Could Alibaba be returning to its glory?
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Could Alibaba be returning to its glory?
Although Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) reported decent earnings last month, the stock failed to gain momentum and underperformed the broader market in recent quarters. With international capital leaving China and geopolitical risks rising, Alibaba's stock may remain weak in the near future without significant catalysts to improve the situation. Therefore, I believe it makes more sense to look for opportunities locally rather than investing in Alibaba, which is still struggling with the consequences of the Beijing government-led crackdown more than three years ago.
Alibaba has struggled to maintain momentum in its eCommerce business due to economic difficulties in China. In the third quarter, its Taobao and Tmall divisions posted revenues of $18.18 billion, up only 2 percent from a year earlier. In contrast, competitor PDD Holdings recently reported an incredible 123 percent increase in revenues in the December quarter, thanks to its aggressive strategy to promote sales and attract new customers. PDD Holdings' shares have already outperformed Alibaba's in recent years, and if it continues to grow at this rate, it will not be surprising if it soon becomes more profitable than Alibaba's core business.
However, Alibaba has also faced challenges in its cloud business due to increasing competition and geopolitical issues. In the December quarter, the cloud business posted revenues of $3.95 billion, a modest 3 percent year-on-year growth. By comparison, Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOG)(GOOGL) had cloud revenues of $25.9 billion, $24.2 billion, and $9.19 billion respectively with strong growth of 20%, 13%, and 25.5%.
Despite Alibaba's steady growth, it is unlikely that it will soon threaten the dominance of Western companies in the cloud sector. In addition, growing domestic competition makes it difficult for the company to significantly improve its cloud business. For this reason, Western technology companies are likely to be a more attractive investment in the near future than Alibaba.
When we decide to invest, it is important to make the right moves. It is unwise to go it alone, so it is critical to get the help of a financial advisor or use smart tools such as those offered by TRADING VIEW. These tools provide a comprehensive assessment of companies and an information feed to help us make more reasoned investment decisions.
Looking on TRADING VIEW, it is clear that we are facing a very negative technical situation.
As you can see, there is no confirmation from the technical analysis to make the purchase.
With TradingView, you can get a summary of all the major technical indicators quickly and easily.
In China, one of the main problems in the market is the lack of investor confidence. Although there are many opportunities to buy at discounted prices, it is always better to wait for clearer signals, such as those from upcoming quarterly reports, before making major decisions.
As for Alibaba, I anticipate a stable market phase for the rest of the year. My strategy for this stock is based on buying after a positive quarterly and only if prices stay above the 100-day moving average, to get a buy confirmation from technical analysis as well.
We look forward to seeing you in the next article! And remember, for successful trading always rely on Tradingview: an indispensable tool that can help you avoid serious mistakes during your trades.
Could Alibaba be returning to its glory?
Although Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) reported decent earnings last month, the stock failed to gain momentum and underperformed the broader market in recent quarters. With international capital leaving China and geopolitical risks rising, Alibaba's stock may remain weak in the near future without significant catalysts to improve the situation. Therefore, I believe it makes more sense to look for opportunities locally rather than investing in Alibaba, which is still struggling with the consequences of the Beijing government-led crackdown more than three years ago.
Alibaba has struggled to maintain momentum in its eCommerce business due to economic difficulties in China. In the third quarter, its Taobao and Tmall divisions posted revenues of $18.18 billion, up only 2 percent from a year earlier. In contrast, competitor PDD Holdings recently reported an incredible 123 percent increase in revenues in the December quarter, thanks to its aggressive strategy to promote sales and attract new customers. PDD Holdings' shares have already outperformed Alibaba's in recent years, and if it continues to grow at this rate, it will not be surprising if it soon becomes more profitable than Alibaba's core business.
However, Alibaba has also faced challenges in its cloud business due to increasing competition and geopolitical issues. In the December quarter, the cloud business posted revenues of $3.95 billion, a modest 3 percent year-on-year growth. By comparison, Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOG)(GOOGL) had cloud revenues of $25.9 billion, $24.2 billion, and $9.19 billion respectively with strong growth of 20%, 13%, and 25.5%.
Despite Alibaba's steady growth, it is unlikely that it will soon threaten the dominance of Western companies in the cloud sector. In addition, growing domestic competition makes it difficult for the company to significantly improve its cloud business. For this reason, Western technology companies are likely to be a more attractive investment in the near future than Alibaba.
When we decide to invest, it is important to make the right moves. It is unwise to go it alone, so it is critical to get the help of a financial advisor or use smart tools such as those offered by TRADING VIEW. These tools provide a comprehensive assessment of companies and an information feed to help us make more reasoned investment decisions.
Looking on TRADING VIEW, it is clear that we are facing a very negative technical situation.
As you can see, there is no confirmation from the technical analysis to make the purchase.
With TradingView, you can get a summary of all the major technical indicators quickly and easily.
In China, one of the main problems in the market is the lack of investor confidence. Although there are many opportunities to buy at discounted prices, it is always better to wait for clearer signals, such as those from upcoming quarterly reports, before making major decisions.
As for Alibaba, I anticipate a stable market phase for the rest of the year. My strategy for this stock is based on buying after a positive quarterly and only if prices stay above the 100-day moving average, to get a buy confirmation from technical analysis as well.
We look forward to seeing you in the next article! And remember, for successful trading always rely on Tradingview: an indispensable tool that can help you avoid serious mistakes during your trades.
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