CT Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0
Systemic Stress & Market Regime Monitor
OVERVIEW
Wall Street-grade structural monitoring now open-source.
CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 is a real-time systemic risk tool designed to detect fragility before it hits price. Built by former institutional traders, it delivers structural insight typically reserved for desks inside hedge funds and global macro desks.
This isn’t about finding entries or exits, it’s about understanding the environment you're trading in, and recognizing when it's shifting.
WHAT IT DOES
• Monitors six key market domains: Equities, Rates/Credit, FX (USD stress), Commodities, Crypto, and Macro
• Detects volatility stress, cross-domain coupling, and regime synchronization
• Classifies market structure into Normal → Fragile → Critical
• Shows a live dashboard with scores, coupling levels, and structural state
• Plots event markers (T1, T2, T3) for structural transitions
• Implements hysteresis logic to model post-stress 'memory
• Supports both single-domain ("Local Mode") and system-wide monitoring
HOW IT WORKS
This engine does not rely on traditional TA. No moving averages. No MACD. No patterns. No guesswork.
Instead, it measures how markets are behaving beneath price detecting when stress is:
• Building internally
• Spreading across domains
• Synchronizing into systemic fragility
T1 (🟠) — Early instability: acceleration in market coupling
T2 (🔵) — Fragile regime: multiple domains simultaneously stressed
T3 (🔴) — Critical regime: synchronized, system-wide stress
These are not buy/sell signals. They are structural regime alerts, the same kind used by institutions to cut risk before stress cascades.
WHY IT MATTERS
Most retail tools are reactive. They interpret surface-level patterns after the move.
This tool is different. It’s proactive – measuring pressure before it breaks structure.
Institutions have used structural fragility models like this for years. This script helps close that gap, giving everyday traders the same early warnings that pros use to reduce exposure and sidestep systemic blowups.
It’s not about finding the edge.
It’s about not getting crushed when the system breaks.
Whether you trade crypto, stocks, FX, or macro, this engine helps answer:
• Is the system stable right now?
• Are stress levels rising across markets?
• Is it time to tighten risk?
Institutions don’t wait for breakouts. They monitor structure.
Now, you can too.
KEY FEATURES
• Works on any asset class and any timeframe
• Fully customizable domain selection
• Three-tier structural alert system (T1–T3)
• Real-time dashboard: stress scores, states, and coupling levels
• Hysteresis modeling: post-stress “memory” detection
• Supports single-domain (local) or multi-domain (systemic) monitoring
• PineScript alerts built-in
RECOMMENDED USE
Active traders - all asset classes
Use the dashboard and T1–T3 alerts to stay aware of structural risk in real time.
Track multi-timeframe alignment to detect where risk originates and how it spreads across markets.
Crypto trader s
Monitor upstream domains (Equities, FX, Rates, Macro) to detect pressure before it reaches crypto.
Identify reflexive stress before Bitcoin reacts — and stay ahead of contagion events.
Macro & systematic traders
Use T1–T3 transitions as volatility filters, exposure governors, or dynamic risk overlays.
Build regime-aware models that adapt to shifting systemic conditions.
Examples & Visuals
Question: Would it have helped to know that at 9:30 on October 9th and again at 10:00 on October 10th that critical states were detected in the structural behavior of Bitcoin? Take a look:
30 min chart BTC shows two distinct T3 (critical) regime detections October 9th and 10:30 October 10th
5m BTC chart reveals high frequency instability for the same period, identifying instability, fragility, criticality
The 30minute BTC chart at 16:30 Friday October 10th,, a few hours after first detecting critical systemic risk
RISK DISCLAIMER
This is a structural analysis tool, not a predictive signal. It does not provide financial advice, trade entries, or forecasts. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer embedded in the script.
Complexity Trading - From Wall St to Main St
No patterns. No repainting. No mysticism. Just logic, math, science and market structure - now made accessible to everyone.
Developer of LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP), the Temporal Phase Model (TPM) and other
other advanced structural and attractor based systems inspired by Sornette’s LPPL framework and other differentiated thinkers.
Note on Methodology
This tool is not predictive, and not designed for academic publication.
It is a real-time structural monitoring system inspired by academically established concepts,
including LPPL attractor dynamics, cross-asset coupling, reflexivity, and phase regime transitions, implemented within the real-time constraints of PineScript, and intended for visual, exploratory, and diagnostic use.
Forecasting
ZERO-LAG Tabrizi Scalping ToolKit This indicator will allow you to scalp on the 1M and 5M chart with zero lag. We will show you trend reversals and also when to buy and sell
Manipulation Candle SystemThis indicator is based on One Candle Scalping Strategy by ProRealAlgos
## **Manipulation Candle System – Simple Explanation**
This indicator helps traders identify **potential market manipulation** during the **US stock market session (New York)** and highlights **key reversal signals**.
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### **1. Daily ATR (Average True Range)**
* Measures the **average price movement** of the day.
* Helps determine if a move is **normal** or **abnormally large**.
* The indicator calculates **daily ATR** automatically.
* If 15 minute opening candle is more than 25% of Daily ATR, we can call it manipulation is happen .
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### **2. 15-Minute Opening Candle Box**
* Highlights the **first 15-minute candle** of the US session.
* The box **extends for 2 hours** after the market opens.
* **Color indicates market condition**:
* **Red box** → the opening candle range is bigger than 25% of the daily ATR → potential **manipulation**.
* **Blue box** → the opening candle range is normal → **neutral session**.
* Helps traders visually spot when the market might be trying to **trap traders**.
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### **3. 5-Minute Reversal Detection**
* Looks for **reversal candle patterns** on the 5-minute chart:
* Bullish engulfing or strong bullish pin → **buy reversal**.
* Bearish engulfing or strong bearish pin → **sell reversal**.
