Master Global Liquidity Shifted 75 DaysThe Global Liquidity Index is a Pine Script (version 5) technical indicator designed to measure and visualize global financial liquidity by aggregating data from various central bank balance sheets and money supply metrics. The indicator is plotted as an overlay on the price chart using the left scale, with the entire line shifted left by 75 days.
Key features:
Data Sources: Incorporates balance sheet data from major central banks including the Federal Reserve (FED), European Central Bank (ECB), People's Bank of China (PBC), Bank of Japan (BOJ), and other central banks, along with optional M2 money supply data from various countries.
Components: Includes options to toggle specific liquidity factors such as FED balance sheet, Treasury General Account (TGA), Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), and regional M2 money supplies, all converted to USD.
75-Day Shift: The indicator's output is shifted left by 75 days on the chart, aligning historical liquidity data with earlier price action, with this shift period adjustable via the "Shift Days Left" input.
Calculations:
Computes a total liquidity value by summing enabled central bank and M2 data (adjusted for RRP and TGA as drains)
Scales the total by dividing by 1 trillion (10^12)
Applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Rate of Change (ROC) with user-defined periods
Final output is either the SMA of ROC or SMA alone, depending on ROC length
Visualization: Plots the shifted result as a yellow line with a linewidth of 2.
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "liquidity"
Average Daily LiquidityIt is important to ensure sufficient stock trading liquidity so that you have sufficient volume to enter the trade and most importantly sufficient liquidity to exit the trade. Because daily trading liquidity can jump around so much by price changes and volume changes, it is important to smooth out the liquidity by using a moving average. Some use a 5 days (trading week) moving average, others use 10 day (2 weeks), 20 day ("month") and some use 65 day (quarter). The default is 10 days based upon the work of Colin Nicholson (The Aggressive Investor and Building Wealth in the Stock Market). Liquidity line changes color dependent upon the chart background luminescence. The amount you are planning to invest in a stock should have a liquidity of 10 (default) times that amount.
Global Net Liquidity (TG fork)Worldwide net liquidity, with trend coloring.
Global Net Liquidity attempts to represent worldwide net liquidity, and is defined as: Fed + Japan + China + UK + ECB - RRP - TGA , Where the first five components are central bank assets.
On TradingView, the indicator can be reproduced with the following equations: Global Net Liquidity = FRED:WALCL + FRED:JPNASSETS * FX_IDC:JPYUSD + CNCBBS * FX_IDC:CNYUSD + GBCBBS * FX:GBPUSD + ECBASSETSW * FX:EURUSD + RRPONTSYD + WTREGEN
However, this indicator adds a moving average cloud, and margin coloring, which eases historical trend assessment at a glance.
This indicator can be seen as an alternative representation of the accumulation/distribution indicator (and hence the same terms can be used in this description).
The Moving Average Cloud is simply the filling between the moving average (by default an EMA) and the current value. This feature was inspired by D7R ACC/DIST closed-source indicator, kudos to D7R for making such neat visual indicators.
Usage instructions:
Blue is more likely a phase of accumulation because the current value is above its historical price as defined by the moving average,
red is when this is more likely a phase of distribution.
Yellow is when the difference is below the margin, so we consider it is insignificant and that the trend is undecided. This can be disabled by setting the margin to 0.
While the color indicates if it's more likely an accumulation (blue) or distribution (red) phase or undecided (yellow), the cloud's vertical size allows to assess the strength of this tendency and the horizontal size the momentum, so that the bigger the cloud, the stronger the accumulation (if cloud is blue) or distribution (if cloud is red).
Why is that so? This is because the cloud represents the difference between the current tendency and the moving averaged past one, so a bigger cloud represents a bigger departure from recently observed tendencies. In practice, when there is accumulation, a pump in price can be expected soon, or if it already happened then it means it is indeed supported by volume, whereas if distribution, either a dump is to be expected soon, or if it already happened it means it's supported by volume.
