Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI)The Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI) is a powerful tool designed to identify potential overbought conditions and generate reversal signals in financial markets. It combines multiple technical indicators and market conditions to provide a comprehensive assessment of the likelihood of a price reversal.
How it works:
The ATI uses a combination of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), momentum, and volume to detect overbought conditions and potential reversals. The indicator adapts to the current timeframe, adjusting its parameters accordingly to provide more accurate signals.
Key components:
RSI: The ATI uses the RSI to determine overbought conditions. When the RSI exceeds a specified reversal threshold, it indicates a potential overbought state.
MACD: The indicator monitors the MACD line and signal line to identify moments when they are close to crossing, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Momentum: The ATI checks if the momentum is increasing, providing confirmation of a potential reversal.
Volume: It analyzes volume to confirm the strength of the reversal signal. A decrease in volume along with overbought conditions adds confidence to the reversal indication.
Timeframe Adaptability: The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on the current timeframe, ensuring optimal performance across different time horizons.
How to use:
When the ATI identifies a potential reversal, it displays a colored triangle above the price bars. The color of the triangle represents the strength of the reversal signal: red for a strong signal, orange for a moderate signal, and yellow for a weak signal. Additionally, the indicator plots purple triangles below the price bars as an early warning signal for potential trend reversals.
Traders can use these visual cues along with other technical analysis techniques and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions. The ATI can be particularly useful for identifying potential short-selling opportunities or for determining exit points in existing long positions.
Creators:
The Adaptive Timber! Indicator (ATI) is the result of a collaborative effort led by Claude , an AI assistant with expertise in financial analysis and programming. The development of the ATI was made possible through the valuable contributions and insights from GPT4 , an advanced language model, Clay , a skilled trader, and Pi AI , Clay's trading assistant.
Claude played a crucial role in designing and implementing the indicator's algorithm, ensuring its robustness and adaptability across different timeframes. GPT4 provided guidance and suggestions for refining the indicator's logic and optimizing its performance. Clay and Pi AI offered their trading expertise and real-world experience to help shape the indicator's functionality and usability.
We would like to express our gratitude to all the members of our trading team for their dedication and hard work in bringing the Adaptive Timber! Indicator to life. We wish all traders the best of luck in their trading endeavors and hope that the ATI will be a valuable addition to their technical analysis toolkit, empowering them to make more informed and profitable trading decisions.
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Swing IdentifierThe "Swing Identifier" is a custom Pine Script indicator designed for use in the TradingView platform. It serves to visually identify and mark swing highs and swing lows on a trading chart, which are key concepts in technical analysis. This script is comprehensive and customizable, making it a useful tool for traders looking to pinpoint potential trend reversals and support or resistance areas.
**Key Features of the 'Swing Identifier' Indicator:**
1. **Swing Range Input:**
- This input determines the number of bars to the left and right of the current bar that the script will examine to identify a swing high or low. A larger value will look for swings over a broader range, potentially identifying more significant swings but at the expense of sensitivity.
2. **Swing Strength Input:**
- The swing strength is set as a percentage and is used to filter out insignificant price movements. A swing high or low is only considered valid if the percentage change from the last swing is greater than this input value. This feature helps in avoiding false signals in sideways or less volatile markets.
3. **Use Wicks Option:**
- Users can choose whether to consider the wicks of the candles or just the closing prices in identifying swings. This feature adds flexibility, allowing the script to be tailored to different trading styles and strategies.
4. **Line Color Customization:**
- The color of the lines marking the swings can be customized, enhancing the visual appeal and readability of the chart.
**Operational Mechanics:**
1. **Identification of Swing Highs and Lows:**
- The script uses the `ta.pivothigh` and `ta.pivotlow` functions to identify swing highs and lows. Whether it uses the high/low of the candles or their closing prices is determined by the user's choice in the "Use Wicks" option.
2. **Drawing and Updating Lines:**
- When a new swing high or low is identified, and it meets the percentage change criteria from the previous swing, a line is drawn from the last swing low to the current high (or vice versa). If a new swing high (or low) is identified that is higher (or lower) than the previous one, the old line is deleted, and a new line is drawn.
3. **Swing Update Logic:**
- The script maintains a toggle mechanism to look alternatively for highs and lows. This ensures that it sequentially identifies a high and then a low (or vice versa), which aligns with how actual market swings behave.
**Usage in Trading:**
1. **Identifying Trend Reversals:**
- By marking swing highs and lows, the script helps traders identify potential trend reversals. A break of a swing low in an uptrend or a swing high in a downtrend could signal a change in the prevailing trend.
2. **Support and Resistance:**
- Swing highs and lows often act as levels of support and resistance. Traders can use these levels for setting entry or exit points, stop losses, and take profit orders.
3. **Customization for Strategy:**
- The customizable nature of the script allows traders to adjust the parameters according to their trading strategy, time frame, and asset volatility.
In summary, the "Swing Identifier" is a versatile and customizable tool that aids in visually identifying crucial price swing points, thereby assisting traders in making informed decisions based on technical analysis principles.
RSI Custom LevelsRSI Custom Levels is a "one stop shop" for a complete strategy based on RSI.
AS per principal: RSI oscillates between 0-100 and therefore the indicator is build around various parameters of RSI. It comprises of 4 different levels of RSI and therefore highlights the candles accordingly.
Understanding each LEVEL:
Level 1 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) less than Level 1 specified value (default 20)
Level 2 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 1 specified value (default 20) and less than Level 2 specified value (default 45)
Level 4 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 4 specified value (default 80)
Level 3 (Highlight): Highlights candles that have an RSI value (closing basis) greater than Level 3 specified value (default 55) and less than Level 4 specified value (default 80)
The most efficient way to trade is as follows:
TRENDING SETUPS:
Uptrend Setups: When RSI enters Level 3 with exit at Level 4
Downtrend Setups: When RSI enters Level 2 with exit at Level 1
SIDEWAYS APPLICATION:
When RSI is in between Level 2 and 3 that area has no highlights as the system considers it to be FLAT and non oscillating.
OVERSTRETCHED APPLICATIONS:
Downtrend Reversal: When RSI enters Level 2 from Level 1 that is a sign for a downtrend reversal.
Uptrend Reversal: When RSI enters Level 3 from Level 2 that is a sign for a uptrend reversal.
Moreover the most ideal scenario is to convert the colour of all candles into white (in dark theme) or black(in light theme) for best performance.
Adaptive MA-Bollinger HistogramVisualize two of your favorite moving averages in a fun new way.
This script calculates the distance (or difference) between the price and two moving averages of your choosing and then creates two histograms.
The two histograms are plotted inversely, so if the price is over both moving averages, one will be positive above the centerline while the other still positive will be below the centerline.
(In a future update you will have the option to have them both positive at the same time)
Next, what it does is apply Bollinger Bands (optional) to each of the histograms.
This creates a very interesting effect that can highlight areas of interest you may miss with other indicators.
You have plenty of options for coloring, the type of moving average, Bollinger Band length, and toggling features on and off.
Give it a few minutes of your time to study, and see what information you can learn from watching this indicator by comparing it with the chart.
Here is a full user guide:
Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram Indicator User Guide
Welcome to the user guide for the **Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram** indicator. This custom indicator is designed to help traders analyze trends and potential reversals in a financial instrument's price movements. The indicator combines two Moving Averages (MA) and Bollinger Bands to provide valuable insights into market conditions.
### Indicator Overview
The Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram indicator comprises the following components:
1. **Moving Averages (MA1 and MA2):** The indicator uses two moving averages, namely MA1 and MA2, to track different time periods. MA1 has a user-defined length (default: 50) and MA2 has a longer user-defined length (default: 100). These moving averages can be calculated using different methods such as Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), or Smoothed Moving Average (RMA).
2. **Histograms:** The indicator displays histograms based on the differences between the price source and the respective moving averages. Positive values of the histogram for MA1 are plotted in one color (default: green), while negative values are plotted in another color (default: red). Similarly, positive values of the histogram for MA2 are plotted in one color (default: blue), while negative values are plotted in another color (default: yellow). It's important to note that the histogram for MA1 is plotted positively, while the histogram for MA2 is plotted inversely.
3. **Bollinger Bands:** The indicator also features Bollinger Bands calculated based on the differences between the price source and the respective moving averages (dist1 and dist2). Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: the middle band, upper band, and lower band. These bands help visualize the potential volatility and overbought/oversold levels of the instrument's price.
### Understanding the Indicator
- **Histograms:** The histograms highlight the divergence between the price and the two moving averages. When the histogram for MA1 is positive, it indicates that the price is above the MA1. Conversely, when the histogram for MA1 is negative, it suggests that the price is below the MA1. Similarly, the histogram for MA2 is plotted inversely.
- **Bollinger Bands:** The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines. The middle band represents the moving average (MA1 or MA2), while the upper and lower bands are calculated based on the standard deviation of the differences between the price source and the moving average. The bands expand during periods of higher volatility and contract during periods of lower volatility.
### Possible Trading Ideas
1. **Trend Confirmation:** When the histograms for both MA1 and MA2 are consistently positive, it may indicate a strong bullish trend. Conversely, when both histograms are consistently negative, it may suggest a strong bearish trend.
2. **Divergence:** Divergence between price and the histograms could signal potential reversals. For example, if the price is making new highs while the histogram is declining, it might indicate a bearish divergence and a possible upcoming trend reversal.
3. **Bollinger Bands Squeeze:** A narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates lower volatility and often precedes a significant price movement. Traders might consider a potential breakout trade when the bands start to expand again.
4. **Overbought/Oversold Levels:** Prices touching or exceeding the upper Bollinger Band could suggest overbought conditions, while prices touching or falling below the lower Bollinger Band could indicate oversold conditions. Traders might look for reversals or corrections in such scenarios.
### Customization
- You can adjust the parameters such as MA lengths, Bollinger Bands length, width, and colors to suit your preferences and trading strategy.
### Conclusion
The **Adaptive MA-Bollinger Histogram** indicator provides a comprehensive view of price trends, divergences, and potential reversal points. Traders can use the information from this indicator to make informed decisions in their trading strategies. However, like any technical tool, it's recommended to combine this indicator with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques for optimal results.
