MACD+ Strategy [SystemAlpha]This is a strategy based on MACD Oscillator . Instead of using just the normal crossovers, we use trend filters, trailing stop loss and take profit targets. This strategy was developed for crypto, forex and stocks on daily timeframe but feel free to experiment on 15 minutes or higher using heikin ashi or normal candles
In this strategy you have a choice of:
Trend Filters:
- Average Directional Index ( ADX ) – buy when price is trend is up and sell when trend is down.
- Moving Average (MA) – buy when price close above the defined moving average and sell when price close below moving average
- Parabolic SAR – buy when SAR is above price is above price and sell when SAR is below price.
- All - Use ADX , MA and SAR as filters
For MA Filter , you can use the “TF MA Type” and "TF MA Period" parameter to select Simple or Exponential Moving Average and length.
Stop Loss:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Parabolic SAR ( SAR ) – Parabolic SAR adapted as trailing stop loss.
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Trailing Stop Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Take Profit Target:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Standard % – Percent as target profit
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Take Profit Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Additional feature include:
- Regular and Hidden Divergence display and alerts
STRATEGY ONLY:
- Set back test date range
- Set trade direction - Long, Short or Both
- Use timed exit - Select method and bars
- Method 1: Exit after specified number of bars.
- Method 2: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently profitable.
- Method 3: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently losing.
TradingView Links:
Alerts:
MACD:
How to use:
1. Apply the script by browsing through Indicators --> Invite-Only scripts and select the indicator
2. Once loaded, click the gear (settings) button to select/adjust the parameters based on your preference.
3. Wait for the next BUY or SELL signal to enter the trade!
Disclaimer:
The indicator and signals generated do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are subject to change without notice.
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "take profit"
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
inwCoin Martingale Strategy ( for Bitcoin )** Same as my previous martingale script but this version = opensource **
inwCoin Martingale Strategy is the proof of concept strategy that in the end, anyone who using martingale strategy will kaboom their portfolio.
For those who don't know what is "martingale".. it's a simple double down strategy in the hope to cover the loss in previous entry.
Example
In the game that if you win, you'll get 100% of your bet money back.
1st loss = 1$
2nd loss = bet 2$ : if win, get 2$ / real profit = 1$ ( 2-1 )
3rd loss = bet 4$ : if win, get 4$ / real profit = 1$ ( 4 - ( 2+1) )
4th loss = bet 8$ : if win, get 8$ / real profit = 1$ ( 8 - ( 4+2+1 ) )
...
...
10th loss = bet 512$ : if win, get 512$ / real profit = 1$ ( 512 - ( 256+128+64+32+16+8+4+2+1) )
as you can see, the next bet will be first bet x 2^(n-1)
and the profit will equal to your first bet.
==================
In trading and forex EA ( Expert Advisor or bot ) people use this strategy to fool newbies that their martingale system will generate steady income for eternity.
But in reality, this strategy will destroy your whole portfolio eventually some time in the future. Because there will be some "Blackswan event" in market at some point in time. And one who ignore this fact, will lose everything.
But, if you using low risk strategy and generate some profit from your low-risk portfolio. You can take small chunk of that profit and put it in riskier strategy like this martingale, to accerelate your profit snowball.
===================
Parameter Explaination
====================
Price = datasource for indicator calculation
Fixed position size option = if uncheck, the "Start position size" parameter will be % of your initial capital. If checked, it will fixed position size ( like 1 BTC )
Start Position Logic = condition to enter first trade
- MACD singal > 0 : Self explanatory, default macd value
- Stochastic RSI cross up : enter when sto line cross up from bottom ( 20 )
- ATR channel : enter trade if price cross above 2.3 ATR
Take Profit Percent = take profit target % from average entry
Start martingale ..= if price compare to average position entry less than this %, it will start to double down ( martingale )
Martingale Multiplier = you can specific how big you'll double down, default is 2
Trade Direction = long only for now
Use date rang = self explanatory
** make sure to setup your initial capital in properties tab **
On chart
=======
White Line = Average position price
Orange Line = your current equity
If equity less than 0, it will close any remaining positions ( It's mean your position got liquidated )
If price > equity line for "take profit percent" it will close any remaining positions.
=======
As you can see, this strategy survive 2018 drop and pump profit to 1000+% ( Check in the strategy tester tab > list of trades )
But in May 2020 -50% drop in just 3 days, your whole portfolio got liquidated.
Actually, after some digging in profit and backtest result.
This strategy, when it can survive a shape drop, can generate a lot of profit.
So, if you want to use martingale. Make sure to use only small chunk of your profit from "low-risk" strategy to accelerate your profit generation ( aka degen port )
DO NOT greedy and use all of your initial capital or borrowed money to use with this strategy!
BEST Trailing Stop StrategyHello traders
Here we go again.... with the second strategy snippet.
Reminder: the first snipper was a Trailing Profit strategy script
What's on the menu?
A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor.
The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount.
Trigger me I'm famous
I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop once a certain % move has been made.
On the screenshot below, the SL trigger is plotted in maroon.
Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the trailing stop level.
In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to trail the stop for at least not losing any more
All the BEST
Dave
TradingView Alerts to MT4 MT5 + dynamic variables NON-REPAINTINGAccidentally, I’m sharing open-source profitable Forex strategy. Accidentally, because this was aimed to be purely educational material. A few days ago TradingView released a very powerful feature of dynamic values from PineScript now being allowed to be passed in Alerts. And thanks to TradingConnector, they could be instantly executed in MT4 or MT5 platform of any broker in the world. So yeah - TradingConnector works with indices and commodities, too.
The logic of this EURUSD 6h strategy is very simple - it is based on Stochastic crossovers with stop-loss set under most recent pivot point. Setting stop-loss with surgical precision is possible exactly thanks to allowance of dynamic values in alerts. TradingConnector has been also upgraded to take advantage of these dynamic values and it now enables executing trades with pre-calculated stop-loss, take-profit, as well as stop and limit orders.
Another fresh feature of TradingConnector, is closing positions only partly - provided that the broker allows it, of course. A position needs to have trade_id specified at entry, referred to in further alerts with partial closing. Detailed spec of alerts syntax and functionalities can be found at TradingConnector website. How to include dynamic variables in alert messages can be seen at the very end of the script in alertcondition() calls.
The strategy also takes commission into consideration.
Slippage is intentionally left at 0. Due to shorter than 1 second delivery time of TradingConnector, slippage is practically non-existing. This can be achieved especially if you’re using VPS server, hosted in the same datacenter as your brokers’ servers. I am using such setup, it is doable. Small slippage and spread is already included in commission value.
This strategy is NON-REPAINTING and uses NO TRAILING-STOP or any other feature known to be faulty in TradingView backtester. Does it make this strategy bulletproof and 100% success-guaranteed? Hell no! Remember the no.1 rule of backtesting - no matter how profitable and good looking a script is, it only tells about the past. There is zero guarantee the same strategy will get similar results in the future.
To turn this script into study so that alerts can be produced, do 2 things:
1. comment “strategy” line at the beginning and uncomment “study” line
2. comment lines 54-59 and uncomment lines 62-65.
