Introduction: In the previous session, Nifty displayed a recovery after testing lower support levels mentioned in plan and closed near day high, with buyers stepping in near the retracement zone (Green). The index faced resistance in the 23,873–23,920 range (Yellow), leading to sideways movement. For today, the market behavior will depend on how Nifty reacts to key levels, with breakout potential to 24,261 or breakdown risks toward 23,411.
Trading Scenarios for 25-Nov-2024:
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 23,920, the focus will be on the immediate resistance level at 24,261:
A breakout above 24,261 could lead to a strong bullish trend, with potential targets at 24,350 and beyond. Look for price consolidation above 24,261 before entering long trades. Failure to sustain above 24,261 may result in a pullback toward 23,873, offering a short-term reversal opportunity. Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering trades to avoid whipsaws.
Flat Opening: A flat opening near 23,873 will bring the "Opening Support / Resistance Zone" (23,845–23,920) into focus:
A bullish breakout above 23,920 could target 24,261 as the next resistance. A bearish breakdown below 23,845 may trigger selling pressure toward 23,759 or 23,684. Avoid trading within the range (23,845–23,920) until the trend direction becomes clear.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens below 23,759, the immediate support lies at 23,684, followed by 23,605:
A breakdown below 23,605 may lead to accelerated selling, targeting 23,411. Monitor volume and price action for confirmation. A bounce from 23,684 or 23,605 could indicate a recovery, with potential upside back to 23,759 and 23,845. Be cautious, as a gap-down opening may lead to heightened volatility.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use strike prices close to the spot price for better liquidity and responsiveness. Implement strict stop-losses based on support and resistance zones. Avoid trading during the initial 15-30 minutes after market opening, as volatility may produce false signals. Limit your position size to manage risk effectively during uncertain market conditions. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty is at a critical juncture with key levels at 23,920 and 23,845 acting as immediate resistance and support. A breakout above 23,920 could drive bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 23,845 may lead to bearish continuation. Follow the trading plan and avoid impulsive trades. Always prioritize risk management to safeguard capital.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis shared is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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