoda’s Clouds ” strategy, I aim to showcase the potential of technical analysis to generate consistent profits in trending markets, challenging recent doubts about its effectiveness. My goal is for this system to serve as both a practical tool for traders and a source of inspiration for the trading community I deeply respect. I hope it encourages the creation of new strategies, fosters creativity in technical analysis, and empowers traders to approach the markets with confidence and discipline.
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Grand Slam Risk ManagementGrand Slam Risk Management (GSRM) Indicator
OVERVIEW
The Grand Slam Risk Management Indicator transforms complex position sizing calculations into real-time, visual risk metrics—enabling disciplined trading decisions without the emotional guesswork that destroys accounts. This comprehensive tool is designed for active day traders and swing traders who want to automate critical risk management calculations directly on their TradingView charts. 🚀
THE GRAND SLAM RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
Core Philosophy
The Grand Slam Risk Management Strategy (GSRM) gets its name from baseball's ultimate scoring play: a grand slam can only be hit when three runners are already on base, requiring at least three prior successful at-bats (hits or walks) to create the opportunity. This perfectly embodies the GSRM philosophy—consistent "base hits" in trading create the foundation for larger wins while protecting your account from devastating losses. Just as baseball teams win championships through disciplined, consistent play rather than swinging for the fences every at-bat, successful traders build wealth through reliable, repeatable profits rather than chasing home runs that often result in strikeouts. ⚾
Strategy Framework
Capital Allocation : 💰
• Working Balance: Account balance minus PDT requirement ($25,000 minimum for margin accounts)
• Allocated Buying Power: Working balance × leverage (4:1 for day trading, 2:1 for swing, 1:1 for cash)
• Daily Profit Target: 5% of allocated buying power (default)
The Base Hit System : 🎯
• Daily profit target divided into 4 "base hits"
• Each base hit represents 25% of daily goal
• Max risk per trade: 50% of base hit target (maintains 2:1 reward/risk minimum)
• Daily max loss: 2 base hits (recoverable with 2 winning trades)
Three-Tier Profit Structure : 🚀
• Tier 1 (5%): Minimum acceptable profit - "Why else take the trade?"
• Tier 2 (10%): Solid win - the target "base hit"
• Tier 3 (20%): Home run - when momentum is strongly in your favor 🏠🏃
Position Sizing Levels : 📊
• Quarter Position (25% of max): Testing the waters, lower conviction setups
• Half Position (50% of max): Standard confidence trades
• Max Position (100%): High conviction, ideal setup conditions
INDICATOR FEATURES
Real-Time Calculations ⚡
• Dynamic Position Sizing: Automatically calculates share quantities based on account balance and current price
• Profit & Loss Targets: Displays dollar amounts for profit targets and stop-losses across all position sizes
• Risk Metrics: Shows daily profit goals, max loss thresholds, and P&L ratios
Advanced Stop-Loss Methods 🛡️
1. Percentage-Based Stops : Fixed 50% of profit target (maintains 2:1 reward/risk)
2. ATR-Based Stops : Dynamic stops that adapt to market volatility using Average True Range (ATR)
• Tier 1: 0.5× ATR (tight/scalping)
• Tier 2: 1.0× ATR (standard)
• Tier 3: 1.5× ATR (wide/trending)
Cost Basis Options 📈
• Last Close: Uses previous bar's closing price for stable calculations
• VWMA: Volume-Weighted Moving Average (default: 9) estimate cost-basis from recent volume-weighted price action
• SMA/EMA: Use Simple or Exponential Moving Average (default: 9) useful for planning entries at SMA/EMA cross-overs and bounces.
• VWAP: Volume-Weighted Average Price (default: daily) for entry point planning at bounce or break of VWAP.
* Ask/Bid: Entry point calculations based on current Ask or Bid price (only available on 1T charts)
Visual Risk Management 🔑
• Color-Coded P&L Ratio :
- Green (≤0.5): Conservative, favorable risk ✅
- Yellow (0.5-1.0): Balanced risk ⚠️
- Red (>1.0): Aggressive, requires higher win rate 🛑
• Position Size Color Coding : Green (quarter) → Yellow (half) → Red (max) for quick risk assessment
HOW TO USE THE GSRM INDICATOR
Initial Setup (One-Time Configuration) ⚙️
1. Set Account Balance: Enter your total trading account value
2. Configure PDT Protection: Enable for margin accounts ≥$25,000 to protect required funds
3. Select Leverage: 4:1 (day trading), 2:1 (swing), or 1:1 (cash account)
4. Adjust Risk Percentage: Default 5% of allocated buying power; reduce for conservative approach
Trading Workflow
Pre-Market Preparation: 🌅
1. Review daily profit target and max loss displayed in green/red
2. Note your base hit target - this is your standard trade goal
3. Check P&L ratio - ensure it's sustainable for your win rate
Trade Execution: 🚀
1. Assess Setup Quality :
• Strong setup → Consider half or max position 💪
• Decent setup → Quarter or half position 👍
• Testing idea → Quarter position only 🧪
2. Select Profit Tier Based on Market Conditions :
• Choppy market → Target Tier 1 (5%) 🌊
• Normal conditions → Target Tier 2 (10%) ➡️
• Strong momentum → Target Tier 3 (20%) 🚀
3. Choose Stop Method :
• Percentage stops: Best for stocks with clear support/resistance
• ATR stops: Better for volatile stocks or news-driven trades. WARNING: this may result in tighter stops, negatively affecting your P&L. To offset this effect, try increasing the number of base hits to achieve your daily profit target and recover from a daily max loss. Be sure the resultant P&L ratio is in the conservative range ≤0.5. This will allow you to adjust your per-trade P&L targets without reducing your daily profit target or increasing your max risk.
4. Execute Using Table Values :
• 🔎 Find your position size group (🟢quarter/🟡half/🔴max)
• 🔎 Find your profit target row (5%/10%/20%) for your position size group
• ⚠️ Do not exceed the share count and stop-loss values displayed ⚠️
Risk Management Rules 🛡️
Daily Limits : 🚨
• Stop trading after hitting daily max loss (prevent tilt/revenge trading)
• Stop trading when a low-risk, minimum-loss trade would exceed your daily max loss (prevent exceeding max)
• Stop trading if you fall below the Daily Profit Target after having achieved it (prevent tilt/revenge trading)
• Cold Market: Stop trading after reaching daily profit target (preserve gains) ❄️
• Hot Market: Three Strikes - stop trading after 3 total max loss trades in a day (prevent tilt/revenge trading) 🔥
Position Management : 📏
• Never exceed max position size shown (protects from overleverage)
• Use quarter positions when daily P&L is negative or below first profit goal (40% of target)
• Use half positions only while daily P&L is above first profit goal (40% of target)
• Use full positions only while daily P&L is above profit goal (100% of target)
A/B Testing Features 🧪
Stop-Loss Methods :
• Week 1: Use percentage-based stops
• Week 2: Use ATR-based stops
• Compare win rates and average losses to optimize
Cost Basis Models :
Pick the highest probable cost-basis and keep your entry position below the share count shown to protect from overleveraging your buying power.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: COST BASIS ESTIMATIONS ARE FOR RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATIONS ONLY - DO NOT USE THIS INFORMATION TO EXECUTE BUY OR SELL ORDERS.
• Fast movers: Use Last Close for stability 🏃or Bid/Ask for real-time price updates (Bid/Ask is only available on 1T charts).
• Liquid stocks: Try VWMA for better entry estimation 💧
• Reversals/Break of VWAP: Use VWAP when anticipating an entry at the Volume-Weighted Average Price 🔄
• Reversals/Break SMA 200: Use SMA when anticipating an entry at the SMA 📉
• Momentum/Trending: Use EMA when anticipating an entry at the EMA bounce 📈
• Price Offset: Plus/Minus $1.00 in $0.10 increments to compensate for slippage, market orders, etc.
Track which method provides better fill estimates. There is no right or wrong choice here because it depends on your style of trading. You can also use the Price Offset option if you find it helps with consistency.
BEST PRACTICES ⭐
1. Start Conservative : Use quarter positions and default settings until familiar with the system 🐣
2. Track Results : Document whether you hit Tier 1, 2, or 3 targets 📝
3. Respect the Math : The calculations assume a 50%+ win rate - if yours is lower, reduce position sizes 🧮
4. Daily Review : Compare actual P&L to base hit targets to calibrate expectations 🔍
5. Adapt to Conditions : Use ATR stops in volatile markets, percentage stops in stable conditions 🌡️
GLOSSARY 📚
• ATR (Average True Range) : A volatility indicator measuring the average range of price movement
• PDT (Pattern Day Trader) : SEC rule requiring $25,000 minimum for accounts making 4+ day trades in 5 business days
• VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) : Average price weighted by volume for the trading session
• VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average) : Moving average that gives more weight to periods with higher volume
• SMA (Simple Moving Average) : Unweighted moving average where each data point is of equal importance
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average) : Moving average that emphasizes the most recent data and information from the market
• P&L : Profit & Loss
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ⚠️
• This indicator and any information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other type of advice. You should not make any investment decision based solely on this indicator.
• All investments and trading involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your experience, objectives, financial resources, and other relevant circumstances. 📉
• Actual trade results may vary from calculated targets due to slippage, market gaps, and execution delays
• The creator of this indicator is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial advisor. Nothing contained herein constitutes a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
• In no event shall the creator be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, special, or consequential damages arising out of the use of this indicator.
• This indicator DOES NOT calculate support/resistance levels
• This indicator DOES NOT provide buy/sell signals
• This indicator DOES NOT calculate entry prices
• It is the trader's responsibility to determine an appropriate entry price for their chosen strategy
• This indicator provides calculations only - execution discipline remains the trader's responsibility
• Default settings assume PDT margin account rules; adjust for cash accounts
• P&L ratio colors are guidelines - your actual win rate determines sustainable ratios
• Always verify position sizes don't exceed account buying power before executing
SUPPORT AND FEEDBACK 💬
This indicator represents years of trading experience condensed into automated calculations. It's designed to remove emotional decision-making from position sizing while maintaining flexibility for different market conditions and trading styles.
