Large Candle Marker (Threshold in Cents)This indicator, Large Candle Marker, identifies and marks candles that exceed a specified size threshold. The size can be based on either the candle's body (difference between open and close) or the total range (difference between high and low). The threshold is entered in cents for easy configuration, and the indicator highlights these significant candles directly on the chart with a orange flag. It's perfect for spotting momentum or volatility in price movements. I use it to not enter trades after a large candle.
// INSTRUCTIONS:
// 1. Input the desired candle size threshold in cents in the settings menu.
// - For example, enter "30" for 30 cents or "50" for 50 cents.
// 2. Choose the size type:
// - Select "True" to use the candle body size (difference between open and close).
// - Select "False" to use the total range size (difference between high and low).
// 3. The script will mark candles exceeding the threshold with a red marker above the candle.
// 4. Apply this indicator to any chart to identify significant candles based on the threshold.
المؤشرات والاستراتيجيات
Awesome Oscillator with DivergenceSimple Awesome Oscillator with Divergences
This TradingView script combines the classic Awesome Oscillator (AO) with divergence detection. It plots AO as a histogram, highlighting changes in momentum. Divergences are identified based on pivot highs and lows, signaling potential trend reversals:
- Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, AO makes higher lows.
- Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, AO makes lower highs.
Visual signals (arrows) and alerts ensure clear identification, making it ideal for traders focusing on momentum and trend reversals.
Power Of 3 ICT 01 [TradingFinder] AMD ICT & SMC Accumulations🔵 Introduction
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) strategy, developed by Michael J. Huddleston, known as the Inner Circle Trader, is a structured approach to analyzing daily market activity. This strategy divides the trading day into three distinct phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
Each phase represents a unique market behavior influenced by institutional traders, offering a clear framework for retail traders to align their strategies with market movements.
Accumulation (19:00 - 01:00 EST) takes place during low-volatility hours, as institutional traders accumulate orders. Manipulation (01:00 - 07:00 EST) involves false breakouts and liquidity traps designed to mislead retail traders. Finally, Distribution (07:00 - 13:00 EST) represents the active phase where significant market movements occur as institutions distribute their positions in line with the broader trend.
This indicator is built upon the Power of 3 principles to provide traders with a practical and visual tool for identifying these key phases. By using clear color coding and precise time zones, the indicator highlights critical price levels, such as highs and lows, helping traders to better understand market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.
Incorporating the ICT AMD setup into daily analysis enables traders to anticipate market behavior, spot high-probability trade setups, and gain deeper insights into institutional trading strategies. With its focus on time-based price action, this indicator simplifies complex market structures, offering an effective tool for traders of all levels.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) indicator is designed to help traders analyze daily market movements by visually identifying the three key phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
Here's how traders can effectively use the indicator :
🟣 Accumulation Phase (19:00 - 01:00 EST)
Purpose : Identify the range-bound activity where institutional players accumulate orders.
Trading Insight : Avoid placing trades during this phase, as price movements are typically limited. Instead, use this time to prepare for the potential direction of the market in the next phases.
🟣 Manipulation Phase (01:00 - 07:00 EST)
Purpose : Spot false breakouts and liquidity traps that mislead retail traders.
Trading Insight : Observe the market for price spikes beyond key support or resistance levels. These moves often reverse quickly, offering high-probability entry points in the opposite direction of the initial breakout.
🟣 Distribution Phase (07:00 - 13:00 EST)
Purpose : Detect the main price movement of the day, driven by institutional distribution.
Trading Insight : Enter trades in the direction of the trend established during this phase. Look for confirmations such as breakouts or strong directional moves that align with broader market sentiment
🔵 Settings
Show or Hide Phases :mDecide whether to display Accumulation, Manipulation, or Distribution.
Adjust the session times for each phase :
Accumulation: 1900-0100 EST
Manipulation: 0100-0700 EST
Distribution: 0700-1300 EST
Modify Visualization : Customize how the indicator looks by changing settings like colors and transparency.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Power of 3 (PO3) indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand and leverage market structure based on time and price dynamics. By visually highlighting the three key phases—Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution—this indicator simplifies the complex movements of institutional trading strategies.
With its customizable settings and clear representation of market behavior, the indicator is suitable for traders at all levels, helping them anticipate market trends and make more informed decisions.