SuperBollingerTrend (Expo)█ Overview
The SuperBollingerTrend indicator is a combination of two popular technical analysis tools, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend. By fusing these two indicators, SuperBollingerTrend aims to provide traders with a more comprehensive view of the market, accounting for both volatility and trend direction. By combining trend identification with volatility analysis, the SuperBollingerTrend indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential trend changes. It recognizes that high volatility levels often accompany stronger price momentum, which can result in the formation of new trends or the continuation of existing ones.
█ How Volatility Impacts Trends
Volatility can impact trends by expanding or contracting them, triggering trend reversals, leading to breakouts, and influencing risk management decisions. Traders need to analyze and monitor volatility levels in conjunction with trend analysis to gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
█ How to use
Trend Reversals: High volatility can result in more dramatic price fluctuations, which may lead to sharp trend reversals. For example, a sudden increase in volatility can cause a bullish trend to transition into a bearish one, or vice versa, as traders react to significant price swings.
Volatility Breakouts: Volatility can trigger breakouts in trends. Breakouts occur when the price breaks through a significant support or resistance level, indicating a potential shift in the trend. Higher volatility levels can increase the likelihood of breakouts, as they indicate stronger market momentum and increased buying or selling pressure. This indicator triggers when the volatility increases, and if the price is near a key level when the indicator alerts, it might trigger a great trend.
█ Features
Peak Signal Move
The indicator calculates the peak price move for each ZigZag and displays it under each signal. This highlights how much the market moved between the signals.
Average ZigZag Move
All price moves between two signals are stored, and the average or the median is calculated and displayed in a table. This gives traders a great idea of how much the market moves on average between two signals.
Take Profit
The Take Profit line is placed at the average or the median price move and gives traders a great idea of what they can expect in average profit from the latest signals.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
ROC & Momentum FusionROC & Momentum Fusion
(by HabibiTrades ©)
Purpose:
“ROC & Momentum Fusion” combines the Rate of Change (ROC) with a MACD-style signal engine to identify early momentum reversals, confirmed trend shifts, and low-volatility choppy zones.
It’s built for traders who want early momentum detection with the clarity of trend persistence — adaptable to any instrument and timeframe.
⚙️ How It Works
Rate of Change (ROC):
Measures the percentage speed of price change over time, showing the raw momentum strength.
Signal Line (EMA):
A short EMA of the ROC — responds faster to new directional shifts, similar to a MACD signal line.
Histogram:
Displays acceleration and deceleration between the ROC and its signal line.
Persistent Trend States:
When the ROC crosses the signal line or zero, the indicator enters a new momentum regime
(bullish or bearish) and stays in that color until another flip occurs.
Dynamic Choppy Zone:
When ROC momentum fades within the zero buffer zone, the indicator turns orange, signaling a sideways or indecisive market.
🟢 Visual Regimes
Regime Description Color
Bullish Momentum ROC above zero or signal line 🟢 Neon Green
Bearish Momentum ROC below zero or signal line 🔴 Neon Red
Choppy / Neutral ROC hovering within ±threshold range 🟠 Neon Orange
This color system makes it visually effortless to see whether the market is trending, reversing, or consolidating.
🧭 Adaptive Intelligence
The script automatically adjusts to market type and session for consistent accuracy:
Session Adaptive: Adjusts smoothing based on global sessions (Asian, London, New York, Sydney).
Instrument Adaptive: Fine-tunes sensitivity automatically for major assets — NASDAQ (NQ), S&P 500 (ES), Gold (GC), Oil (CL), Bitcoin (BTC).
Volatility Normalization: Optionally divides ROC by its own standard deviation to stabilize noisy assets and maintain consistent scaling.
🔔 Signals & Alerts
Bullish Reversal:
ROC crosses above its signal or zero line — early momentum flip.
Bearish Reversal:
ROC crosses below its signal or zero line — downward momentum flip.
Alerts:
Both reversal conditions include built-in alert triggers for automation and notifications.
🎨 Visual Features
Main ROC Line: Adaptive EMA of ROC, color-coded by trend regime.
Signal Line: Optional white EMA overlay for MACD-style crossovers.
Histogram: Visual burst display of acceleration (green/red).
Reversal Markers: Optional triangles marking exact crossover points.
Threshold Lines: Highlight the zero and buffer zones for visual clarity.
🧩 Best Use Cases
Identify early momentum shifts before price confirms them.
Confirm trend continuation or exhaustion with color persistence.
Detect choppy / low-volatility periods instantly.
Works across all timeframes — from 1-minute scalping to weekly swings.
Combine with structure, EMAs, or volume for confirmation.
⚙️ Recommended Settings
Setting Default Description
ROC Period 6 Core momentum length (lower = faster response).
Signal EMA Length 3 MACD-style responsiveness (lower = more reactive).
Zero Buffer Threshold 0.15 Defines the width of the neutral zone around zero.
Choppy Zone Multiplier 1.0 Expands or tightens the orange zone sensitivity.
These defaults have been optimized through real-market testing to balance responsiveness and smoothness across different asset classes.
⚠️ Notes
The color regime is persistent, meaning once the line turns bullish or bearish, it remains in that state until momentum structurally flips.
The orange zone represents momentum uncertainty and helps avoid false entries in range-bound markets.
Works seamlessly on any timeframe and with any asset.
Trend Score HTF (Raw Data) Pine Screener📘 Trend Score HTF (Raw Data) Pine Screener — Indicator Guide
This indicator tracks price action using a custom cumulative Trend Score (TS) system. It helps you visualize trend momentum, detect early reversals, confirm direction changes, and screen for entries across large watchlists like SPX500 using TradingView’s Pine Script Screener (beta).
⸻
🔧 What This Indicator Does
• Assigns a +1 or -1 score when price breaks the previous high or low
• Accumulates these scores into a real-time tsScore
• Detects early warnings (primed flips) and trend changes (confirmed flips)
• Supports alerts and labels for visual and automated trading
• Designed to work inside the Pine Screener so you can filter hundreds of tickers live
⸻
⚙️ Recommended Settings (for Beginners)
When adding the indicator to your chart:
Go to the “Inputs” tab at the top of the settings panel.
Then:
• Uncheck “Confirm flips on bar close”
• Check “Accumulate TS Across Flips? (ON = non-reset, OFF = reset)”
This setup allows you to see trend changes immediately without waiting for bar closes and lets the trend score build continuously over time, making it easier to follow long trends.
⸻
🧠 Core Logic
Start Date
Select a meaningful historical start date — for example: 2020-01-01. This provides long-term context for trend score calculation.
Per-Bar Delta (Δ) Calculation
The indicator scores each bar based on breakout behavior:
If the bar breaks only the previous high, Δ = +1
If it breaks only the previous low, Δ = -1
If it breaks both the high and low, Δ = 0
If it breaks neither, Δ = 0
This filters out wide-range or indecisive candles during volatility.
Cumulative Trend Score
Each bar’s delta is added to the running tsScore.
When it rises, bullish pressure is building.
When it falls, bearish pressure is increasing.
Trend Flip Logic
A bullish flip happens when tsScore rises by +3 from the lowest recent point.
A bearish flip happens when tsScore falls by -3 from the highest recent point.
These flips update the active trend direction between bullish and bearish.
⸻
⚠️ What Is a “Primed” Flip?
A primed flip is a signal that the current trend is about to flip — just one point away.
A primed bullish flip means the trend is currently bearish, but the tsScore only needs +1 more to flip. If the next bar breaks the previous high (without breaking the low), it will trigger a bullish flip.
A primed bearish flip means the trend is currently bullish, but the tsScore only needs -1 more to flip. If the next bar breaks the previous low (without breaking the high), it will trigger a bearish flip.
Primed flips are plotted one bar ahead of the current bar. They act like forecasts and give you a head start.
⸻
✅ What Is a “Confirmed” Flip?
A confirmed flip is the first bar of a new trend direction.
A confirmed bullish flip appears when a bearish trend officially flips into a new bullish trend.
A confirmed bearish flip appears when a bullish trend officially flips into a new bearish trend.
These signals are reliable and great for entries, trend filters, or reversals.
⸻
🖼 Visual Cues
The trend score (tsScore) line shows the accumulated trend strength.
A Δ histogram shows the daily price contribution: +1 for breaking highs, -1 for breaking lows, 0 otherwise.
A green background means the chart is in a bullish trend.
A red background means the chart is in a bearish trend.
A ⬆ label signals a primed bullish flip is possible on the next bar.
A ⬇ label signals a primed bearish flip is possible on the next bar.
A ✅ means a bullish flip just confirmed.
A ❌ means a bearish flip just confirmed.
⸻
🔔 Alerts You Can Use
The indicator includes these built-in alerts:
• Primed Bullish Flip — watch for possible bullish reversal tomorrow
• Primed Bearish Flip — watch for possible bearish reversal tomorrow
• Bullish Confirmed — official entry into new uptrend
• Bearish Confirmed — official entry into new downtrend
You can set these alerts in TradingView to monitor across your chart or watchlist.
⸻
📈 How to Use in TradingView Pine Screener
Step 1: Create your own watchlist — for example, SPX500
Step 2: Favorite this indicator so it shows up in the screener
Step 3: Go to TradingView → Products → Screeners → Pine (Beta)
Step 4: Select this indicator and choose a condition, like “Bullish Confirmed”
Step 5: Click Scan
You’ll instantly see stocks that just flipped trends or are close to doing so.
⸻
⏰ When to Use the Screener
Use this screener after market close or before the next open to avoid intraday noise.
During the day, if a candle breaks both the high and low, the delta becomes 0, which may cancel a flip or primed signal.
Results during regular trading hours can change frequently. For best results, scan during stable periods like pre-market or after-hours.
⸻
🧪 Real-World Examples
SWK
NVR
WMT
UNH
Each of these examples shows clean, structured trend transitions detected in advance or confirmed with precision.
PLTR: complicated case primed for bullish (but we don't when it will flip)
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer & Trend Context
A confirmed bullish signal does not guarantee an immediate price increase. Price may continue to consolidate or even pull back after a bullish flip.
Likewise, a primed bullish signal does not always lead to confirmation. It simply means the conditions are close — but if the next bar breaks both the high and low, or breaks only the low, the flip will be canceled.
