CMI - Complex Momentum IndexDescription:
The Complex Momentum Index (CMI) is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to provide a multifaceted view of an asset's momentum and trend strength. It combines several key indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), and Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) differences, along with the asset's price percentage difference from its SMA. Each component is weighted and normalized, contributing to the overall CMI value, which is then smoothed with a moving average (either SMA or EMA) to provide clear signals.
Guide on How to Use:
Indicator Settings:
RSI Length: Adjust the period over which RSI is calculated.
Source: Choose the price type (e.g., close, open) used for RSI calculation.
CMF Length: Set the period for the CMF calculation.
SMA Lengths: Define two periods for calculating the moving averages and their percentage difference.
Timeframes for SMAs: Select the timeframes for calculating SMA differences and price percentage differences.
Weights: Assign importance to each component (RSI, CMF, SMA differences, and Price:SMA difference) through weights.
CMI MA Settings: Choose the type (SMA or EMA) and length of the moving average applied to the CMI.
CMI Target Matching Settings: Define a target value for CMI and a threshold for highlighting when CMI is near this target.
Understanding the Plots:
CMI: The main line, representing the composite index of momentum indicators.
CMI MA: The moving average of CMI, providing a smoothed trend line.
CMI % Difference from MA: Highlights the divergence between CMI and its moving average, which can signal momentum shifts.
CMF (scaled): A scaled version of the Chaikin Money Flow, indicating buying or selling pressure.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index, showing whether the asset is overbought or oversold.
SMA Difference %: The percentage difference between two SMAs, indicating the trend strength.
Price % Diff from SMA: The asset's price percentage difference from its SMA, showing its position relative to a typical value.
Using CMI for Trading Decisions:
Trend Identification: A rising CMI and CMI MA indicates strengthening upward momentum, while falling lines suggest increasing downward momentum.
Divergence: Look for divergences between the CMI and price. If the price is making new highs/lows but the CMI isn't, it might signal a potential reversal.
CMI Target Match: The background highlights when the CMI matches a specified target within a threshold, which can be used to identify potential entry or exit points.
CMI % Difference from MA: Large deviations from the moving average might indicate overextended prices, suggesting a potential pullback or bounce.
Tips:
Customize the weights and lengths based on the asset and your trading style. Different settings might work better for different market conditions.
Always confirm signals with additional analysis. No indicator works perfectly in all situations.
Consider the overall market context and news that might affect the asset's price.
Practice risk management and use stop-loss orders to protect your investments.
Decrease the weight of the RSI & MA's to put more emphasis on money flow while keeping that data in the plot.
Uncheck everything but CMI in the style page for visual clarity (can't do this in code)
المتوسطات المتحركة
Zero-lag Volatility-Breakout EMA Trend StrategyThis is a simple volatility-breakout strategy which uses the difference in two different zero-lag* EMAs (explained below on what exactly I mean by this) to track the upwards or downwards strength of an instrument. When the difference breaks above a Bollinger Band of a configurable standard deviation multiple, the strategy enters based off the direction of the base EMA used (i.e. if the difference breaks above and the current EMA is rising, a long entry is produced. If the difference breaks above and the current EMA is falling, a short entry is produced).
The two EMA-type metrics used to calculate the volatility difference are calculated by the following formula:
top_ema = math.max(src, ta.ema(src, length))
bottom_ema = math.min(src, ta.ema(src, length))
ema_difference = (top_ema - bottom_ema) - 1
This produces a difference which responds immediately to large price movements, instead of lagging if it used strictly the EMA itself.
SETTINGS
Source : The source of the strategy - close, hlc3, another indicator plot, etc.
EMA Difference Length : The length of both the EMA difference statistics and the base EMA used to calculate the entry side.
Standard Deviation Multiple : The Bollinger Bands multiple used when the difference is breaking out.
Use Binary Strategy : The strategy has two configurations: Binary and Rapid-Exit. 'Binary' means that it will not close a long position until a short position is generated, and vice-versa. 'Rapid-Exit' will close a long or short position once the difference reaches the middle Bollinger Band MA. This means that turning on 'Binary' will expose you to more market risk, but potentially greater market return. Turning off 'Binary' will exit quickly and reduce drawdown.
The strategy results below use 10% equity and 0.1% fees per trade.
ka66: Enhanced MACDThis is a more configurable MACD:
Allows various moving averages (EMA, SMA, Hull, WMA) instead of just EMA.
Better color coding for MACD line, rising vs. falling
Optional Normalised Scale; my pet peeve with standard MACD, that we can't really easily compare it across instruments. Taking a page from the ATR Percent indicator, we allow for normalising the MACD and Signal lines relative to Close: MACD / Close x 100. Ditto for the Signal line. This is really useful for reversal type scenarios, and to avoid ranging markets.
Threshold horizontal line markers to further support the use of the Normalised Scale. Simply configure this via the Style Settings.
CARNAC Magic DCAThe "CARNAC Magic DCA" indicator is designed for investors looking for the best opportunities for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA).
How it works:
The Carnac Dynamic DCA Threshold calculates a dynamic threshold for DCA entries using Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Average True Range (ATR), and the maximum distance from the EMA over a full lookback period, aiding in identifying optimal buy opportunities. It also only signals a DCA buying opportunity after a bearish candle, which helps lower the average DCA price.
Configurable Inputs:
EMA Start Length: Sets the initial length for the series of EMAs, affecting their sensitivity to price changes.
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation, influencing the dynamic DCA threshold's responsiveness to market volatility.
ATR Multiplier: Modifies the impact of the ATR on the DCA threshold, allowing for finer control over the threshold's sensitivity to volatility.
Start Calculation From: Enables setting a specific start date for calculations, tailoring the analysis to a particular trading period.
DCA Buy Signal Alert: Generates an alert when the price is below both the dynamic DCA threshold and the opening price, indicating a potential buy signal based on DCA strategy.