Or maybe not necessarily a dump, but if there is a move upward in price, but the indicator indicates a strong distribution, then it means that the price movement is not supported and may not be sustainable (reversal may happen at anytime), whereas if price is going upward AND there is an accumulation (blue coloring) then it is more sustainable. This can be used to adapt strategies accordingly (risk on/risk off depending on whether there is concordance of both price and accumulation/distribution).
This indicator also includes sentiment signals that can be used to trigger alarms.
This indicator is a remix of Dharmatech's, who authored the first this Global Net Liquidity equation, kudos to them! Please show them some love if you like this indicator!
Central Bank Liquidity YOY % ChangeThis shows the percent change from a year ago (YOY%) in Central Bank Liquidity
It's important to the study rate of change data in this liquidity metric and compare it to the nominal chart.
When this chart is accelerating, liquidity is being added, meaning it's a good time to be in assets.
When this chart is declining, liquidity is being removed, meaning it's a good time to be in cash.
Bottoms in markets coincide with the rate of change of liquidity going from negative (below the zero line) to positive (above zero)
Central Bank Liquidity = Total value of the assets of all Federal Reserve Banks - Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) - The Treasury General Account (TGA)
Seek liquidityGuided by ICT tutoring, I create this versatile "Seek liquidity" indicator.
This indicator shows an easy way to view the Liquidity that has been Created - Eliminated - and what liquidity is left to eliminate.
Liquidity levels appear after the sessions are over, and the lines get stuck on the candle that eliminates them.
Timing session =
//---Asian
- 18:00-00:00
//---London
- 00:00-02:00
- 02:00-05:00
- 00:00-06:00
//---New York
- 06:00-12:00
- 09.30-12.00
//---Lunch
- 12:00-13:30
//---PM
- 1.30pm - 4.00pm
- 12:00-18:00
The user has the possibility to:
- Choose whether or not to view sessions
- Choose to show levels from previous sessions
- Choose to show today's session levels
- Choose whether to view the boxes
- Choose to view the division is open daily
The indicator should be used as ICT shows in its concepts, the indicator takes into consideration both the previous and today's Liquidity, and the session levels can be used for a reversal as in the example below:
Master Pattern [LuxAlgo]The Master Pattern indicator is derived from the framework proposed by Wyckoff and automatically displays major/minor patterns and their associated expansion lines on the chart.
Liquidity levels are also included and can be used as targets/stops. Note that the Liquidity levels are plotted retrospectively as they are based on pivots.
🔶 USAGE
The Master Pattern indicator detects contraction phases in the markets (characterized by a lower high and higher low). The resulting average from the latest swing high/low is used as expansion line. Price breaking the contraction range upwards highlights a bullish master pattern, while a break downward highlights a bearish master pattern.
During the expansion phase price can tend to be stationary around the expansion level. This phase is then often followed by the price significantly deviating from the expansion line, highlighting a markup phase.
Expansion lines can also be used as support/resistance levels.
🔹 Major/Minor Patterns
The script can classify patterns as major or minor patterns.
Major patterns occur when price breaks both the upper and lower extremity of a contraction range, with their contraction area highlighted with a border, while minor patterns have only a single extremity broken.
🔶 SETTINGS
Contraction Detection Lookback: Lookback used to detect the swing points used to detect the contraction range.
Liquidity Levels: Lookback for the swing points detection used as liquidity levels. Higher values return longer term liquidity levels.
Show Major Pattern: Display major patterns.
Show Minor Pattern: Display minor patterns.
Global LiquidityThe "Global Liquidity" script is an indicator that calculates and displays the global liquidity value using a formula that takes into account the money supply of several major economies. The script utilizes data from various sources, such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Economics, and FX_IDC.
The indicator plots the global liquidity value as a candlestick chart and breaks it down into two categories: the Euro-Atlantic region (West) and the rest of the world (East). The values are denominated both in inflation-adjusted dollars and in trillions of dollars. The script also calculates the spread between the Euro-Atlantic region and the rest of the world.
