Analysis of NVIDIA
📊 Comprehensive Technical & Fundamental Analysis of NVIDIA (NVDA) – Professional Insight
🔍 Fundamental Analysis:
📈 Strong Financial Performance:
NVIDIA (NVDA) reported record-breaking revenue of $130.5 billion in 2025, marking a 114% increase year-over-year (YoY), while net income surged to $72.88 billion (+145%), driven by AI sector expansion. In Q4 2025, revenue reached $39.3 billion, with net income of $22.06 billion, showcasing continued demand for AI chips.
🚀 Innovations & Future Prospects:
NVIDIA launched the “Blackwell” architecture, attracting strong demand from Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, reinforcing its dominance in AI computing. The company projects $43 billion in revenue for Q1 2026, reflecting sustained growth momentum.
⚠️ Challenges & Risks:
NVIDIA heavily relies on a few major clients (Microsoft, Amazon, Google), which collectively plan to invest $300 billion in data centers this year, posing operational risks. Additionally, geopolitical trade restrictions and supply chain disruptions could impact the company’s long-term growth.
📊 Technical Analysis
🔎 Market Structure Overview:
NVIDIA is undergoing a corrective downtrend after peaking at $144.24, a strong resistance level at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The price is currently at $126.5, positioned within a discount zone (demand area), indicating a potential rebound. Key support levels at $133.9 and $130.5 were broken, signaling a possible continuation of the correction.
📍 Entry & Exit Zones (For Investment & Scalping Trades)
📈 Long Opportunities (Buying Entries)
✅ Scenario 1 (Short-Term Scalping Trade)
• Entry: $126 - $125
• Targets:
• 🎯 First Target: $128.9 (50% Fibonacci retracement)
• 🎯 Second Target: $133.9 (Equilibrium Zone)
• 🎯 Third Target: $137.5 (Potential Resistance)
• Stop Loss: Below $123
📌 Entry Confirmation: Look for BOS (Break of Structure) in an upward direction or bullish price action signals (e.g., engulfing candlestick on lower timeframes).
✅ Scenario 2 (Swing Trading – Long-Term Investment)
• Entry: Retest at $123 - $121 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement)
• Targets:
• 🎯 First Target: $130
• 🎯 Second Target: $136
• 🎯 Third Target: $144
• Stop Loss: Below $118
📌 Entry Confirmation: Await a BOS in an upward direction on the daily timeframe or an RSI divergence signal.
📉 Short Opportunities (Selling Entries)
✅ Scenario 1 (Short-Term Scalping Trade)
• Entry: Upon retesting the $133.9 - $136 resistance zone
• Targets:
• 🎯 First Target: $130
• 🎯 Second Target: $126.5
• 🎯 Third Target: $123
• Stop Loss: Above $137.5
📌 Entry Confirmation: Look for CHoCH (Change of Character) in a bearish direction or bearish price action (e.g., rejection candle at resistance).
✅ Scenario 2 (Swing Trade - Medium-Term Short Position)
• Entry: At $144 - $145 resistance area
• Targets:
• 🎯 First Target: $136
• 🎯 Second Target: $130
• 🎯 Third Target: $125
• Stop Loss: Above $148
📌 Entry Confirmation: Wait for a BOS in a downward direction on the daily or H4 chart.
📊 Expected Scenarios:
1. If the $125 - $126.5 support holds, we may see a rebound towards $130 - $133.9.
2. If price breaks below $125, the next support level is $121 - $123.
3. If price retests $133.9 - $136 and fails to break higher, it would signal a potential short entry targeting $125.
4. If price breaks above $144, we may see a continuation towards $150 - $155.
📢 Final Recommendations
✅ For Long-Term Investment:
• Buy at $125 - $121
• Target: $150 - $160 within the coming months
• Stop Loss: Close below $118 on a daily timeframe
✅ For Short-Term Scalping:
• Buy Entry: $126 - $125
• Targets: $130 - $133.9
• Stop Loss: Below $123
• Sell Entry: $133.9 - $136
• Targets: $130 - $125
• Stop Loss: Above $137.5
✅ For Swing Short Trades:
• Sell Entry: $144 - $145
• Targets: $136 - $130 - $125
• Stop Loss: Above $148
📌 🔍 Notes:
🔹 Entries should be confirmed with additional technical signals from smaller timeframes before execution.
🔹 Risk management is crucial given market volatility; ensure strict stop-loss measures are in place.
🔹 Follow upcoming earnings reports and macroeconomic events that may impact the stock’s movement.
