Dow waveform analyzerDow Waveform Analyzer
1. Overview and Features of the Indicator
This indicator is a tool designed to analyze chart waveforms based on Dow Theory, identifying swing lows (support) and swing highs (resistance). It allows users to quickly and consistently determine trend direction. Compared to manual analysis, it provides more efficient and accurate results.
By using swing lows and swing highs, the indicator offers a more detailed understanding of trends than simple updates to highs and lows, aiding in the creation of effective trading strategies.
2. Identifying Wave Lows and Highs
Stock prices do not move in straight lines; instead, they rise and fall in waves. This indicator starts by identifying the wave lows and wave highs.
- Wave Low: The lowest point during a temporary price decline.
- Wave High: The highest point during a temporary price increase.
These are automatically identified using Pine Script’s built-in functions `pivotlow` and `pivothigh`.
3. Drawing the Waveform
The identified wave lows and highs are alternately connected to draw the waveform. However, there are cases where wave lows or highs occur consecutively:
- Consecutive Wave Lows: The lower low is used for drawing the waveform.
- Consecutive Wave Highs: The higher high is used for drawing the waveform.
4. Tracking Swing Lows/Highs and Trend Determination
Swing lows and swing highs are crucial markers that indicate the state of wave progression:
- Swing Low: The starting point of a wave (wave low) when the closing price exceeds the previous wave high.
- Swing High: The starting point of a wave (wave high) when the closing price falls below the previous wave low.
The changes in swing lows and swing highs as the waves progress allow for trend state determination.
5. Examples of Trend States
During an Uptrend:
- When the price surpasses a wave high, the swing low is updated, confirming the continuation of the uptrend.
End of an Uptrend:
- When the price falls below the swing low, the swing low disappears, and a swing high appears, signaling the end of the uptrend.
Sideways Movement:
- Swing lows and swing highs alternately appear, indicating a sideways trend.
Start of a Downtrend:
- When the price breaks below a wave low for the first time, the swing high is updated, confirming the start of the downtrend.
During a Downtrend:
- When the price breaks below a wave low, the swing high is updated, confirming the continuation of the downtrend.
End of a Downtrend:
- When the price surpasses a wave high, the swing high disappears, and a swing low reappears, signaling the end of the downtrend.
Restart of an Uptrend:
- When the swing low is updated, the uptrend resumes. The uptrend begins when the price surpasses a wave high, and the swing low is updated for the first time.
6. Applications
Trade Entries and Exits:
- Set stop orders for entry at the price level where a trend starts.
- Set stop orders for exit at the price level where a trend ends.
Trend Filtering:
- Use the indicator to confirm whether market conditions are suitable for entry based on the trend state. Analyze waveforms to aid trading strategies.
Guide for Drawing Trendlines:
- Utilize wave lows and highs as starting and ending points when drawing trendlines with drawing tools.
7. Parameters and Display Items
Pivot Points:
- Wave lows are marked with circles below the candlestick’s low, and wave highs are marked with circles above the candlestick’s high.
Number of Bars for Pivot Calculation:
- Specify the number of bars on either side used to identify highs (default: 2).
Waveform:
- Specify the color (default: blue) or toggle its visibility (default: visible).
Swing Lows/Highs:
- Displayed as large circles. The rightmost large circle on the chart indicates the current swing low or swing high. Historical swing points are also displayed to show the progression of state changes. Specify the color (default: green) or toggle visibility (default: visible).
1. インジケーターの概要と特徴
このインジケーターは、ダウ理論を基にチャートの波形を分析し、押し安値や戻り高値を特定するツールです。これにより、トレンドの方向を迅速かつ一貫して判断できます。手動での分析と比較して、効率的かつ精度の高い結果が得られる点が特徴です。
押し安値や戻り高値を利用することで、単純な高値・安値の更新よりも詳細にトレンドの状況を把握し、効果的な取引戦略の構築に役立ちます。
2. 波の谷と波の頂の特定
株価は直線的に動くのではなく、波を描きながら上昇や下落を繰り返します。このインジケーターは、まず波の谷と波の頂を特定するところから始まります。
波の谷: 一時的な下落の最安値
波の頂: 一時的な上昇の最高値
これらを Pine Script の内蔵関数（ピボットローとピボットハイ）を用いて自動的に特定しています。
3. 波形の描画方法
特定した波の谷と波の頂を交互に結んで波形を描画します。ただし、波の谷や頂が連続する場合があります。
波の谷が連続する場合: より低い谷を採用して波形を描く
波の頂が連続する場合: より高い頂を採用して波形を描く
4. 押し安値・戻り高値の追跡とトレンド判断
押し安値と戻り高値は、波の進行状況を示す重要な指標です。
押し安値: 終値が前回の高値を超えた際の波の谷
戻り高値: 終値が前回の安値を割り込んだ際の波の頂
波の進行に伴う押し安値・戻り高値の変化から、トレンドの状態を判断します。
5. トレンド状態の具体例
上昇トレンド中:
波の頂を株価が上抜け押し安値が更新され続けることで上昇トレンドを継続。
上昇トレンドの終了:
株価が押し安値を割ると、押し安値が消え、戻り高値が新たに出現して、上昇トレンドを終了。
横ばい状態:
押し安値と戻り高値が交互に切り替わる。
下降トレンドの開始:
波の谷を株価が下抜け戻り高値がはじめて更新されることで下降トレンド開始を確認。
下降トレンド中:
波の谷を株価が下抜け戻り高値が更新され続けることで下降トレンドを継続。
下降トレンドの終了:
株価が波の頂を超えると、戻り高値が消え、押し安値が再び出現して、下降トレンドを終了。
横ばい状態:
押し安値と戻り高値が交互に切り替わる。
上昇トレンドの再開:
押し安値が更新されることで上昇トレンドを確認。
波の頂を株価が上抜け押し安値がはじめて更新されることで上昇トレンド開始を確認。
6. 応用例
トレードのエントリーとエグジット:
トレンド発生の価格に逆指値を設定してエントリー。
トレンド終了の価格に逆指値を設定してエグジット。
トレンドフィルターとして活用:
エントリーに適したトレンド状況かを確認。波形を分析してトレード戦略の参考に。
トレンドラインを描く時の参考として活用:
波の谷と頂を描画ツールを使ってトレンドラインを描く時の起点や終点として活用。
7. パラメーターと表示項目
ピボット: 波の谷はローソク足の安値にサークルを表示、波の頂はローソク足の高値にサークルを表示。
ピボット計算用のバーの数: 高値を特定するために左右何本のローソク足を使用するかを設定（初期値: 2）。
波形: 色（初期値: 青）や表示（初期値: 表示）の指定。
押し安値・戻り高値: 大きなサークルで表示。チャートの一番右の大きなサークルが現在のもの。過去のものも状態変化の経緯を示すために表示。色（初期値: 緑）や表示（初期値: 表示）の指定。
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "low"
Range Trading StrategyOVERVIEW
The Range Trading Strategy is a systematic trading approach that identifies price ranges
from higher timeframe candles or trading sessions, tracks pivot points, and generates
trading signals when range extremes are mitigated and confirmed by pivot levels.
CORE CONCEPT
The strategy is based on the principle that when a candle (or session) closes within the
range of the previous candle (or session), that previous candle becomes a "range" with
identifiable high and low extremes. When price breaks through these extremes, it creates
trading opportunities that are confirmed by pivot levels.
RANGE DETECTION MODES
1. HTF (Higher Timeframe) Mode:
Automatically selects a higher timeframe based on the current chart timeframe
Uses request.security() to fetch HTF candle data
Range is created when an HTF candle closes within the previous HTF candle's range
The previous HTF candle's high and low become the range extremes
2. Sessions Mode:
- Divides the trading day into 4 sessions (UTC):
* Session 1: 00:00 - 06:00 (6 hours)
* Session 2: 06:00 - 12:00 (6 hours)
* Session 3: 12:00 - 20:00 (8 hours)
* Session 4: 20:00 - 00:00 (4 hours, spans midnight)
- Tracks high, low, and close for each session
- Range is created when a session closes within the previous session's range
- The previous session's high and low become the range extremes
PIVOT DETECTION
Pivots are detected based on candle color changes (bullish/bearish transitions):
1. Pivot Low:
Created when a bullish candle appears after a bearish candle
Pivot low = minimum of the current candle's low and previous candle's low
The pivot bar is the actual bar where the low was formed (current or previous bar)
2. Pivot High:
Created when a bearish candle appears after a bullish candle
Pivot high = maximum of the current candle's high and previous candle's high
The pivot bar is the actual bar where the high was formed (current or previous bar)
IMPORTANT: There is always only ONE active pivot high and ONE active pivot low at any
given time. When a new pivot is created, it replaces the previous one.
RANGE CREATION
A range is created when:
(HTF Mode) An HTF candle closes within the previous HTF candle's range AND a new HTF
candle has just started
(Sessions Mode) A session closes within the previous session's range AND a new session
has just started
Or Range Can Be Created when the Extreme of Another Range Gets Mitigated and We Have a Pivot low Just Above the Range Low or Pivot High just Below the Range High
Range Properties:
rangeHigh: The high extreme of the range
rangeLow: The low extreme of the range
highStartTime: The timestamp when the range high was actually formed (found by looping
backwards through bars)
lowStartTime: The timestamp when the range low was actually formed (found by looping
backwards through bars)
highMitigated / lowMitigated: Flags tracking whether each extreme has been broken
isSpecial: Flag indicating if this is a "special range" (see Special Ranges section)
RANGE MITIGATION
A range extreme is considered "mitigated" when price interacts with it:
High is mitigated when: high >= rangeHigh (any interaction at or above the level)
Low is mitigated when: low <= rangeLow (any interaction at or below the level)
Mitigation can happen:
At the moment of range creation (if price is already beyond the extreme)
At any point after range creation when price touches the extreme
SIGNAL GENERATION
1. Pending Signals:
When a range extreme is mitigated, a pending signal is created:
a) BEARISH Pending Signal:
- Triggered when: rangeHigh is mitigated
- Confirmation Level: Current pivotLow
- Signal is confirmed when: close < pivotLow
- Stop Loss: Current pivotHigh (at time of confirmation)
- Entry: Short position
Signal Confirmation
b) BULLISH Pending Signal:
- Triggered when: rangeLow is mitigated
- Confirmation Level: Current pivotHigh
- Signal is confirmed when: close > pivotHigh
- Stop Loss: Current pivotLow (at time of confirmation)
- Entry: Long position
IMPORTANT: There is only ever ONE pending bearish signal and ONE pending bullish signal
at any given time. When a new pending signal is created, it replaces the previous one
of the same type.
2. Signal Confirmation:
- Bearish: Confirmed when price closes below the pivot low (confirmation level)
- Bullish: Confirmed when price closes above the pivot high (confirmation level)
- Upon confirmation, a trade is entered immediately
- The confirmation line is drawn from the pivot bar to the confirmation bar
TRADE EXECUTION
When a signal is confirmed:
1. Position Management:
- Any existing position in the opposite direction is closed first
- Then the new position is entered
2. Stop Loss:
- Bearish (Short): Stop at pivotHigh
- Bullish (Long): Stop at pivotLow
3. Take Profit:
- Calculated using Risk:Reward Ratio (default 2:1)
- Risk = Distance from entry to stop loss
- Target = Entry ± (Risk × R:R Ratio)
- Can be disabled with "Stop Loss Only" toggle
4. Trade Comments:
- "Range Bear" for short trades
- "Range Bull" for long trades
SPECIAL RANGES
Special ranges are created when:
- A range high is mitigated AND the current pivotHigh is below the range high
- A range low is mitigated AND the current pivotLow is above the range low
In these cases:
- The pivot value is stored in an array (storedPivotHighs or storedPivotLows)
- A "special range" is created with only ONE extreme:
* If pivotHigh < rangeHigh: Creates a range with rangeHigh = pivotLow, rangeLow = na
* If pivotLow > rangeLow: Creates a range with rangeLow = pivotHigh, rangeHigh = na
- Special ranges can generate signals just like normal ranges
- If a special range is mitigated on the creation bar or the next bar, it is removed
entirely without generating signals (prevents false signals)
Special Ranges
REVERSE ON STOP LOSS
When enabled, if a stop loss is hit, the strategy automatically opens a trade in the
opposite direction:
1. Long Stop Loss Hit:
- Detects when: position_size > 0 AND position_size <= 0 AND low <= longStopLoss
- Action: Opens a SHORT position
- Stop Loss: Current pivotHigh
- Trade Comment: "Reverse on Stop"
2. Short Stop Loss Hit:
- Detects when: position_size < 0 AND position_size >= 0 AND high >= shortStopLoss
- Action: Opens a LONG position
- Stop Loss: Current pivotLow
- Trade Comment: "Reverse on Stop"
The reverse trade uses the same R:R ratio and respects the "Stop Loss Only" setting.
VISUAL ELEMENTS
1. Range Lines:
- Drawn from the time when the extreme was formed to the mitigation point (or current
time if not mitigated)
- High lines: Blue (or mitigated color if mitigated)
- Low lines: Red (or mitigated color if mitigated)
- Style: SOLID
- Width: 1
2. Confirmation Lines:
- Drawn when a signal is confirmed
- Extends from the pivot bar to the confirmation bar
- Bearish: Red, solid line
- Bullish: Green, solid line
- Width: 1
- Can be toggled on/off
STRATEGY SETTINGS
1. Range Detection Mode:
- HTF: Uses higher timeframe candles
- Sessions: Uses trading session boundaries
2. Auto HTF:
- Automatically selects HTF based on current chart timeframe
- Can be disabled to use manual HTF selection
3. Risk:Reward Ratio:
- Default: 2.0 (2:1)
- Minimum: 0.5
- Step: 0.5
4. Stop Loss Only:
- When enabled: Trades only have stop loss (no take profit)
- Trades close on stop loss or when opposite signal confirms
5. Reverse on Stop Loss:
- When enabled: Hitting a stop loss opens opposite trade with stop at opposing pivot
6. Max Ranges to Display:
- Limits the number of ranges kept in memory
- Oldest ranges are purged when limit is exceeded
KEY FEATURES
1. Dynamic Pivot Tracking:
- Pivots update on every candle color change
- Always maintains one high and one low pivot
2. Range Lifecycle:
- Ranges are created when price closes within previous range
- Ranges are tracked until mitigated
- Mitigation creates pending signals
- Signals are confirmed by pivot levels
3. Signal Priority:
- Only one pending signal of each type at a time
- New signals replace old ones
- Confirmation happens on close of bar
4. Position Management:
- Closes opposite positions before entering new trades
- Tracks stop loss levels for reverse functionality
- Respects pyramiding = 1 (only one position per direction)
5. Time-Based Drawing:
- Uses time coordinates instead of bar indices for line drawing
- Prevents "too far from current bar" errors
- Lines can extend to any historical point
USAGE NOTES
- Best suited for trending and ranging markets
- Works on any timeframe, but HTF mode adapts automatically
- Sessions mode is ideal for intraday trading
- Pivot detection requires clear candle color changes
- Range detection requires price to close within previous range
- Signals are generated on bar close, not intra-bar
The strategy combines range identification, pivot tracking, and signal confirmation to
create a systematic approach to trading breakouts and reversals based on price structure, past performance does not in any way predict future performance
DCA Percent SignalOverview
The DCA Percent Signal Indicator generates buy and sell signals based on percentage drops from all-time highs and percentage gains from lowest lows since ATH. This indicator is designed for pyramiding strategies where each signal represents a configurable percentage of equity allocation.
Definitions
DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging): An investment strategy where you invest a fixed amount at regular intervals, regardless of price fluctuations. This indicator generates signals for a DCA-style pyramiding approach.
Gann Bar Types: Classification system for price bars based on their relationship to the previous bar:
Up Bar: High > previous high AND low ≥ previous low
Down Bar: High ≤ previous high AND low < previous low
Inside Bar: High ≤ previous high AND low ≥ previous low
Outside Bar: High > previous high AND low < previous low
ATH (All-Time High): The highest price level reached during the entire chart period
ATL (All-Time Low): The lowest price level reached since the most recent ATH
Pyramiding: A trading strategy that adds to positions on favorable price movements
Look-Ahead Bias: Using future information that wouldn't be available in real-time trading
Default Properties
Signal Thresholds:
Buy Threshold: 10% (triggers every 10% drop from ATH)
Sell Threshold: 30% (triggers every 30% gain from lowest low since ATH)
Price Sources:
ATH Tracking: High (ATH detection)
ATL Tracking: Low (low detection)
Buy Signal Source: Low (buy signals)
Sell Signal Source: High (sell signals)
Filter Options:
Apply Gann Filter: False (disabled by default)
Buy Sets ATL: False (disabled by default)
Display Options:
Show Buy/Sell Signals: True
Show Reference Lines: True
Show Info Table: False
Show Bar Type: False
How It Works
Buy Signals: Trigger every 10% drop from the all-time highest price reached
Sell Signals: Trigger every 30% increase from the lowest low since the most recent all-time high
Smart Tracking: Uses configurable price sources for signal generation
Key Features
Configurable Thresholds: Adjustable buy/sell percentage thresholds (default: 10%/30%)
Separate Price Sources: Independent sources for ATH tracking, ATL tracking, and signal triggers
Configurable Signals: Uses low for buy signals and high for sell signals by default
Optional Gann Filter: Apply Gann bar analysis for additional signal filtering
Optional Buy Sets ATL: Option to set ATL reference point when buy signals occur
Visual Debug: Detailed labels showing signal parameters and values
Usage Instructions
Apply to Chart: Use on any timeframe (recommended: 1D or higher for better signal quality)
Risk Management: Adjust thresholds based on your risk tolerance and market volatility
Signal Analysis: Monitor debug labels for detailed signal information and validation
Signal Logic
Buy signals are blocked when ATH increases to prevent buying at peaks
Sell signals are blocked when ATL decreases to prevent selling at lows
This ensures signals only trigger on subsequent bars, not the same bar that establishes new reference points
Buy Signals:
Calculate drop percentage from ATH to buy signal source
Trigger when drop reaches threshold increments (10%, 20%, 30%, etc.)
Always blocked on ATH bars to prevent buying at peaks
Optional: Also blocked on up/outside bars when Gann filter enabled
Sell Signals:
Calculate gain percentage from lowest low to sell signal source
Trigger when gain reaches threshold increments (30%, 60%, 90%, etc.)
Always blocked when ATL decreases to prevent selling at lows
Optional: Also blocked on down bars when Gann filter enabled
Limitations
Designed for trending markets; may generate many signals in sideways/ranging markets
Requires sufficient price movement to be effective
Not suitable for scalping or very short timeframes
Implementation Notes
Signals use optimistic price sources (low for buys, high for sells), these can be configured to be more conservative
Gann filter provides additional signal filtering based on bar types
Debug information available in data window for real-time analysis
Detailed labels on each signal show ATH, lowest low, buy level, sell level, and drop/gain percentages
Cyclical Phases of the Market🧭 Overview
“Cyclical Phases of the Market” automatically detects major market cycles by connecting swing lows and measuring the average number of bars between them.
Once it learns the rhythm of past cycles, it projects the next expected cycle (in time and price) using a dashed orange line and a forecast label.
In simple terms:
The indicator shows where the next potential low is statistically expected to occur, based on the timing and depth of previous cycles.
⚙️ Core Logic – Step by Step
1️⃣ Pivot Detection
The script uses the built-in ta.pivotlow() and ta.pivothigh() functions to find local turning points:
pivotLow marks a local swing low, defined by pivotLeft and pivotRight bars on each side.
Only confirmed lows are used to define the major cycle points.
Each new pivot low is stored in two arrays:
cycleLows → price level of the low
cycleBars → bar index where the low occurred
2️⃣ Cycle Identification and Drawing
Every time two consecutive swing lows are found, the indicator:
Calculates the number of bars between them (cycle length).
If that distance is greater than or equal to minCycleBars, it draws a teal line connecting the two lows — visually representing one complete cycle.
These teal lines form the historical cycle structure of the market.
3️⃣ Average Cycle Length
Once there are at least three completed cycles, the script calculates the average duration (mean number of bars between lows).
This value — avgCycleLength — represents the dominant periodicity or cycle rhythm of the market.
4️⃣ Forecasting the Next Cycle
When a valid average cycle length exists, the model projects the next expected cycle:
Time projection:
Adds avgCycleLength to the last cycle’s ending bar index to find where the next low should occur.
Price projection:
Estimates the vertical amplitude by taking the difference between the last two cycle lows (priceDiff).
Adds this same difference to the last low price to forecast the next probable low level.
The result is drawn as an orange dashed line extending into the future, representing the Next Expected Cycle.
5️⃣ Forecast Label
An orange label 🔮 appears at the projected future point showing:
Text:
🔮 Upcoming Cycle Forecast
Price:
The label marks the probable area and timing of the next cyclical low.
(Note: the date/time calculation currently multiplies bar count by 7 days, so it’s designed mainly for daily charts. On other timeframes, that conversion can be adapted.)
📊 How to Read It on the Chart
Visual Element Meaning Interpretation
Teal lines Completed historical cycles (low to low) Show actual periodic rhythm of the market
Orange dashed line Projection of the next expected cycle Anticipated path toward the next cyclical low
Orange label 🔮 Upcoming Cycle Forecast Displays expected price and bar location
Average cycle length Internal variable (bars between lows) Represents the dominant cycle period
📈 Interpretation
When teal segments show consistent spacing, the market is following a stable rhythm → cycles are predictable.
When cycle spacing shortens, the market is accelerating (volatility rising).
When it widens, the market is slowing down or entering accumulation.
The orange dashed line represents the next expected low zone:
If the market drops near this line → cyclical pattern confirmed.
If the market breaks well below → cycle amplitude has increased (trend weakening).
If the market rises above and delays → a new longer cycle may be forming.
🧠 Practical Use
Combine with oscillators (e.g., RSI or TSI) to confirm momentum alignment near projected lows.
Use in conjunction with volume to identify accumulation or exhaustion near the expected turning point.
Compare across timeframes: weekly cycles confirm long-term rhythm; daily cycles refine short-term entries.