Whether you're identifying entry points in the Accumulation phase, navigating false moves during Manipulation, or capitalizing on trends in the Distribution phase, this tool provides valuable insights to enhance your trading performance.
By integrating this indicator into your analysis, you can better align your strategies with institutional movements and improve your overall trading outcomes.
Naji's Price Change DetectorThis indicator detects when the price goes up or down by a customizable % and time. This allows the user to detect large changes in the market in order to try to catch the reversal.
This does not detect the reversal, you need to decide when to enter the trade yourself.
Key Features:
Customizable Settings:
Percent Change Threshold: You can change this in the settings panel (default = 4%).
Number of Bars to Check: Adjustable between 1 and any desired number of bars (default = 5).
Dynamic Calculation:
The script calculates the price change for every bar within the specified range.
Alerts:
Alerts are customized to reflect the chosen settings and will trigger only once per bar close.
Background Highlights:
Green: A price increase exceeding the threshold was detected.
Red: A price decrease exceeding the threshold was detected.
Forward Price Performance TableThis calculates the percentage price changes for three key timeframes:
1 week (5 trading days ago)
1 month (17 trading days ago),
3 months (45 trading days ago).
This is to show a forward looking performance based on earlier timeframes that traditionally used. This is the framework I team uses to calculate performance metrics.
NY Trading Session TrackerNY Trading Session Tracker
This indicator highlights the New York trading session (14:30–21:00 UTC) directly on your chart. It visually identifies the session with a customizable background color and optional labels marking the session’s open and close. For added clarity, the labels can display the precise open and close prices, formatted with commas and up to 4 decimal places. Perfect for intraday traders looking to focus on one of the most active market periods.
Features:
• Highlight the NY session with a customizable background.
• Optional session open/close labels.
• Display open/close prices with professional formatting.
• Fully customizable settings for labels and colors.
Streamline your trading workflow and focus on what matters with the NY Trading Session Tracker!
Percent % Change Since Specific Date / TimeFUNCTIONS
- User specified Date/Time of importance
- Calculate the percent change since user input date/time to current price
- Plot a line at user input date/time
USAGE
You want to see how much price has changed since a certain important date/time.
Example important date: Trump win, FED rate change, Earnings, etc.
USDEGP Rate MultipleIndicator shows the ratio between USDEGP rate calculated using CIB GDR and the official rate. In no stress, value should be stable.
B-Xtrender By Neal inspired from @PuppytherapyThanks to @puppytherapy for creating the original B-Xtrender indicator, available at this link: B-Xtrender by @QuantTherapy
I played around the code to have entry and exit condition. The B-Xtrender @QuantTherapy
indicator is a momentum-based tool designed to help traders identify potential trade opportunities by tracking shifts in market momentum. Using a smoothed momentum oscillator, it detects changes in trend direction and provides clear signals for entry and exit points.
Features
Momentum Detection:
Tracks market momentum using the BX-Trender Oscillator.
Green bars indicate bullish momentum, while red bars indicate bearish momentum.
Lighter shades of green/red reflect weakening momentum.
Entry and Exit Signals:
Entry Condition: A long trade is triggered when the oscillator changes from red to green .
Exit Condition: A long trade exit is triggered when the oscillator changes from green to red .
Dynamic PnL Calculation:
Automatically calculates profit or loss in percentage (%) when a trade is exited.
Positive PnL values are prefixed with `+`, and negative values are shown as `-`.
Clear Visualization:
Bar chart-style oscillator in a separate pane for better trend visualization.
Trade labels on the main price chart for clear entry and exit points.
Inputs
Short-Term Momentum Parameters:
Short - L1: Length of the first EMA for short-term momentum calculations.
Short - L2: Length of the second EMA for short-term momentum calculations.
Short - L3: RSI smoothing period applied to the short-term momentum.
Long-Term Momentum Parameters:
Long - L1: Length of the EMA for long-term momentum calculations.
Long - L2: RSI smoothing period applied to the long-term momentum.
Entry and Exit Logic
Entry Condition:
A long trade is triggered when:
The BX-Trender Oscillator changes from red to green .
This shift indicates bullish momentum.
Exit Condition:
A long trade exit is triggered when:
The BX-Trender Oscillator changes from green to red .
This shift indicates a loss of bullish momentum or the start of bearish momentum.
PnL Calculation:
When exiting a trade, the indicator calculates the profit or loss as a percentage of the entry price.
Example:
A profit is displayed as +5.67% .