For questions, suggestions, or to share your results using the GSRM strategy, please comment on the TradingView publication page. 🚀
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Remember: The goal isn't to hit home runs - it's to get on base consistently while avoiding strikeouts. Small wins compound into large gains over time. ⚾💰
Version: 1.0
License: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
- creativecommons.org
Compatibility: TradingView Pine Script v6
BTCUSD Dual Thrust (1H)BTCUSD Dual Thrust (1H) — Indicator
Overview
The Dual Thrust is a classic breakout-type strategy designed to capture strong directional moves when markets show imbalance between buyers and sellers. This indicator adapts the method specifically for BTCUSD on the 1-Hour timeframe, showing dynamic Buy/Sell trigger levels and live signals.
Origin
The Dual Thrust system was originally introduced by Michael Vitucci and has been widely used in futures and high-volatility markets. It was designed as a day-trading breakout framework, where daily high/low and close data define the range for the next session’s trade triggers.
How it Works
Each new day, the indicator calculates a “breakout range” using daily price data.
Two trigger levels are projected from the daily open:
Buy Trigger: Open + Range × KUp
Sell Trigger: Open - Range × KDn
Range can be built from either:
Classic Dual Thrust formula: max(High - Close , Close - Low) over a lookback period, or
ATR-based range: for volatility-adaptive signals.
A LONG signal fires when price crosses above the Buy Trigger.
An EXIT signal fires when price crosses below the Sell Trigger.
Buy/Sell lines step forward across each intraday bar until recalculated at the next daily open.
Practical Use
Optimized for BTCUSD 1-Hour charts (crypto’s volatility provides stronger follow-through).
Use the Buy/Sell levels as dynamic breakout lines or as confluence with your own setups.
Alerts are built in, so you can receive notifications when a LONG or EXIT condition triggers.
Designed as an indicator only (not a backtest strategy).
Key Features
✅ Daily Buy/Sell trigger lines auto-calculated and forward-filled
✅ LONG / EXIT labels on signals
✅ Optional ATR mode for volatility regimes
✅ Optional bar coloring for easy visual scanning
✅ Alerts ready for live monitoring
⚡️ Tip: While this indicator highlights breakout opportunities, effectiveness can improve when combined with trend filters (e.g., 200-SMA) or when aligned with higher timeframe supply/demand zones.
Bias + VWAP Pullback — v4 (PA + BOS/CHOCH)Simple idea: I identify the trend (bias) from the larger timeframe, and only trade pullbacks to the VWAP/EMA during liquidity (London/New York). When the trend is clear, gold moves strongly, and its pullbacks to the balance lines provide clear opportunities.
Timeframe and Sessions (Cairo Time)
Analysis: H1 to determine the trend.
Implementation: 5m (or 1m if professional).
Trading window:
London Opening: 10:00–12:30
New York Opening: 16:30–19:00
(avoid the rest of the day unless there is exceptional traffic).
Direction determination (BIAS)
On H1:
If the price is above the 200 EMA and the daily VWAP is bullish and the price is above it → uptrend (long-only).
If the price is below the 200 EMA and the daily VWAP is bearish and the price is below it → bearish trend (short-only).
Determine your levels: yesterday's high/low (PDH/PDL) + approximate Asia range (03:00–09:30).
Entry Rules (Setup A: Trend Continuation)
Asia range breakout towards Bias during liquidity window.
Wait for a withdrawal to:
Daily VWAP, or
EMA50 on 5m frame (best if both cross).
Confirmation: Confirmation low/high on 5m (HL buy/LH sell) + clear impulse candle (Body is greater than average of last 10 candles).
Entry:
Buy: When the price returns above VWAP/EMA50 with a confirmation candle close.
Sell: The exact opposite.
Stop Loss (SL): Below/above the last confirmation low/high or ATR(14, 5m) x 1.5 (largest).
Objectives:
TP1 = 1R (Close 50% and move the rest Break-even).
TP2 = 2.5R to 3R or at an important HTF level (PDH/PDL/Bid/Demand Zone).
Entry Rules (Setup B: Reversion to VWAP – “Mean Reversion”)
Use with extreme caution, once daily maximum:
Price deviation from VWAP by more than ~1.5 x ATR(14, 5m) with rejection candles appearing near PDH/PDL.
Reverse entry towards the return of VWAP.
SL small behind rejection top/bottom.
Main target: VWAP. (Don't get greedy — this scenario is for extended periods only.)
News Filtering and Risk Management
Avoid trading 15–30 minutes before/after strong US news (CPI, NFP, FOMC).
Maximum daily loss: 1.5–2% of account balance.
Risk per trade: 0.25–0.5% (if you are learning) or 0.5–1% (if you are experienced).
Do not exceed two consecutive losing trades per day.
Don't chase the market after the opportunity has passed — wait for the next pullback.
Smart Deal Management
After TP1: Move stop to entry point + trail the rest with EMA20 on 5m or ATR Trailing = ATR(14)×1.0.
If the price touches a strong daily level (PDH/PDL) and fails to break, consider taking additional profit.
If VWAP starts to flatten and breaks against the trend on H1, stop trading for the day.
Quick Checklist (Before Entry)
H1 trend is clear and consistent with 200EMA + VWAP.
Penetrating the Asia range towards Bias.
Clean pull to VWAP/EMA50 on 5m.
Confirmation candle and real push.
SL is logical (behind swing/ATR×1.5) and R :R ≥ 1:2.
No red news coming soon.
Example of "ready-made" settings
EMA: 20, 50, 200 on 5m, 200 only on H1.
VWAP: Daily (reset daily).
ATR: 14 on 5m.
Levels: PDH/PDL + Asia Band (03:00–09:30 Cairo).
Gold Notes
Gold is fast and sharp at the open; don't get in early — wait for the draw.
Fakeouts are common before news: it is best to call with the trend after the price returns above/below VWAP.
Don't expect 80% consistent wins every day — the advantage comes from discipline, filtering out bad days, and only withdrawing when you're on the right track.
تعتبر شركة الماسة الألمانية أحد المؤسسات العاملة بالمملكة العربية السعودية ولها تاريخ طويل من الخدمات الكثيرة والمتنوعة التى مازالت تقدمها للكثير من العملاء داخل جميع مدن وأحياء المملكة حيث نقدم أفضل ما لدينا من خلال مجموعة الشركات التالية والتي من خلالها ستتلقي كل ما تحتاج إلية في كل المجال المختلفة فنحن نعمل منذ عام 2015 ولنا سابقات اعمال فى مختلف المجالات الحيوية التى نخدم من خلالها عملائنا ونوفر لهم أرخص الأسعار وبأعلى جودة من الممكن توفرها فى المجالات التالية :-
خدمات تنظيف المنازل والفلل والشقق
خدمات عزل الخزانات تنظيف غسيل صيانة اصلاح
خدمات جلي البلاط والرخام والسيراميك
خدمات نقل العفش عمالة فلبينية مدربة
خدمات مكافحة الحشرات بجدة
كل هذة الخدمات وأكثر نوفرها لكل المتعاقدين بأفضل الطرق مع توفير خطط وبرامج متنوعة لأتمام العمل المسنود إلينا بأفضل وأحدث الطرق الحديثة والعصرية سواء فى شركات النظافة بجدة ومكة المكرمة أو شركات نقل العفش بجدة عمالة فلبينية وباقى الخدمات مثل جلي وتلميع الرخام بمكة وجدة ولا ننسي شركة مكافحة حشرات بجدة التى ساعدت آلاف المواطنين على تنظيف منازلهم من الحشرات بأفضل مبيدات حشرية.
ATR Future Movement Range Projection
The "ATR Future Movement Range Projection" is a custom TradingView Pine Script indicator designed to forecast potential price ranges for a stock (or any asset) over short-term (1-month) and medium-term (3-month) horizons. It leverages the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of volatility to estimate how far the price might move, while incorporating recent momentum bias based on the proportion of bullish (green) vs. bearish (red) candles. This creates asymmetric projections: in bullish periods, the upside range is larger than the downside, and vice versa.
The indicator is overlaid on the chart, plotting horizontal lines for the projected high and low prices for both timeframes. Additionally, it displays a small table in the top-right corner summarizing the projected prices and the percentage change required from the current close to reach them. This makes it useful for traders assessing potential targets, risk-reward ratios, or option strategies, as it combines volatility forecasting with directional sentiment.
Key features:
- **Volatility Basis**: Uses weekly ATR to derive a stable daily volatility estimate, avoiding noise from shorter timeframes.
- **Momentum Adjustment**: Analyzes recent candle colors to tilt projections toward the prevailing trend (e.g., more upside if more green candles).
- **Time Horizons**: Fixed at 1 month (21 trading days) and 3 months (63 trading days), assuming ~21 trading days per month (excluding weekends/holidays).
- **User Adjustable**: The ATR length/lookback (default 50) can be tweaked via inputs.
- **Visuals**: Green/lime lines for highs, red/orange for lows; a semi-transparent table for quick reference.
- **Limitations**: This is a probabilistic projection based on historical volatility and momentum—it doesn't predict direction with certainty and assumes volatility persists. It ignores external factors like news, earnings, or market regimes. Best used on daily charts for stocks/ETFs.
The indicator doesn't generate buy/sell signals but helps visualize "expected" ranges, similar to how implied volatility informs option pricing.
### How It Works Step-by-Step
The script executes on each bar update (typically daily timeframe) and follows this logic:
1. **Input Configuration**:
- ATR Length (Lookback): Default 50 bars. This controls both the ATR calculation period and the candle count window. You can adjust it in the indicator settings.
2. **Calculate Weekly ATR**:
- Fetches the ATR from the weekly timeframe using `request.security` with a length of 50 weeks.
- ATR measures average price range (high-low, adjusted for gaps), representing volatility.
3. **Derive Daily ATR**:
- Divides the weekly ATR by 5 (approximating 5 trading days per week) to get an equivalent daily volatility estimate.