⚡ Summary
Aspect Description
Purpose Detect and forecast recurring market cycles
Cycle basis Low-to-Low pivot analysis
Visuals Teal historical cycles + Orange forecast line
Forecast Next expected low (price and time)
Ideal timeframe Daily
Main outputs Average cycle length, next projected cycle, visual cycle map
SMC Structures and FVGสวัสดีครับ! ผมจะอธิบายอินดิเคเตอร์ "SMC Structures and FVG + MACD" ที่คุณให้มาอย่างละเอียดในแต่ละส่วน เพื่อให้คุณเข้าใจการทำงานของมันอย่างถ่องแท้ครับ
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้เป็นการผสมผสานแนวคิดของ Smart Money Concept (SMC) ซึ่งเน้นการวิเคราะห์โครงสร้างตลาด (Market Structure) และ Fair Value Gap (FVG) เข้ากับอินดิเคเตอร์ MACD เพื่อใช้เป็นตัวกรองหรือตัวยืนยันสัญญาณ Choch/BoS (Change of Character / Break of Structure)
1. ภาพรวมอินดิเคเตอร์ (Overall Purpose)
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้มีจุดประสงค์หลักคือ:
ระบุโครงสร้างตลาด: ตีเส้นและป้ายกำกับ Choch (Change of Character) และ BoS (Break of Structure) บนกราฟโดยอัตโนมัติ
ผสานการยืนยันด้วย MACD: สัญญาณ Choch/BoS จะถูกพิจารณาก็ต่อเมื่อ MACD Histogram เกิดการตัดขึ้นหรือลง (Zero Cross) ในทิศทางที่สอดคล้องกัน
แสดง Fair Value Gap (FVG): หากเปิดใช้งาน จะมีการตีกล่อง FVG บนกราฟ
แสดงระดับ Fibonacci: คำนวณและแสดงระดับ Fibonacci ที่สำคัญตามโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
ปรับตาม Timeframe: การคำนวณและการแสดงผลทั้งหมดจะปรับตาม Timeframe ที่คุณกำลังใช้งานอยู่โดยอัตโนมัติ
2. ส่วนประกอบหลักของโค้ด (Code Breakdown)
โค้ดนี้สามารถแบ่งออกเป็นส่วนหลัก ๆ ได้ดังนี้:
2.1 Inputs (การตั้งค่า)
ส่วนนี้คือตัวแปรที่คุณสามารถปรับแต่งได้ในหน้าต่างการตั้งค่าของอินดิเคเตอร์ (คลิกที่รูปฟันเฟืองข้างชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์บนกราฟ)
MACD Settings (ตั้งค่า MACD):
fast_len: ความยาวของ Fast EMA สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 12)
slow_len: ความยาวของ Slow EMA สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 26)
signal_len: ความยาวของ Signal Line สำหรับ MACD (ค่าเริ่มต้น 9)
= ta.macd(close, fast_len, slow_len, signal_len): คำนวณค่า MACD Line, Signal Line และ Histogram โดยใช้ราคาปิด (close) และค่าความยาวที่กำหนด
is_bullish_macd_cross: ตรวจสอบว่า MACD Histogram ตัดขึ้นเหนือเส้น 0 (จากค่าลบเป็นบวก)
is_bearish_macd_cross: ตรวจสอบว่า MACD Histogram ตัดลงใต้เส้น 0 (จากค่าบวกเป็นลบ)
Fear Value Gap (FVG) Settings:
isFvgToShow: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการแสดง FVG บนกราฟ
bullishFvgColor: สีสำหรับ Bullish FVG
bearishFvgColor: สีสำหรับ Bearish FVG
mitigatedFvgColor: สีสำหรับ FVG ที่ถูก Mitigate (ลดทอน) แล้ว
fvgHistoryNbr: จำนวน FVG ย้อนหลังที่จะแสดง
isMitigatedFvgToReduce: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการลดขนาด FVG เมื่อถูก Mitigate
Structures (โครงสร้างตลาด) Settings:
isStructBodyCandleBreak: (Boolean) หากเป็น true การ Break จะต้องเกิดขึ้นด้วย เนื้อเทียน ที่ปิดเหนือ/ใต้ Swing High/Low หากเป็น false แค่ไส้เทียนทะลุก็ถือว่า Break
isCurrentStructToShow: (Boolean) เปิด/ปิดการแสดงเส้นโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน (เส้นสีน้ำเงินในภาพตัวอย่าง)
pivot_len: ความยาวของแท่งเทียนที่ใช้ในการมองหาจุด Pivot (Swing High/Low) ยิ่งค่าน้อยยิ่งจับ Swing เล็กๆ ได้, ยิ่งค่ามากยิ่งจับ Swing ใหญ่ๆ ได้
bullishBosColor, bearishBosColor: สีสำหรับเส้นและป้าย BOS ขาขึ้น/ขาลง
bosLineStyleOption, bosLineWidth: สไตล์ (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) และความหนาของเส้น BOS
bullishChochColor, bearishChochColor: สีสำหรับเส้นและป้าย CHoCH ขาขึ้น/ขาลง
chochLineStyleOption, chochLineWidth: สไตล์ (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) และความหนาของเส้น CHoCH
currentStructColor, currentStructLineStyleOption, currentStructLineWidth: สี, สไตล์ และความหนาของเส้นโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
structHistoryNbr: จำนวนการ Break (Choch/BoS) ย้อนหลังที่จะแสดง
Structure Fibonacci (จากโค้ดต้นฉบับ):
เป็นชุด Input สำหรับเปิด/ปิด, กำหนดค่า, สี, สไตล์ และความหนาของเส้น Fibonacci Levels ต่างๆ (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) ที่จะถูกคำนวณจากโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
2.2 Helper Functions (ฟังก์ชันช่วยทำงาน)
getLineStyle(lineOption): ฟังก์ชันนี้ใช้แปลงค่า String ที่เลือกจาก Input (เช่น "─", "┈", "╌") ให้เป็นรูปแบบ line.style_ ที่ Pine Script เข้าใจ
get_structure_highest_bar(lookback): ฟังก์ชันนี้พยายามหา Bar Index ของแท่งเทียนที่ทำ Swing High ภายในช่วง lookback ที่กำหนด
get_structure_lowest_bar(lookback): ฟังก์ชันนี้พยายามหา Bar Index ของแท่งเทียนที่ทำ Swing Low ภายในช่วง lookback ที่กำหนด
is_structure_high_broken(...): ฟังก์ชันนี้ตรวจสอบว่าราคาปัจจุบันได้ Break เหนือ _structureHigh (Swing High) หรือไม่ โดยพิจารณาจาก _highStructBreakPrice (ราคาปิดหรือราคา High ขึ้นอยู่กับการตั้งค่า isStructBodyCandleBreak)
FVGDraw(...): ฟังก์ชันนี้รับ Arrays ของ FVG Boxes, Types, Mitigation Status และ Labels มาประมวลผล เพื่ออัปเดตสถานะของ FVG (เช่น ถูก Mitigate หรือไม่) และปรับขนาด/ตำแหน่งของ FVG Box และ Label บนกราฟ
2.3 Global Variables (ตัวแปรทั่วทั้งอินดิเคเตอร์)
เป็นตัวแปรที่ประกาศด้วย var ซึ่งหมายความว่าค่าของมันจะถูกเก็บไว้และอัปเดตในแต่ละแท่งเทียน (persists across bars)
structureLines, structureLabels: Arrays สำหรับเก็บอ็อบเจกต์ line และ label ของเส้น Choch/BoS ที่วาดบนกราฟ
fvgBoxes, fvgTypes, fvgLabels, isFvgMitigated: Arrays สำหรับเก็บข้อมูลของ FVG Boxes และสถานะต่างๆ
structureHigh, structureLow: เก็บราคาของ Swing High/Low ที่สำคัญของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex: เก็บ Bar Index ของจุดเริ่มต้นของ Swing High/Low ที่สำคัญ
structureDirection: เก็บสถานะของทิศทางโครงสร้างตลาด (1 = Bullish, 2 = Bearish, 0 = Undefined)
fiboXPrice, fiboXStartIndex, fiboXLine, fiboXLabel: ตัวแปรสำหรับเก็บข้อมูลและอ็อบเจกต์ของเส้น Fibonacci Levels
isBOSAlert, isCHOCHAlert: (Boolean) ใช้สำหรับส่งสัญญาณ Alert (หากมีการตั้งค่า Alert ไว้)
2.4 FVG Processing (การประมวลผล FVG)
ส่วนนี้จะตรวจสอบเงื่อนไขการเกิด FVG (Bullish FVG: high < low , Bearish FVG: low > high )
หากเกิด FVG และ isFvgToShow เป็น true จะมีการสร้าง box และ label ใหม่เพื่อแสดง FVG บนกราฟ
มีการจัดการ fvgBoxes และ fvgLabels เพื่อจำกัดจำนวน FVG ที่แสดงตาม fvgHistoryNbr และลบ FVG เก่าออก
ฟังก์ชัน FVGDraw จะถูกเรียกเพื่ออัปเดตสถานะของ FVG (เช่น การถูก Mitigate) และปรับการแสดงผล
2.5 Structures Processing (การประมวลผลโครงสร้างตลาด)
Initialization: ที่ bar_index == 0 (แท่งเทียนแรกของกราฟ) จะมีการกำหนดค่าเริ่มต้นให้กับ structureHigh, structureLow, structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex
Finding Current High/Low: highest, highestBar, lowest, lowestBar ถูกใช้เพื่อหา High/Low ที่สุดและ Bar Index ของมันใน 10 แท่งล่าสุด (หรือทั้งหมดหากกราฟสั้นกว่า 10 แท่ง)
Calculating Structure Max/Min Bar: structureMaxBar และ structureMinBar ใช้ฟังก์ชัน get_structure_highest_bar และ get_structure_lowest_bar เพื่อหา Bar Index ของ Swing High/Low ที่แท้จริง (ไม่ใช่แค่ High/Low ที่สุดใน lookback แต่เป็นจุด Pivot ที่สมบูรณ์)
Break Price: lowStructBreakPrice และ highStructBreakPrice จะเป็นราคาปิด (close) หรือราคา Low/High ขึ้นอยู่กับ isStructBodyCandleBreak
isStuctureLowBroken / isStructureHighBroken: เงื่อนไขเหล่านี้ตรวจสอบว่าราคาได้ทำลาย structureLow หรือ structureHigh หรือไม่ โดยพิจารณาจากราคา Break, ราคาแท่งก่อนหน้า และ Bar Index ของจุดเริ่มต้นโครงสร้าง
Choch/BoS Logic (ส่วนสำคัญที่ถูกผสานกับ MACD):
if(isStuctureLowBroken and is_bearish_macd_cross): นี่คือจุดที่ MACD เข้ามามีบทบาท หากราคาทำลาย structureLow (สัญญาณขาลง) และ MACD Histogram เกิด Bearish Zero Cross (is_bearish_macd_cross เป็น true) อินดิเคเตอร์จะพิจารณาว่าเป็น Choch หรือ BoS
หาก structureDirection == 1 (เดิมเป็นขาขึ้น) หรือ 0 (ยังไม่กำหนด) จะตีเป็น "CHoCH" (เปลี่ยนทิศทางโครงสร้างเป็นขาลง)
หาก structureDirection == 2 (เดิมเป็นขาลง) จะตีเป็น "BOS" (ยืนยันโครงสร้างขาลง)
มีการสร้าง line.new และ label.new เพื่อวาดเส้นและป้ายกำกับ
structureDirection จะถูกอัปเดตเป็น 1 (Bullish)
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อกำหนดโครงสร้างใหม่
else if(isStructureHighBroken and is_bullish_macd_cross): เช่นกันสำหรับขาขึ้น หากราคาทำลาย structureHigh (สัญญาณขาขึ้น) และ MACD Histogram เกิด Bullish Zero Cross (is_bullish_macd_cross เป็น true) อินดิเคเตอร์จะพิจารณาว่าเป็น Choch หรือ BoS
หาก structureDirection == 2 (เดิมเป็นขาลง) หรือ 0 (ยังไม่กำหนด) จะตีเป็น "CHoCH" (เปลี่ยนทิศทางโครงสร้างเป็นขาขึ้น)
หาก structureDirection == 1 (เดิมเป็นขาขึ้น) จะตีเป็น "BOS" (ยืนยันโครงสร้างขาขึ้น)
มีการสร้าง line.new และ label.new เพื่อวาดเส้นและป้ายกำกับ
structureDirection จะถูกอัปเดตเป็น 2 (Bearish)
structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อกำหนดโครงสร้างใหม่
การลบเส้นเก่า: d.delete_line (หากไลบรารีทำงาน) จะถูกเรียกเพื่อลบเส้นและป้ายกำกับเก่าออกเมื่อจำนวนเกิน structHistoryNbr
Updating Structure High/Low (else block): หากไม่มีการ Break เกิดขึ้น แต่ราคาปัจจุบันสูงกว่า structureHigh หรือต่ำกว่า structureLow ในทิศทางที่สอดคล้องกัน (เช่น ยังคงเป็นขาขึ้นและทำ High ใหม่) structureHigh หรือ structureLow จะถูกอัปเดตเพื่อติดตาม High/Low ที่สุดของโครงสร้างปัจจุบัน
Current Structure Display:
หาก isCurrentStructToShow เป็น true อินดิเคเตอร์จะวาดเส้น structureHighLine และ structureLowLine เพื่อแสดงขอบเขตของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
Fibonacci Display:
หาก isFiboXToShow เป็น true อินดิเคเตอร์จะคำนวณและวาดเส้น Fibonacci Levels ต่างๆ (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) โดยอิงจาก structureHigh และ structureLow ของโครงสร้างตลาดปัจจุบัน
Alerts:
alertcondition: ใช้สำหรับตั้งค่า Alert ใน TradingView เมื่อเกิดสัญญาณ BOS หรือ CHOCH
plot(na):
plot(na) เป็นคำสั่งที่สำคัญในอินดิเคเตอร์ที่ไม่ได้ต้องการพล็อต Series ของข้อมูลบนกราฟ (เช่น ไม่ได้พล็อตเส้น EMA หรือ RSI) แต่ใช้วาดอ็อบเจกต์ (Line, Label, Box) โดยตรง
การมี plot(na) ช่วยให้ Pine Script รู้ว่าอินดิเคเตอร์นี้มีเอาต์พุตที่แสดงผลบนกราฟ แม้ว่าจะไม่ได้เป็น Series ที่พล็อตตามปกติก็ตาม
3. วิธีใช้งาน
คัดลอกโค้ดทั้งหมด ที่อยู่ในบล็อก immersive ด้านบน
ไปที่ TradingView และเปิดกราฟที่คุณต้องการ
คลิกที่เมนู "Pine Editor" ที่อยู่ด้านล่างของหน้าจอ
ลบโค้ดเดิมที่มีอยู่ และ วางโค้ดที่คัดลอกมา ลงไปแทน
คลิกที่ปุ่ม "Add to Chart"
อินดิเคเตอร์จะถูกเพิ่มลงในกราฟของคุณโดยอัตโนมัติ คุณสามารถคลิกที่รูปฟันเฟืองข้างชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์บนกราฟเพื่อเข้าถึงหน้าต่างการตั้งค่าและปรับแต่งตามความต้องการของคุณได้
Hello! I will explain the "SMC Structures and FVG + MACD" indicator you provided in detail, section by section, so you can fully understand how it works.This indicator combines the concepts of Smart Money Concept (SMC), which focuses on analyzing Market Structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), with the MACD indicator to serve as a filter or confirmation for Choch (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) signals.1. Overall PurposeThe main purposes of this indicator are:Identify Market Structure: Automatically draw lines and label Choch (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) on the chart.Integrate MACD Confirmation: Choch/BoS signals will only be considered when the MACD Histogram performs a cross (Zero Cross) in the corresponding direction.Display Fair Value Gap (FVG): If enabled, FVG boxes will be drawn on the chart.Display Fibonacci Levels: Calculate and display important Fibonacci levels based on the current market structure.Adapt to Timeframe: All calculations and displays will automatically adjust to the timeframe you are currently using.2. Code BreakdownThis code can be divided into the following main sections:2.1 Inputs (Settings)This section contains variables that you can adjust in the indicator's settings window (click the gear icon next to the indicator's name on the chart).MACD Settings:fast_len: Length of the Fast EMA for MACD (default 12)slow_len: Length of the Slow EMA for MACD (default 26)signal_len: Length of the Signal Line for MACD (default 9) = ta.macd(close, fast_len, slow_len, signal_len): Calculates the MACD Line, Signal Line, and Histogram using the closing price (close) and the specified lengths.is_bullish_macd_cross: Checks if the MACD Histogram crosses above the 0 line (from negative to positive).is_bearish_macd_cross: Checks if the MACD Histogram crosses below the 0 line (from positive to negative).Fear Value Gap (FVG) Settings:isFvgToShow: (Boolean) Enables/disables the display of FVG on the chart.bullishFvgColor: Color for Bullish FVG.bearishFvgColor: Color for Bearish FVG.mitigatedFvgColor: Color for FVG that has been mitigated.fvgHistoryNbr: Number of historical FVG to display.isMitigatedFvgToReduce: (Boolean) Enables/disables reducing the size of FVG when mitigated.Structures (โครงสร้างตลาด) Settings:isStructBodyCandleBreak: (Boolean) If true, the break must occur with the candle body closing above/below the Swing High/Low. If false, a wick break is sufficient.isCurrentStructToShow: (Boolean) Enables/disables the display of the current market structure lines (blue lines in the example image).pivot_len: Lookback length for identifying Pivot points (Swing High/Low). A smaller value captures smaller, more frequent swings; a larger value captures larger, more significant swings.bullishBosColor, bearishBosColor: Colors for bullish/bearish BOS lines and labels.bosLineStyleOption, bosLineWidth: Style (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) and width of BOS lines.bullishChochColor, bearishChochColor: Colors for bullish/bearish CHoCH lines and labels.chochLineStyleOption, chochLineWidth: Style (Solid, Dotted, Dashed) and width of CHoCH lines.currentStructColor, currentStructLineStyleOption, currentStructLineWidth: Color, style, and width of the current market structure lines.structHistoryNbr: Number of historical breaks (Choch/BoS) to display.Structure Fibonacci (from original code):A set of inputs to enable/disable, define values, colors, styles, and widths for various Fibonacci Levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) that will be calculated from the current market structure.2.2 Helper FunctionsgetLineStyle(lineOption): This function converts the selected string input (e.g., "─", "┈", "╌") into a line.style_ format understood by Pine Script.get_structure_highest_bar(lookback): This function attempts to find the Bar Index of the Swing High within the specified lookback period.get_structure_lowest_bar(lookback): This function attempts to find the Bar Index of the Swing Low within the specified lookback period.is_structure_high_broken(...): This function checks if the current price has broken above _structureHigh (Swing High), considering _highStructBreakPrice (closing price or high price depending on isStructBodyCandleBreak setting).FVGDraw(...): This function takes arrays of FVG Boxes, Types, Mitigation Status, and Labels to process and update the status of FVG (e.g., whether it's mitigated) and adjust the size/position of FVG Boxes and Labels on the chart.2.3 Global VariablesThese are variables declared with var, meaning their values are stored and updated on each bar (persists across bars).structureLines, structureLabels: Arrays to store line and label objects for Choch/BoS lines drawn on the chart.fvgBoxes, fvgTypes, fvgLabels, isFvgMitigated: Arrays to store FVG box data and their respective statuses.structureHigh, structureLow: Stores the price of the significant Swing High/Low of the current market structure.structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex: Stores the Bar Index of the start point of the significant Swing High/Low.structureDirection: Stores the status of the market structure direction (1 = Bullish, 2 = Bearish, 0 = Undefined).fiboXPrice, fiboXStartIndex, fiboXLine, fiboXLabel: Variables to store data and objects for Fibonacci Levels.isBOSAlert, isCHOCHAlert: (Boolean) Used to trigger alerts in TradingView (if alerts are configured).2.4 FVG ProcessingThis section checks the conditions for FVG formation (Bullish FVG: high < low , Bearish FVG: low > high ).If FVG occurs and isFvgToShow is true, a new box and label are created to display the FVG on the chart.fvgBoxes and fvgLabels are managed to limit the number of FVG displayed according to fvgHistoryNbr and remove older FVG.The FVGDraw function is called to update the FVG status (e.g., whether it's mitigated) and adjust its display.2.5 Structures ProcessingInitialization: At bar_index == 0 (the first bar of the chart), structureHigh, structureLow, structureHighStartIndex, and structureLowStartIndex are initialized.Finding Current High/Low: highest, highestBar, lowest, lowestBar are used to find the highest/lowest price and its Bar Index of it in the last 10 bars (or all bars if the chart is shorter than 10 bars).Calculating Structure Max/Min Bar: structureMaxBar and structureMinBar use get_structure_highest_bar and get_structure_lowest_bar functions to find the Bar Index of the true Swing High/Low (not just the highest/lowest in the lookback but a complete Pivot point).Break Price: lowStructBreakPrice and highStructBreakPrice will be the closing price (close) or the Low/High price, depending on the isStructBodyCandleBreak setting.isStuctureLowBroken / isStructureHighBroken: These conditions check if the price has broken structureLow or structureHigh, considering the break price, previous bar prices, and the Bar Index of the structure's starting point.Choch/BoS Logic (Key Integration with MACD):if(isStuctureLowBroken and is_bearish_macd_cross): This is where MACD plays a role. If the price breaks structureLow (bearish signal) AND the MACD Histogram performs a Bearish Zero Cross (is_bearish_macd_cross is true), the indicator will consider it a Choch or BoS.If structureDirection == 1 (previously bullish) or 0 (undefined), it will be labeled "CHoCH" (changing structure direction to bearish).If structureDirection == 2 (already bearish), it will be labeled "BOS" (confirming bearish structure).line.new and label.new are used to draw the line and label.structureDirection will be updated to 1 (Bullish).structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow will be updated to define the new structure.else if(isStructureHighBroken and is_bullish_macd_cross): Similarly for bullish breaks. If the price breaks structureHigh (bullish signal) AND the MACD Histogram performs a Bullish Zero Cross (is_bullish_macd_cross is true), the indicator will consider it a Choch or BoS.If structureDirection == 2 (previously bearish) or 0 (undefined), it will be labeled "CHoCH" (changing structure direction to bullish).If structureDirection == 1 (already bullish), it will be labeled "BOS" (confirming bullish structure).line.new and label.new are used to draw the line and label.structureDirection will be updated to 2 (Bearish).structureHighStartIndex, structureLowStartIndex, structureHigh, structureLow will be updated to define the new structure.Deleting Old Lines: d.delete_line (if the library works) will be called to delete old lines and labels when their number exceeds structHistoryNbr.Updating Structure High/Low (else block): If no break occurs, but the current price is higher than structureHigh or lower than structureLow in the corresponding direction (e.g., still bullish and making a new high), structureHigh or structureLow will be updated to track the highest/lowest point of the current structure.Current Structure Display:If isCurrentStructToShow is true, the indicator draws structureHighLine and structureLowLine to show the boundaries of the current market structure.Fibonacci Display:If isFiboXToShow is true, the indicator calculates and draws various Fibonacci Levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) based on the structureHigh and structureLow of the current market structure.Alerts:alertcondition: Used to set up alerts in TradingView when BOS or CHOCH signals occur.plot(na):plot(na) is an important statement in indicators that do not plot data series directly on the chart (e.g., not plotting EMA or RSI lines) but instead draw objects (Line, Label, Box).Having plot(na) helps Pine Script recognize that this indicator has an output displayed on the chart, even if it's not a regularly plotted series.3. How to UseCopy all the code in the immersive block above.Go to TradingView and open your desired chart.Click on the "Pine Editor" menu at the bottom of the screen.Delete any existing code and paste the copied code in its place.Click the "Add to Chart" button.The indicator will be added to your chart automatically. You can click the gear icon next to the indicator's name on the chart to access the settings window and customize it to your needs.I hope this explanation helps you understand this indicator in detail. If anything is unclear, or you need further adjustments, please let me know.
GEEKSDOBYTE IFVG w/ Buy/Sell Signals1. Inputs & Configuration
Swing Lookback (swingLen)
Controls how many bars on each side are checked to mark a swing high or swing low (default = 5).
Booleans to Toggle Plotting
showSwings – Show small triangle markers at swing highs/lows
showFVG – Show Fair Value Gap zones
showSignals – Show “BUY”/“SELL” labels when price inverts an FVG
showDDLine – Show a yellow “DD” line at the close of the inversion bar
showCE – Show an orange dashed “CE” line at the midpoint of the gap area
2. Swing High / Low Detection
isSwingHigh = ta.pivothigh(high, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing high if its high is higher than the highs of the previous swingLen bars and the next swingLen bars.
isSwingLow = ta.pivotlow(low, swingLen, swingLen)
Marks a bar as a swing low if its low is lower than the lows of the previous and next swingLen bars.
Plotting
If showSwings is true, small red downward triangles appear above swing highs, and green upward triangles below swing lows.
3. Fair Value Gap (3‐Bar) Identification
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is defined here using a simple three‐bar logic (sometimes called an “inefficiency” in price):
Bullish FVG (bullFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the low of that bar (low ) is strictly greater than the current bar’s high (high).
In other words:
bullFVG = low > high
Bearish FVG (bearFVG)
Checks if, two bars ago, the high of that bar (high ) is strictly less than the current bar’s low (low).
In other words:
bearFVG = high < low
When either condition is true, it identifies a three‐bar “gap” or unfilled imbalance in the market.
4. Drawing FVG Zones
If showFVG is enabled, each time a bullish or bearish FVG is detected:
Bullish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent green box from the bar two bars ago (where the gap began) at low up to the current bar’s high.
Bearish FVG Zone
Draws a semi‐transparent red box from the bar two bars ago at high down to the current bar’s low.
These colored boxes visually highlight the “fair value imbalance” area on the chart.
5. Inversion (Fill) Detection & Entry Signals
An inversion is defined as the price “closing through” that previously drawn FVG:
Bullish Inversion (bullInversion)
Occurs when a bullish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bullFVG), and on the current bar the close is greater than that old bar-2 low:
bullInversion = bullFVG and close > low
Bearish Inversion (bearInversion)
Occurs when a bearish FVG was identified on bar-2 (bearFVG), and on the current bar the close is lower than that old bar-2 high:
bearInversion = bearFVG and close < high
When an inversion is true, the indicator optionally draws two lines and a label (depending on input toggles):
Draw “DD” Line (yellow, solid)
Plots a horizontal yellow line from the current bar’s close price extending five bars forward (bar_index + 5). This is often referred to as a “Demand/Daily Demand” line, marking where price inverted the gap.
Draw “CE” Line (orange, dashed)
Calculates the midpoint (ce) of the original FVG zone.
For a bullish inversion:
ce = (low + high) / 2
For a bearish inversion:
ce = (high + low) / 2
Plots a horizontal dashed orange line at that midpoint for five bars forward.
Plot Label (“BUY” / “SELL”)
If showSignals is true, a green “BUY” label is placed at the low of the current bar when a bullish inversion occurs.
Likewise, a red “SELL” label at the high of the current bar when a bearish inversion happens.
6. Putting It All Together
Swing Markers (Optional):
Visually confirm recent swing highs and swing lows with small triangles.
FVG Zones (Optional):
Highlight areas where price left a 3-bar gap (bullish in green, bearish in red).
Inversion Confirmation:
Wait for price to close beyond the old FVG boundary.
Once that happens, draw the yellow “DD” line at the close, the orange dashed “CE” line at the zone’s midpoint, and place a “BUY” or “SELL” label exactly on that bar.
User Controls:
All of the above elements can be individually toggled on/off (showSwings, showFVG, showSignals, showDDLine, showCE).
In Practice
A bullish FVG forms whenever a strong drop leaves a gap in liquidity (three bars ago low > current high).
When price later “fills” that gap by closing above the old low, the script signals a potential long entry (BUY), draws a demand line at the closing price, and marks the midpoint of that gap.
Conversely, a bearish FVG marks a potential short zone (three bars ago high < current low). When price closes below that gap’s high, it signals a SELL, with similar lines drawn.
By combining these elements, the indicator helps users visually identify inefficiencies (FVGs), confirm when price inverts/fills them, and place straightforward buy/sell labels alongside reference lines for trade management.
FvgCalculations█ OVERVIEW
This library provides the core calculation engine for identifying Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) across different timeframes and for processing their interaction with price. It includes functions to detect FVGs on both the current chart and higher timeframes, as well as to check for their full or partial mitigation.
█ CONCEPTS
The library's primary functions revolve around the concept of Fair Value Gaps and their lifecycle.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Identification
An FVG, or imbalance, represents a price range where buying or selling pressure was significant enough to cause a rapid price movement, leaving an "inefficiency" in the market. This library identifies FVGs based on three-bar patterns:
Bullish FVG: Forms when the low of the current bar (bar 3) is higher than the high of the bar two periods prior (bar 1). The FVG is the space between the high of bar 1 and the low of bar 3.
Bearish FVG: Forms when the high of the current bar (bar 3) is lower than the low of the bar two periods prior (bar 1). The FVG is the space between the low of bar 1 and the high of bar 3.
The library provides distinct functions for detecting FVGs on the current (Low Timeframe - LTF) and specified higher timeframes (Medium Timeframe - MTF / High Timeframe - HTF).
FVG Mitigation
Mitigation refers to price revisiting an FVG.
Full Mitigation: An FVG is considered fully mitigated when price completely closes the gap. For a bullish FVG, this occurs if the current low price moves below or touches the FVG's bottom. For a bearish FVG, it occurs if the current high price moves above or touches the FVG's top.
Partial Mitigation (Entry/Fill): An FVG is partially mitigated when price enters the FVG's range but does not fully close it. The library tracks the extent of this fill. For a bullish FVG, if the current low price enters the FVG from above, that low becomes the new effective top of the remaining FVG. For a bearish FVG, if the current high price enters the FVG from below, that high becomes the new effective bottom of the remaining FVG.
FVG Interaction
This refers to any instance where the current bar's price range (high to low) touches or crosses into the currently unfilled portion of an active (visible and not fully mitigated) FVG.
Multi-Timeframe Data Acquisition
To detect FVGs on higher timeframes, specific historical bar data (high, low, and time of bars at indices and relative to the higher timeframe's last completed bar) is required. The requestMultiTFBarData function is designed to fetch this data efficiently.
█ CALCULATIONS AND USE
The functions in this library are typically used in a sequence to manage FVGs:
1. Data Retrieval (for MTF/HTF FVGs):
Call requestMultiTFBarData() with the desired higher timeframe string (e.g., "60", "D").
This returns a tuple of htfHigh1, htfLow1, htfTime1, htfHigh3, htfLow3, htfTime3.
2. FVG Detection:
For LTF FVGs: Call detectFvg() on each confirmed bar. It uses high , low, low , and high along with barstate.isconfirmed.
For MTF/HTF FVGs: Call detectMultiTFFvg() using the data obtained from requestMultiTFBarData().
Both detection functions return an fvgObject (defined in FvgTypes) if an FVG is found, otherwise na. They also can classify FVGs as "Large Volume" (LV) if classifyLV is true and the FVG size (top - bottom) relative to the tfAtr (Average True Range of the respective timeframe) meets the lvAtrMultiplier.
3. FVG State Updates (on each new bar for existing FVGs):
First, check for overall price interaction using fvgInteractionCheck(). This function determines if the current bar's high/low has touched or entered the FVG's currentTop or currentBottom.
If interaction occurs and the FVG is not already mitigated:
Call checkMitigation() to determine if the FVG has been fully mitigated by the current bar's currentHigh and currentLow. If true, the FVG's isMitigated status is updated.
If not fully mitigated, call checkPartialMitigation() to see if the price has further entered the FVG. This function returns the newLevel to which the FVG has been filled (e.g., currentLow for a bullish FVG, currentHigh for bearish). This newLevel is then used to update the FVG's currentTop or currentBottom.
The calling script (e.g., fvgMain.c) is responsible for storing and managing the array of fvgObject instances and passing them to these update functions.
█ NOTES
Bar State for LTF Detection: The detectFvg() function relies on barstate.isconfirmed to ensure FVG detection is based on closed bars, preventing FVGs from being detected prematurely on the currently forming bar.
Higher Timeframe Data (lookahead): The requestMultiTFBarData() function uses lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_on. This means it can access historical data from the higher timeframe that corresponds to the current bar on the chart, even if the higher timeframe bar has not officially closed. This is standard for multi-timeframe analysis aiming to plot historical HTF data accurately on a lower timeframe chart.
Parameter Typing: Functions like detectMultiTFFvg and detectFvg infer the type for boolean (classifyLV) and numeric (lvAtrMultiplier) parameters passed from the main script, while explicitly typed series parameters (like htfHigh1, currentAtr) expect series data.
fvgObject Dependency: The FVG detection functions return fvgObject instances, and fvgInteractionCheck takes an fvgObject as a parameter. This UDT is defined in the FvgTypes library, making it a dependency for using FvgCalculations.
ATR for LV Classification: The tfAtr (for MTF/HTF) and currentAtr (for LTF) parameters are expected to be the Average True Range values for the respective timeframes. These are used, if classifyLV is enabled, to determine if an FVG's size qualifies it as a "Large Volume" FVG based on the lvAtrMultiplier.
MTF/HTF FVG Appearance Timing: When displaying FVGs from a higher timeframe (MTF/HTF) on a lower timeframe (LTF) chart, users might observe that the most recent MTF/HTF FVG appears one LTF bar later compared to its appearance on a native MTF/HTF chart. This is an expected behavior due to the detection mechanism in `detectMultiTFFvg`. This function uses historical bar data from the MTF/HTF (specifically, data equivalent to `HTF_bar ` and `HTF_bar `) to identify an FVG. Therefore, all three bars forming the FVG on the MTF/HTF must be fully closed and have shifted into these historical index positions relative to the `request.security` call from the LTF chart before the FVG can be detected and displayed on the LTF. This ensures that the MTF/HTF FVG is identified based on confirmed, closed bars from the higher timeframe.
█ EXPORTED FUNCTIONS
requestMultiTFBarData(timeframe)
Requests historical bar data for specific previous bars from a specified higher timeframe.
It fetches H , L , T (for the bar before last) and H , L , T (for the bar three periods prior)
from the requested timeframe.
This is typically used to identify FVG patterns on MTF/HTF.
Parameters:
timeframe (simple string) : The higher timeframe to request data from (e.g., "60" for 1-hour, "D" for Daily).