* Only checks during the **US session**, after 15 minute opening candle.
* Helps traders **time entries** in the direction of potential market reversals.
---
### **4. Buy / Sell Signals**
* Shows **triangle markers** on the chart:
* **Green triangle below candle** → buy signal.
* **Red triangle above candle** → sell signal.
* The signal text also indicates:
* `"BUY (Trap Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during manipulation.
* `"BUY (Normal Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during a neutral session.
* `"SELL (Trap Reversal)"` → if a sell reversal occurs during manipulation.
* `"SELL (Normal Reversal)"` → otherwise.
---
### **5. Info Table**
* Appears at the **top-right** of the chart.
* Shows:
1. Daily ATR value.
2. 15-minute opening candle range.
3. Session condition → `"MANIPULATION"` or `"NEUTRAL"`.
4. Current reversal signal text.
---
### **How a New Trader Can Use It**
1. Look at the **color of the opening box**:
* Red → be cautious, price may trap traders.
* Blue → normal market behavior.
2. Watch for **reversal signals** on the 5-minute chart.
3. Use the **info table** to confirm ATR, session bias, and signals.
4. Combine this with **risk management** before entering trades.
Advance SMC (Milad Tayefi)Smart money indicator which recognizes market structure and produces buy/sell signals.
QuantLabs The MTF Nasdaq 30 Scanner [Capital Flow and Pressure]Trading the QQQ (Nasdaq) without knowing what the Generals (Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft) are doing is like driving at night with your headlights off. You might see the road right in front of you, but you'll miss the turn coming up.
The QuantLabs MTF Nasdaq 30 Scanner is not just a trend indicator, it is a professional-grade Market Dashboard that visualizes the heartbeat of the entire Nasdaq 100.
Why You Need This
Standard indicators lag. They tell you what happened after the move. This Heatmap tracks the Real-Time Capital Flow of the Top 30 companies that actually move the index ($Trillions in Market Cap).
Key Features
1. The "Spectacular" Precision Heatmap
Organized by Market Cap Size (AAPL/NVDA first).
Instantly spot divergent behavior. Is the market rallying, or is it just Nvidia holding everything up? The Heatmap reveals the truth instantly.
Colors: Neon Cyan (Bullish) vs Hot Pink (Bearish).
2. Triple Spectrum Technology (3-in-1 Timeframes) Why look at one timeframe when you can see three? Every cell in the dashboard displays the trend distance for:
8h (Fast): For scalping entries.
16h (Mid): For swing trends.
24h (Slow): For the major "Big Picture" bias.
Values denote % distance from the Flux Ribbon.
3. The "Net Pressure" Gauge (The Speedometer) A predictive summary footer that calculates the Weighted Pressure of the entire market.
HEAVY (> 0.5%): Strong Trend / Breakout Mode.
MODERATE (0.2% - 0.5%): Healthy, sustained move.
FLAT: Chop / Noise. Stay out.
It also shows exactly how much Capital ($Trillions) is sitting Bullish vs Bearish.
How to Trade with It
Check the "Net Pressure": If it says MODERATE BULLISH, you are looking for Longs only.
Scan the Top Row: Are the "Big 5" (AAPL, NVDA, MSFT...) aligned with the pressure?
Wait for Alignment: If the 8h, 16h, and 24h metrics all turn Cyan, that is a "Quantum Lock"—a high probability breakout signal.
Simple. Powerful. Neon. Add it to your chart and stop guessing the direction.
Credits: Built with 💜 by David James @ QuantLabs
GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
💡 I. Indicator Concept: GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
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The GARCH Adaptive Momentum Speed indicator provides a powerful, forward-looking
view on market risk and momentum. Unlike standard moving averages or static
volatility indicators (like ATR), GARCH forecasts the Conditional Volatility (σ_t)
for the next bar, based on the principle of volatility clustering.
The indicator consists of two essential components:
1. GARCH Volatility (Level): The primary forecast of the expected magnitude of
price movement (risk).
2. Vol. Speed (Momentum): The first derivative of the GARCH forecast, showing
whether market risk is accelerating or decelerating. This component is the
main visual signal, displayed as a dynamic histogram.
⚙️ II. Key Features and Adaptive Logic
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* Dynamic Coefficient Adaptation: The indicator automatically adjusts the GARCH
coefficients (α and β) based on the chart's timeframe (TF):
- Intraday TFs (M1-H4): Uses higher α and lower β for quicker reaction
to recent shocks.
- Daily/Weekly TFs (D, W): Uses lower α and higher β for a smoother,
more persistent long-term forecast.
* Momentum Visualization: The Vol. Speed component is plotted as a dynamic
histogram (fill) that automatically changes color based on the direction of
acceleration (Green for up, Red for down).
📊 III. Interpretation Guide
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- GARCH Volatility (Blue Line): The predicted level of market risk. Use this to
gauge overall position sizing and stop loss width.
- Vol. Speed (Green Histogram): Momentum is ACCELERATING (Risk is increasing rapidly).
A strong signal that momentum is building, often preceding a breakout.
- Vol. Speed (Red Histogram): Momentum is DECELERATING (Risk is contracting).
Indicates momentum is fading, often associated with market consolidation.
🎯 IV. Trading Application
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- Breakout Timing: Look for a strong, high GREEN histogram bar. This suggests
the volatility pressure is increasing rapidly, and a breakout may be imminent.
- Consolidation: Small, shrinking RED histogram bars signal that market energy
is draining, ideal for tight consolidation patterns.
Risk & Order Size Calculatorhello,
this will calculate the risk and you may change the script as per your risk appetite, my advise do not risk more than 2% of your capital.