- Example: If weekly ATR is $5, daily ATR ≈ $1.
4. **Define Projection Periods**:
- 1 Month: 21 trading days.
- 3 Months: 63 trading days (21 × 3).
- These are hardcoded but based on standard trading calendar assumptions.
5. **Compute Base Projections**:
- Base projection = Daily ATR × Days in period.
- This gives the total expected movement (range) without direction: e.g., for 3 months, $1 daily ATR × 63 = $63 total range.
6. **Analyze Candle Momentum (Win Rate)**:
- Counts green candles (close > open) and red candles (close < open) over the last 50 bars (ignores dojis where close == open).
- Total colored candles = green + red.
- Win rate = green / total colored (as a fraction, e.g., 0.7 for 70%). Defaults to 0.5 if no colored candles.
- This acts as a simple momentum proxy: higher win rate implies bullish bias.
7. **Adjust Projections Asymmetrically**:
- Upside projection = Base projection × Win rate.
- Downside projection = Base projection × (1 - Win rate).
- This skews the range: e.g., 70% win rate means 70% of the total range allocated to upside, 30% to downside.
8. **Calculate Projected Prices**:
- High = Current close + Upside projection.
- Low = Current close - Downside projection.
- Done separately for 1M and 3M.
9. **Plot Lines**:
- 3M High: Solid green line.
- 3M Low: Solid red line.
- 1M High: Dashed lime line.
- 1M Low: Dashed orange line.
- Lines extend horizontally from the current bar onward.
10. **Display Table**:
- A 3-column table (Projection, Price, % Change) in the top-right.
- Rows for 1M High/Low and 3M High/Low, color-coded.
- % Change = ((Projected price - Close) / Close) × 100.
- Updates dynamically with new data.
The entire process repeats on each new bar, so projections evolve as volatility and momentum change.
### Examples
Here are two hypothetical examples using the indicator on a daily chart. Assume it's applied to a stock like AAPL, but with made-up data for illustration. (In TradingView, you'd add the script to see real outputs.)
#### Example 1: Bullish Scenario (High Win Rate)
- Current Close: $150.
- Weekly ATR (50 periods): $10 → Daily ATR: $10 / 5 = $2.
- Last 50 Candles: 35 green, 15 red → Total colored: 50 → Win Rate: 35/50 = 0.7 (70%).
- Base Projections:
- 1M: $2 × 21 = $42.
- 3M: $2 × 63 = $126.
- Adjusted Projections:
- 1M Upside: $42 × 0.7 = $29.4 → High: $150 + $29.4 = $179.4 (+19.6%).
- 1M Downside: $42 × 0.3 = $12.6 → Low: $150 - $12.6 = $137.4 (-8.4%).
- 3M Upside: $126 × 0.7 = $88.2 → High: $150 + $88.2 = $238.2 (+58.8%).
- 3M Downside: $126 × 0.3 = $37.8 → Low: $150 - $37.8 = $112.2 (-25.2%).
- On the Chart: Green/lime lines skewed higher; table shows bullish % changes (e.g., +58.8% for 3M high).
- Interpretation: Suggests stronger potential upside due to recent bullish momentum; useful for call options or long positions.
#### Example 2: Bearish Scenario (Low Win Rate)
- Current Close: $50.
- Weekly ATR (50 periods): $3 → Daily ATR: $3 / 5 = $0.6.
- Last 50 Candles: 20 green, 30 red → Total colored: 50 → Win Rate: 20/50 = 0.4 (40%).
- Base Projections:
- 1M: $0.6 × 21 = $12.6.
- 3M: $0.6 × 63 = $37.8.
- Adjusted Projections:
- 1M Upside: $12.6 × 0.4 = $5.04 → High: $50 + $5.04 = $55.04 (+10.1%).
- 1M Downside: $12.6 × 0.6 = $7.56 → Low: $50 - $7.56 = $42.44 (-15.1%).
- 3M Upside: $37.8 × 0.4 = $15.12 → High: $50 + $15.12 = $65.12 (+30.2%).
- 3M Downside: $37.8 × 0.6 = $22.68 → Low: $50 - $22.68 = $27.32 (-45.4%).
- On the Chart: Red/orange lines skewed lower; table highlights larger downside % (e.g., -45.4% for 3M low).
- Interpretation: Indicates bearish risk; might prompt protective puts or short strategies.
#### Example 3: Neutral Scenario (Balanced Win Rate)
- Current Close: $100.
- Weekly ATR: $5 → Daily ATR: $1.
- Last 50 Candles: 25 green, 25 red → Win Rate: 0.5 (50%).
- Projections become symmetric:
- 1M: Base $21 → Upside/Downside $10.5 each → High $110.5 (+10.5%), Low $89.5 (-10.5%).
- 3M: Base $63 → Upside/Downside $31.5 each → High $131.5 (+31.5%), Low $68.5 (-31.5%).
- Interpretation: Pure volatility-based range, no directional bias—ideal for straddle options or range trading.
In real use, test on historical data: e.g., if past projections captured actual moves ~68% of the time (1 standard deviation for ATR), it validates the volatility assumption. Adjust the lookback for different assets (shorter for volatile cryptos, longer for stable blue-chips).
3-Level DCA Buy Strategy🎯 3-Level DCA Buy Strategy - Smart Dollar Cost Averaging
Professional DCA strategy that systematically accumulates positions during market dips. Enhanced with daily trend analysis for intelligent accumulation.
🚀 Key Features
- 3-Level Buying System: Automatic purchases at 5%, 10%, 15% drops from cycle highs
- Daily Trend Analysis: 1-day timeframe trend confirmation
- Smart Peak Detection: 100-period lookback for meaningful peaks
- Volume Filter: Optional volume confirmation system
- USD-Based Positions: Fixed dollar amounts per level
- Never Sells: Pure accumulation philosophy (buy-only)
📊 How It Works
1. Peak Identification: Detects highest price in last 100 periods
2. Daily Trend Check: Confirms price above 50 SMA on 1D timeframe
3. Drop Tracking: Calculates percentage drops from cycle high
4. Systematic Buying: Executes predetermined amounts at each level
5. Cycle Reset: Renews buy permissions when new peaks form
⚙️ Default Settings
- Buy Levels: 5%, 10%, 15% drops
- Position Sizes: $100, $150, $200
- Peak Period: 100 bars
- Higher Timeframe: 1 Day (1D)
- Pyramiding: 500 order capacity
🎨 Visual Elements
- Orange Circles: Mark cycle highs
- Colored Lines: Green/Blue/Red buy levels
- Triangle Signals: Buy point indicators
- Live Panel: Real-time statistics
- Background Colors: Trend and drop level indicators
🔔 Alert System
- Instant notifications for each buy level
- New peak detection alerts
- Major drop warnings (>20%)
- Daily trend change notifications
💡 Ideal Use Cases
- Crypto Accumulation: Bitcoin, Ethereum and major altcoins
- Stock DCA: Long-term portfolio building
- Volatile Markets: Capitalizing on price fluctuations
- Emotional Trading Prevention: Automated and disciplined buying
📈 Strategy Logic
This strategy follows the "buy the dip" philosophy. It waits during market rises and systematically builds positions during declines. Only buys when daily trend is bullish, providing protection during major bear markets.
⚠️ Important Notes
- Buy-only strategy - never sells positions
- Requires sufficient capital for multiple entries
- Most effective in trending and volatile markets
- Always backtest before live trading
- Risk management is your responsibility
🛠️ Customization Options
All parameters are fully customizable: drop percentages, position amounts, timeframes, visual elements and more. Suitable for both beginner and experienced investors.
🎯 Publishing Feature
Note: Strategy includes temporary 1-day sell cycle for TradingView publishing requirements. This feature can be disabled for normal DCA mode operation.
⭐ If you find this strategy helpful, please like and follow! Visit the profile for more trading tools.
ATR %Overview
Shows the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage of a chosen price basis. Useful for a quick, apples-to-apples view of current volatility across symbols and timeframes. The value is displayed in a clean table at the bottom-right of the chart.
What it shows
Basis can be: Close, EMA(len), SMA(len), or VWAP.
Data timeframe can be the Chart timeframe or a Daily aggregation.
Inputs
ATR length (len) – ATR lookback.
Percent basis – Close / EMA / SMA / VWAP.
Data timeframe – Chart (uses the current chart TF) or Daily (computes ATR and basis from daily data).
Decimals – number of decimal places to display.
Text / Background / Frame colors – customize the table appearance.
Notes
In Daily mode, ATR and basis are taken from daily data and update on daily close.
VWAP is available only in Chart mode (Daily + VWAP will show n/a by design).
The script overlays the chart but does not plot lines—only a compact info box.
Use cases
Compare volatility across coins/stocks quickly using ATR% instead of raw ATR.
Switch basis to match your style (e.g., EMA for trend-aware scaling, VWAP for intraday context).
Set Daily to track higher-timeframe volatility while trading lower TFs.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.
Pivot Points mura visionWhat it is
A clean, single-set pivot overlay that lets you choose the pivot type (Traditional/Fibonacci), the anchor timeframe (Daily/Weekly/Monthly/Quarterly, or Auto), and fully customize colors, line width/style , and labels . The script never draws duplicate sets—exactly one pivot pack is displayed for the chosen (or auto-detected) anchor.
How it works
Pivots are computed with ta.pivot_point_levels() for the selected anchor timeframe .
The script supports the standard 7 levels: P, R1/S1, R2/S2, R3/S3 .
Lines span exactly one anchor period forward from the current bar time.
Label suffix shows the anchor source: D (Daily), W (Weekly), M (Monthly), Q (Quarterly).
Auto-anchor logic
Intraday ≤ 15 min → Daily pivots (D)
Intraday 20–120 min → Weekly pivots (W)
Intraday > 120 min (3–4 h) → Monthly pivots (M)
Daily and above → Quarterly pivots (Q)
This keeps the chart readable while matching the most common trader expectations across timeframes.
Inputs
Pivot Type — Traditional or Fibonacci.
Pivots Timeframe — Auto, Daily (1D), Weekly (1W), Monthly (1M), Quarterly (3M).
