Fractal Breakout Trend Following StrategyOverview
The Fractal Breakout Trend Following Strategy is a trend-following system which utilizes the Willams Fractals and Alligator to execute the long trades on the fractal's breakouts which have a high probability to be the new uptrend phase beginning. This system also uses the normalized Average True Range indicator to filter trades after a large moves, because it's more likely to see the trend continuation after a consolidation period. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trend and volatility filtering system: Strategy uses Williams Alligator to filter the counter-trend fractals breakouts and normalized Average True Range to avoid the trades after large moves, when volatility is high
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose the stop-loss percent (by default = 3%) for trades, but strategy also has the dynamic stop-loss level using down fractals.
Methodology
The strategy places stop order at the last valid fractal breakout level. Validity of this fractal is defined by the Williams Alligator indicator. If at the moment of time when price breaking the last fractal price is higher than Alligator's teeth line (8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future) this is a valid breakout. Moreover strategy has the additional volatility filtering system using normalized ATR. It calculates the average normalized ATR for last user-defined number of bars and if this value lower than the user-defined threshold value the long trade is executed.
When trade is opened, script places the stop loss at the price higher of two levels: user defined stop-loss from the position entry price or down fractal validation level. The down fractal is valid with the rule, opposite as the up fractal validation. Price shall break to the downside the last down fractal below the Willians Alligator's teeth line.
Strategy has no fixed take profit. Exit level changes with the down fractal validation level. If price is in strong uptrend trade is going to be active until last down fractal is not valid. Strategy closes trade when price hits the down fractal validation level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 3% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Williams Fractals to open long trade when price has broken the key resistance level to the upside. This resistance level is the last up fractal and is shall be broken above the Williams Alligator's teeth line to be qualified as the valid breakout according to this strategy. The Alligator filtering increases the probability to avoid the false breakouts against the current trend.
Moreover strategy has an additional filter using Average True Range(ATR) indicator. If average value of ATR for the last user-defined number of bars is lower than user-defined threshold strategy can open the long trade according to open trade condition above. The logic here is following: we want to open trades after period of price consolidation inside the range because before and after a big move price is more likely to be in sideways, but we need a trend move to have a profit.
Another one important feature is how the exit condition is defined. On the one hand, strategy has the user-defined stop-loss (3% below the entry price by default). It's made to give users the opportunity to restrict their losses according to their risk-tolerance. On the other hand, strategy utilizes the dynamic exit level which is defined by down fractal activation. If we assume the breaking up fractal is the beginning of the uptrend, breaking down fractal can be the start of downtrend phase. We don't want to be in long trade if there is a high probability of reversal to the downside. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.19%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.97%
Net Profit: +3036.90 USDT (+30.37%)
Total Trades: 83 (28.92% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.953
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 963.98 USDT (-8.29%)
Average Profit per Trade: 36.59 USDT (+1.12%)
Average Trade Duration: 72 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h and higher time frames and the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Trendstrategy
SuperTrend Enhanced Pivot Reversal - Strategy [PresentTrading]
- Introduction and How it is Different
The SuperTrend Enhanced Pivot Reversal is a unique approach to trading that combines the best of two worlds: the precision of pivot reversal points and the trend-following power of the SuperTrend indicator. This strategy is designed to provide traders with clear entry and exit points, while also filtering out potentially false signals using the SuperTrend indicator.
BTCUSDT 6hr
ETHBTC 6hr
Unlike traditional pivot reversal strategies, this approach uses the SuperTrend indicator as a filter. This means that it only takes trades that align with the overall trend, as determined by the SuperTrend indicator. This can help to reduce the number of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the strategy.
The Pivot Reversal Strategy with SuperTrend Filter is particularly well-suited to the cryptocurrency market for the reason of High Volatility. This means that prices can change rapidly in a very short time, making it possible to make a profit quickly. The strategy's use of pivot points allows traders to take advantage of these rapid price changes by identifying potential reversal points
- Strategy: How it Works
The strategy works by identifying pivot reversal points, which are points in the price chart where the price is likely to reverse. These points are identified using a combination of the ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions, which find the highest and lowest points in the price chart over a certain period.
Once a pivot reversal point is identified, the strategy checks the direction of the SuperTrend indicator. If the SuperTrend is positive (indicating an uptrend), the strategy will only take long trades. If the SuperTrend is negative (indicating a downtrend), the strategy will only take short trades.
The strategy also includes a stop loss level, which is set as a percentage of the entry price. This helps to limit potential losses if the price moves in the opposite direction to the trade.
- Trade Direction
The trade direction can be set to "Long", "Short", or "Both". This allows the trader to choose whether they want to take only long trades (buying low and selling high), only short trades (selling high and buying low), or both. This can be useful depending on the trader's view of the market and their risk tolerance.
- Usage
To use the Pivot Reversal Strategy with SuperTrend Filter, simply input the desired parameters into the script and apply it to the price chart of the asset you wish to trade. The strategy will then identify potential trade entry and exit points, which will be displayed on the price chart.
- Default Settings
The default settings for the strategy are as follows:
ATR Length: 5
Factor: 2.618
Trade Direction: Both
Stop Loss Level: 20%
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 1
Currency: USD
Each trade: 10% of account equity
Initial capital: $10,000
These settings can be adjusted to suit the trader's preferences and risk tolerance. Always remember to test any changes to the settings using historical data before applying them to live trades.
Keltner Channel - Trend Based StrategyThis strategy is based on 3 main indicators.
1st indicator is a trend indicator, which consists of SMA and EMA
2nd is Keltner Channel
3rd is DM indicator.
The conditions for the entry of this strategy are following:
First of all the assets need to be in an upward trend, this will occur when the EMA will cross SMA. The next condition for the entry is the opening and the closure of the candle. The open price of the candle should be in the upper part of the Keltner Channel and the close price should be above the Keltner channel. The third condition for the DM indicator is to be above a certain benchmakr. This benchmark can be set in the settings of the strategy.
The strategy has two potential Take Profit levels and single stop-loss levels. For the more efficient way you may try an use the trailing stop or extend the number of take-profit levels.
Multi TimeFrame (MTF) Trend StrengthCalculate and display simple multi timeframe (3 timeframe) trend strength using heikin ashi.
MACD Strategy with trailing ATR stopThis is a trend based strategy that uses EMA and SMA intersection for determining the direction of the trend and MACD for the entry signal. At the same time, the strategy uses ATR, which is working as a trailing stop.
The strategy entry will work when the Trend ribbon will turn green and MACD line will crossover the signal line. This strategy also takes into account the pyramiding and allows to enter the second time if the signal will repeat itself.
There are 3 exit points. The first 10% of the position will be closed when the price will increase by 1%. The second portion of 50% will be closed when the price reaches 5% Take profit target. The remaining 40 % of the position will wait for the exit signal which will occur when the price closes below the ATR line.
The strategy is using a fixed amount in dollars, each time the entry occurs the strategy will enter with 100$ in the order.
The strategy can be applied to other crypto assets. However, they will require input changes.
Best of luck with your trading.
Complete turtles strategy based on the donchian channelsDear Traders and investor,
I want to demonstrate scrypt of the iconic "trend following strategy" coded by my
The main idea was borrowed from the book "Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary". The strategy is based on the donchian channels and is one of the oldest and easiest strategy in the using. Also strategy include risk managment and trends filter which prevent false entries and high drawndowns. The results are based on the period from 2006 to present, but you can also change timeframe and period of backtesting.
Best regards,
Vlad
