Hello traders, today I am reposting my analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe with updates.
Right Window – Previous Roadmap
The right chart shows my earlier analysis “Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout Set”. In that setup, the main uptrend channel (black) from October 2023 and sub-channels (red and cyan) were mapped.
Although I mistakenly closed the trade after the first target was achieved, I still believe the uptrend from mid-March 2024 is ongoing. I have extended my projection to mid-November 2025, with a target of $148K.
Left Window – Current Structure
On the left chart, we see a new bullish pattern developing. This can be interpreted as either a cup & two handles or an inverse head & shoulders.
- Price has already closed above the neckline (white line).
- A successful retest of the neckline adds confidence to the breakout.
- Fibonacci extension levels project:
200% ≈ $134K
260% ≈ $148K
As long as Bitcoin trades above $100K, I believe the next phases are toward $134K and then $148K.
Proposed Position Setup - Entry zone: Current price area (~$116K)
- Stop-loss: ~$95K (conservative placement below $100K)
- Target: $148K
- Alternate stop for aggressive traders: Weekly close below $105K (red shoulders-support line)
- This setup balances both faster and longer-term trading styles.
Risk-to-Reward Evaluation- Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
- Potential Loss: ~$21K (from $116K to $95K)
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1.5 : 1
This is acceptable for a weekly swing trade, especially given the uptrend confirmation and multi-pattern confluence.
Key Takeaways & Timeline- Trend bias: Bullish
- Main support: $100K (conservative stop-loss below this)
- Main targets: $134K and $148K
- Expected timeline: Mid-November 2025
- Invalidation: Weekly close below $100K (or $105K for aggressive traders)
I remain bullish on Bitcoin as long as price respects the green uptrend line (Oct 2023) and holds above $100K. Volatility is expected, but structure remains intact.
Trade safe and size positions according to personal risk tolerance. - Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
منشورات ذات صلة
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لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.