A loss is displayed as -3.21% .
Visualization
Oscillator Bars:
Green Bars: Represent increasing bullish momentum.
Light Green Bars: Represent weakening bullish momentum.
Red Bars: Represent increasing bearish momentum.
Light Red Bars: Represent weakening bearish momentum.
Just make sure that you checked off the B-Xtrend oscillator off from the style so chart can be active
Trade Labels:
Entry Labels: Displayed below the candle with the text Entry, long .
Exit Labels: Displayed above the candle with the text Exit .
Bar Chart Pane:
The oscillator is displayed in a separate pane for clear trend visualization.
Default Style
Oscillator Colors:
Green for bullish momentum.
Red for bearish momentum.
Light green and light red for weaker momentum.
Trade Labels:
Green labels for entries.
Red labels for exits, with percentage PnL displayed.
Use Cases
Momentum-Based Entries:
Detects shifts in momentum from bearish to bullish for precise trade entry points.
Trend Reversal Detection:
Identifies when bullish momentum weakens, signaling an exit opportunity.
Visual Simplicity:
Offers an intuitive way to track trends with its bar chart-style oscillator and clear trade labels.
This indicator doesn't indicate that it will work perfectly. More updates on the way.
London USDEGP priceThis indicator calculates the hypothetical USDEGP price using CIB receipts price in London Stock Exchange and its price in EGX. Values are smoothed.
RSI Instant DivergenceThis script detects RSI divergence—a common signal indicating potential trend reversals. It compares price action and RSI behavior to identify two types of divergences:
1- Bearish Divergence (Sell Signal):
Occurs when the price forms a higher high while RSI drops (weaker momentum).
A label appears above the candle, and an alert is triggered: "Divergence: Sell Signal."
2 -Bullish Divergence (Buy Signal):
Occurs when the price makes a lower low while RSI rises (stronger momentum).
A label appears below the candle, and an alert is triggered: "Divergence: Buy Signal."
The labels are color-coded (orange for sell, blue for buy) and include detailed RSI and price info in a tooltip. Alerts help you act immediately when divergence is detected.
This tool is perfect for spotting potential trend reversals and refining your entry/exit strategy. Let me know if you'd like to customize it further! 😊
Tooltip Feature: Each label includes a tooltip with precise RSI and price details (current and previous values) as well as the percentage change in RSI, giving you deeper insight into the divergence. This tool is great for identifying trend reversal points and includes visual labels, tooltips, and alerts to make real-time trading decisions easier. Let me know if you’d like adjustments!
Tims Smart Money COT-IndexThe **Tims Smart Money COT Index** analyzes the positions of different groups of market participants from the COT report (Commercials, Large Specs, Small Specs). It calculates their net positions and scales them relative to extremes of the last 24 weeks. It indicates bullish and bearish zones to identify market sentiments.
- Commercials (Smart Money)**: Often act against the trend, bullish from 80+.
- Large Specs (Retail Money)**: Trend-following, bullish from 80+.
- Small Specs**: Mostly impulsive, bullish from 80+.
The indicator helps to identify turning points in the market based on the behavior of the players.
COT Commercials Positions Table Der COT Commercials Opposite Positions Table for Forex ist ein umfangreicher TradingView-Indikator, der die Positionen der kommerziellen Marktteilnehmer (Commercials) im Rahmen des Commitments of Traders (COT)-Berichts darstellt. Er zeigt Long-, Short-, und Netto-Positionen sowie deren prozentuale Anteile für ausgewählte Märkte an.
Hauptmerkmale:
Datenquellenwahl: Unterstützt "Futures Only" und "Futures and Options".
Marktabdeckung: Umfasst Währungen, Rohstoffe, Indizes und Kryptowährungen.
Farbkodierung: Dynamische Farbverläufe zur Hervorhebung von Extremen bei Long-/Short-Positionen und Prozentsätzen.
Historische Daten: Zeigt Positionsdaten der letzten 10 Wochen an.
Anpassbare Tabelle: Klar strukturiert mit wichtigen Kennzahlen wie max./min. Positionen und Netto-Positionen.
Der Indikator ist besonders für Trader nützlich, die Marktstimmungen analysieren und Positionierungen großer Marktteilnehmer in ihre Handelsentscheidungen einbeziehen möchten.
Der Indikator ist hauptsächlich für Futures gedacht und funktioniert nur im 1 Woche Chart.