Line Width / Line Style — width 1–10; style Solid, Dashed, or Dotted.
Show Labels / Show Prices — toggle level tags and price values.
Colors — user-selectable colors for P, R*, S* .
How to use
Pick a symbol/timeframe.
Leave Pivots Timeframe = Auto to let the script choose; or set a fixed anchor if you prefer.
Toggle labels and prices to taste; adjust line style/width and colors for your theme.
Read the market like a map:
P often acts as a mean/rotation point.
R1/S1 are common first reaction zones; R2/S2 and R3/S3 mark stronger extensions.
Confluence with S/R, trendlines, session highs/lows, or volume nodes improves context.
Good practices
Use Daily pivots for intraday scalps (≤15m).
Use Weekly/Monthly for swing bias on 1–4 h.
Use Quarterly when analyzing on Daily and higher to frame larger cycles.
Combine with trend filters (e.g., EMA/KAMA 233) or volatility tools for entries and risk.
Notes & limitations
The script shows one pivot pack at a time by design (prevents clutter and duplicates).
Historical values follow TradingView’s standard pivot definitions; results can vary across assets/exchanges.
No alerts are included (levels are static within the anchor period).
Volatility Forecast/*==============================================================================
Volatility Forecast — Publishable Documentation
Author: @BB_9791
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
WHAT THIS INDICATOR SHOWS
- A daily volatility estimate in percent points, called sigma_day.
- A slow volatility anchor, the 10-year EMA of sigma_day.
- A blended volatility series in percent points:
sigma_blend = (1 − p) * sigma_day + p * EMA_10y(sigma_day)
where p is the Slow weight %, default 30.
- Optional annualization by multiplying by 16, this is a daily-to-annual
conversion used by Robert Carver in his writings.
METHODOLOGY, CREDIT
The estimator follows the approach popularized by Robert Carver
("Systematic Trading", "Advanced Futures Trading Strategies", blog qoppac).
Current daily volatility is computed as an exponentially weighted standard
deviation of daily percent returns, with alpha = 2 / (span + 1).
The slow leg is a long EMA of that volatility series, about 10 years.
The blend uses fixed weights. This keeps the slow leg meaningful through
large price level changes, since the blend is done in percent space first.
MATH DETAILS
Let r_t be daily percent return:
r_t = 100 * (Close_t / Close_{t−1} − 1)
EWMA mean and variance:
m_t = α * r_t + (1 − α) * m_{t−1}
v_t = α * (r_t − m_t)^2 + (1 − α) * v_{t−1}
where α = 2 / (span_current + 1)
Current daily sigma in percent points:
sigma_day = sqrt(v_t)
Slow leg:
sigma_10y = EMA(sigma_day, span_long)
Blend:
sigma_blend = (1 − p) * sigma_day + p * sigma_10y
Annualized option:
sigma_ann = 16 * sigma_blend
INPUTS
- Threshold (percent points): horizontal guide level on the chart.
- Short term span (days): EW stdev span for sigma_day.
- Long term span (days): EMA span for the slow leg, choose about 2500 for 10 years.
- Slow weight %: p in the blend.
- Annualize (x16): plot daily or annualized values.
- Show components: toggles Current and 10y EMA lines.
- The script uses the chart symbol by default.
PLOTS
- Blended σ% as the main line.
- Optional Current σ% and 10y EMA σ%.
- Editable horizontal threshold line in the same units as the plot
(percent points per day or per year).
- Optional EMA 9 and EMA 20 cloud on the blended series, green for uptrend
when EMA 9 is above EMA 20, red otherwise. Opacity is configurable.
HOW TO READ
- Values are percent points of movement per day when not annualized,
for example 1.2 means about 1.2% typical daily move.
- With annualize checked, values are percent points per year, for example 18
means about 18% annualized volatility.
- Use the threshold and the EMA cloud to mark high or low volatility regimes.
NOTES
- All calculations use daily data via request.security at the chart symbol.
- The blend is done in percent space, then optionally annualized, which avoids
bias from the price level.
- This script does not produce trading signals by itself, it is a risk and
regime indicator.
CREDITS
Volatility forecasting method and scaling convention credited to Robert Carver.
See his books and blog for background and parameter choices.
VERSION
v1.0 Initial public release.
==============================================================================*/
UDVR + OBV Combo — MTF (v6)The UDVR + OBV Combo is a multi-timeframe volume analysis tool that blends the Up/Down Volume Ratio with a normalized On-Balance Volume signal. It highlights when accumulation or distribution truly supports price action, adds higher-timeframe context, and shades the background when both indicators align. Use it to confirm breakouts, spot divergences, and filter trades with the backing of real volume flows.
1.Up/Down Volume Ratio (UDVR)
•Compares the rolling sum of up-volume (bars where price closed higher) vs down-volume (bars where price closed lower).
•A ratio > 1.0 = more accumulation (bullish pressure).
•A ratio < 1.0 = more distribution (bearish pressure).
•Optional histogram shows deviations from the 1.0 baseline.
•Customizable handling of equal closes (count as up, down, split, or ignore).
•Configurable lookback length and optional EMA smoothing.
2. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
•Classic cumulative OBV implemented natively (adds volume on up-bars, subtracts on down-bars).
•Normalized with a z-score so it can be compared across different symbols/timeframes.
•Includes an EMA signal line for slope detection.
•Alignment of OBV vs its EMA highlights rising or waning participation.
3. Multi-Timeframe Support
•Both UDVR and OBV can be plotted from a higher timeframe (HTF) (e.g. Daily UDVR shown on a 1h chart).
•Lets you see big-money accumulation/distribution while trading intraday.
•Shaded background when current TF and HTF agree (both bullish or both bearish).
How to read it
• Bullish confirmation = UDVR > 1 (accumulation) and OBV above EMA (rising participation).
• Bearish confirmation = UDVR < 1 (distribution) and OBV below EMA (falling participation).
• Mixed signals (e.g. UDVR > 1 but OBV falling) = caution; price may lack conviction.
• Divergences : If price makes a new high but OBV or UDVR does not, it’s a warning of weakening trend.
• Higher timeframe context : set HTF = Daily or Weekly and watch how short-term signals align with institutional flows. A long trade on the 15m chart is stronger when Daily UDVR is also above 1.
Inputs
•UDVR Lookback: number of bars for rolling volume sums.
•Smoothing EMA: smooths UDVR for stability.
•Equal Close Handling: decide how equal closes affect UDVR.
•Signal Band: optional UDVR extreme thresholds.
•Show Histogram: toggle UDVR histogram around baseline.
•Higher Timeframe UDVR: overlay Daily/Weekly UDVR on lower timeframe charts.
•OBV EMA length: slope proxy for normalized OBV.
•OBV Normalization window: controls z-score sensitivity.
•Higher Timeframe OBV: overlay higher timeframe OBV.
Alerts
•UDVR Bullish/Bearish cross at the 1.0 baseline.
•OBV slope up/down when OBV crosses its EMA.
•Alignment signals when UDVR and OBV agree (both confirm bullish or bearish conditions).
Why it’s useful
•Combines trend, momentum, and participation in one place.
•Helps avoid false breakouts by checking if volume supports the move.
•Lets you spot accumulation/distribution shifts before they show up in price.
•Gives a higher timeframe context so you’re not trading against the “big picture.”
Once applied, the indicator creates a dedicated pane below price with the following components:
UDVR Line (green/red)
• Green when UDVR > 1.0 (more up-volume than down-volume → accumulation).
• Red when UDVR < 1.0 (more down-volume → distribution).
UDVR Baseline and Bands
• Grey baseline at 1.0 = balance between buying and selling volume.
• Optional upper/lower bands (default 1.5 and 0.67) highlight extreme imbalances.
• Shaded areas between baseline and bands provide visual context for strength/weakness.
UDVR Histogram (optional)
• Columns around the baseline showing (UDVR – 1.0).
• Quick way to gauge how far above/below balance the ratio is.
Higher-Timeframe UDVR (teal line)
• Overlays the UDVR from a higher timeframe (e.g. Daily) on your intraday chart.
• Lets you see whether institutional flows support your shorter-term signals.
OBV Normalized (blue/orange line)
• Classic OBV, but normalized with a z-score so it stays readable across assets.
• Blue when OBV is above its EMA (rising participation).
• Orange when below its EMA (waning participation).
OBV EMA (grey line)
• Signal line showing the slope of OBV.
• Crosses between OBV and this line mark shifts in participation.
Higher-Timeframe OBV (purple line, optional)
• Plots OBV from a higher timeframe for additional context.
Background Shading
• Light green = both UDVR > 1 and OBV > OBV-EMA (bullish alignment).
• Light red = both UDVR < 1 and OBV < OBV-EMA (bearish alignment).
VWAP Confluência 3x VWAP Confluence 3x — Daily · Weekly · Anchored
Purpose
A pragmatic VWAP suite for execution and risk management. It plots three institutional reference lines: Daily VWAP, Weekly VWAP, and an Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) starting from a user-defined event (news, earnings, session open, swing high/low).
Why it matters
VWAP is the market’s “fair price” weighted by where volume actually traded. Confluence across timeframes and events turns noisy charts into actionable bias and clean levels.
What it does
Daily VWAP — resets each trading day; intraday “fair value.”
Weekly VWAP — resets each week; swing context and larger player defense.
Anchored VWAP — starts at a precise timestamp you set (e.g., news release).
Price source toggle — Typical Price
(
𝐻
+
𝐿
+
𝐶
)
/
3
(H+L+C)/3 or Close.
Visibility switches — enable/disable each line independently.
Anchor marker — labels the first bar of the AVWAP.
Inputs
Show Daily VWAP (on/off)
Show Weekly VWAP (on/off)
Show Anchored VWAP (on/off)
Price Source: Typical (H+L+C)/3 or Close
Anchor Time: timestamp of your event (uses the chart/exchange timezone)
How to anchor to a news event
Find the exact release time as shown in your chart’s timezone.
Open the indicator settings → set Anchor Time to that minute.