Ten EMAs: Carnac Magic DCA includes a ten EMA plot, which decrease in length from the user-defined starting length, offering a multi-layered trend analysis.
EMA Color Coding: The sequential arrangement of EMAs is visually represented through color coding, facilitating quick trend recognition.
Average Buy Price Analysis: Calculates and displays the average buy price and its percentage difference from the average closing price since the user-defined start date, helping assess the strategy’s effectiveness compared to traditional DCA methods (purchasing at the close of every candle).
Visual Indicators and Labels: Includes visual alerts for buy signals and informative labels showing average buy prices and related statistics.
PlayBit EMAPlayBit EMA Indicator
Introducing the PlayBit EMA, a highly esteemed technical analysis tool within the PlayBit Community and a personal favorite of Bitcoin Playboy. This indicator has cemented its place as a staple among traders for its simplicity and effectiveness.
Key Features:
PB EMA: Utilizes two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify support and resistance zones and help identify potential reversal points.
Dynamic Fill Color:
The fill color will change based on if the closing price is above, below, or in between.
This indicator is not only a reflection of market dynamics but also an essential tool for traders looking to make informed decisions based on the relationship between price action and moving averages. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, the PlayBit EMA is an invaluable addition to your trading arsenal.
CARNAC Elasticity IndicatorThe CARNAC Elasticity Indicator (EI) is a technical analysis tool designed for traders and investors using TradingView. It calculates the percentage deviation of the current price from an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in a financial instrument.
Key Features:
EMA Length: Users can customize the length of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) used in the calculations by adjusting the "EMA Length" parameter in the indicator settings.
Percentage Deviation: The indicator calculates the percentage deviation of the current price from the EMA. Positive values indicate prices above the EMA, while negative values indicate prices below the EMA.
Maximum Deviations: The indicator tracks the maximum positive (above EMA) and negative (below EMA) percentage deviations over time, allowing traders to monitor extreme price movements.
Bands: Upper and lower bands are displayed on the indicator chart at 100 and -100, respectively. Additionally, dashed middle bands at 50 and -50 provide reference points for moderate deviations.
Dynamic Color Coding: The indicator uses dynamic color coding to highlight the current percentage deviation. It turns red for values above 50 (indicating potential overbought conditions), green for values below -50 (indicating potential oversold conditions), and purple for values in between.
How to Use:
Overbought Conditions: Watch for the percentage deviation to cross above 50, indicating potential overbought conditions. This might be a signal to consider selling or taking profits.
Oversold Conditions: Look for the percentage deviation to cross below -50, signaling potential oversold conditions. This could be an opportunity to consider buying or entering a long position.
Historical Extremes: Keep an eye on the upper and lower bands (100 and -100) to identify historical extremes in percentage deviation.
The CARNAC Elasticity Indicator can be a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential trend reversals and assess the strength of price movements. However, it should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies for comprehensive trading decisions.
Sigmoidal Candle Count Risk (SCCR)Sigmoidal Candle Count Risk (SCCR)
This indicator is designed to identify potential reversal levels based on the number of consecutive candles moving in the same direction. Its core premise is based on the sequence of consecutive candles moving in uniform. The assumption is that an increasing sequence of consecutive candles heightens the likelihood of a reversal.
Functionality:
It uses the sigmoid function to translate the difference between bullish (upward) and bearish (downward) candle counts into a risk value ranging from 0 (low risk, bullish sentiment) to 1 (high risk, bearish sentiment)
1/(1+math.exp(-((usum+dsum)/2)))
Additionally, it uses a symmetrically weighted moving average for smoothing.
ta.swma()
Market Average TrendThis indicator aims to be complimentary to SPDR Tracker , but I've adjusted the name as I've been able to utilize the "INDEX" data provider to support essentially every US market.
This is a breadth market internal indicator that allows quick review of strength given the 5, 20, 50, 100, 150 and 200 simple moving averages. Each can be toggled to build whatever combinations are desired, I recommend reviewing classic combinations such as 5 & 20 as well as 50 & 200.
It's entirely possible that I've missed some markets that "INDEX" provides data for, if you find any feel free to drop a comment and I'll add support for them in an update.
Markets currently supported:
S&P 100
S&P 500
S&P ENERGIES
S&P INFO TECH
S&P MATERIALS
S&P UTILITIES
S&P FINANCIALS
S&P REAL ESTATE
S&P CON STAPLES
S&P HEALTH CARE
S&P INDUSTRIALS
S&P TELECOM SRVS
S&P CONSUMER DISC
S&P GROWTH
NAS 100
NAS COMP
DOW INDUSTRIAL
DOW COMP
DOW UTILITIES
DOW TRANSPORTATION
RUSSELL 1000
RUSSELL 2000
RUSSELL 3000
You can utilize this to watch stocks for dip buys or potential trend continuation entries, short entries, swing exits or numerous other portfolio management strategies.
If using it with stocks, it's advisable to ensure the stock often follows the index, otherwise obviously it's great to use with major indexes and determine holdings sentiment.
Important!
The "INDEX" data provider only supplies updates to all of the various data feeds at the end of day, I've noticed quite some delays even after market close and not taken time to review their actual update schedule (if even published). Therefore, it's strongly recommended to mostly ignore the last value in the series until it's the day after.
Only works on daily timeframes and above, please don't comment that it's not working if on other timeframes lower than daily :)
Feedback and suggestions are always welcome, enjoy!
The Flash-Strategy with Minervini Stage Analysis QualifierThe Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR) with Minervini Stage Analysis Qualifier
Introduction
Welcome to a comprehensive guide on a cutting-edge trading strategy I've developed, designed for the modern trader seeking an edge in today's dynamic markets. This strategy, which I've honed through my years of experience in the trading arena, stands out for its unique blend of technical analysis and market intuition, tailored specifically for use on the TradingView platform.