Then add script to the chart and configure alerts.
This script was build for educational purposes only.
Certainly this is not financial advice. Anybody using this script or any of its parts in any way, must be aware of high risks connected with trading.
Thanks @LucF and @a.tesla2018 for helping me with code fixes :)
Directional Movement Index with double exponential moving averagThe Directional system is a trend-following method developed by J. Welles Wilder,
in the mid-1970s. It identifies trends and shows
when a trend is moving fast enough to make it worth following. It helps traders to
profit by taking chunks out of the middle of important trends.
Trading Rules
1. Trade only from the long side when the positive Directional line is above the
negative one. Trade only from the short side when the negative Directional line
is above the positive one. The best time to trade is when the ADX is rising, show-
ing that the dominant group is getting stronger.
2. When ADX declines, it shows that the market is becoming less directional. There
are likely to be many whipsaws. When ADX points down, it is better not to use
a trend-following method.
3. When ADX falls below both Directional lines, it identifies a flat, sleepy mar-
ket. Do not use a trend-following system but get ready to trade, because major
trends emerge from such lulls.
4. The single best signal of the Directional system comes after ADX falls below
both Directional lines. The longer it stays there, the stronger the base for the
next move. When ADX rallies from below both Directional lines, it shows that
the market is waking up from a lull. When ADX rises by four steps
from its lowest point below both Directional lines, it “rings a bell” on a
new trend . It shows that a new bull market or bear market is being
born, depending on what Directional line is on top.
5. When ADX rallies above both Directional lines, it identifies an overheated mar-
ket. When ADX turns down from above both Directional lines, it shows that the
major trend has stumbled. It is a good time to take profits on a directional trade.
If you trade large positions, you definitely want to take partial profits.
This particular version uses DEMA (double exponential moving averages) in attempt to catch moves sooner.
Trade Manager (Open Source Version)Hello my young padawans looking for the FORCE to get richer on your next trade
I got pinged at least three times today asking where the hell is the indicator of the day. You asked, I delivered :)
Here's your free open-source Trade Manager Version. My associates might kill me for sharing that one... anyway this is a real GIFT.
I won't share such quality indicators too often for FREE so hope you'll appreciate its value. It can really help with your day to day trading (on top of making your charts looking more awesome)
This is an even better version compared to my previous Trade Manager Trade-Manager . It's basically a standalone version, meaning you'll have to update with 2 lines your own indicator and follow my educational post from yesterday (pasted it below also) to learn how to do it
Please read this educational post I published for you before proceeding further : How-to-connect-your-indicator-with-the-Trade-Manager
From here you normally connected the data source of your own indicator to the Trade Manager. If not, here's a reminder of the article mentionned above
Step 1 - Update your indicator
For the screenshot you see above, I used this indicator : Two-MM-Cross-MACD/ . "But sir are you really advertising your other indicators here ??" ... hmmm.... YES but I gave them for free so ... stop complaining my friend :)
Somewhere in the code you'll have a LONG and a SHORT condition. If not, please go back to study trading for noobs (I'm kidding !!!)
So it should look to something similar
nUP = ma_crossover and macd_crossover
nDN = ma_crossunder and macd_crossunder
What you will need to add at the very end of your script is a Signal plot that will be captured by the Trade Manager. This will give us :
// Signal plot to be used as external
// if crossover, sends 1, otherwise sends -1
Signal = (nUP) ? 1 : (nDN) ? -1 : na
plot(Signal, title="Signal")
The Trade Manager engines expects to receive 1 for a bullishg signal and -1 for bearish .
Step 2 - Add the Trade Manager to your chart and select the right Data Source
I feel the questions coming so I prefer to anticipate :) When you add the Trade Manager to your chart, nothing will be displayed. THIS IS NORMAL because you'll have to select the Data Source to be "Signal"
Remember our Signal variable from the Two MM Cross from before, now we'll capture it and.....drumb rolll...... that's from that moment that your life became even more AWESOME
The Engine will capture the last signal from the MM cross or any indicator actually and will update the Stop Loss, Take Profit levels based on the parameters you set on the Trade Manager
It should work with any indicator as long as you're providing a plot Signal with values 1 and -1 . In any case, you can change the Trade Manager you'll find a better logic for your trading
Now let's cover the different parameters of the tool
It should be straightforward but better to explain everything here
+Label lines : if unchecked, no SL/TPs/... will be displayed
+Show Stop Loss Signal : Will display the stop loss label. You have the choice between three options :
By default, the Stop Loss is set to NONE. You'll have to select a different option to enable the Stop Loss for real
++Percentage : Will set the SL at a percent distance from the price
++Fixed : SL fixed at a static price
++Trailing % : Trailing stop loss based on percentage level
The following is a KEY feature and I got asked for it many times those past two days. I got annoyed of getting the same request so I just did it
++Trailing TP: Will move the Stop Loss if the take profit levels are hit
Example: if TP1 is hit, SL will be moved to breakeven. If TP2 is hit, SL will be moved from TP1 to TP2
+Take Profit 1,2,3 : Visually define the three Take Profit levels. Those are percentage levels .
Meaning if you set TP1 = 2, it will set the TP1 level 2% away from the entry signal
Please note that once a Take profit level is reached, it will magically disappear. This is to be expected
I'll share in the future a way more complete version with invalidation, stop loss/take profits based on indicator, take profit based on supports/resistances, ...
I believe is such a great tool because can be connected to any indicator. I confess that I tried it only with a few... if you find any that's not working with the Trade manager, please let me know and I'll have a look
PS
I want to give a HUUUUUUUGE shoutout to the PineCoders community who helped me finishing it
Wishing you all the best and a pleasant experience with my work
David
Peak Valley Estimation StrategyIntroduction
Its the first strategy that i post here, so don't expect ground breaking stuff, when testing my indicators i always used prorealtime and not tradingview. This strategy use signals generated by the peak/valley estimator indicator i posted long ago, i think the signals generated where sometimes quite accurate in some markets thus providing potential material for a profitable strategy.
The indicator use 3 parameters, therefore the optimisation process is not easy, but i selected what i judged good parameters values at first glance. The strategy is in its more simple form without stop or anything, the detection of peaks and valley can allow for tighter stops since we expect the price to reverse, but take into account that sops and take profits are parameters subject to optimization process except if selected with strict money management rules and not profit optimization.
Of course trading the strategy in this form is far from being great, if we take into account the market non stationarity then we might expect loss during trending markets. Trend strength indicators could help switch from a reversal to breakout strategy thus maybe providing more control.
I really hope you find an use for the strategy.
Notes
Its been three long years since i started tradingview, and i put more efforts in my indicators than in my studies and life overall, this have created complicated situations and i can't afford to follow up with this, therefore i announce that in the end of june i will leave tradingview for quite a long time, at least until i have my degree. I announce it in advance in case some of you want helps of any kind. I will post all the indicators, both in progress and finished i have made during those three years. I hope you can all understand.