Noise Footprint ImbalanceNoise Footprint Imbalance Indicator
The Noise Footprint Imbalance Indicator highlights areas of imbalance in price action, marking potential zones of support and resistance. This indicator helps traders visualize "footprints" of imbalance on the chart, allowing for better identification of areas where price moves significantly away from equilibrium. This can help traders pinpoint potential reversal points or zones where buyers or sellers may step in.
Features
Customizable Box Count: Choose the maximum number of imbalance zones displayed on the chart, keeping your workspace clear and focused.
Imbalance Detection: Highlights both top and bottom imbalances, identifying them based on price discrepancies between open/close and high/low levels.
Dynamic Zone Boxes: Draws boxes around imbalance zones with customizable colors and transparency, providing visual clarity without overwhelming the chart.
Usage
This indicator is beneficial for traders who:
Use imbalance zones as potential areas of interest for entries or exits.
Want to combine it with other indicators or price action analysis to improve trade setups.
Customization Options
Maximum Imbalance Zones: Adjusts the maximum number of imbalance boxes shown.
Imbalance Box Color: Customize the color and transparency of the imbalance zones to suit your chart's theme.
Add this script to your chart to enhance your technical analysis and bring more structure to your trading approach with the Noise Footprint Imbalance Indicator.
Advanced Pivot Manipulation SuperTrend - Consolidation ZoneHere’s the description translated into English for your TradingView publication:
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Advanced Pivot Manipulation SuperTrend - Consolidation Zone
Description :
This advanced indicator combines multiple technical tools to provide a comprehensive analysis of trends, key levels, and consolidation zones. Ideal for traders seeking to spot opportunities while avoiding the traps of flat markets, it helps you better understand market dynamics and improve your trading decisions.
Key Features:
1.
Dynamic SuperTrend with Pivot Points:
- An enhanced SuperTrend algorithm based on pivot points for more precise trend tracking.
- Thresholds (Up/Dn) are dynamically adjusted using ATR (Average True Range) for improved volatility adaptation.
2. Consolidation Zones:
- Automatically identifies periods when the market moves within a narrow range (1% by default).
- Consolidation zones are visually highlighted to help avoid risky trades.
3. Dynamic Support and Resistance:
- Automatically calculates support and resistance levels based on a rolling period (configurable).
- These levels serve as key references for potential breakouts or trend reversals.
4. Advanced Detection Tools:
- Includes a volume multiplier and shadow-to-body ratio to signal unusual or potentially manipulated moves (e.g., spoofing).
5. Intuitive Visuals:
- SuperTrend lines are color-coded to indicate bullish (green) or bearish (red) trends.
- Semi-transparent lines mark support and resistance levels, and red backgrounds indicate consolidation zones.
Customizable Parameters:
- Pivot Point Period: Adjust the period for detecting pivot highs and lows.
- ATR Factor and Period: Control the sensitivity of the SuperTrend indicator.
- Lookback Period for S/R: Define the duration for calculating support and resistance levels.
- Volume Multiplier and Shadow/Body Ratio: Configure thresholds for detecting high volumes or anomalies in candlestick patterns.
How to Use:
- Easily identify dominant trends using the SuperTrend.
- Spot consolidation zones to avoid inefficient trades or prepare breakout strategies.
- Use support and resistance levels as reference points for placing orders or adjusting risk management.
Target Audience:
- Intraday and swing traders.
- Anyone looking for a comprehensive and customizable indicator to effectively analyze volatile markets.
---
Notes:
The indicator is fully customizable to suit your needs and strategies. Feel free to experiment with the parameters to maximize its effectiveness according to your trading style.
Keywords: SuperTrend, Support and Resistance, Consolidation, Pivot Points, Trends, ATR, Advanced Trading.
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This description highlights the indicator’s strengths and is designed to appeal to the TradingView community.
Sticky Note Pro: Customizable Trading ChecklistStay organized and disciplined with this customizable sticky note on your TradingView chart. Perfect for traders who want to keep essential trading reminders, checklists, or notes visible while analyzing the market.
### Features:
- **Customizable Templates**: Choose from a **Trading Checklist**, **Risk Management**, or **Custom** template.
- **Section Customization**: Tailor the titles and content for up to three sections:
- 📊 **Analysis**: Track trend direction and support/resistance levels.
- 💰 **Risk Management**: Ensure proper risk management with reminders for risk percentage and stop loss settings.
