OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Long Term Holder Supply 155 Day

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The “Long Term Holder Supply 155 Day” indicator is designed to bring on-chain inspired long-term analysis directly into chart-based technical trading.
The concept comes from the idea of Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply, frequently used in Bitcoin on-chain analytics to identify price zones where long-term holders accumulated coins. These areas tend to act as strong support and resistance because long-term holders historically accumulate during undervaluation phases and distribute during overheated cycles.

What makes this script original

Unlike traditional moving averages or basic Donchian channels, this indicator combines both concepts using the same 155-day window, creating a unified model that visually represents:

The average long-term holder cost basis (via SMA 155).

The range of supply and demand zones historically defined by price extremes (via Donchian 155).

A trend-reactive color system that makes interpretation intuitive and immediate.

This dual-structure is not commonly found in standard TradingView scripts and is inspired by on-chain research methodology adapted for chart traders.

How it works
1. SMA 155 (LTH Mean Price)

Represents the long-term holder cost basis proxy.

Turns green when price is above it (market strength above holder basis).

Turns red when price is below it (market trading at a discount relative to long-term holders).

This allows traders to quickly identify whether Bitcoin is in a LTH profit or LTH loss environment — a critical on-chain concept.

2. Donchian Channel 155 (LTH Supply Range)

Upper Band (Green): Highest high of the last 155 days — interpreted as the upper bound of LTH supply/resistance.

Lower Band (Red): Lowest low of the last 155 days — interpreted as the lower bound of LTH accumulation/support.

This creates a long-term structural range showing where long-term holders were historically more likely to buy (lower band) or distribute (upper band).

How to use it

Bullish conditions:

Price breaks above the SMA 155.

Price begins approaching or breaking the upper Donchian band → signs of macro strength and potential long-term breakout.

Bearish conditions:

Price drops below SMA 155 (LTH basis lost).

Price moves toward the lower Donchian band → zone where long-term holders historically accumulate during deep value phases.

Sideways Accumulation:

Price oscillates inside the Donchian bands while hugging the SMA 155 → potential long-term consolidation before trend reversal.

Who this indicator is for

Long-term Bitcoin analysts

Swing traders

Investors tracking macro cycles

Traders who want lightweight on-chain logic without needing blockchain datasets

Core methodology behind the script

The indicator is built around:

SMA 155 → represents long-term average cost basis

Donchian 155 → long-term supply/demand range

Color-based trend confirmation → chart-based interpretation of on-chain behavior

This combination brings an on-chain inspired long-term model into pure price action, making it usable even by traders without access to blockchain data.

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