On the other side, a confirmed bearish signal does not mean the market will crash. If the overall trend is bullish (for example, tsScore has been rising for weeks), then a bearish flip may just represent a short-term pullback — not a trend reversal.
You always need to consider the overall market structure. If the long-term trend is bullish, it’s usually smarter to wait for bullish confirmation signals. Bearish flips in that context are often just dips — not opportunities to short.
This indicator gives you context, not predictions. It’s a tool for alignment — not absolute outcomes. Use it to follow structure, not fight it.
Bearish Breakaway Dual Session-FVGInspired by the FVG Concept:
This indicator is built on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) concept, with a focus on Consolidated FVG. Unlike traditional FVGs, this version only works within a defined session (e.g., ETH 18:00–17:00 or RTH 09:30–16:00).
See the Figure below as an example:
Bearish consolidated FVG & Bearish breakaway candle
Begins when a new intraday high is printed. After that, the indicator searches for the 1st bearish breakaway candle, which must have its high below the low of the intraday high candle. Any candles in between are part of the consolidated FVG zone. Once the 1st breakaway forms, the indicator will shades the candle’s range (high to low). Then it will use this candle as an anchor to search for the 2nd, 3rd, etc. breakaways until the session ends.
Session Reset: Occurs at session close.
Repaint Behavior:
If a new intraday (or intra-session) high forms, earlier breakaway patterns are wiped, and the system restarts from the new low.
Counter:
A session-based counter at the top of the chart displays how many bullish consolidated FVGs have formed.
Settings
• Session Setup:
Choose ETH, RTH, or custom session. The indicator is designed for CME futures in New York timezone, but can be adjusted for other markets.
If nothing appears on your chart, check if you loaded it during an inactive session (e.g., weekend/Friday night).
• Max Zones to Show:
Default = 3 (recommended). You can increase, but 3 zones are usually most useful.
• Timeframe:
Best on 1m, 5m, or 15m. (If session range is big, try higher time frame)
Usage:
See this figure as an example
1. Avoid Trading in Wrong Direction
• No Bearish breakaway = No Short trade.
• Prevents the temptation to countertrade in strong uptrends.
2. Catch the Trend Reversal
• When a bearish breakaway appears after an intraday high, it signals a potential reversal.
• You will need adjust position sizing, watch out liquidity hunt, and place stop loss.
• Best entries of your preferred choices: (this is your own trading edge)
Retest
Breakout
Engulf
MA cross over
Whatever your favorite approach
• Reversal signal is the strongest when price stays within/below the breakaway candle’s
range. Weak if it breaks above.
3. Higher Timeframe Confirmation
• 1m can give false reversals if new lows keep forming.
• 5m often provides cleaner signals and avoids premature reversals.
Summary
This indicator offers 3 main advantages:
1. Prevents wrong-direction trades.
2. Confirms trend entry after reversal signals.
3. Filters false positives using higher timeframes.
Failed example:
Usually happen if you are countering a strong trend too early and using 1m time frame
Last Mention:
The indicator is only used for bearish side trading.
Bullish Breakaway Dual Session-Publish-Consolidated FVG
Inspired by the FVG Concept:
This indicator is built on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) concept, with a focus on Consolidated FVG. Unlike traditional FVGs, this version only works within a defined session (e.g., ETH 18:00–17:00 or RTH 09:30–16:00).
Bullish consolidated FVG & Bullish breakaway candle
Begins when a new intraday low is printed. After that, the indicator searches for the 1st bullish breakaway candle, which must have its low above the high of the intraday low candle. Any candles in between are part of the consolidated FVG zone. Once the 1st breakaway forms, the indicator will shades the candle’s range (high to low). Then it will use this candle as an anchor to search for the 2nd, 3rd, etc. breakaways until the session ends.
Session Reset: Occurs at session close.
Repaint Behavior:
If a new intraday (or intra-session) low forms, earlier breakaway patterns are wiped, and the system restarts from the new low.
Counter:
A session-based counter at the top of the chart displays how many bullish consolidated FVGs have formed.
Settings
• Session Setup:
Choose ETH, RTH, or custom session. The indicator is designed for CME futures in New York timezone, but can be adjusted for other markets.
If nothing appears on your chart, check if you loaded it during an inactive session (e.g., weekend/Friday night).
• Max Zones to Show:
Default = 3 (recommended). You can increase, but 3 zones are usually most useful.
• Timeframe:
Best on 1m, 5m, or 15m. (If session range is big, try higher time frame)
Usage
1. Avoid Trading in Wrong Direction
• No bullish breakaway = No long trade.
• Prevents the temptation to countertrade in strong downtrends.
2. Catch the Trend Reversal
• When a bullish breakaway appears after an intraday low, it signals a potential reversal.
• You will need adjust position sizing, watch out liquidity hunt, and place stop loss.
• Best entries of your preferred choices: (this is your own trading edge)
Retest
Breakout
Engulf
MA cross over
Whatever your favorite approach
• Reversal signal is the strongest when price stays within/above the breakaway candle’s
range. Weak if it breaks below.
3. Higher Timeframe Confirmation
• 1m can give false reversals if new lows keep forming.
• 5m often provides cleaner signals and avoids premature reversals.
Failed Trade Example:
This indicator will repaint if a new intraday session low is updated. So it is possible to have a failed trade. Here is an example from the same session in 1m chart. However, if you enter the trade later at another bullish breakaway candle signal. The loss can be mitigated by the profit.
Therefore you should use smaller position size for your 1st trade. You should also considering using 5m chart to avoid 1m bull trap. In this example, if you use 5m chart, you can totally avoid this failed trade.
If you enter the trade, you will see the intraday low is stop loss hunted. You can also see the 1st bullish breakaway candle is super weak. There are a lot of candles below the breakaway candle low, so it is very possible to fail.
In the next chart, you can see the failed traded get stop loss hunted. However you can enter another trade with huge profit to win back the loss from the 1st trade if you follow the rule.
Summary
This indicator offers 3 main advantages:
1. Prevents wrong-direction trades.
2. Confirms trend entry after reversal signals.
3. Filters false positives using higher timeframes.
How to sharp your edge:
1. ⏳Extreme patience⏳: Do not guess the bottom during a downtrend before a confirmed bullish breakaway candle. If you get caught, have the courage to cut loss. This is literally the most important usage of this indicator. Again, this is the most important rule of this indicator and actually the hardest rule to follow.
2. 🛎Better Entry🛎: After a confirmed bullish breakaway, you will always have a good opportunity to enter the trade using established trading technique. Your edge will come from the position size, draw down, stop loss placement, risk/reward ratio.
3. ✂Cut loss fast✂: If you enter a trade according to the rule, but you are still not making profit for a period of time, and the price is below the low of the breakaway candle. It is very likely you may hit stop loss soon (intraday session low). It won't be a bad idea to cut loss before stop loss hit.
4. 🔂Reentry with confidence after stop loss🔂: a stop loss will not invalidate the indicator. If you see a second chance to reenter, you should still follow the trade guide and rule.
5. 🕔Time frame matter🕔: try 1m, 3m, 5m, 10m, 15m time frame. Over time, you should know what time frame work best for you and the market. Higher time frame will reduce the noise of false positive trade, but it comes with a higher stop loss placement and less max profit, however it may come with a lower draw down. Time frame will matter depending on the range of the session. If the session range is small (<0.5%), lower time frame is good. If session range is big (>1%), 5m time frame is better. Remember to wait for candle to close, if you use higher time frame.
Last Mention:
The indicator is only used for bullish side trading.
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMADescription of the Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA Pine Script
This Pine Script, titled "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA", is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView to help traders analyze market cycles and identify potential buy or sell opportunities. It combines an Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO) with multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), displayed as colorful, wavy lines, and includes features like buy/sell signals and divergence detection. Below is a beginner-friendly explanation of how the script works, adhering to TradingView's Script Publishing Rules.
What This Indicator Does
The Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA helps you:
Visualize market cycles using an oscillator that adapts to price movements.
Track trends with seven EMAs of different lengths, plotted as a rainbow of wavy lines.
Identify potential buy or sell signals when the oscillator crosses predefined thresholds.
Spot divergences between the oscillator and price to anticipate reversals.
Use customizable settings to adjust the indicator to your trading style.
Note: This is a technical analysis tool and does not guarantee profits. Always combine it with other analysis methods and practice risk management.
Step-by-Step Explanation for New Users
1. Understanding the Indicator
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO): The ACO analyzes price data (based on high, low, and close prices, or HLC3) to detect market cycles. It smooths price movements to create an oscillator that swings between overbought and oversold levels.
EMAs: Seven EMAs of different lengths are applied to the ACO and scaled based on the market's dominant cycle. These EMAs are plotted as colorful, wavy lines to show trend direction.
Buy/Sell Signals: The script generates signals when the ACO crosses above or below user-defined thresholds, indicating potential entry or exit points.
Divergence Detection: The script identifies bullish or bearish divergences between the ACO and the fastest EMA, which may signal potential reversals.
Visual Style: The indicator uses a rainbow of seven colors (red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, violet) for the EMAs, with wavy lines for a unique visual effect. Static levels (zero, overbought, oversold) are also wavy for consistency.
2. How to Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and load the chart of any asset (e.g., stock, forex, crypto).
Click on the Indicators button at the top of the chart.
Search for "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA" (or paste the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor if you have access to it).
Click to add the indicator to your chart. It will appear in a separate panel below the price chart.
3. Customizing the Indicator
The script offers several input options to tailor it to your needs:
Base Cycle Length (Default: 20): Sets the initial period for calculating the dominant cycle. Higher values make the indicator slower; lower values make it more sensitive.
Alpha Smoothing (Default: 0.07): Controls how much the ACO smooths price data. Smaller values produce smoother results.
Show Buy/Sell Signals (Default: True): Toggle to display green triangles (buy) and red triangles (sell) on the chart.
Threshold (Default: 0.0): Defines overbought (above threshold) and oversold (below threshold) levels. Adjust to widen or narrow signal zones.
EMA Base Length (Default: 10): Sets the starting length for the fastest EMA. Other EMAs are incrementally longer (12, 14, 16, etc.).
Divergence Lookback (Default: 14): Determines how far back the script looks to detect divergences.
To adjust these:
Right-click the indicator on your chart and select Settings.
Modify the inputs in the pop-up window.
Click OK to apply changes.