- 🧠 **Psychology**: Stay disciplined with reminders to stick to your plan and avoid overtrading.
- **Dynamic Content**: Add or hide sections based on your preference, with dynamic spacing and content formatting.
- **Visual Customization**: Change text and background colors, and adjust text size and line spacing for optimal visibility.
- **Chart Integration**: The sticky note is displayed on the top-right corner of your chart and updates with the most recent bar.
### Why Use This Indicator?
This tool helps you stay on track with your trading plan, offering reminders for analysis, risk management, and trading psychology, all in one convenient place. Customize it to fit your style, and never miss a key point during your trading sessions again.
OA S/R PowerPurpose of the Script
This script identifies the strength of support and resistance levels based on key factors like volume, bounce frequency, and retests. Each level is assigned a score (0-100) and visualized with color-coded labels on the chart.
Key Features
Dynamic Strength Calculation:
Volume Strength: Measures the strength based on the volume of candles touching the level.
Bounce Strength: Evaluates how often the price bounces back from the level.
Retest Strength: Scores the consistency of retests over time.
Color-Coded Visualization:
Yellow: Strong levels (Strength ≥ 70).
Orange: Medium levels (Strength between 50-70).
Red: Resistance levels (Price is below the level).
Green: Support levels (Price is above the level).
Fully Customizable Settings:
Adjust the weight for volume, bounce, and retest contributions.
Configure timeframes, percentage range, and number of levels to analyze.
How It Works
Identify Peaks and Valleys: The script calculates local highs and lows using a configurable width setting to determine potential support and resistance levels.
Filter Key Levels: Nearby levels are merged based on a user-defined percentage range, ensuring clean and relevant levels.
Strength Scoring: Levels are scored dynamically based on:
The number of touches.
The volume of touches.
The frequency of bounces and retests.
Visual Feedback: Each level is plotted on the chart with a color-coded label, indicating its importance and price relationship.
Best Use Cases
Quickly identify strong support/resistance zones for breakout or reversal trades.
Use the dynamic scoring system to prioritize key levels for your strategy.
Customize weights to align with your trading style, such as emphasizing volume or retests.
Adjustable ORB with ORB multipliers "Adjustable ORB with ORB Multipliers," calculates and visually represents the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) based on a user-defined timeframe (defaulting to 15 minutes). It identifies the high and low of the opening range and shades the area between these levels in blue for clear visualization. The indicator then computes additional levels at multiples of the opening range—specifically 1x and 2x the range distance above and below the ORB. These multiplier levels are plotted on the chart (with white lines for 1x levels and yellow lines for 2x levels) and are labeled accordingly ("1x" and "2x") on the left side of each line for easy reference. Users can choose to display or hide the 1x and 2x levels through input options, allowing for customization based on trading preferences. This tool aids traders in identifying potential breakout zones and setting target levels based on the initial market movement of the day.
B-Xtrender Simplified-BUY/SELL print Thanks to @puppytherapy for creating the original B-Xtrender indicator, available at this link: B-Xtrender by Puppytherapy.
This is a modified version of the original script, which now includes Buy and Sell arrows directly plotted on the chart for clear entry signals. The core logic of the indicator remains intact, with enhancements for simplicity and usability.
Overview:
The B-Xtrender Simplified indicator is a trend-following tool designed to identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on momentum and trend confluence. It combines short-term and long-term RSI-based oscillators with exponential moving averages to detect trend shifts and provide clear, actionable signals on the chart.
This simplified version focuses on clean visuals and provides buy and sell signals using arrows, ensuring an uncluttered chart. The indicator is suitable for traders who want a straightforward tool to assist with entry signals in trending markets.
Key Components:
Short-Term Oscillator:
Measures short-term momentum using the RSI of the difference between two EMAs (Short - L1 and Short - L2).
Provides early signals for trend reversals and momentum shifts.
Long-Term Oscillator:
Evaluates broader trend strength using the RSI of a single EMA (Long - L1).
Acts as a filter to ensure signals align with the overall market trend.
Smoothed Oscillator (T3):
Applies a smoothing algorithm to the short-term oscillator to reduce noise.
Ensures the signals are more reliable and less prone to false alarms.
How It Works:
Buy Signal (Green Arrow Below Candles):
Triggered when:
The short-term oscillator is above 0 (indicating upward momentum).