Thanks for reading !
makeTPSo this model try to use the the take profit issue as important
the model is based on the early model that I put in last publication , the problem is that the fire point of the buy and sell has a delay and shoot some bars after (its not repaint but a bug due to TV code) . but once it stay it will calculate correctly the take profits . so I add take profit 1 and take profit 2 to the script . and since take profit 1 is correct without delay I add option to use it as buy again or short again . you can the older entry point which is H= high or L =low as your initial buy point but be aware that it sometime shoot too late since the problem in TV script to transfer the price correctly .or to enter to buy again option which is based on take profit 1 . the H and L are correctly detecting most of the time the Highs and the lows so by going on the trend them you can use the TP which are by % to max out your gains .. this is the theory behind this model
see here on amazon the concept
Progressive Profit Taking with Trailing StopThis is version 2 of
Special features:
Added partial profit taking as price rises. Profit taking is triggered by price crossing an EMA.
After profit taking, price has to rise by a user-specified percent before taking profits again.
Also includes condition for fully closing position after meeting specified profit target.
To incorporate into your algo, turn the plotshape functions into alertcondition.
Golden Cross, SMA 200 Moving Average Strategy (by ChartArt)This famous moving average strategy is very easy to follow to decide when to buy (go long) and when to take profit.
The strategy goes long when the faster SMA 50 (the simple moving average of the last 50 bars) crosses above the slower SMA 200. Orders are closed when the SMA 50 crosses below the SMA 200. This simple strategy does not have any other stop loss or take profit money management logic. The strategy does not short and goes long only!
Here is an article explaining the "golden cross" strategy in more detail:
www.stockopedia.com
On the S&P 500 index (symbol "SPX") this strategy worked on the daily chart 81% since price data is available since 1982. And on the DOW Jones Industrial Average (symbol "DOWI") this strategy worked on the daily chart 55% since price data is available since 1916. The low number of trades is in both cases not statistically significant though.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
Elder's Market Thermometer [LazyBear]Market temperature, introduced by Dr.Alexander Elder, helps differentiate between sleepy, quiet and hot market periods.
Following is Mr.Elder's explanation on how to use this indicator (from his book "Come in to my Trading Room"):
"When markets are quiet, the adjacent bars tend to overlap. The consensus of value is well established, and the crowd does little buying or selling outside of yesterday’s range. When highs and lows exceed their previous day’s values, they do so only by small margins. Market Thermometer falls and its EMA slants down, indicating a sleepy market. When a market begins to run, either up or down, its daily bars start pushing outside of the previous ranges. The histogram of Market Thermometer grows taller and crosses above its EMA, which soon turns up, confirming the new trend."
"Market Thermometer gives four trading signals, based on the relationship between its histogram and its moving average:
1) The best time to enter new positions is when Market Thermometer falls below its moving average. When Market Thermometer falls below its EMA, it indicates that the market is quiet. If your system flashes an entry signal, try to enter when the market is cooler than usual. When Market Thermometer rises above its moving average, it warns that the market is hot and slippage more likely.
2) Exit positions when Market Thermometer rises to triple the height of its moving average. A spike of Market Thermometer indicates a runaway move. When the crowd feels jarred by a sudden piece of news and surges, it is a good time to take profits. Panics tend to be short-lived, offering a brief opportunity to cash in. If the EMA of Market Thermometer stands at 5 cents, but the Thermometer itself shoots up to 15 cents, take profits. Test these values for the market you are trading.
3) Get ready for an explosive move if the Thermometer stays below its moving average for five to seven trading days. Quiet markets put amateurs to sleep. They become careless and stop watching prices. Volatility and volume fall, and professionals get a chance to run away with the market. Explosive moves often erupt from periods of inactivity.
4) Market Thermometer can help you set a profit target for the next trading day. If you are a short-term trader and are long, add the value of today’s Thermometer EMA to yesterday’s high and place a sell order there. If you are short, subtract the value of the Thermometer’s EMA from yesterday’s low and place an order to cover at that level."
You can configure the "Explosive Move threshold" (default: 3), "Idle Market Threshold" (default: 7) and "Thermometer EMA length" (default: 22) via Options page.
More info:
"Come in to my Trading Room - A complete Guide to Trading" by Dr.Alexander Elder. (Page 162)
List of my other indicators:
- Chart:
- GDoc: docs.google.com
Breakout Scanner [Europe] 🚀 Breakout Scanner - Situational Analysis Mastery
Professional Breakout & Trend-Following Strategy Based on Tom Hougaard's Situational Analysis
🎯 WHAT IS THIS INDICATOR?
A sophisticated multi-timeframe breakout scanner designed for European trading sessions, implementing the powerful "Situational Analysis" methodology from renowned trader Tom Hougaard. This professional tool identifies high-probability breakout opportunities with comprehensive filter systems to ensure quality signals.
⭐ KEY FEATURES
🏛️ SESSION-BASED TRADING
- European Overnight Range
- London Pre-Open & First Breakouts
- Tokyo Box & London Launch Sessions
- Smart Session Detection with Auto-DST
🎯 ENHANCED CONDITIONS
- School Run Strategy (SRS) by Tom Hougaard
- Anti-SRS Filter** for counter-trend opportunities
- Session-specific logic for optimal entry timing
🛡️ ADVANCED FILTER SYSTEMS
- Heiken Ashi Momentum Confirmation
- EMA 200 Trend Filter
- Ichimoku Baseline & Divergence
- RSI Threshold Filter
- ATR Volatility Filter
- Multi-timeframe Compatibility
⚡ SMART ALERTS & VISUALS
- Multi-timeframe Alert Confirmation
- Breakout Size Detection (Beyond/Within Range)
- Take Profit Levels with ATR Calculation
- Customizable Visual Markers
- Enhanced Alert Messages with Filter Status
📈 OPTIMIZED FOR
- GERMAN DAX ⚡
- OIL & GOLD 🛢️
- NIKKEI 🇯🇵
- US30 & NASDAQ 🇺🇸
- All Major Indices & Commodities
🔧 CORE STRATEGY PHILOSOPHY
This indicator embodies Tom Hougaard's Situational Analysis approach :
- Identify the Situation : Market context through session analysis
- Define the Action : Clear breakout levels and ranges
- Execute with Precision : Filtered, high-quality signals
- Manage the Trade : Built-in TP levels and size detection
🎨 CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
Session Management
- Toggle individual trading sessions
- Smart session auto-disable with SRS/Anti-SRS
- Customizable session times
Filter Controls
- Enable/disable all filter systems independently
- Adjustable timeframe for each filter
- Custom threshold settings
Visual Preferences
- Heiken Ashi overlay display
- Breakout marker styles and colors
- TP line customization
- Debug information panel
📊 HOW TO USE
1. SETUP : Apply to your preferred instrument (DAX, Oil, Gold, etc.)
2. CONFIGURE : Enable your preferred sessions and filters
3. MONITOR : Watch for breakout markers during active sessions
4. EXECUTE : Enter on confirmed breakouts with filter alignment
5. MANAGE : Use built-in TP levels or your own risk management
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Always practice proper risk management and backtest strategies before live trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
🔒 TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
- Platform : TradingView Pine Script v6
- Compatibility : All timeframes
- Markets : Forex, Indices, Commodities, Stocks
- Updates : Regular improvements and bug fixes
📞 SUPPORT & UPDATES
Regular updates based on user feedback and market changes. For suggestions or issues, please comment on the publication.