The AVWAP begins at that bar and accumulates forward.
Playbook (examples, not signals)
Strong long bias: price above Daily and Weekly VWAP; AVWAP reclaimed after news.
Strong short bias: price below Daily and Weekly; AVWAP reject after news.
Mean-revert zones: price stretches far from the active VWAPs and snaps back; size around VWAP with tight risk.
Targets: opposite VWAP, prior day/week highs/lows, or liquidity pools near AVWAP.
Best used with
Session highs/lows, liquidity sweeps, volume profile, and time-of-day filters.
Notes & limitations
Works best on markets with reliable volume (equities, futures, liquid crypto). FX spot uses synthetic volume—interpret accordingly.
Anchor Time respects the chart’s timezone. Convert news times before setting.
This is an indicator, not a backtestable strategy. No trade advice.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
Previous Day OHLC Dashboard (Last N Days)Indicator: Previous Day OHLC Dashboard (Multi-Day)
This indicator displays a dashboard-style table on your chart that shows the Open, High, Low, and Close (OHLC) of the previous trading days. It’s designed to help traders quickly reference key daily levels that often act as important support and resistance zones.
🔑 Features:
Dashboard Table: Shows OHLC data for the last N trading days (default = 3, up to 10).
Customizable Appearance:
Change the position of the dashboard (Top-Right, Top-Left, Bottom-Right, Bottom-Left).
Adjust text size (Tiny → Huge).
Customize colors for header, labels, and each OHLC column.
Yesterday’s OHLC Lines (optional): Plots horizontal lines on the chart for the previous day’s Open, High, Low, and Close.
Intraday & Multi-Timeframe Compatible: Works on all timeframes below Daily — values update automatically from the daily chart.
📊 Use Cases:
Quickly identify yesterday’s key levels for intraday trading.
Track how current price reacts to previous day’s support/resistance.
Keep a multi-day reference for trend bias and range context.
⚙️ How it Works:
The indicator pulls daily OHLC values using request.security() with lookahead_on to ensure prior day’s values are extended across the next session.
These values are displayed in a compact table for quick reference.
Optionally, the most recent daily levels (D-1) are plotted as chart lines.
✅ Perfect for day traders, scalpers, and swing traders who rely on yesterday’s price action to plan today’s trades.
ForecastForecast (FC), indicator documentation
Type: Study, not a strategy
Primary timeframe: 1D chart, most plots and the on-chart table only render on daily bars
Inspiration: Robert Carver’s “forecast” concept from Advanced Futures Trading Strategies, using normalized, capped signals for comparability across markets
⸻
What the indicator does
FC builds a volatility-normalized momentum forecast for a chosen symbol, optionally versus a benchmark. It combines an EWMAC composite with a channel breakout composite, then caps the result to a common scale. You can run it in three data modes:
• Absolute: Forecast of the selected symbol
• Relative: Forecast of the ratio symbol / benchmark
• Combined: Average of Absolute and Relative
A compact table can summarize the current forecast, short-term direction on the forecast EMAs, correlation versus the benchmark, and ATR-scaled distances to common price EMAs.
⸻
PineScreener, relative-strength screening
This indicator is excellent for screening on relative strength in PineScreener, since the forecast is volatility-normalized and capped on a common scale.
Available PineScreener columns
PineScreener reads the plotted series. You will see at least these columns:
• FC, the capped forecast
• from EMA20, (price − EMA20) / ATR in ATR multiples
• from EMA50, (price − EMA50) / ATR in ATR multiples
• ATR, ATR as a percent of price
• Corr, weekly correlation with the chosen benchmark
Relative mode and Combined mode are recommended for cross-sectional screens. In Relative mode the calculation uses symbol / benchmark, so ensure the ratio ticker exists for your data source.
⸻
How it works, step by step
1. Volatility model
Compute exponentially weighted mean and variance of daily percent returns on D, annualize, optionally blend with a long lookback using 10y %, then convert to a price-scaled sigma.
2. EWMAC momentum, three legs
Daily legs: EMA(8) − EMA(32), EMA(16) − EMA(64), EMA(32) − EMA(128).
Divide by price-scaled sigma, multiply by leg scalars, cap to Cap = 20, average, then apply a small FDM factor.
3. Breakout momentum, three channels
Smoothed position inside 40, 80, and 160 day channels, each scaled, then averaged.
4. Composite forecast
Average the EWMAC composite and the breakout composite, then cap to ±20.
Relative mode runs the same logic on symbol / benchmark.
Combined mode averages Absolute and Relative composites.
5. Weekly correlation
Pearson correlation between weekly closes of the asset and the benchmark over a user-set length.
6. Direction overlay
Two EMAs on the forecast series plus optional green or red background by sign, and optional horizontal level shading around 0, ±5, ±10, ±15, ±20.
⸻
Plots
• FC, capped forecast on the daily chart
• 8-32 Abs, 8-32 Rel, single-leg EWMAC plus breakout view
• 8-32-128 Abs, 8-32-128 Rel, three-leg composite views
• from EMA20, from EMA50, (price − EMA) / ATR
• ATR, ATR as a percent of price
• Corr, weekly correlation with the benchmark
• Forecast EMA1 and EMA2, EMAs of the forecast with an optional fill
• Backgrounds and guide lines, optional sign-based background, optional 0, ±5, ±10, ±15, ±20 guides
Most plots and the table are gated by timeframe.isdaily. Set the chart to 1D to see them.
⸻
Inputs
Symbol selection
• Absolute, Relative, Combined
• Vs. benchmark for Relative mode and correlation, choices: SPY, QQQ, XLE, GLD
• Ticker or Freeform, for Freeform use full TradingView notation, for example NASDAQ:AAPL
Engine selection
• Include:
• 8-32-128, three EWMAC legs plus three breakouts
• 8-32, simplified view based on the 8-32 leg plus a 40-day breakout
EMA, applied to the forecast
• EMA1, EMA2, with line-width controls, plus color and opacity
Volatility
• Span, EW volatility span for daily returns
• 10y %, blend of long-run volatility
• Thresh, Too volatile, placeholders in this version
Background
• Horizontal bg, level shading, enabled by default
• Long BG, Hedge BG, colors and opacities
Show
• Table, Header, Direction, Gain, Extension
• Corr, Length for correlation row
Table settings
• Position, background, opacity, text size, text color
Lines
• 0-lines, 10-lines, 5-lines, level guides
⸻
Reading the outputs
• Forecast > 0, bullish tilt; Forecast < 0, bearish or hedge tilt
• ±10 and ±20 indicate strength on a uniform scale
• EMA1 vs EMA2 on the forecast, EMA1 above EMA2 suggests improving momentum
• Table rows, label colored by sign, current forecast value plus a green or red dot for the forecast EMA cross, optional daily return percent, weekly correlation, and ATR-scaled EMA9, EMA20, EMA50 distances
⸻
Data handling, repainting, and performance
• Daily and weekly series are fetched with request.security().
• Calculations use closed bars, values can update until the bar closes.
• No lookahead, historical values do not repaint.
• Weekly correlation updates during the week, it finalizes on weekly close.
• On intraday charts most visuals are hidden by design.
⸻
Good practice and limitations
• This is a research indicator, not a trading system.
• The fixed Cap = 20 keeps a common scale, extreme moves will be clipped.
• Relative mode depends on the ratio symbol / benchmark, ensure both legs have data for your feed.
⸻
Credits
Concept inspired by Robert Carver’s forecast methodology in Advanced Futures Trading Strategies. Implementation details, parameters, and visuals are specific to this script.
⸻
Changelog
• First version
⸻
Disclaimer
For education and research only, not financial advice. Always test on your market and data feed, consider costs and slippage before using any indicator in live decisions.
Globex Trap w/ percentage [SLICKRICK]Globex Trap w/ Percentage
Overview
The Globex Trap w/ Percentage indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify high-probability trading opportunities by analyzing price action during the Globex (overnight) session and regular trading hours. By combining Globex session ranges with Supply & Demand zones, this indicator highlights potential "trap" areas where significant price reactions may occur. Additionally, it calculates the Globex session range as a percentage of the daily Average True Range (ATR), providing valuable context for assessing market volatility.
This indicator is ideal for traders in futures markets or other instruments traded during Globex sessions, offering a visual and analytical edge for spotting key price levels and potential reversals or breakouts.
Key Features
Globex Session Tracking:
Visualizes the high and low of the Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST) with customizable time settings.
Displays a semi-transparent box to mark the Globex range, with labels for "Globex High" and "Globex Low."
Calculates the Globex range as a percentage of the daily ATR, displayed as a label for quick reference.
Supply & Demand Zones:
Identifies Supply & Demand zones during regular trading hours (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST) with customizable time settings.
Draws semi-transparent boxes to highlight these zones, aiding in the identification of key support and resistance areas.
Trap Area Identification:
Highlights potential trap zones where Globex ranges and Supply & Demand zones overlap, indicating areas where price may reverse or consolidate due to trapped traders.
Customizable Settings:
Adjust Globex and Supply & Demand session times to suit your trading preferences.
Toggle visibility of Globex and Supply & Demand zones independently.
Customize box colors for better chart readability.
Set the lookback period (default: 10 days) to control how many historical zones are displayed.
Configure the ATR length (default: 14) for the percentage calculation.
PST Timezone Default:
All times are based on Pacific Standard Time (PST) by default, ensuring accurate session tracking for users in this timezone or those aligning with U.S. West Coast market hours.
Recommended Usage
Timeframes: Best used on 1-hour charts or lower (e.g., 15-minute, 5-minute) for precise entry and exit points.
Markets: Optimized for futures (e.g., ES, NQ, CL) and other instruments traded during Globex sessions.
Historical Data: Ensure at least 10 days of historical data for optimal visualization of zones.
Strategy Integration: Use the indicator to identify potential reversals or breakouts at Globex highs/lows or Supply & Demand zones. The ATR percentage provides context for whether the Globex range is significant relative to typical daily volatility.
How It Works
Globex Session:
Tracks the high and low prices during the user-defined Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST).