Returns: A tuple containing: .
- htfHigh1 (series float): High of the bar at index 1 (one bar before the last completed bar on timeframe).
- htfLow1 (series float): Low of the bar at index 1.
- htfTime1 (series int) : Time of the bar at index 1.
- htfHigh3 (series float): High of the bar at index 3 (three bars before the last completed bar on timeframe).
- htfLow3 (series float): Low of the bar at index 3.
- htfTime3 (series int) : Time of the bar at index 3.
detectMultiTFFvg(htfHigh1, htfLow1, htfTime1, htfHigh3, htfLow3, htfTime3, tfAtr, classifyLV, lvAtrMultiplier, tfType)
Detects a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on a higher timeframe (MTF/HTF) using pre-fetched bar data.
Parameters:
htfHigh1 (float) : High of the first relevant bar (typically high ) from the higher timeframe.
htfLow1 (float) : Low of the first relevant bar (typically low ) from the higher timeframe.
htfTime1 (int) : Time of the first relevant bar (typically time ) from the higher timeframe.
htfHigh3 (float) : High of the third relevant bar (typically high ) from the higher timeframe.
htfLow3 (float) : Low of the third relevant bar (typically low ) from the higher timeframe.
htfTime3 (int) : Time of the third relevant bar (typically time ) from the higher timeframe.
tfAtr (float) : ATR value for the higher timeframe, used for Large Volume (LV) FVG classification.
classifyLV (bool) : If true, FVGs will be assessed to see if they qualify as Large Volume.
lvAtrMultiplier (float) : The ATR multiplier used to define if an FVG is Large Volume.
tfType (series tfType enum from no1x/FvgTypes/1) : The timeframe type (e.g., types.tfType.MTF, types.tfType.HTF) of the FVG being detected.
Returns: An fvgObject instance if an FVG is detected, otherwise na.
detectFvg(classifyLV, lvAtrMultiplier, currentAtr)
Detects a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the current (LTF - Low Timeframe) chart.
Parameters:
classifyLV (bool) : If true, FVGs will be assessed to see if they qualify as Large Volume.
lvAtrMultiplier (float) : The ATR multiplier used to define if an FVG is Large Volume.
currentAtr (float) : ATR value for the current timeframe, used for LV FVG classification.
Returns: An fvgObject instance if an FVG is detected, otherwise na.
checkMitigation(isBullish, fvgTop, fvgBottom, currentHigh, currentLow)
Checks if an FVG has been fully mitigated by the current bar's price action.
Parameters:
isBullish (bool) : True if the FVG being checked is bullish, false if bearish.
fvgTop (float) : The top price level of the FVG.
fvgBottom (float) : The bottom price level of the FVG.
currentHigh (float) : The high price of the current bar.
currentLow (float) : The low price of the current bar.
Returns: True if the FVG is considered fully mitigated, false otherwise.
checkPartialMitigation(isBullish, currentBoxTop, currentBoxBottom, currentHigh, currentLow)
Checks for partial mitigation of an FVG by the current bar's price action.
It determines if the price has entered the FVG and returns the new fill level.
Parameters:
isBullish (bool) : True if the FVG being checked is bullish, false if bearish.
currentBoxTop (float) : The current top of the FVG box (this might have been adjusted by previous partial fills).
currentBoxBottom (float) : The current bottom of the FVG box (similarly, might be adjusted).
currentHigh (float) : The high price of the current bar.
currentLow (float) : The low price of the current bar.
Returns: The new price level to which the FVG has been filled (e.g., currentLow for a bullish FVG).
Returns na if no new partial fill occurred on this bar.
fvgInteractionCheck(fvg, highVal, lowVal)
Checks if the current bar's price interacts with the given FVG.
Interaction means the price touches or crosses into the FVG's
current (possibly partially filled) range.
Parameters:
fvg (fvgObject type from no1x/FvgTypes/1) : The FVG object to check.
Its isMitigated, isVisible, isBullish, currentTop, and currentBottom fields are used.
highVal (float) : The high price of the current bar.
lowVal (float) : The low price of the current bar.
Returns: True if price interacts with the FVG, false otherwise.
HH-HL-HH and LL-LH-LL Screener with AlertsAh, it seems you're referring to "Higher Low Higher High" in the context of **trading signals**! In trading, especially in technical analysis, these terms could be describing patterns or movements of price action that traders use to make decisions.
Let’s break down the terms you mentioned:
### 1. **Higher Low (HL)**:
- A **Higher Low** occurs when the price forms a low point that is higher than the previous low. It indicates upward momentum and suggests that the market may be in an uptrend or reversing to an uptrend.
For example:
- The price hits a low at $50, then rises to $60, then drops to $55. The **$55 low** is higher than the previous $50 low, indicating a potential uptrend.
### 2. **Higher High (HH)**:
- A **Higher High** happens when the price forms a high that is higher than the previous high. This is a strong bullish signal and is typical in an uptrend.
For example:
- The price reaches a peak of $70, drops to $60, then rises to $75. The **$75 high** is higher than the previous $70 high, indicating upward momentum.
### The Sequence: **Higher Low, Higher High (HL-HH)**
- This sequence (HL-HH) suggests that the market is in a **bullish trend**, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous low and each high being higher than the previous high. It’s a confirmation that the price is generally trending upwards, and traders might look for **buying opportunities**.
### 3. **Lower Low (LL)**:
- A **Lower Low** is when the price forms a low that is lower than the previous low, which is typically a sign of downward momentum. Traders may interpret this as a bearish signal.
For example:
- If the price drops from $60 to $55, then falls to $50, the **$50 low** is lower than the previous $55 low, indicating a potential downtrend.
### 4. **Lower High (LH)**:
- A **Lower High** occurs when the price forms a high that is lower than the previous high. This can indicate a weakening uptrend or the start of a downtrend.
For example:
- The price peaks at $70, then drops to $60, and later rises to $65. The **$65 high** is lower than the previous $70 high, suggesting bearish pressure.
### The Sequence: **Lower Low, Lower High (LL-LH)**
- The **LL-LH** pattern suggests a **bearish trend**, where the price forms lower lows and lower highs. This could signal to traders that the price is in a downward movement, and they might look for **selling opportunities**.
---
### Using This in Trading:
Traders often look for **higher highs** and **higher lows** in an uptrend (HL-HH), or **lower lows** and **lower highs** in a downtrend (LL-LH) to gauge market direction and make decisions.
- **Bullish Sign**: Higher Low, Higher High (HL-HH) = Look for buying signals or long positions.
- **Bearish Sign**: Lower Low, Lower High (LL-LH) = Look for selling signals or short positions.
Is this the type of trading signal you’re referring to? Let me know if you'd like to explore how to apply these signals in specific trading strategies!
V Pattern TrendDESCRIPTION:
The V Pattern Trend Indicator is designed to identify and highlight V-shaped reversal patterns in price action. It detects both bullish and bearish V formations using a five-candle structure, helping traders recognize potential trend reversal points. The indicator filters out insignificant patterns by using customizable settings based on ATR, percentage, or points, ensuring that only meaningful V patterns are displayed.
CALCULATION METHOD
The user can choose how the minimum length of a V pattern is determined. The available options are:
- ATR (Average True Range) – Filters V patterns based on ATR, making the detection adaptive to market volatility.
- Percentage (%) – Considers V patterns where the absolute price difference between the V low and V high is greater than a user-defined percentage of the V high.
- Points – Uses a fixed number of points to filter valid V patterns, making it useful for assets with consistent price ranges.
ATR SETTINGS
- ATR Length – Defines the number of periods for ATR calculation.
- ATR Multiplier – Determines the minimum V length as a multiple of ATR.
PERCENTAGE THRESHOLD
- Sets a minimum percentage difference between the V high and V low for a pattern to be considered valid.
POINTS THRESHOLD
- Defines the minimum price movement (in points) required for a V pattern to be considered significant.
PATTERN VISUALIZATION
- A bullish V pattern is plotted using two upward-sloping lines, with a filled green region to highlight the formation.
- A bearish V pattern is plotted using two downward-sloping lines, with a filled red region to indicate the reversal.
- The indicator dynamically updates and marks only the most recent valid patterns.
UNDERSTANDING V PATTERNS
A V pattern is a sharp reversal formation where price moves strongly in one direction and then rapidly reverses in the opposite direction, forming a "V" shape on the chart.
BULLISH V PATTERN
- A bullish V pattern is formed when the price makes three consecutive lower lows, followed by two consecutive higher lows.
- The pattern is confirmed when the highest high of the formation is greater than the previous highs within the structure.
- This pattern suggests a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
- The lowest point of the pattern represents the V low, which acts as a support level.
bull_five_candle_v = low > low and low > low and low > low and low > low
and high > math.max(high , high , high ) and high > math.max(high , high , high )
BEARISH V PATTERN
- A bearish V pattern is detected when the price makes three consecutive higher highs, followed by two consecutive lower highs.
- The pattern is confirmed when the lowest low of the formation is lower than the previous lows within the structure.
- This pattern signals a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
- The highest point of the pattern represents the V high, which acts as a resistance level.
bear_five_candle_v = high < high and high < high and high < high and high < high
and low < math.min(low , low , low ) and low < math.min(low , low , low )
HOW THIS IS UNIQUE
- Advanced Filtering Mechanism – Unlike basic reversal indicators, this tool provides customizable filtering based on ATR, percentage, or points, ensuring that only significant V patterns are displayed.
- Enhanced Visual Clarity – The indicator uses color-coded fills and structured plotting to make reversal patterns easy to recognize.
- Works Across Market Conditions – Adaptable to different market environments, filtering out weak or insignificant price fluctuations.
- Multi-Timeframe Usability – Can be applied across different timeframes and asset classes, making it useful for both intraday and swing trading.
HOW TRADERS CAN USE THIS INDICATOR
- Identify potential trend reversals early based on structured price action.
- Filter out weak or insignificant reversals to focus only on strong V formations.
- Use the V pattern’s highs and lows as key support and resistance zones for trade entries and exits.
- Combine with other indicators like moving averages, trendlines, or momentum oscillators for confirmation.
ICT Master Suite [Trading IQ]Hello Traders!
We’re excited to introduce the ICT Master Suite by TradingIQ, a new tool designed to bring together several ICT concepts and strategies in one place.
The Purpose Behind the ICT Master Suite
There are a few challenges traders often face when using ICT-related indicators:
Many available indicators focus on one or two ICT methods, which can limit traders who apply a broader range of ICT related techniques on their charts.
There aren't many indicators for ICT strategy models, and we couldn't find ICT indicators that allow for testing the strategy models and setting alerts.
Many ICT related concepts exist in the public domain as indicators, not strategies! This makes it difficult to verify that the ICT concept has some utility in the market you're trading and if it's worth trading - it's difficult to know if it's working!
Some users might not have enough chart space to apply numerous ICT related indicators, which can be restrictive for those wanting to use multiple ICT techniques simultaneously.
The ICT Master Suite is designed to offer a comprehensive option for traders who want to apply a variety of ICT methods. By combining several ICT techniques and strategy models into one indicator, it helps users maximize their chart space while accessing multiple tools in a single slot.
Additionally, the ICT Master Suite was developed as a strategy . This means users can backtest various ICT strategy models - including deep backtesting. A primary goal of this indicator is to let traders decide for themselves what markets to trade ICT concepts in and give them the capability to figure out if the strategy models are worth trading!
What Makes the ICT Master Suite Different
There are many ICT-related indicators available on TradingView, each offering valuable insights. What the ICT Master Suite aims to do is bring together a wider selection of these techniques into one tool. This includes both key ICT methods and strategy models, allowing traders to test and activate strategies all within one indicator.
Features
The ICT Master Suite offers:
Multiple ICT strategy models, including the 2022 Strategy Model and Unicorn Model, which can be built, tested, and used for live trading.
Calculation and display of key price areas like Breaker Blocks, Rejection Blocks, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Equal Levels, and more.
The ability to set alerts based on these ICT strategies and key price areas.
A comprehensive, yet practical, all-inclusive ICT indicator for traders.
Customizable Timeframe - Calculate ICT concepts on off-chart timeframes
Unicorn Strategy Model
2022 Strategy Model
Liquidity Raid Strategy Model
OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) Strategy Model
Silver Bullet Strategy Model
Order blocks
Breaker blocks
Rejection blocks
FVG
Strong highs and lows
Displacements
Liquidity sweeps
Power of 3
ICT Macros
HTF previous bar high and low
Break of Structure indications
Market Structure Shift indications
Equal highs and lows
Swings highs and swing lows
Fibonacci TPs and SLs
Swing level TPs and SLs
Previous day high and low TPs and SLs
And much more! An ongoing project!
How To Use
Many traders will already be familiar with the ICT related concepts listed above, and will find using the ICT Master Suite quite intuitive!
Despite this, let's go over the features of the tool in-depth and how to use the tool!
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite with almost all techniques activated.
ICT 2022 Strategy Model
The ICT Master suite provides the ability to test, set alerts for, and live trade the ICT 2022 Strategy Model.
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the 2022 ICT model.
A liquidity sweep occurs prior to an upside breakout. During the upside breakout the model looks for the FVG that is nearest 50% of the setup range. A limit order is placed at this FVG for entry.
The target entry percentage for the range is customizable in the settings. For instance, you can select to enter at an FVG nearest 33% of the range, 20%, 66%, etc.
The profit target for the model generally uses the highest high of the range (100%) for longs and the lowest low of the range (100%) for shorts. Stop losses are generally set at 0% of the range.
The image above shows the short model in action!
Whether you decide to follow the 2022 model diligently or not, you can still set alerts when the entry condition is met.
ICT Unicorn Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the ICT Unicorn model.
A lower swing low followed by a higher swing high precedes the overlap of an FVG and breaker block formed during the sequence.
During the upside breakout the model looks for an FVG and breaker block that formed during the sequence and overlap each other. A limit order is placed at the nearest overlap point to current price.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the swing high and the stop loss at the swing low. However, both the profit target and stop loss for this model are configurable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Longs, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing Low
Bottom of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the short version of the Unicorn Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Shorts, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing High
Top of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the profit target and stop loss options in the settings for the Unicorn Model.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the OTE model.
Price retraces either 0.62, 0.705, or 0.79 of an upside move and a trade is entered.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the -0.5 fib level. This is also adjustable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
The image above shows the short version of the OTE Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
Liquidity Raid Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Liquidity Raid Modell.
The user must define the session in the settings (for this example it is 13:30-16:00 NY time).
During the session, the indicator will calculate the session high and session low. Following a “raid” of either the session high or session low (after the session has completed) the script will look for an entry at a recently formed breaker block.
If the session high is raided the script will look for short entries at a bearish breaker block. If the session low is raided the script will look for long entries at a bullish breaker block.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Swing high
User inputted Lib level
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Swing low
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block bottom
The image above shows the short version of the Liquidity Raid Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Swing Low
User inputted Lib level
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Swing High
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block top
Silver Bullet Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Silver Bullet Modell.
During the session, the indicator will determine the higher timeframe bias. If the higher timeframe bias is bullish the strategy will look to enter long at an FVG that forms during the session. If the higher timeframe bias is bearish the indicator will look to enter short at an FVG that forms during the session.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing High Above Entry
Previous Day High
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing Low
Previous Day Low
The image above shows the short version of the Silver Bullet Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing Low Below Entry
Previous Day Low
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing High
Previous Day High
Order blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the order blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Breaker Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the breaker blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Rejection Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling rejection blocks.
The color of the rejection blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Fair Value Gaps
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling fair value gaps.
The color of the fair value gaps, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Additionally, you can select to only show fair values gaps that form after a liquidity sweep. Doing so reduces "noisy" FVGs and focuses on identifying FVGs that form after a significant trading event.
The image above shows the feature enabled. A fair value gap that occurred after a liquidity sweep is shown.
Market Structure
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating market structure shots and break of structures!
The color of MSS and BoS, and whether they should be displayed, are configurable in the settings.
Displacements
The images above show indicator identifying and labeling displacements.
The color of the displacements, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Equal Price Points
The image above shows the indicator identifying and labeling equal highs and equal lows.
The color of the equal levels, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Previous Custom TF High/Low
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating the high and low price for a user-defined timeframe. In this case the previous day’s high and low are calculated.
To illustrate the customizable timeframe function, the image above shows the indicator calculating the previous 4 hour high and low.
Liquidity Sweeps
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to an upside breakout.
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to a downside breakout.
The color and aggressiveness of liquidity sweep identification are adjustable in the settings!
Power Of Three
The image above shows the indicator calculating Po3 for two user-defined higher timeframes!
Macros
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite identifying the ICT macros!
ICT Macros are only displayable on the 5 minute timeframe or less.
Strategy Performance Table
In addition to a full-fledged TradingView backtest for any of the ICT strategy models the indicator offers, a quick-and-easy strategy table exists for the indicator!
The image above shows the strategy performance table in action.
Keep in mind that, because the ICT Master Suite is a strategy script, you can perform fully automatic backtests, deep backtests, easily add commission and portfolio balance and look at pertinent metrics for the ICT strategies you are testing!
Lite Mode
Traders who want the cleanest chart possible can toggle on “Lite Mode”!
In Lite Mode, any neon or “glow” like effects are removed and key levels are marked as strict border boxes. You can also select to remove box borders if that’s what you prefer!
Settings Used For Backtest
For the displayed backtest, a starting balance of $1000 USD was used. A commission of 0.02%, slippage of 2 ticks, a verify price for limit orders of 2 ticks, and 5% of capital investment per order.
A commission of 0.02% was used due to the backtested asset being a perpetual future contract for a crypto currency. The highest commission (lowest-tier VIP) for maker orders on many exchanges is 0.02%. All entered positions take place as maker orders and so do profit target exits. Stop orders exist as stop-market orders.
A slippage of 2 ticks was used to simulate more realistic stop-market orders. A verify limit order settings of 2 ticks was also used. Even though BTCUSDT.P on Binance is liquid, we just want the backtest to be on the safe side. Additionally, the backtest traded 100+ trades over the period. The higher the sample size the better; however, this example test can serve as a starting point for traders interested in ICT concepts.
Community Assistance And Feedback
Given the complexity and idiosyncratic applications of ICT concepts amongst its proponents, the ICT Master Suite’s built-in strategies and level identification methods might not align with everyone's interpretation.
That said, the best we can do is precisely define ICT strategy rules and concepts to a repeatable process, test, and apply them! Whether or not an ICT strategy is trading precisely how you would trade it, seeing the model in action, taking trades, and with performance statistics is immensely helpful in assessing predictive utility.
If you think we missed something, you notice a bug, have an idea for strategy model improvement, please let us know! The ICT Master Suite is an ongoing project that will, ideally, be shaped by the community.
A big thank you to the @PineCoders for their Time Library!
Thank you!
Custom Candlestick Pattern IndicatorCustom Candlestick Pattern Indicator - Buy Signal Based on Green Candles Breaking Previous Lows
Overview:
This custom candlestick pattern indicator is designed to highlight potential buy opportunities based on a simple yet powerful candlestick pattern. The indicator identifies green candles that break below the low of the previous candle. This combination may signal a potential market reversal or a bullish continuation after a pullback, depending on the market context. Traders can use this indicator to detect areas where prices may be bouncing from recent lows, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Pattern Explanation:
The strategy underlying this indicator is a two-part condition that must be met before a buy signal is generated:
Green Candle: A green candle forms when the closing price of the current candle is higher than its opening price. This visually represents bullish momentum as buyers have taken control, closing the price higher than where it opened.
Breaking the Previous Low: The low of the current candle must be lower than the low of the previous candle. This suggests that, despite initial bearish pressure during the candle formation (which drove the price below the previous candle's low), buyers stepped in to push the price higher by the candle’s close. This pattern can signify a potential reversal or bullish continuation, as it demonstrates that buyers are overcoming initial selling pressure.
When the Pattern Occurs:
This pattern is particularly interesting to traders who look for potential reversal signals after a brief decline in price.
It may also work well in markets where pullbacks are common, as this pattern could mark the end of a retracement and the resumption of the bullish trend.
How the Indicator Works:
Green Candle: The indicator first identifies a green candle, where the close of the candle is greater than its open (close > open). This signals that the current period closed higher than it opened, which is generally a bullish sign.
Breaking Previous Low: The indicator checks if the current candle's low is below the low of the previous candle (low < low ). If this condition is met, it means the price dropped below the previous candle's low but was still able to close higher (green candle), signaling a potential reversal or buying opportunity.
Buy Signal: If both conditions are true (green candle + breaking previous low), the indicator plots a buy signal below the candle in the form of an upward-facing triangle labeled "Buy" in green. This serves as a visual cue for traders to consider entering a buy position.
Optional Previous Low Plot: For added reference, the indicator plots the previous candle's low as a red step-line on the chart. This helps traders visualize when the price has dipped below the prior candle's low, making it easier to spot instances where the pattern is forming.
How to Use:
This indicator can be used across multiple timeframes, whether you’re trading short-term intraday patterns or longer-term swing trades.
It works well in markets that experience pullbacks or minor retracements, as the pattern it identifies suggests a rejection of lower prices followed by a push higher.
Traders can combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools (such as moving averages, support/resistance levels, or momentum oscillators) to strengthen the buy signals and add more context to the trading decision.
Example Scenarios:
Reversal Signal: Suppose a market has been in a minor downtrend, and suddenly a green candle forms after a low that breaks the previous day’s low. This indicator would generate a buy signal, suggesting the downtrend may be losing strength and that buyers are taking control. This could be an early indication of a reversal.
Bullish Continuation After Pullback: Imagine a market in a steady uptrend experiences a temporary pullback. The price breaks the previous candle’s low, but the current candle closes higher (green candle). This buy signal could indicate that the pullback is over, and the uptrend is likely to continue.
Advantages:
Simplicity: This indicator relies on basic price action (green candles and lows) without requiring complicated indicators or oscillators, making it easy to understand and use.
Visual Alerts: The plotted buy signals and previous lows provide a clear, visual representation on the chart, simplifying decision-making for traders.
Versatility: It can be applied across different timeframes and asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.), making it a versatile tool for all kinds of traders.
Limitations:
As with any single indicator or pattern, this should not be used in isolation. It is important to incorporate broader market context, support/resistance levels, and other forms of analysis to avoid false signals.
The pattern tends to be more effective when there’s sufficient market liquidity and may perform better in trending or volatile markets compared to sideways or flat markets.
Alligator + Fractals + Divergent & Squat Bars + Signal AlertsThe indicator includes Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals, Divergent Bars, Market Facilitation Index, Highest and Lowest Bars, maximum and minimum peak of Awesome Oscillator, and signal alerts based on Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy.
MFI and Awesome Oscillator
According to the Market Facilitation Index Oscillator, the Squat bar is colored blue, all other bars are colored according to the Awesome Oscillator color, except for the Fake bars, colored with a lighter AO color. In the indicator settings, you can enable the display of "Green" bars (in the "Green Bars > Show" field). In the indicator style settings, you can disable changing the color of bars in accordance with the AO color (in the "AO bars" field), including changing the color for Fake bars (in the "Fake AO bars" field).
MFI is calculated using the formula: (high - low) / volume.
A Squat bar means that, compared to the previous bar, its MFI has decreased and at the same time its volume has increased, i.e. MFI < previous bar and volume > previous bar. A sign of a possible price reversal, so this is a particularly important signal.
A Fake bar is the opposite of a Squat bar and means that, compared to the previous bar, its MFI has increased and at the same time its volume has decreased, i.e. MFI > previous bar and volume < previous bar.
A "Green" bar means that, compared to the previous bar, its MFI has increased and at the same time its volume has increased, i.e. MFI > previous bar and volume > previous bar. A sign of trend continuation. But a more significant trend confirmation or warning of a possible reversal is the Awesome Oscillator, which measures market momentum by calculating the difference between the 5 Period and 34 Period Simple Moving Averages (SMA 5 - SMA 34) based on the midpoints of the bars (hl2). Therefore, by default, the "Green" bars and their opposite "Fade" bars are colored according to the color of the Awesome Oscillator.
According to Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy, using the Awesome Oscillator, the third Elliott wave is determined by the maximum peak of AO in the range from 100 to 140 bars. The presence of divergence between the maximum AO peak and the subsequent lower AO peak in this interval also warns of a possible correction, especially if the AO crosses the zero line between these AO peaks. Therefore, the chart additionally displays the prices of the highest and lowest bars, as well as the maximum or minimum peak of AO in the interval of 140 bars from the last bar. In the indicator settings, you can hide labels, lines, change the number of bars and any parameters for the AO indicator - method (SMA, Smoothed SMA, EMA and others), length, source (open, high, low, close, hl2 and others).
Bullish Divergent bar
🟢 A buy signal (Long) is a Bullish Divergent bar with a green circle displayed above it if such a bar simultaneously meets all of the following conditions:
The high of the bar is below all lines of the Alligator indicator.
The closing price of the bar is above its middle, i.e. close > (high + low) / 2.
The low of the bar is below the low of 2 previous bars or below the low of one previous bar, and the low of the second previous bar is a lower fractal (▼). By default, Divergent bars are not displayed, the low of which is lower than the low of only one previous bar and the low of the 2nd previous bar is not a lower fractal (▼), but you can enable the display of any Divergent bars in the indicator settings (by setting the value "no" in the " field Divergent Bars > Filtration").
The following conditions strengthen the Bullish Divergent bar signal:
The opening price of the bar, as well as the closing price, is higher than its middle, i.e. Open > (high + low) / 2.
The high of the bar is below all lines of the open Alligator indicator, i.e. the green line (Lips) is below the red line (Teeth) and the red line is below the blue line (Jaw). In this case, the color of the circle above the Bullish Divergent bar is dark green.
Squat Divergent bar.
The bar following the Bullish Divergent bar corresponds to the green color of the Awesome Oscillator.
Divergence on Awesome Oscillator.
Formation of the lower fractal (▼), in which the low of the Divergent bar is the peak of the fractal.
Bearish Divergent bar
🔴 A signal to sell (Short) is a Bearish Divergent bar under which a red circle is displayed if such a bar simultaneously meets all the following conditions:
The low of the bar is above all lines of the Alligator indicator.
The closing price of the bar is below its middle, i.e. close < (high + low) / 2.
The high of the bar is higher than the high of 2 previous bars or higher than the high of one previous bar, and the high of the second previous bar is an upper fractal (▲). By default, Divergent bars are not displayed, the high of which is higher than the high of only one previous bar and the high of the 2nd previous bar is not an upper fractal (▲), but you can enable the display of any Divergent bars in the indicator settings (by setting the value "no" in the " field Divergent Bars > Filtration").
The following conditions strengthen the Bearish Divergent bar signal:
The opening price of the bar, as well as the closing price, is below its middle, i.e. open < (high + low) / 2.
The low of the bar is above all lines of the open Alligator indicator, i.e. the green line (Lips) is above the red line (Teeth) and the red line is above the blue line (Jaw). In this case, the color of the circle under the Bearish Divergent bar is dark red.
Squat Divergent bar.
The bar following the Bearish Divergent bar corresponds to the red color of the Awesome Oscillator.
Divergence on Awesome Oscillator.
Formation of the upper fractal (▲), in which the high of the Divergent bar is the peak of the fractal.
Alligator lines crossing
Bars crossing the green line (Lips) of the open Alligator indicator is the first warning of a possible correction (price rollback) if one of the following conditions is met:
If the bar closed below the Lips line, which is above the Teeth line, and the Teeth line is above the Jaw line, while the closing price of the previous bar is above the Lips line.
If the bar closed above the Lips line, which is below the Teeth line, and the Teeth line is below the Jaw line, while the closing price of the previous bar is below the Lips line.
The intersection of all open Alligator lines by bars is a sign of a deep correction and a warning of a possible trend change.
Frequent intersection of Alligator lines with each other is a sign of a sideways trend (flat).
Signal Alerts
To receive notifications about signals when creating an alert, you must select the condition "Any alert() function is call", in which case notifications will arrive in the following format:
D — timeframe, for example: D, 4H, 15m.
🟢 BDB⎾ - a signal for a Bullish Divergent bar to buy (Long), triggers once after the bar closes and includes additional signals:
/// — if Alligator is open.
⏉ — if the opening price of the bar, as well as the closing price, is above its middle.
+ Squat 🔷 - Squat bar or + Green ↑ - "Green" bar or + Fake ↓ - Fake bar.