The smoothed short-term oscillator (maShortTermXtrender) is rising (momentum confirmation).
The long-term oscillator is above 0 (trend confirmation).
Sell Signal (Red Arrow Above Candles):
Triggered when:
The short-term oscillator is below 0 (indicating downward momentum).
The smoothed short-term oscillator (maShortTermXtrender) is falling (momentum confirmation).
The long-term oscillator is below 0 (trend confirmation).
Alerts:
Buy and sell signals generate alerts for traders to take immediate action when conditions are met.
Customization Options:
Short-Term Parameters:
Short - L1, Short - L2, Short - L3 control the responsiveness of the short-term oscillator.
Long-Term Parameters:
Long - L1, Long - L2 adjust the sensitivity of the long-term trend filter.
Default values ensure the indicator works effectively in most market conditions, but they can be fine-tuned for specific instruments or timeframes.
Strengths:
Clarity: Uses clean buy/sell arrows for visual simplicity.
Confluence-Based: Ensures alignment between short-term momentum and long-term trend before signaling.
Real-Time Alerts: Alerts for both buy and sell signals allow for timely decision-making.
Usage Tips:
Confirm Trend:
Use the indicator on a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour or daily) to confirm the overall trend direction.
Combine with Other Tools:
Enhance accuracy by combining the indicator with support/resistance levels, volume analysis, or other technical indicators.
Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss orders to protect against adverse market movements.
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Ideal For:
Traders seeking clear and straightforward entry signals.
Trend-following strategies in liquid markets.
Beginners who want an easy-to-interpret tool for identifying momentum-based trades.
This simplified version of the B-Xtrender retains the original power of the indicator while focusing on clean visuals and actionable signals for trend-following traders.
Exponential growthPurpose
The indicator plots an exponential curve based on historical price data and supports toggling between exponential regression and linear logarithmic regression. It also provides offset bands around the curve for additional insights.
Key Inputs
1. yxlogreg and dlogreg:
These are the "Endwert" (end value) and "Startwert" (start value) for calculating the slope of the logarithmic regression.
2. bars:
Specifies how many historical bars are considered in the calculation.
3.offsetchannel:
Adds an adjustable percentage-based offset to create upper and lower bands around the main exponential curve.
Default: 1 (interpreted as 10% bands).
4.lineareregression log.:
A toggle to switch between exponential function and linear logarithmic regression.
Default: false (exponential is used by default).
5.Dynamic Labels:
Creates a label showing the calculated regression values and historical bars count at the latest bar. The label is updated dynamically.
Use Cases
Exponential Growth Tracking:
Useful for assets or instruments exhibiting exponential growth trends.
Identifying Channels:
Helps identify support and resistance levels using the offset bands.
Switching Analysis Modes:
Flexibility to toggle between exponential and linear logarithmic analysis.
GB Time and MinutesCalculates Goldbach Time using both hour + minute AND just the minute of the hour, with the option to toggle either one on/off
Adaptive Linear Regression ChannelOverview
The Adaptive Linear Regression Channel Script is an advanced, multi-functional trading tool crafted to help traders pinpoint market trends, identify potential reversals, assess volatility, and establish dynamic levels for profit-taking and position exits. By incorporating key concepts such as linear regression , standard deviation , and other volatility measures like the ATR , the script offers a comprehensive view of market behavior beyond traditional deviation metrics.
This dynamic model continuously adapts to changing market conditions, adjusting in real-time to provide clear visualizations of trends, channels, and volatility levels. This adaptability makes the script invaluable for both trend-following and counter-trend strategies, giving traders the flexibility to respond effectively to different market environments.
Background
What is Linear Regression?
Definition : Linear regression is a statistical technique used to model the relationship between a dependent variable (target) and one or more independent variables (predictors).
In its simplest form (simple linear regression), the relationship between two variables is represented by a straight line (the regression line).
y = mx + b
where :
- y is the target variable (price)
- m is the slope
- x is the independent variable (time)
- b is the intercept
Slope of the Regression Line
Definition: The slope (m) measures the rate at which the dependent variable (y) changes as the independent variable (x) changes.
Interpretation:
- A positive slope indicates an uptrend.
- A negative slope indicates a downtrend.
Uses in Trading:
- Identifying the strength and direction of market trends.
- Assessing the momentum of price movements.
R-squared (Coefficient of Determination)
Definition: A measure of how well the regression line fits the data, ranging from 0 to 1.
