SWIGGY 🚀 SWIGGY LTD – Combined Technical + Fundamental Analysis
As of: 24 July 2025 | CMP: ₹420.50 |
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🔷 Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout
- Cup & Handle pattern completed over 5 months (Feb–July 2025)
- Breakout Level: ₹409 (marked horizontal resistance)
- CMP: ₹420.50 — breakout confirmed with strong volume
- Cup Depth: ₹409 – ₹285 = ₹124
🔍 Indicators & Price Action:
Price vs 50 EMA ✅ Above (bullish short-term trend)
Price vs 200 EMA ✅ Above (bullish long-term trend)
Volume ✅ Breakout confirmed with surge
RSI ~63 (strong but not overbought)
🔧 Key Levels:
Support Resistance Swing Target
₹409 (Breakout retest) ₹445 / ₹480 ₹533 (measured move)
Technical Verdict:
Bullish breakout from a long base. With volume confirmation and improving fundamentals, Swiggy is poised for a multi-week rally.
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📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
📈 1. Revenue Growth
Swiggy has shown consistent and impressive topline expansion over the past 3 years:
Financial Year Revenue (₹ Cr) YoY Growth
FY22 ₹5,705 –
FY23 ₹8,265 +45%
FY24 ₹11,115 +34%
FY25 (Est.) ₹14,500 +30% est.
Growth Drivers:
🚀 Instamart (Grocery) – fastest-growing vertical
🍽️ Food Delivery – steady in Tier I, expanding in Tier II/III
📍 Strong presence in metros, improving reach in smaller cities
💰 2. Profit Trajectory
Swiggy was known for heavy cash burn pre-IPO, but is now nearing profitability:
Financial Year Net Profit/Loss (₹ Cr) EBITDA (₹ Cr)
FY23 -₹4,179 -₹3,363
FY24 -₹1,482 -₹1,115
FY25 (Est.) +₹75 (Profit) +₹350
📉 Losses reduced by over 60% in 12 months
🔁 EBITDA-positive since Q4 FY25 — a major turning point
🛠️ Cost control, reduced discounting, and Instamart’s scale driving margin growth
🌱 3. Future Growth Prospects
Swiggy is now strategically positioned to capture multiple long-term themes:
Segment Outlook Comments
Instamart 🌟 High Growth 60%+ YoY growth, core revenue driver by FY26
Food Delivery 🔁 Steady to Moderate Strong in metros; Tier II/III scaling slowly
Dineout + Genie 🧊 Low Growth Not major contributors, but strengthen ecosystem
New Revenue 🧠 Ads, cloud kitchens High-margin potential in FY26/FY27
🧾 IPO proceeds deployed into logistics & tech infra (no major debt)
📈 Possible MSCI/Nifty Next 50 inclusion in FY26
🔓 Optionality: Entry into fintech/payments, loyalty programs, and dark kitchens
🔚 COMBINED VIEW – TECHNICAL + FUNDAMENTAL
- Technical Pattern ✅ Cup & Handle breakout at ₹409
- Revenue Trend ✅ Strong CAGR ~36%
- Profit Outlook ✅ Profitability by FY25 end
- Future Potential ✅ High – Instamart + Ads + Tier-II expansion
- Risk ⚠️ Valuation premium + ONDC threat remains
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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