Traders and investors can use this indicator to gauge the overall liquidity of the global economy and to identify potential investment opportunities or risks. By breaking down the liquidity value into different regions, traders can also gain insights into regional economic trends and dynamics.
Note that this script is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and was created by rodopacapital.
USD Liquidity IndexThis USD Liquidity Index composed of 2 parts, total assets and major liabilities of the Federal Reserve .
There is a certain positive correlation between USD liquidity and risk asset price changes in history.
Suggested that USD Liquidity is mostly determined by the Federal Reserve balance (without leveraged), this index deducts three major liabilities from the total assets (in green color line) of the Federal Reserve . They are the currency in circulation (WCURCIR) in gold color, the Treasury General Account (WTREGEN) in blue color, the Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD) in red color.
The grey line is the calculation result of the USD Liquidity Index. With it goes up, liquidity increases, vice versa.
News & Liquidity -4 UTC [CLEVER]📊 “News & Liquidity -4 UTC ” — written in TradingView Pine Script v6:
🧠 Indicator Overview
This indicator is designed to help traders avoid high-risk trading periods — such as during news releases or unusually high liquidity spikes — while still identifying safe buy and sell opportunities using a simple moving average (SMA) crossover system.
It works best
🧠 Purpose
This indicator helps traders:
Avoid trading during high-risk times — such as scheduled news events or sudden liquidity spikes (unusually high volume).
Identify potential trade opportunities based on a simple moving average (SMA) crossover strategy.
It’s designed for traders who want to trade safely and efficiently by combining technical analysis (SMA signals) with market awareness (news and liquidity).
⚙️ Technical Description
1. **News Events Detection (UTC- OANDA:XAUUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD TVC:DXY TVC:USOIL
NFCI National Financial Conditions IndexChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)
This indicator plots the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI).
The NFCI updates weekly, and its latest value is displayed across all chart intervals.
The NFCI measures how tight or loose overall U.S. financial conditions are. It combines over 100 weekly indicators from the money, bond, and equity markets—along with credit and leverage data—into a single composite index.
The NFCI has three key subcomponents, each of which can be independently selected within the indicator:
Risk: Captures volatility, credit spreads, and overall market stress.
Credit: Tracks how easy or difficult it is to borrow across households and businesses.
Leverage: Reflects the level of debt and balance-sheet strength in the financial system.
When the NFCI rises, financial conditions are tightening — liquidity is contracting, borrowing costs are climbing, and investors tend to reduce risk.
When the NFCI falls, conditions are loosening — liquidity expands, credit flows more freely, and markets generally become more risk-seeking.
Traders often use the NFCI as a macro backdrop for risk appetite: rising values signal growing stress and defensive positioning, while falling values indicate improving liquidity and a more supportive market environment.
FOREXSOM Session Boxes (Local Time) — Asian, London & New YorkFOREXSOM Session Boxes (Local Time) highlights the three major Forex sessions — Asian, London, and New York — using your chart’s local timezone automatically.
This indicator helps traders visualize market structure, liquidity zones, and timing across global trading hours with accuracy and clarity.
Key Features
Automatically adjusts to your chart’s local timezone
Highlights Asian, London, and New York sessions with clean color zones
Works on all timeframes and asset classes
Ideal for Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, and price action strategies
Helps identify range breakouts, session highs/lows, and liquidity grabs
How It Works
Each session box updates in real time to show the current range as the market develops.
The boxes reset at the end of each session, making it easy to compare volatility and liquidity shifts between regions.
Sessions (default times):
Asian: 17:00 – 03:00
London: 02:00 – 11:00
New York: 07:00 – 16:00
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart.
Ensure your chart timezone matches your local time in chart settings.
Watch session ranges form and look for liquidity sweeps or breakouts between overlaps (London/New York).
Created by FOREXSOM
Empowering traders worldwide with precision-built tools for Smart Money and institutional trading education.