Thank you
EM Levelsstdv levels for you using VIX and VXN for ES and NQ so hopefully it helps you try it out and have fun
BTC - ALSI: Altcoin Season Index (Dynamic Eras)Title: BTC - ALSI: Altcoin Season Index (Dynamic Eras)
Overview & Philosophy
The Altcoin Season Index (ALSI) is a quantitative tool designed to answer the most critical question in crypto capital rotation: "Is it time to hold Bitcoin, or is it time to take risks on Altcoins?"
Most "Altseason" indicators suffer from Survivor Bias or Obsolescence. They either track a static list of coins that includes "dead" assets from previous cycles (ghosts of 2017), or they break completely when major tokens collapse (like LUNA or FTT).
This indicator solves this by using a Time-Varying Basket. The indicator automatically adjusts its reference list of Top 20 coins based on historical eras. This ensures the index tracks the winners of the moment—capturing the DeFi summer of 2020, the NFT craze of 2021, and the AI/Meme narratives of 2024/2025.
Methodology
The indicator calculates the percentage of the Top 20 Altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin over a rolling window (Default: 90 Days).
The "Win" Count: For every major Altcoin performing better than BTC, the index adds a point.
Dynamic Eras: The basket of coins changes depending on the date:
2020 Era (DeFi Summer): Tracks the "Blue Chips" of the DeFi revolution like UNI, LINK, DOT, and early movers like VET and FIL.
2021 Era (Layer 1 Wars): Tracks the explosion of alternative smart contract platforms, adding winners like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, and ALGO.
2022 Era (The Survivors): Filters for resilience during the Bear Market, solidifying the status of established assets like SHIB and ATOM.
2023 Era (Infrastructure & Scale): Captures the rise of "Next-Gen" tech leading into the pre-halving year, introducing TON, APT (Aptos), and ARB (Arbitrum).
2024/25 Era (AI & Speed): Tracks the current Super-Cycle leaders, focusing on the AI narrative (TAO, RNDR), High-Performance L1s (SUI), and modern Memes (PEPE).
Chart Analysis & Strategy ( The "Alpha" )
As seen in the chart above, there is a strong correlation between ALSI Peaks and local tops in TOTAL3 (The Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC & ETH).
The Entry (Rotation): When the indicator rises above the neutral 50 line, it signals that capital is beginning to rotate out of Bitcoin and into Altcoins. This has historically been a strong confirmation signal to increase exposure to high-beta assets.
The Exit (Saturation): When the indicator hits 100 (or sustains in the Red Zone > 75), it means every single Altcoin is beating Bitcoin. Historically, this extreme exuberance often marks a local top in the TOTAL3 chart. This is the zone where smart money typically sells into strength, rather than opening new positions.
How to Read the Visuals
🚀 Altcoin Season (Red Zone > 75): Strong Altcoin dominance. The market is "Risk On."
🛡️ Bitcoin Season (Blue Zone < 25): Bitcoin dominance. Alts are bleeding against BTC. Historically, this is a defensive zone to hold BTC or Stablecoins.
Data Dashboard: A status table in the bottom-right corner displays the live Index Value, current Regime, and a System Check to ensure all 20 data feeds are active.
Settings
Lookback Period: Default 90 Days. Lowering this (e.g., to 30) makes the index faster but noisier.
Thresholds: Adjustable zones for Altcoin Season (Default: 75) and Bitcoin Season (Default: 25).
Credits & Attribution
This open-source indicator is built on the shoulders of giants. I acknowledge the original creators of the concept and the pioneers of its implementation on TradingView:
Original Concept: BlockchainCenter.net. - They established the industry standard definition: 75% of the Top 50 coins outperforming Bitcoin over 90 days = Altseason..
TradingView Implementation: Adam_Nguyen - He implemented the "Dynamic Era" logic (updating the coin list annually) on TradingView. Our code structure for the time-based switching is inspired by his methodology. See also his implementation in the chart. ( Altcoin Season Index - Adam) .
Comparison: Why use ALSI | RM?
While inspired by the above, ALSI introduces three key improvements:
Open Source: Unlike other popular TradingView versions (which are closed-source), this script is fully transparent. You can see exactly which coins are triggering the signal.
Sanitized History (Anti-Fragile): Historical Top 20 snapshots are not blindly used. "Dead" coins (like LUNA and FTT) from previous eras are manually filtered out. A raw index would crash during the Terra/FTX collapses, giving a false "Bitcoin Season" signal purely due to bad actors. The curated list preserves the integrity of the market structure signal.
Narrative Relevance: The 2024/25 basket was updated to include TAO (Bittensor) and RNDR, ensuring the index captures the dominant AI narrative, rather than tracking fading assets from the previous cycle.
You can compare the ALSI indicator with other available tradingview indicators in the chart: Different indicators for the same idea are shown in the 3 Pane window below the BTC and Total3 chart, whereas ALSI is the top pane indicator.
Important Note on Coin Selection Baskets are highly curated: Dead/irrelevant coins (FTT, LUNA, BSV) are excluded for clean signals. This prevents historical breaks and ensures Era T5 captures current narratives (AI, Memes) via TAO/RNDR. See above. Users are free to adjust the source code to test their own baskets.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. Past correlations between ALSI and TOTAL3 do not guarantee future results. Market regimes can change, and "Altseasons" can be cut short by macro events.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, altseason, dominance, total3, rotation, cycle, index, alsi, Rob Maths
Ladang_Cuan - [pip.squad]Ladang_Cuan - is an intelligent price mapping system designed to detect Market Structure automatically and with high precision. This indicator eliminates trader confusion in determining entry points by presenting execution zones that are clean, objective, and measurable.
Developed by , this tool works behind the scenes with complex algorithms to filter out price fluctuations, leaving only the crucial levels with high winning probabilities.
The Intelligence Behind the System
Dynamic Structure Mapping: The system automatically maps the market's highest and lowest points to determine the current trend direction without manual intervention.