Calculation :
R2 = 1− (SS tot/SS res)
where:
- SSres is the sum of squared residuals.
- SStot is the total sum of squares.
Interpretation:
- Higher R2 indicates a better fit, meaning the model explains a larger proportion of the variance in the data.
Uses in Trading:
- Higher R-squared values give traders confidence in trend-based signals.
- Low R-squared values may suggest that the market is more random or volatile.
Standard Deviation
Definition: Standard Deviation quantifies the dispersion of data points in a dataset relative to the mean. A low standard deviation indicates that data points tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the data points are spread out over a larger range of values.
Calculation
σ=√∑(xi−μ)2/N
Where
- σ is the standard deviation.
- ∑ is the summation symbol, indicating that the expression that follows should be summed over all data points.
- xi, this represents the i-th data point in the dataset.
- μ\mu, this represents the mean(average) of all the data points in the dataset.
- (xi−μ)2, this is the squared difference between each data point and the mean.
- N is the total number of data points in the dataset.
- **Interpretation**
- A higher standard deviation indicates greater volatility.
- Useful for identifying overbought/oversold conditions in markets.
Key Features
Dynamic Linear Regression Channels:
The script automatically generates adaptive regression channels that expand or contract based on the current market volatility. This real-time adjustment ensures that traders are always working with the most relevant data, making it easier to spot key support and resistance levels.
The channel width itself serves as an indicator of market volatility, expanding during periods of heightened uncertainty and contracting during more stable phases. Additionally, the channel width is trained on previous channel widths , allowing the script to adapt and provide a more accurate view of volatility trends of the asset. Traders can also customize the script to train on less historical data , enabling a more recent view of volatility , which is particularly useful in fast-moving or changing markets.
Dynamic Profits and Stops:
What is it?
Dynamic profit levels allow traders to adjust take-profit targets based on real-time market conditions. Unlike static levels, which remain fixed regardless of market changes, these adaptive levels leverage past volatility data to create more flexible profit-taking strategies.
How does it work?
The script determines these levels using previously stored deviation values. These deviations are categorized into quantiles (like Q1, Q2, Q3, etc.) to classify current market conditions. As new deviation data is recorded, the profit levels are adjusted dynamically to reflect changes in market volatility. This approach helps to refine profit targets, especially when using regression channels with standard deviation rather than traditional ATR bands.
Why is it valuable?
By utilizing adaptive profit levels, traders can optimize their exits based on the current volatility landscape. For instance, when volatility increases, the dynamic levels expand, allowing trades to capture larger price movements. Conversely, during low volatility, profit targets tighten to lock in gains sooner, reducing exposure to market reversals. This flexibility is especially beneficial when combined with adaptive regression channels that respond to changes in standard deviation.
Slope-Based Trend Analysis:
One of the core elements of this script is the slope of the regression line , which helps define the direction and strength of the trend. Positive slopes indicate bullish momentum, while negative slopes suggest bearish conditions. The slope's steepness gives traders insight into the market's momentum, allowing them to adjust their strategies based on the strength of the trend.
Additionally, the script uses the slope to create a color gradient , which visually represents the intensity of the market's momentum. The gradient peaks at one color to show the maximum bullish momentum experienced in the past, while another color represents the maximum bearish momentum experienced in the past. This color-coded visualization makes it easier for traders to quickly assess the market's strength and direction at a glance.
Volatility Heatmap:
The integrated heatmap provides an intuitive, color-coded visualization of market volatility. The heatmap highlights areas where price action is expanding or contracting, giving traders a clear view of where volatility is rising or falling. By mapping out deviations from the regression line, the heatmap makes it easier to spot periods of high volatility that could lead to major market moves or potential reversals.
Deviation Concepts:
The script tracks price deviations from the regression line when a new range is formed, providing valuable insights when the price significantly deviates from the expected trend. These deviations are key in identifying potential breakout points or trend shifts .
This helps traders understand when the market is overextended or when a pullback may be imminent, allowing them to make more informed trading decisions.
Adaptive Model Properties:
Unlike static indicators, this script adapts over time . As the market changes, it stores historical data related to channel widths , slope dynamics , and volatility levels , adjusting its analysis accordingly to stay relevant to current market conditions.
Traders have the ability to train the model on all available data or specify a set number of bars to focus on more recent market activity. This flexibility allows for more tailored analysis , ensuring that traders can work with data that best fits their trading style and time horizon.