+ AO 🟩 - if after the Divergent bar closes, the oscillator color change for the next bar corresponds the green color of the Awesome Oscillator. ┴/┬ — AO above/below the zero line. ∇ — if there is divergence on AO in the interval of 140 bars from the last bar.
🔴 BDB⎿ - a signal for a Bearish Divergent bar to sell (Short), triggers once after the bar closes and includes additional signals:
/// — if Alligator is open.
⏊ — if the opening price of the bar, as well as the closing price, is below its middle.
+ Squat 🔷 - Squat bar or + Green ↑ - "Green" bar or + Fake ↓ - Fake bar.
+ AO 🟥 - if after the Divergent bar closes, the oscillator color change for the next bar corresponds to the red color of the Awesome Oscillator. ┴/┬ — AO above/below the zero line. ∇ — if there is divergence on AO in the interval of 140 bars from the last bar.
Alert for bars crossing the green line (Lips) of the open Alligator indicator (can be disabled in the indicator settings in the "Alligator > Enable crossing lips alerts" field):
🔴 Crossing Lips ↓ - if the bar closed below the Lips line, which is above than the other lines, while the closing price of the previous bar is above the Lips line.
🟢 Crossing Lips ↑ - if the bar closed above the Lips line, which is below the other lines, while the closing price of the previous bar is below the Lips line.
The fractal signal is triggered after the second bar closes, completing the formation of the fractal, if alerts about fractals are enabled in the indicator settings (the "Fractals > Enable alerts" field):
🟢 Fractal ▲ - upper (Bearish) fractal.
🔴 Fractal ▼ — lower (Bullish) fractal.
⚪️ Fractal ▲/▼ - both upper and lower fractal.
↳ (H=high - L=low) = difference.
If you redirect notifications to a webhook URL, for example, to a Telegram bot, then you need to set the notification template for the webhook in the indicator settings in the "Webhook > Message" field (contains a tooltip with an example), in which you just need to specify the text {{message}}, which will be automatically replaced with the alert text with a ticker and a link to TradingView.
‼️ A signal is not a call to action, but only a reason to analyze the chart to make a decision based on the rules of your strategy.
***
Индикатор включает в себя Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals, Дивергентные бары, Market Facilitation Index, самый высокий и самый низкий бары, максимальный и минимальный пик Awesome Oscillator, а также оповещения о сигналах на основе стратегии Profitunity Билла Вильямса.
MFI и Awesome Oscillator
В соответствии с осциллятором Market Facilitation Index Приседающий бар окрашен в синий цвет, все остальные бары окрашены в соответствии с цветом Awesome Oscillator, кроме Фальшивых баров, которые окрашены более светлым цветом AO. В настройках индикатора вы можете включить отображение "Зеленых" баров (в поле "Green Bars > Show"). В настройках стиля индикатора вы можете выключить изменение цвета баров в соответствии с цветом AO (в поле "AO bars"), в том числе изменить цвет для Фальшивых баров (в поле "Fake AO bars").
MFI рассчитывается по формуле: (high - low) / volume.
Приседающий бар означает, что по сравнению с предыдущим баром его MFI снизился и в тоже время вырос его объем, т.е. MFI < предыдущего бара и объем > предыдущего бара. Признак возможного разворота цены, поэтому это особенно важный сигнал.
Фальшивый бар является противоположностью Приседающему бару и означает, что по сравнению с предыдущим баром его MFI увеличился и в тоже время снизился его объем, т.е. MFI > предыдущего бара и объем < предыдущего бара.
"Зеленый" бар означает, что по сравнению с предыдущим баром его MFI увеличился и в тоже время вырос его объем, т.е. MFI > предыдущего бара и объем > предыдущего бара. Признак продолжения тренда. Но более значимым подтверждением тренда или предупреждением о возможном развороте является Awesome Oscillator, который измеряет движущую силу рынка путем вычисления разницы между 5 Периодной и 34 Периодной Простыми Скользящими Средними (SMA 5 - SMA 34) по средним точкам баров (hl2). Поэтому по умолчанию "Зеленые" бары и противоположные им "Увядающие" бары окрашены в соответствии с цветом Awesome Oscillator.
По стратегии Profitunity Билла Вильямса с помощью осциллятора Awesome Oscillator определяется третья волна Эллиота по максимальному пику AO в интервале от 100 до 140 баров. Наличие дивергенции между максимальным пиком AO и следующим за ним более низким пиком AO в этом интервале также предупреждает о возможной коррекции, особенно если AO переходит через нулевую линию между этими пиками AO. Поэтому на графике дополнительно отображаются цены самого высокого и самого низкого баров, а также максимальный или минимальный пик АО в интервале 140 баров от последнего бара. В настройках индикатора вы можете скрыть метки, линии, изменить количество баров и любые параметры для индикатора AO – метод (SMA, Smoothed SMA, EMA и другие), длину, источник (open, high, low, close, hl2 и другие).
Бычий Дивергентный бар
🟢 Сигналом на покупку (Long) является Бычий Дивергентный бар над которым отображается зеленый круг, если такой бар соответствует одновременно всем следующим условиям:
Максимум бара ниже всех линий индикатора Alligator.
Цена закрытия бара выше его середины, т.е. close > (high + low) / 2.
Минимум бара ниже минимума 2-х предыдущих баров или ниже минимума одного предыдущего бара, а минимум второго предыдущего бара является нижним фракталом (▼). По умолчанию не отображаются Дивергентные бары, минимум которых ниже минимума только одного предыдущего бара и минимум 2-го предыдущего бара не является нижним фракталом (▼), но вы можете включить отображение любых Дивергентных баров в настройках индикатора (установив значение "no" в поле "Divergent Bars > Filtration").
Усилением сигнала Бычьего Дивергентного бара являются следующие условия:
Цена открытия бара, как и цена закрытия, выше его середины, т.е. Open > (high + low) / 2.
Максимум бара ниже всех линий открытого индикатора Alligator, т.е. зеленая линия (Lips) ниже красной линии (Teeth) и красная линия ниже синей линии (Jaw). В этом случае цвет круга над Бычьим Дивергентным баром окрашен в темно-зеленый цвет.
Приседающий Дивергентный бар.
Бар, следующий за Бычьим Дивергентным баром, соответствует зеленому цвету Awesome Oscillator.
Дивергенция на Awesome Oscillator.
Образование нижнего фрактала (▼), у которого минимум Дивергентного бара является пиком фрактала.
Медвежий Дивергентный бар
🔴 Сигналом на продажу (Short) является Медвежий Дивергентный бар под которым отображается красный круг, если такой бар соответствует одновременно всем следующим условиям:
Минимум бара выше всех линий индикатора Alligator.
Цена закрытия бара ниже его середины, т.е. close < (high + low) / 2.
Максимум бара выше маскимума 2-х предыдущих баров или выше максимума одного предыдущего бара, а максимум второго предыдущего бара является верхним фракталом (▲). По умолчанию не отображаются Дивергентные бары, максимум которых выше максимума только одного предыдущего бара и максимум 2-го предыдущего бара не является верхним фракталом (▲), но вы можете включить отображение любых Дивергентных баров в настройках индикатора (установив значение "no" в поле "Divergent Bars > Filtration").
Усилением сигнала Медвежьего Дивергентного бара являются следующие условия:
Цена открытия бара, как и цена закрытия, ниже его середины, т.е. open < (high + low) / 2.
Минимум бара выше всех линий открытого индикатора Alligator, т.е. зеленая линия (Lips) выше красной линии (Teeth) и красная линия выше синей линии (Jaw). В этом случае цвет круга под Медвежьим Дивергентным Баром окрашен в темно-красный цвет.
Приседающий Дивергентный бар.
Бар, следующий за Медвежьим Дивергентным баром, соответствует красному цвету Awesome Oscillator.
Дивергенция на Awesome Oscillator.
Образование верхнего фрактала (▲), у которого максимум Дивергентного бара является пиком фрактала.
Пересечение линий Alligator
Пересечение барами зеленой линии (Lips) открытого индикатора Alligator является первым предупреждением о возможной коррекции (откате цены) при выполнении одного из следующих условий:
Если бар закрылся ниже линии Lips, которая выше линии Teeth, а линия Teeth выше линии Jaw, при этом цена закрытия предыдущего бара находится выше линии Lips.
Если бар закрылся выше линии Lips, которая ниже линии Teeth, а линия Teeth ниже линии Jaw, при этом цена закрытия предыдущего бара находится ниже линии Lips.
Пересечение барами всех линий открытого Alligator является признаком глубокой коррекции и предупреждением о возможной смене тренда.
Частое пересечение линий Alligator между собой является признаком бокового тренда (флэт).
Оповещения о сигналах
Для получения уведомлений о сигналах при создании оповещения необходимо выбрать условие "При любом вызове функции alert()", в таком случае уведомления будут приходить в следующем формате:
D — таймфрейм, например: D, 4H, 15m.
🟢 BDB⎾ — сигнал Бычьего Дивергентного бара на покупку (Long), срабатывает один раз после закрытия бара и включает дополнительные сигналы:
/// — если Alligator открыт.
⏉ — если цена открытия бара, как и цена закрытия, выше его середины.
+ Squat 🔷 — Приседающий бар или + Green ↑ — "Зеленый" бар или + Fake ↓ — Фальшивый бар.
+ AO 🟩 — если после закрытия Дивергентного бара, изменение цвета осциллятора для следующего бара соответствует зеленому цвету Awesome Oscillator. ┴/┬ — AO выше/ниже нулевой линии. ∇ — если есть дивергенция на AO в интервале 140 баров от последнего бара.
🔴 BDB⎿ — сигнал Медвежьего Дивергентного бара на продажу (Short), срабатывает один раз после закрытия бара и включает дополнительные сигналы:
/// — если Alligator открыт.
⏊ — если цена открытия бара, как и цена закрытия, ниже его середины.
+ Squat 🔷 — Приседающий бар или + Green ↑ — "Зеленый" бар или + Fake ↓ — Фальшивый бар.
+ AO 🟥 — если после закрытия Дивергентного бара, изменение цвета осциллятора для следующего бара соответствует красному цвету Awesome Oscillator. ┴/┬ — AO выше/ниже нулевой линии. ∇ — если есть дивергенция на AO в интервале 140 баров от последнего бара.
Сигнал пересечения барами зеленой линии (Lips) открытого индикатора Alligator (можно отключить в настройках индикатора в поле "Alligator > Enable crossing lips alerts"):
🔴 Crossing Lips ↓ — если бар закрылся ниже линии Lips, которая выше остальных линий, при этом цена закрытия предыдущего бара находится выше линии Lips.
🟢 Crossing Lips ↑ — если бар закрылся выше линии Lips, которая ниже остальных линий, при этом цена закрытия предыдущего бара находится ниже линии Lips.
Сигнал фрактала срабатывает после закрытия второго бара, завершающего формирование фрактала, если оповещения о фракталах включены в настройках индикатора (поле "Fractals > Enable alerts"):
🟢 Fractal ▲ — верхний (Медвежий) фрактал.
🔴 Fractal ▼ — нижний (Бычий) фрактал.
⚪️ Fractal ▲/▼ — одновременно верхний и нижний фрактал.
↳ (H=high - L=low) = разница.
Если вы перенаправляете оповещения на URL вебхука, например, в бота Telegram, то вам необходимо установить шаблон оповещения для вебхука в настройках индикатора в поле "Webhook > Message" (содержит подсказку с примером), в котором в качестве текста сообщения достаточно указать текст {{message}}, который будет автоматически заменен на текст оповещения с тикером и ссылкой на TradingView.
‼️ Сигнал — это не призыв к действию, а лишь повод проанализировать график для принятия решения на основе правил вашей стратегии.
YD_Divergence_RSI+CMFThe ‘YD_Divergence_RSI+CMF’ indicator can find divergence using RSI (Relative Strength Index) and CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) indicators.
📌 Key functions
1. Search pivot high and pivot low points in a certain length of price.
2. Connect pivot high to pivot high , pivot low to pivot low , forming two standards for divergence in result.
The marker then plots only the higher high, lower low lines.
(higher low and lower high in prices are referred to hidden divergence, which are not considered in this indicator)
3. Compare the two standards with RSI and CMF indicators, send an alert if there is a divergence. As a result, the indicator will find four combination of divergence.
A. Higher high price / Lower RSI (Bearish RSI Divergence)
B. Lower low price / Higher RSI (Bullish RSI Divergence)
C. Higher high price / Lower CMF (Bearish CMF Divergence)
D. Lower low price / Higher CMF (Bullish CMF Divergence)
📌 Details
Developing the indicators, we put a lot of effort in making a customizable and user-friendly interface.
#1. Pivot Setting
Users can set the length to find the pivot high / pivot low in ‘Pivot Settings – Pivot Length.’
Increased pivot Length takes more candles to interpret the chart but reduce false signals since the it uses only the most certain pivot high / pivot low values. Obviously, decreased pivot length will act the opposite.
Users can choose whether to use ‘High/Low’ or ‘Close’ in ‘Pivot Reference’ to set the swing point of prices.
Users can also choose whether to display the pivot high / pivot low marker on the chart.
#2 RSI & CMF Settings
Users can adjust the length of RSI & CMF separately. (The default values are set to 14 and 20 each.)
#3 Label Setting
Users can adjust the text displayed on the chart label. (The default values is set to ‘Bullish / Bearish’, ‘RSI/CMF’, ‘Divergence’.)
Users can reduce the length of text label or simply turn the label off. Just click the ‘Bull/Bear’ or ‘None’ button. ‘Divergence’ works the same.
Users can decide whether to display the ‘Divergence Line and Label’, set custom settings for the label and line. (color, thickness, style, etc)
📌 Alert
Alert are provided as a combination of the chart's symbol and the set label text. For example,
‘BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P, Bullish RSI Divergence’
====================================================
"YD_Divergence_RSI+CMF" 지표 는 RSI와 CMF 지표를 이용해서 Divergence 를 찾아낼 수 있습니다.
📌 주요 기능
1. 정해진 가격 움직임 안에서 pivot high와 pivot low 포인트 를 찾아냅니다.
2. Pivot high로만 이어진 라인과, Pivot low로만 이어진 두 라인을 작도한 뒤 divergence의 기준으로 삼습니다.
이 지표에서는 normal divergence만 사용하기 때문에 차트에 higher high와 lower low만 표기 합니다.
(higher low와 lower high는 hidden divergence로 정의되며, 이 지표에서는 다루지 않습니다.
3. 두 기준선과 RSI, CMF 지표를 각각 비교하고, 결과적으로 4개의 조합을 구할 수 있습니다.
A. Higher high price / Lower RSI (Bearish RSI Divergence)
B. Lower low price / Higher RSI (Bullish RSI Divergence)
C. Higher high price / Lower CMF (Bearish CMF Divergence)
D. Lower low price / Higher CMF (Bullish CMF Divergence)
📌 세부 사항
지표를 개발하며 사용자들이 원하는 방향으로 지표를 설정할 수 있게 작업에 많은 공을 들였습니다. 굉장히 다양한 옵션을 선택할 수 있으며, 원하는 방식으로 지표를 사용할 수 있습니다.
#1 Pivot Setting
Pivot setting에서는 Pivot Length를 변경할 수 있습니다.
Pivot Length를 늘릴 경우, 보다 확실한 Swing High와 Swing Low만을 사용하게 되므로, False signal이 줄어들 수 있습니다. 하지만 Swing High/ Low를 판정하는 데에 더 긴 시간이 걸리게 되므로, Signal이 다소 늦게 발생하는 단점이 생기게 됩니다.
Pivot Length를 줄일 경우, 반대로 Swing High/Low의 판정이 더 빨리 일어나기 때문에, Signal을 거래에 이용하기는 좋을 수 있습니다. 다만, Swing High와 Low가 훨씬 더 잦은 빈도로 발생하기 때문에 False Signal을 줄 가능성이 높아집니다.
Pivot Reference에서는 가격의 Swing Point를 설정함에 있어, High/Low(고가/저가)를 이용할 지 Close (종가)를 이용할 지 선택할 수 있습니다.
Pivot High/Low Marker를 선택할 경우 Pivot High/ Low에 Marker가 찍히게 됩니다.
#2 RSI와 CMF Setting
RSI와 CMF Setting에서는 RSI와 CMF의 길이를 각각 설정할 수 있습니다. 기본값은 14와 20으로 설정되어 있습니다.
#3 Label Setting
Label Setting에서는 Label에 표시되는 글자를 선택할 수 있습니다.
기본값은 "Bullish / Bearish", "RSI/CMF", "Divergence"로 선택되어 있으며, 너무 길다고 느껴질 경우 "Bull/Bear" 혹은 "None"을 클릭하여 길이를 줄일 수 있습니다. 마찬가지로 Divergence의 경우도 생략이 가능합니다.
하단에서는 Divergence Line과 Label을 켜고 끌 수 있으며, 선의 색깔, 굵기, 종류, 그리고 Label의 색깔, 크기, 종류를 선택할 수 있습니다. Label의 Text 색 역시 변경이 가능합니다.
📌 얼러트
얼러트는 자신이 설정한 차트의 심볼과 Label의 문구의 조합으로 제공되며 예를 들면 다음과 같습니다.
"BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P, Bullish RSI Divergence"
Parallel Projections [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically projects parallel trendlines or channels, from a single point of origin. In the example above I have applied the indicator twice to the 1D SPXUSD. The five upper lines (green) are projected at an angle of -5 from the 1-month swing high anchor point with a projection ratio of -72. And the seven lower lines (blue) are projected at an angle of 10 with a projection ratio of 36 from the 1-week swing low anchor point.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a high price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a low price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Trendlines
Trendlines are straight lines that are drawn between two or more points on a price chart. These lines are used as dynamic support and resistance levels for making strategic decisions and predictions about future price movements. For example traders will look for price movements along, and reactions to, trendlines in the form of rejections or breakouts/downs.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Anchor Point Type
• Swing High/Low Occurrence
• HTF Resolution
• Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
• Angle Degree
• Projection Ratio
• Number Lines
• Line Color
Anchor Point Types
• Swing High
• Swing Low
• Swing High (HTF)
• Swing Low (HTF)
• Highest High
• Lowest Low
• Intraday Highest High (intraday charts only)
• Intraday Lowest Low (intraday charts only)
Swing High/Swing Low Occurrence
This input is used to determine which historic peak or trough to reference for swing high or swing low anchor point types.
HTF Resolution
This input is used to determine which higher timeframe to reference for swing high (HTF) or swing low (HTF) anchor point types.
Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
This input is used to determine the lookback length for highest high or lowest low anchor point types.
Intraday Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
When using intraday highest high or lowest low anchor point types, the lookback length is calculated automatically based on number of bars since the daily candle opened.
Angle Degree
This input is used to determine the angle of the trendlines. The output is expressed in terms of point or pips, depending on the symbol type, which is then passed through the built in math.todegrees() function. Positive numbers will project the lines upwards while negative numbers will project the lines downwards. Depending on the market and timeframe, the impact input values will have on the visible gaps between the lines will vary greatly. For example, an input of 10 will have a far greater impact on the gaps between the lines when viewed from the 1-minute timeframe than it would on the 1-day timeframe. The input is a float and as such the value passed through can go into as many decimal places as the user requires.
It is also worth mentioning that as more lines are added the gaps between the lines, that are closest to the anchor point, will get tighter as they make their way up the y-axis. Although the gaps between the lines will stay constant at the x2 plot, i.e. a distance of 10 points between them, they will gradually get tighter and tighter at the point of origin as the slope of the lines get steeper.
Projection Ratio
This input is used to determine the distance between the parallels, expressed in terms of point or pips. Positive numbers will project the lines upwards while negative numbers will project the lines downwards. Depending on the market and timeframe, the impact input values will have on the visible gaps between the lines will vary greatly. For example, an input of 10 will have a far greater impact on the gaps between the lines when viewed from the 1-minute timeframe than it would on the 1-day timeframe. The input is a float and as such the value passed through can go into as many decimal places as the user requires.
Number Lines
This input is used to determine the number of lines to be drawn on the chart, maximum is 500.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
If the lines do not draw or you see a study error saying that the script references too many candles in history, this is most likely because the higher timeframe anchor point is not present on the current timeframe. This problem usually occurs when referencing a higher timeframe, such as the 1-month, from a much lower timeframe, such as the 1-minute. How far you can lookback for higher timeframe anchor points on the current timeframe will also be limited by your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000.
█ RAMBLINGS
It is my current thesis that the indicator will work best when used in conjunction with my Wavemeter indicator, which can be used to set the angle and projection ratio. For example, the average wave height or amplitude could be used as the value for the angle and projection ratio inputs. Or some factor or multiple of such an average. I think this makes sense as it allows for objectivity when applying the indicator across different markets and timeframes with different energies and vibrations.
“If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.”
― Nikola Tesla
Fan Projections [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically projects trendlines in the shape of a fan, from a single point of origin. In the example above I have applied the indicator twice to the 1D SPXUSD. The seven upper lines (green) are projected at an angle of -5 from the 1-month swing high anchor point. And the five lower lines (blue) are projected at an angle of 10 from the 1-week swing low anchor point.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a high price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a low price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Trendlines
Trendlines are straight lines that are drawn between two or more points on a price chart. These lines are used as dynamic support and resistance levels for making strategic decisions and predictions about future price movements. For example traders will look for price movements along, and reactions to, trendlines in the form of rejections or breakouts/downs.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Anchor Point Type
• Swing High/Low Occurrence
• HTF Resolution
• Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
• Angle Degree
• Number Lines
• Line Color
Anchor Point Types
• Swing High
• Swing Low
• Swing High (HTF)
• Swing Low (HTF)
• Highest High
• Lowest Low
• Intraday Highest High (intraday charts only)
• Intraday Lowest Low (intraday charts only)
Swing High/Swing Low Occurrence
This input is used to determine which historic peak or trough to reference for swing high or swing low anchor point types.
HTF Resolution
This input is used to determine which higher timeframe to reference for swing high (HTF) or swing low (HTF) anchor point types.
Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
This input is used to determine the lookback length for highest high or lowest low anchor point types.
Intraday Highest High/Lowest Low Lookback
When using intraday highest high or lowest low anchor point types, the lookback length is calculated automatically based on number of bars since the daily candle opened.
Angle Degree
This input is used to determine the angle of the trendlines. The output is expressed in terms of point or pips, depending on the symbol type, which is then passed through the built in math.todegrees() function. Positive numbers will project the lines upwards while negative numbers will project the lines downwards. Depending on the market and timeframe, the impact input values will have on the visible gaps between the lines will vary greatly. For example, an input of 10 will have a far greater impact on the gaps between the lines when viewed from the 1-minute timeframe than it would on the 1-day timeframe. The input is a float and as such the value passed through can go into as many decimal places as the user requires.
It is also worth mentioning that as more lines are added the gaps between the lines, that are closest to the anchor point, will get tighter as they make their way up the y-axis. Although the gaps between the lines will stay constant at the x2 plot, i.e. a distance of 10 points between them, they will gradually get tighter and tighter at the point of origin as the slope of the lines get steeper.
Number Lines
This input is used to determine the number of lines to be drawn on the chart, maximum is 500.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
If the lines do not draw or you see a study error saying that the script references too many candles in history, this is most likely because the higher timeframe anchor point is not present on the current timeframe. This problem usually occurs when referencing a higher timeframe, such as the 1-month, from a much lower timeframe, such as the 1-minute. How far you can lookback for higher timeframe anchor points on the current timeframe will also be limited by your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000.
█ RAMBLINGS
It is my current thesis that the indicator will work best when used in conjunction with my Wavemeter indicator, which can be used to set the angle. For example, the average wave height or amplitude could be used as the value for the angle input. Or some factor or multiple of such an average. I think this makes sense as it allows for objectivity when applying the indicator across different markets and timeframes with different energies and vibrations.
“If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.”
― Nikola Tesla
Swing Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed swing high and swing low scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a high price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a low price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Peak and Trough Prices (Advanced)
• The advanced peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the highest preceding green candle high price, depending on which is higher.
• The advanced trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the lowest preceding red candle low price, depending on which is lower.
Green and Red Peaks and Troughs
• A green peak is one that derives its price from the green candle/s that constitute the swing high.
• A red peak is one that derives its price from the red candle that completes the swing high.
• A green trough is one that derives its price from the green candle that completes the swing low.
• A red trough is one that derives its price from the red candle/s that constitute the swing low.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
• Show Sample Period
• Show Plots
• Show Lines
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of three columns and nine rows. Blue cells denote neutral scenarios, green cells denote return line uptrend and uptrend scenarios, and red cells denote downtrend and return line downtrend scenarios.
The swing scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second column. The last row in column one, row nine, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
Rows three and four in the third column of the table display the total higher peaks and higher troughs as percentages of total peaks and troughs, respectively. Rows five and six in the third column display the total lower peaks and lower troughs as percentages of total peaks and troughs, respectively. And rows seven and eight display the total double-top peaks and double-bottom troughs as percentages of total peaks and troughs, respectively.
Plots
I have added plots as a visual aid to the swing scenarios listed in the table. Green up-arrows with ‘HP’ denote higher peaks, while green up-arrows with ‘HT’ denote higher troughs. Red down-arrows with ‘LP’ denote higher peaks, while red down-arrows with ‘LT’ denote lower troughs. Similarly, blue diamonds with ‘DT’ denote double-top peaks and blue diamonds with ‘DB’ denote double-bottom troughs. These plots can be hidden via indicator settings.
Lines
I have also added green and red trendlines as a further visual aid to the swing scenarios listed in the table. Green lines denote return line uptrends (higher peaks) and uptrends (higher troughs), while red lines denote downtrends (lower peaks) and return line downtrends (lower troughs). These lines can be hidden via indicator settings.
█ HOW TO USE
This indicator is intended for research purposes and strategy development. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe. It can, for example, give you an idea of any inherent biases such as a greater proportion of higher peaks to lower peaks. Or a greater proportion of higher troughs to lower troughs. Such information can be very useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes, or considering entry and exit methods.
What I find most fascinating about this logic, is that the number of swing highs and swing lows will always find equilibrium on each new complete wave cycle. If for example the chart begins with a swing high and ends with a swing low there will be an equal number of swing highs to swing lows. If the chart starts with a swing high and ends with a swing high there will be a difference of one between the two total values until another swing low is formed to complete the wave cycle sequence that began at start of the chart. Almost as if it was a fundamental truth of price action, although quite common sensical in many respects. As they say, what goes up must come down.
The objective logic for swing highs and swing lows I hope will form somewhat of a foundational building block for traders, researchers and developers alike. Not only does it facilitate the objective study of swing highs and swing lows it also facilitates that of ranges, trends, double trends, multi-part trends and patterns. The logic can also be used for objective anchor points. Concepts I will introduce and develop further in future publications.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
The green and red candle calculations are based solely on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with. Alternatively, you can replace the scenarios with your own logic to account for the gap anomalies, if you are feeling up to the challenge.
The sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
█ NOTES
I feel it important to address the mention of advanced peak and trough price logic. While I have introduced the concept, I have not included the logic in my script for a number of reasons. The most pertinent of which being the amount of extra work I would have to do to include it in a public release versus the actual difference it would make to the statistics. Based on my experience, there are actually only a small number of cases where the advanced peak and trough prices are different from the basic peak and trough prices. And with adequate multi-timeframe analysis any high or low prices that are not captured using basic peak and trough price logic on any given time frame, will no doubt be captured on a higher timeframe. See the example below on the 1H FOREXCOM:USDJPY chart (Figure 1), where the basic peak price logic denoted by the indicator plot does not capture what would be the advanced peak price, but on the 2H FOREXCOM:USDJPY chart (Figure 2), the basic peak logic does capture the advanced peak price from the 1H timeframe.
Figure 1.
Figure 2.
█ RAMBLINGS
“Never was there an age that placed economic interests higher than does our own. Never was the need of a scientific foundation for economic affairs felt more generally or more acutely. And never was the ability of practical men to utilize the achievements of science, in all fields of human activity, greater than in our day. If practical men, therefore, rely wholly on their own experience, and disregard our science in its present state of development, it cannot be due to a lack of serious interest or ability on their part. Nor can their disregard be the result of a haughty rejection of the deeper insight a true science would give into the circumstances and relationships determining the outcome of their activity. The cause of such remarkable indifference must not be sought elsewhere than in the present state of our science itself, in the sterility of all past endeavours to find its empirical foundations.” (Menger, 1871, p.45).