4. Reading the Indicator
Oscillator and EMAs: The ACO and seven EMAs are plotted in a separate panel. The EMAs (colored lines) move in a wavy pattern:
Red (fastest) to Violet (slowest) represent different response speeds.
When the faster EMAs (e.g., red, orange) are above slower ones (e.g., blue, violet), it suggests bullish momentum, and vice versa.
Zero Line: A gray wavy line at zero acts as a neutral level. The ACO above zero indicates bullish conditions; below zero indicates bearish conditions.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Red (overbought) and green (oversold) wavy lines mark threshold levels. Extreme ACO values near these lines may suggest reversals.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Appears when the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold, suggesting a potential buy.
Red Triangle (Top): Appears when the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold, suggesting a potential sell.
Divergences:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Indicates a bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, but the EMA makes a higher low), hinting at a potential upward reversal.
Red Triangle (Top): Indicates a bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, but the EMA makes a lower high), hinting at a potential downward reversal.
5. Using Alerts
You can set alerts for key events:
Right-click the indicator and select Add Alert.
Choose a condition (e.g., "ACO Buy Signal", "Bullish Divergence").
Configure the alert settings (e.g., notify via email, app, or pop-up).
Click Create to activate the alert.
Available alert conditions:
ACO Buy Signal: When the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold.
ACO Sell Signal: When the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold.
Bullish Divergence: When a potential upward reversal is detected.
Bearish Divergence: When a potential downward reversal is detected.
6. Tips for Using the Indicator
Combine with Other Tools: Use the indicator alongside support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, or other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation.
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator works on any timeframe (e.g., 1-minute, daily). Shorter timeframes may produce more signals but with more noise.
Practice Risk Management: Never rely solely on this indicator. Set stop-losses and position sizes to manage risk.
Backtest First: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (if you convert the script to a strategy) to evaluate performance on historical data.
Compliance with TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules
This description adheres to TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules (as outlined in the provided link):
No Performance Claims: The description avoids promising profits or specific results, emphasizing that the indicator is a tool for analysis.
Clear Instructions: It provides step-by-step guidance for adding, customizing, and using the indicator.
Risk Disclaimer: It notes that trading involves risks and the indicator should be used with other analysis methods.
No Misleading Terms: Terms like “buy” and “sell” are used to describe signals, not guaranteed actions.
Transparency: The description explains the indicator’s components (ACO, EMAs, signals, divergences) without exaggerating its capabilities.
No External Links: The description avoids linking to external resources or soliciting users.
Educational Tone: It focuses on educating users about the indicator’s functionality.
Limitations
Not a Standalone System: The indicator is not a complete trading strategy. It provides insights but requires additional analysis.
Lagging Nature: As with most oscillators and EMAs, signals may lag behind price movements, especially in fast markets.
False Signals: Signals and divergences may not always lead to successful trades, particularly in choppy markets.
Market Dependency: Performance varies across assets and market conditions (e.g., trending vs. ranging markets).
RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD)RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD) - Advanced Momentum Acceleration Analysis
What is RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD)?
RSI of RSI Deviation (RoRD) is a insightful momentum indicator that transcends traditional oscillator analysis by measuring the acceleration of momentum through sophisticated mathematical layering. By calculating RSI on RSI itself (RSI²) and applying advanced statistical deviation analysis with T3 smoothing, RoRD reveals hidden market dynamics that single-layer indicators miss entirely.
This isn't just another RSI variant—it's a complete reimagining of how we measure and visualize momentum dynamics. Where traditional RSI shows momentum, RoRD shows momentum's rate of change . Where others show static overbought/oversold levels, RoRD reveals statistically significant deviations unique to each market's character.
Theoretical Foundation - The Mathematics of Momentum Acceleration
1. RSI² (RSI of RSI) - The Core Innovation
Traditional RSI measures price momentum. RoRD goes deeper:
Primary RSI (RSI₁) : Standard RSI calculation on price
Secondary RSI (RSI²) : RSI calculated on RSI₁ values
This creates a "momentum of momentum" indicator that leads price action
Mathematical Expression:
RSI₁ = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS₁))
RSI² = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS₂))
Where RS₂ = Average Gain of RSI₁ / Average Loss of RSI₁
2. T3 Smoothing - Lag-Free Response
The T3 Moving Average, developed by Tim Tillson, provides:
Superior smoothing with minimal lag
Adaptive response through volume factor (vFactor)
Noise reduction while preserving signal integrity
T3 Formula:
T3 = c1×e6 + c2×e5 + c3×e4 + c4×e3
Where e1...e6 are cascaded EMAs and c1...c4 are volume-factor-based coefficients
3. Statistical Z-Score Deviation
RoRD employs dual-layer Z-score normalization :
Initial Z-Score : (RSI² - SMA) / StDev
Final Z-Score : Z-score of the Z-score for refined extremity detection
This identifies statistically rare events relative to recent market behavior
4. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Compares current timeframe Z-score with higher timeframe (HTF)
Provides directional confirmation across time horizons
Filters false signals through timeframe alignment
Why RoRD is Different & More Sophisticated
Beyond Traditional Indicators:
Acceleration vs. Velocity : While RSI measures momentum (velocity), RoRD measures momentum's rate of change (acceleration)
Adaptive Thresholds : Z-score analysis adapts to market conditions rather than using fixed 70/30 levels
Statistical Significance : Signals are based on mathematical rarity, not arbitrary levels
Leading Indicator : RSI² often turns before price, providing earlier signals
Reduced Whipsaws : T3 smoothing eliminates noise while maintaining responsiveness
Unique Signal Generation:
Quantum Orbs : Multi-layered visual signals for statistically extreme events
Divergence Detection : Automated identification of price/momentum divergences
Regime Backgrounds : Visual market state classification (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral)
Particle Effects : Dynamic visualization of momentum energy
Visual Design & Interpretation Guide
Color Coding System:
Yellow (#e1ff00) : Neutral/balanced momentum state
Red (#ff0000) : Overbought/extreme bullish acceleration
Green (#2fff00) : Oversold/extreme bearish acceleration
Orange : Z-score visualization
Blue : HTF Z-score comparison
Main Visual Elements:
RSI² Line with Glow Effect
Multi-layer glow creates depth and emphasis
Color dynamically shifts based on momentum state
Line thickness indicates signal strength
Quantum Signal Orbs
Green Orbs Below : Statistically rare oversold conditions
Red Orbs Above : Statistically rare overbought conditions
Multiple layers indicate signal strength
Only appear at Z-score extremes for high-conviction signals
Divergence Markers
Green Circles : Bullish divergence detected
Red Circles : Bearish divergence detected
Plotted at pivot points for precision
Background Regimes
Green Background : Bullish momentum regime
Grey Background : Bearish momentum regime
Blue Background : Neutral/transitioning regime
Particle Effects
Density indicates momentum energy
Color matches current RSI² state
Provides dynamic market "feel"
Dashboard Metrics - Deep Dive
RSI² ANALYSIS Section:
RSI² Value (0-100)
Current smoothed RSI of RSI reading
>70 : Strong bullish acceleration
<30 : Strong bearish acceleration
~50 : Neutral momentum state
RSI¹ Value
Traditional RSI for reference
Compare with RSI² for acceleration/deceleration insights
Z-Score Status
🔥 EXTREME HIGH : Z > threshold, statistically rare bullish
❄️ EXTREME LOW : Z < threshold, statistically rare bearish
📈 HIGH/📉 LOW : Elevated but not extreme
➡️ NEUTRAL : Normal statistical range
MOMENTUM Section:
Velocity Indicator
▲▲▲ : Strong positive acceleration
▼▼▼ : Strong negative acceleration
Shows rate of change in RSI²
Strength Bar
██████░░░░ : Visual power gauge
Filled bars indicate momentum strength
Based on deviation from center line
SIGNALS Section:
Divergence Status
🟢 BULLISH DIV : Price making lows, RSI² making highs
🔴 BEARISH DIV : Price making highs, RSI² making lows
⚪ NO DIVERGENCE : No divergence detected
HTF Comparison
🔥 HTF EXTREME : Higher timeframe confirms extremity
📊 HTF NORMAL : Higher timeframe is neutral
Critical for multi-timeframe confirmation
Trading Application & Strategy
Signal Hierarchy (Highest to Lowest Priority):
Quantum Orb + HTF Alignment + Divergence
Highest conviction reversal signal
Z-score extreme + timeframe confluence + divergence
Quantum Orb + HTF Alignment
Strong reversal signal
Wait for price confirmation
Divergence + Regime Change
Medium-term reversal signal
Monitor for orb confirmation
Threshold Crosses
Traditional overbought/oversold
Use as alert, not entry
Entry Strategies:
For Reversals:
Wait for Quantum Orb signal
Confirm with HTF Z-score direction
Enter on price structure break
Stop beyond recent extreme
For Continuations:
Trade with regime background color
Use RSI² pullbacks to center line
Avoid signals against HTF trend
For Scalping:
Focus on Z-score extremes
Quick entries on orb signals
Exit at center line cross
Risk Management:
Reduce position size when signals conflict with HTF
Avoid trades during regime transitions (blue background)
Tighten stops after divergence completion
Scale out at statistical mean reversion
Development & Uniqueness
RoRD represents months of research into momentum dynamics and statistical analysis. Unlike indicators that simply combine existing tools, RoRD introduces several genuine innovations :
True RSI² Implementation : Not a smoothed RSI, but actual RSI calculated on RSI values
Dual Z-Score Normalization : Unique approach to finding statistical extremes
T3 Integration : First RSI² implementation with T3 smoothing for optimal lag reduction
Quantum Orb Visualization : Revolutionary signal display method
Dynamic Regime Detection : Automatic market state classification
Statistical Adaptability : Thresholds adapt to market volatility
This indicator was built from first principles, with each component carefully selected for its mathematical properties and practical trading utility. The result is a professional-grade tool that provides insights unavailable through traditional momentum analysis.
Best Practices & Tips
Start with default settings - they're optimized for most markets
Always check HTF alignment before taking signals
Use divergences as early warning , orbs as confirmation
Respect regime backgrounds - trade with them, not against
Combine with price action - RoRD shows when, price shows where
Adjust Z-score thresholds based on market volatility
Monitor dashboard metrics for complete market context
Conclusion
RoRD isn't just another indicator—it's a complete momentum analysis system that reveals market dynamics invisible to traditional tools. By combining momentum acceleration, statistical analysis, and multi-timeframe confluence with intuitive visualization, RoRD provides traders with a sophisticated edge in any market condition.
