Google (Alphabet): Overarching Downside Potential

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Alphabet (GOOGL) hasn’t been able to reclaim its May 22 high and has settled into a consolidation range around the $170 level. Still, under our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective upswing to continue for a bit before turquoise wave 3 resumes the downtrend. That move should break below $138.35 and carry the price into the magenta Target Zone between $123.92 and $98. After that, a rebound within wave 4 is likely, though it probably won’t be strong enough to retake the $138.35 level. A final leg down in wave 5 should then complete the correction, driving the price deeper into the zone and establishing the low of green wave [4]. This area also marks a potential turning point for the next major move upward. Meanwhile, a detour above resistance at $209.28 for a new high of magenta wave alt.(B) is 24% likely.

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