DAMMU Buy vs Sell Liquidity + DifferenceIndicator Name:
Buy vs Sell Liquidity + Difference
Purpose:
This indicator helps traders analyze market liquidity by comparing the cumulative buy and sell volumes within a specified timeframe. It shows which side (buyers or sellers) is dominating and the magnitude of the imbalance.
Key Features:
Aggregation Timeframe:
Users can select the timeframe (1, 2, 3, 5, 15, 30 minutes) for which volume is analyzed.
Buy & Sell Volume Calculation:
Buy Volume: Total volume of candles where close > open.
Sell Volume: Total volume of candles where close < open.
Daily Reset:
Totals reset at the start of each new day, ensuring intra-day liquidity analysis.
Difference Calculation:
Shows the absolute difference between buy and sell volumes.
Also calculates the difference as a percentage of total volume.
Percentages:
Displays buy %, sell %, and diff % to 4 decimal places, giving precise insights.
Table Display:
A two-row table in the top-right corner of the chart:
Row 1: Absolute totals for BUY, SELL, and DIFF (full numbers with commas).
Row 2: Percentages for BUY, SELL, and DIFF (4 decimals).
Uses color coding: Green for BUY, Red for SELL, Dynamic for DIFF (based on dominance).
How to Use:
High Buy Volume: Indicates strong buying pressure; bullish sentiment.
High Sell Volume: Indicates strong selling pressure; bearish sentiment.
Large DIFF %: Signals dominant market side; useful for short-term scalping or spotting liquidity imbalance.
Comparing BUY vs SELL %: Helps identify when the market may reverse or continue the trend.
If you want, I can also make a 1-paragraph “trader-friendly” explanation that you could directly include in your Pine Script as a comment or in a strategy guide.
Smart Money LITE — Daily Sweep → HQ Signals (VWAP • FVG • CHoCH) 🔗 PRO VERSION (VWAP + FVG + CHoCH — full confirmations, all timeframes):
chartedgepro.gumroad.com/l/rmnbhw
Daily liquidity sweep → confluence signals with VWAP, FVG & CHoCH. Works on all timeframes & markets (Indices, Forex, Crypto).
WHAT IT DOES
Smart Money LITE+ highlights high-quality LONG/SHORT signals only after daily liquidity is swept (previous day high/low) with confluence from VWAP, FVG and structure (BOS/CHoCH).
Works on all timeframes and across markets: indices, forex, crypto.
KEY FEATURES (Lite)
• Daily sweep logic (PDH/PDL) + previous day zones
• VWAP + deviation bands (optional) and proximity filter
• 3-bar FVG boxes (visual) with adjustable extension
• ATR/volatility filter, optional HTF trend filter
• Anti-spam cooldown, clean LONG/SHORT labels
• Alerts: HQ LONG / HQ SHORT
HOW TO USE
1. Wait for price to sweep PDH/PDL → indicator opens “signal window”.
2. Look for confluence: VWAP touch/proximity + CHoCH or BOS in direction.
3. Enter with proper risk management (stop beyond swing/zone, partials).
SETTINGS TIPS
• Enable “Require VWAP Confluence?” for strictest setups.
• Use “HTF Trend Filter?” to align with higher-timeframe EMA trend.
• Adjust “After sweep (bars)” to define signal validity window.
• FVGs are visual in Lite — advanced filtering and confirmation are in Pro.
WHO IT'S FOR
Scalpers, intraday, and swing traders looking for objective, visual signals based on liquidity sweeps and VWAP/FVG confluence.
PRO VERSION (full confirmations)
Adds advanced FVG/iFVG logic, more confluence filters, dynamic risk tools and extended alert packages — optimized for all timeframes.
👉 chartedgepro.gumroad.com/l/rmnbhw
NOTES
• For educational purposes only. No financial advice.
• “Lite” is open-source; redistribution of code follows TradingView rules.
QZ Trend (Crypto Edition) v1.1a: Donchian, EMA, ATR, Liquidity/FThe "QZ Trend (Crypto Edition)" is a rules-based trend-following breakout strategy for crypto spot or perpetual contracts, focusing on following trends, prioritizing risk control, seeking small losses and big wins, and trading only when advantageous.
