Standard Deviation Refurbished█ Standard Deviation Refurbished
This is an indicator that serves to show the standard deviation in a more improved and less trivial form.
Basically, I put the option to normalize the indicator in a range of 0 to 100.
I also put 10 moving averages of standard deviation.
In the graphic part was placed the choice of themes.
Gratitude to the author 'The_Caretaker' by the themes 'Spectrum Blue-Green-Red' and 'Spectrum Blue-Red'.
█ Concepts
"Standard Deviation is a way to measure price volatility by relating a price range to its moving average. The higher the value of the indicator, the wider the spread between price and its moving average, the more volatile the instrument and the more dispersed the price bars become. The lower the value of the indicator, the smaller the spread between price and its moving average, the less volatile the instrument and the closer to each other the price bars become. Standard Deviation is used as part of other indicators such as Bollinger Bands. It is often used in combination with other signals and analysis techniques."
(TradingView)
الانحراف المعياري
Normal Distribution Outliers for volume (NDO indicator)The NDO is a volume-based indicator that indicates how many standard deviations the volume is away from the mean volume.
In other words, this script is useful for detecting when the volume is abnormally large, spotting pumps and dumps, and movement of whales.
Green indicates that the volume is more than 3 standard devs away from the mean, yellow means its more than 2 standard deviations away from the mean, and orange means it is more than 1 standard deviation away from the mean, with red means volume is less than one standard deviation from the mean.
Statistically, 68% of results show up in 1 standard deviations of the mean, 95% in 2 standard deviations of the mean, 99.7% in 3 standard deviations of the mean, making green highly abnormal.
Standard Deviation Channels (ThinkorSwim identical)Saw the standard deviation channels indicator on ThinkorSwim and found a way to replicate it. However, the full range (kind of useless feature) is not the same as ThinkorSwim, but using without full range and setting your own length will be identical to the same length on ThinkorSwim. If you have any recommendations of your trading strategy using this, how to make the script better or any additions, they would be very helpful to suggest.
2 x Coefficient of variationTwo lines of coefficient of variation 365 and 12 bars helps to see slow and fast wave components of current chart. Forecasting extension.
Relative Volume Standard DeviationThis indicator, developed by Melvin E. Dickover, calculates the difference between the volume and its simple moving average, but expressed as a ratio in standard deviations.
The plotted bars become green when the volume is unusually large (configurable).
M.Right_Top & Bottom Finder 1.0Thank you @Lazybear for the calculations for squeeze and BB, and all of the other great pine-coders who inspired me to create my own indicator to share!
This is the result of hours of work learning to code pine and tweaking until everything fits exactly what I was looking for.
After using it for a while and seeing the benefits personally, I figured now might be a good time to share with everyone while we are in such great market volatility, maybe I can save you some losses.
Basically, my indicator is meant to use volatility and standard deviations to show you the top and bottom of trends.
It does indeed work on lower timeframes, I typically use it on 5m, 30m, 4hr, and 1d.
What to look for:
When it detects the trend bottoming it will send a green histogram bar down, I also created a different shade green for even more likely bottoms.
When it detects the top of the trend it will send a red bar up, I have a brighter red for more certain tops.
The length of the histogram bar is also an indication as well. Sometimes there will be a reversal while still just showing the gray bar.
I just added alerts, so hopefully those work. If not, I will update.
Let me know if you have any questions, and enjoy.
Cheers!
Volatility Risk Premium GOLD & SILVER 1.0ENGLISH
This indicator (V-R-P) calculates the (one month) Volatility Risk Premium for GOLD and SILVER.
V-R-P is the premium hedgers pay for over Realized Volatility for GOLD and SILVER options.
The premium stems from hedgers paying to insure their portfolios, and manifests itself in the differential between the price at which options are sold (Implied Volatility) and the volatility GOLD and SILVER ultimately realize (Realized Volatility).
I am using 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) and 21-day Realized Volatility (HV) as the basis for my calculation, as one month of IV is based on 30 calendaristic days and one month of HV is based on 21 trading days.
At first, the indicator appears blank and a label instructs you to choose which index you want the V-R-P to plot on the chart. Use the indicator settings (the sprocket) to choose one of the precious metals (or both).
Together with the V-R-P line, the indicator will show its one year moving average within a range of +/- 15% (which you can change) for benchmarking purposes. We should consider this range the “normalized” V-R-P for the actual period.
The Zero Line is also marked on the indicator.
Interpretation
When V-R-P is within the “normalized” range, … well... volatility and uncertainty, as it’s seen by the option market, is “normal”. We have a “premium” of volatility which should be considered normal.