As a trader with a deep passion for the financial markets, my journey began several years ago, driven by a relentless pursuit of a trading methodology that is both effective and adaptable. My background in trading spans various market conditions and asset classes, providing me with a rich tapestry of experiences from which to draw. This strategy is the culmination of that journey, embodying the lessons learned and insights gained along the way.
The cornerstone of this strategy lies in its ability to generate precise long signals in a Stage 2 uptrend and equally accurate short signals in a Stage 4 downtrend. This approach is rooted in the principles of trend following and momentum trading, harnessing the power of key indicators such as the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). What sets this strategy apart is its meticulous design, which allows it to adapt to the ever-changing market conditions, providing traders with a robust tool for navigating both bullish and bearish scenarios.
This strategy was born out of a desire to create a trading system that is not only highly effective in identifying potential trade setups but also straightforward enough to be implemented by traders of varying skill levels. It's a reflection of my belief that successful trading hinges on clarity, precision, and disciplined execution. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just beginning your journey, this guide aims to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of how to harness the full potential of this strategy in your trading endeavors.
In the following sections, we will delve deeper into the mechanics of the strategy, its implementation, and how to make the most out of its features. Join me as we explore the nuances of a strategy that is designed to elevate your trading to the next level.
Stage-Specific Signal Generation
A distinctive feature of this trading strategy is its focus on generating long signals exclusively during Stage 2 uptrends and short signals during Stage 4 downtrends. This approach is based on the widely recognized market cycle theory, which divides the market into four stages: Stage 1 (accumulation), Stage 2 (uptrend), Stage 3 (distribution), and Stage 4 (downtrend). By aligning the signal generation with these specific stages, the strategy aims to capitalize on the most dynamic and clear-cut market movements, thereby enhancing the potential for profitable trades.
1. Long Signals in Stage 2 Uptrends
• Characteristics of Stage 2: Stage 2 is characterized by a strong uptrend, where prices are consistently rising. This stage typically follows a period of accumulation (Stage 1) and is marked by increased investor interest and bullish sentiment in the market.
• Criteria for Long Signal Generation: Long signals are generated during this stage when the technical indicators align with the characteristics of a Stage 2 uptrend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: By focusing on Stage 2 for long trades, the strategy seeks to enter positions during the phase of strong upward momentum, thus riding the wave of rising prices and investor optimism. This stage-specific approach minimizes exposure to less predictable market phases, like the consolidation in Stage 1 or the indecision in Stage 3.
2. Short Signals in Stage 4 Downtrends
• Characteristics of Stage 4: Stage 4 is identified by a pronounced downtrend, with declining prices indicating prevailing bearish sentiment. This stage typically follows the distribution phase (Stage 3) and is characterized by increasing selling pressure.
• Criteria for Short Signal Generation: Short signals are generated in this stage when the indicators reflect a strong bearish trend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: Targeting Stage 4 for shorting capitalizes on the market's downward momentum. This tactic aligns with the natural market cycle, allowing traders to exploit the downward price movements effectively. By doing so, the strategy avoids the potential pitfalls of shorting during the early or late stages of the market cycle, where trends are less defined and more susceptible to reversals.
In conclusion, the strategy’s emphasis on stage-specific signal generation is a testament to its sophisticated understanding of market dynamics. By tailoring the long and short signals to Stages 2 and 4, respectively, it leverages the most compelling phases of the market cycle, offering traders a clear and structured approach to aligning their trades with dominant market trends.
Strategy Overview
At the heart of this trading strategy is a philosophy centered around capturing market momentum and trend efficiency. The core objective is to identify and capitalize on clear uptrends and downtrends, thereby allowing traders to position themselves in sync with the market's prevailing direction. This approach is grounded in the belief that aligning trades with these dominant market forces can lead to more consistent and profitable outcomes.
The strategy is built on three foundational components, each playing a critical role in the decision-making process:
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index): The Momentum-RSI is a pivotal element of this strategy. It's an enhanced version of the traditional RSI, fine-tuned to better capture the strength and velocity of market trends. By measuring the speed and change of price movements, the Momentum-RSI provides invaluable insights into whether a market is potentially overbought or oversold, suggesting possible entry and exit points. This indicator is especially effective in filtering out noise and focusing on substantial market moves.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover: The EMA Crossover is a crucial component for trend identification. This strategy employs two EMAs with different timeframes to determine the market trend. When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, it signals an emerging uptrend, suggesting a potential long entry. Conversely, a crossover below indicates a possible downtrend, hinting at a short entry opportunity. This simple yet powerful tool is key in confirming trend directions and timing market entries.
3. ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is instrumental in assessing market volatility. This indicator helps in understanding the average range of price movements over a given period, thus providing a sense of how much a market might move on a typical day. In this strategy, the ATR is used to adjust stop-loss levels and to gauge the potential risk and reward of trades. It allows for more informed decisions by aligning trade management techniques with the current volatility conditions.
The synergy of these three components – the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR – creates a robust framework for this trading strategy. By combining momentum analysis, trend identification, and volatility assessment, the strategy offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the markets. Whether it's capturing a strong trend in its early stages or identifying a potential reversal, this strategy aims to provide traders with the tools and insights needed to make well-informed, strategically sound trading decisions.
Detailed Component Analysis
The efficacy of this trading strategy hinges on the synergistic functioning of its three key components: the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). Each component brings a unique perspective to the strategy, contributing to a well-rounded approach to market analysis.
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Definition and Function: The Momentum-RSI is a modified version of the classic Relative Strength Index. While the traditional RSI measures the velocity and magnitude of directional price movements, the Momentum-RSI amplifies aspects that reflect trend strength and momentum.