Key mechanisms include:
- Market filters: Screen favorable conditions via ADX (trend strength), dollar volume (liquidity), funding fee windows, session/weekend restrictions, and spot-long-only settings.
- Signals & entries: Based on price position relative to EMA and EMA trends, combined with breaking Donchian channel extremes (with ATR ratio confirmation), plus single-position rules and post-exit cooldowns.
- Position sizing: Calculate positions by fixed risk percentage; initial stop-loss is ATR-based, complying with exchange min/max lot requirements.
- Exits & risk management: Include initial stop-loss, trailing stop (tightens only), break-even rule (stop moves to entry when target floating profit is hit), time-based exit, and post-exit cooldowns.
- Pyramiding: Add positions only when profitable with favorable momentum, requiring ATR-based spacing; add size is a fraction of the base position, with layers sharing stop logic but having unique order IDs.
Charts display EMA, Donchian channels, current stop lines, and highlight low ADX, avoidable funding windows, and low-liquidity periods.
Recommend starting with 4H or 1D timeframes, with typical parameters varying by cycle. Liquidity settings differ by token; perpetuals should enable funding window filters, while spot requires "long-only" and matching fees. The strategy performs well in trends with quick stop-losses but faces whipsaws in ranges (filters mitigate but don’t eliminate noise). Share your symbol and timeframe for tailored parameters.
SM Trap Detector – Liquidity Sweeps & Institutional ReversalsOverview:
This script is designed to help traders detect Smart Money traps, liquidity grabs, and false breakouts with high precision.
Inspired by institutional trading logic (SMC, ICT, Wyckoff), this tool combines:
🟦 Liquidity Zone Mapping – Detects stop hunt targets near highs/lows
🚨 Trap Candle Detection – Identifies fakeouts using wick + volume logic
✅ Reversal Confirmation – Entry signals based on real market structure
🧭 Dashboard Panel – Always see the last trap type, price, and confirmation
🔔 Real-Time Alerts – Stay notified of traps and entry points
🧠 Logic Breakdown:
Trap Candle = Large wick, small body, volume spike, and sweep of a liquidity zone
Confirmed Entry = Reversal price action following the trap (engulfing-style)
📈 Best Used On:
Markets: Crypto, Forex, Stocks
Timeframes: No limitation but works best on 1H, 4H, Daily
🛠 Suggested Use:
Trade only confirmed entries for best results
Place stops beyond wick highs/lows
Target previous structure or use RR-based exits
📊 Backtest Tip:
Use alerts + replay mode to manually validate past traps.
Note: Please backtest before using it for entry.
Previous Day Liquidity ZonesThis indicator is designed for intraday liquidity-based trading strategies and helps traders identify high-probability reversal or breakout zones based on smart money concepts.
It automatically plots the:
🟥 Previous Day High Zone – potential buy-side liquidity trap
🟩 Previous Day Low Zone – potential sell-side liquidity trap
🟧 Previous Day Close Zone – potential rebalancing or indecision zone
These levels are critical areas where institutional stop-hunting, reversals, and fake breakouts often occur.
🎯 How to Use
Use this indicator on 1-minute or 5-minute charts for stocks, indices (like NIFTY, BANKNIFTY), or forex.
Watch for price entering these zones during live market hours.
Combine with price action confirmation:
Rejection wicks
Engulfing candles
Change of character (CHoCH) or BOS
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
First 5-minute candle (9:15 AM in Indian market) is highlighted for breakout setups.
🧠 Smart Money Logic
These zones mimic the logic used by institutions to:
Trigger retail stop-losses
Reverse market direction near liquidity pools
Trap breakout traders around session extremes
⚙️ Features
Configurable zone width (%)
Visual fill zones with subtle shading
Support for all assets and timeframes
Highlights first candle of day to assist with pre-trade bias
✅ Ideal For:
Smart money traders
ICT / Wyckoff / SMC followers
Breakout trap or reversal strategy users
Anyone who trades key session levels
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is an informational tool. Always use confirmation and sound risk management before executing any trade.