Whether you're scalping rapid reversals or positioning for major trend changes, RoRD's unique approach to momentum analysis will transform how you see and trade market dynamics.
See momentum's future. Trade with statistical edge.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Bober XM v2.0# ₿ober XM v2.0 Trading Bot Documentation
**Developer's Note**: While our previous Bot 1.3.1 was removed due to guideline violations, this setback only fueled our determination to create something even better. Rising from this challenge, Bober XM 2.0 emerges not just as an update, but as a complete reimagining with multi-timeframe analysis, enhanced filters, and superior adaptability. This adversity pushed us to innovate further and deliver a strategy that's smarter, more agile, and more powerful than ever before. Challenges create opportunity - welcome to Cryptobeat's finest work yet.
## !!!!You need to tune it for your own pair and timeframe and retune it periodicaly!!!!!
## Overview
The ₿ober XM v2.0 is an advanced dual-channel trading bot with multi-timeframe analysis capabilities. It integrates multiple technical indicators, customizable risk management, and advanced order execution via webhook for automated trading. The bot's distinctive feature is its separate channel systems for long and short positions, allowing for asymmetric trade strategies that adapt to different market conditions across multiple timeframes.
### Key Features
- **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Analyze price data across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- **Dual Channel System**: Separate parameter sets for long and short positions
- **Advanced Entry Filters**: RSI, Volatility, Volume, Bollinger Bands, and KEMAD filters
- **Machine Learning Moving Average**: Adaptive prediction-based channels
- **Multiple Entry Strategies**: Breakout, Pullback, and Mean Reversion modes
- **Risk Management**: Customizable stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stop settings
- **Webhook Integration**: Compatible with external trading bots and platforms
### Strategy Components
| Component | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **Dual Channel Trading** | Uses either Keltner Channels or Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) with separate settings for long and short positions |
| **MLMA Implementation** | Machine learning algorithm that predicts future price movements and creates adaptive bands |
| **Pivot Point SuperTrend** | Trend identification and confirmation system based on pivot points |
| **Three Entry Strategies** | Choose between Breakout, Pullback, or Mean Reversion approaches |
| **Advanced Filter System** | Multiple customizable filters with multi-timeframe support to avoid false signals |
| **Custom Exit Logic** | Exits based on OBV crossover of its moving average combined with pivot trend changes |
### Note for Novice Users
This is a fully featured real trading bot and can be tweaked for any ticker — SOL is just an example. It follows this structure:
1. **Indicator** – gives the initial signal
2. **Entry strategy** – decides when to open a trade
3. **Exit strategy** – defines when to close it
4. **Trend confirmation** – ensures the trade follows the market direction
5. **Filters** – cuts out noise and avoids weak setups
6. **Risk management** – controls losses and protects your capital
To tune it for a different pair, you'll need to start from scratch:
1. Select the timeframe (candle size)
2. Turn off all filters and trend entry/exit confirmations
3. Choose a channel type, channel source and entry strategy
4. Adjust risk parameters
5. Tune long and short settings for the channel
6. Fine-tune the Pivot Point Supertrend and Main Exit condition OBV
This will generate a lot of signals and activity on the chart. Your next task is to find the right combination of filters and settings to reduce noise and tune it for profitability.
### Default Strategy values
Default values are tuned for: Symbol BITGET:SOLUSDT.P 5min candle
Filters are off by default: Try to play with it to understand how it works
## Configuration Guide
### General Settings
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Long Positions** | Enable or disable long trades | Enabled |
| **Short Positions** | Enable or disable short trades | Enabled |
| **Risk/Reward Area** | Visual display of stop-loss and take-profit zones | Enabled |
| **Long Entry Source** | Price data used for long entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
| **Short Entry Source** | Price data used for short entry signals | hl2 (High+Low/2) |
The bot allows you to trade long positions, short positions, or both simultaneously. Each direction has its own set of parameters, allowing for fine-tuned strategies that recognize the asymmetric nature of market movements.
### Multi-Timeframe Settings
1. **Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis**: Toggle 'Enable Multi-Timeframe Analysis' in the Multi-Timeframe Settings section
2. **Configure Timeframes**: Set appropriate higher timeframes based on your trading style:
- Timeframe 1: Default is now 15 minutes (intraday confirmation)
- Timeframe 2: Default is 4 hours (trend direction)
3. **Select Sources per Indicator**: For each indicator (RSI, KEMAD, Volume, etc.), choose:
- The desired timeframe (current, mtf1, or mtf2)
- The appropriate price type (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
### Entry Strategies
- **Breakout**: Enter when price breaks above/below the channel
- **Pullback**: Enter when price pulls back to the channel
- **Mean Reversion**: Enter when price is extended from the channel
You can enable different strategies for long and short positions.
### Core Components
### Risk Management
- **Position Size**: Control risk with percentage-based position sizing
- **Stop Loss Options**:
- Fixed: Set a specific price or percentage from entry
- ATR-based: Dynamic stop-loss based on market volatility
- Swing: Uses recent swing high/low points
- **Take Profit**: Multiple targets with percentage allocation
- **Trailing Stop**: Dynamic stop that follows price movement
## Advanced Usage Strategies
### Moving Average Type Selection Guide
- **SMA**: More stable in choppy markets, good for higher timeframes
- **EMA/WMA**: More responsive to recent price changes, better for entry signals
- **VWMA**: Adds volume weighting for stronger trends, use with Volume filter
- **HMA**: Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction, good for volatile markets
### Multi-Timeframe Strategy Approaches
- **Trend Confirmation**: Use higher timeframe RSI (mtf2) for overall trend, current timeframe for entries
- **Entry Precision**: Use KEMAD on current timeframe with volume filter on mtf1
- **False Signal Reduction**: Apply RSI filter on mtf1 with strict KEMAD settings
### Market Condition Optimization
| Market Condition | Recommended Settings |
|------------------|----------------------|
| **Trending** | Use Breakout strategy with KEMAD filter on higher timeframe |
| **Ranging** | Use Mean Reversion with strict RSI filter (mtf1) |
| **Volatile** | Increase ATR multipliers, use HMA for moving averages |
| **Low Volatility** | Decrease noise parameters, use pullback strategy |
## Webhook Integration
The strategy features a professional webhook system that allows direct connectivity to your exchange or trading platform of choice through third-party services like 3commas, Alertatron, or Autoview.
The webhook payload includes all necessary parameters for automated execution:
- Entry price and direction
- Stop loss and take profit levels
- Position size
- Custom identifier for webhook routing
## Performance Optimization Tips
1. **Start with Defaults**: Begin with the default settings for your timeframe before customizing
2. **Adjust One Component at a Time**: Make incremental changes and test the impact
3. **Match MA Types to Market Conditions**: Use appropriate moving average types based on the Market Condition Optimization table
4. **Timeframe Synergy**: Create logical relationships between timeframes (e.g., 5min chart with 15min and 4h higher timeframes)
5. **Periodic Retuning**: Markets evolve - regularly review and adjust parameters
## Common Setups
### Crypto Trend-Following
- MLMA with EMA or HMA
- Higher RSI thresholds (75/25)
- KEMAD filter on mtf1
- Breakout entry strategy
### Stock Swing Trading
- MLMA with SMA for stability
- Volume filter with higher threshold
- KEMAD with increased filter order
- Pullback entry strategy
### Forex Scalping
- MLMA with WMA and lower noise parameter
- RSI filter on current timeframe
- Use highest timeframe for trend direction only
- Mean Reversion strategy
## Webhook Configuration
- **Benefits**:
- Automated trade execution without manual intervention
- Immediate response to market conditions
- Consistent execution of your strategy
- **Implementation Notes**:
- Requires proper webhook configuration on your exchange or platform
- Test thoroughly with small position sizes before full deployment
- Consider latency between signal generation and execution
### Backtesting Period
Define a specific historical period to evaluate the bot's performance:
| Setting | Description | Default Value |
|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Start Date** | Beginning of backtest period | January 1, 2025 |
| **End Date** | End of backtest period | December 31, 2026 |
- **Best Practice**: Test across different market conditions (bull markets, bear markets, sideways markets)
- **Limitation**: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
## Entry and Exit Strategies
### Dual-Channel System
A key innovation of the Bober XM is its dual-channel approach:
- **Independent Parameters**: Each trade direction has its own channel settings
- **Asymmetric Trading**: Recognizes that markets often behave differently in uptrends versus downtrends
- **Optimized Performance**: Fine-tune settings for both bullish and bearish conditions
This approach allows the bot to adapt to the natural asymmetry of markets, where uptrends often develop gradually while downtrends can be sharp and sudden.