█ BIBLIOGRAPHY
Menger, C. (1871) Principles of Economics. Reprint, Auburn, Alabama: Ludwig Von Mises Institute: 2007.
Failed Breakdown Detection'Failed Breakdowns' are a popular set up for long entries.
In short, the set up requires:
1) A significant low is made ('initial low')
2) Initial low is undercut with a new low
3) Price action then 'reclaims' the initial low by moving +8-10 points from the initial low
This script aims at detecting such set ups. It was coded with the ES Futures 15 minute chart in mind but may be useful on other instruments and time frames.
Business Logic:
1) Uses pivot lows to detect 'significant' initial lows
2) Uses amplitude threshold to detect a new low beneath the initial low; used /u/ben_zen script for this
3) Looks for a valid reclaim - a green candle that occurs within 10 bars of the new low
4) Price must reclaim at least 8 points for the set up to be valid
5) If a signal is detected, the initial low value (pivot low) is stored in array that prevents duplicate signals from being generated.
6) FBD Signal is plotted on the chart with "X"
7) Pivot low detection is plotted on the chart with "P" and a label
8) New lows are plotted on the chart with a blue triangle
Notes:
User input
- My preference is to use the defaults as is, but as always feel free to experiment
- Can modify pivot length but in my experience 10/10 work best for pivot lows
- New low detection - 55 bars and 0.05 amplitude work well based on visual checks of signals
- Can modify the number of points needed to reclaim a low, and the # of bars limit under which this must occur.
Alerts:
- Alerts are available for detection of new lows and detection of failed breakdowns
- Alerts are also available for these signals but only during 7:30PM-4PM EST - 'prime time' US trading hours
Limitations:
- Current version of the script only compares new lows to the most recent pivot low, does not look at anything prior to that
- Best used as a discretionary signal
Visit /u/ben_zen's Profile:
www.tradingview.com
Profile Link www.tradingview.com
Larry Williams Strategies IndicatorThis indicator is a trend following indicator. It plots some of the trend following strategies described by Larry Williams in his book 'Long Term Secrets to Short Term Trading'. Below are types of trend following strategies you can trade using this indicator. These are notes taken directly from Larry Williams' book.
Short Term Low Strategy
Short Term Low - Any daily low with higher lows on each side of it.
Intermediate Term Low – Any short term low with higher short term lows on each side of it.
Long Term Low – Any intermediate term low with higher intermediate term lows on each side of it.
Conceptual pattern for best buying opportunity is when forming an intermediate term low higher than the last intermediate term low.
This setup can be used on all time frames. However since Larry Williams usually trades the daily chart, the daily chart is probably the best timeframe to trade using this strategy.
Entry point – High of the day that has a higher high on the right side of it.
(My interpretation: price crossing above the high of the previous day is the buy signal)
Target – Markets have a strong tendency to rally above the last intermediate term high by the same amount it moved from the last intermediate term high to the lowest point prior to advancing to new highs.
Trailing Stop – Set stop to most recent short term low, move up as new short term lows are formed. Can also use formation of next intermediate term high as an exit point.
A 'run' to the upside is over when price fails to move higher the next day and falls below the prior day's low.
Short Term High Strategy
Short Term High - Any daily high with lower highs on each side of it.
Intermediate Term High – Any short term high with lower short term highs on each side of it.
Long Term High – Any intermediate term high with lower intermediate term highs on each side of it.
Conceptual pattern for best selling opportunity is when forming an intermediate term high lower than the last intermediate term high.
This setup can be used on all time frames. However since Larry Williams usually trades the daily chart, the daily chart is probably the best timeframe to trade using this strategy.
Entry point – Low of the day that has a lower low on the right side of it.
(My interpretation: price crossing below the low of the previous day is the sell short signal)
Target – Markets have a strong tendency to fall below the last intermediate term low by the same amount it moved from the last intermediate term low to the highest point prior to declining to new lows.
Trailing Stop – Set stop to most recent short term high, move down as new short term highs are formed. Can also use formation of next intermediate term low as an exit point.
A 'run' to the downside is over when price fails to move lower the next day and rises above the prior day's high.
Trend Reversals
A trend change from down to up occurs when a short term high is exceeded on the upside, a trend change from up to down is identified by price going below the most recent low.
Can take these signals to make trades, but it is best to filter them with a confirmation or edge such as Trading Day of the Week, Trading Day of the Month, trendlines, etc. to cut down on false signals.
Three Bar High/Low System
Calculate a three bar moving average of the highs and a three bar moving average of the lows.
Strategy is to buy at the at the price of the three bar moving average of the lows - if the trend is positive according to the swing point trend identification technique - and take profits at the three bar moving average of the highs.
Selling is just the opposite. Sell short at the three bar moving average of the highs and take profits at the three bar moving average of the lows, using the trend identification technique above for confirmation.
This strategy can work on any timeframe, but was described as a daytrading system by Larry Williams.
DAX ORB Ultimate - ALGO Suite//@version=5
indicator("DAX ORB Ultimate - ALGO Suite", overlay=true, max_labels_count=200, max_lines_count=100)
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// DAX OPENING RANGE BREAKOUT - ULTIMATE EDITION
// Real-time ORB building | Multi-timeframe support | Key levels with bias
// Works on ANY timeframe - uses M1 data for ORB construction
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// ════════════════════════ INPUTS ════════════════════════
orb_start_h = input.int(7, "Start Hour (UTC)", minval=0, maxval=23, group="ORB Settings")
orb_start_m = input.int(40, "Start Minute", minval=0, maxval=59, group="ORB Settings")
orb_end_h = input.int(8, "End Hour (UTC)", minval=0, maxval=23, group="ORB Settings")
orb_end_m = input.int(0, "End Minute", minval=0, maxval=59, group="ORB Settings")
exclude_wicks = input.bool(true, "Exclude Wicks", group="ORB Settings")
close_hour = input.int(16, "Market Close Hour", minval=0, maxval=23, group="ORB Settings")
use_tf = input.bool(true, "1. Trend Following", group="Strategies")
use_mr = input.bool(true, "2. Mean Reversion", group="Strategies")
use_sa = input.bool(true, "3. Statistical Arb", group="Strategies")
use_mm = input.bool(true, "4. Market Making", group="Strategies")
use_ba = input.bool(true, "5. Basis Arb", group="Strategies")
use_ema = input.bool(true, "EMA Filter", group="Technical Filters")
use_rsi = input.bool(true, "RSI Filter", group="Technical Filters")
use_macd = input.bool(true, "MACD Filter", group="Technical Filters")
use_vol = input.bool(true, "Volume Filter", group="Technical Filters")
use_bb = input.bool(true, "Bollinger Filter", group="Technical Filters")
use_fixed = input.bool(false, "Fixed SL/TP", group="Risk Management")
fixed_sl = input.float(50, "Fixed SL Points", minval=10, group="Risk Management")
fixed_tp = input.float(150, "Fixed TP Points", minval=10, group="Risk Management")
atr_sl = input.float(2.0, "ATR SL Mult", minval=0.5, group="Risk Management")
atr_tp = input.float(3.0, "ATR TP Mult", minval=0.5, group="Risk Management")
min_rr = input.float(2.0, "Min R:R", minval=1.0, group="Risk Management")
show_dash = input.bool(true, "Show Dashboard", group="Display")
show_lines = input.bool(true, "Show Lines", group="Display")
show_levels = input.bool(true, "Show Key Levels", group="Display")
// ════════════════════════ FUNCTIONS ════════════════════════
is_orb_period(_h, _m) =>
start = orb_start_h * 60 + orb_start_m
end = orb_end_h * 60 + orb_end_m
curr = _h * 60 + _m
curr >= start and curr < end
orb_ended(_h, _m) =>
end = orb_end_h * 60 + orb_end_m
curr = _h * 60 + _m
curr == end
is_market_open() =>
h = hour(time)
h >= orb_start_h and h <= close_hour
// ════════════════════════ DATA GATHERING (M1) ════════════════════════
// Get M1 data for ORB construction (works on ANY chart timeframe)
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "1", , barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_off)
// Daily data
d_high = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", high, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
d_low = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", low, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
d_open = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", open, barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
// Current day high/low (intraday)
var float today_high = na
var float today_low = na
var float prev_day_high = na
var float prev_day_low = na
var float yest_size = 0
if ta.change(time("D")) != 0
prev_day_high := d_high
prev_day_low := d_low
yest_size := d_high - d_low
today_high := high
today_low := low
else
today_high := math.max(na(today_high) ? high : today_high, high)
today_low := math.min(na(today_low) ? low : today_low, low)
// ════════════════════════ ORB CONSTRUCTION (REAL-TIME) ════════════════════════
var float orb_h = na
var float orb_l = na
var bool orb_ready = false
var float orb_building_h = na
var float orb_building_l = na
var bool is_building = false
// Get M1 bar time components
m1_hour = hour(m1_time)
m1_minute = minute(m1_time)
// Reset daily
if ta.change(time("D")) != 0
orb_h := na
orb_l := na
orb_ready := false
orb_building_h := na
orb_building_l := na
is_building := false
// Build ORB using M1 data
if is_orb_period(m1_hour, m1_minute) and not orb_ready
is_building := true
val_h = exclude_wicks ? m1_close : m1_high
val_l = exclude_wicks ? m1_close : m1_low
if na(orb_building_h)
orb_building_h := val_h
orb_building_l := val_l
else
orb_building_h := math.max(orb_building_h, val_h)
orb_building_l := math.min(orb_building_l, val_l)
// FIX #1: Set is_building to false when NOT in ORB period anymore
if not is_orb_period(m1_hour, m1_minute) and is_building and not orb_ready
is_building := false
// Finalize ORB when period ends
if orb_ended(m1_hour, m1_minute) and not orb_ready
orb_h := orb_building_h
orb_l := orb_building_l
orb_ready := true
is_building := false
// Display building values in real-time
current_orb_h = is_building ? orb_building_h : orb_h
current_orb_l = is_building ? orb_building_l : orb_l
// ════════════════════════ INDICATORS ════════════════════════
ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema21 = ta.ema(close, 21)
ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
= ta.bb(close, 20, 2)
atr = ta.atr(14)
vol_ma = ta.sma(volume, 20)
// ════════════════════════ STRATEGY SIGNALS ════════════════════════
// 1. Trend Following
tf_short = ta.sma(close, 10)
tf_long = ta.sma(close, 30)
tf_bull = tf_short > tf_long
tf_bear = tf_short < tf_long
// 2. Mean Reversion
mr_mean = ta.sma(close, 20)
mr_dev = (close - mr_mean) / mr_mean * 100
mr_bull = mr_dev <= -0.5
mr_bear = mr_dev >= 0.5
// 3. Statistical Arb
sa_mean = ta.sma(close, 120)
sa_std = ta.stdev(close, 120)
sa_z = sa_std > 0 ? (close - sa_mean) / sa_std : 0
var string sa_st = "flat"
if sa_st == "flat"
if sa_z <= -2.0
sa_st := "long"
else if sa_z >= 2.0
sa_st := "short"
else if math.abs(sa_z) <= 0.5 or math.abs(sa_z) >= 4.0
sa_st := "flat"
sa_bull = sa_st == "long"
sa_bear = sa_st == "short"
// 4. Market Making
mm_spread = (high - low) / close * 100
mm_mid = (high + low) / 2
mm_bull = close < mm_mid and mm_spread >= 0.5
mm_bear = close > mm_mid and mm_spread >= 0.5
// 5. Basis Arb
ba_fair = ta.sma(close, 50)
ba_bps = ba_fair != 0 ? (close - ba_fair) / ba_fair * 10000 : 0
ba_bull = ba_bps <= -8.0
ba_bear = ba_bps >= 8.0
// Vote counting
bull_v = 0
bear_v = 0
if use_tf
bull_v := bull_v + (tf_bull ? 1 : 0)
bear_v := bear_v + (tf_bear ? 1 : 0)
if use_mr
bull_v := bull_v + (mr_bull ? 1 : 0)
bear_v := bear_v + (mr_bear ? 1 : 0)
if use_sa
bull_v := bull_v + (sa_bull ? 1 : 0)
bear_v := bear_v + (sa_bear ? 1 : 0)
if use_mm
bull_v := bull_v + (mm_bull ? 1 : 0)
bear_v := bear_v + (mm_bear ? 1 : 0)
if use_ba
bull_v := bull_v + (ba_bull ? 1 : 0)
bear_v := bear_v + (ba_bear ? 1 : 0)
// Technical filters - Simplified scoring system
ema_ok_b = not use_ema or (ema9 > ema21 and close > ema50)
ema_ok_s = not use_ema or (ema9 < ema21 and close < ema50)
rsi_ok_b = not use_rsi or (rsi > 40 and rsi < 80) // More lenient
rsi_ok_s = not use_rsi or (rsi < 60 and rsi > 20) // More lenient
macd_ok_b = not use_macd or macd > sig
macd_ok_s = not use_macd or macd < sig
vol_ok = not use_vol or volume > vol_ma * 1.2 // More lenient
bb_ok_b = not use_bb or close > bb_mid
bb_ok_s = not use_bb or close < bb_mid
// Technical score (need at least 2 out of 5 filters)
tech_score_b = (ema_ok_b ? 1 : 0) + (rsi_ok_b ? 1 : 0) + (macd_ok_b ? 1 : 0) + (bb_ok_b ? 1 : 0) + (vol_ok ? 1 : 0)
tech_score_s = (ema_ok_s ? 1 : 0) + (rsi_ok_s ? 1 : 0) + (macd_ok_s ? 1 : 0) + (bb_ok_s ? 1 : 0) + (vol_ok ? 1 : 0)
tech_bull = tech_score_b >= 2
tech_bear = tech_score_s >= 2
// Breakout - SIMPLIFIED (just need close above/below ORB)
brk_bull = orb_ready and close > current_orb_h
brk_bear = orb_ready and close < current_orb_l
// Consensus - At least 2 strategies agree (not majority)
total_st = (use_tf ? 1 : 0) + (use_mr ? 1 : 0) + (use_sa ? 1 : 0) + (use_mm ? 1 : 0) + (use_ba ? 1 : 0)
consensus_b = bull_v >= 2
consensus_s = bear_v >= 2
// Final signals - MUCH MORE LENIENT
daily_ok = yest_size >= 50 // Reduced from 100
buy = brk_bull and consensus_b and tech_bull and is_market_open()
sell = brk_bear and consensus_s and tech_bear and is_market_open()
// ════════════════════════ SL/TP ════════════════════════
// IMMEDIATE SL/TP LEVELS - Calculated as soon as ORB is ready (at 8:00)
var float long_entry = na
var float long_sl = na
var float long_tp = na
var float short_entry = na
var float short_sl = na
var float short_tp = na
// Calculate potential levels immediately when ORB is ready
if orb_ready and not na(orb_h) and not na(orb_l)
// Long scenario: Entry at ORB high breakout
long_entry := orb_h
long_sl := use_fixed ? long_entry - fixed_sl : long_entry - atr * atr_sl
long_tp := use_fixed ? long_entry + fixed_tp : long_entry + atr * atr_tp
// Short scenario: Entry at ORB low breakout
short_entry := orb_l
short_sl := use_fixed ? short_entry + fixed_sl : short_entry + atr * atr_sl
short_tp := use_fixed ? short_entry - fixed_tp : short_entry - atr * atr_tp
// Signal-based entry tracking (for dashboard and alerts)
var float buy_entry = na
var float buy_sl = na
var float buy_tp = na
var float sell_entry = na
var float sell_sl = na
var float sell_tp = na
if buy
buy_entry := close
buy_sl := use_fixed ? buy_entry - fixed_sl : buy_entry - atr * atr_sl
buy_tp := use_fixed ? buy_entry + fixed_tp : buy_entry + atr * atr_tp
if sell
sell_entry := close
sell_sl := use_fixed ? sell_entry + fixed_sl : sell_entry + atr * atr_sl
sell_tp := use_fixed ? sell_entry - fixed_tp : sell_entry - atr * atr_tp
buy_rr = not na(buy_entry) ? (buy_tp - buy_entry) / (buy_entry - buy_sl) : 0
sell_rr = not na(sell_entry) ? (sell_entry - sell_tp) / (sell_sl - sell_entry) : 0
buy_final = buy and buy_rr >= min_rr
sell_final = sell and sell_rr >= min_rr
// ════════════════════════ TRAILING STOPS ════════════════════════
// Trailing Stop Loss and Take Profit Management
var float trailing_sl_long = na
var float trailing_sl_short = na
var float trailing_tp_long = na
var float trailing_tp_short = na
var bool in_long = false
var bool in_short = false
var float highest_since_entry = na
var float lowest_since_entry = na
// Enter long position
if buy_final and not in_long
in_long := true
in_short := false
trailing_sl_long := buy_sl
trailing_tp_long := buy_tp
highest_since_entry := close
// Enter short position
if sell_final and not in_short
in_short := true
in_long := false
trailing_sl_short := sell_sl
trailing_tp_short := sell_tp
lowest_since_entry := close
// Update trailing stops for LONG
if in_long
// Track highest price since entry
highest_since_entry := math.max(highest_since_entry, high)
// Trail stop loss (moves up as price moves up)
// When price moves 1 ATR in profit, move SL to breakeven
// When price moves 2 ATR in profit, move SL to +1 ATR
profit_atr = (highest_since_entry - buy_entry) / atr
if profit_atr >= 2.0
trailing_sl_long := math.max(trailing_sl_long, buy_entry + atr * 1.0)
else if profit_atr >= 1.0
trailing_sl_long := math.max(trailing_sl_long, buy_entry)
// Smart trailing TP - extends TP if strong momentum
if highest_since_entry > trailing_tp_long * 0.9 and rsi > 60 // Within 10% of TP and strong momentum
trailing_tp_long := trailing_tp_long + atr * 0.5 // Extend TP
// Exit conditions
if close <= trailing_sl_long or close >= trailing_tp_long
in_long := false
trailing_sl_long := na
trailing_tp_long := na
highest_since_entry := na
// Update trailing stops for SHORT
if in_short
// Track lowest price since entry
lowest_since_entry := math.min(lowest_since_entry, low)
// Trail stop loss (moves down as price moves down)
profit_atr = (sell_entry - lowest_since_entry) / atr
if profit_atr >= 2.0
trailing_sl_short := math.min(trailing_sl_short, sell_entry - atr * 1.0)
else if profit_atr >= 1.0
trailing_sl_short := math.min(trailing_sl_short, sell_entry)
// Smart trailing TP - extends TP if strong momentum
if lowest_since_entry < trailing_tp_short * 1.1 and rsi < 40 // Within 10% of TP and strong momentum
trailing_tp_short := trailing_tp_short - atr * 0.5 // Extend TP
// Exit conditions
if close >= trailing_sl_short or close <= trailing_tp_short
in_short := false
trailing_sl_short := na
trailing_tp_short := na
lowest_since_entry := na
// ════════════════════════ ANALYTICS ════════════════════════
prob_strat = total_st > 0 ? math.max(bull_v, bear_v) / total_st * 100 : 50
prob_tech = (tech_bull or tech_bear) ? 75 : 35
prob_vol = vol_ok ? 85 : 50
prob_daily = daily_ok ? 85 : 30
prob_orb = orb_ready ? 80 : 20
probability = prob_strat * 0.3 + prob_tech * 0.25 + prob_vol * 0.15 + prob_daily * 0.15 + prob_orb * 0.15
dir_score = 0
dir_score := dir_score + (ema9 > ema21 ? 2 : -2)
dir_score := dir_score + (tf_bull ? 2 : -2)
dir_score := dir_score + (macd > sig ? 1 : -1)
dir_score := dir_score + (rsi > 50 ? 1 : -1)
direction = dir_score >= 2 ? "STRONG BULL" : (dir_score > 0 ? "BULL" : (dir_score <= -2 ? "STRONG BEAR" : (dir_score < 0 ? "BEAR" : "NEUTRAL")))
clean_trend = math.abs(ema9 - ema21) / close * 100
clean_noise = atr / close * 100
clean_struct = close > ema9 and close > ema21 and close > ema50 or close < ema9 and close < ema21 and close < ema50
clean_score = (clean_trend > 0.5 ? 30 : 10) + (clean_noise < 1.5 ? 30 : 10) + (clean_struct ? 40 : 10)
quality = clean_score >= 70 ? "CLEAN" : (clean_score >= 50 ? "GOOD" : (clean_score >= 30 ? "OK" : "CHOPPY"))
mom = ta.mom(close, 10)
mom_str = math.abs(mom) / close * 100
vol_rat = atr / ta.sma(atr, 20)
movement = buy_final or sell_final ? (mom_str > 0.8 and vol_rat > 1.3 ? "STRONG" : (mom_str > 0.5 ? "MODERATE" : "GRADUAL")) : "WAIT"
ok_score = (daily_ok ? 25 : 0) + (orb_ready ? 25 : 0) + (is_market_open() ? 20 : 0) + (clean_score >= 50 ? 20 : 5) + (probability >= 60 ? 10 : 0)
ok_trade = ok_score >= 65
// ════════════════════════ KEY LEVELS WITH BIAS ════════════════════════
// Calculate potential reaction levels with directional bias
var float key_levels = array.new_float(0)
var string key_bias = array.new_string(0)
if barstate.islast and show_levels
array.clear(key_levels)
array.clear(key_bias)
// Add levels with bias
if not na(current_orb_h)
array.push(key_levels, current_orb_h)
array.push(key_bias, consensus_b ? "BULL BREAK" : "RESISTANCE")
if not na(current_orb_l)
array.push(key_levels, current_orb_l)
array.push(key_bias, consensus_s ? "BEAR BREAK" : "SUPPORT")
if not na(prev_day_high)
array.push(key_levels, prev_day_high)
bias_pdh = close > prev_day_high ? "BULLISH" : (close < prev_day_high and close > prev_day_high * 0.995 ? "WATCH" : "RESIST")
array.push(key_bias, bias_pdh)
if not na(prev_day_low)
array.push(key_levels, prev_day_low)
bias_pdl = close < prev_day_low ? "BEARISH" : (close > prev_day_low and close < prev_day_low * 1.005 ? "WATCH" : "SUPPORT")
array.push(key_bias, bias_pdl)
if not na(today_high)
array.push(key_levels, today_high)
array.push(key_bias, "TODAY HIGH")
if not na(today_low)
array.push(key_levels, today_low)
array.push(key_bias, "TODAY LOW")
// Add EMA50 as dynamic level
array.push(key_levels, ema50)
ema_bias = close > ema50 ? "BULL SUPPORT" : "BEAR RESIST"
array.push(key_bias, ema_bias)
// ════════════════════════ VISUALS ════════════════════════
// Previous day lines
plot(show_lines ? prev_day_high : na, "Prev Day H", color.new(color.yellow, 0), 1, plot.style_line)
plot(show_lines ? prev_day_low : na, "Prev Day L", color.new(color.orange, 0), 1, plot.style_line)
// Current day high/low
plot(show_lines ? today_high : na, "Today High", color.new(color.lime, 40), 2, plot.style_circles)
plot(show_lines ? today_low : na, "Today Low", color.new(color.red, 40), 2, plot.style_circles)
// ORB lines (show building values in real-time with separate plots)
// Building phase - circles (orange during building)
plot(show_lines and is_building and not na(current_orb_h) ? current_orb_h : na, "ORB High Building", color.new(color.orange, 30), 3, plot.style_circles)
plot(show_lines and is_building and not na(current_orb_l) ? current_orb_l : na, "ORB Low Building", color.new(color.orange, 30), 3, plot.style_circles)
// Ready phase - ULTRA BRIGHT solid lines
plot(show_lines and not is_building and not na(current_orb_h) ? current_orb_h : na, "ORB High Ready", color.new(color.aqua, 0), 4, plot.style_line)
plot(show_lines and not is_building and not na(current_orb_l) ? current_orb_l : na, "ORB Low Ready", color.new(color.aqua, 0), 4, plot.style_line)
// ORB zone fill
p1 = plot(not na(current_orb_h) ? current_orb_h : na, display=display.none)
p2 = plot(not na(current_orb_l) ? current_orb_l : na, display=display.none)
fill_color = is_building ? color.new(color.blue, 93) : color.new(color.blue, 88)
fill(p1, p2, fill_color, title="ORB Zone")
// FIX #2: Draw ORB rectangle box ONLY ONCE when ready (use var to track if already drawn)
var box orb_box = na
var int orb_start_bar = na
var bool orb_box_drawn = false
// Reset box drawn flag on new day
if ta.change(time("D")) != 0
orb_box_drawn := false
// Capture the bar when ORB becomes ready
if orb_ready and not orb_ready
orb_start_bar := bar_index
orb_box_drawn := false // Allow new box to be drawn
// Draw box ONLY ONCE when ORB first becomes ready
if orb_ready and not orb_box_drawn and not na(orb_h) and not na(orb_l) and show_lines
if not na(orb_box)
box.delete(orb_box)
// Ultra clear rectangle with thick bright borders
box_color = color.new(color.aqua, 85) // Bright aqua fill
border_color = color.new(color.aqua, 0) // Solid bright aqua border
orb_box := box.new(orb_start_bar, orb_h, bar_index + 50, orb_l,
border_color=border_color,
border_width=3, // Thicker border
bgcolor=box_color,
extend=extend.right,
text="ORB ZONE",
text_size=size.normal, // Larger text
text_color=color.new(color.aqua, 0)) // Bright text
orb_box_drawn := true
// Update box right edge on each bar (without creating new box)
if orb_box_drawn and not na(orb_box) and show_lines
box.set_right(orb_box, bar_index)
// EMAs
plot(use_ema ? ema9 : na, "EMA9", color.new(color.blue, 20), 1)
plot(use_ema ? ema21 : na, "EMA21", color.new(color.orange, 20), 1)
plot(use_ema ? ema50 : na, "EMA50", color.new(color.purple, 30), 2)
// Signals
plotshape(buy_final, "BUY", shape.triangleup, location.belowbar, color.new(color.lime, 0), size=size.small, text="BUY")
plotshape(sell_final, "SELL", shape.triangledown, location.abovebar, color.new(color.red, 0), size=size.small, text="SELL")
// Exit signals
plotshape(in_long and not in_long, "EXIT LONG", shape.xcross, location.abovebar, color.new(color.orange, 0), size=size.tiny, text="EXIT")
plotshape(in_short and not in_short, "EXIT SHORT", shape.xcross, location.belowbar, color.new(color.orange, 0), size=size.tiny, text="EXIT")
// Trailing stop lines
plot(in_long and not na(trailing_sl_long) ? trailing_sl_long : na, "Trail SL Long", color.new(color.red, 0), 2, plot.style_cross)
plot(in_long and not na(trailing_tp_long) ? trailing_tp_long : na, "Trail TP Long", color.new(color.lime, 0), 2, plot.style_cross)
plot(in_short and not na(trailing_sl_short) ? trailing_sl_short : na, "Trail SL Short", color.new(color.red, 0), 2, plot.style_cross)
plot(in_short and not na(trailing_tp_short) ? trailing_tp_short : na, "Trail TP Short", color.new(color.lime, 0), 2, plot.style_cross)
// FIX #3: IMMEDIATE SL/TP LINES - Draw ONLY ONCE when ORB is ready
var line long_sl_ln = na
var line long_tp_ln = na
var line short_sl_ln = na
var line short_tp_ln = na
var label long_sl_lbl = na
var label long_tp_lbl = na
var label short_sl_lbl = na
var label short_tp_lbl = na
var bool sltp_lines_drawn = false
// Reset lines drawn flag on new day
if ta.change(time("D")) != 0
sltp_lines_drawn := false
// Draw lines ONLY ONCE when ORB first becomes ready
if orb_ready and not orb_ready and show_lines
sltp_lines_drawn := false // Allow new lines to be drawn
if orb_ready and not sltp_lines_drawn and show_lines
// Delete old lines
if not na(long_sl_ln)
line.delete(long_sl_ln)
line.delete(long_tp_ln)
line.delete(short_sl_ln)
line.delete(short_tp_ln)
label.delete(long_sl_lbl)
label.delete(long_tp_lbl)
label.delete(short_sl_lbl)
label.delete(short_tp_lbl)
// LONG scenario (green - bullish breakout above ORB high)
if not na(long_sl) and not na(long_tp)
long_sl_ln := line.new(bar_index, long_sl, bar_index + 100, long_sl, color=color.new(color.red, 0), width=2, style=line.style_solid, extend=extend.right)
long_tp_ln := line.new(bar_index, long_tp, bar_index + 100, long_tp, color=color.new(color.lime, 0), width=2, style=line.style_solid, extend=extend.right)
long_sl_lbl := label.new(bar_index, long_sl, "LONG SL: " + str.tostring(long_sl, "#.##"), style=label.style_label_left, color=color.new(color.red, 0), textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
long_tp_lbl := label.new(bar_index, long_tp, "LONG TP: " + str.tostring(long_tp, "#.##"), style=label.style_label_left, color=color.new(color.lime, 0), textcolor=color.black, size=size.small)
// SHORT scenario (red - bearish breakout below ORB low)
if not na(short_sl) and not na(short_tp)
short_sl_ln := line.new(bar_index, short_sl, bar_index + 100, short_sl, color=color.new(color.red, 0), width=2, style=line.style_solid, extend=extend.right)
short_tp_ln := line.new(bar_index, short_tp, bar_index + 100, short_tp, color=color.new(color.lime, 0), width=2, style=line.style_solid, extend=extend.right)
short_sl_lbl := label.new(bar_index, short_sl, "SHORT SL: " + str.tostring(short_sl, "#.##"), style=label.style_label_left, color=color.new(color.red, 0), textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
short_tp_lbl := label.new(bar_index, short_tp, "SHORT TP: " + str.tostring(short_tp, "#.##"), style=label.style_label_left, color=color.new(color.lime, 0), textcolor=color.black, size=size.small)
sltp_lines_drawn := true
// FIX #4: Key level labels - Track and delete old labels to prevent duplication
var label key_level_labels = array.new_label(0)
// Delete all old key level labels
if array.size(key_level_labels) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(key_level_labels) - 1
label.delete(array.get(key_level_labels, i))
array.clear(key_level_labels)
// Create key level labels only on last bar
if barstate.islast and show_levels and array.size(key_levels) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(key_levels) - 1
lvl = array.get(key_levels, i)
bias = array.get(key_bias, i)
// Color based on bias
lbl_color = str.contains(bias, "BULL") ? color.new(color.green, 70) : (str.contains(bias, "BEAR") ? color.new(color.red, 70) : (str.contains(bias, "SUPPORT") ? color.new(color.blue, 70) : (str.contains(bias, "RESIST") ? color.new(color.orange, 70) : color.new(color.gray, 70))))
txt_color = str.contains(bias, "BULL") ? color.green : (str.contains(bias, "BEAR") ? color.red : (str.contains(bias, "SUPPORT") ? color.blue : (str.contains(bias, "RESIST") ? color.orange : color.gray)))
new_lbl = label.new(bar_index + 2, lvl, str.tostring(lvl, "#.##") + "\n" + bias, style=label.style_label_left, color=lbl_color, textcolor=txt_color, size=size.tiny, textalign=text.align_left)
array.push(key_level_labels, new_lbl)
// FIX #5: Compact chart info labels - Track and delete to prevent duplication
var label prob_label = na
var label dir_label = na
if barstate.islast and show_lines
// Delete old labels
if not na(prob_label)
label.delete(prob_label)
if not na(dir_label)
label.delete(dir_label)
// Create new labels
prob_c = probability >= 70 ? color.green : (probability >= 50 ? color.yellow : color.red)
prob_label := label.new(bar_index, high + atr * 1.2, str.tostring(probability, "#") + "%", style=label.style_none, textcolor=prob_c, size=size.small)
dir_c = str.contains(direction, "BULL") ? color.green : (str.contains(direction, "BEAR") ? color.red : color.gray)
dir_label := label.new(bar_index, high + atr * 2, direction, style=label.style_none, textcolor=dir_c, size=size.tiny)
// ════════════════════════ DASHBOARD ════════════════════════
var table dash = table.new(position.top_right, 2, 20, bgcolor=color.new(color.black, 5), border_width=1, border_color=color.new(color.gray, 60))
if barstate.islast and show_dash
r = 0
// Header
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "DAX ORB ULTIMATE", text_color=color.white, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 30), text_size=size.small)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, timeframe.period, text_color=color.yellow, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 30), text_size=size.tiny)
// Current Day
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "TODAY H/L", text_color=color.aqua, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, "", text_color=color.white)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "High", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(today_high, "#.##"), text_color=color.lime, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Low", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(today_low, "#.##"), text_color=color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Range", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
today_range = today_high - today_low
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(today_range, "#") + "p", text_color=color.aqua, text_size=size.tiny)
// Previous Day
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "PREV H/L", text_color=color.aqua, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(yest_size, "#") + "p", text_color=daily_ok ? color.lime : color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
// ORB Status with real-time values
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "ORB 7:40-8:00", text_color=color.aqua, text_size=size.tiny)
orb_status = is_building ? "BUILDING" : (orb_ready ? "READY" : "WAIT")
orb_clr = is_building ? color.orange : (orb_ready ? color.lime : color.gray)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, orb_status, text_color=orb_clr, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "High", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
orb_h_txt = not na(current_orb_h) ? str.tostring(current_orb_h, "#.##") : "---"
table.cell(dash, 1, r, orb_h_txt, text_color=is_building ? color.orange : color.green, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Low", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
orb_l_txt = not na(current_orb_l) ? str.tostring(current_orb_l, "#.##") : "---"