Intuitive Navigation Labels: No more confusing numbers. Every line has a specific role: from preparation zones and execution points to final targets.
Area Synergy (The Cloud): Colored area visualizations provide instant visual guidance on where price is currently positioned within its movement cycle.
Advanced Entry Trigger: Integrated signal logic ensures you only enter the market when the price is in the most optimal area to minimize risk.
Mastering the Strategy: The Way
This strategy focuses on Trend Following & Rejection, where we hunt for profits when the price undergoes a rest phase (correction) before continuing its primary trend.
1. Identifying the Setup
Observe how the indicator maps the price structure on your chart. These lines are not static; they are a representation of current market psychology.
2. The Golden Zone (Entry Ideal)
This is our "Cuan Field" (Profit Field). Ignore all price movements until it enters the Entry Ideal area.
BUY Signal: Appears when the market is in a bullish structure and the price makes a downward correction into the green zone. This represents the best accumulation momentum.
SELL Signal: Appears when the market is in a bearish structure and the price makes an upward correction into the red zone. This represents the best distribution momentum.
3. Harvesting the Profit
Use a multi-target approach for maximum results:
TP 1 & TP 2: Take early profits to secure your capital.
TP 3: Let the remaining position run to reach the furthest target when the trend is strong.
Protection: STOP LOSS is your last line of defense. If price breaks this level, it means the market structure has shifted, and we exit to wait for the next opportunity.
Why Ladang_Cuan?
In the world of trading, objectivity is everything. Ladang_Cuan - gives you the confidence to execute the market based on real structural data, rather than instinct or emotion.
NeuralFlow Forecast Engine | NIFTY WeeklyAI-adaptive market equilibrium & expansion mapping. NeuralFlow doesn’t forecast by direction — it forecasts by where markets prefer to stabilize.
NeuralFlow Forecast Engine™ is a proprietary Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify where price is statistically inclined to rebalance and where expansion zones historically exhaust rather than extend.
What the Bands Represent
Band Layer Meaning
AI Equilibrium (white core) Primary weekly balance zone where price is most likely to mean-revert
Predictive Rails (aqua / purple) High-confidence corridor of institutional flow containment
Outer Zones (green / red) Expansion limits where continuation historically decays
Extreme Zones (top/bottom) Rare deviation envelope where auction completion is statistically favored
NeuralFlow operates on proprietary, institution-grade Artificial Intelligence models trained specifically to map statistical rebalancing behavior, not trader predictions or sentiment. No discretionary drawing. No correlations. No lagging overlays.
This engine updates only when underlying structure changes — not when candles fluctuate intraday.
⚠ Risk & Use Notice
NeuralFlow Forecast Engine™ provides AI-derived structural zones, not trade signals or financial advice.
Markets can behave outside modeled distributions, especially during macro catalysts, thin liquidity, or surprise volatility events.
By loading or using this indicator, the user acknowledges full responsibility for any trades or outcomes based on its interpretation.
Educational & analytical use only. Not financial advice
Sector Performance ProSector Performance Pro is a quantitative mean-reversion indicator designed to compare the relative performance of major U.S. equity sectors in a standardized and objective way.
The indicator analyzes a set of sector ETFs (XLP, XLU, XLRE, XLV, XLE, XLB, XLF, XLC, XLI, XLY, XLK) and converts their historical behavior into z-scores. For each sector, logarithmic returns and volatility are calculated over a user-defined lookback period (default: 252 bars, approximately one trading year on a daily chart). These values are then normalized using a normal distribution, allowing all sectors to be compared on the same statistical scale.
The plotted lines represent the log return z-scores of each sector. Positive values indicate above-average relative performance, while negative values indicate underperformance relative to the sector’s own historical distribution. Dashed volatility z-scores are calculated as well and can be enabled if additional risk context is desired.
Horizontal reference lines at ±1, ±2, and ±3 standard deviations (sigma levels) help identify statistically significant deviations. Extreme z-scores may highlight potential overbought or oversold conditions and possible mean-reversion opportunities.
This indicator is intended for market regime analysis, sector rotation strategies, and relative strength comparison, rather than precise entry or exit timing. It provides a high-level statistical view of how sectors are positioned relative to their historical norms.
Marketscannerpros Auto Fib Tool MarketScanner Pros Auto Fib Tool intelligently detects swing highs and lows in real-time and plots fully dynamic Fibonacci retracement and extension levels.
It automatically flips between up-legs and down-legs, locks onto current swings when needed, and even highlights the Golden Pocket Zone for high-probability reversal areas.
Core Features
✅ Automatic Swing Detection (uses customizable left/right pivot bars)
✅ Lock Current Swing mode – freeze the active fib while analyzing other setups
✅ Dynamic Retracements & Extensions (0 – 161.8 %)
✅ Golden Pocket Highlight (0.618 – 0.65 range)
✅ Real-time Alerts when key levels are touched (38.2 %, 50 %, 61.8 %)
✅ Adaptive labeling shows leg direction and price levels
✅ Perfect for trend reversals, retracement entries, and confluence zones
How to Use
1️⃣ Adjust Pivot Left and Pivot Right to control how far back the tool looks for major swings.
2️⃣ Leave Lock Current Swing off for automatic updates – enable it to freeze the current leg.
3️⃣ Watch for alerts when price hits key fib levels or the Golden Pocket Zone.
4️⃣ Use confluence with RSI, MACD, and Trend lines for higher-probability setups.
About MarketScanner Pros
MarketScanner Pros delivers next-gen technical tools for traders who demand precision and clarity. From automated fib analysis to multi-time-frame scanners and AI-driven signal engines, our goal is to empower you with data-driven edge and visual clarity directly on your chart.
🌐 Visit app.marketscannerpros.app
for the full suite of tools and community access.