When V-R-P is above the “normalized” range, the volatility premium is high. This means that investors are willing to pay more for options because they see an increasing uncertainty in markets.
When V-R-P is below the “normalized” range but positive (above the Zero line), the premium investors are willing to pay for risk is low, meaning they see decreasing uncertainty and risks in the market, but not by much.
When V-R-P is negative (below the Zero line), we have COMPLACENCY. This means investors see upcoming risk as being lower than what happened in the market in the recent past (within the last 30 days).
CONCEPTS :
Volatility Risk Premium
The volatility risk premium (V-R-P) is the notion that implied volatility (IV) tends to be higher than realized volatility (HV) as market participants tend to overestimate the likelihood of a significant market crash.
This overestimation may account for an increase in demand for options as protection against an equity portfolio. Basically, this heightened perception of risk may lead to a higher willingness to pay for these options to hedge a portfolio.
In other words, investors are willing to pay a premium for options to have protection against significant market crashes even if statistically the probability of these crashes is lesser or even negligible.
Therefore, the tendency of implied volatility is to be higher than realized volatility, thus V-R-P being positive.
Realized/Historical Volatility
Historical Volatility (HV) is the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for an index over a given period of time.
Historical volatility is a well-known concept in finance, but there is confusion in how exactly it is calculated. Different sources may use slightly different historical volatility formulas.
For calculating Historical Volatility I am using the most common approach: annualized standard deviation of logarithmic returns, based on daily closing prices.
Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is the market's forecast of a likely movement in the price of the index and it is expressed annualized, using percentages and standard deviations over a specified time horizon (usually 30 days).
IV is used to price options contracts where high implied volatility results in options with higher premiums and vice versa. Also, options supply and demand and time value are major determining factors for calculating Implied Volatility.
Implied Volatility usually increases in bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish.
For determining GOLD and SILVER implied volatility I used their volatility indices: GVZ and VXSLV (30-day IV) provided by CBOE.
Warning
Please be aware that because CBOE doesn’t provide real-time data in Tradingview, my V-R-P calculation is also delayed, so you shouldn’t use it in the first 15 minutes after the opening.
This indicator is calibrated for a daily time frame.
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ESPAŇOL
Este indicador (V-R-P) calcula la Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (de un mes) para GOLD y SILVER.
V-R-P es la prima que pagan los hedgers sobre la Volatilidad Realizada para las opciones de GOLD y SILVER.
La prima proviene de los hedgers que pagan para asegurar sus carteras y se manifiesta en el diferencial entre el precio al que se venden las opciones (Volatilidad Implícita) y la volatilidad que finalmente se realiza en el ORO y la PLATA (Volatilidad Realizada).
Estoy utilizando la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) de 30 días y la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) de 21 días como base para mi cálculo, ya que un mes de IV se basa en 30 días calendario y un mes de HV se basa en 21 días de negociación.
Al principio, el indicador aparece en blanco y una etiqueta le indica que elija qué índice desea que el V-R-P represente en el gráfico. Use la configuración del indicador (la rueda dentada) para elegir uno de los metales preciosos (o ambos).
Junto con la línea V-R-P, el indicador mostrará su promedio móvil de un año dentro de un rango de +/- 15% (que puede cambiar) con fines de evaluación comparativa. Deberíamos considerar este rango como el V-R-P "normalizado" para el período real.
La línea Cero también está marcada en el indicador.
Interpretación
Cuando el V-R-P está dentro del rango "normalizado",... bueno... la volatilidad y la incertidumbre, como las ve el mercado de opciones, es "normal". Tenemos una “prima” de volatilidad que debería considerarse normal.
Cuando V-R-P está por encima del rango "normalizado", la prima de volatilidad es alta. Esto significa que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar más por las opciones porque ven una creciente incertidumbre en los mercados.
Cuando el V-R-P está por debajo del rango "normalizado" pero es positivo (por encima de la línea Cero), la prima que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar por el riesgo es baja, lo que significa que ven una disminución, pero no pronunciada, de la incertidumbre y los riesgos en el mercado.
Cuando V-R-P es negativo (por debajo de la línea Cero), tenemos COMPLACENCIA. Esto significa que los inversores ven el riesgo próximo como menor que lo que sucedió en el mercado en el pasado reciente (en los últimos 30 días).
CONCEPTOS :
Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad
La Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (V-R-P) es la noción de que la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) tiende a ser más alta que la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) ya que los participantes del mercado tienden a sobrestimar la probabilidad de una caída significativa del mercado.