### Channel Types
#### 1. Keltner Channels
Traditional volatility-based channels using EMA and ATR:
| Setting | Long Default | Short Default |
|---------|--------------|---------------|
| **EMA Length** | 37 | 20 |
| **ATR Length** | 13 | 17 |
| **Multiplier** | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| **Source** | low | high |
- **Strengths**:
- Reliable in trending markets
- Less prone to whipsaws than Bollinger Bands
- Clear visual representation of volatility
- **Weaknesses**:
- Can lag during rapid market changes
- Less effective in choppy, non-trending markets
#### 2. Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA)
Advanced predictive model using kernel regression (RBF kernel):
| Setting | Description | Options |
|---------|-------------|--------|
| **Source MA** | Price data used for MA calculations | Any price source (low/high/close/etc.) |
| **Moving Average Type** | Type of MA algorithm for calculations | SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA |
| **Trend Source** | Price data used for trend determination | Any price source (close default) |
| **Window Size** | Historical window for MLMA calculations | 5+ (default: 16) |
| **Forecast Length** | Number of bars to forecast ahead | 1+ (default: 3) |
| **Noise Parameter** | Controls smoothness of prediction | 0.01+ (default: ~0.43) |
| **Band Multiplier** | Multiplier for channel width | 0.1+ (default: 0.5-0.6) |
- **Strengths**:
- Predictive rather than reactive
- Adapts quickly to changing market conditions
- Better at identifying trend reversals early
- **Weaknesses**:
- More computationally intensive
- Requires careful parameter tuning
- Can be sensitive to input data quality
### Entry Strategies
| Strategy | Description | Ideal Market Conditions |
|----------|-------------|-------------------------|
| **Breakout** | Enters when price breaks through channel bands, indicating strong momentum | High volatility, emerging trends |
| **Pullback** | Enters when price retraces to the middle band after testing extremes | Established trends with regular pullbacks |
| **Mean Reversion** | Enters at channel extremes, betting on a return to the mean | Range-bound or oscillating markets |
#### Breakout Strategy (Default)
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price crosses above the upper band, short when price crosses below the lower band
- **Strengths**: Captures strong momentum moves, performs well in trending markets
- **Weaknesses**: Can lead to late entries, higher risk of false breakouts
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Increase channel multiplier for fewer but more reliable signals
- Combine with volume confirmation for better accuracy
#### Pullback Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long when price pulls back to middle band during uptrend, short during downtrend pullbacks
- **Strengths**: Better entry prices, lower risk, higher probability setups
- **Weaknesses**: Misses some strong moves, requires clear trend identification
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Use with trend filters to confirm overall direction
- Adjust middle band calculation for market volatility
#### Mean Reversion Strategy
- **Implementation**: Enters long at lower band, short at upper band, expecting price to revert to the mean
- **Strengths**: Excellent entry prices, works well in ranging markets
- **Weaknesses**: Dangerous in strong trends, can lead to fighting the trend
- **Optimization Tips**:
- Implement strong trend filters to avoid counter-trend trades
- Use smaller position sizes due to higher risk nature
### Confirmation Indicators
#### Pivot Point SuperTrend
Combines pivot points with ATR-based SuperTrend for trend confirmation:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Pivot Period** | 25 |
| **ATR Factor** | 2.2 |
| **ATR Period** | 41 |
- **Function**: Identifies significant market turning points and confirms trend direction
- **Implementation**: Requires price to respect the SuperTrend line for trade confirmation
#### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Provides additional confirmation layer for entries:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Period** | 15 |
| **Source** | ohlc4 (average of Open, High, Low, Close) |
- **Function**: Confirms trend direction and filters out low-quality signals
- **Implementation**: Price must be above WMA for longs, below for shorts
### Exit Strategies
#### On-Balance Volume (OBV) Based Exits
Uses volume flow to identify potential reversals:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Source** | ohlc4 |
| **MA Type** | HMA (Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA, HMA) |
| **Period** | 22 |
- **Function**: Identifies divergences between price and volume to exit before reversals
- **Implementation**: Exits when OBV crosses its moving average in the opposite direction
- **Customizable MA Type**: Different MA types provide varying sensitivity to OBV changes:
- **SMA**: Traditional simple average, equal weight to all periods
- **EMA**: More weight to recent data, responds faster to price changes
- **WMA**: Weighted by recency, smoother than EMA
- **RMA**: Similar to EMA but smoother, reduces noise
- **VWMA**: Factors in volume, helpful for OBV confirmation
- **HMA**: Reduces lag while maintaining smoothness (default)
#### ADX Exit Confirmation
Uses Average Directional Index to confirm trend exhaustion:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **ADX Threshold** | 35 |
| **ADX Smoothing** | 60 |
| **DI Length** | 60 |
- **Function**: Confirms trend weakness before exiting positions
- **Implementation**: Requires ADX to drop below threshold or DI lines to cross
## Filter System
### RSI Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on momentum conditions
- **Parameters**:
- Period: 15 (default)
- Overbought level: 71
- Oversold level: 23
- Multi-timeframe support: Current, MTF1 (15min), or MTF2 (4h)
- Customizable price source (open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4)
- **Implementation**: Blocks long entries when RSI > overbought, short entries when RSI < oversold
### Volatility Filter
- **Function**: Prevents trading during excessive market volatility
- **Parameters**:
- Measure: ATR (Average True Range)
- Period: Customizable (default varies by timeframe)
- Threshold: Adjustable multiplier
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Blocks trades when current volatility exceeds threshold × average volatility
### Volume Filter
- **Function**: Ensures adequate market liquidity for trades
- **Parameters**:
- Threshold: 0.4× average (default)
- Measurement period: 5 (default)
- Moving average type: Customizable (HMA default)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Requires current volume to exceed threshold × average volume
### Bollinger Bands Filter
- **Function**: Controls entries based on price relative to statistical boundaries
- **Parameters**:
- Period: Customizable
- Standard deviation multiplier: Adjustable
- Moving average type: Customizable
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable price source
- **Implementation**: Can require price to be within bands or breaking out of bands depending on strategy
### KEMAD Filter (Kalman EMA Distance)
- **Function**: Advanced trend confirmation using Kalman filter algorithm
- **Parameters**:
- Process Noise: 0.35 (controls smoothness)
- Measurement Noise: 24 (controls reactivity)
- Filter Order: 6 (higher = more smoothing)
- ATR Length: 8 (for bandwidth calculation)
- Upper Multiplier: 2.0 (for long signals)
- Lower Multiplier: 2.7 (for short signals)
- Multi-timeframe support
- Customizable visual indicators
- **Implementation**: Generates signals based on price position relative to Kalman-filtered EMA bands
## Risk Management System
### Position Sizing
Automatically calculates position size based on account equity and risk parameters:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk % of Equity** | 50% |
- **Implementation**:
- Position size = (Account equity × Risk %) ÷ (Entry price × Stop loss distance)
- Adjusts automatically based on volatility and stop placement
- **Best Practices**:
- Start with lower risk percentages (1-2%) until strategy is proven
- Consider reducing risk during high volatility periods
### Stop-Loss Methods
Multiple stop-loss calculation methods with separate configurations for long and short positions:
| Method | Description | Configuration |
|--------|-------------|---------------|
| **ATR-Based** | Dynamic stops based on volatility | ATR Period: 14, Multiplier: 2.0 |
| **Percentage** | Fixed percentage from entry | Long: 1.5%, Short: 1.5% |
| **PIP-Based** | Fixed currency unit distance | 10.0 pips |
- **Implementation Notes**:
- ATR-based stops adapt to changing market volatility
- Percentage stops maintain consistent risk exposure
- PIP-based stops provide precise control in stable markets
### Trailing Stops
Locks in profits by adjusting stop-loss levels as price moves favorably:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
| **Activation Threshold** | 2.1% |
| **Trailing Distance** | 1.4% |
- **Implementation**:
- Initial stop remains fixed until profit reaches activation threshold
- Once activated, stop follows price at specified distance
- Locks in profit while allowing room for normal price fluctuations
### Risk-Reward Parameters
Defines the relationship between risk and potential reward:
| Setting | Default Value |
|---------|---------------|
| **Risk-Reward Ratio** | 1.4 |
| **Take Profit %** | 2.4% |
| **Stop-Loss %** | 1.5% |
- **Implementation**:
- Take profit distance = Stop loss distance × Risk-reward ratio
- Higher ratios require fewer winning trades for profitability
- Lower ratios increase win rate but reduce average profit
### Filter Combinations
The strategy allows for simultaneous application of multiple filters:
- **Recommended Combinations**:
- Trending markets: RSI + KEMAD filters
- Ranging markets: Bollinger Bands + Volatility filters
- All markets: Volume filter as minimum requirement
- **Performance Impact**:
- Each additional filter reduces the number of trades
- Quality of remaining trades typically improves
- Optimal combination depends on market conditions and timeframe
### Multi-Timeframe Filter Applications
| Filter Type | Current Timeframe | MTF1 (15min) | MTF2 (4h) |
|-------------|-------------------|-------------|------------|
| RSI | Quick entries/exits | Intraday trend | Overall trend |
| Volume | Immediate liquidity | Sustained support | Market participation |
| Volatility | Entry timing | Short-term risk | Regime changes |
| KEMAD | Precise signals | Trend confirmation | Major reversals |
## Visual Indicators and Chart Analysis
The bot provides comprehensive visual feedback on the chart:
- **Channel Bands**: Keltner or MLMA bands showing potential support/resistance
- **Pivot SuperTrend**: Colored line showing trend direction and potential reversal points
- **Entry/Exit Markers**: Annotations showing actual trade entries and exits
- **Risk/Reward Zones**: Visual representation of stop-loss and take-profit levels
These visual elements allow for:
- Real-time strategy assessment
- Post-trade analysis and optimization
- Educational understanding of the strategy logic
## Implementation Guide
### TradingView Setup
1. Load the script in TradingView Pine Editor
2. Apply to your preferred chart and timeframe
3. Adjust parameters based on your trading preferences
4. Enable alerts for webhook integration
### Webhook Integration
1. Configure webhook URL in TradingView alerts
2. Set up receiving endpoint on your trading platform
3. Define message format matching the bot's output
4. Test with small position sizes before full deployment
### Optimization Process
1. Backtest across different market conditions
2. Identify parameter sensitivity through multiple tests
3. Focus on risk management parameters first
4. Fine-tune entry/exit conditions based on performance metrics
5. Validate with out-of-sample testing
## Performance Considerations
### Strengths
- Adaptability to different market conditions through dual channels
- Multiple layers of confirmation reducing false signals
- Comprehensive risk management protecting capital
- Machine learning integration for predictive edge
### Limitations
- Complex parameter set requiring careful optimization
- Potential over-optimization risk with so many variables
- Computational intensity of MLMA calculations
- Dependency on proper webhook configuration for execution
### Best Practices
- Start with conservative risk settings (1-2% of equity)
- Test thoroughly in demo environment before live trading
- Monitor performance regularly and adjust parameters
- Consider market regime changes when evaluating results
## Conclusion
The ₿ober XM v2.0 represents a significant evolution in trading strategy design, combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning elements and multi-timeframe analysis. The core strength of this system lies in its adaptability and recognition of market asymmetry.
### Market Asymmetry and Adaptive Approach
The strategy acknowledges a fundamental truth about markets: bullish and bearish phases behave differently and should be treated as distinct environments. The dual-channel system with separate parameters for long and short positions directly addresses this asymmetry, allowing for optimized performance regardless of market direction.