Options SL/TP Price Projection Sim + Day Trading/Scalping Toolwww.tradingview.com
📌 What this indicator does
This indicator projects what your option contract will be worth when the stock reaches your Stop Loss or Take Profit — before price gets there.
Instead of guessing:
“How much will this option be worth if price hits my stop?”
“Is this move actually worth the risk in option dollars?”
You get instant, realistic option price estimates at your exact stock levels.
⚙️ How it works (simple but powerful)
The script uses a local delta + gamma approximation to estimate option price changes:
Delta → linear price sensitivity
Gamma → curvature for fast moves
Optional execution friction → realistic fills
Automatic Call / Put detection via delta sign
Enforced $0.01 minimum option price (real market behavior)
This is not a slow academic options model — it’s a trader-grade approximation designed for speed and clarity.
🚀 Designed specifically for DAY TRADING
This tool is optimized for:
Options scalping
Momentum trades
Breakouts & flushes
0DTE / weekly options
Holding times ~3–15 minutes
Why it excels here:
Delta + gamma dominate option pricing on fast moves
IV and theta usually don’t have time to fully reprice
You get actionable numbers, not theoretical noise
This is exactly the environment most option day traders operate in.
🧠 Key Features
✅ Projects option price at BOTH SL and TP
✅ Works for calls & puts automatically
✅ Enter any two stock levels — script assigns SL/TP correctly
✅ Clean, black HUD table (no clutter, no moving drawings)
✅ Non-draggable, stable price levels
✅ Minimal inputs — no overengineering
✅ Built for speed under pressure
🎯 Why this is effective
Most traders manage risk in stock points , but trade options .
This indicator bridges that gap.
It lets you:
Judge true risk/reward in option dollars
Avoid “looks good on the chart, bad on the premium”
Compare setups objectively
Size trades more intelligently
Make faster, more confident decisions
It’s especially useful when spreads, gamma, and fast tape make intuition unreliable.
🧼 Philosophy: Clean > Complicated
This script intentionally avoids:
Full Black-Scholes modeling
IV forecasting
Overloaded settings
Visual clutter
Instead, it focuses on what matters for day traders:
“If price gets here quickly, what should my option be worth?”
⚠️ Important Notes
Best accuracy for fast, clean moves
Not intended for multi-hour holds or swing trading
Assumes relatively stable IV over short horizons
Execution friction is configurable to match real fills
Used correctly, this becomes a powerful decision-support tool, not a prediction engine.
✅ Who this indicator is for
Options day traders
Scalpers
Momentum traders
Anyone trading options off stock price levels
If you trade options intraday and manage risk using stock levels, this tool was built exactly for you.
PsychFlowETHJudging trading behavior purely from a psychological perspective, without relying on technical indicators.
GruxxFX EMA Rejection + SMC Bias Kit (v6)new indicator / alert kit for ema20/50 rejection, stay in until alert tells you otherwise, move sl's to break even.
Yield Curve Inversion Indicator Will track the TVC:US10Y and TVC:US03MY spread, often followed for the "yield curve inversion" trade/indicator.
When an inversion occurs, which lasts a minimum of the defined days (default 10) the indicator will paint forward a warning period (default is 365 days).
The yield curve being inverted is not the signal, the REVERSION back to a positive curve is the associated signal, namely the following 12 months after a reversion. This is often used as an early warning of trouble in markets.
Hope this helpful for those who follow macro/internal warning signals.
ES1! H1 Stats+ES1! H1 Stats - Detailed Prob & Excursion Indicator
Overview
ES1! H1 Stats - Detailed Prob & Excursion is a specialized statistical overlay indicator for TradingView, tailored for E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES1!) on a 1-hour framework. It provides real-time insights into the probability of price returning to the hourly open after sweeping the previous hour’s high (PHH) or previous hour’s low (PHL), based on historical data segmented by hour (0–23) and 20-minute intervals. The indicator visualizes these sweeps with lines, labels, circles, background fills, and “excursion zones” (also called “Magic Boxes”) that highlight median/mean extensions post-sweep, along with percentile lines (75th / 90th / 95th) for gauging potential “pain” or extreme moves. This tool is designed for intraday S&P 500 traders focusing on liquidity sweeps and mean-reversion behavior, helping to quantify edge using empirical probabilities and excursion statistics.
The data is hardcoded from extensive historical analysis of ES1! behavior (e.g., probabilities ranging roughly from ~7% to ~91%, with sample sizes up to 2000+ per segment), making it a backtested reference rather than a dynamic learning model. It emphasizes visual clarity during active hours, with options to filter for Regular Trading Hours (RTH: 09:00–15:59 ET) or high-probability (>70%) events only. Note: This is an educational tool for analyzing market structure; it does not predict future performance or provide trading signals/advice. Past data does not guarantee future results, and users should backtest on current conditions (as of December 2025 data availability) and use at their own risk, in compliance with TradingView’s house rules.
Key Features
• Sweep Detection & Probability Labels: Identifies when price breaks PHH (upside) or PHL (downside), displaying a centered label with probability of returning to the hourly open, sample size (N), time of sweep, and a checkmark (✅) if the open is retested post-sweep.
• Visual Lines & Markers: Draws hourly open (h.o.), PHH, and PHL lines with customizable styles/colors; adds small circles on sweep bars for quick spotting.
• Breakout→Open Background Fill: Shaded zone from sweep bar until price returns to open, visualizing extension duration and retracement.
• Excursion (Pain) Zone - “Magic Box”: Post-sweep box showing median/mean extension percentages, colored dynamically by probability (green high, orange mid, red low); includes dashed lines for 75th/90th/95th percentiles to mark statistical extremes.