Esta sobreestimación puede explicar un aumento en la demanda de opciones como protección contra una cartera de acciones. Básicamente, esta mayor percepción de riesgo puede conducir a una mayor disposición a pagar por estas opciones para cubrir una cartera.
En otras palabras, los inversores están dispuestos a pagar una prima por las opciones para tener protección contra caídas significativas del mercado, incluso si estadísticamente la probabilidad de estas caídas es menor o insignificante.
Por lo tanto, la tendencia de la Volatilidad Implícita es de ser mayor que la Volatilidad Realizada, por lo cual el V-R-P es positivo.
Volatilidad Realizada/Histórica
La Volatilidad Histórica (HV) es la medida estadística de la dispersión de los rendimientos de un índice durante un período de tiempo determinado.
La Volatilidad Histórica es un concepto bien conocido en finanzas, pero existe confusión sobre cómo se calcula exactamente. Varias fuentes pueden usar fórmulas de Volatilidad Histórica ligeramente diferentes.
Para calcular la Volatilidad Histórica, utilicé el enfoque más común: desviación estándar anualizada de rendimientos logarítmicos, basada en los precios de cierre diarios.
Volatilidad Implícita
La Volatilidad Implícita (IV) es la previsión del mercado de un posible movimiento en el precio del índice y se expresa anualizada, utilizando porcentajes y desviaciones estándar en un horizonte de tiempo específico (generalmente 30 días).
IV se utiliza para cotizar contratos de opciones donde la alta Volatilidad Implícita da como resultado opciones con primas más altas y viceversa. Además, la oferta y la demanda de opciones y el valor temporal son factores determinantes importantes para calcular la Volatilidad Implícita.
La Volatilidad Implícita generalmente aumenta en los mercados bajistas y disminuye cuando el mercado es alcista.
Para determinar la Volatilidad Implícita de GOLD y SILVER utilicé sus índices de volatilidad: GVZ y VXSLV (30 días IV) proporcionados por CBOE.
Precaución
Tenga en cuenta que debido a que CBOE no proporciona datos en tiempo real en Tradingview, mi cálculo de V-R-P también se retrasa, y por este motivo no se recomienda usar en los primeros 15 minutos desde la apertura.
Este indicador está calibrado para un marco de tiempo diario.
Fibonacci LevelsENGLISH
FiboLevels uses standard deviation (a measure of market volatility). For me, more successful parameters were EMA, 500 days, showing levels 50 and 100.
The standard RSI 14 indicator helps to determine the levels, you can use its values to navigate the levels if the price approaches any line, and the RSI is in the overbought or oversold zone, that is, there is a high probability that the price may rebound from this level.
If the script does not display levels, then you need to reduce the length parameter
If the price has gone beyond the lines, then the number of levels can be increased in the Number of Lines Show parameter
Russian
В FiboLevels используется стандартное отклонение (величина измерения волатильности рынка). Для меня более удачными параметрами вышли EMA, 500 дней , показ уровней 50 и 100.
Определять уровни помогает стандартный индикатор RSI 14, по его значениям можно ориентироваться в уровнях, если цена подходит к какой-либо линии, а RSI находится в зоне перекупленности или перепроданности, то есть большая вероятность что от этого уровня цена может оттолкнуться.
Если скрипт не отображает уровней, то нужно уменьшить параметр длина
Если цена вышла за пределы линий, то количество уровней можно увеличить в параметре Number of Lines Show
GBTT Range Wave IndicatorOverview:
This script is a type of mean reversion indicator, it uses a short period EMA, the EMA5 to be exact, as its basis for a mean. From here, we run a modified version of ATR over a longer period of time to find an average range value for price movement. Finally, we calculate the cloud/band/wave by multiplying this range value by our deviation values to produce areas where the price could be considered too far from the mean (similar to an oversold or overbought scenario).
Additionally, we wrote this script with a goal to reduce or eliminate repainting. In the code, we have utilized OPEN values (instead of CLOSE) and previous candle values (not the current candle) to build all the data for the algorithm here to avoid the waves constantly moving and changing their values on real time candles. That said, this is NOT a guarantee that it will never repaint.
What you see:
Visually, the waves are always on the chart. Optionally, we provide a custom standard deviation channel based off the EMA5 (represented with a blue shading) and/or a simple ema5/21 crossover cloud. These can be used for additional confluence if desired, but are not necessary for the core function of the indicator which would be the upper and lower wave.
Intended use:
To provide educational content about the short term movement of an asset. Designed to be run on any time frame.
Disclaimer:
NOT intended to be a sole source of Technical Analysis or anything more than an educational tool!
Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) 1.0ENGLISH
This indicator (V-R-P) calculates the (one month) Volatility Risk Premium for S&P500 and Nasdaq-100.
V-R-P is the premium hedgers pay for over Realized Volatility for S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 index options.
The premium stems from hedgers paying to insure their portfolios, and manifests itself in the differential between the price at which options are sold (Implied Volatility) and the volatility the S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 ultimately realize (Realized Volatility).
I am using 30-day Implied Volatility (IV) and 21-day Realized Volatility (HV) as the basis for my calculation, as one month of IV is based on 30 calendaristic days and one month of HV is based on 21 trading days.
At first, the indicator appears blank and a label instructs you to choose which index you want the V-R-P to plot on the chart. Use the indicator settings (the sprocket) to choose one of the indices (or both).
Together with the V-R-P line, the indicator will show its one year moving average within a range of +/- 15% (which you can change) for benchmarking purposes. We should consider this range the “normalized” V-R-P for the actual period.
The Zero Line is also marked on the indicator.
Interpretation
When V-R-P is within the “normalized” range, … well... volatility and uncertainty, as it’s seen by the option market, is “normal”. We have a “premium” of volatility which should be considered normal.
When V-R-P is above the “normalized” range, the volatility premium is high. This means that investors are willing to pay more for options because they see an increasing uncertainty in markets.
When V-R-P is below the “normalized” range but positive (above the Zero line), the premium investors are willing to pay for risk is low, meaning they see decreasing uncertainty and risks in the market, but not by much.
When V-R-P is negative (below the Zero line), we have COMPLACENCY. This means investors see upcoming risk as being lower than what happened in the market in the recent past (within the last 30 days).
CONCEPTS:
Volatility Risk Premium
The volatility risk premium (V-R-P) is the notion that implied volatility (IV) tends to be higher than realized volatility (HV) as market participants tend to overestimate the likelihood of a significant market crash.
This overestimation may account for an increase in demand for options as protection against an equity portfolio. Basically, this heightened perception of risk may lead to a higher willingness to pay for these options to hedge a portfolio.
In other words, investors are willing to pay a premium for options to have protection against significant market crashes even if statistically the probability of these crashes is lesser or even negligible.
Therefore, the tendency of implied volatility is to be higher than realized volatility, thus V-R-P being positive.
Realized/Historical Volatility
Historical Volatility (HV) is the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for an index over a given period of time.
Historical volatility is a well-known concept in finance, but there is confusion in how exactly it is calculated. Different sources may use slightly different historical volatility formulas.
For calculating Historical Volatility I am using the most common approach: annualized standard deviation of logarithmic returns, based on daily closing prices.
Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility (IV) is the market's forecast of a likely movement in the price of the index and it is expressed annualized, using percentages and standard deviations over a specified time horizon (usually 30 days).
IV is used to price options contracts where high implied volatility results in options with higher premiums and vice versa. Also, options supply and demand and time value are major determining factors for calculating Implied Volatility.
Implied Volatility usually increases in bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish.
For determining S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 implied volatility I used their volatility indices: VIX and VXN (30-day IV) provided by CBOE.
Warning
Please be aware that because CBOE doesn’t provide real-time data in Tradingview, my V-R-P calculation is also delayed, so you shouldn’t use it in the first 15 minutes after the opening.
This indicator is calibrated for a daily time frame.
ESPAŇOL
Este indicador (V-R-P) calcula la Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (de un mes) para S&P500 y Nasdaq-100.
V-R-P es la prima que pagan los hedgers sobre la Volatilidad Realizada para las opciones de los índices S&P500 y Nasdaq-100.
La prima proviene de los hedgers que pagan para asegurar sus carteras y se manifiesta en el diferencial entre el precio al que se venden las opciones (Volatilidad Implícita) y la volatilidad que finalmente se realiza en el S&P500 y el Nasdaq-100 (Volatilidad Realizada).
Estoy utilizando la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) de 30 días y la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) de 21 días como base para mi cálculo, ya que un mes de IV se basa en 30 días calendario y un mes de HV se basa en 21 días de negociación.
Al principio, el indicador aparece en blanco y una etiqueta le indica que elija qué índice desea que el V-R-P represente en el gráfico. Use la configuración del indicador (la rueda dentada) para elegir uno de los índices (o ambos).
Junto con la línea V-R-P, el indicador mostrará su promedio móvil de un año dentro de un rango de +/- 15% (que puede cambiar) con fines de evaluación comparativa. Deberíamos considerar este rango como el V-R-P "normalizado" para el período real.
La línea Cero también está marcada en el indicador.