When the session ends, a box is drawn from the start to the end of the session, capturing the high and low prices.
Labels are placed at the midpoint of the session, showing "Globex High," "Globex Low," and the range as a percentage of the daily ATR (e.g., "75.23% of Daily ATR").
Supply & Demand Zones:
Tracks the high and low prices during the user-defined regular trading hours (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST).
Draws a box to mark these zones, which often act as key support or resistance levels.
ATR Percentage:
Calculates the Globex range (high minus low) and divides it by the daily ATR to express it as a percentage.
This metric helps traders gauge whether the overnight price movement is significant compared to the instrument’s typical volatility.
Time Handling:
Uses PST (UTC-8) for all time calculations, ensuring accurate session timing for users aligning with this timezone.
Properly handles overnight sessions that cross midnight, ensuring seamless tracking.
Input Settings
Globex Session Settings:
Show Globex Session: Enable/disable Globex session visualization (default: true).
Globex Start/End Time: Set the start and end times for the Globex session (default: 3:00 PM to 6:30 AM PST).
Globex Box Color: Customize the color of the Globex session box (default: semi-transparent gray).
Supply & Demand Zone Settings:
Show Supply & Demand Zone: Enable/disable zone visualization (default: true).
Zone Start/End Time: Set the start and end times for Supply & Demand zones (default: 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST).
Zone Box Color: Customize the color of the zone box (default: semi-transparent aqua).
General Settings:
Days to Look Back: Number of historical days to display zones (default: 10).
ATR Length: Period for calculating the daily ATR (default: 14).
Notes
All times are in Pacific Standard Time (PST). Adjust the start and end times if your market operates in a different timezone or if you prefer different session windows.
The indicator is optimized for instruments with active Globex sessions, such as futures. Results may vary for non-24/5 markets.
A typo in the label "Globe Low" (should be "Globex Low") will be corrected in future updates.
Ensure your TradingView chart is set to display sufficient historical data to view the full lookback period.
Why Use This Indicator?
The Globex Trap w/ Percentage indicator provides a unique combination of session-based range analysis, Supply & Demand zone identification, and volatility context via the ATR percentage. Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, this tool helps you:
Pinpoint key price levels where institutional traders may act.
Assess the significance of overnight price movements relative to daily volatility.
Identify potential trap zones for high-probability setups.
Customize the indicator to fit your trading style and market preferences.
TNP/BB Trend IndicatorThis indicator identifies trend shifts on the 1H timeframe by combining trigger candle patterns with daily support/resistance zones. It helps traders align lower-timeframe entries with higher-timeframe context.
🔹 Core Logic
Daily Zones
Uses the daily chart to mark bullish zones (support) and bearish zones (resistance).
A valid trend signal only occurs when price action aligns with these zones.
Trigger Candles (1H)
TNP (Triple Negative/Positive Price): A structured 3-bar pattern indicating strong directional intent.
BB (Big Body Candle): A wide-range candle with significant body size compared to recent volatility, signaling momentum.
Trend Confirmation
A Bullish Trend is signaled when a bullish trigger forms inside a daily bullish zone.
A Bearish Trend is signaled when a bearish trigger forms inside a daily bearish zone.
Signals are plotted with arrows on the chart, and the current trend state (Bullish / Bearish / Neutral) is displayed live.
BTC CME Gap – detector & single signals# BTC CME Gap — Detector & Single Signals (Pine v5)
**What it does**
This indicator finds the **weekend gap** on **CME Bitcoin futures** and turns it into a clean, tradable object:
* Draws a **gap zone** (Friday close ↔ Monday open) as a right-extending box.
* Fires **one-time signals** per gap:
* **ENTER** – first touch of the gap zone by price.
* **FILL** – gap is considered filled when price tags **Friday’s close**.
It works on any BTC chart (spot or futures). The gap itself is calculated from **CME\:BTC1!** daily data.
---
## How it works
1. Pulls **daily** `open`/`close` from `CME:BTC1!` (`request.security`, no lookahead).
2. On **Monday**, compares Monday **open** with previous **Friday close**:
* If different → a **gap** exists.
3. Defines the zone:
* `gapTop = max(MonOpen, FriClose)`
* `gapBot = min(MonOpen, FriClose)`
4. Renders a box + boundary lines, **extending right** until price action resolves it.
5. Signals:
* **ENTER**: the first bar that **enters** the gap zone.
* **FILL**: first bar that **touches Friday close** (gap completion).
6. Each new Monday gap **replaces** the previous box and signals.
---
## Inputs
* **CME symbol** (default `CME:BTC1!`)
* **Gap timeframe** (default `D`)
* **Colors** for the box and edges
---
## Plot & Signals
* **Box** = visual gap zone (transparent fill, outlined).
* **ENTER** = triangle up below bar.
* **FILL** = triangle down above bar.
* Optional label prints **Top / Bottom / Fill** levels.
---
## Notes on behavior
* Uses `barmerge.lookahead_off` and daily aggregation, so the gap definition **does not repaint** once Monday’s daily bar is confirmed.
* Signals are **single-shot** per gap (no clutter).
* Works on any chart timeframe; the gap logic always references **CME daily**.
---
## Practical use
* Track obvious **“magnets”** for mean-reversion, stop-runs, or liquidity grabs.
* Combine with your higher-timeframe bias (e.g., **1D trend filter**) and execution on **4H/1H**.
* Typical outcomes: quick Monday fill, staged fill after partial rejection, or delayed fill during later consolidation.
---
## Customization ideas
* Add `alertcondition(enterSignal, …)` / `alertcondition(fillSignal, …)` for automation.
* Gate trades with trend filters (EMA/SMA, Kernel regression, ADX) or session tools (VWAP/POC).
* Persist multiple historical gap boxes if you want to track **unfilled** gaps.
---
**Credits**: Built for BTC CME weekend gaps; minimal, publication-ready visualization with single-event signals to keep charts clean.
Pivot Matrix & Multi-Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics________________________________________
📘 Study Material for Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics
(By aiTrendview — Educational Use Only)
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🎯 Introduction
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics indicator is designed to help traders visualize pivot points, support/resistance levels, VWAP, and volume flow analytics all in one place. Rather than giving explicit buy/sell calls, the dashboard provides reference insights so a learner may understand how different technical levels interact in real time.
This document explains its functionality step by step with formulas and usage guides.
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1️⃣ Pivot System Logic
Pivot points are classic tools for mapping market support and resistance levels.
✦ How Calculated?
Using the Traditional Method:
• Pivot Point (PP):
PP=Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev3PP = \frac{High_{prev} + Low_{prev} + Close_{prev}}{3}PP=3Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev
• First Support/Resistance:
R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−HighprevR1 = 2 \times PP - Low_{prev}, \quad S1 = 2 \times PP - High_{prev}R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−Highprev
• Second Support/Resistance:
R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)R2 = PP + (High_{prev} - Low_{prev}), \quad S2 = PP - (High_{prev} - Low_{prev})R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)
• Third Levels:
R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)R3 = High_{prev} + 2 \times (PP - Low_{prev}), \quad S3 = Low_{prev} - 2 \times (High_{prev} - PP)R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)
• Similarly, R4/R5 and S4/S5 are extrapolated from extended range multipliers.
✦ How Used?
• Price above PP → bullish control bias.
• Price below PP → bearish control bias.
• R1–R5 levels act as resistances; S1–S5 act as supports.
Learners should watch how candles behave when approaching R/S zones to spot breakout vs. rejection conditions.
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2️⃣ Multi Timeframe Logic
The indicator allows using daily-based pivot values (via request.security). This ensures alignment with institutional daily levels, not just intraday recalculations.
✦ Teaching Value
Understanding MTF pivots shows how markets respect higher timeframe levels (daily > intraday, weekly > daily). This helps learners grasp nested support-resistance structures.
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3️⃣ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Formula:
VWAPt=∑(Pricei×Volumei)∑(Volumei),Pricei=High+Low+Close3VWAP_t = \frac{\sum (Price_i \times Volume_i)}{\sum (Volume_i)}, \quad Price_i = \frac{High + Low + Close}{3}VWAPt=∑(Volumei)∑(Pricei×Volumei),Pricei=3High+Low+Close
Usage:
• VWAP is used as an institutional benchmark of fair value.
• Above VWAP = bullish flow.
• Below VWAP = bearish flow.
Learners should check whether price respects VWAP as a magnet or uses it as support/resistance.
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4️⃣ Volume Flow Analysis
The script classifies buy volume, sell volume, and neutral volume.
• Buy Volume = if close > open.
• Sell Volume = if close < open.
• Neutral Volume = if close = open.
For daily tracking:
Buy%=DayBuyVolDayTotalVol×100,Sell%=DaySellVolDayTotalVol×100Buy\% = \frac{DayBuyVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100, \quad Sell\% = \frac{DaySellVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100Buy%=DayTotalVolDayBuyVol×100,Sell%=DayTotalVolDaySellVol×100
Usage for Learners:
• Dominant Buy% → accumulation/ bullish pressure.
• Dominant Sell% → distribution/ bearish pressure.
• Balanced → sideways liquidity building.
This teaches observation of order flow bias rather than relying only on price.
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5️⃣ Dashboard Progress Bars & Colors
The script uses visual progress bars and dynamic colors for clarity. For example:
• VWAP Backgrounds: Green shades when price strongly above VWAP, Red when below.
• Volume Bars: More green blocks mean buying dominance, red means selling pressure.
This visual design turns concepts into easy-to-digest cues, useful for training.
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6️⃣ Market Status Summary
Finally, the dashboard synthesizes all data points:
• Price vs Pivot (above or below).
• Price vs VWAP (above or below).
• Volume Pressure (buy side vs sell side).
Status Rule:
• If all three align bullish → Status box turns green.
• If mixed → Neutral grey.
• If bearish dominance → weaker tone.
Why Important?
This teaches learners that market conditions should align in confluence across indicators before confidence arises.
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⚠️ Strict Disclaimer (aiTrendview)
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics tool is developed by aiTrendview for strictly educational and research purposes.