• Time-Segmented Data: Probabilities and excursions vary by hour (0–23) and 20-min segments (0–19 min: _0, 20–39: _1, 40–59: _2), capturing intraday nuances (e.g., higher probs in early/late hours).
• Filters for Focus: RTH-only mode hides non-session elements; high-prob-only shows >70% events to reduce noise.
• Alerts: Triggers on PHH/PHL sweeps with messages for chart checks.
How It Works
• Data Foundation: Uses pre-computed maps for probabilities (prob_high_taken/prob_low_taken), sample sizes, and excursions (mean, median, p75/p90/p95 as percentages of open). Data is initialized on the first bar via f_init_high_data() and f_init_low_data(), covering 24 hours with 3 segments each (e.g., key "9_1" for 09:20–09:39). Probabilities represent historical likelihood of price returning to open after sweep; excursions quantify average/rare extensions (e.g., 0.156% mean = 0.156% of open price).
• Period Detection: On new 1H bars (new_period_bar), resets visuals, draws lines for open/PHH/PHL extending 1 hour forward, and labels if enabled. Uses request.security on standard ticker for real OHLC, bypassing chart transformations (e.g., Heikin Ashi).
• Sweep Logic: On each bar, checks if real high > PHH or real low < PHL. If so, fetches segment-specific data (hour + floor(minute/20)), displays probability label centered mid-hour. Skips if filtered (RTH-only or <70% prob).
• Excursion Visualization: If enabled, draws “Magic Box” from 1-min to 58-min into the hour, bounded by mean/median levels (top/bottom adjusted for high/low sweep). Adds percentile lines with labels (e.g., “75%”) at right end. Box color reflects prob strength for quick bias assessment.
• Retest Check: Monitors for open retest post-sweep (high/low cross open, or gap scenarios from prev bar). Adds ✅ to label if hit on subsequent bars (skips sweep bar to avoid false positives). Stops background fill on retest or at 58-min mark.
• Background Fill: Activates on sweep, shades until retest, using user color.
• Cleanup & Performance: Manages labels in arrays, clears on new periods; no excess drawing beyond max counts (500 lines/labels/boxes).
This setup blends statistical backtesting with real-time visualization: hardcoded data provides empirical probabilities/excursions (reducing subjectivity in breakouts), while dynamic elements (lines, fills, boxes) overlay structure on the chart. It helps ES traders assess if a sweep is “high-edge” (e.g., >70% probability of reverting) or likely to run (low probability, high excursion), pairing historical context with current price action.
Settings and Customization
Inputs are grouped for ease:
Settings:
o Show RTH Only (9:00–15:59): Restricts to main session (default: false; tooltip: for RTH-focused stats).
o Show High Prob Only (>70%): Filters low-prob sweeps visually (default: false; tooltip: highlights confidence).
Visuals:
o Show Line Labels: Toggle “h.o.” / “phh” / “phl” (default: true).
o Period Open Line Color: Gray 50% (default).
o Previous High/Low Line Colors: Gray 100% (default).
o Open Line Style/Width: Dotted/1 (default; options: Solid/Dotted/Dashed).
Breakout→Open Background:
o Show Breakout→Open Background: Toggle fill (default: true).
o Fill Color: Teal 85% (default).
Breakout Circles:
o Show Breakout Circles: Toggle (default: true).
o PHH/PHL Break Circle Colors: White 20% (default).
Info Label Style:
o Text Size: Small (default; options: Auto/Tiny/Normal/Large/Huge).
o Label Text Color: White (default).
o Low/Mid/High Probability Colors: Red 20% / Orange 20% / Green 20% (default).
Excursion (Pain) Zone:
o Show Excursion Zone: Toggle Magic Box (default: true).
o Excursion Box Color: Gray 75% (default; dynamic overrides).
o 75th/90th/95th Percentile Lines: Orange 30% / Red 30% / Dark Red 100% (default).
No additional tables/plots; all elements are lines/labels/boxes for overlay focus.
Usage Tips
• Breakout Trading: Watch for sweeps with high probability (>70%, green label) as potential fades back to open; low probability (red) may signal runs—use the excursion box for targets (e.g., exit at 90th percentile for extremes).
• Time Awareness: Probabilities often peak in key liquidity windows and drop in quieter hours; segments capture momentum shifts (e.g., _2 often lower prob).
• RTH Focus: Enable for cleaner stats during high-liquidity session hours; disable for a 24-hour view.
• Visual Filtering: Use high-prob-only in volatile conditions to reduce noise; combine with volume or other confluence tools for confirmation.
• Alerts Integration: Set TradingView alerts on sweeps; check label for probability/N before acting.
• Chart Setup: Best on 1H or lower ES1! charts; adjust text size for readability on smaller screens.
• Backtesting: Manually review historical sweeps against data maps to validate; update hardcoded values if new data emerges (as of 2025).
Limitations
• Fixed Data: Hardcoded stats may not reflect recent market changes (e.g., post-2025 regime shifts); not adaptive.
• Reactive Only: Detects sweeps after they occur; no predictive signals.
• Timeframe Specific: Locked to 1H logic; may not translate to other assets/timeframes without recoding data.
• Visual Clutter: On busy charts, labels/boxes may overlap—toggle selectively.
• No Live Stats: Sample sizes are historical; real-time N/prob not updated.
• Gaps & Extremes: Handles gaps in retest logic, but rare events (e.g., macro news) may exceed the 95th percentile.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The hardcoded data represents past E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES1!) performance and does not guarantee future outcomes. No claims of profitability are made—results depend on market conditions, user strategy, and risk management. Consult a financial advisor before trading, and backtest extensively. Abiding by TradingView rules, this tool provides no investment recommendations.