• Significance in Identifying Trend Strength: This indicator excels in identifying the strength behind a market's move. A high Momentum-RSI value typically indicates strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential continuation of an uptrend. Conversely, a low Momentum-RSI value signals strong bearish momentum, possibly indicative of an ongoing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: In this strategy, the Momentum-RSI is used to gauge the underlying strength of market trends. It helps in filtering out minor fluctuations and focusing on significant movements, providing a clearer picture of the market's true momentum.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover
• Definition and Function: The EMA Crossover component utilizes two exponential moving averages of different timeframes. Unlike simple moving averages, EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them more responsive to new information.
• Contribution to Market Direction: The interaction between the short-term and long-term EMAs is key to determining market direction. A crossover of the shorter EMA above the longer EMA is an indicator of an emerging uptrend, while a crossover below signals a developing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: The EMA Crossover serves as a trend confirmation tool. It provides a clear, visual representation of the market's direction, aiding in the decision-making process for entering long or short positions. This component ensures that trades are aligned with the prevailing market trend, a crucial factor for the success of the strategy.
3. ATR (Average True Range)
• Definition and Function: The ATR is an indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified period.
• Role in Assessing Market Volatility: The ATR provides insights into the typical market movement within a given timeframe, offering a measure of the market's volatility. Higher ATR values indicate increased volatility, while lower values suggest a calmer market environment.
• Application in Strategy: Within this strategy, the ATR is instrumental in tailoring risk management techniques, particularly in setting stop-loss levels. By accounting for the market's volatility, the ATR ensures that stop-loss orders are placed at levels that are neither too tight (risking premature exits) nor too loose (exposing to excessive risk).
In summary, the combination of Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR in this trading strategy provides a comprehensive toolkit for market analysis. The Momentum-RSI identifies the strength of market trends, the EMA Crossover confirms the market direction, and the ATR guides in risk management by assessing volatility. Together, these components form the backbone of a strategy designed to navigate the complexities of the financial markets effectively.
1. Signal Generation Process
• Combining Indicators: The strategy operates by synthesizing signals from the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR indicators. Each indicator serves a specific purpose: the Momentum-RSI gauges trend momentum, the EMA Crossover identifies the trend direction, and the ATR assesses the market’s volatility.
• Criteria for Signal Validation: For a signal to be considered valid, it must meet specific criteria set by each of the three indicators. This multi-layered approach ensures that signals are not only based on one aspect of market behavior but are a result of a comprehensive analysis.
2. Conditions for Long Positions
• Uptrend Confirmation: A long position signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, indicating an uptrend.
• Momentum-RSI Alignment: Alongside the EMA crossover, the Momentum-RSI should indicate strong bullish momentum. This is typically represented by the Momentum-RSI being at a high level, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
• ATR Consideration: The ATR is used to fine-tune the entry point and set an appropriate stop-loss level. In a low volatility scenario, as indicated by the ATR, the stop-loss can be set tighter, closer to the entry point.
3. Conditions for Short Positions
• Downtrend Confirmation: Conversely, a short position signal is indicated when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, signaling a downtrend.
• Momentum-RSI Confirmation: The Momentum-RSI should reflect strong bearish momentum, usually seen when the Momentum-RSI is at a low level. This confirms the bearish strength of the market.
• ATR Application: The ATR again plays a role in determining the stop-loss level for the short position. Higher volatility, as indicated by a higher ATR, would warrant a wider stop-loss to accommodate larger market swings.
By adhering to these mechanics, the strategy aims to ensure that each trade is entered with a high probability of success, aligning with the market’s current momentum and trend. The integration of these indicators allows for a holistic market analysis, providing traders with clear and actionable signals for both entering and exiting trades.
Customizable Parameters in the Strategy
Flexibility and adaptability are key features of this trading strategy, achieved through a range of customizable parameters. These parameters allow traders to tailor the strategy to their individual trading style, risk tolerance, and specific market conditions. By adjusting these parameters, users can fine-tune the strategy to optimize its performance and align it with their unique trading objectives. Below are the primary parameters that can be customized within the strategy:
1. Momentum-RSI Settings
• Period: The lookback period for the Momentum-RSI can be adjusted. A shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer period smoothens the RSI line, offering a broader view of the momentum.
• Overbought/Oversold Thresholds: Users can set their own overbought and oversold levels, which can help in identifying extreme market conditions more precisely according to their trading approach.
2. EMA Crossover Settings
• Timeframes for EMAs: The strategy uses two EMAs with different timeframes. Traders can modify these timeframes, choosing shorter periods for a more responsive approach or longer periods for a more conservative one.
• Source Data: The choice of price data (close, open, high, low) used in calculating the EMAs can be varied depending on the trader’s preference.
3. ATR Settings
• Lookback Period: Adjusting the lookback period for the ATR impacts how the indicator measures volatility. A longer period may provide a more stable but less responsive measure, while a shorter period offers quicker but potentially more erratic readings.
• Multiplier for Stop-Loss Calculation: This parameter allows traders to set how aggressively or conservatively they want their stop-loss to be in relation to the ATR value.
Here are the standard settings:
Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry by HedgerLabsThe "Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry" strategy, designed by HedgerLabs, is an advanced TradingView strategy script focusing on the mean reversion technique in financial markets. This strategy is engineered for traders who prefer a systematic approach with an emphasis on incremental entries based on price movements relative to a moving average.
Key Features:
Moving Average Based Strategy: Central to this strategy is the simple moving average (SMA), around which all trade entries and exits revolve. Traders can customize the MA length, making it flexible for various trading styles and timeframes.
Incremental Entry Mechanism: Unique to this strategy is the incremental entry system. The strategy initiates an initial trade when the price deviates from the MA by a specified percentage. Subsequent entries are made at incremental steps, defined by the trader, as the price moves further away from the MA. This method can potentially capitalize on increasing market volatility.
Dynamic Position Management: The strategy intelligently manages positions by entering long when the price is below the MA and short when above, allowing for adaptive positioning in different market conditions.