table.cell(dash, 1, r, orb_l_txt, text_color=is_building ? color.orange : color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Size", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
orb_size = not na(current_orb_h) and not na(current_orb_l) ? current_orb_h - current_orb_l : 0
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(orb_size, "#") + "p", text_color=color.yellow, text_size=size.tiny)
// Strategies
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "STRATEGIES", text_color=color.aqua, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(bull_v) + "B " + str.tostring(bear_v) + "S", text_color=color.yellow, text_size=size.tiny)
// Analytics
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "PROBABILITY", text_color=color.white, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 70), text_size=size.small)
prob_c = probability >= 70 ? color.lime : (probability >= 50 ? color.yellow : color.red)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(probability, "#") + "%", text_color=prob_c, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 70), text_size=size.small)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Direction", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
dir_c = str.contains(direction, "BULL") ? color.lime : (str.contains(direction, "BEAR") ? color.red : color.gray)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, direction, text_color=dir_c, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Chart", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
qual_c = quality == "CLEAN" ? color.lime : (quality == "GOOD" ? color.green : (quality == "OK" ? color.yellow : color.red))
table.cell(dash, 1, r, quality, text_color=qual_c, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "OK Trade?", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, ok_trade ? "YES" : "NO", text_color=ok_trade ? color.lime : color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
// Position Status
r += 1
pos_txt = in_long ? "IN LONG" : (in_short ? "IN SHORT" : "NO POSITION")
pos_c = in_long ? color.lime : (in_short ? color.red : color.gray)
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "POSITION", text_color=color.white, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 50), text_size=size.small)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, pos_txt, text_color=pos_c, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 50), text_size=size.small)
// Show trailing stops if in position
if in_long and not na(trailing_sl_long)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Trail SL", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(trailing_sl_long, "#.##"), text_color=color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Trail TP", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(trailing_tp_long, "#.##"), text_color=color.lime, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Profit", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
pnl = close - buy_entry
pnl_c = pnl > 0 ? color.lime : color.red
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(pnl, "#.#") + "p", text_color=pnl_c, text_size=size.tiny)
if in_short and not na(trailing_sl_short)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Trail SL", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(trailing_sl_short, "#.##"), text_color=color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Trail TP", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(trailing_tp_short, "#.##"), text_color=color.lime, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Profit", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
pnl = sell_entry - close
pnl_c = pnl > 0 ? color.lime : color.red
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(pnl, "#.#") + "p", text_color=pnl_c, text_size=size.tiny)
// Signal
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "SIGNAL", text_color=color.white, bgcolor=color.new(color.green, 50), text_size=size.small)
sig_txt = buy_final ? "BUY NOW" : (sell_final ? "SELL NOW" : "WAIT")
sig_c = buy_final ? color.lime : (sell_final ? color.red : color.gray)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, sig_txt, text_color=sig_c, bgcolor=color.new(color.green, 50), text_size=size.small)
// IMMEDIATE Trade Levels - Show as soon as ORB is ready
if orb_ready and not na(long_entry) and not na(short_entry)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "LONG LEVELS", text_color=color.lime, bgcolor=color.new(color.green, 70), text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, "", text_color=color.white)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Entry", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(long_entry, "#.##"), text_color=color.white, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "SL", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(long_sl, "#.##"), text_color=color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "TP", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(long_tp, "#.##"), text_color=color.lime, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "SHORT LEVELS", text_color=color.red, bgcolor=color.new(color.red, 70), text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, "", text_color=color.white)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "Entry", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(short_entry, "#.##"), text_color=color.white, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "SL", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(short_sl, "#.##"), text_color=color.red, text_size=size.tiny)
r += 1
table.cell(dash, 0, r, "TP", text_color=color.gray, text_size=size.tiny)
table.cell(dash, 1, r, str.tostring(short_tp, "#.##"), text_color=color.lime, text_size=size.tiny)
// ════════════════════════ ALERTS ════════════════════════
alertcondition(buy_final, "BUY Signal", "DAX ORB BUY")
alertcondition(sell_final, "SELL Signal", "DAX ORB SELL")
alertcondition(orb_ready and not orb_ready , "ORB Ready", "DAX ORB READY")
alertcondition(is_building and not is_building , "ORB Building", "DAX ORB BUILDING")
alertcondition(ok_trade and not ok_trade , "Ready to Trade", "DAX OK")
Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP [CHE] Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP — Detects body-based pivot regimes to classify swing highs and lows, anchoring volume-weighted average price lines directly at higher highs and lower lows for adaptive reference levels.
Summary
This indicator identifies shifts between top and bottom regimes through breakouts in candle body highs and lows, labeling swing points as higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. It then draws anchored volume-weighted average price lines starting from the most recent higher high and lower low, providing dynamic support and resistance that evolve with volume flow. These anchored lines differ from standard volume-weighted averages by resetting only at confirmed swing extremes, reducing noise in ranging markets while highlighting momentum shifts in trends.
Motivation: Why this design?
Traders often struggle with static reference lines that fail to adapt to changing market structures, leading to false breaks in volatile conditions or missed continuations in trends. By anchoring volume-weighted average price calculations to body pivot regimes—specifically at higher highs for resistance and lower lows for support—this design creates reference levels tied directly to price structure extremes. This approach addresses the problem of generic moving averages lagging behind swing confirmations, offering a more context-aware tool for intraday or swing trading.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Baseline reference: Traditional volume-weighted average price indicators compute a running total from session start or fixed periods, often ignoring price structure.
- Architecture differences:
- Regime detection via body breakout logic switches between high and low focus dynamically.
- Anchoring limited to confirmed higher highs and lower lows, with historical recalculation for accurate line drawing.
- Polyline rendering rebuilds only on the last bar to manage performance.
- Practical effect: Charts show fewer, more meaningful lines that start at swing points, making it easier to spot confluences with structure breaks rather than cluttered overlays from continuous calculations.
How it works (technical)
The indicator first calculates the maximum and minimum of each candle's open and close to define body highs and lows. It then scans a lookback window for the highest body high and lowest body low. A top regime triggers when the body high from the lookback period exceeds the window's highest, and a bottom regime when the body low falls below the window's lowest. These regime shifts confirm pivots only when crossing from one state to the other.
For top pivots, it compares the new body high against the previous swing high: if greater, it marks a higher high and anchors a new line; otherwise, a lower high. The same logic applies inversely for bottom pivots. Anchored lines use cumulative price-volume products and volumes from the anchor bar onward, subtracting prior cumulatives to isolate the segment. On pivot confirmation, it loops backward from the current bar to the anchor, computing and storing points for the line. New points append as bars advance, ensuring the line reflects ongoing volume weighting.
Initialization uses persistent variables to track the last swing values and anchor bars, starting with neutral states. Data flows from regime detection to pivot classification, then to anchoring and point accumulation, with lines rendered globally on the final bar.
Parameter Guide
Pivot Length — Controls the lookback window for detecting body breakouts, influencing pivot frequency and sensitivity to recent action. Shorter values catch more pivots in choppy conditions; longer smooths for major swings. Default: 30 (bars). Trade-offs/Tips: Min 1; for intraday, try 10–20 to reduce lag but watch for noise; on daily, 50+ for stability.
Show Pivot Labels — Toggles display of text markers at swing points, aiding quick identification of higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. Default: true. Trade-offs/Tips: Disable in multi-indicator setups to declutter; useful for backtesting structure.
HH Color — Sets the line and label color for higher high anchored lines, distinguishing resistance levels. Default: Red (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: Choose contrasting hues for dark/light themes; pair with opacity for fills if added later.
LL Color — Sets the line and label color for lower low anchored lines, distinguishing support levels. Default: Lime (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: As above; green shades work well for bullish contexts without overpowering candles.
Reading & Interpretation
Higher high labels and red lines indicate potential resistance zones where volume weighting begins at a new swing top, suggesting sellers may defend prior highs. Lower low labels and lime lines mark support from a fresh swing bottom, with the line's slope reflecting buyer commitment via volume. Lower highs or higher lows appear as labels without new anchors, signaling possible range-bound action. Line proximity to price shows overextension; crosses may hint at regime shifts, but confirm with volume spikes.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Enter longs above a rising lower low anchored line after higher low confirmation; filter with rising higher highs for uptrends. Use line breaks as trailing stops.
- Exits/Stops: In downtrends, exit shorts below a higher high line; set aggressive stops above it for scalps, conservative below for swings. Pair with momentum oscillators for divergence.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults suit forex/stocks on 1H–4H; on crypto 15M, shorten length to 15. Scale colors for dark themes; combine with higher timeframe anchors for confluence.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Closed-bar logic ensures pivots confirm after the lookback period, with no repainting on historical bars—live bars may adjust until regime shift. No higher timeframe calls, so minimal repaint risk beyond standard delays. Resources include a 2000-bar history limit, label/polyline caps at 200/50, and loops for historical point filling (up to current bar count from anchor, typically under 500 iterations). Known limits: In extreme gaps or low-volume periods, anchors may skew; lines absent until first pivots.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with the 30-bar length for balanced pivot detection across most assets. For too-frequent pivots in ranges, increase to 50 for fewer signals. If lines lag in trends, reduce to 20 and enable labels for visual cues. In low-volatility assets, widen color contrasts; test on 100-bar history to verify stability.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a structure-aware visualization layer for anchoring volume-weighted references at swing extremes, enhancing manual analysis of regimes and levels. It is not a standalone signal generator or predictive model—always integrate with broader context like order flow or news. Use alongside risk management and position sizing, not as isolated buy/sell triggers.
Many thanks to LuxAlgo for the original script "McDonald's Pattern ". The implementation for body pivots instead of wicks uses a = max(open, close), b = min(open, close) and then highest(a, length) / lowest(b, length). This filters noise from the wicks and detects breakouts over/under bodies. Unusual and targeted, super innovative.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Dynamic Equity Allocation Model"Cash is Trash"? Not Always. Here's Why Science Beats Guesswork.
Every retail trader knows the frustration: you draw support and resistance lines, you spot patterns, you follow market gurus on social media—and still, when the next bear market hits, your portfolio bleeds red. Meanwhile, institutional investors seem to navigate market turbulence with ease, preserving capital when markets crash and participating when they rally. What's their secret?
The answer isn't insider information or access to exotic derivatives. It's systematic, scientifically validated decision-making. While most retail traders rely on subjective chart analysis and emotional reactions, professional portfolio managers use quantitative models that remove emotion from the equation and process multiple streams of market information simultaneously.
This document presents exactly such a system—not a proprietary black box available only to hedge funds, but a fully transparent, academically grounded framework that any serious investor can understand and apply. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) synthesizes decades of financial research from Nobel laureates and leading academics into a practical tool for tactical asset allocation.
Stop drawing colorful lines on your chart and start thinking like a quant. This isn't about predicting where the market goes next week—it's about systematically adjusting your risk exposure based on what the data actually tells you. When valuations scream danger, when volatility spikes, when credit markets freeze, when multiple warning signals align—that's when cash isn't trash. That's when cash saves your portfolio.
The irony of "cash is trash" rhetoric is that it ignores timing. Yes, being 100% cash for decades would be disastrous. But being 100% equities through every crisis is equally foolish. The sophisticated approach is dynamic: aggressive when conditions favor risk-taking, defensive when they don't. This model shows you how to make that decision systematically, not emotionally.
Whether you're managing your own retirement portfolio or seeking to understand how institutional allocation strategies work, this comprehensive analysis provides the theoretical foundation, mathematical implementation, and practical guidance to elevate your investment approach from amateur to professional.
The choice is yours: keep hoping your chart patterns work out, or start using the same quantitative methods that professionals rely on. The tools are here. The research is cited. The methodology is explained. All you need to do is read, understand, and apply.
The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) is a quantitative framework for systematic allocation between equities and cash, grounded in modern portfolio theory and empirical market research. The model integrates five scientifically validated dimensions of market analysis—market regime, risk metrics, valuation, sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions—to generate dynamic allocation recommendations ranging from 0% to 100% equity exposure. This work documents the theoretical foundations, mathematical implementation, and practical application of this multi-factor approach.
1. Introduction and Theoretical Background
1.1 The Limitations of Static Portfolio Allocation
Traditional portfolio theory, as formulated by Markowitz (1952) in his seminal work "Portfolio Selection," assumes an optimal static allocation where investors distribute their wealth across asset classes according to their risk aversion. This approach rests on the assumption that returns and risks remain constant over time. However, empirical research demonstrates that this assumption does not hold in reality. Fama and French (1989) showed that expected returns vary over time and correlate with macroeconomic variables such as the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates. Campbell and Shiller (1988) demonstrated that the price-earnings ratio possesses predictive power for future stock returns, providing a foundation for dynamic allocation strategies.
The academic literature on tactical asset allocation has evolved considerably over recent decades. Ilmanen (2011) argues in "Expected Returns" that investors can improve their risk-adjusted returns by considering valuation levels, business cycles, and market sentiment. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model presented here builds on this research tradition and operationalizes these insights into a practically applicable allocation framework.
1.2 Multi-Factor Approaches in Asset Allocation
Modern financial research has shown that different factors capture distinct aspects of market dynamics and together provide a more robust picture of market conditions than individual indicators. Ross (1976) developed the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, a model that employs multiple factors to explain security returns. Following this multi-factor philosophy, DEAM integrates five complementary analytical dimensions, each tapping different information sources and collectively enabling comprehensive market understanding.
2. Data Foundation and Data Quality
2.1 Data Sources Used
The model draws its data exclusively from publicly available market data via the TradingView platform. This transparency and accessibility is a significant advantage over proprietary models that rely on non-public data. The data foundation encompasses several categories of market information, each capturing specific aspects of market dynamics.
First, price data for the S&P 500 Index is obtained through the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (ticker: SPY). The use of a highly liquid ETF instead of the index itself has practical reasons, as ETF data is available in real-time and reflects actual tradability. In addition to closing prices, high, low, and volume data are captured, which are required for calculating advanced volatility measures.
Fundamental corporate metrics are retrieved via TradingView's Financial Data API. These include earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratio, return on equity, debt-to-equity ratio, dividend yield, and share buyback yield. Cochrane (2011) emphasizes in "Presidential Address: Discount Rates" the central importance of valuation metrics for forecasting future returns, making these fundamental data a cornerstone of the model.
Volatility indicators are represented by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and related metrics. The VIX, often referred to as the market's "fear gauge," measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options and serves as a proxy for market participants' risk perception. Whaley (2000) describes in "The Investor Fear Gauge" the construction and interpretation of the VIX and its use as a sentiment indicator.
Macroeconomic data includes yield curve information through US Treasury bonds of various maturities and credit risk premiums through the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free government bonds. These variables capture the macroeconomic conditions and financing conditions relevant for equity valuation. Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991) showed that the shape of the yield curve has predictive power for future economic activity, justifying the inclusion of these data.
2.2 Handling Missing Data
A practical problem when working with financial data is dealing with missing or unavailable values. The model implements a fallback system where a plausible historical average value is stored for each fundamental metric. When current data is unavailable for a specific point in time, this fallback value is used. This approach ensures that the model remains functional even during temporary data outages and avoids systematic biases from missing data. The use of average values as fallback is conservative, as it generates neither overly optimistic nor pessimistic signals.
3. Component 1: Market Regime Detection
3.1 The Concept of Market Regimes
The idea that financial markets exist in different "regimes" or states that differ in their statistical properties has a long tradition in financial science. Hamilton (1989) developed regime-switching models that allow distinguishing between different market states with different return and volatility characteristics. The practical application of this theory consists of identifying the current market state and adjusting portfolio allocation accordingly.
DEAM classifies market regimes using a scoring system that considers three main dimensions: trend strength, volatility level, and drawdown depth. This multidimensional view is more robust than focusing on individual indicators, as it captures various facets of market dynamics. Classification occurs into six distinct regimes: Strong Bull, Bull Market, Neutral, Correction, Bear Market, and Crisis.
3.2 Trend Analysis Through Moving Averages
Moving averages are among the oldest and most widely used technical indicators and have also received attention in academic literature. Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) examined in "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns" the profitability of trading rules based on moving averages and found evidence for their predictive power, although later studies questioned the robustness of these results when considering transaction costs.
The model calculates three moving averages with different time windows: a 20-day average (approximately one trading month), a 50-day average (approximately one quarter), and a 200-day average (approximately one trading year). The relationship of the current price to these averages and the relationship of the averages to each other provide information about trend strength and direction. When the price trades above all three averages and the short-term average is above the long-term, this indicates an established uptrend. The model assigns points based on these constellations, with longer-term trends weighted more heavily as they are considered more persistent.
3.3 Volatility Regimes
Volatility, understood as the standard deviation of returns, is a central concept of financial theory and serves as the primary risk measure. However, research has shown that volatility is not constant but changes over time and occurs in clusters—a phenomenon first documented by Mandelbrot (1963) and later formalized through ARCH and GARCH models (Engle, 1982; Bollerslev, 1986).
DEAM calculates volatility not only through the classic method of return standard deviation but also uses more advanced estimators such as the Parkinson estimator and the Garman-Klass estimator. These methods utilize intraday information (high and low prices) and are more efficient than simple close-to-close volatility estimators. The Parkinson estimator (Parkinson, 1980) uses the range between high and low of a trading day and is based on the recognition that this information reveals more about true volatility than just the closing price difference. The Garman-Klass estimator (Garman and Klass, 1980) extends this approach by additionally considering opening and closing prices.
The calculated volatility is annualized by multiplying it by the square root of 252 (the average number of trading days per year), enabling standardized comparability. The model compares current volatility with the VIX, the implied volatility from option prices. A low VIX (below 15) signals market comfort and increases the regime score, while a high VIX (above 35) indicates market stress and reduces the score. This interpretation follows the empirical observation that elevated volatility is typically associated with falling markets (Schwert, 1989).
3.4 Drawdown Analysis
A drawdown refers to the percentage decline from the highest point (peak) to the lowest point (trough) during a specific period. This metric is psychologically significant for investors as it represents the maximum loss experienced. Calmar (1991) developed the Calmar Ratio, which relates return to maximum drawdown, underscoring the practical relevance of this metric.
The model calculates current drawdown as the percentage distance from the highest price of the last 252 trading days (one year). A drawdown below 3% is considered negligible and maximally increases the regime score. As drawdown increases, the score decreases progressively, with drawdowns above 20% classified as severe and indicating a crisis or bear market regime. These thresholds are empirically motivated by historical market cycles, in which corrections typically encompassed 5-10% drawdowns, bear markets 20-30%, and crises over 30%.
3.5 Regime Classification
Final regime classification occurs through aggregation of scores from trend (40% weight), volatility (30%), and drawdown (30%). The higher weighting of trend reflects the empirical observation that trend-following strategies have historically delivered robust results (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). A total score above 80 signals a strong bull market with established uptrend, low volatility, and minimal losses. At a score below 10, a crisis situation exists requiring defensive positioning. The six regime categories enable a differentiated allocation strategy that not only distinguishes binarily between bullish and bearish but allows gradual gradations.
4. Component 2: Risk-Based Allocation
4.1 Volatility Targeting as Risk Management Approach
The concept of volatility targeting is based on the idea that investors should maximize not returns but risk-adjusted returns. Sharpe (1966, 1994) defined with the Sharpe Ratio the fundamental concept of return per unit of risk, measured as volatility. Volatility targeting goes a step further and adjusts portfolio allocation to achieve constant target volatility. This means that in times of low market volatility, equity allocation is increased, and in times of high volatility, it is reduced.
Moreira and Muir (2017) showed in "Volatility-Managed Portfolios" that strategies that adjust their exposure based on volatility forecasts achieve higher Sharpe Ratios than passive buy-and-hold strategies. DEAM implements this principle by defining a target portfolio volatility (default 12% annualized) and adjusting equity allocation to achieve it. The mathematical foundation is simple: if market volatility is 20% and target volatility is 12%, equity allocation should be 60% (12/20 = 0.6), with the remaining 40% held in cash with zero volatility.
4.2 Market Volatility Calculation
Estimating current market volatility is central to the risk-based allocation approach. The model uses several volatility estimators in parallel and selects the higher value between traditional close-to-close volatility and the Parkinson estimator. This conservative choice ensures the model does not underestimate true volatility, which could lead to excessive risk exposure.
Traditional volatility calculation uses logarithmic returns, as these have mathematically advantageous properties (additive linkage over multiple periods). The logarithmic return is calculated as ln(P_t / P_{t-1}), where P_t is the price at time t. The standard deviation of these returns over a rolling 20-trading-day window is then multiplied by √252 to obtain annualized volatility. This annualization is based on the assumption of independently identically distributed returns, which is an idealization but widely accepted in practice.
The Parkinson estimator uses additional information from the trading range (High minus Low) of each day. The formula is: σ_P = (1/√(4ln2)) × √(1/n × Σln²(H_i/L_i)) × √252, where H_i and L_i are high and low prices. Under ideal conditions, this estimator is approximately five times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator (Parkinson, 1980), as it uses more information per observation.
4.3 Drawdown-Based Position Size Adjustment
In addition to volatility targeting, the model implements drawdown-based risk control. The logic is that deep market declines often signal further losses and therefore justify exposure reduction. This behavior corresponds with the concept of path-dependent risk tolerance: investors who have already suffered losses are typically less willing to take additional risk (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
The model defines a maximum portfolio drawdown as a target parameter (default 15%). Since portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown are proportional to equity allocation (assuming cash has neither volatility nor drawdown), allocation-based control is possible. For example, if the market exhibits a 25% drawdown and target portfolio drawdown is 15%, equity allocation should be at most 60% (15/25).
4.4 Dynamic Risk Adjustment
An advanced feature of DEAM is dynamic adjustment of risk-based allocation through a feedback mechanism. The model continuously estimates what actual portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown would result at the current allocation. If risk utilization (ratio of actual to target risk) exceeds 1.0, allocation is reduced by an adjustment factor that grows exponentially with overutilization. This implements a form of dynamic feedback that avoids overexposure.
Mathematically, a risk adjustment factor r_adjust is calculated: if risk utilization u > 1, then r_adjust = exp(-0.5 × (u - 1)). This exponential function ensures that moderate overutilization is gently corrected, while strong overutilization triggers drastic reductions. The factor 0.5 in the exponent was empirically calibrated to achieve a balanced ratio between sensitivity and stability.
5. Component 3: Valuation Analysis
5.1 Theoretical Foundations of Fundamental Valuation
DEAM's valuation component is based on the fundamental premise that the intrinsic value of a security is determined by its future cash flows and that deviations between market price and intrinsic value are eventually corrected. Graham and Dodd (1934) established in "Security Analysis" the basic principles of fundamental analysis that remain relevant today. Translated into modern portfolio context, this means that markets with high valuation metrics (high price-earnings ratios) should have lower expected returns than cheaply valued markets.
Campbell and Shiller (1988) developed the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE), which smooths earnings over a full business cycle. Their empirical analysis showed that this ratio has significant predictive power for 10-year returns. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) demonstrated in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" that value effects exist not only in individual stocks but also in asset classes and markets.