Interpretación
Cuando el V-R-P está dentro del rango "normalizado",... bueno... la volatilidad y la incertidumbre, como las ve el mercado de opciones, es "normal". Tenemos una “prima” de volatilidad que debería considerarse normal.
Cuando V-R-P está por encima del rango "normalizado", la prima de volatilidad es alta. Esto significa que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar más por las opciones porque ven una creciente incertidumbre en los mercados.
Cuando el V-R-P está por debajo del rango "normalizado" pero es positivo (por encima de la línea Cero), la prima que los inversores están dispuestos a pagar por el riesgo es baja, lo que significa que ven una disminución, pero no pronunciada, de la incertidumbre y los riesgos en el mercado.
Cuando V-R-P es negativo (por debajo de la línea Cero), tenemos COMPLACENCIA. Esto significa que los inversores ven el riesgo próximo como menor que lo que sucedió en el mercado en el pasado reciente (en los últimos 30 días).
CONCEPTOS:
Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad
La Prima de Riesgo de Volatilidad (V-R-P) es la noción de que la Volatilidad Implícita (IV) tiende a ser más alta que la Volatilidad Realizada (HV) ya que los participantes del mercado tienden a sobrestimar la probabilidad de una caída significativa del mercado.
Esta sobreestimación puede explicar un aumento en la demanda de opciones como protección contra una cartera de acciones. Básicamente, esta mayor percepción de riesgo puede conducir a una mayor disposición a pagar por estas opciones para cubrir una cartera.
En otras palabras, los inversores están dispuestos a pagar una prima por las opciones para tener protección contra caídas significativas del mercado, incluso si estadísticamente la probabilidad de estas caídas es menor o insignificante.
Por lo tanto, la tendencia de la Volatilidad Implícita es de ser mayor que la Volatilidad Realizada, por lo cual el V-R-P es positivo.
Volatilidad Realizada/Histórica
La Volatilidad Histórica (HV) es la medida estadística de la dispersión de los rendimientos de un índice durante un período de tiempo determinado.
La Volatilidad Histórica es un concepto bien conocido en finanzas, pero existe confusión sobre cómo se calcula exactamente. Varias fuentes pueden usar fórmulas de Volatilidad Histórica ligeramente diferentes.
Para calcular la Volatilidad Histórica, utilicé el enfoque más común: desviación estándar anualizada de rendimientos logarítmicos, basada en los precios de cierre diarios.
Volatilidad Implícita
La Volatilidad Implícita (IV) es la previsión del mercado de un posible movimiento en el precio del índice y se expresa anualizada, utilizando porcentajes y desviaciones estándar en un horizonte de tiempo específico (generalmente 30 días).
IV se utiliza para cotizar contratos de opciones donde la alta Volatilidad Implícita da como resultado opciones con primas más altas y viceversa. Además, la oferta y la demanda de opciones y el valor temporal son factores determinantes importantes para calcular la Volatilidad Implícita.
La Volatilidad Implícita generalmente aumenta en los mercados bajistas y disminuye cuando el mercado es alcista.
Para determinar la Volatilidad Implícita de S&P500 y Nasdaq-100 utilicé sus índices de volatilidad: VIX y VXN (30 días IV) proporcionados por CBOE.
Precaución
Tenga en cuenta que debido a que CBOE no proporciona datos en tiempo real en Tradingview, mi cálculo de V-R-P también se retrasa, y por este motivo no se recomienda usar en los primeros 15 minutos desde la apertura.
Este indicador está calibrado para un marco de tiempo diario.
TBM VWAP Bands Style SetupA stripped down and modified version of the 'VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands' indicator by pmk07. The bands have been modified and styled to match those used on the Tradovate platform by Matt from the Trades By Matt youtube channel so if you would like to know how they should be used go to his youtube channel and watch his strategy explanation video.
Standard Deviation ChannelThe standard deviation channel allows you to visually see the trend in the market using a linear regression calculation. This script has two lower and two upper bounds, with different deviations. Each of these boundaries has an alert when it has been breached.
Volatility in % by zdmreVolatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for market index. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the higher the risk. Volatility is often measured as either the standard deviation or variance between returns from market index.
This indicator helps you identify the direction of the trend by calculating the standard deviation of the movement.
Probability ConesA probability cone is an indicator that forecasts a statistical distribution from a set point in time into the future.
Features
Forecast a Standard or Laplace distribution.
Change the how many bars the cones will lookback and sample in their calculations.
Set how many bars to forecast the cones.
Let the cones follow price from a set number of bars back.
Anchor the cones and they will not update from their last location.
Show or hide any set of cones.