⭐ If this indicator helps your trading, please like and follow for more advanced tools! ⭐
Why Traders Love This Indicator:
✅ Comprehensive Filter System reduces false signals
✅ Session-Based Logic aligns with professional trading hours
✅ Multiple Timeframe Analysis for confirmation
✅ Customizable for Any Trading Style
✅ Professional-Grade Risk Management Tools
Boost your breakout trading profitability with institutional-grade session analysis!
🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
G Position Size Calculator (Crypto)G Position Size Calculator (Crypto)
This tool helps traders quickly visualize and calculate risk, position size, leverage, and R:R ratio directly on the chart for crypto trading.
It works similarly to TradingView’s Long/Short Position tool but automatically computes all metrics based on your clicks.
⚙️ How to Use
Add to Chart
Click Indicators → My Scripts → G Position Size Calculator (Crypto)
Set Entry, Stop-Loss, and Take-Profit
Open the script’s ⚙️ Settings.
Click the crosshair icon next to Entry, then click on the chart.
Do the same for Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
Adjust Account & Risk Settings
Enter your Account Size (USD).
Set your Risk % per trade (default: 1%).
Visual Feedback
A green box shows your profit zone (Entry → TP).
A red box shows your loss zone (Entry → SL).
The label on the right displays:
Risk (% and $)
R:R ratio
Position size (units)
Leverage required
Fine-Tune Without Re-clicking
Use the nudge inputs (Entry, Stop, TP) to move levels up/down by 1 tick at a time.
Positive = up, negative = down.
Re-pick Levels Anytime
Re-open settings and click the crosshair again to redefine a level.
📈 Features
Automatic calculation of risk, position size, leverage, and R:R ratio.
Visual green/red box representing profit and loss areas.
Adjustable risk %, account balance, and label offset.
“Nudge” controls to emulate quick drag adjustments.
Clean layout designed for crypto price charts (works on any symbol).
MTF MACD + Accelerator Oscillator Strategy ※日本語説明は英文の下にあります。
Concept:
This is a multi-timeframe trend-following strategy that combines:
Higher timeframe MACD → determines the major trend direction.
Lower timeframe Accelerator Oscillator (AC) → identifies acceleration in momentum for optimal entry timing.
The strategy enters trades in the direction of the higher timeframe trend when the AC shows a momentum acceleration.
Entry Rules:
Long (Buy):
Higher timeframe MACD line > signal line (uptrend)
AC crosses above zero line on the lower timeframe
Short (Sell):
Higher timeframe MACD line < signal line (downtrend)
AC crosses below zero line on the lower timeframe
Exit Rules:
Take Profit: ATR(14) * 1.5 (configurable)
Stop Loss: ATR(14) * 1.0 (configurable)
Exit on opposite signal or if TP/SL is hit
Plotting:
AC is plotted on the chart (green for positive, red for negative)
Buy/Sell signals are marked with small triangles below/above bars
Customization:
Timeframe, MACD parameters, ATR multipliers can be adjusted in the input settings.
Works for scalping, day trading, or swing trading on various instruments.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
コンセプト:
この戦略はマルチタイムフレームのトレンドフォロー型で、以下を組み合わせています：
上位足MACD → 大きなトレンド方向を確認
下位足Accelerator Oscillator（AC） → モメンタム加速のタイミングを捉え、最適なエントリーを判断
上位足のトレンド方向に沿って、下位足でACが勢いの加速を示したタイミングでエントリーします。
エントリールール:
ロング（買い）:
上位足MACDライン > シグナルライン（上昇トレンド）
下位足ACが0ラインを上抜け
ショート（売り）:
上位足MACDライン < シグナルライン（下降トレンド）
下位足ACが0ラインを下抜け
エグジットルール:
利確：ATR(14) * 1.5（設定可能）
損切り：ATR(14) * 1.0（設定可能）
逆シグナル発生時やTP/SL到達時にも決済
チャート表示:
ACはチャート上にプロット（正なら緑、負なら赤）
買い／売りシグナルはバーの下／上に小さな三角で表示
カスタマイズ:
時間足、MACDパラメータ、ATR倍率は入力設定で変更可能
スキャルピング、デイトレード、スイングトレードなど幅広く利用可能
Session VWAP & ATR H/L ZonesThis script is a comprehensive tool for day traders, designed to visualize key price levels and zones based on volume and volatility within a specific trading session.
Traders would use your script to identify potential areas of support and resistance, gauge the session's trend, and spot opportunities for mean reversion or breakout trades.
Core Concepts Explained
Your script plots three main types of information on the chart, each serving a different purpose for a trader.
1. Session VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) 📈
What it is: The yellow line is the VWAP, which is the average price of an asset for the current trading session, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. It essentially shows the "fair" price for the day according to the market's activity.
How it's used:
Trend Gauge: If the price is consistently trading above the VWAP, it's generally considered a bullish intraday trend. If it's below, the trend is bearish.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: During a trend, traders often look for the price to pull back to the VWAP to find an entry point (e.g., buying a dip to the VWAP in an uptrend).
VWAP Bands: The optional gray, red, and green bands are standard deviations from the VWAP. They measure how far the price has strayed from its "fair value."
2. ATR High/Low Zones (Support & Resistance) 🎯
What they are: These are the shaded green and red areas at the top and bottom of the session's price range.
The red zone (resistance) is calculated by taking the session's current high and subtracting a value based on the Average True Range (ATR), which is a measure of recent volatility.
The green zone (support) is calculated by taking the session's current low and adding the ATR-based value.
How they're used: These are not just lines; they are zones of interest.
Profit-Taking Areas: A trader who is long might consider taking profits when the price enters the red resistance zone.
Reversal Signals: When the price enters one of these zones and shows signs of stalling (e.g., with specific candlestick patterns), it could signal a potential reversal.
3. Previous Session High & Low 📊
What they are: The script plots the high and low from the previous trading session as straight horizontal lines (teal and fuchsia by default).
How they're used: These are extremely significant static levels that many traders watch.
Price Magnets: Price is often drawn to these levels.
Key Inflection Points: A decisive break above the previous day's high can signal strong bullish momentum. Conversely, a failure to break it can indicate weakness. These levels frequently act as strong support or resistance.
Turtle Strategy - Triple EMA Trend with ADX and ATRDescription
The Triple EMA Trend strategy is a directional momentum system built on the alignment of three exponential moving averages and a strong ADX confirmation filter. It is designed to capture established trends while maintaining disciplined risk management through ATR-based stops and targets.
Core Logic
The system activates only under high-trend conditions, defined by the Average Directional Index (ADX) exceeding a configurable threshold (default: 43).
A bullish setup occurs when the short-term EMA is above the mid-term EMA, which in turn is above the long-term EMA, and price trades above the fastest EMA.
A bearish setup is the mirror condition.
Execution Rules
Entry:
• Long when ADX confirms trend strength and EMA alignment is bullish.
• Short when ADX confirms trend strength and EMA alignment is bearish.
Exit:
• Stop Loss: 1.8 × ATR below (for longs) or above (for shorts) the entry price.