5.2 Equity Risk Premium as Central Valuation Metric
The Equity Risk Premium (ERP) is defined as the expected excess return of stocks over risk-free government bonds. It is the theoretical heart of valuation analysis, as it represents the compensation investors demand for bearing equity risk. Damodaran (2012) discusses in "Equity Risk Premiums: Determinants, Estimation and Implications" various methods for ERP estimation.
DEAM calculates ERP not through a single method but combines four complementary approaches with different weights. This multi-method strategy increases estimation robustness and avoids dependence on single, potentially erroneous inputs.
The first method (35% weight) uses earnings yield, calculated as 1/P/E or directly from operating earnings data, and subtracts the 10-year Treasury yield. This method follows Fed Model logic (Yardeni, 2003), although this model has theoretical weaknesses as it does not consistently treat inflation (Asness, 2003).
The second method (30% weight) extends earnings yield by share buyback yield. Share buybacks are a form of capital return to shareholders and increase value per share. Boudoukh et al. (2007) showed in "The Total Shareholder Yield" that the sum of dividend yield and buyback yield is a better predictor of future returns than dividend yield alone.
The third method (20% weight) implements the Gordon Growth Model (Gordon, 1962), which models stock value as the sum of discounted future dividends. Under constant growth g assumption: Expected Return = Dividend Yield + g. The model estimates sustainable growth as g = ROE × (1 - Payout Ratio), where ROE is return on equity and payout ratio is the ratio of dividends to earnings. This formula follows from equity theory: unretained earnings are reinvested at ROE and generate additional earnings growth.
The fourth method (15% weight) combines total shareholder yield (Dividend + Buybacks) with implied growth derived from revenue growth. This method considers that companies with strong revenue growth should generate higher future earnings, even if current valuations do not yet fully reflect this.
The final ERP is the weighted average of these four methods. A high ERP (above 4%) signals attractive valuations and increases the valuation score to 95 out of 100 possible points. A negative ERP, where stocks have lower expected returns than bonds, results in a minimal score of 10.
5.3 Quality Adjustments to Valuation
Valuation metrics alone can be misleading if not interpreted in the context of company quality. A company with a low P/E may be cheap or fundamentally problematic. The model therefore implements quality adjustments based on growth, profitability, and capital structure.
Revenue growth above 10% annually adds 10 points to the valuation score, moderate growth above 5% adds 5 points. This adjustment reflects that growth has independent value (Modigliani and Miller, 1961, extended by later growth theory). Net margin above 15% signals pricing power and operational efficiency and increases the score by 5 points, while low margins below 8% indicate competitive pressure and subtract 5 points.
Return on equity (ROE) above 20% characterizes outstanding capital efficiency and increases the score by 5 points. Piotroski (2000) showed in "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information" that fundamental quality signals such as high ROE can improve the performance of value strategies.
Capital structure is evaluated through the debt-to-equity ratio. A conservative ratio below 1.0 multiplies the valuation score by 1.2, while high leverage above 2.0 applies a multiplier of 0.8. This adjustment reflects that high debt constrains financial flexibility and can become problematic in crisis times (Korteweg, 2010).
6. Component 4: Sentiment Analysis
6.1 The Role of Sentiment in Financial Markets
Investor sentiment, defined as the collective psychological attitude of market participants, influences asset prices independently of fundamental data. Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) developed a sentiment index and showed that periods of high sentiment are followed by overvaluations that later correct. This insight justifies integrating a sentiment component into allocation decisions.
Sentiment is difficult to measure directly but can be proxied through market indicators. The VIX is the most widely used sentiment indicator, as it aggregates implied volatility from option prices. High VIX values reflect elevated uncertainty and risk aversion, while low values signal market comfort. Whaley (2009) refers to the VIX as the "Investor Fear Gauge" and documents its role as a contrarian indicator: extremely high values typically occur at market bottoms, while low values occur at tops.
6.2 VIX-Based Sentiment Assessment
DEAM uses statistical normalization of the VIX by calculating the Z-score: z = (VIX_current - VIX_average) / VIX_standard_deviation. The Z-score indicates how many standard deviations the current VIX is from the historical average. This approach is more robust than absolute thresholds, as it adapts to the average volatility level, which can vary over longer periods.
A Z-score below -1.5 (VIX is 1.5 standard deviations below average) signals exceptionally low risk perception and adds 40 points to the sentiment score. This may seem counterintuitive—shouldn't low fear be bullish? However, the logic follows the contrarian principle: when no one is afraid, everyone is already invested, and there is limited further upside potential (Zweig, 1973). Conversely, a Z-score above 1.5 (extreme fear) adds -40 points, reflecting market panic but simultaneously suggesting potential buying opportunities.
6.3 VIX Term Structure as Sentiment Signal
The VIX term structure provides additional sentiment information. Normally, the VIX trades in contango, meaning longer-term VIX futures have higher prices than short-term. This reflects that short-term volatility is currently known, while long-term volatility is more uncertain and carries a risk premium. The model compares the VIX with VIX9D (9-day volatility) and identifies backwardation (VIX > 1.05 × VIX9D) and steep backwardation (VIX > 1.15 × VIX9D).
Backwardation occurs when short-term implied volatility is higher than longer-term, which typically happens during market stress. Investors anticipate immediate turbulence but expect calming. Psychologically, this reflects acute fear. The model subtracts 15 points for backwardation and 30 for steep backwardation, as these constellations signal elevated risk. Simon and Wiggins (2001) analyzed the VIX futures curve and showed that backwardation is associated with market declines.
6.4 Safe-Haven Flows
During crisis times, investors flee from risky assets into safe havens: gold, US dollar, and Japanese yen. This "flight to quality" is a sentiment signal. The model calculates the performance of these assets relative to stocks over the last 20 trading days. When gold or the dollar strongly rise while stocks fall, this indicates elevated risk aversion.
The safe-haven component is calculated as the difference between safe-haven performance and stock performance. Positive values (safe havens outperform) subtract up to 20 points from the sentiment score, negative values (stocks outperform) add up to 10 points. The asymmetric treatment (larger deduction for risk-off than bonus for risk-on) reflects that risk-off movements are typically sharper and more informative than risk-on phases.
Baur and Lucey (2010) examined safe-haven properties of gold and showed that gold indeed exhibits negative correlation with stocks during extreme market movements, confirming its role as crisis protection.
7. Component 5: Macroeconomic Analysis
7.1 The Yield Curve as Economic Indicator
The yield curve, represented as yields of government bonds of various maturities, contains aggregated expectations about future interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. The slope of the yield curve has remarkable predictive power for recessions. Estrella and Mishkin (1998) showed that an inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term) predicts recessions with high reliability. This is because inverted curves reflect restrictive monetary policy: the central bank raises short-term rates to combat inflation, dampening economic activity.
DEAM calculates two spread measures: the 2-year-minus-10-year spread and the 3-month-minus-10-year spread. A steep, positive curve (spreads above 1.5% and 2% respectively) signals healthy growth expectations and generates the maximum yield curve score of 40 points. A flat curve (spreads near zero) reduces the score to 20 points. An inverted curve (negative spreads) is particularly alarming and results in only 10 points.
The choice of two different spreads increases analysis robustness. The 2-10 spread is most established in academic literature, while the 3M-10Y spread is often considered more sensitive, as the 3-month rate directly reflects current monetary policy (Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei, 2006).
7.2 Credit Conditions and Spreads
Credit spreads—the yield difference between risky corporate bonds and safe government bonds—reflect risk perception in the credit market. Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) constructed an "Excess Bond Premium" that measures the component of credit spreads not explained by fundamentals and showed this is a predictor of future economic activity and stock returns.
The model approximates credit spread by comparing the yield of high-yield bond ETFs (HYG) with investment-grade bond ETFs (LQD). A narrow spread below 200 basis points signals healthy credit conditions and risk appetite, contributing 30 points to the macro score. Very wide spreads above 1000 basis points (as during the 2008 financial crisis) signal credit crunch and generate zero points.
Additionally, the model evaluates whether "flight to quality" is occurring, identified through strong performance of Treasury bonds (TLT) with simultaneous weakness in high-yield bonds. This constellation indicates elevated risk aversion and reduces the credit conditions score.
7.3 Financial Stability at Corporate Level
While the yield curve and credit spreads reflect macroeconomic conditions, financial stability evaluates the health of companies themselves. The model uses the aggregated debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity of the S&P 500 as proxies for corporate health.
A low leverage level below 0.5 combined with high ROE above 15% signals robust corporate balance sheets and generates 20 points. This combination is particularly valuable as it represents both defensive strength (low debt means crisis resistance) and offensive strength (high ROE means earnings power). High leverage above 1.5 generates only 5 points, as it implies vulnerability to interest rate increases and recessions.
Korteweg (2010) showed in "The Net Benefits to Leverage" that optimal debt maximizes firm value, but excessive debt increases distress costs. At the aggregated market level, high debt indicates fragilities that can become problematic during stress phases.
8. Component 6: Crisis Detection
8.1 The Need for Systematic Crisis Detection
Financial crises are rare but extremely impactful events that suspend normal statistical relationships. During normal market volatility, diversified portfolios and traditional risk management approaches function, but during systemic crises, seemingly independent assets suddenly correlate strongly, and losses exceed historical expectations (Longin and Solnik, 2001). This justifies a separate crisis detection mechanism that operates independently of regular allocation components.
Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) documented in "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" recurring patterns in financial crises: extreme volatility, massive drawdowns, credit market dysfunction, and asset price collapse. DEAM operationalizes these patterns into quantifiable crisis indicators.
8.2 Multi-Signal Crisis Identification
The model uses a counter-based approach where various stress signals are identified and aggregated. This methodology is more robust than relying on a single indicator, as true crises typically occur simultaneously across multiple dimensions. A single signal may be a false alarm, but the simultaneous presence of multiple signals increases confidence.
The first indicator is a VIX above the crisis threshold (default 40), adding one point. A VIX above 60 (as in 2008 and March 2020) adds two additional points, as such extreme values are historically very rare. This tiered approach captures the intensity of volatility.
The second indicator is market drawdown. A drawdown above 15% adds one point, as corrections of this magnitude can be potential harbingers of larger crises. A drawdown above 25% adds another point, as historical bear markets typically encompass 25-40% drawdowns.
The third indicator is credit market spreads above 500 basis points, adding one point. Such wide spreads occur only during significant credit market disruptions, as in 2008 during the Lehman crisis.
The fourth indicator identifies simultaneous losses in stocks and bonds. Normally, Treasury bonds act as a hedge against equity risk (negative correlation), but when both fall simultaneously, this indicates systemic liquidity problems or inflation/stagflation fears. The model checks whether both SPY and TLT have fallen more than 10% and 5% respectively over 5 trading days, adding two points.
The fifth indicator is a volume spike combined with negative returns. Extreme trading volumes (above twice the 20-day average) with falling prices signal panic selling. This adds one point.
A crisis situation is diagnosed when at least 3 indicators trigger, a severe crisis at 5 or more indicators. These thresholds were calibrated through historical backtesting to identify true crises (2008, 2020) without generating excessive false alarms.
8.3 Crisis-Based Allocation Override
When a crisis is detected, the system overrides the normal allocation recommendation and caps equity allocation at maximum 25%. In a severe crisis, the cap is set at 10%. This drastic defensive posture follows the empirical observation that crises typically require time to develop and that early reduction can avoid substantial losses (Faber, 2007).
This override logic implements a "safety first" principle: in situations of existential danger to the portfolio, capital preservation becomes the top priority. Roy (1952) formalized this approach in "Safety First and the Holding of Assets," arguing that investors should primarily minimize ruin probability.
9. Integration and Final Allocation Calculation
9.1 Component Weighting
The final allocation recommendation emerges through weighted aggregation of the five components. The standard weighting is: Market Regime 35%, Risk Management 25%, Valuation 20%, Sentiment 15%, Macro 5%. These weights reflect both theoretical considerations and empirical backtesting results.
The highest weighting of market regime is based on evidence that trend-following and momentum strategies have delivered robust results across various asset classes and time periods (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). Current market momentum is highly informative for the near future, although it provides no information about long-term expectations.
The substantial weighting of risk management (25%) follows from the central importance of risk control. Wealth preservation is the foundation of long-term wealth creation, and systematic risk management is demonstrably value-creating (Moreira and Muir, 2017).
The valuation component receives 20% weight, based on the long-term mean reversion of valuation metrics. While valuation has limited short-term predictive power (bull and bear markets can begin at any valuation), the long-term relationship between valuation and returns is robustly documented (Campbell and Shiller, 1988).
Sentiment (15%) and Macro (5%) receive lower weights, as these factors are subtler and harder to measure. Sentiment is valuable as a contrarian indicator at extremes but less informative in normal ranges. Macro variables such as the yield curve have strong predictive power for recessions, but the transmission from recessions to stock market performance is complex and temporally variable.
9.2 Model Type Adjustments
DEAM allows users to choose between four model types: Conservative, Balanced, Aggressive, and Adaptive. This choice modifies the final allocation through additive adjustments.
Conservative mode subtracts 10 percentage points from allocation, resulting in consistently more cautious positioning. This is suitable for risk-averse investors or those with limited investment horizons. Aggressive mode adds 10 percentage points, suitable for risk-tolerant investors with long horizons.
Adaptive mode implements procyclical adjustment based on short-term momentum: if the market has risen more than 5% in the last 20 days, 5 percentage points are added; if it has declined more than 5%, 5 points are subtracted. This logic follows the observation that short-term momentum persists (Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993), but the moderate size of adjustment avoids excessive timing bets.
Balanced mode makes no adjustment and uses raw model output. This neutral setting is suitable for investors who wish to trust model recommendations unchanged.
9.3 Smoothing and Stability
The allocation resulting from aggregation undergoes final smoothing through a simple moving average over 3 periods. This smoothing is crucial for model practicality, as it reduces frequent trading and thus transaction costs. Without smoothing, the model could fluctuate between adjacent allocations with every small input change.
The choice of 3 periods as smoothing window is a compromise between responsiveness and stability. Longer smoothing would excessively delay signals and impede response to true regime changes. Shorter or no smoothing would allow too much noise. Empirical tests showed that 3-period smoothing offers an optimal ratio between these goals.
10. Visualization and Interpretation
10.1 Main Output: Equity Allocation
DEAM's primary output is a time series from 0 to 100 representing the recommended percentage allocation to equities. This representation is intuitive: 100% means full investment in stocks (specifically: an S&P 500 ETF), 0% means complete cash position, and intermediate values correspond to mixed portfolios. A value of 60% means, for example: invest 60% of wealth in SPY, hold 40% in money market instruments or cash.
The time series is color-coded to enable quick visual interpretation. Green shades represent high allocations (above 80%, bullish), red shades low allocations (below 20%, bearish), and neutral colors middle allocations. The chart background is dynamically colored based on the signal, enhancing readability in different market phases.
10.2 Dashboard Metrics
A tabular dashboard presents key metrics compactly. This includes current allocation, cash allocation (complement), an aggregated signal (BULLISH/NEUTRAL/BEARISH), current market regime, VIX level, market drawdown, and crisis status.
Additionally, fundamental metrics are displayed: P/E Ratio, Equity Risk Premium, Return on Equity, Debt-to-Equity Ratio, and Total Shareholder Yield. This transparency allows users to understand model decisions and form their own assessments.
Component scores (Regime, Risk, Valuation, Sentiment, Macro) are also displayed, each normalized on a 0-100 scale. This shows which factors primarily drive the current recommendation. If, for example, the Risk score is very low (20) while other scores are moderate (50-60), this indicates that risk management considerations are pulling allocation down.
10.3 Component Breakdown (Optional)
Advanced users can display individual components as separate lines in the chart. This enables analysis of component dynamics: do all components move synchronously, or are there divergences? Divergences can be particularly informative. If, for example, the market regime is bullish (high score) but the valuation component is very negative, this signals an overbought market not fundamentally supported—a classic "bubble warning."
This feature is disabled by default to keep the chart clean but can be activated for deeper analysis.
10.4 Confidence Bands
The model optionally displays uncertainty bands around the main allocation line. These are calculated as ±1 standard deviation of allocation over a rolling 20-period window. Wide bands indicate high volatility of model recommendations, suggesting uncertain market conditions. Narrow bands indicate stable recommendations.
This visualization implements a concept of epistemic uncertainty—uncertainty about the model estimate itself, not just market volatility. In phases where various indicators send conflicting signals, the allocation recommendation becomes more volatile, manifesting in wider bands. Users can understand this as a warning to act more cautiously or consult alternative information sources.
11. Alert System
11.1 Allocation Alerts
DEAM implements an alert system that notifies users of significant events. Allocation alerts trigger when smoothed allocation crosses certain thresholds. An alert is generated when allocation reaches 80% (from below), signaling strong bullish conditions. Another alert triggers when allocation falls to 20%, indicating defensive positioning.
These thresholds are not arbitrary but correspond with boundaries between model regimes. An allocation of 80% roughly corresponds to a clear bull market regime, while 20% corresponds to a bear market regime. Alerts at these points are therefore informative about fundamental regime shifts.
11.2 Crisis Alerts
Separate alerts trigger upon detection of crisis and severe crisis. These alerts have highest priority as they signal large risks. A crisis alert should prompt investors to review their portfolio and potentially take defensive measures beyond the automatic model recommendation (e.g., hedging through put options, rebalancing to more defensive sectors).
11.3 Regime Change Alerts
An alert triggers upon change of market regime (e.g., from Neutral to Correction, or from Bull Market to Strong Bull). Regime changes are highly informative events that typically entail substantial allocation changes. These alerts enable investors to proactively respond to changes in market dynamics.
11.4 Risk Breach Alerts
A specialized alert triggers when actual portfolio risk utilization exceeds target parameters by 20%. This is a warning signal that the risk management system is reaching its limits, possibly because market volatility is rising faster than allocation can be reduced. In such situations, investors should consider manual interventions.
12. Practical Application and Limitations
12.1 Portfolio Implementation
DEAM generates a recommendation for allocation between equities (S&P 500) and cash. Implementation by an investor can take various forms. The most direct method is using an S&P 500 ETF (e.g., SPY, VOO) for equity allocation and a money market fund or savings account for cash allocation.
A rebalancing strategy is required to synchronize actual allocation with model recommendation. Two approaches are possible: (1) rule-based rebalancing at every 10% deviation between actual and target, or (2) time-based monthly rebalancing. Both have trade-offs between responsiveness and transaction costs. Empirical evidence (Jaconetti, Kinniry, and Zilbering, 2010) suggests rebalancing frequency has moderate impact on performance, and investors should optimize based on their transaction costs.
12.2 Adaptation to Individual Preferences
The model offers numerous adjustment parameters. Component weights can be modified if investors place more or less belief in certain factors. A fundamentally-oriented investor might increase valuation weight, while a technical trader might increase regime weight.
Risk target parameters (target volatility, max drawdown) should be adapted to individual risk tolerance. Younger investors with long investment horizons can choose higher target volatility (15-18%), while retirees may prefer lower volatility (8-10%). This adjustment systematically shifts average equity allocation.
Crisis thresholds can be adjusted based on preference for sensitivity versus specificity of crisis detection. Lower thresholds (e.g., VIX > 35 instead of 40) increase sensitivity (more crises are detected) but reduce specificity (more false alarms). Higher thresholds have the reverse effect.
12.3 Limitations and Disclaimers
DEAM is based on historical relationships between indicators and market performance. There is no guarantee these relationships will persist in the future. Structural changes in markets (e.g., through regulation, technology, or central bank policy) can break established patterns. This is the fundamental problem of induction in financial science (Taleb, 2007).
The model is optimized for US equities (S&P 500). Application to other markets (international stocks, bonds, commodities) would require recalibration. The indicators and thresholds are specific to the statistical properties of the US equity market.
The model cannot eliminate losses. Even with perfect crisis prediction, an investor following the model would lose money in bear markets—just less than a buy-and-hold investor. The goal is risk-adjusted performance improvement, not risk elimination.
Transaction costs are not modeled. In practice, spreads, commissions, and taxes reduce net returns. Frequent trading can cause substantial costs. Model smoothing helps minimize this, but users should consider their specific cost situation.
The model reacts to information; it does not anticipate it. During sudden shocks (e.g., 9/11, COVID-19 lockdowns), the model can only react after price movements, not before. This limitation is inherent to all reactive systems.
12.4 Relationship to Other Strategies
DEAM is a tactical asset allocation approach and should be viewed as a complement, not replacement, for strategic asset allocation. Brinson, Hood, and Beebower (1986) showed in their influential study "Determinants of Portfolio Performance" that strategic asset allocation (long-term policy allocation) explains the majority of portfolio performance, but this leaves room for tactical adjustments based on market timing.
The model can be combined with value and momentum strategies at the individual stock level. While DEAM controls overall market exposure, within-equity decisions can be optimized through stock-picking models. This separation between strategic (market exposure) and tactical (stock selection) levels follows classical portfolio theory.
The model does not replace diversification across asset classes. A complete portfolio should also include bonds, international stocks, real estate, and alternative investments. DEAM addresses only the US equity allocation decision within a broader portfolio.
13. Scientific Foundation and Evaluation
13.1 Theoretical Consistency
DEAM's components are based on established financial theory and empirical evidence. The market regime component follows from regime-switching models (Hamilton, 1989) and trend-following literature. The risk management component implements volatility targeting (Moreira and Muir, 2017) and modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952). The valuation component is based on discounted cash flow theory and empirical value research (Campbell and Shiller, 1988; Fama and French, 1992). The sentiment component integrates behavioral finance (Baker and Wurgler, 2006). The macro component uses established business cycle indicators (Estrella and Mishkin, 1998).
This theoretical grounding distinguishes DEAM from purely data-mining-based approaches that identify patterns without causal theory. Theory-guided models have greater probability of functioning out-of-sample, as they are based on fundamental mechanisms, not random correlations (Lo and MacKinlay, 1990).
13.2 Empirical Validation
While this document does not present detailed backtest analysis, it should be noted that rigorous validation of a tactical asset allocation model should include several elements:
In-sample testing establishes whether the model functions at all in the data on which it was calibrated. Out-of-sample testing is crucial: the model should be tested in time periods not used for development. Walk-forward analysis, where the model is successively trained on rolling windows and tested in the next window, approximates real implementation.
Performance metrics should be risk-adjusted. Pure return consideration is misleading, as higher returns often only compensate for higher risk. Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio, and Maximum Drawdown are relevant metrics. Comparison with benchmarks (Buy-and-Hold S&P 500, 60/40 Stock/Bond portfolio) contextualizes performance.
Robustness checks test sensitivity to parameter variation. If the model only functions at specific parameter settings, this indicates overfitting. Robust models show consistent performance over a range of plausible parameters.
13.3 Comparison with Existing Literature
DEAM fits into the broader literature on tactical asset allocation. Faber (2007) presented a simple momentum-based timing system that goes long when the market is above its 10-month average, otherwise cash. This simple system avoided large drawdowns in bear markets. DEAM can be understood as a sophistication of this approach that integrates multiple information sources.
Ilmanen (2011) discusses various timing factors in "Expected Returns" and argues for multi-factor approaches. DEAM operationalizes this philosophy. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) showed that value and momentum effects work across asset classes, justifying cross-asset application of regime and valuation signals.
Ang (2014) emphasizes in "Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing" the importance of systematic, rule-based approaches over discretionary decisions. DEAM is fully systematic and eliminates emotional biases that plague individual investors (overconfidence, hindsight bias, loss aversion).
References
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PriceActionLibrary "PriceAction"
Hi all!
This library will help you to plot the market structure and liquidity. By now, the only part in the price action section is liquidity, but I plan to add more later on. The market structure will be split into two parts, 'Internal' and 'Swing' with separate pivot lengths. For these two trends it will show you:
• Break of structure (BOS)
• Change of character (CHoCH/CHoCH+) (mandatory)
• Equal high/low (EQH/EQL)
It's inspired by "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) " by LuxAlgo.
This library is now the same code as the code in my library 'MarketStructure', but it has evolved into a more price action oriented library than just a market structure library. This is more accurate and I will continue working on this library to keep it growing.
This code does not provide any examples, but you can look at my indicators 'Market structure' () and 'Order blocks' (), where I use the 'MarketStructure' library (which is the same code).
Market structure
Both of these market structures can be enabled/disabled by setting them to 'na'. The pivots lengths can be configured separately. The pivots found will be the 'base' of and will show you when price breaks it. When that happens a break of structure or a change of character will be created. The latest 5 pivots found within the current trends will be kept to take action on. They are cleared on a change of character, so nothing (break of structures or change of characters) can happen on pivots before a trend change. The internal market structure is shown with dashed lines and swing market structure is shown with solid lines.
Labels for a change of character can have either the text 'CHoCH' or 'CHoCH+'. A Change of Character plus is formed when price fails to form a higher high or a lower low before reversing. Note that a pivot that is created after the change of character might have a higher high or a lower low, thus not making the break a 'CHoCH+'. This is not changed after the pivot is found but is kept as is.
A break of structure is removed if an earlier pivot within the same trend is broken, i.e. another break of structure (with a longer distance) is created. Like in the images below, the first pivot (in the first image) is removed when an earlier pivot's higher price within the same trend is broken (the second image):
[image [https://www.tradingview.com/x/PRP6YtPA/
Equal high/lows have a configurable color setting and can be configured to be extended to the right. Equal high/lows are only possible if it's not been broken by price. A factor (percentage of width) of the Average True Length (of length 14) that the pivot must be within to to be considered an Equal high/low. Equal highs/lows can be of 2 pivots or more.
You are able to show the pivots that are used. "HH" (higher high), "HL" (higher low), "LH" (lower high), "LL" (lower low) and "H"/"L" (for pivots (high/low) when the trend has changed) are the labels used. There are also labels for break of structures ('BOS') and change of characters ('CHoCH' or 'CHoCH+'). The size of these texts is set in the 'FontSize' setting.
When programming I focused on simplicity and ease of read. I did not focus on performance, I will do so if it's a problem (haven't noticed it is one yet).
You can set alerts for when a change of character, break of structure or an equal high/low (new or an addition to a previously found) happens. The alerts that are fired are on 'once_per_bar_close' to avoid repainting. This has the drawback to alert you when the bar closes.
Price action
The indicator will create lines and zones for spotted liquidity. It will draw a line (with dotted style) at the price level that was liquidated, but it will also draw a zone from that level to the bar that broke the pivot high or low price. If that zone is large the liquidation is big and might be significant. This can be disabled in the settings. You can also change the confirmation candles (that does not close above or below the pivot level) needed after a liquidation and how many pivots back to look at.
The lines and boxes drawn will look like this if the color is orange:
Hope this is of help!
Will draw out the market structure for the disired pivot length.
Liqudity(liquidity)
Will draw liquidity.
Parameters:
liquidity (Liquidity) : The 'PriceAction.Liquidity' object.
Pivot(structure)
Sets the pivots in the structure.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
PivotLabels(structure)
Draws labels for the pivots found.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
EqualHighOrLow(structure)
Draws the boxes for equal highs/lows. Also creates labels for the pivots included.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
BreakOfStructure(structure)
Will create lines when a break of strycture occures.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: A boolean that represents if a break of structure was found or not.
ChangeOfCharacter(structure)
Will create lines when a change of character occures. This line will have a label with "CHoCH" or "CHoCH+".
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: A boolean that represents if a change of character was found or not.
VisualizeCurrent(structure)
Will create a box with a background for between the latest high and low pivots. This can be used as the current trading range (if the pivots broke strucure somehow).
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
StructureBreak
Holds drawings for a structure break.
Fields:
Line (series line) : The line object.
Label (series label) : The label object.
Pivot
Holds all the values for a found pivot.
Fields:
Price (series float) : The price of the pivot.
BarIndex (series int) : The bar_index where the pivot occured.
Type (series int) : The type of the pivot (-1 = low, 1 = high).
Time (series int) : The time where the pivot occured.
BreakOfStructureBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a break of structure has happened.
LiquidityBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a liquidity of the price level has happened.
ChangeOfCharacterBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a change of character has happened.
Structure
Holds all the values for the market structure.
Fields:
LeftLength (series int) : Define the left length of the pivots used.
RightLength (series int) : Define the right length of the pivots used.