Automated Exit Logic: Exit points are determined when the price touches the MA, aiming to close positions at potential reversal points for optimized trade outcomes.
Continuous Market Analysis: With 'calc_on_every_tick' enabled, the strategy constantly evaluates market conditions, ensuring prompt reaction to price movements.
Usage Scenario:
This strategy is particularly beneficial in markets exhibiting mean-reverting behavior. It is suitable for traders focusing on swing trading or those who prefer to scale into positions during periods of high volatility.
Disclaimer:
Please remember that this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries risks, including the potential loss of capital. We advise doing your own research and consulting with a financial expert before making any investment decisions.
Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry Alerts by HedgerLabsThe "Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry Alerts" is a sophisticated TradingView indicator designed by HedgerLabs. It's built on the concept of mean reversion, a fundamental trading strategy in financial markets. This indicator is tailored for traders seeking systematic and disciplined entry points in volatile markets.
Key Features:
Moving Average (MA) Based: At its core, the indicator utilizes a simple moving average (SMA) as the baseline for mean reversion. You can customize the length of the MA according to your trading style.
Initial Entry Conditions: The script generates initial buy and sell alerts based on a defined percentage deviation from the moving average. This approach allows traders to enter trades at points where the price significantly deviates from its mean, potentially signaling a reversion opportunity.
Buy and Sell Signals: Clear visual cues are provided for buy and sell positions, making it easy to interpret and act upon the signals.
Close Conditions: In addition to entry signals, the indicator also plots closing signals (green and red crosses) when the price touches the moving average. This feature assists in timely exits from positions, aiming to optimize trade outcomes.
Alert System: Integrated alert conditions notify you when a new buy or sell order condition is met, as well as when to close existing positions. This ensures you never miss an opportunity or an exit point.
Usage Scenario:
This indicator is particularly useful in markets where prices tend to revert to a mean value over time. It's ideal for day traders who focus on asset price volatility.
Disclaimer:
Please note that this tool is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk, including the potential loss of principal. We recommend conducting your research and consulting with a financial expert before making any investment decisions.
Optimized Alligator RateA less conventional way of utilizing the "Williams Alligator," the Optimized Rate uses the rate of change of the averages within the Alligator in order to potentially forecast with greater accuracy. The true optimization comes from the calculation of the "McGinley Dynamic" to create zero lag smoothed moving averages. It's important to note the standard Alligator has always used the SMMA. Lastly, divergence between the rates has been calculated in plotting for clarification.
Mean Reversion Watchlist [Z score]Hi Traders !
What is the Z score:
The Z score measures a values variability factor from the mean, this value is denoted by z and is interpreted as the number of standard deviations from the mean.
The Z score is often applied to the normal distribution to “standardize” the values; this makes comparison of normally distributed random variables with different units possible.
This popular reversal based indicator makes an assumption that the sample distribution (in this case the sample of price values) is normal, this allows for the interpretation that values with an extremely high or low percentile or “Z” value will likely be reversal zones.
This is because in the population data (the true distribution) which is known, anomaly values are very rare, therefore if price were to take a z score factor of 3 this would mean that price lies 3 standard deviations from the mean in the positive direction and is in the ≈99% percentile of all values. We would take this as a sign of a negative reversal as it is very unlikely to observe a consecutive equal to or more extreme than this percentile or Z value.
The z score normalization equation is given by
In Pine Script the Z score can be computed very easily using the below code.
// Z score custom function
Zscore(source, lookback) =>
sma = ta.sma(source, lookback)
stdev = ta.stdev(source, lookback, true)
zscore = (source - sma) / stdev
zscore
The Indicator:
This indicator plots the Z score for up to 20 different assets ( Note the maximum is 40 however the utility of 40 plots in one indicator is not much, there is a diminishing marginal return of the number of plots ).
Z score threshold levels can also be specified, the interpretation is the same as stated above.
The timeframe can also be fixed, by toggling the “Time frame lock” user input under the “TIME FRAME LOCK” user input group ( Note this indicator does not repain t).
Blockunity Excess Index (BEI)Identify excess zones resulting in market reversals by visualizing price deviations from an average.
The Excess Index (BEI) is designed to identify excess zones resulting in reversals, based on price deviations from a moving average. This moving average is fully customizable (type, period to be taken into account, etc.). This indicator also multiplies the moving average with a configurable coefficient, to give dynamic support and resistance levels. Finally, the BEI also provides reversal signals to alert you to any risk of trend change, on any asset.
The Idea
The goal is to provide the community with a visual and customizable tool for analyzing large price deviations from an average.
How to Use
Very simple to use, this indicator plots colored zones according to the price's deviation from the moving average. Moving average extensions also provide dynamic support and resistance. Finally, signals alert you to potential reversal points.
Elements
The Moving Average
The Moving Average, which defaults to a gray line over 200 periods, serves as a stable reference point. It is accompanied by an Index, whose color varies from yellow to orange to red, offering an overview of market conditions.
Extensions
These dynamic lines can be used to determine effective supports and resistances.
Signals
Green and red triangles serve as clear indicators for buy and sell signals.
Settings
Mainly, the type of moving average is configurable. The default is an SMA.
A Simple Moving Average (SMA) calculates the average of a selected range of prices by the number of periods in that range.
But you can also, for example, switch the mode to EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a moving average that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points:
You also have WMA.
A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) gives more weight on recent data and less on past data:
And finally, the possibility of having a PCMA.
PCMA takes into account the highest and lowest points in the lookback period and divides this by two to obtain an average:
You can change other parameters such as lookback periods, as well as the coefficient used to define extension lines.
You can refer to the tooltips directly in the indicator parameters.
For those who prefer a minimalist display, you can activate a "Bar Color" in the settings (You must also uncheck "Borders" and "Wick" in your Chart Settings), and deactivate all other elements as you wish:
Finally, you can customize all the different colors, as well as the parameters of the table that indicates the Index value and the asset trend.