S&P Power Hour Liquidity Sweep StrategyThis indicator is designed for intraday traders who want to take advantage of liquidity grabs, break of structure (BOS), and optimal entry points during the most volatile hours of the trading day: the NYSE Power Hours (09:30–10:30 AM and 02:30–04:00 PM EST).
Key Features:
Power Hour Detection:
Automatically identifies the two most liquid hours of the trading session.
Liquidity Sweep Detection:
Highlights when price sweeps a recent swing high or low — a common trap before reversals.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Confirms trend shift after a liquidity sweep with smart money-style BOS markers.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Highlighting: (Optional)
Spot institutional imbalances between candles to fine-tune trade entries.
How It Works:
Wait for price to sweep a swing high or low during the power hours.
Look for a break of structure (BOS) in the opposite direction.
Enter on the next candle or FVG retest.
The indicator will plot a yellow circle for entry, a red line for stop, and a green line for the target (based on your RR setting).
Customizable Inputs:
Swing sensitivity (lookback bars)
Risk-to-reward ratio
Optional FVG visibility
Best Used With:
Higher timeframe bias (15m/1H)
Order blocks or volume analysis
Avoiding major news events
Whether you're a scalper or precision-based intraday trader, this tool helps you spot high-probability reversal setups with clean visuals and clear confirmations.
AP Session Liquidity with EQH/EQL and Previous DayThis indicator plots key intraday session highs and lows, along with essential market structure levels, to help traders identify areas of interest, potential liquidity zones, and high-probability trade setups. It includes the Asia Session High and Low (typically 00:00–08:00 UTC), London Session High and Low (08:00–12:00 UTC), New York AM Session High and Low (12:00–15:00 UTC), and New York Lunch High and Low (15:00–17:00 UTC). Additionally, it displays the Previous Day’s High and Low for context on recent price action, as well as automatically detected Equal Highs and Lows based on configurable proximity settings to highlight potential liquidity pools or engineered price levels. These session levels are widely used by institutional traders and are critical for analyzing market behavior during time-based volatility windows. Traders can use this indicator to anticipate breakouts, fakeouts, and reversals around session boundaries—such as liquidity grabs at Asia highs/lows before the London or New York sessions—or to identify key consolidation and expansion zones. Equal Highs and Lows serve as magnets for price, offering insight into potential stop hunts or inducement zones. This tool is ideal for day traders, scalpers, and smart money concept practitioners, and includes full customization for session timings, color schemes, line styles, and alert conditions. Whether you're trading price action, ICT concepts, or supply and demand, this indicator provides a powerful framework for intraday analysis.
BTC Fair Value via Global Liquidity📈 BTC Fair Value via Global Liquidity
This indicator estimates Bitcoin's fair value based on a regression model using Global Liquidity (GLI) data from major central banks.
🔍 How it works:
Fair Value Line (orange): Calculated using a power-law model: Fair Value = e^b * (GLI)^a, where a and b are user-defined parameters based on historical regression.
Global Liquidity (GLI): Combines liquidity metrics from central banks (Fed, ECB, PBoC, BoJ, etc.), including adjustments for the RRP and TGA.
Deviation Bands (green/red dashed): Optional upper and lower bands showing % deviation from fair value (default ±25%). These help identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Delta Plot (gray dots): Displays the % deviation of BTC’s price from its modeled fair value.
⚙️ How to use:
Tune a and b for better model fitting (e.g., via log-log regression).
Use the deviation bands to identify potential entry/exit zones or periods of market inefficiency.
Ideal for macro-level BTC valuation and long-term strategic analysis.