❌ It does NOT provide buy/sell recommendations.
❌ It does NOT guarantee profits.
❌ Unauthorized use, copying, or redistribution of this code is prohibited.
⚠️ Trading Risk Warning:
• Trading involves high risk of financial loss.
• You may lose more than your capital.
• Past levels and indicators do not predict future outcomes.
This tool must be viewed as a visual education aid to practice technical analysis skills, not as trading advice.
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✅ Now you have a step by step study guide:
• Pivot calculations explained
• VWAP with logic
• Volume breakdown
• Visual analytics
• Status confluence logic
• Disclaimer for compliance
________________________________________
⚠️ Warning:
• Trading financial markets involves substantial risk.
• You can lose more money than you invest.
• Past performance of indicators does not guarantee future results.
• This script must not be copied, resold, or republished without authorization from aiTrendview.
By using this material or the code, you agree to take full responsibility for your trading decisions and acknowledge that this is not financial advice.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer and Warning (From aiTrendview)
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is created strictly for educational and research purposes on the TradingView platform. It does not provide financial advice, buy/sell recommendations, or guaranteed returns. Any use of this tool in live trading is completely at the user’s own risk. Markets are inherently risky; losses can exceed initial investment.
The intellectual property of this script and its methodology belongs to aiTrendview. Unauthorized reproduction, modification, or redistribution of this code is strictly prohibited. By using this study material or the script, you acknowledge personal responsibility for any trading outcomes. Always consult professional financial advisors before making investment decisions.
DYNAMIC TRADING DASHBOARDStudy Material for the "Dynamic Trading Dashboard"
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is designed as an educational tool within the TradingView environment. It compiles commonly used market indicators and analytical methods into one visual interface so that traders and learners can see relationships between indicators and price action. Understanding these indicators, step by step, can help traders develop discipline, improve technical analysis skills, and build strategies. Below is a detailed explanation of each module.
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1. Price and Daily Reference Points
The dashboard displays the current price, along with percentage change compared to the day’s opening price. It also highlights whether the price is moving upward or downward using directional symbols. Alongside, it tracks daily high, low, open, and daily range.
For traders, daily levels provide valuable reference points. The daily high and low are considered intraday support and resistance, while the median price of the day often acts as a pivot level for mean reversion traders. Monitoring these helps learners see how price oscillates within daily ranges.
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2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP is calculated as a cumulative average price weighted by volume. The dashboard compares the current price with VWAP, showing whether the market is trading above or below it.
For traders, VWAP is often a guide for institutional order flow. Price trading above VWAP suggests bullish sentiment, while trading below VWAP indicates bearish sentiment. Learners can use VWAP as a training tool to recognize trend-following vs. mean reversion setups.
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3. Volume Analysis
The system distinguishes between buy volume (when the closing price is higher than the open) and sell volume (when the closing price is lower than the open). A progress bar highlights the ratio of buying vs. selling activity in percentage.
This is useful because volume confirms price action. For instance, if prices rise but sell volume dominates, it can signal weakness. New traders learning with this tool should focus on how volume often precedes price reversals and trends.
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4. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures price strength on a scale from 0 to 100. The dashboard classifies RSI readings into overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral zones and adds visual progress bars.
RSI helps learners understand momentum shifts. During training, one should notice how trending markets can keep RSI extended for longer periods (not immediate reversal signals), while range-bound markets react more sharply to RSI extremes. It is an excellent tool for practicing trend vs. range identification.
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5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD indicator involves a fast EMA, slow EMA, and signal line, with focus on crossovers. The dashboard shows whether a “bullish cross” (MACD above signal line) or “bearish cross” (MACD below signal line) has occurred.
MACD teaches traders to identify trend momentum shifts and divergence. During practice, traders can explore how MACD signals align with VWAP trends or RSI levels, which helps in building a structured multi-indicator analysis.
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6. Stochastic Oscillator
This indicator compares the current close relative to a range of highs and lows over a period. Displayed values oscillate between 0 and 100, marking zones of overbought (>80) and oversold (<20).
Stochastics are useful for students of trading to recognize short-term momentum changes. Unlike RSI, it reacts faster to price volatility, so false signals are common. Part of the training exercise can be to observe how stochastic “flips” can align with volume surges or daily range endpoints.
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7. Trend & Momentum Classification
The dashboard adds simple labels for trend (uptrend, downtrend, neutral) based on RSI thresholds. Additionally, it provides quick momentum classification (“bullish hold”, “bearish hold”, or neutral).
This is beneficial for beginners as it introduces structured thinking: differentiating long-term market bias (trend) from short-term directional momentum. By combining both, traders can practice filtering signals instead of trading randomly.
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8. Accumulation / Distribution Bias
Based on RSI levels, the script generates simplified tags such as “Accumulate Long”, “Accumulate Short”, or “Wait”.
This is purely an interpretive guide, helping learners think in terms of accumulation phases (when markets are low) and distribution phases (when markets are high). It reinforces the concept that trading is not only directional but also involves timing.
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9. Overall Market Status and Score
Finally, the dashboard compiles multiple indicators (VWAP position, RSI, MACD, Stochastics, and price vs. median levels) into a Market Score expressed as a percentage. It also labels the market as Overbought, Oversold, or Normal.
This scoring system isn’t a recommendation but a learning framework. Students can analyze how combining different indicators improves decision-making. The key training focus here is confluence: not depending on one indicator but observing when several conditions align.
Extended Study Material with Formulas
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1. Daily Reference Levels (High, Low, Open, Median, Range)
• Day High (H): Maximum price of the session.
DayHigh=max(Hightoday)DayHigh=max(Hightoday)
• Day Low (L): Minimum price of the session.
DayLow=min(Lowtoday)DayLow=min(Lowtoday)
• Day Open (O): Opening price of the session.
DayOpen=OpentodayDayOpen=Opentoday
• Day Range:
Range=DayHigh−DayLowRange=DayHigh−DayLow
• Median: Mid-point between high and low.
Median=DayHigh+DayLow2Median=2DayHigh+DayLow
These act as intraday guideposts for seeing how far the price has stretched from its key reference levels.
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2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP considers both price and volume for a weighted average:
VWAPt=∑i=1t(Pricei×Volumei)∑i=1tVolumeiVWAPt=∑i=1tVolumei∑i=1t(Pricei×Volumei)
Here, Price_i can be the average price (High + Low + Close) ÷ 3, also known as hlc3.
• Interpretation: Price above VWAP = bullish bias; Price below = bearish bias.
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3. Volume Buy/Sell Analysis
The dashboard splits total volume into buy volume and sell volume based on candle type.
• Buy Volume:
BuyVol=Volumeif Close > Open, else 0BuyVol=Volumeif Close > Open, else 0
• Sell Volume:
SellVol=Volumeif Close < Open, else 0SellVol=Volumeif Close < Open, else 0
• Buy Ratio (%):
VolumeRatio=BuyVolBuyVol+SellVol×100VolumeRatio=BuyVol+SellVolBuyVol×100
This helps traders gauge who is in control during a session—buyers or sellers.
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4. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI measures strength of momentum by comparing gains vs. losses.
Step 1: Compute average gains (AG) and losses (AL).
AG=Average of Upward Closes over N periodsAG=Average of Upward Closes over N periodsAL=Average of Downward Closes over N periodsAL=Average of Downward Closes over N periods
Step 2: Calculate relative strength (RS).
RS=AGALRS=ALAG
Step 3: RSI formula.
RSI=100−1001+RSRSI=100−1+RS100
• Used to detect overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral momentum zones.
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5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
• Fast EMA:
EMAfast=EMA(Close,length=fast)EMAfast=EMA(Close,length=fast)
• Slow EMA:
EMAslow=EMA(Close,length=slow)EMAslow=EMA(Close,length=slow)
• MACD Line:
MACD=EMAfast−EMAslowMACD=EMAfast−EMAslow
• Signal Line:
Signal=EMA(MACD,length=signal)Signal=EMA(MACD,length=signal)
• Histogram:
Histogram=MACD−SignalHistogram=MACD−Signal
Crossovers between MACD and Signal are used in studying bullish/bearish phases.
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6. Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastic compares the current close against a range of highs and lows.
%K=Close−LowestLowHighestHigh−LowestLow×100%K=HighestHigh−LowestLowClose−LowestLow×100
Where LowestLow and HighestHigh are the lowest and highest values over N periods.
The %D line is a smooth version of %K (using a moving average).
%D=SMA(%K,smooth)%D=SMA(%K,smooth)
• Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold.
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7. Trend and Momentum Classification
This dashboard generates simplified trend/momentum logic using RSI.
• Trend:
• RSI < 40 → Downtrend
• RSI > 60 → Uptrend
• In Between → Neutral
• Momentum Bias:
• RSI > 70 → Bullish Hold
• RSI < 30 → Bearish Hold
• Otherwise Neutral
This is not predictive, only a classification framework for educational use.
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8. Accumulation/Distribution Bias
Based on extreme RSI values:
• RSI < 25 → Accumulate Long Bias
• RSI > 80 → Accumulate Short Bias
• Else → Wait/No Action
This helps learners understand the idea of accumulation at lows (strength building) and distribution at highs (profit booking).
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9. Overall Market Status and Score
The tool adds up 5 bullish conditions:
1. Price above VWAP
2. RSI > 50
3. MACD > Signal
4. Stochastic > 50
5. Price above Daily Median
BullishScore=ConditionsMet5×100BullishScore=5ConditionsMet×100
Then it categorizes the market:
• RSI > 70 or Stoch > 80 → Overbought
• RSI < 30 or Stoch < 20 → Oversold
• Else → Normal
This encourages learners to think in terms of probabilistic conditions instead of single-indicator signals.
________________________________________
⚠️ Warning:
• Trading financial markets involves substantial risk.
• You can lose more money than you invest.
• Past performance of indicators does not guarantee future results.
• This script must not be copied, resold, or republished without authorization from aiTrendview.
