BITCOIN

What I think about BTC is that we are in a reaction move up (4) and after that a new push down will follow (5)
If I am correct this move down will bring BTC close to 22000
Where am I wrong? Above 48000-50000

I am a long term investor in BTC so I do not trade it.
Its not my target to trade BTC and some other ones which I like them Longer Term.
I just accumulate BITCOIN during corrective phases. And this is one of them.
During the move down (5) I will buy.