How it Works
The Index is calculated using the following method:
abs_distance = math.abs(close - base_ma)
bei = (abs_distance - ta.lowest(abs_distance, lookback_norm)) / (ta.highest(abs_distance, lookback_norm) - ta.lowest(abs_distance, lookback_norm)) * 100
Signals are triggered according to the following conditions:
A Long (buy) signal is triggered when the Index falls below 100, when the closing price is lower than 5 periods ago, and when the price is under the moving average.
A Short (sell) signal is triggered when the Index falls below 100, when the closing price is greater than 5 periods ago, and when the price is above the moving average.
ATR & RSI ConfluenceIntroducing the "Confluence Strategy": Your Go-To for Savvy Trading!
1.ATR Trailing Stop - Your Market Volatility Compass:
What's ATR? Think of it as the pulse of market excitement. It measures how wildly prices are swinging.
ATR Trailing Stop: This is where the magic happens. Picture it as a dynamic line that dances with the price. When the market climbs, it climbs; when the market drops, it drops. It's your trend-tailored safety net, ensuring you ride the waves but bail before the tide turns!
2. RSI - The Market's Mood Ring:
RSI Lowdown: It's like a speedometer for price moves. Ranges from 0 to 100 – the closer to 100, the more it hints that prices might take a breather (overbought), and the closer to 0, the more it suggests prices might jump back up (oversold).
RSI Filter in Action: We're flipping the script here. No selling if the market's not in the oversold zone, and no buying if it's not feeling overbought. We're after that sweet momentum!
3. HEMA and Hull EMA - Your Trend Trackers:
HEMA & Hull EMA: These aren't your grandpa's moving averages. They're faster, sharper, and ready to catch the latest price trends. Like a hawk eyeing its prey, they zero in on the latest market moves.
4. Buy/Sell Signals - Where the Thrill Happens:
Buying (LONG): It's go-time when:
The price is strutting above HEMA.
RSI is strutting its stuff above the overbought catwalk.
ATR trailing stop is nodding along with an uptrend.
And hey, you're not already riding the long wave.
Selling (SHORT): You make your move when:
The price is dipping below HEMA.
RSI is lurking below the oversold alley.
ATR trailing stop is signaling a downhill.
And you're not already surfing the short tide.
How to Rock this Strategy:
New traders, tune in! This strategy's like a symphony of indicators – trend (HEMA and Hull EMA), momentum (RSI), and market volatility (ATR) – all harmonizing to cue your entry points. It's about syncing with the market's rhythm to up your trade game.
Absolutely, let's fine-tune it to a snappier beat:
Rock Your Trades with "Confluence Strategy," MACD & Volume Oscillator!
🔥 MACD: Set at 72/144 for a Smooth Groove:
Think of MACD (72/144 settings) as your market groove detector. It's calibrated to catch longer-term trends and momentum, perfect for harmonizing with our "Confluence Strategy." This setting helps smooth out market noise, giving you a clearer picture of the trend.
🎛️ Volume Oscillator: Your 0% Beat Check:
The Volume Oscillator is your go-to for checking the market's pulse. It's simple: look for it to be above 0% when considering a trade. This indicates that the market is vibing with enough volume to support your move, adding an extra layer of confidence to your strategy.
🚀 Trading Symphony:
Together, "Confluence Strategy," MACD (72/144), and a positive Volume Oscillator create a powerful trio. They align your trades with the market's rhythm and volume energy, setting you up for potentially harmonious and profitable trades.
Remember, the best tunes are played with practice. Test this setup, feel its rhythm, and when you're ready, let your trades sing on the market charts!
SMA Direction Cross Currency SummaryThis script shows the average SMA direction of each of the majors and crosses when compared to each other. The more blocks to the right the stronger the currency on that timeframe. The more blocks to the left the weaker the currency.
I'm finding it useful to quickly know the average flow of movement for each currency on the higher timeframes and then focus on that for a daily trade. I also like how i dont have to keep jumping between instruments to stay upto date. I'm not a 'real' trader so I have very limited time and attention for this so this does the job as a crude replacement for trawling all the chart each day.
The currencies compared are:
-NZD
-AUD
-JPY
-CHF
-EUR
-GBP
-CAD
-USD
The way it is calculated is that its based on the 20 SMA. For each currency vs the other crosses:
if the SMA is pointing up and price is higher = +2
if the SMA is pointing up and price is lower = +1
if the SMA is pointing down and price is higher = -2
if the SMA is pointing down and price is lower = -1
So if we where considering GBP. We would do that for GBPNZD, GBPAUD, GBPPJY, GBPCHF, GBPEUR, GBPCAD, GBPUSD. We would then consider this sum against all the currencies to understand the relative strength.
Due to the limit on how many instruments can be called in a single indicated you need to load it for each currencies so 8 currencies = 8 indicators.
Its a bit of a frankinstien script - it just throw it togeather so its probably got redundant code etc. Its built around 20 SMA - no idea what would happens when you change that.
Trailing Stop-Loss Indicator (FinnoVent)The Dynamic 9 EMA Trailing Stop-Loss Indicator is a specialized tool designed for the TradingView community to enhance risk management in trading. This script dynamically adjusts a trailing stop-loss level based on the position of the price relative to a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), offering traders a systematic approach to protect potential profits and limit downside risk.
Functionality:
Adaptive Trailing Stop: The indicator calculates a trailing stop-loss that adjusts with the 9 EMA, providing a responsive method to secure gains or prevent extensive losses.
EMA Trend Indicator: The 9-period EMA serves as a momentum indicator, with the script adjusting the trailing stop-loss accordingly — above the EMA for short positions and below for long positions.
Entry Signal Visualization: Entry signals are visualized on the chart, indicating potential long and short positions based on price crossovers with the EMA.