Change the deviation used of any cone's upper or lower line.
Change any line's color, style, or width.
Change or toggle the fill colors between any two cone lines.
Basic Interpretations
First, there is an assumption that the distribution starting from the cone's origin, based on the number of historical bars sampled, is likely to represent the distribution of future price.
Price typically hangs around the mean.
About 68% of price stays within the first deviation cones.
About 95% of price stays within the second deviation cones.
About 99.7% of price stays within the third deviation cones.
When price is between the first and second deviation cones, there is a higher probability for a reversal.
However, strong momentum while above or below the first deviation can indicate a trend where price maintains itself past the first deviation. For this reason it's recommended to use a momentum indicator alongside the cones.
There is no mean reversion assumption when price deviates. Price can continue to stay deviated.
It's recommended that the cones are placed at the beginning of calendar periods. Like the month, week, or day.
Be mindful when using the cones on various timeframes. As the lookback setting, which selects the number of bars back to load from the cone's origin, will load the number of bars back based on the current timeframe.
Second Deviation Strategy
How to react when price goes beyond the second deviation is contingent on your trading position.
If you are holding a losing trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it could be time to stop trading and exit.
If you are holding a winning trade and price has moved past the second deviation, it would be best to look at exit strategies to capitalize on the outperformance.
If price has moved beyond the second deviation and you hold no position, then do not open any new trades.
Levels Of Fear [AstrideUnicorn]"Buy at the level of maximum fear when everyone is selling." - says a well-known among traders wisdom. If an asset's price declines significantly from the most recent highest value or established range, traders start to worry. The higher the drawdown gets, the more fear market participants experience. During a sell-off, a feedback loop arises, in which the escalating fear and price decline strengthen each other.
The Levels Of Fear indicator helps analyze price declines and find the best times to buy an asset after a sell-off. In finance, volatility is a term that describes the degree of variation of an asset price over time. It is usually denoted by the letter σ (sigma) and estimated as the standard deviation of the asset price or price returns. The Levels Of Fear indicator helps measure the current price decline in the standard deviation units. It plots seven levels at distances of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 standard deviations (sigmas) below the base price (the recent highest price or upper bound of the established range). In what follows, we will refer to these levels as levels of fear.
HOW TO USE
When the price in its decline reaches a certain level of fear, it means that it has declined from its recent highest value by a corresponding number of standard deviations. The indicator helps traders see the minimum levels to which the price may fall and estimate the potential depth of the current decline based on the cause of the actual market shock. Five-seven sigma declines are relatively rare events and correspond to significant market shocks. In the lack of information, 5-7 sigma levels are good for buying an asset. Because when the price falls that deep, it corresponds to the maximum fear and pessimism in the market when most people are selling. In such situations, contrarian logic becomes the best decision.
SETTINGS
Window: the averaging window or period of the indicator. The algorithm uses this parameter to calculate the base level and standard deviations. Higher values are better for measuring deeper and longer declines.
Levels Stability: the parameter used in the decline detection. The higher the value is, the more stable and long the fear levels are, but at the same time, the lag increases. The lower it is, the faster the indicator responds to the price changes, but the fear levels are recalculated more frequently and are less stable. This parameter is mostly for fine-tuning. It does not change the overall picture much.
Mode: the parameter that defines the style for the labels. In the Cool Guys Mode , the indicator displays the labels as emojis. In the Serious Guys Mode , labels show the distance from the base level measured in standard deviation units or sigmas.
rv_iv_vrpThis script provides realized volatility (rv), implied volatility (iv), and volatility risk premium (vrp) information for each of CBOE's volatility indices. The individual outputs are:
- Blue/red line: the realized volatility. This is an annualized, 20-period moving average estimate of realized volatility--in other words, the variability in the instrument's actual returns. The line is blue when realized volatility is below implied volatility, red otherwise.
- Fuchsia line (opaque): the median of realized volatility. The median is based on all data between the "start" and "end" dates.
- Gray line (transparent): the implied volatility (iv). According to CBOE's volatility methodology, this is similar to a weighted average of out-of-the-money ivs for options with approximately 30 calendar days to expiration. Notice that we compare rv20 to iv30 because there are about twenty trading periods in thirty calendar days.
- Fuchsia line (transparent): the median of implied volatility.
- Lightly shaded gray background: the background between "start" and "end" is shaded a very light gray.
- Table: the table shows the current, percentile, and median values for iv, rv, and vrp. Percentile means the value is greater than "N" percent of all values for that measure.
