CM RSI-2 Strategy - Upper Indicators.RSI-2 Strategy
***At the bottom of the page is a link where you can download the PDF of the Backtesting Results.
This year I am focusing on learning from two of the best mentors in the Industry with outstanding track records for Creating Systems, and learning the what methods actually work as far as back testing.
I came across the RSI-2 system that Larry Connors developed. Larry has become famous for his technical indicators, but his RSI-2 system is what actually put him “On The Map” per se. At first glance I didn’t think it would work well, but I decided to code it and ran backtests on the S&P 100 In Down Trending Markets, Up Trending Markets, and both combined. I was shocked by the results. So I thought I would provide them for you. I also ran a test on the Major forex Pairs (12) for the last 5 years, and All Forex Pairs (80) from 11/28/2007 - 6/09/2014, impressive results also.
The RSI-2 Strategy is designed to use on Daily Bars, however it is a short term trading strategy. The average length of time in a trade is just over 2 days. But the results CRUSH the general market averages.
Detailed Description of Indicators, Rules Below:
Link For PDF of Detailed Trade Results
d.pr
Original Post
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DEnvelope [Better Bollinger Bands]*** ***
Bollinger Bands (BB) usually expand quickly after a volatility increase but contract more slowly as volatility declines. This extended time it takes for BB to contract after a volatility drop can make trading some instruments using BB alone difficult or less profitable.
In the October 1998 issue of "Futures" there is an article written by Dennis McNicholl called "Better Bollinger Bands", in which the author recommends improving BB by modifying:
- the center line formula &
- different equations for calculating the bands.
These bands, called "DEnvelope", follow price more closely and respond faster to changes in volatility with these modifications.
Fore more indicators, check out my "Master Index of indicators" (Also check my published charts page for new ones I haven't added to that list):
More scripts related to DEnvelope:
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- DEnvelope Bandwidth: pastebin.com
- DEnvelope %B : pastebin.com
Sample chart with above indicators: www.tradingview.com
MAC-Z Indicator [LazyBear]This indicator is a composite of MACD and Z-Score (requested by @ChartAt). The general idea is that counter-trend component of the Z-score is used to adjust/improve the trend component of the MACD. The advantage is that it is a more accurate and “assumption-free” and can more accurately describe how a market or stock actually works in a given time frame.
I have also added support to smooth out the MAC-Z using Laguerre filter (Thanks @TheLark for the excellent LMA). Note that smoothing removes the "noise" component additive of Z-Score, so you may miss some good signals. By default Laguerre smoothing is OFF, I suggest playing with the Gamma to see if you can find a proper trade-off value.
Theme credits --> @liw0
More info:
cssanalytics.wordpress.com
Squeeze Momentum Indicator [LazyBear]
Fixed a typo in the code where BB multiplier was stuck at 1.5. Thanks @ucsgears for bringing it to my notice.
Updated source: pastebin.com
Use the updated source instead of the what TV shows below.
This is a derivative of John Carter's "TTM Squeeze" volatility indicator, as discussed in his book "Mastering the Trade" (chapter 11).
Black crosses on the midline show that the market just entered a squeeze (Bollinger Bands are with in Keltner Channel). This signifies low volatility, market preparing itself for an explosive move (up or down). Gray crosses signify "Squeeze release".
Mr.Carter suggests waiting till the first gray after a black cross, and taking a position in the direction of the momentum (for ex., if momentum value is above zero, go long). Exit the position when the momentum changes (increase or decrease --- signified by a color change). My (limited) experience with this shows, an additional indicator like ADX / WaveTrend, is needed to not miss good entry points. Also, Mr.Carter uses simple momentum indicator, while I have used a different method (linreg based) to plot the histogram.
More info:
- Book: Mastering The Trade by John F Carter
List of all my indicators:
AK TREND ID v1.00Hello,
"Are we at the top yet ? "........ " Is it a good time to invest ? " ......." Should I buy or sell ? " These are the many questions I hear and get on the daily basis. 1000's of investors do not know when to go in and out of the market. Most of them rely on the opinion of "experts" on television to make their investment decisions. Bad idea.Taking a systematic approach when investing, could save you a lot of time and headache. If there was only a way to know when to get in and out of the market !! hmmmm. The good news is that there many ways to do that. The bad news is , are you disciplined enough to follow it ?
I coded the AK_TREND ID specifically to identified trends in the SPX or SPY only . How does it work ? very simply , I simply plot the spread between the 3 month and 8 month moving average on the chart.
If the spread > 0 @ month end = BUY
if the spread < 0 @ month end = SELL
The AK TREND ID is a LAGGING Indicator , so it will not get you in at the very bottom or get you out at the very top. I did a backtest on the SPX from 1984 to 7/2/2014 (yesterday), The rule was to buy only when the AK TREND ID was green. let's look at the result:
14 trades : 11 W 3 L , 78.75 % winning %
Biggest winner (%) = 108 %
Biggest loser (%) = -10.7 %
Average Return = 27 %
Total Return since 1984 = 351.3 %
You can see the result in detail here : docs.google.com
Although the backtesting results are good, the AK TREND ID is not to be used as a trading system. It is simply design to let you know when to invest and when to get out. I'm working a more accurate version of this Indicator , that will use both technical and fundamental data. In the mean time , I hope this will give some of you piece of mind, and eliminate emotions from your trading decision. Feel free to modify the code as you wish, but please share your finding with the rest of Trading View community.
All the best
Algo