Application:
This indicator is ideal for traders who utilize technical analysis to make informed decisions. By automatically adjusting the stop-loss level to the evolving market conditions, it is particularly useful for:
Day traders looking to capitalize on short-term price movements.
Swing traders aiming to secure positions during more extended market waves.
Any trading strategy that benefits from dynamic stop-loss management.
Usage:
To use the indicator, simply add it to your TradingView chart, and it will automatically plot the trailing stop levels. The green and red lines represent the trailing stops for long and short positions, respectively, providing clear visual cues for potential exit points.
Compliance with TradingView House Rules:
This script is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. It is a unique creation that has been developed to contribute to the TradingView community by offering a tool that helps traders manage their trades more effectively.
Christmas Toolkit [LuxAlgo]It's that time of the year... and what would be more appropriate than displaying Christmas-themed elements on your chart?
The Christmas Toolkit displays a tree containing elements affected by various technical indicators. If you're lucky, you just might also find a precious reindeer trotting toward the tree, how fancy!
🔶 USAGE
Each of the 7 X-mas balls is associated with a specific condition.
Each ball has a color indicating:
lime: very bullish
green: bullish
blue: holding the same position or sideline
red: bearish
darkRed: very bearish
From top to bottom:
🔹 RSI (length 14)
rsi < 20 - lime (+2 points)
rsi < 30 - green (+1 point)
rsi > 80 - darkRed (-2 points)
rsi > 70 - red (-1 point)
else - blue
🔹 Stoch (length 14)
stoch < 20 - lime (+2 points)
stoch < 30 - green (+1 point)
stoch > 80 - darkRed (-2 points)
stoch > 70 - red (-1 point)
else - blue
🔹 close vs. ema (length 20)
close > ema 20 - green (+1 point)
else - red (-1 point)
🔹 ema (length 20)
ema 20 rises - green (+1 point)
else - red (-1 point)
🔹 ema (length 50)
ema 50 rises - green (+1 point)
else - red (-1 point)
🔹 ema (length 100)
ema 100 rises - green (+1 point)
else - red (-1 point)
🔹 ema (length 200)
ema 200 rises - green (+1 point)
else - red (-1 point)
The above information can also be found on the right side of the tree.
You'll see the conditions associated with the specific X-mas ball and the meaning of color changes. This can also be visualized by hovering over the labels.
All values are added together, this result is used to color the star at the top of the tree, with a specific color indicating:
lime: very bullish (> 6 points)
green: bullish (6 points)
blue: holding the same position or sideline
red: bearish (-6 points)
darkRed: very bearish (< -6 points)
Switches to green/lime or red/dark red can be seen by the fallen stars at the bottom.
The Last Switch indicates the latest green/lime or red/dark red color (not blue)
🔶 ANIMATION
Randomly moving snowflakes are added to give it a wintry character.
There are also randomly moving stars in the tree.
Garland rotations, style, and color can be adjusted, together with the width and offset of the tree, put your tree anywhere on your chart!
Disabling the "static tree" setting will make the needles 'move'.
Have you happened to see the precious reindeer on the right? This proud reindeer moves towards the most recent candle. Who knows what this reindeer might be bringing to the tree?
🔶 SETTINGS
Width: Width of tree.
Offset: Offset of the tree.
Garland rotations: Amount of rotations, a high number gives other styles.
Color/Style: sets the color & style of garland stars.
Needles: sets the needle color.
Static Tree: Allows the tree needles to 'move' with each tick.
Reindeer Speed: Controls how fast the deer moves toward the most recent bar.
🔶 MESSAGE FROM THE LUXALGO TEAM
It has been an honor to contribute to the TradingView community and we are always so happy to see your supportive messages on our scripts.
We have posted a total of 78 script publications this year, which is no small feat & was only possible thanks to our team of Wizard developers @alexgrover + @dgtrd + @fikira , the development team behind Pine Script, and of course to the support of our legendary community.
Happy Holidays to you all, and we'll see ya next year! ☃️
RSI/MFI Ultimate MAHello!
Today, I want to discuss a special indicator that I've developed. centers around a weighted moving average based on RSI/MFI.
1. Development Purpose
The primary goal of this indicator is to provide clearer insights into bullish and bearish signals in the market. It applies a weight to the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MFI (Money Flow Index) values to offer more sensitive and predictive trend signals than traditional moving averages.
2. Usefulness
This indicator aids traders in identifying market volatility and bullish or bearish trends more easily. It is particularly responsive to market volatility, providing more accurate information for trading decisions.
3. Real-World Usage Examples
When applied to actual market data, this indicator clearly delineates bullish or bearish sections with its weighted moving average line. For instance, an upward trending moving average line indicates a bullish signal, while a downward trend suggests bearish momentum.
4. Meaning of Parameter Values
option: Allows choosing between RSI or MFI, each analyzing different market signals.
osc_len: Adjusting the oscillator length alters sensitivity.
ma_len: Setting the moving average length helps to modulate responsiveness to market fluctuations.
weight: Changing the weight fine-tunes the sensitivity of the moving average line.
By adjusting these parameters, the indicator can be customized to suit various market conditions.
Wishing you a successful trading day. Thank you!
Hurst ALMA Channels With Signals [UAlgo]
In the pursuit of identifying potential market pivots, a single measurement of Average True Range (ATR), may not provide sufficient information on its own, lacking directional insights. However, by employing a Moving Average (MA), specifically the Arnaud Legoux MA with Hurst C. calculation applied, a potential trading range can be visualized, taking recent volatility into account.
The underlying assumption is that if volatility remains relatively stable and the price extends beyond this ATR-derived range, there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean. At this point, it is postulated that available buying or selling pressure is depleted, prompting a pivot back to the mean.
To enhance the analysis, multiple MAs of different lengths are plotted. While individual MAs alone may not convey substantial information, observing reversions to the mean between MAs of varying lengths becomes insightful. Shorter MAs may oscillate above or below longer MAs, returning to the mean and creating crossover patterns.