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Volatility risk premium (vrp) is simply the difference between implied and realized volatility. Along with implied and realized volatility, traders interpret this measure in various ways. Some prefer to be buying options when there volatility, implied or realized, reaches absolute levels, or low risk premium, whereas others have the opposite opinion. However, all volatility traders like to look at these measures in relation to their past values, which this script assists with.
By the way, this script is similar to my "vol premia," which provides the vrp data for all of these instruments on one page. However, this script loads faster and lets you see historical data. I recommend viewing the indicator and the corresponding instrument at the same time, to see how volatility reacts to changes in the underlying price.
Creentrend Pressure SignalsThe hull moving average is my favorite moving average, as well as slower (55ma Bollinger Bands dev@(1.618)) is my favorite standard deviation indicator. Lets combine the two to evaluate overbought, oversold, and pressure.
Use for all time frames- I PREFER daily.
Bollinger band MA at 55
Hull ma at 55
The Hull is more reactive and faster than any band on the BB (both at 55)
When HULL closes BELOW LOWER BAND- it will print a buy signal, remember- over sold and overbought in VOLATILITY could be dangerous on low time frames, as swift moves typically have short term reversals but return to the main trend eventually, this is why i reccomend daily candles.
When PRICE closes ABOVE UPPER BOLLINGER BAND- it will print a green ^ signal under candle indicating upward pressure.
When HULL closes ABOVE UPPER BOLLINGER BAND- it will print a red resistance line. Complex tops happen a lot with bitcoin so take a 1-5% stop above it if shorting.
Time-of-Day DeviationCreates a 'Time-of-Day' Deviation cone starting from the first bar of the session based upon data from previous days.
GreatBlueTradingTeam FibDev SignalsScript Purpose:
This script was designed to look for trend reversals and be used with other TA tools to help build confluence for day traders.
TA Used:
Without diverging too much information, this script relies on Highs, Lows, Opens, EMAs, Standard Deviations, Fib Numbers, and Fib Levels.
Script Overview:
First we look at the price action found on the Daily chart to create a set of zones using Fibs and Standard Deviations thats serves as our gauge on how far the price will move on any given day. Then, we create another set of zones ("intraday" zones if you will) that are built on much faster price action and relevant to the chart time period that is selected. These zones are also created using a combination of Fibs and Standard Deviations. From here, we compare the intraday price action with these two zones and look for areas where we feel overbought or oversold conditions are forming to create the bullish or bearish signals provided by the indicator.
Script Shortcomings:
Due to the fact this script is looking for breaks in trends, or trend reversals, it is subject to high risk especially in times of strong market trends where it could experience repeated failed signals. We recommend using this script in combination with other forms of TA for additional confluence as well as general market awareness that may influence trends and market behavior.
Script Access:
Please PM us to obtain information about accessing this script, or view our profile for contact information.
NVTNetwork Value to Transactions Ratio (NVT) is defined as the ratio of market capitalization divided by transacted volume.
NVT Ratio can be thought of as an indicator that measures whether the blockchain network is overvalued or not.
If it is upper than red line, it means overvalued.
NVT Golden Cross targets to generate short or long signals by comparing the short-term trend of NVT and the long-term trend of NVT. If the short-term trend is way greater than the long-term trend is, the network can be interpreted as overpriced and will soon revert to mean value, meaning short signal. Similarly, the opposite case may imply a long signal.
Over the red line is short signal and under the green line is long signal.
You can find divergence in this indicator.
There are two sources
cryptocap
glassnode
DMI & ST DEV zone intersection [LM]Hello Traders,
This indicator uses two indicators st dev extremes and DMI extremes and visualize intersection of both indicators extreme zones using crosses. It means where cross is rendered intersection of extremes has occurred.
The standard deviation uses the same calculation as my Standard deviation zones Support & Resistance indicator, DMI indicator measures both the strength and direction of a price movement. I am using both indicators to find the intersection of extreme zones between them.
ST DEV settings:
source
tops setting
bottom setting
DMI settings:
length settings
extreme zone setting
Enjoy,
Lukas
Cyatophilum VWAP StrategyAn indicator to backtest and automate VWAP custom strategies.
Use the Trend Mode to create Swing Trading strategies or Rotation Mode for Intraday Trading.
Configure your strategy using the Entry Condition Builder and Risk Management features, such as Trailing Stop & Take Profits, Safety Orders, and VWAP Exit conditions.
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█ HOW IT WORKS
VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price.
It is like a simple moving average that takes volume into account.
It is used by a lot of traders since it has everything one needs to know: price and volume.
The cummulated volume calculation resets every session, which interval can be configured.
From that we can calculate the MVWAP and the Standard Deviation Bands and create strategies around that.