• Take Profit: 3.3 × ATR in the direction of the trade.
Both parameters are configurable.
Additional Features
• Start/end date inputs for controlled backtesting.
• Selective activation of long or short trades.
• Built-in commission and position sizing (percent of equity).
• Full visual representation of EMAs, ADX, stop-loss, and target levels.
This strategy emphasizes clean trend participation, strict entry qualification, and consistent reward-to-risk structure. Ideal for swing or medium-term testing across trending assets.
Seasonality Heatmap [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Seasonality Heatmap analyzes years of historical data to reveal which months and weekdays have consistently produced gains or losses, displaying results through color-coded tables with statistical metrics like consistency scores (1-10 rating) and positive occurrence rates. By calculating average returns for each calendar month and day-of-week combination, it identifies recognizable seasonal patterns (such as which months or weekdays tend to rally versus decline) and synthesizes this into actionable buy low/sell high timing possibilities for strategic entries and exits. This helps traders and investors spot high-probability seasonal windows where assets have historically shown strength or weakness, enabling them to align positions with recurring bull and bear market patterns.
🟢 How It Works
1. Monthly Heatmap
How % Return is Calculated:
The indicator fetches monthly closing prices (or Open/High/Low based on user selection) and calculates the percentage change from the previous month:
(Current Month Price - Previous Month Price) / Previous Month Price × 100
Each cell in the heatmap represents one month's return in a specific year, creating a multi-year historical view
Colors indicate performance intensity: greener/brighter shades for higher positive returns, redder/brighter shades for larger negative returns
What Averages Mean:
The "Avg %" row displays the arithmetic mean of all historical returns for each calendar month (e.g., averaging all Januaries together, all Februaries together, etc.)
This metric identifies historically recurring patterns by showing which months have tended to rise or fall on average
Positive averages indicate months that have typically trended upward; negative averages indicate historically weaker months
Example: If April shows +18.56% average, it means April has averaged a 18.56% gain across all years analyzed
What Months Up % Mean:
Shows the percentage of historical occurrences where that month had a positive return (closed higher than the previous month)
Calculated as:
(Number of Months with Positive Returns / Total Months) × 100
Values above 50% indicate the month has been positive more often than negative; below 50% indicates more frequent negative months
Example: If October shows "64%", then 64% of all historical Octobers had positive returns
What Consistency Score Means:
A 1-10 rating that measures how predictable and stable a month's returns have been
Calculated using the coefficient of variation (standard deviation / mean) - lower variation = higher consistency
High scores (8-10, green): The month has shown relatively stable behavior with similar outcomes year-to-year
Medium scores (5-7, gray): Moderate consistency with some variability
Low scores (1-4, red): High variability with unpredictable behavior across different years
Example: A consistency score of 8/10 indicates the month has exhibited recognizable patterns with relatively low deviation
What Best Means:
Shows the highest percentage return achieved for that specific month, along with the year it occurred
Reveals the maximum observed upside and identifies outlier years with exceptional performance
Useful for understanding the range of possible outcomes beyond the average
Example: "Best: 2016: +131.90%" means the strongest January in the dataset was in 2016 with an 131.90% gain
What Worst Means:
Shows the most negative percentage return for that specific month, along with the year it occurred
Reveals maximum observed downside and helps understand the range of historical outcomes
Important for risk assessment even in months with positive averages
Example: "Worst: 2022: -26.86%" means the weakest January in the dataset was in 2022 with a 26.86% loss
2. Day-of-Week Heatmap
How % Return is Calculated:
Calculates the percentage change from the previous day's close to the current day's price (based on user's price source selection)
Returns are aggregated by day of the week within each calendar month (e.g., all Mondays in January, all Tuesdays in January, etc.)
Each cell shows the average performance for that specific day-month combination across all historical data
Formula:
(Current Day Price - Previous Day Close) / Previous Day Close × 100
What Averages Mean:
The "Avg %" row at the bottom aggregates all months together to show the overall average return for each weekday
Identifies broad weekly patterns across the entire dataset
Calculated by summing all daily returns for that weekday across all months and dividing by total observations
Example: If Monday shows +0.04%, Mondays have averaged a 0.04% change across all months in the dataset
What Days Up % Mean:
Shows the percentage of historical occurrences where that weekday had a positive return
Calculated as:
(Number of Positive Days / Total Days Observed) × 100
Values above 50% indicate the day has been positive more often than negative; below 50% indicates more frequent negative days
Example: If Fridays show "54%", then 54% of all Fridays in the dataset had positive returns
What Consistency Score Means:
A 1-10 rating measuring how stable that weekday's performance has been across different months
Based on the coefficient of variation of daily returns for that weekday across all 12 months
High scores (8-10, green): The weekday has shown relatively consistent behavior month-to-month
Medium scores (5-7, gray): Moderate consistency with some month-to-month variation
Low scores (1-4, red): High variability across months, with behavior differing significantly by calendar month
Example: A consistency score of 7/10 for Wednesdays means they have performed with moderate consistency throughout the year
What Best Means:
Shows which calendar month had the strongest average performance for that specific weekday
Identifies favorable day-month combinations based on historical data
Format shows the month abbreviation and the average return achieved
Example: "Best: Oct: +0.20%" means Mondays averaged +0.20% during October months in the dataset
What Worst Means:
Shows which calendar month had the weakest average performance for that specific weekday
Identifies historically challenging day-month combinations
Useful for understanding which month-weekday pairings have shown weaker performance
Example: "Worst: Sep: -0.35%" means Tuesdays averaged -0.35% during September months in the dataset
3. Optimal Timing Table/Summary Table
→ Best Month to BUY: Identifies the month with the lowest average return (most negative or least positive historically), representing periods where prices have historically been relatively lower
Based on the observation that buying during historically weaker months may position for subsequent recovery
Shows the month name, its average return, and color-coded performance
Example: If May shows -0.86% as "Best Month to BUY", it means May has historically averaged -0.86% in the analyzed period
→ Best Month to SELL: Identifies the month with the highest average return (most positive historically), representing periods where prices have historically been relatively higher
Based on historical strength patterns in that month
Example: If July shows +1.42% as "Best Month to SELL", it means July has historically averaged +1.42% gains
→ 2nd Best Month to BUY: The second-lowest performing month based on average returns
Provides an alternative timing option based on historical patterns
Offers flexibility for staged entries or when the primary month doesn't align with strategy
Example: Identifies the next-most favorable historical buying period
→ 2nd Best Month to SELL: The second-highest performing month based on average returns
Provides an alternative exit timing based on historical data
Useful for staged profit-taking or multiple exit opportunities
Identifies the secondary historical strength period
Note: The same logic applies to "Best Day to BUY/SELL" and "2nd Best Day to BUY/SELL" rows, which identify weekdays based on average daily performance across all months. Days with lowest averages are marked as buying opportunities (historically weaker days), while days with highest averages are marked for selling (historically stronger days).