By using this material or the code, you agree to take full responsibility for your trading decisions and acknowledge that this is not financial advice.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer and Warning (From aiTrendview)
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is created strictly for educational and research purposes on the TradingView platform. It does not provide financial advice, buy/sell recommendations, or guaranteed returns. Any use of this tool in live trading is completely at the user’s own risk. Markets are inherently risky; losses can exceed initial investment.
The intellectual property of this script and its methodology belongs to aiTrendview. Unauthorized reproduction, modification, or redistribution of this code is strictly prohibited. By using this study material or the script, you acknowledge personal responsibility for any trading outcomes. Always consult professional financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Comet C/2025 N1 (ATLAS) Ephemeris☄️ Ephemeris How-To: Plot JPL Horizons Data on TradingView (Educational)
Overview
This open-source Pine Script™ v6 indicator demonstrates how to bring external astronomical ephemeris into TradingView and plot it on a daily chart. Using Comet C/2025 N1 (ATLAS) as an example dataset, it shows the mechanics of structuring arrays, indexing by date, and drawing past and forward ( future projections ) values—strictly as an educational visualization of celestial motion.
Why This Approach
Data is generated from NASA JPL Horizons, a mission-grade, publicly available ephemeris service ( (ssd.jpl.nasa.gov)). On the daily timeframe, Horizons provides high-precision positions you can regenerate whenever solutions update—useful for educational accuracy in exploring orbital data.
What’s Plotted
- Geocentric ecliptic longitude (Earth-view)
- Heliocentric ecliptic longitude (Sun-centered)
- Declination (deg from celestial equator)
Features
- Simple arrays + date indexing (no per-row timestamps)
- Circles for historical/current bars; polylines to connect forward points, emphasizing future projections
- Toggle any series on/off via inputs
- Daily timeframe enforced (runtime error if not 1D)
- Optional table with zodiac conversion (AstroLib by BarefootJoey)
Data & Updates
The example arrays span 2025-07-01 (discovery date) → 2026-01-01. You can refresh them anytime from JPL Horizons (Observer: Geocentric; daily step; include ecliptic lon/lat and declination) and paste the new values into the script.
How we pulled the ephemeris from JPL Horizons (quick guide):
0) Open ssd.jpl.nasa.gov System
1. Ephemeris Type: Observer Table
2. Target Body: C/2025 N1 (ATLAS) (or any object you want)
3. Observer Location: Geocentric
4. Time Specification: set Start, Stop, Step = 1 day
5. Table Settings → Quantities:
* Astrometric RA & Dec
* Heliocentric ecliptic longitude & latitude
* Observer (geocentric) ecliptic longitude & latitude
6. Additional Table Settings:
* Calendar format: Gregorian
* Date/Time: calendar (UTC), Hours & Minutes (HH:MM)
* Angle format: Decimal degrees
* Refraction model: No refraction / airless
* Range units: Astronomical units (au)
7. Generate → Download results (CSV or text).
8. Use AI or a small script to parse columns (e.g., Obs ecliptic lon, Helio ecliptic lon, Declination) into arrays, then paste them into your Pine script.
Educational Note
This indicator’s goal is to show how to prepare and plot ephemeris—so you can adapt the method for other comets or celestial bodies, or swap in data from existing astro libraries, for learning about astronomical projections using JPL daily data.
Credits & License
- Ephemeris: Solar System Dynamics Group, Horizons On-Line Ephemeris System, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA.
- Zodiac conversion: AstroLib by BarefootJoey
- License: MIT
- For educational use only.
Bitcoin cme gap indicators, BINANCE vs CME exchanges premium gap
# CME BTC Premium Indicator Documentation CME:BTC1!
## 1. Overview
Indicator Name: CME BTC Premium
Platform: TradingView (Pine Script v6)
Type: Premium / Gap Analysis
Purpose:
* Visualize the CME BTC futures premium/discount relative to Binance BTCUSDT spot price.
* Detect gap-up or gap-down events on the daily chart.
* Assess short-term market sentiment and potential volatility through price discrepancies.
## 2. Key Features
1. CME Premium Calculation
* Formula:
CME Premium(%) = ((CME Price - Binance Price) / Binance Price) X 100
* Positive premium: CME futures are higher than spot → Color: Blue
* Negative premium: CME futures are lower than spot → Color: Purple
2. Premium Visualization Options
* `Column` (default)
* `Line`
3. Daily Gap Detection (Daily Chart Only)
* Gap Up: CME open > previous high × 1.0001 (≥ 0.01%)
* Gap Down: CME open < previous low × 0.9999 (≤ 0.01%)
* Visualization:
* Bar Color:
* Gap Up → Yellow (semi-transparent)
* Gap Down → Blue (semi-transparent)
* Background Color:
* Gap Up → Yellow (semi-transparent)
* Gap Down → Blue (semi-transparent)
4. Label Display
* If `Show CME Label` is enabled, the last bar displays a premium percentage label.
* Label color matches premium color; text color: Black.
* Style: `style_label_upper_left`, Size: `small`.
## 3. User Inputs
| Option Name | Description | Type / Default |
| -------------- | ------------------------- | --------------------------------------- |
| Show CME Label | Display CME premium label | Boolean / true |
| CME Plot Type | CME premium chart style | String / Column (Options: Column, Line) |
## 4. Data Sources
| Data Item | Symbol | Description |
| ------------- | ---------------- | ----------------------------- |
| Binance Price | BINANCE\:BTCUSDT | Spot BTC price |
| CME Price | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures closing price |
| CME Open | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures open price |
| CME Low | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures low price |
| CME High | CME\:BTC1! | CME BTC futures high price |
## 5. Chart Display
1. Premium Column/Line
* Displays the CME premium percentage in real-time.
* Color: Premium ≥ 0 → Blue, Premium < 0 → Purple
2. Zero Line
* Indicates CME futures are at parity with spot for quick visual reference.
3. Gap Highlight
* Applied only on daily charts.
* Gap-up or gap-down is highlighted using bar and background colors.
4. Label
* Shows the latest CME premium percentage for quick monitoring.
## 6. Use Cases
* Analyze spot-futures premium to gauge CME market sentiment.
* Identify short-term volatility and potential trend reversals through daily gaps.
* Combine premium and gap analysis to support altcoin trend analysis and position strategy.
## 7. Limitations
* This indicator does not provide investment advice or trading recommendations; it is for informational purposes only.
* Data delays, API restrictions, or exchange differences may result in calculation discrepancies.
* Gap detection is meaningful only on daily charts; other timeframes may not provide valid signals.
Intraday Spark Chart [AstrideUnicorn]The Intraday Spark Chart (ISC) is a minimalist yet powerful tool designed to track an asset’s performance relative to its daily opening price. Inspired by Nasdaq's trading-floor analog dashboards, it visualizes intraday percentage changes as a color-coded sparkline, helping traders quickly gauge momentum and session bias.
Ideal for: Day trading, scalping, and multi-asset monitoring.
Best paired with: 1m to 4H timeframes (auto-warns on higher TFs).
Key metrics:
Real-time % change from daily open.
Final daily % change (updated at session close).
Daily open price labels for orientation.
HOW TO USE
Visual Guide
Sparkline Plot:
A green area/line indicates price is above the daily open (bullish).
A red area/line signals price is below the daily open (bearish).
The baseline (0%) represents the daily open price.
Session Markers:
The dotted vertical lines separate trading days.
Gray labels near the baseline show the exact daily open price at the start of each session.
Dynamic Labels:
The labels in the upper left corner of each session range display the current (or final) daily % change. Color matches the trend (green/red) for instant readability.
Practical Use Cases
Opening Range Breakouts: Spot early momentum by observing how price reacts to the daily open.
Multi-Asset Screening: Compare intraday strength across symbols by choosing an asset in the indicator settings panel.
Session Close Prep: Anticipate daily settlement by tracking the final % change (useful for futures/swing traders).
SETTINGS
Asset (Input Symbol) : Defaults to the current chart symbol. Choose any asset to monitor its price action without switching charts - ideal for intermarket analysis or correlation tracking.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
EMA Distance %# EMA Distance % - Daily Timeframe Analysis
## Overview
This indicator provides real-time analysis of price distance from key Exponential Moving Averages (EMA 10 and EMA 21) on the daily timeframe, regardless of your current chart timeframe. It displays both percentage and volatility-adjusted (ATR) distances in a clean, customizable table format.
## Key Features
- **Daily Timeframe Focus**: Always references daily EMA 10 and EMA 21 values, providing consistent analysis across all chart timeframes
- **Dual Distance Metrics**: Shows both percentage distance and ATR-normalized distance for comprehensive analysis
- **Customizable Table Position**: Position the data table anywhere on your chart (9 different locations available)
- **Color-Coded Results**: Green indicates price above EMA, red indicates price below EMA
- **Volatility Adjustment**: ATR distance provides context relative to the asset's typical price movements
## What It Shows
The indicator displays a table with the following information:
- **EMA Value**: Current daily EMA 10 and EMA 21 values
- **Distance %**: Percentage distance from each EMA (positive = above, negative = below)
- **ATR Distance**: How many Average True Range units the price is from each EMA
## Use Cases
- **Mean Reversion Trading**: Identify when price has moved significantly away from key EMAs
- **Trend Strength Analysis**: Gauge the strength of current trends relative to moving averages
- **Entry/Exit Timing**: Use ATR distances to identify potential reversal zones (typically 2-3+ ATR)
- **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: View daily EMA relationships while analyzing shorter timeframes
- **Risk Management**: Understand volatility-adjusted distance for better position sizing
## Settings
- **Table Position**: Choose from 9 different table positions on your chart
- **ATR Period**: Customize the ATR calculation period (default: 14)
## Interpretation
- **Small distances (< 1% or < 1 ATR)**: Price near EMA support/resistance
- **Medium distances (1-3% or 1-2 ATR)**: Normal trending movement
- **Large distances (> 3% or > 2-3 ATR)**: Potential overextension, watch for mean reversion
Perfect for swing traders, position traders, and anyone using EMA-based strategies who wants quick access to daily timeframe EMA relationships without switching chart timeframes.