█ HOW TO USE
Trend Mode
Trend Mode is the name for strategies built upon VWAP and price/MVWAP cross, most often for Swing Trading on high timeframes trending markets.
The side traded is often long and trying to beat Buy & Hold.
The trade exit can be triggered by a reversal signal (top chart), or a trailing stop (bottom chart) and take profit.
Rotation Mode
This is the mode for Intraday on low timeframes. It will work best on ranging markets.
We use the Standard Deviation Bands to buy/sell the price at overbougth/oversold levels.
The indicator allows to create complex entry conditions such as "Break out of 3rd bands AND break back in 2nd bands" within a certain amount of time.
We will use either the exit options to close the trade when prices reach an opposite band, or the risk management features explained below.
█ FEATURES
• VWAP settings
Configure the VWAP.
• Entry settings
Choose to go long, short, and if the strategy should reverse or not.
• Trend Mode
Choose to create entries from VWAP cross with price or MVWAP.
• Rotation Mode
Configure the 3 bands and build a condition for entry. The multiple inputs allow to add up different events required to trigger an entry, using 3 logical gates that can be linked together using a AND or OR condition. The events being: "break out", "Break back in" or "Just touches" any of the 3 bands. The condition must be met within a certain period of time to be valid.
• Exit settings
Options to exit trades at the end of every session or when the price reaches an opposite band.
• Stop Loss & Take Profit
Configure your stop loss and take profit for long and short trades.
You can also make a trailing stoploss and a trailing take profit.
• Safety Orders (DCA)
Create a strategy with up to 100 safety orders.
Configure their placement and order size using the price deviation, step scale, take profit type (from base order or total volume), and volume scale settings.
Graphics
A Configuration panel with all the indicator settings, useful for sharing a strategy.
A Backtest Results panel with buy & Hold Comparator.
█ ALERTS
Configure your alert messages for all events in the indicator settings.
Then click "Add Alert". In the popup window, select the option "alert() function calls only", give the alert a name and you are good to go!
█ BACKTEST RESULTS
The backtest settings used in this snapshot are the following:
Initial Capital: 10 000€
Order size: 10% equity
Commission: 0.1€ per order
Slippage : 10 ticks
Please read the author instructions below for access.
NEXT Regressive VWAPOverview:
This version of the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) indicator features an extended algorithm, which, in addition to volume and price, also incorporates regression analysis. The result is a more responsive, often leading VWAP slope with a degree of statistical predictability built in. Just like with the original VWAP, NEXT Regressive VWAP offers two optional Standard Deviation bands that parallel it. These can be set to any deviation level, with the default being 1 and -1, indicating one standard deviation above and one below Regressive VWAP, respectively.
Below is a screenshot comparing NEXT Regressive VWAP (green) to the original VWAP (blue) on CME_MINI:ES1! M3 chart.
Application and Strategy Ideas:
Price above NEXT Regressive VWAP is interpreted to have a bullish bias, and below, bearish. You can use TradingView's native Set Alert functionality to be notified, in real-time, when price crosses Regressive VWAP, and/or any of its standard deviation bands. Another popular "probability play" strategy is to scalp price when it crosses under the upper band (short) and crosses over the lower band (long). The screenshot below visualizes such a strategy on NASDAQ:QQQ M1 chart:
Input Parameters:
There are 3 groups of input.
Regression Settings
Length - controls the length of time (in bars) for regression analysis with higher values yielding smoother, more responsive values.
Regression Weighting - controls the degree of regression analysis incorporated into VWAP, with 5 being average, 0-4 less, 6-10 more. The higher the value, the more responsive the Regressive VWAP curve.
VWAP Settings
Anchor Period - controls the origin of VWAP calculations, start of session being the default.
Source - data used for calculating the VWAP, typically HLC/3, but can be used with other price formats and data sources as well.
Offset - shifting of the VWAP line forward (+) or backward (-).
Standard Deviation Bands Settings
Calculate Bands - checking this will add 2 bands, each equidistant (by the amount of Multiplier) from the NEXT Regressive VWAP line.
Bands Multiplier - standard deviation multiplier, with 1 being the default
Signals and Alerts:
Here is how to set price (close) crossing NEXT Regressive VWAP alerts: open a chart, attach NEXT Regressive VWAP, and right-click on chart -> Add Alert. Condition: Symbol e.g. ES (close) >> Crossing >> Regressive VWAP >> VWAP >> Once Per Bar Close.
STDev BandsReally simple script for dynamic support and resistance. Takes means over last 1440 bars (1440 minutes in a day) and calculates seven stdevs up and down.