OverUnder Yield Spread🗺️ OverUnder is a structural regime visualizer , engineered to diagnose the shape, tone, and trajectory of the yield curve. Rather than signaling trades directly, it informs traders of the world they’re operating in. Yield curve steepening or flattening, normalizing or inverting — each regime reflects a macro pressure zone that impacts duration demand, liquidity conditions, and systemic risk appetite. OverUnder abstracts that complexity into a color-coded compression map, helping traders orient themselves before making risk decisions. Whether you’re in bonds, currencies, crypto, or equities, the regime matters — and OverUnder makes it visible.
🧠 Core Logic
Built to show the slope and intent of a selected rate pair, the OverUnder Yield Spread defaults to 🇺🇸US10Y-US2Y, but can just as easily compare global sovereign curves or even dislocated monetary systems. This value is continuously monitored and passed through a debounce filter to determine whether the curve is:
• Inverted, or
• Steepening
If the curve is flattening below zero: the world is bracing for contraction. Policy lags. Risk appetite deteriorates. Duration gets bid, but only as protection. Stocks and speculative assets suffer, regardless of positioning.
📍 Curve Regimes in Bull and Bear Contexts
• Flattening occurs when the short and long ends compress . In a bull regime, flattening may reflect long-end demand or fading growth expectations. In a bear regime, flattening often precedes or confirms central bank tightening.
• Steepening indicates expanding spread . In a bull context, this may signal healthy risk appetite or early expansion. In a bear or crisis context, it may reflect aggressive front-end cuts and dislocation between short- and long-term expectations.
• If the curve is steepening above zero: the world is rotating into early expansion. Risk assets behave constructively. Bond traders position for normalization. Equities and crypto begin trending higher on rising forward expectations.
🖐️ Dynamically Colored Spread Line Reflects 1 of 4 Regime States
• 🟢 Normal / Steepening — early expansion or reflation
• 🔵 Normal / Flattening — late-cycle or neutral slowdown
• 🟠 Inverted / Steepening — policy reversal or soft landing attempt
• 🔴 Inverted / Flattening — hard contraction, credit stress, policy lag
🍋 The Lemon Label
At every bar, an anchored label floats directly on the spread line. It displays the active regime (in plain English) and the precise spread in percent (or basis points, depending on resolution). Colored lemon yellow, neither green nor red, the label is always legible — a design choice to de-emphasize bias and center the data .
🎨 Fill Zones
These bands offer spatial, persistent views of macro compression or inversion depth.
• Blue fill appears above the zero line in normal (non-inverted) conditions
• Red fill appears below the zero line during inversion
🧪 Sample Reading: 1W chart of TLT
OverUnder reveals a multi-year arc of structural inversion and regime transition. From mid-2021 through late 2023, the spread remains decisively inverted, signaling persistent flattening and credit stress as bond prices trended sharply lower. This prolonged inversion aligns with a high-volatility phase in TLT, marked by lower highs and an accelerating downtrend, confirming policy lag and macro tightening conditions.
As of early 2025, the spread has crossed back above the zero baseline into a “Normal / Steepening” regime (annotated at +0.56%), suggesting a macro inflection point. Price action remains subdued, but the shift in yield structure may foreshadow a change in trend context — particularly if follow-through in steepening persists.
🎭 Different Traders Respond Differently:
• Bond traders monitor slope change to anticipate policy pivots or recession signals.
• Equity traders use regime shifts to time rotations, from growth into defense, or from contraction into reflation.
• Currency traders interpret curve steepening as yield compression or divergence depending on region.
• Crypto traders treat inversion as a liquidity vacuum — and steepening as an early-phase risk unlock.
🛡️ Can It Compare Different Bond Markets?