🟢 Examples
Example 1: NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA - Strong May Pattern with High Consistency
Analyzing NVIDIA from 2015 onwards, the Monthly Heatmap reveals May averaging +15.84% with 82% of months being positive and a consistency score of 8/10 (green). December shows -1.69% average with only 40% of months positive and a low 1/10 consistency score (red). The Optimal Timing table identifies December as "Best Month to BUY" and May as "Best Month to SELL." A trader recognizes this high-probability May strength pattern and considers entering positions in late December when prices have historically been weaker, then taking profits in May when the seasonal tailwind typically peaks. The high consistency score in May (8/10) provides additional confidence that this pattern has been relatively stable year-over-year.
Example 2: Crypto Market Cap CRYPTOCAP:TOTALES - October Rally Pattern
An investor examining total crypto market capitalization notices September averaging -2.42% with 45% of months positive and 5/10 consistency, while October shows a dramatic shift with +16.69% average, 90% of months positive, and an exceptional 9/10 consistency score (blue). The Day-of-Week heatmap reveals Mondays averaging +0.40% with 54% positive days and 9/10 consistency (blue), while Thursdays show only +0.08% with 1/10 consistency (yellow). The investor uses this multi-layered analysis to develop a strategy: enter crypto positions on Thursdays during late September (combining the historically weak month with the less consistent weekday), then hold through October's historically strong period, considering exits on Mondays when intraweek strength has been most consistent.
Example 3: Solana BINANCE:SOLUSDT - Extreme January Seasonality
A cryptocurrency trader analyzing Solana observes an extraordinary January pattern: +59.57% average return with 60% of months positive and 8/10 consistency (teal), while May shows -9.75% average with only 33% of months positive and 6/10 consistency. August also displays strength at +59.50% average with 7/10 consistency. The Optimal Timing table confirms May as "Best Month to BUY" and January as "Best Month to SELL." The Day-of-Week data shows Sundays averaging +0.77% with 8/10 consistency (teal). The trader develops a seasonal rotation strategy: accumulate SOL positions during May weakness, hold through the historically strong January period (which has shown this extreme pattern with reasonable consistency), and specifically target Sunday exits when the weekday data shows the most recognizable strength pattern.
Triple SuperTrend + RSI + Fib BBTriple SuperTrend + RSI + Fibonacci Bollinger Bands Strategy
📊 Overview
This advanced trading strategy combines the power of three SuperTrend indicators with RSI confirmation and Fibonacci Bollinger Bands to generate high-probability trade signals. The strategy is designed to capture strong trending moves while filtering out false signals through multi-indicator confluence.
🔧 Core Components
Three SuperTrend Indicators
The strategy uses three SuperTrend indicators with progressively longer periods and multipliers:
SuperTrend 1: 10-period ATR, 1.0 multiplier (fastest, most sensitive)
SuperTrend 2: 11-period ATR, 2.0 multiplier (medium sensitivity)
SuperTrend 3: 12-period ATR, 3.0 multiplier (slowest, most stable)
This layered approach ensures that all three timeframe perspectives align before generating a signal, significantly reducing false entries.
RSI Confirmation (7-period)
The Relative Strength Index acts as a momentum filter:
Long signals require RSI > 50 (bullish momentum)
Short signals require RSI < 50 (bearish momentum)
This prevents entries during weak or divergent price action.
Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (200, 2.618)
Uses a 200-period Simple Moving Average with 2.618 standard deviation bands (Fibonacci ratio). These bands serve dual purposes:
Visual representation of price extremes
Automatic exit trigger when price reaches overextended levels
📈 Entry Logic
LONG Entry (BUY Signal)
A LONG position is opened when ALL of the following conditions are met simultaneously:
All three SuperTrend indicators turn green (bullish)
RSI(7) is above 50
This is the first bar where all conditions align (no repainting)
SHORT Entry (SELL Signal)
A SHORT position is opened when ALL of the following conditions are met simultaneously:
All three SuperTrend indicators turn red (bearish)
RSI(7) is below 50
This is the first bar where all conditions align (no repainting)
🚪 Exit Logic
Positions are automatically closed when ANY of these conditions occur:
SuperTrend Color Change: Any one of the three SuperTrend indicators changes direction
Fibonacci BB Touch: Price reaches or exceeds the upper or lower Fibonacci Bollinger Band (2.618 standard deviations)
This dual-exit approach protects profits by:
Exiting quickly when trend momentum shifts (SuperTrend change)
Taking profits at statistical price extremes (Fib BB touch)
🎨 Visual Features
Signal Arrows
Green Up Arrow (BUY): Appears below the bar when long entry conditions are met
Red Down Arrow (SELL): Appears above the bar when short entry conditions are met
Yellow Down Arrow (EXIT): Appears above the bar when exit conditions are met
Background Coloring
Light Green Tint: All three SuperTrends are bullish (uptrend environment)
Light Red Tint: All three SuperTrends are bearish (downtrend environment)
SuperTrend Lines
Three colored lines plotted with varying opacity:
Solid line (ST1): Most responsive to price changes
Semi-transparent (ST2): Medium-term trend
Most transparent (ST3): Long-term trend structure
Dashboard
Real-time information panel showing:
Individual SuperTrend status (UP/DOWN)
Current RSI value and color-coded status
Current position (LONG/SHORT/FLAT)
Net Profit/Loss
⚙️ Customizable Parameters
SuperTrend Settings
ATR periods for each SuperTrend (default: 10, 11, 12)
Multipliers for each SuperTrend (default: 1.0, 2.0, 3.0)
RSI Settings
RSI length (default: 7)
RSI source (default: close)
Fibonacci Bollinger Bands
BB length (default: 200)
BB multiplier (default: 2.618)
Strategy Options
Enable/disable long trades
Enable/disable short trades
Initial capital
Position sizing
Commission settings
💡 Strategy Philosophy
This strategy is built on the principle of confluence trading - waiting for multiple independent indicators to align before taking a position. By requiring three SuperTrend indicators AND RSI confirmation, the strategy filters out the majority of low-probability setups.
The multi-timeframe SuperTrend approach ensures that short-term, medium-term, and longer-term trends are all in agreement, which typically occurs during strong, sustainable price moves.
The exit strategy is equally important, using both trend-following logic (SuperTrend changes) and mean-reversion logic (Fibonacci BB touches) to adapt to different market conditions.
📊 Best Use Cases
Trending Markets: Works best in markets with clear directional bias
Higher Timeframes: Designed for 15-minute to daily charts
Volatile Assets: SuperTrend indicators excel in assets with clear trends
Swing Trading: Hold times typically range from hours to days
⚠️ Important Notes
No Repainting: All signals are confirmed and will not change on historical bars
One Signal Per Setup: The strategy prevents duplicate signals on consecutive bars
Exit Protection: Always exits before potentially taking an opposite position
Visual Clarity: All three SuperTrend lines are visible simultaneously for transparency
🎯 Recommended Settings
While default parameters are optimized for general use, consider:
Crypto/Volatile Markets: May benefit from slightly higher multipliers
Forex: Default settings work well for major pairs
Stocks: Consider longer BB periods (250-300) for daily charts
Lower Timeframes: Reduce all periods proportionally for scalping
📝 Alerts
Built-in alert conditions for:
BUY signal triggered
SELL signal triggered
EXIT signal triggered
Set up notifications to never miss a trade opportunity!