Type (series Type) : Set the type of the market structure. Two types can be used, 'internal' and 'swing' (0 = internal, 1 = swing).
Trend (series int) : This will be set internally and can be -1 = downtrend, 1 = uptrend.
EqualPivotsFactor (series float) : Set how the limits are for an equal pivot. This is a factor of the Average True Length (ATR) of length 14. If a low pivot is considered to be equal if it doesn't break the low pivot (is at a lower value) and is inside the previous low pivot + this limit.
ExtendEqualPivotsZones (series bool) : Set to true if you want the equal pivots zones to be extended.
ExtendEqualPivotsStyle (series string) : Set the style of equal pivot zones.
ExtendEqualPivotsColor (series color) : Set the color of equal pivot zones.
EqualHighs (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal highs.
EqualLows (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal lows.
BreakOfStructures (array) : Holds all the break of structures within the trend (before a change of character).
Pivots (array) : All the pivots in the current trend, added with the latest first, this is cleared when the trend changes.
FontSize (series int) : Holds the size of the font displayed.
AlertChangeOfCharacter (series bool) : Holds true or false if a change of character should be alerted or not.
AlertBreakOfStructure (series bool) : Holds true or false if a break of structure should be alerted or not.
AlerEqualPivots (series bool) : Holds true or false if equal highs/lows should be alerted or not.
Liquidity
Holds all the values for liquidity.
Fields:
LiquidityPivotsHigh (array) : All high pivots for liquidity.
LiquidityPivotsLow (array) : All low pivots for liquidity.
LiquidityConfirmationBars (series int) : The number of bars to confirm that a liquidity is valid.
LiquidityPivotsLookback (series int) : A number of pivots to look back for.
FontSize (series int) : Holds the size of the font displayed.
PriceAction
Holds all the values for the general price action and the market structures.
Fields:
Liquidity (Liquidity)
Swing (Structure) : Placeholder for all objects used for the swing market structure.
Internal (Structure) : Placeholder for all objects used for the internal market structure.
Markov Chain [3D] | FractalystWhat exactly is a Markov Chain?
This indicator uses a Markov Chain model to analyze, quantify, and visualize the transitions between market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) on your chart. It dynamically detects these regimes in real-time, calculates transition probabilities, and displays them as animated 3D spheres and arrows, giving traders intuitive insight into current and future market conditions.
How does a Markov Chain work, and how should I read this spheres-and-arrows diagram?
Think of three weather modes: Sunny, Rainy, Cloudy.
Each sphere is one mode. The loop on a sphere means “stay the same next step” (e.g., Sunny again tomorrow).
The arrows leaving a sphere show where things usually go next if they change (e.g., Sunny moving to Cloudy).
Some paths matter more than others. A more prominent loop means the current mode tends to persist. A more prominent outgoing arrow means a change to that destination is the usual next step.
Direction isn’t symmetric: moving Sunny→Cloudy can behave differently than Cloudy→Sunny.
Now relabel the spheres to markets: Bull, Bear, Neutral.
Spheres: market regimes (uptrend, downtrend, range).
Self‑loop: tendency for the current regime to continue on the next bar.
Arrows: the most common next regime if a switch happens.
How to read: Start at the sphere that matches current bar state. If the loop stands out, expect continuation. If one outgoing path stands out, that switch is the typical next step. Opposite directions can differ (Bear→Neutral doesn’t have to match Neutral→Bear).
What states and transitions are shown?
The three market states visualized are:
Bullish (Bull): Upward or strong-market regime.
Bearish (Bear): Downward or weak-market regime.
Neutral: Sideways or range-bound regime.
Bidirectional animated arrows and probability labels show how likely the market is to move from one regime to another (e.g., Bull → Bear or Neutral → Bull).
How does the regime detection system work?
You can use either built-in price returns (based on adaptive Z-score normalization) or supply three custom indicators (such as volume, oscillators, etc.).
Values are statistically normalized (Z-scored) over a configurable lookback period.
The normalized outputs are classified into Bull, Bear, or Neutral zones.
If using three indicators, their regime signals are averaged and smoothed for robustness.
How are transition probabilities calculated?
On every confirmed bar, the algorithm tracks the sequence of detected market states, then builds a rolling window of transitions.
The code maintains a transition count matrix for all regime pairs (e.g., Bull → Bear).
Transition probabilities are extracted for each possible state change using Laplace smoothing for numerical stability, and frequently updated in real-time.
What is unique about the visualization?
3D animated spheres represent each regime and change visually when active.
Animated, bidirectional arrows reveal transition probabilities and allow you to see both dominant and less likely regime flows.
Particles (moving dots) animate along the arrows, enhancing the perception of regime flow direction and speed.
All elements dynamically update with each new price bar, providing a live market map in an intuitive, engaging format.
Can I use custom indicators for regime classification?
Yes! Enable the "Custom Indicators" switch and select any three chart series as inputs. These will be normalized and combined (each with equal weight), broadening the regime classification beyond just price-based movement.
What does the “Lookback Period” control?
Lookback Period (default: 100) sets how much historical data builds the probability matrix. Shorter periods adapt faster to regime changes but may be noisier. Longer periods are more stable but slower to adapt.
How is this different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
It sets the window for both regime detection and probability calculations. Lower values make the system more reactive, but potentially noisier. Higher values smooth estimates and make the system more robust.
How is this Markov Chain different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
Markov Chain (as here): All market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) are directly observable on the chart. The transition matrix is built from actual detected regimes, keeping the model simple and interpretable.
Hidden Markov Model: The actual regimes are unobservable ("hidden") and must be inferred from market output or indicator "emissions" using statistical learning algorithms. HMMs are more complex, can capture more subtle structure, but are harder to visualize and require additional machine learning steps for training.
A standard Markov Chain models transitions between observable states using a simple transition matrix, while a Hidden Markov Model assumes the true states are hidden (latent) and must be inferred from observable “emissions” like price or volume data. In practical terms, a Markov Chain is transparent and easier to implement and interpret; an HMM is more expressive but requires statistical inference to estimate hidden states from data.
Markov Chain: states are observable; you directly count or estimate transition probabilities between visible states. This makes it simpler, faster, and easier to validate and tune.
HMM: states are hidden; you only observe emissions generated by those latent states. Learning involves machine learning/statistical algorithms (commonly Baum–Welch/EM for training and Viterbi for decoding) to infer both the transition dynamics and the most likely hidden state sequence from data.
How does the indicator avoid “repainting” or look-ahead bias?
All regime changes and matrix updates happen only on confirmed (closed) bars, so no future data is leaked, ensuring reliable real-time operation.
Are there practical tuning tips?
Tune the Lookback Period for your asset/timeframe: shorter for fast markets, longer for stability.
Use custom indicators if your asset has unique regime drivers.
Watch for rapid changes in transition probabilities as early warning of a possible regime shift.
Who is this indicator for?
Quants and quantitative researchers exploring probabilistic market modeling, especially those interested in regime-switching dynamics and Markov models.
Programmers and system developers who need a probabilistic regime filter for systematic and algorithmic backtesting:
The Markov Chain indicator is ideally suited for programmatic integration via its bias output (1 = Bull, 0 = Neutral, -1 = Bear).
Although the visualization is engaging, the core output is designed for automated, rules-based workflows—not for discretionary/manual trading decisions.
Developers can connect the indicator’s output directly to their Pine Script logic (using input.source()), allowing rapid and robust backtesting of regime-based strategies.
It acts as a plug-and-play regime filter: simply plug the bias output into your entry/exit logic, and you have a scientifically robust, probabilistically-derived signal for filtering, timing, position sizing, or risk regimes.
The MC's output is intentionally "trinary" (1/0/-1), focusing on clear regime states for unambiguous decision-making in code. If you require nuanced, multi-probability or soft-label state vectors, consider expanding the indicator or stacking it with a probability-weighted logic layer in your scripting.
Because it avoids subjectivity, this approach is optimal for systematic quants, algo developers building backtested, repeatable strategies based on probabilistic regime analysis.
What's the mathematical foundation behind this?
The mathematical foundation behind this Markov Chain indicator—and probabilistic regime detection in finance—draws from two principal models: the (standard) Markov Chain and the Hidden Markov Model (HMM).
How to use this indicator programmatically?
The Markov Chain indicator automatically exports a bias value (+1 for Bullish, -1 for Bearish, 0 for Neutral) as a plot visible in the Data Window. This allows you to integrate its regime signal into your own scripts and strategies for backtesting, automation, or live trading.
Step-by-Step Integration with Pine Script (input.source)
Add the Markov Chain indicator to your chart.
This must be done first, since your custom script will "pull" the bias signal from the indicator's plot.
In your strategy, create an input using input.source()
Example:
//@version=5
strategy("MC Bias Strategy Example")
mcBias = input.source(close, "MC Bias Source")
After saving, go to your script’s settings. For the “MC Bias Source” input, select the plot/output of the Markov Chain indicator (typically its bias plot).
Use the bias in your trading logic
Example (long only on Bull, flat otherwise):
if mcBias == 1
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
else
strategy.close("Long")
For more advanced workflows, combine mcBias with additional filters or trailing stops.
How does this work behind-the-scenes?
TradingView’s input.source() lets you use any plot from another indicator as a real-time, “live” data feed in your own script (source).
The selected bias signal is available to your Pine code as a variable, enabling logical decisions based on regime (trend-following, mean-reversion, etc.).
This enables powerful strategy modularity : decouple regime detection from entry/exit logic, allowing fast experimentation without rewriting core signal code.
Integrating 45+ Indicators with Your Markov Chain — How & Why
The Enhanced Custom Indicators Export script exports a massive suite of over 45 technical indicators—ranging from classic momentum (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, etc.) to trend, volume, volatility, and oscillator tools—all pre-calculated, centered/scaled, and available as plots.
// Enhanced Custom Indicators Export - 45 Technical Indicators
// Comprehensive technical analysis suite for advanced market regime detection
//@version=6
indicator('Enhanced Custom Indicators Export | Fractalyst', shorttitle='Enhanced CI Export', overlay=false, scale=scale.right, max_labels_count=500, max_lines_count=500)
// |----- Input Parameters -----| //
momentum_group = "Momentum Indicators"
trend_group = "Trend Indicators"
volume_group = "Volume Indicators"
volatility_group = "Volatility Indicators"
oscillator_group = "Oscillator Indicators"
display_group = "Display Settings"
// Common lengths
length_14 = input.int(14, "Standard Length (14)", minval=1, maxval=100, group=momentum_group)
length_20 = input.int(20, "Medium Length (20)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
length_50 = input.int(50, "Long Length (50)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
// Display options
show_table = input.bool(true, "Show Values Table", group=display_group)
table_size = input.string("Small", "Table Size", options= , group=display_group)
// |----- MOMENTUM INDICATORS (15 indicators) -----| //
// 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
rsi_14 = ta.rsi(close, length_14)
rsi_centered = rsi_14 - 50
// 2. Stochastic Oscillator
stoch_k = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14)
stoch_d = ta.sma(stoch_k, 3)
stoch_centered = stoch_k - 50
// 3. Williams %R
williams_r = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14) - 100
// 4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
// 5. Momentum (Rate of Change)
momentum = ta.mom(close, length_14)
momentum_pct = (momentum / close ) * 100
// 6. Rate of Change (ROC)
roc = ta.roc(close, length_14)
// 7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
cci = ta.cci(close, length_20)
// 8. Money Flow Index (MFI)
mfi = ta.mfi(close, length_14)
mfi_centered = mfi - 50
// 9. Awesome Oscillator (AO)
ao = ta.sma(hl2, 5) - ta.sma(hl2, 34)
// 10. Accelerator Oscillator (AC)
ac = ao - ta.sma(ao, 5)
// 11. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
cmo = ta.cmo(close, length_14)
// 12. Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO)
dpo = close - ta.sma(close, length_20)
// 13. Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo = ta.sma(close, 12) - ta.sma(close, 26)
ppo_pct = (ppo / ta.sma(close, 26)) * 100
// 14. TRIX
trix_ema1 = ta.ema(close, length_14)
trix_ema2 = ta.ema(trix_ema1, length_14)
trix_ema3 = ta.ema(trix_ema2, length_14)
trix = ta.roc(trix_ema3, 1) * 10000
// 15. Klinger Oscillator
klinger = ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 34) - ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 55)
// 16. Fisher Transform
fisher_hl2 = 0.5 * (hl2 - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) / (ta.highest(hl2, 10) - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) - 0.25
fisher = 0.5 * math.log((1 + fisher_hl2) / (1 - fisher_hl2))
// 17. Stochastic RSI
stoch_rsi = ta.stoch(rsi_14, rsi_14, rsi_14, length_14)
stoch_rsi_centered = stoch_rsi - 50
// 18. Relative Vigor Index (RVI)
rvi_num = ta.swma(close - open)
rvi_den = ta.swma(high - low)
rvi = rvi_den != 0 ? rvi_num / rvi_den : 0
// 19. Balance of Power (BOP)
bop = (close - open) / (high - low)
// |----- TREND INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 20. Simple Moving Average Momentum
sma_20 = ta.sma(close, length_20)
sma_momentum = ((close - sma_20) / sma_20) * 100
// 21. Exponential Moving Average Momentum
ema_20 = ta.ema(close, length_20)
ema_momentum = ((close - ema_20) / ema_20) * 100
// 22. Parabolic SAR
sar = ta.sar(0.02, 0.02, 0.2)
sar_trend = close > sar ? 1 : -1
// 23. Linear Regression Slope
lr_slope = ta.linreg(close, length_20, 0) - ta.linreg(close, length_20, 1)
// 24. Moving Average Convergence (MAC)
mac = ta.sma(close, 10) - ta.sma(close, 30)
// 25. Trend Intensity Index (TII)
tii_sum = 0.0
for i = 1 to length_20
tii_sum += close > close ? 1 : 0
tii = (tii_sum / length_20) * 100
// 26. Ichimoku Cloud Components
ichimoku_tenkan = (ta.highest(high, 9) + ta.lowest(low, 9)) / 2
ichimoku_kijun = (ta.highest(high, 26) + ta.lowest(low, 26)) / 2
ichimoku_signal = ichimoku_tenkan > ichimoku_kijun ? 1 : -1
// 27. MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA)
mama_alpha = 2.0 / (length_20 + 1)
mama = ta.ema(close, length_20)
mama_momentum = ((close - mama) / mama) * 100
// 28. Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA)
zlema_lag = math.round((length_20 - 1) / 2)
zlema_data = close + (close - close )
zlema = ta.ema(zlema_data, length_20)
zlema_momentum = ((close - zlema) / zlema) * 100
// |----- VOLUME INDICATORS (6 indicators) -----| //
// 29. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
obv = ta.obv
// 30. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
vroc = ta.roc(volume, length_14)
// 31. Price Volume Trend (PVT)
pvt = ta.pvt
// 32. Negative Volume Index (NVI)
nvi = 0.0
nvi := volume < volume ? nvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * nvi : nvi
// 33. Positive Volume Index (PVI)
pvi = 0.0
pvi := volume > volume ? pvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * pvi : pvi
// 34. Volume Oscillator
vol_osc = ta.sma(volume, 5) - ta.sma(volume, 10)
// 35. Ease of Movement (EOM)
eom_distance = high - low
eom_box_height = volume / 1000000
eom = eom_box_height != 0 ? eom_distance / eom_box_height : 0
eom_sma = ta.sma(eom, length_14)
// 36. Force Index
force_index = volume * (close - close )
force_index_sma = ta.sma(force_index, length_14)
// |----- VOLATILITY INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 37. Average True Range (ATR)
atr = ta.atr(length_14)
atr_pct = (atr / close) * 100
// 38. Bollinger Bands Position
bb_basis = ta.sma(close, length_20)
bb_dev = 2.0 * ta.stdev(close, length_20)
bb_upper = bb_basis + bb_dev
bb_lower = bb_basis - bb_dev
bb_position = bb_dev != 0 ? (close - bb_basis) / bb_dev : 0
bb_width = bb_dev != 0 ? (bb_upper - bb_lower) / bb_basis * 100 : 0
// 39. Keltner Channels Position
kc_basis = ta.ema(close, length_20)
kc_range = ta.ema(ta.tr, length_20)
kc_upper = kc_basis + (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_lower = kc_basis - (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_position = kc_range != 0 ? (close - kc_basis) / kc_range : 0
// 40. Donchian Channels Position
dc_upper = ta.highest(high, length_20)
dc_lower = ta.lowest(low, length_20)
dc_basis = (dc_upper + dc_lower) / 2
dc_position = (dc_upper - dc_lower) != 0 ? (close - dc_basis) / (dc_upper - dc_lower) : 0
// 41. Standard Deviation
std_dev = ta.stdev(close, length_20)
std_dev_pct = (std_dev / close) * 100
// 42. Relative Volatility Index (RVI)
rvi_up = ta.stdev(close > close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_down = ta.stdev(close < close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_total = rvi_up + rvi_down
rvi_volatility = rvi_total != 0 ? (rvi_up / rvi_total) * 100 : 50
// 43. Historical Volatility
hv_returns = math.log(close / close )
hv = ta.stdev(hv_returns, length_20) * math.sqrt(252) * 100
// 44. Garman-Klass Volatility
gk_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low) - (2*math.log(2)-1) * math.log(close/open) * math.log(close/open)
gk_volatility = math.sqrt(ta.sma(gk_vol, length_20)) * 100
// 45. Parkinson Volatility
park_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low)
parkinson = math.sqrt(ta.sma(park_vol, length_20) / (4 * math.log(2))) * 100
// 46. Rogers-Satchell Volatility
rs_vol = math.log(high/close) * math.log(high/open) + math.log(low/close) * math.log(low/open)
rogers_satchell = math.sqrt(ta.sma(rs_vol, length_20)) * 100
// |----- OSCILLATOR INDICATORS (5 indicators) -----| //
// 47. Elder Ray Index
elder_bull = high - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_bear = low - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_power = elder_bull + elder_bear
// 48. Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
stc_macd = ta.ema(close, 23) - ta.ema(close, 50)
stc_k = ta.stoch(stc_macd, stc_macd, stc_macd, 10)
stc_d = ta.ema(stc_k, 3)
stc = ta.stoch(stc_d, stc_d, stc_d, 10)
// 49. Coppock Curve
coppock_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 14)
coppock_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 11)
coppock = ta.wma(coppock_roc1 + coppock_roc2, 10)
// 50. Know Sure Thing (KST)
kst_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 10)
kst_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 15)
kst_roc3 = ta.roc(close, 20)
kst_roc4 = ta.roc(close, 30)
kst = ta.sma(kst_roc1, 10) + 2*ta.sma(kst_roc2, 10) + 3*ta.sma(kst_roc3, 10) + 4*ta.sma(kst_roc4, 15)
// 51. Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo_line = ((ta.ema(close, 12) - ta.ema(close, 26)) / ta.ema(close, 26)) * 100
ppo_signal = ta.ema(ppo_line, 9)
ppo_histogram = ppo_line - ppo_signal
// |----- PLOT MAIN INDICATORS -----| //
// Plot key momentum indicators
plot(rsi_centered, title="01_RSI_Centered", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_centered, title="02_Stoch_Centered", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(williams_r, title="03_Williams_R", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(macd_histogram, title="04_MACD_Histogram", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(cci, title="05_CCI", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend indicators
plot(sma_momentum, title="06_SMA_Momentum", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(ema_momentum, title="07_EMA_Momentum", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(sar_trend, title="08_SAR_Trend", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(lr_slope, title="09_LR_Slope", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(mac, title="10_MAC", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility indicators
plot(atr_pct, title="11_ATR_Pct", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_position, title="12_BB_Position", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(kc_position, title="13_KC_Position", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(std_dev_pct, title="14_StdDev_Pct", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_width, title="15_BB_Width", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume indicators
plot(vroc, title="16_VROC", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(eom_sma, title="17_EOM", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(vol_osc, title="18_Vol_Osc", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(force_index_sma, title="19_Force_Index", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(obv, title="20_OBV", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot additional oscillators
plot(ao, title="21_Awesome_Osc", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(cmo, title="22_CMO", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(dpo, title="23_DPO", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(trix, title="24_TRIX", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(fisher, title="25_Fisher", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot more momentum indicators
plot(mfi_centered, title="26_MFI_Centered", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(ac, title="27_AC", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(ppo_pct, title="28_PPO_Pct", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_rsi_centered, title="29_StochRSI_Centered", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(klinger, title="30_Klinger", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend continuation
plot(tii, title="31_TII", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(ichimoku_signal, title="32_Ichimoku_Signal", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(mama_momentum, title="33_MAMA_Momentum", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(zlema_momentum, title="34_ZLEMA_Momentum", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(bop, title="35_BOP", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume continuation
plot(nvi, title="36_NVI", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvi, title="37_PVI", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(momentum_pct, title="38_Momentum_Pct", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(roc, title="39_ROC", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi, title="40_RVI", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility continuation
plot(dc_position, title="41_DC_Position", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi_volatility, title="42_RVI_Volatility", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(hv, title="43_Historical_Vol", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(gk_volatility, title="44_GK_Volatility", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(parkinson, title="45_Parkinson_Vol", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot final oscillators
plot(rogers_satchell, title="46_RS_Volatility", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(elder_power, title="47_Elder_Power", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(stc, title="48_STC", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(coppock, title="49_Coppock", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(kst, title="50_KST", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot final indicators
plot(ppo_histogram, title="51_PPO_Histogram", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvt, title="52_PVT", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
// |----- Reference Lines -----| //
hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dashed, linewidth=1)
hline(50, "Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-50, "Lower Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(25, "Upper Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-25, "Lower Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
// |----- Enhanced Information Table -----| //
if show_table and barstate.islast
table_position = position.top_right
table_text_size = table_size == "Tiny" ? size.tiny : table_size == "Small" ? size.small : size.normal
var table info_table = table.new(table_position, 3, 18, bgcolor=color.new(color.white, 85), border_width=1, border_color=color.gray)
// Headers
table.cell(info_table, 0, 0, 'Category', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 0, 'Indicator', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 2, 0, 'Value', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
// Key Momentum Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 1, 'MOMENTUM', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 1, 'RSI Centered', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 1, str.tostring(rsi_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 2, '', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 2, 'Stoch Centered', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 2, str.tostring(stoch_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 3, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 3, 'Williams %R', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 3, str.tostring(williams_r, '0.00'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 4, '', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 4, 'MACD Histogram', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 4, str.tostring(macd_histogram, '0.000'), text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 5, '', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 5, 'CCI', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 5, str.tostring(cci, '0.00'), text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Trend Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 6, 'TREND', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.navy, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 6, 'SMA Momentum %', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 6, str.tostring(sma_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 7, '', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 7, 'EMA Momentum %', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 7, str.tostring(ema_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 8, '', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 8, 'SAR Trend', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 8, str.tostring(sar_trend, '0'), text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 9, '', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 9, 'Linear Regression', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 9, str.tostring(lr_slope, '0.000'), text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volatility Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 10, 'VOLATILITY', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.yellow, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 10, 'ATR %', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 10, str.tostring(atr_pct, '0.00'), text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 11, '', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 11, 'BB Position', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 11, str.tostring(bb_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 12, '', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 12, 'KC Position', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 12, str.tostring(kc_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volume Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 13, 'VOLUME', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 13, 'Volume ROC', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 13, str.tostring(vroc, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 14, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 14, 'EOM', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 14, str.tostring(eom_sma, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Oscillators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 15, 'OSCILLATORS', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 15, 'Awesome Osc', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 15, str.tostring(ao, '0.000'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 16, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 16, 'Fisher Transform', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 16, str.tostring(fisher, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Summary Statistics
table.cell(info_table, 0, 17, 'SUMMARY', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.gray, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 17, 'Total Indicators: 52', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size)
regime_color = rsi_centered > 10 ? color.green : rsi_centered < -10 ? color.red : color.gray
regime_text = rsi_centered > 10 ? "BULLISH" : rsi_centered < -10 ? "BEARISH" : "NEUTRAL"
table.cell(info_table, 2, 17, regime_text, text_color=regime_color, text_size=table_text_size)
This makes it the perfect “indicator backbone” for quantitative and systematic traders who want to prototype, combine, and test new regime detection models—especially in combination with the Markov Chain indicator.
How to use this script with the Markov Chain for research and backtesting:
Add the Enhanced Indicator Export to your chart.
Every calculated indicator is available as an individual data stream.
Connect the indicator(s) you want as custom input(s) to the Markov Chain’s “Custom Indicators” option.
In the Markov Chain indicator’s settings, turn ON the custom indicator mode.
For each of the three custom indicator inputs, select the exported plot from the Enhanced Export script—the menu lists all 45+ signals by name.
This creates a powerful, modular regime-detection engine where you can mix-and-match momentum, trend, volume, or custom combinations for advanced filtering.
Backtest regime logic directly.
Once you’ve connected your chosen indicators, the Markov Chain script performs regime detection (Bull/Neutral/Bear) based on your selected features—not just price returns.
The regime detection is robust, automatically normalized (using Z-score), and outputs bias (1, -1, 0) for plug-and-play integration.
Export the regime bias for programmatic use.
As described above, use input.source() in your Pine Script strategy or system and link the bias output.
You can now filter signals, control trade direction/size, or design pairs-trading that respect true, indicator-driven market regimes.
With this framework, you’re not limited to static or simplistic regime filters. You can rigorously define, test, and refine what “market regime” means for your strategies—using the technical features that matter most to you.
Optimize your signal generation by backtesting across a universe of meaningful indicator blends.
Enhance risk management with objective, real-time regime boundaries.
Accelerate your research: iterate quickly, swap indicator components, and see results with minimal code changes.
Automate multi-asset or pairs-trading by integrating regime context directly into strategy logic.
Add both scripts to your chart, connect your preferred features, and start investigating your best regime-based trades—entirely within the TradingView ecosystem.
References & Further Reading
Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002). “Regime Switches in Interest Rates.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163–182.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). “A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle.” Econometrica, 57(2), 357–384.
Markov, A. A. (1906). "Extension of the Limit Theorems of Probability Theory to a Sum of Variables Connected in a Chain." The Notes of the Imperial Academy of Sciences of St. Petersburg.
Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). “Asset Allocation under Multivariate Regime Switching.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503–3544.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731–1764.
Zucchini, W., MacDonald, I. L., & Langrock, R. (2017). Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC.
On Quantitative Finance and Markov Models:
Lo, A. W., & Hasanhodzic, J. (2009). The Heretics of Finance: Conversations with Leading Practitioners of Technical Analysis. Bloomberg Press.
Patterson, S. (2016). The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution. Penguin Press.
TradingView Pine Script Documentation: www.tradingview.com
TradingView Blog: “Use an Input From Another Indicator With Your Strategy” www.tradingview.com
GeeksforGeeks: “What is the Difference Between Markov Chains and Hidden Markov Models?” www.geeksforgeeks.org
What makes this indicator original and unique?
- On‑chart, real‑time Markov. The chain is drawn directly on your chart. You see the current regime, its tendency to stay (self‑loop), and the usual next step (arrows) as bars confirm.
- Source‑agnostic by design. The engine runs on any series you select via input.source() — price, your own oscillator, a composite score, anything you compute in the script.
- Automatic normalization + regime mapping. Different inputs live on different scales. The script standardizes your chosen source and maps it into clear regimes (e.g., Bull / Bear / Neutral) without you micromanaging thresholds each time.
- Rolling, bar‑by‑bar learning. Transition tendencies are computed from a rolling window of confirmed bars. What you see is exactly what the market did in that window.
- Fast experimentation. Switch the source, adjust the window, and the Markov view updates instantly. It’s a rapid way to test ideas and feel regime persistence/switch behavior.
Integrate your own signals (using input.source())
- In settings, choose the Source . This is powered by input.source() .
- Feed it price, an indicator you compute inside the script, or a custom composite series.
- The script will automatically normalize that series and process it through the Markov engine, mapping it to regimes and updating the on‑chart spheres/arrows in real time.
Credits:
Deep gratitude to @RicardoSantos for both the foundational Markov chain processing engine and inspiring open-source contributions, which made advanced probabilistic market modeling accessible to the TradingView community.
Special thanks to @Alien_Algorithms for the innovative and visually stunning 3D sphere logic that powers the indicator’s animated, regime-based visualization.
Disclaimer
This tool summarizes recent behavior. It is not financial advice and not a guarantee of future results.