This continuous learning approach ensures that traders always have the most up-to-date insight into the market's structure.
Table
The table displays key metrics in real time to provide deeper insights into market behavior:
1. Deviation & Slope : Shows the current deviation if set to standard deviation or atr if set to atr(values used to calculated the channel widths) and the trend slope, helping to gauge market volatility and trend direction.
2. Rate of Change : For both deviation/atr and slope, the table also calculates the rate of change of their rates—essentially capturing the acceleration or deceleration of trends and volatility. This helps identify shifts in market momentum early.
3. R-squared : Indicates the strength and reliability of the trend fit. A higher value means the regression line better explains the price movements.
4. Quantiles : Uses historical deviation data to categorize current market conditions into quartiles (e.g., Q1, Q2, Q3). This helps classify the market's current volatility level, allowing traders to adjust strategies dynamically.
By combining these metrics, the table offers a comprehensive, real-time snapshot of market conditions, enabling more informed and adaptive trading decisions.
Settings
Here’s a breakdown of the script's settings for easy reference:
Linear Regression Settings
Show Dynamic Levels :Toggle to display dynamic profit levels on the chart.
Deviation Type :Select the method for calculating deviation—options include ATR (Average True Range) or Standard Deviation.
Timeframe :Sets the specific timeframe for the regression analysis (default is the chart’s timeframe).
Period :Defines the number of bars used for calculating the regression line (e.g., 50 bars).
Deviation Multiplier :Multiplier used to adjust the width of the deviation channel around the regression line.
Rate of Change :Sets the period for calculating the rate of change of the slope (used for momentum analysis).
Max Bars Back :Limits the number of historical bars to analyze (0 means all available data).
Slope Lookback :Number of bars used to calculate the slope gradient for trend detection.
Slope Gradient Display :Toggle to enable gradient coloring based on slope direction.
Slope Gradient Colors :Set colors for positive and negative slopes, respectively.
Slope Fill :Adjusts the transparency of the slope gradient fill.
Volatility Gradient Display :Toggle to enable gradient coloring based on volatility levels.
Volatility Gradient Colors :Set colors for low and high volatility, respectively.
Volatility Fill :Adjusts the transparency of the volatility gradient fill.
Table Settings
Show Table :Toggle to display the metrics table on the chart.
Table Position :Choose where to position the table (e.g., top-right, middle-center, etc.).
Font Size :Set the size of the text in the table. Options include Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, and Huge.
Bitcoin Cycle [BigBeluga]Bitcoin Cycle Indicator is designed exclusively for analyzing Bitcoin’s long-term market cycles, working only on the 1D BTC chart . This indicator provides an in-depth view of potential cycle tops and bottoms, assisting traders in identifying key phases in Bitcoin’s market evolution.
🔵 Key Features:
Heatmap Cycle Phases: The indicator colors each cycle from blue to red , reflecting Bitcoin’s market cycle progression. Cooler colors (blue/green) signal potential accumulation or early growth phases, while warmer colors (yellow/red) indicate maturation and potential top regions.
All-Time High (ATH) and Future ATH Projection: Tracks the current ATH in real-time, while applying a linear regression model to project a possible new ATH in the future. This projection aims to provide insights into the next major cycle peak for long-term strategy.
Dashboard Overview: Displays the current ATH, potential new ATH, and the percentage distance between them. This helps users assess how far the current price is from the projected target.
Top & Bottom Cycle Signals: Red down arrows mark significant price peaks, potentially indicating cycle tops. Up arrows, numbered sequentially (inside each cycle), denote possible bottom signals for strategic DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) entries.
1D BTC Chart Only: Built solely for the 1D BTC timeframe. Switching to any other timeframe or asset will trigger a warning message: " BTC 1D Only ." This ensures accuracy in analyzing Bitcoin’s unique cyclical behavior.
🔵 When to Use:
Ideal for long-term Bitcoin investors and cycle analysts, the Bitcoin Cycle Indicator empowers users to:
Identify key accumulation and distribution phases.
Track Bitcoin’s cyclical highs and lows with visual heatmap cues.
Estimate future potential highs based on historical patterns.
Strategize long-term positions by monitoring cycle tops and possible accumulation zones.
By visualizing Bitcoin’s cycles with color-coded clarity and top/bottom markers, this indicator is an essential tool for any BTC analyst aiming to navigate market cycles effectively.