Disclaimer: This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always backtest thoroughly and practice proper risk management before live trading.
Moon Phases Long/Short StrategyThis is an experiment of Moon Phases, likely buy when full moon and sell when new moon with few changes, like it would buy a day ahead or sometimes sell a day post these events, with Stop loss and take profits, 50% profitable so sounds good to me
Long only good for bitcoin gold, both modes(L+S) better for stocks and alt coins
Adaptive Trend Breaks Adaptive Trend Breaks
## WHAT IT DOES
This script is a modified and enhanced version of "Trendline Breakouts With Targets" concept by ChartPrime.
Adaptive Trend Breaks (ATB) is a trendline breakout system optimized for scalping liquid futures contracts. The indicator automatically draws dynamic support and resistance trendlines based on pivot points, then generates trade signals when price breaks through these levels with confirmation filters. It includes automated target and stop-loss placement with real-time P&L tracking in dollars.
## HOW IT WORKS
**Trendline Detection Method:**
The indicator uses pivot high/low detection to identify significant price turning points. When a new pivot forms, it calculates the slope between consecutive pivots to draw dynamic trendlines. These lines extend forward based on the established trend angle, creating actionable support and resistance zones.
**Band System:**
Around each trendline, the script creates a "band" using a volatility-adjusted calculation: `ATR(14) * 0.2 * bandwidth multiplier / 2`. This adaptive band accounts for current market conditions - wider during volatile periods, tighter during quiet markets.
**Breakout Logic:**
A breakout signal triggers when:
1. Price closes beyond the trendline + band zone
2. Volume exceeds the 20-period moving average by your set multiplier (default 1.2x)
3. Price is within Regular Trading Hours (9:30-16:00 EST) if session filter enabled
4. Current ATR meets minimum volatility threshold (prevents trading dead markets)
**Target & Stop Calculation:**
Upon breakout confirmation:
- **Entry**: Trendline breach point
- **Target**: Entry ± (bandwidth × target multiplier) - default 8x for quick scalps
- **Stop**: Entry ± (bandwidth × stop multiplier) - default 8x for 1:1 risk/reward
- Multipliers adjust automatically to market volatility through the ATR-based band
**P&L Conversion:**
The script converts point movements to dollars using:
```
Dollar P&L = (Price Points × Contract Point Value × Quantity)
```
For example, a 10-point NQ move with 2 contracts = 10 × $20 × 2 = $400
## HOW TO USE IT
**Setup:**
1. Select your instrument (NQ/ES/YM/RTY) - point values auto-configure
2. Set contract quantity for accurate dollar P&L
3. Choose pivot period (lower = more signals but more noise, default 5 for scalping)
4. Adjust bandwidth multiplier if trendlines are too tight/loose (1-5 range)
**Filters Configuration:**
- **Volume Filter**: Requires breakout volume > moving average × multiplier. Increase multiplier (1.5-2.0) for higher conviction trades
- **Session Filter**: Enable to trade only RTH. Disable for 24-hour trading
- **ATR Filter**: Prevents signals during low volatility. Increase minimum % for more active markets only
**Risk Management:**
- Set target/stop multipliers based on your risk tolerance
- 8x bandwidth = approximately 1:1 risk/reward for most liquid futures
- Enable trailing stops for trend-following approach (moves stop to protect profits)
- Adjust line length to see targets further into the future
**Statistics Table:**
- Choose timeframe to analyze: all-time, today, this week, custom days
- Monitor win rate, profit factor, and net P&L in dollars
- Track long vs short performance separately
- See real-time unrealized P&L on active trades
**Reading Signals:**
- **Green triangle below bar** = Long breakout (resistance broken)
- **Red triangle above bar** = Short breakout (support broken)
- **White dashed line** = Entry price
- **Orange line** = Take profit target with dollar value
- **Red line** = Stop loss with dollar value
- **Green checkmark (✓)** = Target hit, winning trade
- **Red X (✗)** = Stop hit, losing trade
## WHAT IT DOES NOT DO
**Limitations to Understand:**
- Does not predict future trendline formations - it reacts to breakouts after they occur
- Historical trendlines disappear after breakout (not kept on chart for clarity)
- Requires sufficient volatility - may not signal in extremely quiet markets
- Volume filter requires exchange volume data (not available on all symbols)
- Statistics are indicator-based simulations, not actual trading results
- Does not account for slippage, commissions, or order fills
## BEST PRACTICES
**Recommended Settings by Market:**
- **NQ (Nasdaq)**: Default settings work well, consider volume multiplier 1.3-1.5
- **ES (S&P 500)**: Slightly slower, try period 7-8, volume 1.2
- **YM (Dow)**: Lower volatility, reduce bandwidth to 1.5-2
- **RTY (Russell)**: Higher volatility, increase bandwidth to 3-4
**Risk Management:**
- Never risk more than 2-3% of account per trade
- Use contract quantity calculator: Max Risk $ ÷ (Stop Distance × Point Value)
- Start with 1 contract while learning the system
- Backtest your specific timeframe and instrument before live trading
**Optimization Tips:**
- Increase pivot period (7-10) for fewer but higher-quality signals
- Raise volume multiplier (1.5-2.0) in choppy markets
- Lower target/stop multipliers (5-6x) for tighter profit taking
- Use trailing stops in strong trending conditions
- Disable session filter for overnight gaps and Asia session moves
## TECHNICAL DETAILS
**Key Calculations:**
- Pivot Detection: `ta.pivothigh(high, period, period/2)` and `ta.pivotlow(low, period, period/2)`
- Slope Calculation: `(newPivot - oldPivot) / (newTime - oldTime)`
- Adaptive Band: `min(ATR(14) * 0.2, close * 0.002) * multiplier / 2`
- Breakout Confirmation: Price crosses trendline + 10% of band threshold
**Data Requirements:**
- Minimum bars in view: 500 for proper pivot calculation
- Volume data required for volume filter accuracy
- Intraday timeframes recommended (1min - 15min) for scalping
- Works on any timeframe but optimized for fast execution
**Performance Metrics:**
All statistics calculate based on indicator signals:
- Tracks every signal as a trade from entry to TP/SL
- P&L in actual contract dollar values
- Win rate = (Winning trades / Total trades) × 100
- Profit factor = Gross profit / Gross loss
- Separates long/short performance for bias analysis
## IDEAL FOR
- Futures scalpers and day traders
- Traders who prefer visual trendline breakouts
- Those wanting automated TP/SL placement
- Traders tracking performance in dollar terms
- Multiple timeframe analysis (compare 1min vs 5min signals)
## NOT SUITABLE FOR
- Swing trading (targets too close)
- Stocks/forex without modifying point values
- Extremely low timeframes (<30 seconds) - too much noise
- Markets without volume data if using volume filter
- Illiquid contracts (signals may not execute at shown prices)
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**Settings Summary:**
- Core: Period, bandwidth, extension, trendline style
- Filters: Volume, RTH session, ATR volatility
- Risk: R:R ratio, target/stop multipliers, trailing stop
- Display: Stats table position, size, colors
- Stats: Timeframe selection (all-time to custom days)
**License:** This indicator is published open-source under Mozilla Public License 2.0. You may use and modify the code with proper attribution.