6B1! H1 Stats+6B1! H1 Stats - Detailed Prob & Excursion Indicator
Overview
6B1! H1 Stats - Detailed Prob & Excursion is a specialized statistical overlay indicator for TradingView, tailored for British Pound futures (6B1!) on a 1-hour framework. It provides real-time insights into the probability of price returning to the hourly open after sweeping the previous hour’s high (PHH) or previous hour’s low (PHL), based on historical data segmented by hour (0–23) and 20-minute intervals. The indicator visualizes these sweeps with lines, labels, circles, background fills, and “excursion zones” (also called “Magic Boxes”) that highlight median/mean extensions post-sweep, along with percentile lines (75th / 90th / 95th) for gauging potential “pain” or extreme moves. This tool is designed for intraday British Pound traders focusing on liquidity sweeps and mean-reversion behavior, helping to quantify edge using empirical probabilities and excursion statistics.
The data is hardcoded from extensive historical analysis of 6B1! behavior (e.g., probabilities ranging roughly from ~7% to ~91%, with sample sizes up to 2000+ per segment), making it a backtested reference rather than a dynamic learning model. It emphasizes visual clarity during active hours, with options to filter for Regular Trading Hours (RTH: 09:00–15:59 ET) or high-probability (>70%) events only. Note: This is an educational tool for analyzing market structure; it does not predict future performance or provide trading signals/advice. Past data does not guarantee future results, and users should backtest on current conditions (as of December 2025 data availability) and use at their own risk, in compliance with TradingView’s house rules.
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Key Features
• Sweep Detection & Probability Labels: Identifies when price breaks PHH (upside) or PHL (downside), displaying a centered label with probability of returning to the hourly open, sample size (N), time of sweep, and a checkmark (✅) if the open is retested post-sweep.
• Visual Lines & Markers: Draws hourly open (h.o.), PHH, and PHL lines with customizable styles/colors; adds small circles on sweep bars for quick spotting.
• Breakout→Open Background Fill: Shaded zone from sweep bar until price returns to open, visualizing extension duration and retracement.
• Excursion (Pain) Zone - “Magic Box”: Post-sweep box showing median/mean extension percentages, colored dynamically by probability (green high, orange mid, red low); includes dashed lines for 75th/90th/95th percentiles to mark statistical extremes.
• Time-Segmented Data: Probabilities and excursions vary by hour (0–23) and 20-min segments (0–19 min: _0, 20–39: _1, 40–59: _2), capturing intraday nuances (e.g., higher probs in early/late hours).
• Filters for Focus: RTH-only mode hides non-session elements; high-prob-only shows >70% events to reduce noise.
• Alerts: Triggers on PHH/PHL sweeps with messages for chart checks.
________________________________________
How It Works
• Data Foundation: Uses pre-computed maps for probabilities (prob_high_taken/prob_low_taken), sample sizes, and excursions (mean, median, p75/p90/p95 as percentages of open). Data is initialized on the first bar via f_init_high_data() and f_init_low_data(), covering 24 hours with 3 segments each (e.g., key "9_1" for 09:20–09:39). Probabilities represent historical likelihood of price returning to open after sweep; excursions quantify average/rare extensions (e.g., 0.156% mean = 0.156% of open price).
• Period Detection: On new 1H bars (new_period_bar), resets visuals, draws lines for open/PHH/PHL extending 1 hour forward, and labels if enabled. Uses request.security on standard ticker for real OHLC, bypassing chart transformations (e.g., Heikin Ashi).
• Sweep Logic: On each bar, checks if real high > PHH or real low < PHL. If so, fetches segment-specific data (hour + floor(minute/20)), displays probability label centered mid-hour. Skips if filtered (RTH-only or <70% prob).
• Excursion Visualization: If enabled, draws “Magic Box” from 1-min to 58-min into the hour, bounded by mean/median levels (top/bottom adjusted for high/low sweep). Adds percentile lines with labels (e.g., “75%”) at right end. Box color reflects prob strength for quick bias assessment.
• Retest Check: Monitors for open retest post-sweep (high/low cross open, or gap scenarios from prev bar). Adds ✅ to label if hit on subsequent bars (skips sweep bar to avoid false positives). Stops background fill on retest or at 58-min mark.
• Background Fill: Activates on sweep, shades until retest, using user color.
• Cleanup & Performance: Manages labels in arrays, clears on new periods; no excess drawing beyond max counts (500 lines/labels/boxes).
This setup blends statistical backtesting with real-time visualization: hardcoded data provides empirical probabilities/excursions (reducing subjectivity in breakouts), while dynamic elements (lines, fills, boxes) overlay structure on the chart. It helps British Pound traders assess if a sweep is “high-edge” (e.g., >70% probability of reverting) or likely to run (low probability, high excursion), pairing historical context with current price action.
________________________________________
Settings and Customization
Inputs are grouped for ease:
1. Settings:
o Show RTH Only (9:00–15:59): Restricts to main session (default: false; tooltip: for RTH-focused stats).
o Show High Prob Only (>70%): Filters low-prob sweeps visually (default: false; tooltip: highlights confidence).
2. Visuals:
o Show Line Labels: Toggle “h.o.” / “phh” / “phl” (default: true).
o Period Open Line Color: Gray 50% (default).
o Previous High/Low Line Colors: Gray 100% (default).
o Open Line Style/Width: Dotted/1 (default; options: Solid/Dotted/Dashed).
3. Breakout→Open Background:
o Show Breakout→Open Background: Toggle fill (default: true).
o Fill Color: Teal 85% (default).
4. Breakout Circles:
o Show Breakout Circles: Toggle (default: true).
o PHH/PHL Break Circle Colors: White 20% (default).
5. Info Label Style:
o Text Size: Small (default; options: Auto/Tiny/Normal/Large/Huge).
o Label Text Color: White (default).
o Low/Mid/High Probability Colors: Red 20% / Orange 20% / Green 20% (default).