### Targeted Backtesting Philosophy
It's counterproductive to run backtests over excessively long periods. Markets evolve continuously, and strategies that worked in previous market regimes may be ineffective in current conditions. Instead:
- Test specific market phases separately (bull markets, bear markets, range-bound periods)
- Regularly re-optimize parameters as market conditions change
- Focus on recent performance with higher weight than historical results
- Test across multiple timeframes to ensure robustness
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis as a Game-Changer
The integration of multi-timeframe analysis fundamentally transforms the strategy's effectiveness:
- **Increased Safety**: Higher timeframe confirmations reduce false signals and improve trade quality
- **Context Awareness**: Decisions made with awareness of larger trends reduce adverse entries
- **Adaptable Precision**: Apply strict filters on lower timeframes while maintaining awareness of broader conditions
- **Reduced Noise**: Higher timeframe data naturally filters market noise that can trigger poor entries
The ₿ober XM v2.0 provides traders with a framework that acknowledges market complexity while offering practical tools to navigate it. With proper setup, realistic expectations, and attention to changing market conditions, it delivers a sophisticated approach to systematic trading that can be continuously refined and optimized.
ICT SMC Liquidity Grabs and OBsICT SMC Liquidity Grabs + Order Blocks + Fibonacci OTE Levels
A High-Probability Entry Engine for Smart Money Concept Traders
This script combines three powerful Smart Money Concepts (SMC) into a single tool: Liquidity Grabs, Order Block Zones, and Fibonacci OTE Levels, allowing traders to identify institutional entry models with clean, rule-based visual signals.
It’s designed to simplify SMC trading by highlighting confluence zones where price is likely to reverse or continue — with clear visual zones, entry arrows, and take profit projections.
🔍 What This Script Does:
Detects Liquidity Grabs
Identifies when price sweeps above/below the highest high or lowest low within a user-defined lookback period and closes back inside.
Plots orange labels on the chart to signal potential liquidity events (LG-H / LG-L).
Plots Order Blocks After Liquidity Grabs
After a liquidity grab, the script looks for displacement candles (strong bullish or bearish moves) and draws highlighted OB zones extending several bars to the right.
These zones represent potential institutional footprints for price reversals.
Draws Fibonacci OTE Levels (Optimal Trade Entry)
Uses recent swing high and low pivots to automatically calculate OTE zones (default: 62% and 75% retracement levels).
Draws these retracement zones for both bullish and bearish setups.
Marks Valid OTE Entry Zones
Buy/Sell zones only trigger when:
A liquidity grab occurs,
Price enters the OTE zone,
And a strong confirming candle is present.
Plots green/red arrows for valid buy/sell OTE entries.
Auto-Draws Take Profit Zones
TP1 = Previous swing high/low
TP2 = Risk-based R-multiplied extension (e.g., 1.5R — customizable)
Alerts
Triggers alerts when valid buy or sell OTE setups are detected.
⚙️ Customization Features:
Toggle each feature: Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks, Fibonacci OTE levels
Set Fibonacci retracement percentages (e.g., 0.62 / 0.75)
Adjust lookback window for liquidity detection
Customize the take-profit multiplier (R-based)
Full control over visuals: colors, labels, and lines
💡 How to Use:
Use this script to scan for high-confluence trade setups based on Smart Money principles.
Combine with session timing (e.g., New York open), major swing structure, or Kill Zone windows for maximum edge.
Look for arrows inside OB zones or OTE levels following liquidity sweeps for cleaner entries.
🔗 Works Best With:
✅ First FVG — Opening Range Fair Value Gap Detector: Identify early inefficiencies to set the narrative for the day.
✅ Liquidity Levels — Smart Swing Lows: Spot key structural lows that can fuel stop hunts and reversals.
✅ ICT Turtle Soup — Liquidity Reversal: Add a classic reversal pattern to your toolkit to catch fakeouts cleanly.
Together, these tools build a complete Smart Money ecosystem for entry precision, risk management, and price behavior forecasting.
DM Support / Resistance (USA Session)This indicator is specifically designed for use on the 4-hour time frame and helps traders identify key support and resistance levels during the USA trading session (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time). The indicator calculates important price levels to assist in making well-informed entry and exit decisions, particularly for those focusing on swing trades or longer-term intraday strategies. It also includes a feature to skip setups when relevant fundamental news is scheduled, ensuring you avoid trading during periods of high volatility.
Key Features:
Support and Resistance Levels (S1 & R1):
The indicator calculates and displays Support 1 (S1) and Resistance 1 (R1) levels, which act as key barriers for price action and help traders spot potential reversal or breakout zones on the chart.
Pivot Point (PP):
The Pivot Point (PP) is calculated as the average of the previous period's high, low, and close. It serves as a central reference point for market direction, allowing traders to evaluate whether the market is in a bullish or bearish trend.
Market Bias:
The Bias is shown as a histogram that helps traders assess the strength of the market trend. A positive bias suggests bullish sentiment, while a negative bias signals bearish conditions. This can be used to confirm the overall trend direction.
4-Hour Time Frame:
The indicator is optimized for the 4-hour time frame, making it suitable for traders looking for swing trades or those who wish to capture longer-term trends within the USA session. The key support, resistance, and pivot levels are recalculated dynamically to reflect price action over 4-hour periods.
Dynamic Plotting and Alerts:
Support and resistance levels are drawn as dashed horizontal lines, updating in real-time to reflect the most current market data during the USA session. Alerts can be set for significant price movements crossing these levels.
Stop-Loss Strategy Based on 15-Minute Time Frame:
A unique feature of this indicator is its stop-loss strategy, which uses 15-minute time frame support and resistance levels. When a long or short entry is triggered on the 4-hour chart, traders should place their stop-loss according to the relevant 15-minute support or resistance level.
If the price closes above the 15-minute support for a long entry, or closes below the 15-minute resistance for a short entry, it signals the need to exit or adjust your position based on these levels.
Fundamental News Filter:
To avoid unnecessary risk, the indicator incorporates a fundamental news filter. If there is relevant news scheduled during the USA session, such as high-impact economic data or central bank announcements, the indicator will skip the setup for that period. This prevents traders from entering positions during times of elevated volatility caused by news events, which could result in unpredictable price movements.
How to Use:
Long Entry: When the Bias is positive and the price breaks above Support 1 (S1), this signals a potential bullish move. Consider entering a long position at this point.
Stop-Loss Strategy: Set your stop-loss at the respective 15-minute support level. If the price closes below this level, it could signal a reversal, prompting you to exit the trade.
Short Entry: When the Bias is negative and the price breaks below Resistance 1 (R1), this signals a potential bearish move. Enter a short position at this point.
Stop-Loss Strategy: Set your stop-loss at the respective 15-minute resistance level. If the price closes above this level, exit the short trade as it could indicate a bullish reversal.
Pivot Point (PP): The Pivot Point serves as a reference level to gauge potential price reversals. A move above the PP suggests a bullish bias, while trading below the PP suggests a bearish outlook.
Bias Histogram: The Bias Histogram helps confirm trend direction. A positive bias confirms long positions, while a negative bias reinforces short trades.
Avoid Trading During High-Impact News: If there is significant economic news or fundamental events scheduled during the USA session, the indicator will automatically skip any potential setup. This feature ensures you avoid entering trades that might be affected by unexpected news-driven volatility, keeping your trading strategy safer and more reliable.
Why Use This Indicator:
The 4-hour time frame is ideal for traders who prefer swing trading or those looking to capture longer-term trends in a structured manner. This indicator provides crucial insights into market direction, support/resistance levels, and potential entry/exit points.
The stop-loss management based on the 15-minute support and resistance levels helps traders protect their positions from sudden price reversals, ensuring more precise risk management.
The fundamental news filter is particularly useful for avoidance of high-risk periods. By skipping setups during high-impact news events, traders can avoid entering trades when price volatility could be unpredictable.
Overall, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders who want to make data-driven decisions based on technical analysis while ensuring that their positions are managed responsibly and avoiding news-driven risk.
Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/Poisson Prediction
---
# **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/ Poisson Prediction**
## **Introduction**
The **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence with Poisson Prediction** is a **statistically-driven trend-following oscillator** that provides traders with **a structured approach to identifying trend strength, persistence, and potential reversals**.
This indicator combines:
- **Hurst Exponent Analysis** (to measure how persistent or mean-reverting price action is).
- **Color-Coded Trend Detection** (to highlight bullish and bearish conditions).
- **Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability Projection** (to anticipate when a trend is likely to end based on statistical models).
By integrating **fractal market theory (Hurst exponent)** with **Poisson probability distributions**, this indicator gives traders a **probability-weighted view of trend duration** while dynamically adapting to market volatility.
---
## **Simplified Explanation (How to Read the Indicator at a Glance)**
1. **If the oscillator line is going up → The trend is strong.**
2. **If the oscillator line is going down → The trend is weakening.**
3. **If the color shifts from red to green (or vice versa), a trend shift has occurred.**
- **Strong trends can change color without weakening** (meaning a bullish or bearish move can remain powerful even as the trend shifts).
4. **A weakening trend does NOT necessarily mean a reversal is coming.**
- The trend may slow down but continue in the same direction.
5. **A strong trend does NOT guarantee it will last.**
- Even a powerful move can **suddenly reverse**, which is why the **Poisson-based background shading** helps anticipate probabilities of change.
---
## **How to Use the Indicator**
### **1. Understanding the Rolling Hurst-Based Trend Oscillator (Main Line)**
The **oscillator line** is based on the **Hurst exponent (H)**, which quantifies whether price movements are:
- **Trending** (values above 0 → momentum-driven, persistent trends).
- **Mean-reverting** (values below 0 → price action is choppy, likely to revert to the mean).
- **Neutral (Random Walk)** (values around 0 → price behaves like a purely stochastic process).
#### **Interpreting the Oscillator:**
- **H > 0.5 → Persistent Trends:**
- Price moves tend to sustain in one direction for longer periods.
- Example: Strong uptrends in bull markets.
- **H < 0.5 → Mean-Reverting Behavior:**
- Price has a tendency to revert back to its mean.
- Example: Sideways markets or fading momentum.
- **H ≈ 0.5 → Random Walk:**
- No clear trend; price is unpredictable.
A **gray dashed horizontal line at 0** serves as a **baseline**, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is **favoring trends or mean reversion**.