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always practice proper risk management and test thoroughly before live trading.
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## CREDITS & ATTRIBUTION
This script builds upon the "Trendline Breakouts With Targets" concept by ChartPrime with significant enhancements:
**Major Improvements Added:**
- **Futures-Specific Calculations**: Automated dollar P&L conversion using actual contract point values (NQ=$20, ES=$50, YM=$5, RTY=$50)
- **Advanced Statistics Engine**: Comprehensive performance tracking with customizable timeframe analysis (today, week, month, custom ranges)
- **Multi-Layer Filtering System**: Volume confirmation, RTH session filter, and ATR volatility filter to reduce false signals
- **Professional Trade Management**: Enhanced visual trade tracking with separate TP/SL lines, dollar value labels, and optional trailing stops
- **Optimized for Scalping**: Faster pivot periods (5 vs 10), tighter bands, and reduced extension bars for quick entries
Original trendline detection methodology by ChartPrime - used with modification under Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Larry Williams Oops StrategyThis strategy is a modern take on Larry Williams’ classic Oops setup. It trades intraday while referencing daily bars to detect opening gaps and align entries with the prior day’s direction. Risk is managed with day-based stops, and—unlike the original—all positions are closed at the end of the session (or at the last bar’s close), not at a fixed profit target or the first profitable open.
Entry Rules
Long setup (bullish reversion): Today opens below yesterday’s low (down gap) and yesterday’s candle was bearish. Place a buy stop at yesterday’s low + Filter (ticks).
Short setup (bearish reversion): Today opens above yesterday’s high (up gap) and yesterday’s candle was bullish. Place a sell stop at yesterday’s high − Filter (ticks).
Longs are only taken on down-gap days; shorts only on up-gap days.
Protective Stop
If long, stop loss trails the current day’s low.
If short, stop loss trails the current day’s high.
Exit Logic
Positions are force-closed at the end of the session (in the last bar), ensuring no overnight exposure. There is no take-profit; only stop loss or end-of-day flat.
Notes
This strategy is designed for intraday charts (minutes/seconds) using daily data for gaps and prior-day direction.
Longs/shorts can be enabled or disabled independently.
MNQ TopStep 50K | Ultra Quality v3.0MNQ TopStep 50K | Ultra Quality v3.0 - Publish Summary
📊 Overview
A professional-grade trading indicator designed specifically for MNQ futures traders using TopStep funded accounts. Combines 7 technical confirmations with 5 advanced safety filters to deliver high-quality trade signals while managing drawdown risk.
🎯 Key Features
Core Signal System
7-Point Confirmation: VWAP, EMA crossovers, 15-min HTF trend, MACD, RSI, ADX, and Volume
Signal Grading: Each signal is rated A+ through D based on 7 quality factors
Quality Threshold: Adjustable minimum grade requirement (A+, A, B, C, D)
Advanced Safety Filters (Customizable)
Mean Reversion Filter - Prevents chasing extended moves beyond VWAP bands
ATR Spike Filter - Avoids trading during extreme volatility events
EMA Spacing Filter - Ensures proper trend separation (optional)
Momentum Filter - Requires consecutive directional bars (optional)
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation - Aligns with 15-min trend (optional)
TopStep Risk Management
Real-time drawdown tracking
Position sizing calculator based on remaining cushion
Daily loss limit monitoring
Consecutive loss protection
Max trades per day limiter
Visual Components
VWAP with 1σ, 2σ, 3σ bands
EMA 9/21 with cloud fill
15-min EMA 50 for HTF trend
Comprehensive metrics dashboard
Risk management panel
Filter status panel
Detailed trade labels with entry, stops, and targets
⚙️ Default Settings (Balanced for Regular Signals)
Technical Indicators
Fast EMA: 9 | Slow EMA: 21 | HTF EMA: 50 (15-min)
MACD: 10/22/9
RSI: 14 period | Thresholds: 52 (buy) / 48 (sell)
ADX: 14 period | Minimum: 20
ATR: 14 period | Stop: 2x | TP1: 2x | TP2: 3x
Volume: 1.2x average required
Session Settings
Default: 9:30 AM - 11:30 AM ET (adjustable)
Avoids first 15 minutes after market open
Customizable trading hours
Safety Filters (Default Configuration)
✅ Mean Reversion: Enabled (2.5σ max from VWAP)
✅ ATR Spike: Enabled (2.0x threshold)
❌ EMA Spacing: Disabled (can enable for quality)
❌ Momentum: Disabled (can enable for quality)
❌ MTF Confirmation: Disabled (can enable for quality)
Risk Controls
Minimum Signal Quality: C (adjustable to A+ for fewer/better signals)
Min Bars Between Signals: 10
Max Trades Per Day: 5
Stop After Consecutive Losses: 2
📈 Expected Performance
With Default Settings:
Signals per week: 10-15 trades
Estimated win rate: 55-60%
Risk-Reward: 1:2 (TP1) and 1:3 (TP2)
With Aggressive Settings (Min Quality = D, All Filters Off):
Signals per week: 20-25 trades
Estimated win rate: 50-55%
With Conservative Settings (Min Quality = A, All Filters On):
Signals per week: 3-5 trades
Estimated win rate: 65-70%
🚀 How to Use
Basic Setup:
Add indicator to MNQ 5-minute chart
Adjust TopStep account settings in inputs
Set your risk per trade percentage (default: 0.5%)
Configure trading session hours
Set minimum signal quality (Start with C for balanced results)
Signal Interpretation:
Green Triangle (BUY): Long signal - all confirmations aligned
Red Triangle (SELL): Short signal - all confirmations aligned
Label Details: Shows entry, stop loss, take profit levels, position size, and signal grade
Signal Grade: A+ = Elite (6-7 points) | A = Strong (5) | B = Good (4) | C = Fair (3)
Dashboard Monitoring:
Top Right: Technical metrics and market conditions
Top Left: Filter status (which filters are passing/blocking)
Bottom Right: TopStep risk metrics and position sizing
⚡ Customization Tips
For More Signals:
Lower "Minimum Signal Quality" to D
Decrease ADX threshold to 18-20
Lower RSI thresholds to 50/50
Reduce Volume multiplier to 1.1x
Disable additional filters
For Higher Quality (Fewer Signals):
Raise "Minimum Signal Quality" to A or A+
Increase ADX threshold to 25-30
Enable all 5 advanced filters
Tighten VWAP distance to 2.0σ
Increase momentum requirement to 3-4 bars
For TopStep Compliance:
Adjust "Max Total Drawdown" and "Daily Loss Limit" to match your account
Update "Already Used Drawdown" daily
Monitor the Risk Panel for cushion remaining
Use recommended contract sizing
🛡️ Risk Disclaimer
IMPORTANT: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results
All trading involves substantial risk of loss
Use proper risk management and position sizing
Test thoroughly in paper trading before live use
The indicator does not guarantee profitable trades
Adjust settings based on your risk tolerance and trading style
Always comply with your broker's and TopStep's rules