The key innovation lies in combining these two concepts. By utilizing three different length MAs with corresponding ATR lengths, a dynamic system is established. The smallest band fluctuates within the medium band, and the medium band oscillates within the large band, creating approximate short, medium, and long trading ranges relative to the MAs.
For instance, in a theoretical scenario, when the smallest band reaches the upper limit of the medium band, and simultaneously, the medium band reaches the upper limit of the large band, and the price surpasses all of them, there is a heightened probability of a market reversal.
It's important to emphasize that these observations are based on historical volatility patterns and are subject to adjustments based on specific market conditions and the chosen instrument.
The developed indicator generates three distinct signal types, each providing valuable insights into potential market pivots without disclosing specific parameters:
Large Triangles : Representing a high-probability pivot, this signal occurs when the price surpasses all bands, either at the top or bottom. It suggests an extreme point where a pivot is likely.
Medium Triangles : Indicating a notable market event, this signal emerges when the price exceeds both the small and medium bands but falls short of surpassing the large band. Additionally, the small band must have exceeded the medium band. This configuration points to a significant market move with a potential for reversion.
Small Triangles : This signal is observed when the price surpasses both the small and medium bands, yet does not breach the large band. Notably, the small band should not have exceeded the medium band. This signal type suggests a distinctive market condition where a pivot may be imminent.
These triangle signals are designed to identify key points in the market where historical patterns indicate a likelihood of reversion or significant price movement. It is crucial to note that the interpretation of these signals should be adapted to specific market conditions and instruments.
Good luck to you all !
Trend Finding by EMAsINTRO
This indicator is a price action based tool used to visualize trends using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
CONCEPTS
It's created with two EMAs with different lengths (9 and 15) based on user-defined parameters. The script calculates the EMAs for the given lengths using the closing prices of the asset.
The EMAs are plotted on the chart, and their colors are dynamically determined by a conditional statement. If slower EMA is crossing above the faster EMA than the color will be change, And vise-versa for the opposite.
USES:-
The visualization of EMAs in different colors assists in identifying potential trends:
a bullish trend when EMAs color is Blue
and a bearish trend when EMAs color are Red.
Purpose
This script provides a quick visual representation of potential trend changes based on the relationship between these two EMAs.
WPO Modified [BackQuant]The Wave Period Oscillator (WPO), developed by Akram El Sherbini, is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that offers traders a dynamic way to interpret market cycles. Its design is inspired by the natural ebb and flow of markets, which often follow cyclical patterns driven by underlying economic, political, and psychological factors. The oscillator's unique contribution to market analysis lies in its ability to smooth out the "noise" inherent in daily price movements, thus providing a clearer view of the market's rhythmic fluctuations over time.
-----> Time Cycle Oscillators' in the IFTA Journal 2018 (page 66 - 77), as found below:
ifta.org
El Sherbini's WPO is grounded in the concept of wave period analysis, which suggests that financial markets move in waves or cycles. The oscillator translates these movements into a visual tool that oscillates above and below a central zero line. Peaks and troughs on the oscillator correspond to the crests and troughs of market price waves, providing a visual representation of the market's heartbeat.
The WPO is not merely a tool for identifying trends but also for detecting shifts in market momentum. It does this through a mathematical model that measures divergence—when the direction of the oscillator deviates from the direction of price movement. Such divergences can be precursors to potential reversals or continuations in the market, offering traders advance notice of significant changes in price direction.
Further refining its utility, the WPO incorporates methods for calculating divergence that are sensitive to the unique conditions of different markets and securities. This includes adjusting for volatility and market velocity, allowing the oscillator to provide relevant signals regardless of the market environment.
In practical terms, traders use the WPO to time their entries and exits with greater precision. When the oscillator shows a high peak or a deep trough, it can signal that a market is potentially overbought or oversold, respectively. The WPO's smoothing property ensures that these signals are not just reactionary to short-term price spikes or drops, but indicative of more substantial, sustained movements.
By providing a more measured and smoothed analysis of market cycles, the WPO helps to filter out insignificant price movements and focus on the ones that matter—those that indicate a significant wave of buying or selling pressure. This can be particularly valuable in the cryptocurrency markets, where volatility is high, and traditional indicators may struggle to provide clear signals.
For traders and analysts alike, the Wave Period Oscillator represents a convergence of technical precision and market psychology. By focusing on the periodic nature of market movements, it aligns traders with the rhythm of the markets, potentially leading to more harmonious trading decisions that are in step with the market's natural waves.
Please see the backtest here:
For more simple terms:
You can use this indicator as a the oscillator
Above 0 for long
Below 0 for short
OR
WPO MA
Above 0 for long
Below 0 for short
MA+ ProjectionThe "MA+ Projection" indicator is designed to visualize the potential future direction of a moving average, taking into account the impact of historical data loss. It is primarily aimed at providing a practical perspective on how moving averages could evolve as older data points are no longer considered.
Key Features:
Supported Moving Averages: SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, and VAWMA (Volume Adjusted WMA).
Flexible Time Span Settings: Customize the moving average length in bars, minutes, or days.
Adjustable Projection Scope: Set a percentage of the measurement to project forward.
Projection 'Cone': Show/hide the deviation and control the multiple.
Use Last Source Value: An option to add the latest known value to the moving window instead of only letting the window shrink. (Enabled by default.)
How It Works:
Given the specified parameters, it takes the selected moving average type (a known formula like SMA, EMA, or WMA), and projects the future data points by continuing to move the data 'window' forward without adding any more data. By default, it extends the average by assuming the price hasn't changed after the last bar. Alternatively, the projection can be the result of shrinking the window as it moves forward without adding any new data points.
Note:
This tool is for visual projection, not prediction. Its purpose is to aid in the analysis of potential future trends based on historical data, not to provide definitive market forecasts.