---
### **2. Color-Coded Trend Signal (Visual Confirmation of Trend Shifts)**
The oscillator **changes color** based on **price slope** over the lookback period:
- **🟢 Green → Uptrend (Price Increasing)**
- Price is rising relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bullish pressure.
- **🔴 Red → Downtrend (Price Decreasing)**
- Price is falling relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bearish pressure.
#### **How to Use This in Trading**
✔ **Stay in trends until a color change occurs.**
✔ **Use color changes as confirmation for trend reversals.**
✔ **Avoid counter-trend trades when the oscillator remains strongly colored.**
---
### **3. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Projection (Anticipating Future Shifts)**
The **shaded orange background** represents a **Poisson-based probability estimation** of when the trend is likely to reverse.
- **Darker Orange = Higher Probability of Trend Reversal**
- **Lighter Orange / No Shade = Low Probability of Immediate Reversal**
💡 **The idea behind this model:**
✔ Trends **don’t last forever**, and their duration follows **statistical patterns**.
✔ By calculating the **average historical trend duration**, the indicator predicts **how likely a trend shift is at any given time**.
✔ The **Poisson probability function** is applied to determine the **expected likelihood of a reversal as time progresses**.
---
## **Mathematical Foundations of the Indicator**
This indicator is based on **two primary statistical models**:
### **1. Hurst Exponent & Trend Persistence (Fractal Market Theory)**
- The **Hurst exponent (H)** measures **autocorrelation** in price movements.
- If past trends **persist**, H will be **above 0.5** (meaning trend-following strategies are favorable).
- If past trends tend to **mean-revert**, H will be **below 0.5** (meaning reversal strategies are more effective).
- The **Rolling Hurst Oscillator** calculates this exponent over a moving window to track real-time trend conditions.
#### **Formula Breakdown (Simplified for Traders)**
The Hurst exponent (H) is derived using the **Rescaled Range (R/S) Analysis**:
\
Where:
- **R** = **Range** (difference between max cumulative deviation and min cumulative deviation).
- **S** = **Standard deviation** of price fluctuations.
- **Lookback** = The number of periods analyzed.
---
### **2. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability (Stochastic Process Modeling)**
The **Poisson process** is a **probabilistic model used for estimating time-based events**, applied here to **predict trend reversals based on past trend durations**.
#### **How It Works**
- The indicator **tracks trend durations** (the time between color changes).
- A **Poisson rate parameter (λ)** is computed as:
\
- The **probability of a reversal at any given time (t)** is estimated using:
\
- **As t increases (trend continues), the probability of reversal rises**.
- The indicator **shades the background based on this probability**, visually displaying the likelihood of a **trend shift**.
---
## **Dynamic Adaptation to Market Conditions**
✔ **Volatility-Adjusted Trend Shifts:**
- A **custom volatility calculation** dynamically adjusts the **minimum trend duration** required before a trend shift is recognized.
- **Higher volatility → Requires longer confirmation before switching trend color.**
- **Lower volatility → Allows faster trend shifts.**
✔ **Adaptive Poisson Weighting:**
- **Recent trends are weighted more heavily** using an exponential decay function:
- **Decay Factor (0.618 by default)** prioritizes **recent intervals** while still considering historical trends.
- This ensures the model adapts to changing market conditions.
---
## **Key Takeaways for Traders**
✅ **Identify Persistent Trends vs. Mean Reversion:**
- Use the oscillator line to determine whether the market favors **trend-following or counter-trend strategies**.
✅ **Visual Trend Confirmation via Color Coding:**
- **Green = Uptrend**, **Red = Downtrend**.
- Trend changes help confirm **entry and exit points**.
✅ **Anticipate Trend Reversals Using Probability Models:**
- The **Poisson projection** provides a **statistical edge** in **timing exits before trends reverse**.
✅ **Adapt to Market Volatility Automatically:**
- Dynamic **volatility scaling** ensures the indicator remains effective in **both high and low volatility environments**.
Happy trading and enjoy!
Advanced Trend and Volatility Indicator with Alerts by ZaimonThis script presents a comprehensive analytical tool that integrates multiple technical indicators to provide a holistic view of market trends and volatility. By uniquely combining Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger Bands, and Average True Range (ATR), it offers nuanced insights into price movements and helps identify potential trading opportunities.
---
### **Key Features and Integration:**
1. **Moving Averages (MA20 & MA50):**
- **Trend Identification:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates two Simple Moving Averages—MA20 (short-term) and MA50 (long-term).
- **Bullish Trend:** When MA20 crosses above MA50, indicating upward momentum.
- **Bearish Trend:** When MA20 crosses below MA50, signaling downward momentum.
- **Golden Cross & Death Cross Alerts:**
- **Golden Cross:** MA20 crossing above MA50 generates a bullish alert and visual symbol.
- **Death Cross:** MA20 crossing below MA50 triggers a bearish alert and visual symbol.
- **Integration:**
- Serves as the foundational trend indicator, influencing interpretations of other indicators within the script.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- **Momentum Measurement:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates RSI to assess the speed and change of price movements over a 14-period length.
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:** Customizable thresholds set at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
- **Alerts:**
- Generates alerts when RSI crosses above or below the specified thresholds.
- **Integration:**
- Confirms trend strength identified by MAs.
- Overbought/Oversold signals can precede potential trend reversals, especially when aligned with MA crossovers.
3. **Stochastic Oscillator:**
- **Momentum and Reversal Signals:**
- **Methodology:** Uses %K and %D lines to evaluate price momentum relative to high-low range over recent periods.
- **Bullish Signal:** %K crossing above %D in oversold territory (below 20).
- **Bearish Signal:** %K crossing below %D in overbought territory (above 80).
- **Alerts:**
- Provides alerts on bullish and bearish crossovers in extreme regions.
- **Integration:**
- Enhances RSI signals by providing additional momentum confirmation.
- When both RSI and Stochastic indicate overbought/oversold conditions, it strengthens the likelihood of a reversal.
4. **Bollinger Bands:**
- **Volatility Visualization:**
- **Methodology:** Plots upper and lower bands based on standard deviations from a moving average (BB Basis).
- **Dynamic Support/Resistance:** Prices touching or exceeding the bands may indicate potential reversals.
- **Integration:**
- Works with RSI and Stochastic to identify overextended price movements.
- Helps in assessing volatility alongside trend and momentum indicators.
5. **Average True Range (ATR):**
- **Volatility Assessment:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates ATR over a 14-period length to measure market volatility.
- **ATR Bands:** Plots upper and lower bands relative to the current price using an ATR multiplier.
- **Integration:**
- Assists in setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on current volatility.
- Complements Bollinger Bands for a comprehensive volatility analysis.
6. **Information Table:**
- **Real-Time Data Display:**
- Shows current values of MA20, MA50, RSI, Stochastic %K and %D, BB Basis, ATR, and Trend Status.
- **Trend Status Indicator:**
- Displays "Bullish," "Bearish," or "Sideways" based on MA conditions.
- **Integration:**
- Provides a consolidated view for quick decision-making without analyzing individual indicators separately.
7. **Periodic Labels:**
- **Enhanced Visibility:**
- Adds labels every 50 bars showing RSI and Stochastic values.
- **Integration:**
- Helps track momentum changes over time and spot longer-term patterns.
---
### **How the Components Work Together:**
- **Synergistic Analysis:**
- **Trend Confirmation:** MA crossovers establish the primary trend, while RSI and Stochastic confirm momentum within that trend.
- **Volatility Context:** Bollinger Bands and ATR provide context on market volatility, refining entry and exit points suggested by trend and momentum indicators.
- **Signal Strength:** Concurrent signals from multiple indicators increase confidence in trading decisions.
---
### **Usage Guidelines:**
1. **Trend Analysis:**
- **Identify Trend Direction:**
- Observe MA20 and MA50 crossovers.
- Refer to the Trend Status in the information table.
- **Confirm with Momentum Indicators:**
- Ensure RSI and Stochastic support the identified trend.
2. **Entry and Exit Points:**
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:**
- Look for RSI and Stochastic reaching extreme levels.
- Consider entering positions when oversold in a bullish trend or overbought in a bearish trend.
- **Bollinger Band Interactions:**
- Use price interactions with Bollinger Bands to identify potential reversal zones.
3. **Risk Management:**
- **ATR-Based Levels:**
- Set stop-loss and take-profit levels using ATR bands to account for current volatility.
- **Adjusting to Volatility:**
- Modify position sizes and targets based on Bollinger Band width and ATR values.
4. **Alerts Setup:**
- **Customize Alert Thresholds:**
- Configure alerts for MA crossovers, RSI levels, and Stochastic crossovers according to your trading strategy.
- **Stay Informed:**
- Use alerts to monitor key events without constant chart observation.
---
### **Customization:**
- **Flexible Parameters:**
- All indicator lengths, thresholds, and settings are adjustable to suit different trading styles and timeframes.
- **Adjustable Visuals:**
- Modify plot colors, line styles, and label positions to enhance chart readability.
---
### **Originality and Value Addition:**
This script differentiates itself by:
- **Integrated Approach:**
- Seamlessly combining multiple indicators to provide a more comprehensive analysis than using each indicator separately.
- **Enhanced Visualization:**
- Utilizing plots, fills, labels, and an information table to present data intuitively.
- **User-Friendly Features:**
- Pre-configured alerts and real-time data displays reduce the need for manual monitoring.
By explaining how each component interacts and contributes to the overall analysis, the script adds substantial value to traders seeking a multi-faceted tool for market analysis.
---
### **Additional Notes:**
- **Learning Resource:**
- The script is well-commented, serving as an educational tool for those learning Pine Script and technical analysis integration.
- **Further Enhancements:**
- Opportunities exist to incorporate additional indicators like MACD or ADX, and to develop advanced alert logic, such as RSI or Stochastic divergences.
---
### **Disclaimer:**
- **Educational Purpose Only:**
- This script is provided for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
- **Risk Acknowledgment:**
- Trading involves significant risk; past performance is not indicative of future results.
- **Due Diligence:**
- Users should conduct their own analysis and consider consulting a financial professional before making trading decisions.
---
By providing detailed explanations of the methodologies and the synergistic use of multiple indicators, this script aligns with TradingView's guidelines for originality and usefulness. It offers traders a unique tool that enhances market analysis through the thoughtful integration of technical indicators.
