The Endgame for EUR/USD? Final Impulse Before a Macro Reversal

٢٨ مارس

📉 EURUSD Forecast — Final Growth Phase Within a Corrective Structure

🌍 Macro View (Weekly Chart):

EURUSD remains in a long-term corrective structure that has been developing since 2008. The sequence of zigzags and connecting waves suggests a W–X–Y pattern, where the current upward leg is part of wave (B) before a potential final drop into wave (C).

🧭 Mid-Term Structure (3D Chart):

Since early 2023, wave (B) has been unfolding to the upside, with wave C forming inside it as a five-wave impulsive move.

⏱️ Short-Term Structure (6h Chart):

Since the start of 2025, an impulsive wave structure has been developing. Currently, EURUSD is likely completing wave 3 and entering wave 4.

⚠️ Wave 4 may take one of the following forms:
FL — Flat
EFL — Expanding Flat
RFL — Running Flat
cT — Contracting Triangle
bT — Barrier Triangle
d3 — Double Three

Once wave 4 completes, I expect a final push upward (wave 5), marking the culmination of the current cycle before a potential reversal into wave (C) of the higher degree.

🔁 Correlation with the DXY DXY :

This outlook closely aligns with my previously published forecast on the DXY , which has already started playing out:
🔗 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/minKFbsS-DXY-at-the-Crossroads-How-the-108-110-could-reshape-the-market/

📌 EURUSD holds potential for completing its fifth wave up, after which a reversal and the beginning of a broader decline may follow.
The scenario is further validated by the mirror correlation with DXY dynamics.

١٠ أبريل

تم فتح الصفقة

Since the original post, the euro has rapidly reached the conservative targets outlined in the idea. What’s especially noteworthy is the massive volume spike we’ve just seen — historically, this kind of surge in volume tends to occur at major extremes: global, mid-term, or local.


Yes, EUR/USD still has some upside potential and could overshoot further due to momentum — but technically, we’re likely witnessing culmination. This phase often precedes a rebalancing or larger corrective move.


⚠️ If you’re long, it might be time to start thinking about risk management and possible exit strategies.

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ملاحظة

culmination