6. Excursion (Pain) Zone:
o Show Excursion Zone: Toggle Magic Box (default: true).
o Excursion Box Color: Gray 75% (default; dynamic overrides).
o 75th/90th/95th Percentile Lines: Orange 30% / Red 30% / Dark Red 100% (default).
No additional tables/plots; all elements are lines/labels/boxes for overlay focus.
________________________________________
Usage Tips
• Breakout Trading: Watch for sweeps with high probability (>70%, green label) as potential fades back to open; low probability (red) may signal runs—use the excursion box for targets (e.g., exit at 90th percentile for extremes).
• Time Awareness: Probabilities often peak in key liquidity windows and drop in quieter hours; segments capture momentum shifts (e.g., _2 often lower prob).
• RTH Focus: Enable for cleaner stats during high-liquidity session hours; disable for a 24-hour view.
• Visual Filtering: Use high-prob-only in volatile conditions to reduce noise; combine with volume or other confluence tools for confirmation.
• Alerts Integration: Set TradingView alerts on sweeps; check label for probability/N before acting.
• Chart Setup: Best on 1H or lower 6B1! charts; adjust text size for readability on smaller screens.
• Backtesting: Manually review historical sweeps against data maps to validate; update hardcoded values if new data emerges (as of 2025).
________________________________________
Limitations
• Fixed Data: Hardcoded stats may not reflect recent market changes (e.g., post-2025 regime shifts); not adaptive.
• Reactive Only: Detects sweeps after they occur; no predictive signals.
• Timeframe Specific: Locked to 1H logic; may not translate to other assets/timeframes without recoding data.
• Visual Clutter: On busy charts, labels/boxes may overlap—toggle selectively.
• No Live Stats: Sample sizes are historical; real-time N/prob not updated.
• Gaps & Extremes: Handles gaps in retest logic, but rare events (e.g., macro news) may exceed the 95th percentile.
________________________________________
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The hardcoded data represents past British Pound futures (6B1!) performance and does not guarantee future outcomes. No claims of profitability are made—results depend on market conditions, user strategy, and risk management. Consult a financial advisor before trading, and backtest extensively. Abiding by TradingView rules, this tool provides no investment recommendations.
SaLaSaLa V6 5m By Aleem MubarakThis strategy uses RSI-MA, Multi-timeframe crossing of RSI, Multi-timeframe crossing of MA and the Crossing of RSI with MA itself on the baseline timeframe (5 minutes), while the alignment timeframes are 15m, 1hr, 4hr.
It uses Bolinger Bands to filter out false breakouts and uses an adjustable step-wise trailing as the exit conditions, so for this reason the strategy has a trailing take profit.
This strategy works best on 5 minutes timeframe for scalpers.
You may find the backtesting result using the tester option on trading view.
Just Integrate your broker on Trading View and make the strategy pick trades automatically and watch your investment grow.
Credit to
Lux Algo, Techno Bloom for their indicators which was used as vision during checks
Aidous SuperTrader🔑 WHAT IT IS
Aidous SuperTrader is a fully-automized, all-in-one trend-following toolkit for TradingView.
It combines a volatility-adaptive Super-Trend engine with built-in risk-management (entry, stop-loss, up to 10 partial take-profits, breakeven and trailing-stop logic) and real-time visual guidance.
Once added to your chart you immediately see exact entry prices, SL, TP ladders and dynamic trailing levels without writing a single line of code yourself.
🎯 WHO IT IS FOR
• Day- and swing-traders who want to outsource trade mechanics and focus on discretion & market selection.
• Alert-bot users who need clean, JSON-formatted signals that any webhook/automation service can consume.
• Strategy-developers who require a robust, pre-vetted position-manager to pair with higher-time-frame filters of their choice.
📌 HOW TO USE IT (3-MINUTE SET-UP)
Add the indicator
‑ Click “Add to Chart” – the script is locked, so the code stays private.
Choose your risk profile in the settings panel
‑ Risk : Reward ratio (default 1.2)
‑ SL distance in ATRs (default 1.8)
‑ Number of partial TP levels 1-10 (default 3)
‑ Toggle “Move SL to entry after TP1” and/or “Trail after final TP” on/off.
Wait for a signal
‑ Green triangle = LONG, Red triangle = SHORT.
‑ Horizontal white line = entry; coloured dashed line = initial SL; stacked dashed lines = TP ladder.
Act or Automate
‑ Manual: place the exact prices shown on your broker.
‑ Automation: use the built-in alert messages – they already arrive in ready-to-send JSON
{"side":"buy","price":1234.56,"sym":"NASDAQ:AAPL","tf":"15"}
(works with any webhook, Telegram-bot, or trading bridge that ingests JSON).
⚙️ KEY FEATURES
✔ Volatility-adaptive confirmation – fewer false breakouts in choppy markets.
✔ Time-frame-aware multiplier – internally optimises Super-Trend factor for 3 m → 4 H without user input.
✔ Multi-step TP & automatic position sizing helpers (Risk box vs Reward box drawn on chart).
✔ Trailing stop that activates only after the last TP is hit – keeps you in the trend while protecting late gains.
✔ Clean visual feedback: candles colour with the active trend, hit levels are ticked ✔, SL hit is crossed ✖.
✔ Lightweight code – max 50 labels/lines, 25 boxes; runs lag-free on 1 m charts.
⚠️ BEFORE YOU GO LIVE
• The indicator shows hypothetical levels – it cannot place orders for you.
• Always back-test the default values on the instrument AND time-frame you trade; adjust ATR period, RR ratio and SL multiplier until the equity curve fits your style.
• Combine with higher-time-frame bias or fundamental filter to avoid counter-trend signals.
• Never risk more than you can afford to lose; past performance is not indicative of future results.