Yes — with caveats. The indicator can be used to compare distinct sovereign yield instruments, for example:
• 🇫🇷FR10Y vs 🇩🇪DE10Y - France vs Germany
• 🇯🇵JP10Y vs 🇺🇸US10Y - BoJ vs Fed policy curves
However:
🙈 This no longer visualizes the domestic yield curve, but rather the differential between rate expectations across regions
🙉 The interpretation of “inversion” changes — it reflects spread compression across nations , not within a domestic yield structure
🙊 Color regimes should then be viewed as relative rate positioning , not absolute curve health
🙋🏻 Example: OverUnder compares French vs German 10Y yields
1. 🇫🇷 Change the long-duration ticker to FR10Y
2. 🇩🇪 Set the short-duration ticker to DE10Y
3. 🤔 Interpret the result as: “How much higher is France’s long-term borrowing cost vs Germany’s?”
You’ll see steepening when the spread rises (France decoupling), flattening when the spread compresses (convergence), and inversions when Germany yields rise above France’s — historically rare and meaningful.
🧐 Suggested Use
OverUnder is not a signal engine — it’s a context map. Its value comes from situating any trade idea within the prevailing yield regime. Use it before entries, not after them.
• On the 1W timeframe, OverUnder excels as a macro overlay. Yield regime shifts unfold over quarters, not days. Weekly structure smooths out rate volatility and reveals the true curvature of policy response and liquidity pressure. Use this view to orient your portfolio, define directional bias, or confirm long-duration trend turns in assets like TLT, SPX, or BTC.
• On the 1D timeframe, the indicator becomes tactically useful — especially when aligning breakout setups or trend continuations with steepening or flattening transitions. Daily views can also identify early-stage regime cracks that may not yet be visible on the weekly.
• Avoid sub-daily use unless you’re anchoring a thesis already built on higher timeframe structure. The yield curve is a macro construct — it doesn’t oscillate cleanly at intraday speeds. Shorter views may offer clarity during event-driven spikes (like FOMC reactions), but they do not replace weekly context.
Ultimately, OverUnder helps you decide: What kind of world am I trading in? Use it to confirm macro context, avoid fighting the curve, and lean into trades aligned with the broader pressure regime.
M2 Global Liquidity Index - X Days LeadThis custom indicator overlays the Bitcoin price chart with the Global Liquidity M2 chart, providing a unique perspective on how monetary supply might influence Bitcoin's price movements. The indicator distinguishes between past and future segments of the liquidity data using two distinct colors.
- Past Segment: The portion of the Global Liquidity M2 chart that has already passed is displayed in one color, allowing users to assess historical correlations with Bitcoin's price.
- Future Segment: The upcoming part of the liquidity chart is shown in a different color, offering insights into potential future impacts on Bitcoin's price trajectory.
by walkin
Normalized FX Weighted Daily % Change vs DXYThis indicator tracks international liquidity flows by measuring the USD’s relative strength against major currencies—EUR, CNY, JPY, GBP, and CAD. It calculates the weighted percentage change of each pair over a specified interval. A positive reading means the USD is weakening (liquidity flowing out of the US), while a negative reading indicates the USD is strengthening (liquidity flowing in). Additionally, the indicator incorporates the DXY index and VIX, with all components normalized using Z-scores for clear, comparable insights into market dynamics.
BTC-USDT Liquidity Trend [Ajit Pandit]his script helps traders visualize trend direction and identify liquidity zones where price might react due to past pivot levels. The color-coded candles and extended pivot lines make it easier to spot support/resistance levels and potential breakout points.
Key Features:
1. Trend Detection Using EMA
Uses two EMA calculations to determine the trend:
emaValue: Standard EMA based on length1
correction: Adjusted price movement relative to EMA
Trend: Another EMA of the corrected value
Determines bullish (signalUp) and bearish (signalDn) signals when Trend crosses emaValue.
2. Candlestick Coloring Based on Trend
Candlesticks are colored:
Uptrend → Blue (up color)
Downtrend → Pink (dn color)
Neutral → No color
3. Liquidity Zones (Pivot Highs & Lows)
Identifies pivot highs and lows using a customizable pivot length.
Draws liquidity lines:
High pivot lines (Blue, adjustable width)
Low pivot lines (Pink, adjustable width)
Extends lines indefinitely until price breaks above/below the level.
Removes broken pivot levels dynamically.
